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Rand Water
12 November 2010
Strategic Plan and Budget and Annual Financial Statements
Parliament 24 - 27 May 2011
1
Strategic Plan
2
The Architecture
National ParliamentDWANational Treasury Auditor General
Shareholder Compact
Honourable Minister, Edna Molewa
Corporate Business Plan
Rand Water Strategy
Vision
Mission
Strategic Objectives
KPAs
KPIs
Annual Report
Quarterly Reports
Annual
Assessment
of
Water
Boards
Reporting Formats
Page 3
Our Strategy
4
Strategic challenges1.
Sustainable tariff structure ‐
the new tariff structure/methodology
2.
Ageing infrastructure ‐rollout of Capex program within resource constraints
3.
Experiencing steep increases in input costs, i.e.. chemicals and
energy and fluctuations in steel prices
4.
Maintain and improve Rand Water’s credit profile
5.
Default risk by major municipalities
6.
Deteriorating raw water quality as a result of poor catchment management
7.
According to DWA – Gauteng, a gap in the supply of water between Phase 1 and Phase
2 of the LHWP is
expected.
– Strategic decisions by DWA with regards to these likely water shortages will require to be
communicated so that Rand Water can play a meaningful role.
8.
Rand Water is also looking forward to DWA providing direction with regards to the following
– Independent regulator: It is important for the regulator to assess and verify the current asset base
and future infrastructure requirements.
9.
Water Use licenses: Rand Water has experienced delays in the issuing of water licenses e.g. BG3 pipeline.
10.
There have been delays in issuing of results of Environmental Impact Assessments by Department of the
Environment.Page 5
Rand Water Budget
2011 / 2012
6
Salient Features1.
Compound revenue growth of 10% over the past 5‐
years;
2.
Volume growth of 2%;
3.
Accelerating input costs faster than tariffs increases
4.
Capex and Investment plan of R10bn
• Capex –
Bulk Water of R8bn
• Growth Investments of R2bn
5.
Improving profitability but returns still under
pressure;
6.
Borrowing costs capitalized to assets;
7.
Reducing cash reserves
Page 7
Budget Income Statement
Income Statement % Forecast % Budget2010 Growth 2011 Growth 2012
R’000 R’000 R’000 Sales - water sales 4,960,705 19% 5,914,079 13% 6,699,309 Cost of Sales - water purchases 2,435,412 14% 2,765,361 10% 3,030,894 Gross Profit 2,525,293 25% 3,148,718 17% 3,668,415 Other Revenue 77,106 -29% 54,505 50% 81,563
Variable Costs 857,867 32% 1,134,848 28% 1,458,249 Energy 687,543 30% 890,876 31% 1,164,474 Chemicals 170,324 43% 243,972 20% 293,775 Marginal Profit 1,744,532 19% 2,068,375 11% 2,291,729 Fixed Costs 1,395,956 2% 1,423,112 11% 1,585,536 Labour 911,643 2% 930,845 15% 1,067,098 Depreciation 165,671 11% 183,169 5% 191,967 Other Expenditure 318,642 -3% 309,098 6% 326,471
Total Operating Costs 2,253,823 13% 2,557,960 19% 3,043,785 Income from Operations 348,576 85% 645,263 9% 706,193 Post Retirement Benefit 25,583 7% 27,273 -6% 25,583 Income Before Net Interest 322,993 91% 617,990 10% 680,610 Net Interest (7,871) 125% (17,686) -100% 0 Net income/(loss) from Primary Activities 315,122 90% 600,304 13% 680,610 Other Activities - (Profit)/Loss (1,920) 337% (8,395) 177% (23,238)Net income/(loss) 317,042 92% 608,699 16% 703,848
