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Public Opinion and Issues in Anne Arundel County: Leadership Anne Arundel Presentation January 20, 2011 Dan Nataf, PhD Director, Center for the Study of Local Issues Anne Arundel Community College 101 College Parkway Arnold, MD 21012 (410) 777-2733 (410) 777-4733 fax - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Public Opinion and Issues in Anne Arundel County: Leadership Anne Arundel PresentationJanuary 20, 2011
Dan Nataf, PhDDirector, Center for the Study of Local IssuesAnne Arundel Community College101 College ParkwayArnold, MD 21012(410) 777-2733(410) 777-4733 fax [email protected]
www2.aacc.edu/csli
2
LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011The Center for the Study of Local Issues: Overview
• CSLI – Part of Sarbanes Center for Public and Community Service
• Operating since 1978
• Mission: Provide students opportunities for engaged learning, community outreach
• Main activity: Public interest and client surveys/research each semester
3
LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 The Center for the Study of Local Issues: Overview
Surveys: Respondents randomly chosen from universe of listed telephone numbers combined with computer generated numbers
• Typical sample size: 400-900 respondents; students used as interviewers
• Topics: Each survey includes demographic and attitude/behavior questions, including such themes as:
– Economic conditions – Growth/Development– Transportation– Economic conditions– Education– Tax and spending preferences– Policy preferences
• Visit CSLI’s web site for previous surveys (www2.aacc.edu/csli)
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LAA Presentation – Feb. 28, 2009 Main Issues for Today
– County - Right/Wrong direction– Most important problems– Economic conditions– Perceptions of the future– Tax and spending preferences– Housing– Crime– Immigration
LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 Main Issues for Today (or as far as we get!)
57 5458 55
6266
60 61 6258 58
5357 55
51 52 51 50 5247
52 52 49
2327 25 24 23
15
2621
2531
2429 27 26 29 27
33 32 31 28 27 28 2820 19 17 20
1519
1418
13 1219 18 16 18 20 21
16 17 1725
21 20 23
Right 51
Wrong 34
Unsure 15
05
10152025303540455055606570
Sp '9
9
Fa '9
9
Sp '0
0
Fa '0
0
Sp '0
1
Fa '0
1
Sp '0
2
Fa '0
2
Sp '0
3
Fa '0
3
Sp '0
4
Fa '0
4
Sp '0
5
Fa '0
5
Sp '0
6
Fa '0
6
Sp '0
7
Fa '0
7
Sp '0
8
Fa '0
8
Sp '0
9
Fa '0
9
Sp '1
0
Fa '1
0
Right Wrong Unsure
Remarkable stability in right/wrong direction…
LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 County – Right/Wrong Direction
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Fall '04 Spring '05
Fall '05 Spring '06
Fall '06 Spring '07
Fall '07 Spring '08
Fall '08 Spring '09
Fall '09 Spring '10
Fall '10 Mean 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
8 7 7
15
7
128
23
38
48
3336 36
20
1013
10 10 9
1517 16
1210
12 1113 12
Economy still top problem, but mostly unchanged since March 2009
Economy /Housing Taxes – too high Growth /developmentEducation / Traffic congestion /problems Crime / drugs
LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 County – Most Important Problem
Percentage saying “excellent” or “good” economy also stable since March 2009
S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10 S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10 S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10Anne Arundel County Maryland USA
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 County – Economic Conditions vs. State and USA
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LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 Economic Concerns: Perceptions of the Local and National Economies 2002-2010
National
County
“Thinking about our county's economy, how would you rate economic conditions in Anne Arundel County today -- excellent, good, only fair, or poor?” (Total percentage saying excellent and good)
S'02
F '02 S '03
F '03 S '04
F '04 S '05
F '05 S '06
F '06 S '07
F '07 S '08
F '08 S '09
F '09 S '10
F '100
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
38
26 2722
34 34 31 28
3842
3227
17
5 5 10 11 11
74 76
56 5662
74 74 71 74 71 71 69
5549 46 48 44 45
CSLI - AA County
Gallup - USA
AA County Polling Results: Mostly stable findings in % saying a condition ‘applies’
Unable
to fin
d afford
able
housin
g
Wages
or sal
aries
are no
t risin
g as fa
st as th
e cost
of liv
ing
Hard to
afford
the c
ost of
transp
ortati
on
Hard to
afford
the c
ost of
utilit
ies su
ch as
electr
icity o
r gas
Taxes
are to
o high
in re
lation
to go
vernm
ent se
rvices
prov
ided
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
21
56
40
61
11
59
32
5058
12
55
21
5359
13
55
17
42
59
15
56
21
44
63
10
56
24
43
60
S '08 F '08 S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10
Some costs have gone down
The economy: what else applies?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
116
35
15
71
4
30
24
75
6
51
2924
70
8
46
33
19
56
7
47
32
21
60
7
44
34
S '08 F '08 S '09 F '09 S '10 F '10
Unemployment rose sharply from March ‘08 to March ‘09 and hasn’t changed much since
Stock market recovery lessened ‘losses’ per-centage
Health care anxiety unchanged despite re-form…
Minor improvement in readiness to spend
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LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 Economic Concerns by Various Demographic Factors
Wages
or sal
aries
vs. infl
ation
Unemplo
ymen
t
Signifi
cant lo
sses in
accou
nts
House
loss
No affo
rdable
housi
ng
Cost
of tra
nsport
ation
Cost
of uti
lities…
Delay i
n mak
ing a m
ajor p
urcha
se
Health
care
insura
nce is
unav
ailabl
e…
Taxes
are to
o high
relat
ive…
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
BlackWhiteMenWomenUnder $75Over $75
Income differences influence wages, unemployment, housing, affording utilities, health care and taxes
When will the economy improve?
