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1 Putting Advanced Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security Energy Security The Mobile Source Technical Review The Mobile Source Technical Review Subcommittee Subcommittee April 18, 2001 April 18, 2001 David Rodgers David Rodgers U.S. Department of Energy U.S. Department of Energy

Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

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Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security. The Mobile Source Technical Review Subcommittee April 18, 2001 David Rodgers U.S. Department of Energy. Overview. Why Use Alternative Fuels? What Alternative Fuel Vehicles are Available Now? - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

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Putting Advanced Transportation Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air Technologies to Work for Clean Air

and Energy Securityand Energy Security

Putting Advanced Transportation Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air Technologies to Work for Clean Air

and Energy Securityand Energy Security

The Mobile Source Technical Review SubcommitteeThe Mobile Source Technical Review Subcommittee

April 18, 2001April 18, 2001

David RodgersDavid Rodgers

U.S. Department of EnergyU.S. Department of Energy

The Mobile Source Technical Review SubcommitteeThe Mobile Source Technical Review Subcommittee

April 18, 2001April 18, 2001

David RodgersDavid Rodgers

U.S. Department of EnergyU.S. Department of Energy

Page 2: Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

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OverviewOverviewOverviewOverview

Why Use Alternative Fuels?Why Use Alternative Fuels? What Alternative Fuel Vehicles are Available Now?What Alternative Fuel Vehicles are Available Now? Alternative Fuel Vehicle R&D ChallengesAlternative Fuel Vehicle R&D Challenges Advanced AFVs and Hybrid VehiclesAdvanced AFVs and Hybrid Vehicles Vision for Transportation Deployment ProgramsVision for Transportation Deployment Programs Selected Transportation Deployment PoliciesSelected Transportation Deployment Policies The Energy Policy Act (EPACT)The Energy Policy Act (EPACT) Federal Promotion of Clean and Efficient VehiclesFederal Promotion of Clean and Efficient Vehicles

Why Use Alternative Fuels?Why Use Alternative Fuels? What Alternative Fuel Vehicles are Available Now?What Alternative Fuel Vehicles are Available Now? Alternative Fuel Vehicle R&D ChallengesAlternative Fuel Vehicle R&D Challenges Advanced AFVs and Hybrid VehiclesAdvanced AFVs and Hybrid Vehicles Vision for Transportation Deployment ProgramsVision for Transportation Deployment Programs Selected Transportation Deployment PoliciesSelected Transportation Deployment Policies The Energy Policy Act (EPACT)The Energy Policy Act (EPACT) Federal Promotion of Clean and Efficient VehiclesFederal Promotion of Clean and Efficient Vehicles

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Why Use Alternative Fuels?Why Use Alternative Fuels?Why Use Alternative Fuels?Why Use Alternative Fuels?

Petroleum DisplacementPetroleum Displacement Energy DiversityEnergy Diversity Air Quality ImprovementAir Quality Improvement Greenhouse Gas Emission ReductionsGreenhouse Gas Emission Reductions Domestic Economic DevelopmentDomestic Economic Development

Petroleum DisplacementPetroleum Displacement Energy DiversityEnergy Diversity Air Quality ImprovementAir Quality Improvement Greenhouse Gas Emission ReductionsGreenhouse Gas Emission Reductions Domestic Economic DevelopmentDomestic Economic Development

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Estimated World Oil SupplyEstimated World Oil SupplyEstimated World Oil SupplyEstimated World Oil Supply

Source: EIA, Long Term World Oil Supply, July 28, 2000.

Page 5: Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

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U.S. Transportation Oil DemandU.S. Transportation Oil DemandU.S. Transportation Oil DemandU.S. Transportation Oil Demand

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020

GAP

Source: Transportation Energy Data Book: Edition 19, DOE/ORNL-6958, September 1999, and EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2000, DOE/EIA-0383(2000), December 1999

Mil

lio

ns

of

Ba

rrel

s p

er

Day

Domestic Oil Production Heavy Trucks

Automobiles

Light Trucks

1990 2000 2010 2020 325 384 455 507

Highway Carbon Emissions(million metric tons)

Pas

sen

ger

Veh

icle

s

Page 6: Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

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Transportation Share of EmissionsTransportation Share of EmissionsTransportation Share of EmissionsTransportation Share of Emissions