Page 8
Customer Historical demand Projected Demand Growth
Code Name 1995 2000 2006 2010 2015 2020 2025 2006 to 2025
Ml/d Ml/d Ml/d Ml/d Ml/d Ml/d Ml/d %
9000 Johannesburg Water 852 1061 1295 1427 1623 1795 1922 2.10%9001 Ekurhuleni 599 631 782 866 972 1072 1162 2.11%9002 City of Tshwane 399 414 499 553 615 679 738 2.08%9003 Emfuleni 159 182 182 197 216 235 253 1.75%9004 Mogale City 60 53 64 68 73 79 85 1.50%9005 Metsimaholo 48 46 51 53 55 58 61 1.00%9006 Rustenburg 34 45 66 75 87 100 116 3.00%9007 Govan Mbeki 45 40 50 54 60 66 73 2.00%9008 Midvaal 12 30 23 34 46 48 50 4.25%9009 Merafong 23 21 23 24 26 27 28 1.00%9010 Randfontein 21 26 22 23 24 25 27 1.00%9011 Westonaria 12 11 14 15 16 16 17 1.00%9012 Lesedi 11 11 13 13 14 16 17 1.50%9013 Ngwathe 0 3 5 5 6 7 8 3.00%9014 Kungwini 0 0 9 19 30 48 69 11.36%9015 Delmas 0 2 2 12 14 16 19 12.82%9016 Tshwane 0 54 64 68 73 78 83 1.40%9017 Royal Bafokeng 0 0 7 8 9 11 14 4.00%9019 Thembisile 0 0 2 25 28 30 34 16.30%
Mining 219 209 229 242 261 281 303 1.50%All other users 34 34 44 49 57 66 76 3.00%Meters < 100 mm 13 13 13 14 14 15 16 1.00%Total 2540 2886 3457 3843 4318 4769 5172 2.14%
9
Projected peak day demands to 2035
Station Available capacity
Add capacity
Year to augment
Projected peak day demands
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Zuikerbosch 3900 1200 2016 3910 4500 4030 4550 4080
Vereeniging 1400 Nil 1400 1400 1400 1400 1400
Clarens P/line
Nil 1000 2025 1000 1000 2000
Eikenhof 2000 Nil 1400 1550 1700 1840 1980
Zwartkopjes 800 200 2013 700 760 820 880 930
Palmiet 1870 600 2015 1880 2100 2300 2500 2700
Mapleton 960 300 2016 920 1040 1140 1240 1340
10
• Continuing business –
R8.4bn (2011:
R8.1bn)
• Growth investments –
R1.5bn (2011:
R1.9bn)
Pipeline41%
Co‐generation
4%
Plant25%
Resevoirs1%
Pumping15%
Bulk sanitation
4% Other10%
Capital Expenditure over rolling 5‐year period
Growth Investments & Green Agendas
Bulk Sanitation
Co‐Generation
Page 11
5‐year Capital Expenditure Plan (R9.9 bn)
Column1 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Augmentation 852 1273 1405 1498 1493
Rehabilitation 536 330 275 230 238Movable assets 55 50 50 50 50Gowth 105 405 340 295 335
1,548 2,058 2,070 2,073 2,116
2012 Budget
12
Cash On Hand (2010 – 2011)
• Redemption Reserve for RW02 (Maturing in 2012)
R203m
• Liquidity Buffer (Credit rating requirement )
R500m
• Finance Capex
R100 m
Total
R803 million
13
Funding Sources
14
SUMMARY OF RAND WATER FORECAST CAPITAL EXPENDITURE FOR THE PERIOD 2011 TO 2016 INCLUDING GROWTH PROJECTSMotivation
IDR Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16A Augment infrastructure1 Brakfontein - Madibeng system Palmiet 2005 76 8 0 0 0 04 Vlakfontein - Mamelodi pipeline Mapleton 2005 82 67 50 50 0 06 BG3 pipeline Primary 2005 166 165 0 0 0 0
15 H14 pipeline partial re-route Palmiet 2007/8 44 1 0 0 0 019 Upgrade N7, N8 pipelines Mapleton 63 55 60 0 0 0
Subtotal existing augmentation projects 431 296 110 50 0 02 Klipfontein to Brakfontein pipeline Palmiet 2009 0 1 0 50 100 1003 Palmiet - Klipfontein augmentation Palmiet 2009 1 2 13 100 188 1505 L17 Van Dyk's Park - Brakpan Res Mapleton 2007 30 29 20 20 0 07 Sedimentation tanks at Zuikerbosch Primary 2008/9 3 42 105 100 100 1008 Palmiet Engine Room 3b Palmiet 2009 1 3 90 90 90 769 Weltevreden - Cosmo City pipeline Eikenhof 2009 2 3 20 20 20 0
