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Success Story: Prominence of Independent Oil & Gas Companies
as global players
PWC Conference, AccraOctober 17, 2013
A.B.C. OrjiakoChairman, SEPLAT Petroleum Development Company
1
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements, particularly those regardingglobal and regional energy growth and sources of energy supply. Forward-lookingstatements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events, anddepend on circumstances, that will or may occur in the future. Actual results maydiffer depending on a variety of factors, including product supply, demand andpricing; political stability; general economic conditions; legal and regulatorydevelopments; availability of new technologies; natural disasters and adverseweather conditions; wars and acts of terrorism or sabotage; and other factorsdiscussed elsewhere in this presentation.
2
Content
Introduction 4 - 8
The Emergence of Independents (The Nigerian Case) 9 - 12
Capacity Building 13 - 16
Success Story – The SEPLAT example 17 - 20
Conclusion 21 - 22
3
The Independent Oil & Gas Companies have undoubtedly been part of the Global
Successes in the Energy Sector
There are several hundreds of Independents around the World today, but only a small
percentage of these are responsible for most of the contribution in the Global oil / gas
Supply and Demand Fundamentals
By Independents we mean those companies that are not counted among the Majors
(IOCs) or the NOC's - the so called medium to small size Producers.
For the purpose of this presentation, Global roles of these companies will be
acknowledged but with greater focus on Africa, with a good mention of our host
country Ghana. But emphasis will be on Nigeria and the corporate example will be
SEPLAT Petroleum Development Company – for obvious reason.
Introduction
4
Introduction cont’d
Successes by the Independents are supported by the plethora of opportunities:
Rising Energy Demand
Other demanding investments for the Majors and NOC
Africa increasingly becoming more prominent source of oil and gas supply
o Increase in reserves and frequency of large discoveries.
o 132.4 billion barrels of oil & 513.2 TCF proved gas reserves in 2012
Rising numbers of Independent indigenous oil and gas players in the region.
Indigenous oil companies increasingly making significant contribution to national oil and
gas production / Reserves.
Indigenous companies impacting their local economies.
Asset Divestments by the IOCs
Government Policy Thrust
5
6
Snap Shot: Key Oil Countries in Africa
Africa’s largest oil producer and a key member ofOPEC….
… With over 42.1 years worth of reserves (Europe& Eurasia average – 22.4 years)
BillionBarrels
Kbpd
Years
Key Oil Countries in Africa (Proved Reserves in Billion barrels)
Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy, June 2013
12.2
47.1 4.3
1.5
12.7
37.2
1.7
2.0
1.6
Angola
Egypt
Libya
Algeria
NigeriaChad
Gabon
EquatorialGuinea
Rep. ofCongo
47.1
37.2
12.7 12.2
4.3 3.5 2.0
Libya Nigeria Angola Algeria Egypt South Sudan Gabon
2,417
1,784 1,667 1,509
295 283 245
Nigeria Angola Algeria Libya Republicof Congo
EquatorialGuinea
Gabon
86.9
50.042.1
40.7
22.3 20.0 19.4
Libya SouthSudan
Nigeria Chad Gabon Algeria Angola
3.5
1.5
Sudan
South Sudan
6
7
Snap Shot: Key Gas Countries in Africa
… and a leading exporter of gas to Far East Asiaand the West African sub-region
Tcf
Bcf/d
Key Gas Countries in Africa (Proved Reserves in Tcf)
Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy, June 2013
159.1
54.6 72.0
182.0
Egypt
Libya
Algeria
Nigeria
100.0
Tanzania
Mozambique
* Rovuma Basin is located offshore East Africa and straddles the territorial watersof Tanzania and Mozambique. Reserve estimates are based on majordiscoveries announced by companies operating in the region
182.0
159.1
100.0
72.054.6 44.3
Nigeria Algeria RovumaBasin*
Egypt Libya Other Africa
7.9
5.9
4.2 1.81.2
Algeria Egypt Nigeria Other Africa Libya
7
Capital Spend of Independents in Africa (2010 – 2012)
8
The graph above shows the capital expenditure by region for 34 small and mid-cap oil and gas companies in Africaover the last 3 years .
