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RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario

RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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Page 1: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

RBC Capital Markets Forest

Products Investor Day

INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario

Page 2: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

2

This presentation and comments associated with it contain

forward-looking statements including statements relating to U.S.

housing recovery, the potential for constrained lumber supply,

energy-related opportunities, earnings sensitivity and estimated

annual capital expenditures. These statements are subject to

the cautionary statement which introduces West Fraser’s 2014

Annual Management’s Discussion & Analysis which can be

accessed on the Company website www.westfraser.com.

Forward-Looking Statements

Page 3: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

3

• To be a leading forest products manufacturer,

focused on solid wood products

• Strong financial results through the business cycle

• Long-term growth and shareholder value

enhancement

• Stable, conservative financial structure

Our Goals

Page 4: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

4

• Operational excellence

• Diversification

• Product differentiation

• Integration

Our Strategy

Page 5: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

5

• Managing to ensure a committed workforce

• Cost control and efficiency

• Continuous reinvestment

• Internal and external benchmarking and

competition

• Straightforward, consistent business model

Operational Excellence

Page 6: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

6

LUMBER 27 mills

PANELS 7 mills

PULP & PAPER 5 mills

SPF 3.9 Bfbm SYP 2.3 Bfbm Total 6.2 Bfbm

Plywood: 830 MMsf3/8” MDF: 300 MMsf3/4” LVL: 3.2 MMcf

NBSK: 570 Mtonnes BCTMP: 650 Mtonnes Newsprint: 135 Mtonnes

Product Diversification

• North America’s largest lumber producer

• Largest plywood producer in Canada

• Third largest pulp producer in Canada

Page 7: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

7

Lumber66%

Panels11%

Pulp & Paper23%

Trend Sales Mix ($)

Page 8: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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Operations diversified by geography

Geographic diversification

B.C. 40%

Alberta 23%

U.S. 37%

Lumber Capacity

Page 9: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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• Wood as the best environmental choice

• Renewable resource, sustainable business

• Expanding applications

• Bioenergy, full use of the resource

Product Differentiation

Page 10: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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• Lumber, panels, pulp, newsprint and energy

• Substantial fibre self-sufficiency

• Fuller utilization of resource

• Some benefits from counter-cyclicality

• Better able to respond to new opportunities

such as bioenergy

Integration (in Canada)

Page 11: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

11

Demand - North American housing

- Chinese construction and

industrial applications

- Japanese housing

Supply - Fibre limitations

- Residual offtake

- Mill closures

- People

Efficiency - Capital investment

- Business model

Earnings Growth Drivers - Lumber

Page 12: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

12

Returns on Lumber

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

19

91

19

92

19

93

19

94

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

EBITDA Margin (%) - Lumber

Average: 16%

Page 13: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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U.S. Housing M

illio

n U

nit

s

Source: FEA, Q4 2014

Significant pent up demand bodes well for long-term recovery

Pent Up Housing Demand (conventional + mobile)

0.50

0.75

1.00

1.25

1.50

1.75

2.00

2.25

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Production Underlying Demand

Page 14: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

30 year average share = 76%

US Housing

Single Family Share well below 30 year average Share of single-family housing starts

Source: FEA

Page 15: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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Unlike Single-Family, Multi-family has Recovered

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Thousands

Single-Family (Left Scale) Multi-Family (Right Scale)

Page 16: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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U.S. Lumber End Use

U.S. Lumber End-use 2013 U.S. Lumber End-use Normalized

Source: FEA and WF

Single Family Construction,

24%

Multifamily Construction, 3%

Residential Improvements,

38%

Industrial Production, 30%

Nonresidential/Mobile, 5%

Single Family Construction,

37%

Multifamily Construction, 4%

Residential Improvements,

29%

Industrial Production, 23%

Nonresidential/Mobile, 7%

Page 17: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

17

Canadian Shipments to China

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Mm

fbm

Source: Council of Forest Industries, February 2015

Equivalent to 300,000 housing starts *

* Based on consumption of 11.5 Mfbm per U.S. housing start (average mix of single and multi family)

Page 18: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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B.C. Shipments to Japan

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Shipments 2x4 Starts

Source: Council of Forest Industries, February 2015

Mmfbm Thousand 2x4 Starts

Page 19: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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North American Lumber Capacity

Page 20: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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Canadian Fibre Supply M

illio

n (

M3

)

Source: FEA, Q4 2014

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

19

90

19

91

19

92

19

93

19

94

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

20

20

Annual Allowable Cut

Quebec Ontario BC Interior

Forecast

Page 21: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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U.S. South Positive Timber Inventory