10 Kwagaspoort - Gomsand pipeline Palmiet 2007 1 1 30 30 30 811 Zuikerbosch to Palmiet pipeline Palmiet 2008 25 276 250 150 150 4912 Zuikerbosch filter blocks Primary 2008/9 0 20 130 130 120 10013 Variable speed drives All 0 0 0 0 0 014 B11 duplication & associated works Primary 2009 5 52 40 40 30 3016 Van Dyk Park - Rynfield duplication Mapleton 2009 0 1 75 75 50 2517 Zuikerbosch scheme Primary 2009 0 20 200 400 400 50018 Mapleton station upgrade Mapleton 2009 0 0 0 0 70 10020 Upgrade Zwartkopjes - Meyer's Hill system Zwartkopjes 2009 1 5 70 50 50 021 Zuikerbosch - Slangfontein pipeline Mapleton 2009 0 1 0 0 0 12522 Waterval to Weltevreden pipeline Eikenhof 0 0 0 0 0 3023 Amanzimtoti expansion - phase 1 & 2 Primary 0 20 20 0 0 024 Other augmentation projects All 60 80 100 100 100 100
Subtotal new augmentation projects 129 556 1163 1355 1498 1493Total for new and existing augmentation projects 560 852 1273 1405 1498 1493
Project (1) System (2) Forecast cashflow (Rm) as at 21 April 2011
15
B Rehabilitation1 Cathodic Protection All 30 32 20 20 20 02 Zwartkopjes Forest Hill system Zwartkopjes 2005 2 0 20 20 0 05 Roodepoort booster system upgrade Eikenhof 0 0 0 0 0 06 O2 pipeline + O1/G25 pipeline Palmiet 2006 10 7 10 0 0 07 Zwartkopjes pipework upgrade Zwartkopjes 34 6 0 0 0 08 Central sludge 2 at Zb upgrade Primary 35 16 20 0 0 0
15 Zk disinfection plant upgrade Zwartkopjes 25 11 0 0 0 0Subtotal existing rehabilitation projects 136 72 70 40 20 0
3 Zwartkopjes - East Rand system Zwartkopjes 2007 100 45 40 40 40 404 B7 pipeline Eikenhof 47 120 0 0 0 09 Vereeniging upgrade Primary 1 1 50 50 50 48
10 Vereeniging - Zwartkopjes system Zwartkopjes 0 0 0 0 0 011 B6 pipeline Palmiet 0 5 50 25 0 012 Bitumen replacement All 0 0 20 20 20 2013 BG1, BG2 pipelines Primary 0 0 0 0 0 014 B1, B2 pipelines Zwartkopjes 0 1 0 0 0 3017 Zuikerbosch filter house 1 upgrade Primary 2008 0 0 0 0 0 018 Other rehabilitation projects All 275 292 100 100 100 100
Subtotal new rehabilitation projects 423 464 260 235 210 238Total for new and existing rehabilitation projects 559 536 330 275 230 238Total for RW bulk water supply system 1119 1388 1603 1680 1728 1731
C GROWTH PROJECTSInvestments
1 Emfuleni bulk sanitation scheme Sebokeng WWTW upgrade 0 75 75 75 75Upgrade selected sewage pump stations 15 25 30 20 20New regional WWTW scheme 0 75 75 100 100
2 Mpumalanga municipal support Upgrade bulk water systems 0 15 30 50 70Upgrade bulk sanitation systems 0 15 30 50 70
CAPEX4 Co-generation 90 200 100
Total for growth projects 105 405 340 295 335
D Movable assets 60 55 50 50 50 50Total 1179 1548 2058 2070 2073 2116
16
Key Performance Areas
17
Performance results 2010Performance objective Key performance indicator Target Result
Financial performance Net profit margin >6.3% 7.7%
Financial performance Gross margin >51.3% 50.96%
Financial performance Asset turnover >76.4% 74.91%
Financial performance Return on assets >4.0% 4.63%
Financial performance Debt Equity <14.9% 14.0%