Still a major contributor, despite Still a major contributor, despite reductions in new vehicle reductions in new vehicle emissions achieved over the last emissions achieved over the last decadedecade

CO

NOx

Lead

VOCs

CO2

Particulates

79%

53%

13%

44%

33%

25%

SO2

7%

Source: EPA

Page 7: Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

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Relative Greenhouse GasesRelative Greenhouse GasesRelative Greenhouse GasesRelative Greenhouse Gases

Vegetable Oils (Future Ethyl Ester)

Vegetable Oils (Methyl Ester)

Propane

Natural Gas

Methanol

Hydrogen (Renewable)

Hydrogen (From NG)

Ethanol (Future)

Ethanol (Now)

Electricity

Gasoline & Diesel Fuel

25 50 75 100

Zero

Zero or a Credit

Zero

Page 8: Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

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Summary of Present SituationSummary of Present SituationSummary of Present SituationSummary of Present Situation

The U.S. Transportation Sector:The U.S. Transportation Sector: Is 95% dependent on petroleum;Is 95% dependent on petroleum; Accounts for 67% of all U.S. petroleum use;Accounts for 67% of all U.S. petroleum use; Produces a significant share of U.S. pollutant releases;Produces a significant share of U.S. pollutant releases; Has major impacts on consumers, the economy, and the Has major impacts on consumers, the economy, and the

national trade balance;national trade balance; Currently has no readily available alternative to petroleum; Currently has no readily available alternative to petroleum;

andand Has limited infrastructure to support alternative fuels.Has limited infrastructure to support alternative fuels.

The U.S. Transportation Sector:The U.S. Transportation Sector: Is 95% dependent on petroleum;Is 95% dependent on petroleum; Accounts for 67% of all U.S. petroleum use;Accounts for 67% of all U.S. petroleum use; Produces a significant share of U.S. pollutant releases;Produces a significant share of U.S. pollutant releases; Has major impacts on consumers, the economy, and the Has major impacts on consumers, the economy, and the

national trade balance;national trade balance; Currently has no readily available alternative to petroleum; Currently has no readily available alternative to petroleum;

andand Has limited infrastructure to support alternative fuels.Has limited infrastructure to support alternative fuels.

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Alternative Transportation FuelsAlternative Transportation FuelsAlternative Transportation FuelsAlternative Transportation Fuels

ElectricityElectricity EthanolEthanol HydrogenHydrogen MethanolMethanol Natural GasNatural Gas

CompressedCompressed LiquefiedLiquefied

PropanePropane 100% Biodiesel100% Biodiesel P-SeriesP-Series

ElectricityElectricity EthanolEthanol HydrogenHydrogen MethanolMethanol Natural GasNatural Gas

CompressedCompressed LiquefiedLiquefied

PropanePropane 100% Biodiesel100% Biodiesel P-SeriesP-Series

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Alternative Fuel Vehicles Available NowAlternative Fuel Vehicles Available NowAlternative Fuel Vehicles Available NowAlternative Fuel Vehicles Available Now

ElectricElectric EthanolEthanol Natural GasNatural Gas PropanePropane

ElectricElectric EthanolEthanol Natural GasNatural Gas PropanePropane

Page 11: Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

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Electric VehiclesElectric VehiclesElectric VehiclesElectric Vehicles

Low EmissionsLow Emissions QuietQuiet At least 4% of new vehicles At least 4% of new vehicles

sold in California starting sold in California starting in 2003 must be EVsin 2003 must be EVs

Low EmissionsLow Emissions QuietQuiet At least 4% of new vehicles At least 4% of new vehicles

sold in California starting sold in California starting in 2003 must be EVsin 2003 must be EVs

ExpensiveExpensive Limited RangeLimited Range

ExpensiveExpensive Limited RangeLimited Range

Toyota RAV4Ford Ranger

Page 12: Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

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Ethanol VehiclesEthanol VehiclesEthanol VehiclesEthanol Vehicles

Low GHGsLow GHGs Less ReactiveLess Reactive

Low GHGsLow GHGs Less ReactiveLess Reactive

Subsidy Required to be Subsidy Required to be Cost CompetitiveCost Competitive

Few Refueling Stations Few Refueling Stations but Numbers Increasingbut Numbers Increasing