Economic Condition This year
Next year
Future year
Median year
N.A.
A stabilization of housing values 8 35 51 2012 7A return to steady growth of the economy 5 32 59 2012 5A major reduction in the unemployment rate
4 31 61 2012 4
A return to a better balance between revenues and expenditures for state and local government budgets
3 16 68 2014 13
A return to a better balance between revenues and expenditures for the federal government’s budget
3 10 73 2015 14
LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 Economic Concerns: When will the economy improve? (Fall 2009)
Proposal Spring 2003 Fall 2003 Spring 2009Cut programs 40 34 61Increase taxes 36 34 17
Other (combination, other suggestion)
-- 18 14
Don’t know 24 14 8Total 100 100 100
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LAA Presentation: Jan. 20, 2011 Funding Government – cut programs or cut spending?
(Spring 2003, Fall 2003, Spring 2009)
The county faces up to a $90 million deficit for the 2011 fiscal year. Which of the following do you think would be the best in dealing with this deficit: Cutting government services, raising taxes, or some of both? Spring 2010
Cutting services 27%Raising taxes 8%Some of both 55%
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Support for various budget measures Support
Oppose
UnsureNA
Increasing impact fees on new construction in AA County F08
63 31 6
Increase income taxes for those over $200k F07 61 36 3Increase corporate income taxes F07 60 37 3Increasing the tax on alcoholic products F09 54 39 8
Furloughing county employees to help balance the county’s budget S09
43 44 12
Adding a $30 fee to property taxes to pay for stream and waterway restoration F09
39 56 5
Increase in gasoline tax F07 33 61 6Cutting millions in state aid to localities F09 32 41 27General increase in income taxes F03 26 72 3Shifting the cost of teachers’ pensions to local governments F09
24 58 19
Maintaining current levels of funding for public schools F09
78 17 5
Maintaining the tuition freeze for the Univ. of Maryland F09
79 15 6
LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 Budget Measures: Taxes, Cuts, Spending
Service Reduced Kept the same Increased Don’t knowFire department 2 50 46 2Police department 5 41 53 1Public Schools 6 35 58 2The community college 6 49 41 4Seniors’ services 7 52 39 3Libraries 8 64 26 2Roads 10 51 39 1Health Department 13 46 34 6Social Services 16 45 35 4Parks and Recreation 17 59 22 3Environmental Oversight 18 47 31 4Planning and Zoning 29 49 13 9
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As county government prepares for the upcoming 2011 fiscal budget, it will consider how to cut spending. As I mention an area of spending, tell me whether spending should be reduced, kept the same or increased as government seeks to balance its budget. (S09)
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Better About the
same
Worse Unsure(vol.)/NA
Economic conditions 47 20 26 8Growth and development 35 29 31 6Access to health care 32 23 34 10Public schools 29 29 37 5Health care quality 29 32 32 7Water quality of the Bay and tributaries
29 23 44 5
Air quality 24 32 40 4Availability of fresh water 17 43 32 7Crime 11 30 54 6Local taxes 8 21 66 5
Thinking about this County’s future, please tell me whether you think the following things will be better, about the same or worse in 2020. (F09)
LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 Future: Better, Same or Worse?
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LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 Housing - What is “Affordable Housing?” (asked Fall 2002)
Attribute cited %
Purchase priceMedian: $150-175,000
39%
A type that is lacking in AA County 20%
Housing type – apartments, townhouses, section 8 19%
User type – low income, poor 9%
Other 12%
Total 100%
Is the lack of affordable housing in Anne Arundel County a problem?
Yes 54% No 34% Don’t know 12%
LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 Crime: Safety and Security in County and Neighborhood (1997-2008)
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LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 Crime: Been a Victim of Crime over Last Year? (1997-
2008)
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LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 Crime: “Been a Victim of Crime over Last Year” (2008) by Age
20
Overall 18-29 30-44 45-60 60+0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
11
6
1516
4
LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 Crime: Improve Safety (2008)
21
One Thing to Most Improve Safety
22
LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 Immigration Questions – Various (Spring 2008)
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Do you think that you personally have benefited from the services of illegal immigrants for example in landscaping, construction, restaurants or janitorial services?
LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 Personally Benefitting from Illegal Immigrants(Spring 2008)
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They strengthen our country because of their hard work
and talents
They are a burden on our country because they take our jobs, housing and health care.
No answer0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
8076
168
22
68
9
Legal Illegal
LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 Legal and Illegal Immigrants (Spring 2008)
25
LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 Stances on Immigration Issues by Political Party (Spring 2008)
26
Support
Oppose Unsure Noanswe
r
Total
Environmental measures meant to restrict development in critical areas?
84 11 3 1 99
Efforts by police to identify illegal immigrants and refer them to federal immigration services?
70 25 4 1 100
Increasing impact fees on new construction in our county?
63 31 5 1 100
Creating or increasing fees to sports leagues that use public parks to cover the maintenance of those parks?
50 45 4 1 100
Increasing the tax on hotel stays from 7 percent to 10 percent
33 59 6 1 99
Decreasing the drinking age to 18
29 68 2 1 100
A $500 ambulance fee to help pay for county services?
26 67 6 1 100
LAA Presentation – Jan. 20, 2011 Immigration Enforcement vs. Other Issues (Spring 2008)