Capital expenditures by small and mid-cap Oil and Gas companies in Africa totaled US$39,512 billion during 2012;representing an increase of 20% from 2011 when the total reached US$32,897 billion
Source: Evaluate Energy
9
The Emergence of Independents (The Nigerian Case)
ONSHORE ACQUISITION SUCCESSES BY INDIGENOUS COMPANIES - THE GAME CHANGER
SEIZING THE OPPORTUNITY IN NIGERIA E&P
Discretionary Awards & Emergence of the Indigenous Programme – Early 90s – 99
Preferential access in the bid for new acreage
- Since 2003, the Government has favoured the allocation of acreage to indigenous companies during the bid rounds
- The Nigerian Content Act (2010) specifies that Nigerian independent operators be given first consideration in the award of oilblocks
Marginal field development programme
- Fields left fallow by the IOCs are farmed out to indigenous E&P companies , who are then granted preferential fiscal incentives
- 24 “marginal” licences were awarded in 2002 and a number of them have begun production – Platform, MidWestern Niger Delta
- Upcoming round expected to feature fields with large reserves
Preferred buyers in onshore and shallow waters IOC asset divestments
- Local companies / local company led-consortiums are expected to continue being the beneficiaries of divestitures ofonshore/shallow offshore oil blocks by the IOCs who favour deep-water acreage because of their natural advantage in terms oftechnology, experience and financial capacity
- Divestments driven by portfolio rationalization rather than underlying economics
Production Spilt (MM bbl)
Source: company data, IHS Herold(*) $/bbl based on recoverable oil resource estimated by RPS (Mid Case) (source: company press release). Gas reserves: estimate(**) OMLs 60-63 are predominantly gas. Acquisition also include offshore exploration assets and a stake in Brass LNG project
EV/2P
542 463 531 522
198 272320 292
28 45
4653
2008 2009 2010 2011NNPC/IOC JV Indigenous (Incl. NPDC) Others
4.9 4.6 4.8
1.7 -2.5
- -
4.4
8.4
8.1
1.2
4.1
OM Ls 4,
38, 41
OM L 42 (*) OM L 26 OM L 40 OM L 30 OM Ls 60-
63 (**)$/bbl $/boe $/bbl average $/boe average
4.8
Indigenous companiesare viewed as beingpivotal to thedevelopment of Nigeria’soil sector and thegovernment has showncommitment to promotingindigenous participationin E&P, institutingpolicies favourable toindigenous companies
9
10
11
12
Increasing ownership of onshore acreage by indigenouscompanies (Nigeria)
Since early 1990s the government ofNigeria has encouraged localparticipation in the oil & gas sectorinitially through discretionary Awards
Nigerian companies predominantlyfeatured in the oil licensing rounds in2000, 2005, 2006 and 2007, biddingfor onshore and offshore acreage,and current policies are expected tocontinue to provide support for thistrend
Additionally, recent divestments fromonshore assets by the IOCs to focuson offshore operations havebenefited the indigenous players
Indigenous companies (ex-NNPC/NPDC) now account forapproximately 6% of crude producedin Nigeria
(*) Oando Energy Resources’ economic interest in the assets is subject to completionSPDC: Shell Petroleum Development CompanyCNL: Chevron Nigeria Limited
OML 42Neconde
OML 26FHN
OML 34Niger Delta OML 30
Heritage/ Shoreline
OML 38SEPLAT
OPL2007Conoil
OML 41SEPLAT
OML 40Eland / Starcrest
OML 98Pan Ocean
OML 4SEPLAT
OPL 275CPC
Gulf of Guinea
OPL 283Centrica
OML 111NPDC
OPL 205Summit Oil
OPL 298NPDC
OPL 2006Sterling Global
BONNY
OML 59Conoil
OML 141Emerald
OML66NPDC
BRASS
FORCADOS
QUA IBO
ESCRAVOS
OPL233
OPL283ENI
OPL227EXPRESS
OPL287
OML109ATLAS
OML 62
OML 63
OML 61
OML 60
OML124SINOPEC
OPL290CONOIL
OML112 AMNI
OPL 234MONI PULO
OML 103Conoil
OPL 274Sahara
OML96Dubri
Warri
PortHarcourt
Other non-Indigenous Ownership
Other Indigenous Companies
Oil terminal
LNG terminal
Seplat (OPERATOR)
AGIP/Oando Energy Resources*
OML 95CNL JV OML 49
CNL JV
OML91
OML 89CNL JV
OML 79SPDC JV
OML 88CNL JV
OML 86CNL JV
OML 43SPDC JV
OML 46SPDC JV
OML 35SPDC JV
OML 32SPDC JV
OML 22SPDC JV
OML 58Elf
OML 17SPDC JV
OML 11SPDC JV
OML51
OML 13SPDC JV
OML 70Mobil
OML 99Elf
OML 72SPDC JV
OML 18SPDC JV
OML 33 & OML 29SPDC JV
OML 25SPDC JV
OML 24SPDC JV
OML 55CNL JV
OML 53CNL JV
OML 21SPDC JV
OML 20SPDC JV
OML 28SPDC JV
OML 31SPDC JV
OML 36SPDC JV OML 23
SPDC JV
OML 74SPDC JVOML 77
SPDC JVOML 71SPDC JV
OML 52CNL JV
12
Divestment by IOCs (Nigeria)
Other countries: government rounds have also opened upopportunities
Raising own finances and growing indigenous technicalcompetence.