Subsidy Required to be Subsidy Required to be Cost CompetitiveCost Competitive

Few Refueling Stations Few Refueling Stations but Numbers Increasingbut Numbers Increasing

Ford Taurus Chrysler MinivanFord Ranger

Page 13: Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

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Natural Gas VehiclesNatural Gas VehiclesNatural Gas VehiclesNatural Gas Vehicles

Very Low EmissionsVery Low Emissions Good PerformanceGood Performance Lower Cost FuelLower Cost Fuel

Very Low EmissionsVery Low Emissions Good PerformanceGood Performance Lower Cost FuelLower Cost Fuel

Limited Range, but Limited Range, but Adequate for Most Adequate for Most ApplicationsApplications

Few Refueling StationsFew Refueling Stations Higher Cost VehicleHigher Cost Vehicle

Limited Range, but Limited Range, but Adequate for Most Adequate for Most ApplicationsApplications

Few Refueling StationsFew Refueling Stations Higher Cost VehicleHigher Cost Vehicle

Ford Crown Victoria Ford F-150

Honda Civic New Flyer D40 LF Bus

Page 14: Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

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Propane VehiclesPropane VehiclesPropane VehiclesPropane Vehicles

Low EmissionsLow Emissions Good PerformanceGood Performance Cost Similar to GasolineCost Similar to Gasoline

Low EmissionsLow Emissions Good PerformanceGood Performance Cost Similar to GasolineCost Similar to Gasoline

Few Typical Refueling Few Typical Refueling Stations, Many Potential Stations, Many Potential Places to RefuelPlaces to Refuel

Higher Vehicle CostHigher Vehicle Cost

Few Typical Refueling Few Typical Refueling Stations, Many Potential Stations, Many Potential Places to RefuelPlaces to Refuel

Higher Vehicle CostHigher Vehicle Cost

Ford F-150 Ford Club Wagon

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Alternative Fuel Vehicle R&D ChallengesAlternative Fuel Vehicle R&D ChallengesAlternative Fuel Vehicle R&D ChallengesAlternative Fuel Vehicle R&D Challenges

EV BatteriesEV Batteries Ethanol Production from CelluloseEthanol Production from Cellulose Reduce Natural Gas and Propane Vehicle CostReduce Natural Gas and Propane Vehicle Cost Expand Refueling InfrastructureExpand Refueling Infrastructure Hydrogen Production (for Fuel Cell Vehicles)Hydrogen Production (for Fuel Cell Vehicles)

EV BatteriesEV Batteries Ethanol Production from CelluloseEthanol Production from Cellulose Reduce Natural Gas and Propane Vehicle CostReduce Natural Gas and Propane Vehicle Cost Expand Refueling InfrastructureExpand Refueling Infrastructure Hydrogen Production (for Fuel Cell Vehicles)Hydrogen Production (for Fuel Cell Vehicles)

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Potential Future AFV TechnologyPotential Future AFV TechnologyPotential Future AFV TechnologyPotential Future AFV Technology

Hydrogen Fuel Cell VehiclesHydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicles Direct Methanol Fuel Cell VehiclesDirect Methanol Fuel Cell Vehicles High Efficiency Direct Injection Engines for Light- and High Efficiency Direct Injection Engines for Light- and

Heavy-Duty VehiclesHeavy-Duty Vehicles

Hydrogen Fuel Cell VehiclesHydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicles Direct Methanol Fuel Cell VehiclesDirect Methanol Fuel Cell Vehicles High Efficiency Direct Injection Engines for Light- and High Efficiency Direct Injection Engines for Light- and

Heavy-Duty VehiclesHeavy-Duty VehiclesFuel Cell Ford Focus Fuel Cell Mercedes A-Class

Page 17: Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

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Hybrid Passenger CarsHybrid Passenger CarsHybrid Passenger CarsHybrid Passenger Cars

Honda Insight

Toyota Prius DOE programs have spurred DOE programs have spurred interest in hybrid vehicle interest in hybrid vehicle technologiestechnologies

Two models currently availableTwo models currently available Toyota Prius (48 mpg)Toyota Prius (48 mpg) Honda Insight (64 mpg)Honda Insight (64 mpg)