Financial performance Current ratio >1.72 times 1.53 times
Financial performance Manage costs within budget <5.0% 4.9%
Financial performance Surplus targets met <10.0% 4.37%
Operational performanceWater lost as a % of total water produced <4.0% 3.2%
Operational performanceNo of days supply disrupted divided by total supply days 0% 0%
Operational performance Capital expenditure R1 billionR935
millionPage 18
Performance results 2010
Performance objective Key performance indicator Target Result
Internal audit report No of repeat findings 0 11
Bulk supply agreements% of customers with bulk supply agreements 100% 100%
Product quality Compliance with SANS 241 Class 1 >95% 99.27%
Product quality Compliance with SANS 241 Class 2 >97% 99.96%
Compliance Unqualified audit report Unqualified Unqualified
Compliance Statutory submissions made on time Deadlines metDeadlines
met
Board performance Annual performance assessment >75% 94.58%
Optimal staff retention % of staff leaving <5% 3.06%
Commercial equity Increase BBBEE spend >75% 81%
Employment equity ACI in management positions 80% 93.62%
Employment equity Women in management positions >45% 36.17%Page 19
Priority Areas
2011 / 2012
20
21
Priority Areas
Presidential Outcomes
Quality and
quantity of
Raw Water
Bulk Sanitation
Growth Initiatives Top 10
Risk
Organizational Preparedness
RAND WATER 2030
RAND WATER STRATEGY
RW Academy
21
Annual Report and
Financial Statement
22
for the year ended30 June 2010
R million
Restated2009
R million
Restated2008
R million
Revenue 4 997 4 648 4 274
Net operating expenses 4 511 3 955 3 299
EBITDA 486 693 975
Depreciation and amortization 168 180 176
Profit from operations before net finance costs 318 513 799
Net investment income (11) 74 39
Taxation (5) (5) 2
Net Profit for the year
302 582 840
Consolidated income statement
‐
2,000
4,000
6,000
48%
50%
52%
54%
56%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Revenue GP%
582387
195
84 1
302
0100200300400500600700
2009 NP Energy Net interest
Other 2010 NP
Page 23
Page 24
for the year ended 30 June2010
R million
Restated2009
R million
Restated2008
R million
EQUITY AND LIABILITIES
Capital and Reserves 6 222 5 925 5 339
Non-current liabilities 948 860 946
Borrowings 630 728 729
Post-retirement benefit obligation 254 229 229
Statement of financial position
Post-retirement Medical Benefits
Pensioners 113 94 127
Rand Water employees 162 135 120
Financial Results 2010Financial Results 2010
• The post retirement medical aid benefit actuarial loss for 2010 year is R26m (2009: R13m)
• The post retirement medical aid benefit actuarial loss for 2010 year is R26m (2009: R13m)
Analysis of capex spending for 2009/10
• Augmentation
R386m
• Refurbishment
R488m
• Moveable assets R31m
• Intangible assets R5m
25
Rand Water Tariff
2011 / 2012
26
Rationale for tariff increment
11.2%
• Rand Water has followed a consistent rationale for increasing its tariff over the years.
• This rationale has been based on assessing the Rand Water internal rate of inflation.
• This is a projection of the expected increase in total costs.
• A breakdown of the total costs and their overall expected rate of price increase is then proposed as the proposed tariff increment.
