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Rainer Diercks Petrochemicals The Heart of BASF’s …...NGL price drop drives shift to lighter cracker feed slates, defining cracker competitiveness Key facts Crude Oil WTI Natural

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  • Petrochemicals The Heart of BASF’s Verbund

    Rainer Diercks

    President Petrochemicals Division Investor Day Chemicals segment May 22, 2014

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 2

    Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements

    This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realized from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation and supply and demand. BASF has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and BASF does not undertake any duty to update the forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 3

    ► Cost advantages through feedstock flexibility Example: Port Arthur cracker,

    On-purpose propylene production

    ► Global footprint with focus on emerging markets Example: Acrylic acid Nanjing, China and Camaçari, Brazil

    ► Technology leadership Example: Isononanol Maoming, China

    ► Outstanding plant performance through operational excellence Example: Acrylic acid process optimization

    Key success factors:

    BASF Corp., Freeport, US BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 3

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 4

    Functional Materials & Solutions 23%

    Performance Products 21%

    Agricultural Solutions 7%

    Chemicals 23%

    Oil & Gas 20%

    €74 billion

    Petrochemicals accounts for 11% of BASF Group’s third-party sales

    Other 6%

    Petrochemicals 11%

    BASF Group third party sales 2013

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 5

    BASF Petrochemicals – “Heart of the Verbund”

    Our mission “Excellence in Petrochemicals” Reliable partner and supplier to BASF’s value chains to external customers

    BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 5

    BASF SE, Syngas plant Ludwigshafen, Germany

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 6

    BASF Petrochemicals – Portfolio

    Acrylic acid: #1 globally

    Acrylic acid

    Alcohols & Derivatives

    Oxo alcohols: #1 globally

    Solvents: #2 Europe

    Cracker products

    C2: #14 globally C3: #13 globally

    (#): Market position in 2012

    EO & glycols: #2 in Europe PO & glycols: #3 in Europe

    Alkylene oxides & Glycols

    Main Competitors

    Evonik Eastman

    Arkema

    Ineos

    Lyondell Basell

    Sinopec

    Sabic

    Dow

    Exxon Mobile

    Shell

    Nippon Shokubai

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 7

    Alkylene Oxides

    BASF Petrochemicals The starting point for BASF’s downstream businesses

    Market Plastics & Rubber Construction Automotive Food Agriculture Chemical Ind.

    BASF Verbund Performance Products Functional Materials

    & Solutions Agricultural

    Solutions Chemicals

    Cracker products & Industrial gases

    Alcohols & Deriv.

    * Volume

    Acrylics

    BASF SE, Steamcracker Antwerp, Belgium

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 8

    Cracker products Ethylene Propylene Raffinates Butadiene Benzene

    Industrial gases Synthesis gas Carbon monoxide Hydrogen Oxygen

    Acrylic acid Standard acrylates Specialty acrylates

    Butanol C8/C9/C10 alcohols Solvents Hexamoll® DINCH®

    Ethylene oxide Propylene oxide Glycols &

    specialties

    BASF Petrochemicals The starting point for BASF’s downstream businesses

    Market Plastics & Rubber Construction Automotive Food Agriculture Chemical Ind.

    BASF Verbund Performance Products Functional Materials

    & Solutions Agricultural

    Solutions Chemicals

    * Volume

    Acrylics

    Alcohols & Deriv.

    Alkylene Oxides

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 9

    .

    Production sites

    Antwerp Moerdijk

    Singapore

    Geismar Freeport

    Guaratinguetá

    Ludwigshafen

    BASF Petrochemicals Strong global footprint

    Port Arthur

    West Memphis Cornwall

    Pasadena Tarragona

    Meaux

    Steam cracker

    Kuantan

    Nanjing

    Camaҫari

    Specialties

    Maoming

    Under construction

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 10

    .