Potential for very low emissionsPotential for very low emissions Represent a “Spin-Off” of Represent a “Spin-Off” of

technology developed for EVstechnology developed for EVs Good potential for petroleum Good potential for petroleum

conservationconservation

DOE programs have spurred DOE programs have spurred interest in hybrid vehicle interest in hybrid vehicle technologiestechnologies

Two models currently availableTwo models currently available Toyota Prius (48 mpg)Toyota Prius (48 mpg) Honda Insight (64 mpg)Honda Insight (64 mpg)

Potential for very low emissionsPotential for very low emissions Represent a “Spin-Off” of Represent a “Spin-Off” of

technology developed for EVstechnology developed for EVs Good potential for petroleum Good potential for petroleum

conservationconservation

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Vision for TransportationVision for TransportationDeployment ProgramsDeployment Programs

Vision for TransportationVision for TransportationDeployment ProgramsDeployment Programs

A sustainable alternative fuel infrastructureA sustainable alternative fuel infrastructure Widespread availability of AFV and ATV productsWidespread availability of AFV and ATV products True acceptance of diverse fuels and technologies in True acceptance of diverse fuels and technologies in

national/regional/local transportation portfoliosnational/regional/local transportation portfolios Cost-competitive technologies and fuels in a variety of Cost-competitive technologies and fuels in a variety of

marketsmarkets A diverse fuel supply for transportationA diverse fuel supply for transportation A change in societal norms leading to demand for clean A change in societal norms leading to demand for clean

and efficient vehiclesand efficient vehicles

A sustainable alternative fuel infrastructureA sustainable alternative fuel infrastructure Widespread availability of AFV and ATV productsWidespread availability of AFV and ATV products True acceptance of diverse fuels and technologies in True acceptance of diverse fuels and technologies in

national/regional/local transportation portfoliosnational/regional/local transportation portfolios Cost-competitive technologies and fuels in a variety of Cost-competitive technologies and fuels in a variety of

marketsmarkets A diverse fuel supply for transportationA diverse fuel supply for transportation A change in societal norms leading to demand for clean A change in societal norms leading to demand for clean

and efficient vehiclesand efficient vehicles

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Long-term OutcomesLong-term OutcomesLong-term OutcomesLong-term Outcomes

Billions of gallons of oil displaced or reducedBillions of gallons of oil displaced or reduced Thousands of tons of emission reductionsThousands of tons of emission reductions Tens of millions of AFVs and ATVsTens of millions of AFVs and ATVs Enhanced energy security and improved transportation Enhanced energy security and improved transportation

sustainabilitysustainability

Billions of gallons of oil displaced or reducedBillions of gallons of oil displaced or reduced Thousands of tons of emission reductionsThousands of tons of emission reductions Tens of millions of AFVs and ATVsTens of millions of AFVs and ATVs Enhanced energy security and improved transportation Enhanced energy security and improved transportation

sustainabilitysustainability

Page 20: Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

2020

Deployment StrategiesDeployment StrategiesDeployment StrategiesDeployment Strategies

Understand the marketUnderstand the market Develop and provide unbiased informationDevelop and provide unbiased information Offer technical and financial assistanceOffer technical and financial assistance Develop, issue, and enforce regulationsDevelop, issue, and enforce regulations Find and support partnersFind and support partners Conduct mission advocacyConduct mission advocacy

Understand the marketUnderstand the market Develop and provide unbiased informationDevelop and provide unbiased information Offer technical and financial assistanceOffer technical and financial assistance Develop, issue, and enforce regulationsDevelop, issue, and enforce regulations Find and support partnersFind and support partners Conduct mission advocacyConduct mission advocacy

Page 21: Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

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OTT Deployment PortfolioOTT Deployment PortfolioOTT Deployment PortfolioOTT Deployment Portfolio

Clean CitiesClean Cities: A voluntary Federal program designed to accelerate and : A voluntary Federal program designed to accelerate and expand the use of alternative fuel vehicles in communities across the countryexpand the use of alternative fuel vehicles in communities across the country

Testing and EvaluationTesting and Evaluation: In partnership with industry, validate the : In partnership with industry, validate the performance and emissions of near market-ready advanced technology performance and emissions of near market-ready advanced technology vehiclesvehicles