Bfbm Int’l ¼”

Source: FEA, Q4 2014

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020

Growth Drain

Projected Excess Growth

Page 22: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

22

Demand - China’s paper, tissue and packaging

demand

- Developing countries’ demand

- Price of cotton and similar products

Supply - European paper capacity closures

- Russian and Canadian start ups

- Product diversification

(e.g. dissolving pulp)

- South American production

Reliability - Capital

- Technology

Earnings Growth Drivers - Pulp

Page 23: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

23

Chemical Pulp End-Use Products

Printing and Writing Papers

31%

Tissue 31%

Specialty Papers 19%

Fluff Based Products

10%

Boxboard 5%

Other 4%

Source: PPPC 2013

Page 24: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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BCTMP Pulp End-Use Products

Boxboard 44%

Printing & Writing 41%

Specialty Papers 8%

Newsprint 4%

Other 3%

Source: PPPC 2013

Page 25: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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Alberta Newsprint is the lowest cost newsprint producer in North America

and a positive contributor to the profitability of our pulp and paper business

Paper — Newsprint

Source: PPPC Cost Survey 2012

Cd

n$

/to

nn

e

North American Newsprint Cost Structure Par Exchange Rate

ANC

Page 26: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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• Woodwaste to produce heat and steam to dry

wood products and for electricity and steam for

pulp mills

• Woodwaste to produce electricity to be used or

sold

• Pulp mill effluent as a source for biogas-electricity

generation

• Expanding opportunities to generate and sell

electricity levering off current business

Energy Opportunities

Page 27: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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• Reinvest profits to lower costs, improve efficiency

through technology and improved processes

• Estimate normalized annual capital spending

between $150 and $225 million

• Capital spending in 2014 of $410 million and

spending in 2015 to approximate $300 million

• Growth through opportunistic acquisitions focused

on solid wood

Capital Strategy

Page 28: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

28

West Fraser Capital

159

358

410

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

2012 2013 2014

Capital Spending

Maintenance Timber Profit Improvement Energy

$ Million

Page 29: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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• Proven ability to generate strong cash flow even in

worst markets

• Consistent, straightforward business plan

• Loyal, long-term employee and management base

• Conservative financial management coupled with

proven ability to grow strategically

• Strong historical shareholder returns

Why Invest in West Fraser?

Page 30: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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Strong Cash Generation ($millions)

Total 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010

Cash from Operations 1,595 475 419 195 85 421

Capital Expenditures 1,229 410 358 159 213 89

Acquisitions 238 208 - 30 - -

Page 31: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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Annualized Shareholder Return (Cdn$)

16.4%

7.0%

2.6%

11.6% 11.2%

7.6%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

West Fraser Dow S&P/TSX Competitor A Competitor B Competitor C

June 2006* – March 31, 2015

* June 2006 marked the beginning of the steep decline in U.S. housing starts

Source: TD Bank

Page 32: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

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Share Value Traded

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

2014 2013 2012

WFT CFP IFP

Cdn$ Million

Page 33: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

33

“WFT” – Toronto Stock Exchange

www.WestFraser.com

These materials have been prepared by Management of the

Company. No regulatory authority has approved or disapproved of

the contents of these materials. These materials do not constitute an

offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities of the

Company, and shall not constitute an offer, solicitation or sale of the

Company’s securities in any jurisdiction in which such offer,

solicitation or sale would be unlawful. Securities of the Company may

not be offered or sold in the United States absent their prior

registration or qualification or an applicable exemption from the

applicable registration or qualification requirements.

Page 34: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

34

APPENDIX

Page 35: RBC Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day Capital Markets Forest Products Investor Day INVESTOR PRESENTATION April 16, 2015 Toronto, Ontario 2 This presentation and comments

35

Earnings Sensitivity to Key Variables (2014)

Estimated Earnings Sensitivity to Key Variables 1

(based on 2014 production - $ millions)

Factor Variation Change in pre - tax e arnings

Lumber price US$ 1 0 ( per Mfbm ) 61

Plywood price Cdn $ 1 0 ( per Msf ) 8

NBSK price US$ 1 0 ( per tonne ) 5

BCTMP price US$ 1 0 ( pe r tonne ) 7

U.S. – Canadian $ exchange rate 2 US$0.01 ( per Cdn $ ) 24

1. Each sensitivity has been calculated on the basis that all other variables remain constant and assumes year end foreign exchange rates.

2. Excludes exchange impact of translation of U. S. dollar - denominated debt and other monetary items. Reflects the amount of the initial

US$0.01 change; additional changes are substantially, but not exactly, linear.