    Maoming

    Antwerp Moerdijk

    Singapore

    Geismar Freeport

    Guaratinguetá

    Ludwigshafen

    BASF Petrochemicals Strong global footprint, strong partnerships

    Port Arthur

    West Memphis Cornwall

    Pasadena Tarragona

    Meaux

    Nanjing

    Kuantan

    Camaҫari

    Production sites

    Steam cracker Specialties

    Under construction

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 11

    BASF Petrochemicals Business development

    Consolidated sales in billion €

    Key facts

    * IFRS restatement; figures exclude BASF-YPC Nanjing (China), Tarragona (Spain)

    IFRS 10/11 impact on sales: Verbund site Nanjing, China and Tarragona, Spain are

    only accounted for at-equity (Sales: -€1.5 billion)

    Profitability: – In 2008 & 2009, earnings

    drop due to global economic crisis

    – In 2010/2011, peak margins in several businesses supported by product shortage

    – In 2013, significant earnings improvement

    Estimated sales ex Nanjing & Tarragona

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    2004 2006 2008 2010 2012R*

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 12

    New Steam cracker (JV with Total)

    Joint Verbund site BASF & Sinopec

    Steam cracker expansion

    Acrylic acid plant

    BASF Petrochemicals Significant investments to build a global asset base (2000-2013)

    Kuantan Port Arthur

    Sabina C4-Complex (JV with Total & Shell)

    2000 2001 2004 2005 2007 2008 2012

    Joint Verbund site BASF & Petronas

    Antwerp Nanjing

    2009 2010 2006 2011

    Expansion of Verbund site

    Nanjing Port Arthur Antwerp

    HPPO Antwerp

    Antwerp

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 13

    Expansion syngas plant

    New world-scale isononanol plant

    BASF Petrochemicals Investing in profitable growth

    Port Arthur

    New acrylics complex (AA, BA)

    2014 2015

    Improvement of feedstock flexibility/ capacity increase

    Ludwigshafen Maoming

    2019

    Ludwigshafen Nanjing Antwerp Nanjing

    New butadiene extraction unit

    Expansion EO plant

    New acrylics complex

    New Hexamoll® DINCH® plant

    North America

    On-purpose propylene production

    2013

    Camaçari

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 14

    * Market growth

    *

    *

    High raw material

    costs High energy costs

    Strengthen

    competitiveness via – Verbund, Innovation – Tech. leadership – Operationalexcellence

    Limited access to oil and gas Coal, renewables

    Invest in emerging markets to support downstream growth via strategic partnerships

    Favorable feedstock conditions Limited local demand

    No petrochemical Verbund investments foreseen

    Invest in feed flexibility: benefit from shale gas Strengthen downstream

    competitiveness

    Competitive raw materials due to shale gas

    BAS

    F Fe

    edst

    ock

    BASF Petrochemicals Regional differences

    *

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 15

    Price development of oil/gas

    Shale gas boom in the US Significant advantage through lower energy and feedstock cost

    Increased US shale gas production disconnects crude oil prices from natural gas prices in North America

    Production of natural gas liquids (NGLs) such as butane, propane, ethane increases

    NGL price drop drives shift to lighter cracker feed slates, defining cracker competitiveness

    Key facts

    Crude Oil WTI

    Natural Gas

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    10

    15

    20

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020Source: IHS Inc. The use of this content was authorized in advance by IHS. Any further use or redistribution of this content is strictly prohibited without written permission by IHS. All rights reserved.

    Natural gas in US$/MMBTU

    Crude oil in US$/bbl

    Crude Oil WTI Natural Gas

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 16

    US Cracker margin Naphtha Margin in year 2000 = 100, normalized

    Shale gas boom in the US Feedstock cost advantage lifts cracker margins

    US cracker margins expected to stay strong

    Light feedstock continue to be advantaged

    Naphtha cracker margins likely to improve

    Feedstock flexibility is key for profit maximization

    Ethane LPG Naphtha

    Source: BASF

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

    Key facts

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 17

    Steam Cracker

    Condensates Ethane/Propane Butane/Naphtha

    Refinery (Butane-butene

    mixtures)

    Condensate Splitter C4 Complex

    Olefins Conversion Unit (OCU)

    Butenes

    Propylene Butadiene Alkylate Aromatics Ethylene

    Kerosene, Diesel, Gasoil

    Driving the Port Arthur cracker to be best in class in North America

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 18

    Modification of cracker allows for full feedstock flexibility

    * Joint venture: 60% BASF, 40% Total S.A.