EPACT Replacement FuelsEPACT Replacement Fuels: To implement the requirements of EPACT, : To implement the requirements of EPACT, collect data, perform analysis, prepare reports to Congress, and prepare, issue, collect data, perform analysis, prepare reports to Congress, and prepare, issue, and enforce needed regulationsand enforce needed regulations

Advanced Vehicle CompetitionsAdvanced Vehicle Competitions: Student competitions, such as the : Student competitions, such as the FutureTruck Challenge and the Ethanol Challenge, provide an unparalleled FutureTruck Challenge and the Ethanol Challenge, provide an unparalleled education in automotive engineering and push the envelope of advanced education in automotive engineering and push the envelope of advanced vehicle technologiesvehicle technologies

Clean CitiesClean Cities: A voluntary Federal program designed to accelerate and : A voluntary Federal program designed to accelerate and expand the use of alternative fuel vehicles in communities across the countryexpand the use of alternative fuel vehicles in communities across the country

Testing and EvaluationTesting and Evaluation: In partnership with industry, validate the : In partnership with industry, validate the performance and emissions of near market-ready advanced technology performance and emissions of near market-ready advanced technology vehiclesvehicles

EPACT Replacement FuelsEPACT Replacement Fuels: To implement the requirements of EPACT, : To implement the requirements of EPACT, collect data, perform analysis, prepare reports to Congress, and prepare, issue, collect data, perform analysis, prepare reports to Congress, and prepare, issue, and enforce needed regulationsand enforce needed regulations

Advanced Vehicle CompetitionsAdvanced Vehicle Competitions: Student competitions, such as the : Student competitions, such as the FutureTruck Challenge and the Ethanol Challenge, provide an unparalleled FutureTruck Challenge and the Ethanol Challenge, provide an unparalleled education in automotive engineering and push the envelope of advanced education in automotive engineering and push the envelope of advanced vehicle technologiesvehicle technologies

Page 22: Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

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79 Designations79 Designations 2 new in 20002 new in 2000

» Baton RougeBaton Rouge

» Truckee MeadowsTruckee Meadows 3 Designations Scheduled in 20013 Designations Scheduled in 2001

» Triangle, NC (March 19)Triangle, NC (March 19)

» Twin Cities, MN (April)Twin Cities, MN (April)

» Vermont (June)Vermont (June) More than 4,400 stakeholdersMore than 4,400 stakeholders 115,000 AFVs 115,000 AFVs More than 5,000 refueling stationsMore than 5,000 refueling stations 102 million gallons of petroleum102 million gallons of petroleum

displaced per yeardisplaced per year 19,000 metric tons of emissions reduced per year19,000 metric tons of emissions reduced per year

79 Designations79 Designations 2 new in 20002 new in 2000

» Baton RougeBaton Rouge

» Truckee MeadowsTruckee Meadows 3 Designations Scheduled in 20013 Designations Scheduled in 2001

» Triangle, NC (March 19)Triangle, NC (March 19)

» Twin Cities, MN (April)Twin Cities, MN (April)

» Vermont (June)Vermont (June) More than 4,400 stakeholdersMore than 4,400 stakeholders 115,000 AFVs 115,000 AFVs More than 5,000 refueling stationsMore than 5,000 refueling stations 102 million gallons of petroleum102 million gallons of petroleum

displaced per yeardisplaced per year 19,000 metric tons of emissions reduced per year19,000 metric tons of emissions reduced per year

Clean Cities Program AccomplishmentsClean Cities Program AccomplishmentsClean Cities Program AccomplishmentsClean Cities Program Accomplishments

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Evolution of Deployment ActivitiesEvolution of Deployment ActivitiesEvolution of Deployment ActivitiesEvolution of Deployment Activities

ReducingReducing AFV emissions testingAFV emissions testing

AFV case studiesAFV case studies

Light-duty fleetsLight-duty fleets

Analysis of AFV optionsAnalysis of AFV options

Neat fuels onlyNeat fuels only

ReducingReducing AFV emissions testingAFV emissions testing

AFV case studiesAFV case studies

Light-duty fleetsLight-duty fleets

Analysis of AFV optionsAnalysis of AFV options

Neat fuels onlyNeat fuels only

IncreasingIncreasing Hybrid vehicle testingHybrid vehicle testing

Fuel-efficient vehiclesFuel-efficient vehicles

Niche marketsNiche markets

Analysis of future fuelsAnalysis of future fuels

Blended fuelsBlended fuels

IncreasingIncreasing Hybrid vehicle testingHybrid vehicle testing

Fuel-efficient vehiclesFuel-efficient vehicles

Niche marketsNiche markets

Analysis of future fuelsAnalysis of future fuels

Blended fuelsBlended fuels

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Selected Transportation Deployment PoliciesSelected Transportation Deployment Policies