From Carried Interest to Operatorship- AMNI, SHEBAH
From Marginal Fields to Acquisitions
Platform / Seplat, NPDR & WSP/ND West.
Marginal Fields Program a huge success
8 Operator/producers, only 2 TP’s
2 more closely behind.
5-fold reserve growth in BOE.
A new group of serious players to build on.
20% domestic production capacity (Crude Oil & Gas) by endof 2016 now looks achievable
CAPACITY BUILDING
13
Contribute to the nation’s production / reserve build-up aspirations.
Fill some critical value gap.
Participants benefit as they build their businesses through value
creation.
14
Why Indigenous Participation?
Growing numbers of indigenous technical expertise and business entrepreneurs
25 Indigenous oil companies contribute about 10% of Nigeria total production of2.5 million bpd – STILL GROWING.
Breaking new grounds and integrating value:-.
Monetisation of gas.
Small scale refining.
Better able to handle local communities.
Projections:
Next 5 years Indigenous companies will contribute 20% of the nation’s oil and
40% of domestic gas supply (Nigeria).
They are likely to be responsible for 100% supply for domestic refining by 2020.
IMPACT OF THE INDEPENDENTS
15
Unlock Small-Sized Reserves.
Feed the Domestic Market.
Long-term domestic energy security will come from indigenous companies
LPG (NDPR, Energia & Platform).
Natural Gas (Seplat, ND West & NPDC).
Refining (Dangote as frontier investor).
WHERE ARE THE WIN-WINS?
16
Success Story (The SEPLAT Example)
17
“To be a world class energycompany delivering premiumvalue to all stakeholders”
Four Key Factors of These Successes (TheSEPLAT Example)
Solid Corporate Governance & Best Practices Experience & Diverse Board
Strong Management Team and High Ethical Standards
Partnership & Stakeholder Value Creation The SEPLAT Community Engagement Model
Pro activity
Capacity Building & Empowerment
Inclusiveness / Participatory relationship
Clearly Defined Achievable Growth Strategy – The WinningStrategy Organic Growth
Accretive Acquisition
Gas Commercialisation
Verifiable Proven Track Record – Not by Chance18
SEPLAT in the COMMUNITY
19
GMOU SIGNING CEREMONY
SEPLAT BASE OFFICE, SAPELE
SEPLAT in the COMMUNITY
20
SKILL ACQUISITION SAFE MOTHERHOOD
EYE CAN SEE
SEPLAT PEARLS QUIZWATER PROJECTS
Security risks and political tensions.
Export pipelines and theft factor
Lack of enabling business infrastructure
Access to Finance & Cost Of Capital
National Governments
Policy Inconsistencies / uncertainties
Provision of enabling institutional, legislative and security conditions
Clear deliverables
Clear policy guidelines on processes and monitoring.
CHALLENGES
21
Indigenous Independent companies will increasingly continue to playsignificant roles:-
Increasing oil production and reserves
building local capacities and expertise.
Improving economies
More access to Assets by the Independents
Bid rounds anticipated
IOCs divestments & Asset rationalization
Collaboration between independents and National oil companies
Shared values/objectives
Win/win partnerships as part of the process
Clear policy guidelines on processes and monitoring
Conclusion…
22
References
Evaluate Energy
Africa Oil & Gas
Petroleum Intelligence Weekly
BP Statistical Review of World Energy, June 2013
Company data, IHS Herold
Crude Continent – Duncan Clarke, 2008
23
Thank you for your attention
24