    2009: Butane feed established 2013: Feed capability

    . expanded to ethane 2014: Capacity expansion

    ….. through addition of 10th …. furnace

    2015: Increase of ethane …… import capability

    World-scale cracker*: 1,040,000 mt/a ethylene Today, up to 90% light

    feedstock (ethane, propane, butane)

    Feedstock optimization on a day-to-day basis

    Timeline

    Key facts

    Driving the Port Arthur cracker to be best in class in North America

    BASF Corp., Port Arthur, US

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 19

    Key facts

    Significant improvement in EBITDA

    Benefiting from shale gas in North America On-purpose propylene production

    Propylene to methane spread expected to increase

    World-scale propylene plant based on competitive shale gas

    Methane-to-methanol-to-propylene technology

    Best-in-class technology – up to 20% lower total cost compared to next best technology

    Start-up planned for 2019 Replacement of propylene

    purchases through own production

    Strengthen C3 value chain

    3D plant view

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 20

    Largest producer of acrylic acid worldwide

    BASF capacity: 1,350,000 t/a*

    Market size of 5,300,000 t/a (in CAA** eq.)

    Acrylic acid demand expected to grow above GDP (2013-2020)

    Growth driven by emerging markets; rising middle class leads to increased demand for diapers, coatings & paints, adhesives, construction, textiles

    Source: BASF; * including new plant at BASF-YPC Nanjing; ** crude acrylic acid

    BASF position in acrylic acid market

    Key facts

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 21

    Continuous process innovation leads to best-in-class technology

    Source: BASF

    BASF with best-in-class acrylic acid process

    Proprietary technology, new process

    Leveraging BASF’s catalyst expertise; highly selective and efficient process catalysts

    Lower energy consumption

    Continuous productivity improvements; smart production increase by run-time extension and higher throughput

    Investment projects earn cost of capital even at hypothetical marginal producer price level

    Acrylic acid cash cost curve, China average cash costs 2014

    Cas

    h co

    sts

    BAS

    F

    clas

    sic

    proc

    ess

    BAS

    F

    new

    pro

    cess

    Production capacity

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 22

    .

    World-scale acrylic acid plant: 160,000 mt/a

    Start-up in April 2014

    Nanjing, China

    BASF ensures No. 1 position in acrylic acid

    Participating in emerging market growth Construction of world-scale acrylic acid plants in China & Brazil

    Camaçari, Brazil World-scale acrylic acid

    plant: 160,000 mt/a Start-up planned for Q4 2014

    Key facts High BASF internal demand BASF as first mover in Brazil Proprietary, best-in-class

    technology Significant cost synergies

    due to twin projects

    Antwerp

    Freeport

    Camaҫari

    Ludwigshafen Kuantan

    Nanjing

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 23

    Key facts

    Strengthen BASF’s position for higher oxo-alcohols

    * Joint venture: 50% BASF, 50% SINOPEC

    Access to emerging markets via technology leadership

    INA site Maoming/China

    World-scale isononanol (INA) plant in Maoming, China*

    Proprietary technology Start-up planned for 2015 Integrated into SINOPEC’s

    refinery and petrochemical complex

    First mover advantage Participate in strong market

    growth for next generation plasticizers in China such as DINP and Hexamoll DINCH

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 24

    World-scale isononanol (INA) plant in Maoming, China*

    Proprietary technology Start-up planned for 2015 Integrated into SINOPEC’s

    refinery and petrochemical complex

    First mover advantage Participate in strong market

    growth for next generation plasticizers in China such as DINP and Hexamoll DINCH

    * Joint venture: 50% BASF, 50% SINOPEC; ** 2-Ethylhexanol

    Leveraging technology leadership Cost structure of new higher oxo-alcohols plant in China