InformationFinancial Incentives

Regulations & Standards

YearPolicy

1991 & 1996ISTEA & TEA-21

1992EPACT

1988AMFA

1975EPCA (CAFE)

Page 25: Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

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The Energy Policy ActThe Energy Policy ActThe Energy Policy ActThe Energy Policy Act

Set a goal – 10% by 2000 and 30% by 2010Set a goal – 10% by 2000 and 30% by 2010 Voluntary programsVoluntary programs Public InformationPublic Information Fleet mandatesFleet mandates Grants and incentivesGrants and incentives

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Assumptions in 1992 EPACTAssumptions in 1992 EPACTAssumptions in 1992 EPACTAssumptions in 1992 EPACT

Barriers to alternative fuels are primarily Barriers to alternative fuels are primarily informationalinformational

The vehicle mandates solves the chicken/egg problemThe vehicle mandates solves the chicken/egg problem Fleets are uniform, centrally refueled, and easily Fleets are uniform, centrally refueled, and easily

regulatedregulated Small tax incentives and grants are sufficient to push Small tax incentives and grants are sufficient to push

the marketthe market Fuel providers will be the leaders in AFV useFuel providers will be the leaders in AFV use Saying we have a goal is all that’s neededSaying we have a goal is all that’s needed

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Results Heading In Right DirectionResults Heading In Right DirectionResults Heading In Right DirectionResults Heading In Right Direction

0

50

100

150

200

250

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Mil

lion

GG

E o

f A

lter

nat

ive

Fu

el

Federal

State

Fuel Provider

Page 28: Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

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Other Parts of EPACT Working TooOther Parts of EPACT Working TooOther Parts of EPACT Working TooOther Parts of EPACT Working Too

Clean Cities has 80 participants - thousands of vehiclesClean Cities has 80 participants - thousands of vehicles Public information on AFVs widely availablePublic information on AFVs widely available Refueling stations have grown Refueling stations have grown Dozens of AFVs offered by OEMsDozens of AFVs offered by OEMs U.S. AFVS among the best in the worldU.S. AFVS among the best in the world

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But not good enough to meet the EPACT But not good enough to meet the EPACT 30% goal for 201030% goal for 2010

But not good enough to meet the EPACT But not good enough to meet the EPACT 30% goal for 201030% goal for 2010

30% is about 30-40 30% is about 30-40 Billion gallonsBillion gallons

Oxygenates in gasoline Oxygenates in gasoline are predicted to are predicted to continuecontinue

Existing EPACT fleets Existing EPACT fleets and other AFVs and other AFVs contribute about 0.4%contribute about 0.4%

Including Private & Including Private & Local Fleets in EPACT Local Fleets in EPACT could add at most 0.7% could add at most 0.7% by 2010by 2010 0

1

2

3

4

5

630

EPACT Fleets

Oxygenates in Gasoline

Other AF Vs

Private & Local Fleets

Perc

ent o

f 20

10 G

asol

ine

Con

sum

ptio

n

EPACT Goal

?????

Page 30: Putting Advanced Transportation Technologies to Work for Clean Air and Energy Security

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What Had to Have Happened to Meet What Had to Have Happened to Meet EPACT GoalsEPACT Goals

What Had to Have Happened to Meet What Had to Have Happened to Meet EPACT GoalsEPACT Goals

To meet the EPACT goals To meet the EPACT goals would have required:would have required: about 6% of all LDVs in about 6% of all LDVs in

2000 to be AFVs2000 to be AFVs about 35% of all new LDVs about 35% of all new LDVs

in 2000 and beyond to be in 2000 and beyond to be AFVsAFVs

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

1995 2000 2005 2010

Per

cent

of

New

LD

Vs

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Federal PromotionFederal Promotionof Clean and Efficient Vehicles of Clean and Efficient Vehicles

