PWC a Policy Roadmap for Europe - March 2010

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    PwC

    100% renewable electricityA 2050 vision and roadmap for Europe and North Africa

    March 2010

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    Slide 2

    100% renewable electricity: A 2050 vision and roadmap for Europe and North Africa

    PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

    March 2010

    Agenda

    Introduction1

    The 2010 / 2050 Transition and Roadmap2

    Conclusions and next steps3

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    Slide 3

    100% renewable electricity: A 2050 vision and roadmap for Europe and North Africa

    PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

    March 2010

    Good EU-wide policy

    cohesion and alignment

    What is the context and opportunity?

    Introduction

    Ageing infrastructure Security of supply Climate change

    Change in the makeupand structure of thepower sector

    ?An opportunity to achieve100% renewable electricity

    for Europe and North Africa

    Roadmap

    Need to stay within a2oC temperatureincrease

    1

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    Slide 4

    100% renewable electricity: A 2050 vision and roadmap for Europe and North Africa

    PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

    March 2010

    2010 / 2050: Todays starting point, tomorrows vision

    2010

    Demand challenges Power grid / power mix

    Imports / security of supply

    Emerging EU energy policy

    Power market structure

    REN electricity costs

    Fossil fuel subsidies

    2050

    Regional power system

    Decarbonised electricity generation

    Unified European power market unitedwith NA

    Most suitable sites / technologies

    Affordable electricity / no energypoverty

    Development of a Green market

    Introduction1

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    Slide 5

    100% renewable electricity: A 2050 vision and roadmap for Europe and North Africa

    PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

    March 2010

    A simplified market model

    Government

    Policy

    Investment &

    Finance

    Infrastructure

    & Planningh

    Market

    Structure

    Supply

    Chains

    Generation

    CapacityGrid

    CapacityDemand

    EnablingAreas

    DeliveryAreas

    Introduction1

    R&D

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    Slide 6

    100% renewable electricity: A 2050 vision and roadmap for Europe and North Africa

    PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

    March 2010

    Breaking down this down into manageable steps

    2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

    End-

    2010

    20122015

    2020

    2030

    2040

    2050

    %R

    ENgenera

    tioninpowersecto

    r

    100%

    50%

    75%

    25%

    Current

    state

    Long term

    milestones andvision

    Medium term milestones, linkinginto existing EU 2020 targets

    Short termmilestones

    Introduction1

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    Slide 7

    100% renewable electricity: A 2050 vision and roadmap for Europe and North Africa

    PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

    March 2010

    A roadmap to 2050

    Introduction1

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    Slide 8

    100% renewable electricity: A 2050 vision and roadmap for Europe and North Africa

    PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

    March 2010

    Key FindingsEnabling Area 1 Government Policy

    Permission processes and public concern

    Other EU Directives grid regulation

    Sharing best practice / lessons learned

    Building of institutional capacity across NAGrid

    General

    REN Directive (esp. Art 9, electricity imports)

    Setting of binding regional 2030, 2040 and 2050targets

    Long term policy, support schemes / incentives

    Development of further technical guidelines

    The 2010 / 2050 Transition and Roadmap2

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    Slide 9

    100% renewable electricity: A 2050 vision and roadmap for Europe and North Africa

    PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

    March 2010

    Key FindingsEnabling Area 2 Market Structure

    Harmonisation of grid regulation

    Increasing coordn between TSOs and Natl Grids

    Managing electricity supply and demand

    Supply chain constraints

    New entrant network connectionGrid

    General

    Regionalisation / unification of EU power markets

    Real time pricing and support schemes(dispatchability)

    Grid connection for REN electricity

    Increasing cooperation with North Africa

    The 2010 / 2050 Transition and Roadmap2

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    Slide 10

    100% renewable electricity: A 2050 vision and roadmap for Europe and North Africa

    PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

    March 2010

    Key FindingsEnabling Area 3 Finance & Investment

    Technology cost reductions

    Project proposal development

    HVAC and HVDC supply chain

    Energy efficiencyGrid

    General

    Accessing all sources of financing

    Information sharing, standardisation of tools

    Development of bespoke products e.g.insurance

    R&D and demonstration plant investments

    The 2010 / 2050 Transition and Roadmap2

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    Slide 11

    100% renewable electricity: A 2050 vision and roadmap for Europe and North Africa

    PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

    March 2010

    Key FindingsEnabling Area 4 Infrastructure & Planning

    Development of 3-5 regional Super Grids

    Demonstration projects (transmission)

    Reinforcing HVAC lines, new DC links to NorthAfrica

    North African grid developmentGrid

    Long term planning for regional grid expansion

    Mandate to introduce new technologies, supportR&D

    Commercial scale demo projects (generation)

    Natural and strategic decommissioning of FF plants

    General

    The 2010 / 2050 Transition and Roadmap2

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    Slide 12

    100% renewable electricity: A 2050 vision and roadmap for Europe and North Africa

    PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

    March 2010

    Key FindingsOther Opportunities and Consequences

    Governance and regulation

    Engagement with the public

    Other North African opportunities

    Cost reductionGrid

    General

    Security of supply

    Costs Environmental concerns

    Sustainable development

    Climate change

    The 2010 / 2050 Transition and Roadmap2

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    Slide 13

    100% renewable electricity: A 2050 vision and roadmap for Europe and North Africa

    PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

    March 2010

    What is the context and opportunity?

    Good EU-wide policy

    cohesion and alignment

    Ageing infrastructure Security of supply Climate change

    Change in the makeupand structure of the

    power sector

    ?

    An opportunity toachieve 100%renewable electricity

    for Europe andNorth Africa

    Need to stay within a

    2oC temperatureincrease

    Roadmap

    Conclusions and next steps3

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    This presentation has been prepared for general guidance on matters of interest only, and does not constituteprofessional advice. You should not act upon the information contained in this presentation without obtainingspecific professional advice. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is given as to the accuracy orcompleteness of the information contained in this publication, and, to the extent permitted by law,PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, its members, employees and agents do not accept or assume any liability,responsibility or duty of care for any consequences of you or anyone else acting, or refraining to act, in reliance onthe information contained in this publication or for any decision based on it.

    2010 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP. All rights reserved. 'PricewaterhouseCoopers' refers toPricewaterhouseCoopers LLP (a limited liability partnership in the United Kingdom) or, as the context requires, thePricewaterhouseCoopers global network or other member firms of the network, each of which is a separate andindependent legal entity. Design: 1000150_strategy design

    PwC

    PricewaterhouseCoopers

    Sustainability and Climate [email protected]

    +44 7711 828 845

    Gus Schellekens

    Thank you

    The report can be downloaded from: www.pwc.com and www.SuperSmartGrid.net