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    BASF, Maoming 2EH producers, China

    Isononanol & 2EH** cost comparison, 2013 2EH producers = 100, normalized

    BASF Isononanol economics below 2EH cash-cost level

    Source: BASF internal

    Key facts

    Full Cost Cash-Cost

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 25

    Process and catalyst optimization improving yields

    Reduced energy consumption in production

    Dedicated team for asset and turn-around management

    Design of special equipment (special reactors, divided wall columns)

    Smart debottlenecking with low or no investment

    Key focus areas

    Double digit million euros savings every year

    Operational excellence

    BASF SE, Acrylic acid plant, Antwerp, Belgium

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 26

    Optimization of process parameters lead to: – increased on-stream factor – higher production (+15%)

    w/o additional investment – lower energy consumption – reduced CO2 emissions Lower specific investment increases competitiveness

    Optimized Process

    Operational excellence Continuous improvement ensures cost leadership for acrylic acid

    Key facts

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 27

    50

    100

    150

    200

    2004 2006 2008 2010 2012R*

    * IFRS restatement; numbers exclude BASF YPC Nanjing, Tarragona ** Consolidated sales

    BASF Petrochemicals 2004-2013 Index

    Operational excellence Despite significant investments fixed costs increased only slightly

    Sales impact of IFRS 10/11 changes Verbund site Nanjing, China and Tarragona, Spain are only accounted for at-equity (Sales: -€1.5 billion)

    CAGR 2004 – 2013 – Sales: 5.5% – Fixed Costs: 1.3%

    Sales** Fixed costs

    Key facts

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 28

    Sales growth based on increasing global footprint with focus on emerging markets

    Petrochemicals will continue to optimize EBITDA via:

    – Cost advantages through feedstock flexibility

    – Global footprint

    – Technology leadership through innovation

    – Operational excellence

    Consolidated sales in billion €

    0

    6

    12

    2004 2012 2013 2015E 2020E

    BASF Petrochemicals will continue to grow and optimize EBITDA

    Business outlook

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 29

    ► Cost advantages through feedstock flexibility

    ► Global footprint with focus on emerging markets

    ► Technology leadership

    ► Outstanding plant performance through operational excellence

    Key take-aways:

    BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 29

    BASF Corp., Freeport, US

  • BASF Investor Day Chemicals segment – Petrochemicals, May 22, 2014 30

    Petrochemicals�The Heart of BASF’s VerbundCautionary note regarding �forward-looking statements Foliennummer 3Petrochemicals accounts for 11% of BASF Group’s third-party sales BASF Petrochemicals – �“Heart of the Verbund”BASF Petrochemicals – Portfolio BASF Petrochemicals�The starting point for BASF’s downstream businessesBASF Petrochemicals�The starting point for BASF’s downstream businessesBASF Petrochemicals�Strong global footprintBASF Petrochemicals�Strong global footprint, strong partnershipsBASF Petrochemicals�Business developmentBASF Petrochemicals�Significant investments to build a global asset base (2000-2013)BASF Petrochemicals�Investing in profitable growthBASF Petrochemicals�Regional differencesShale gas boom in the US�Significant advantage through lower energy and feedstock costShale gas boom in the US�Feedstock cost advantage lifts cracker marginsDriving the Port Arthur cracker to be best in class in North AmericaFoliennummer 18Foliennummer 19BASF position in acrylic acid market Continuous process innovation leads to best-in-class technology Foliennummer 22Foliennummer 23Foliennummer 24Foliennummer 25Operational excellence�Continuous improvement ensures cost leadership for acrylic acidOperational excellence�Despite significant investments fixed costs increased only slightly BASF Petrochemicals will continue to grow and optimize EBITDAFoliennummer 29Foliennummer 30