Federal PromotionFederal Promotionof Clean and Efficient Vehicles of Clean and Efficient Vehicles

Recognition of important Federal roleRecognition of important Federal role Regulation may be necessaryRegulation may be necessary Incentives may be necessaryIncentives may be necessary Consumer education will be necessaryConsumer education will be necessary

Comprehensive programComprehensive program Multiple market segmentsMultiple market segments Multiple technology optionsMultiple technology options

Coordination and partnershipCoordination and partnership Long term commitmentLong term commitment

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Contacts at the Department of EnergyContacts at the Department of EnergyOffice of Technology UtilizationOffice of Technology Utilization

Contacts at the Department of EnergyContacts at the Department of EnergyOffice of Technology UtilizationOffice of Technology Utilization

David RodgersDavid Rodgers Director, Tech. UtilizationDirector, Tech. Utilization 202-586-9118202-586-9118 [email protected]@hq.doe.gov

Linda BluesteinLinda Bluestein EPACT regulationsEPACT regulations 202-586-6116202-586-6116 [email protected]@hq.doe.gov

Shab FardaneshShab Fardanesh Federal fleetFederal fleet 202-586-7011202-586-7011 [email protected]@hq.doe.gov

Christy FickerChristy Ficker Green Vehicle PromotionGreen Vehicle Promotion 202-586-8791202-586-8791 [email protected]@hq.doe.gov

Shelley LauneyShelley Launey Clean Cities DirectorClean Cities Director 202-586-1573202-586-1573 [email protected]@hq.doe.gov

Dana O’HaraDana O’Hara EPACT regulationsEPACT regulations 202-586-8063202-586-8063 [email protected]@hq.doe.gov

TG PowellTG Powell Clean Cities & Student Clean Cities & Student CompetitionsCompetitions

202-586-8077202-586-8077 [email protected]@hq.doe.gov

Marcy RoodMarcy Rood Clean Cities & InternationalClean Cities & International 202-586-8161202-586-8161 Marcy.rood @hq.doe.govMarcy.rood @hq.doe.gov

Lee SlezakLee Slezak Testing & EvaluationTesting & Evaluation 202-586-2335202-586-2335 Lee.slezak @hq.doe.govLee.slezak @hq.doe.gov

Dennis SmithDennis Smith Clean Cities Niche MarketsClean Cities Niche Markets 202-586-1791202-586-1791 Dennis.smith @hq.doe.govDennis.smith @hq.doe.gov

Dorothy WormleyDorothy Wormley Clean Cities GrantsClean Cities Grants 202-586-7028202-586-7028 Dorothy.wormley @hq.doe.govDorothy.wormley @hq.doe.gov

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Resources at the Department of EnergyResources at the Department of EnergyResources at the Department of EnergyResources at the Department of Energy

Clean CitiesClean Cities 1-800-CCITIES1-800-CCITIES http://www.ccities.doe.govhttp://www.ccities.doe.gov

Alternative Fuels Data CenterAlternative Fuels Data Center Alternative Fuels Hotline 1-800-423-1363Alternative Fuels Hotline 1-800-423-1363 http://www.afdc.doe.govhttp://www.afdc.doe.gov

Fuel Economy GuideFuel Economy Guide http://www.fueleconomy.govhttp://www.fueleconomy.gov

EV and Hybrid Test DataEV and Hybrid Test Data http://www.ott.doe.gov/otu/field_ops http://www.ott.doe.gov/hevhttp://www.ott.doe.gov/hev

Clean CitiesClean Cities 1-800-CCITIES1-800-CCITIES http://www.ccities.doe.govhttp://www.ccities.doe.gov

Alternative Fuels Data CenterAlternative Fuels Data Center Alternative Fuels Hotline 1-800-423-1363Alternative Fuels Hotline 1-800-423-1363 http://www.afdc.doe.govhttp://www.afdc.doe.gov

Fuel Economy GuideFuel Economy Guide http://www.fueleconomy.govhttp://www.fueleconomy.gov

EV and Hybrid Test DataEV and Hybrid Test Data http://www.ott.doe.gov/otu/field_ops http://www.ott.doe.gov/hevhttp://www.ott.doe.gov/hev