9.7%
6.1%
5.1%
5.8%4.6%
7.9%
9.8%
8.7%9.0%
5.7%5.3%
5.0%
4.5%
5.6%
8.3%
14.1%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
HistoricalTariff Increment (2004 - 2011)
Cost of Raw Water (Ex 1 April)
Rand Water Tariff
Page 27
11.2%
Energy Costs
Rand
Water
has
to
take
into
consideration tariff increments of 24.8 per cent
:
201125.2 per cent
:
201226.1 per cent
:
2013 This
is
a
huge
imposition
on
Rand
Water
input
costs
which
many
customers
struggle to understand.
Rand
Water
receives
its
energy
from
Eskom
as
well
as
three
other
municipalities. This therefore means that
Rand
Water
still
has
to
pay
an
additional
energy
tariff
increase
from
the
three
municipalities
over
and
above
the
25.2
per
cent
energy
increase. A
historical
trend
analysis
shows
that
these
municipalities
have
increased
an
additional
12.5
per
cent
over
the
tariff
imposed by Eskom.
Page 28
~ 2011 / 12Price Forecast Percent Weighted
Year-End ~ 30 June increase ~ 2011 / 12 of total% R m % %
TCTA 11.3% 2420 38.9% 2.9%DWA -8.6% 494 7.9% 0.6%Raw Water 7.4% 2913 46.8% 3.4%Energy - Eskom 25.2% 620 10.0% 2.5%Energy - Municipalities 37.7% 558 9.0% 3.4%Chemicals 10.0% 269 4.3% 0.4%Multi-Partnered Uncontrollable Costs 4360 70.1% 9.8%Labour 10.7% 1058 17.0% 1.8%Interest 11.0% 133 2.1% 0.2%Other 10.0% 672 10.8% 1.1%Total 6223 100.0% 12.9%
Target bulk tariff increase 12.9%
Bond Raised (R m) 963
Rand Water Tariff = Rand Water Internal Inflation
Page 29Therefore Rand Water’s tariff for 2011 – 12 is 12.9%
11.2%
SALGA Comments
1.
Methodology applied in the Corporate
Business
Plan
is
not
the
same
as
the
methodology applied in tariff setting
Page 30
1.
On
the
contrary,
the
same
methodology
has
been
applied consistently.
Rand Water Response
2.
Rand Water cost increments are not in
line
with
inflation
and
do
not
demonstrate cost efficiencies
2.
Energy
increments
(in
particular
from
local
councils)
exceed inflation. In fact, total cost increments are lower
than
price
increments,
i.e..
efficiency.
SALGA’s
comments
acknowledge
the
increasing
poor
quality
of
raw water. Compliance with effluent standards is a direct
local
council
responsibility,
which
approximately
85
per
cent of local municipalities are failing to monitor.
3.
Chemicals
inflation
for
Rand
curiously
doubles
from
2009
to
2010
and
then
remains
constant
and
this
anomaly
is
suspected to be an error.
3.
Erratic
rainfall
patterns
and
increasing
poor
quality
of
raw
water
are
projected
to
affect
chemical
costs.
Local
councils
need
to
play
a
more
active
role
in
monitoring
effluent discharge.
4.
Rand Water does not avoid the capital
expenditure
for
new
augmentation
schemes
by
spearheading
initiatives
to
incur
the
relatively
low
cost
water
loss
management
activities.
Control
and coordination
4.
Rand
Water
actively
pursues
technologies
which
reduce
water
loss.
Therefore,
Rand
Water’s
water
losses
are
below
4
per
cent.
International
targets
are
btn
12
– 15
percent.
Water
losses
at
local
municipal
level
are
about
30
per
cent.
Rand
Water
has
offered
to
assist
municipalities,
but
they
are
at
liberty
to
refuse
this
assistance.
After extensive consultation and review with Rand Water, National Treasury and
DWA recommended Rand Water’s tariff of 12.9 per cent.
These
are
some
of
SALGA’s
comments.
The
remaining
comments
have
been
addressed
in
the
presentation
Thank You
P
ag
e