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PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 “and Other Trauma Disorders”: Complex Clinical Care Robert J. Ursano, M.D. Professor of Psychiatry and Neuroscience Director Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress Dept of Psychiatry Uniformed Services University

PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

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Page 1: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 “and Other Trauma Disorders”:

Complex Clinical Care

Robert J. Ursano, M.D.

Professor of Psychiatry and NeuroscienceDirector

Center for the Study of Traumatic StressDept of Psychiatry

Uniformed Services University

Page 2: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

“Its bigger than friendship”b hofstede

“Our biology gives us our brain….Our life turns it into our mind “

j eugenides

Our Challenge to knowing how to help..

Page 3: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

NBC 2005

Page 4: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant
Page 5: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Trauma and Disasters

Human Made Natural

War

Terrorism

Hurricane

Epidemic

Industrial Accident

Page 6: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Mental Health Responses to Trauma, Disasters and Public Health Emergencies:

Resilience is most common

Psychiatric Illness

• PTSD• Depression• Complex Grief

Health Risk Behaviors

Distress Responses

• Sense of vulnerability• Change in Sleep • Irritability, distraction•Belief in Exposure•MUPS/MIPS•Isolation

• Smoking• Alcohol• Over dedication

Page 7: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Percent Screening Positive for PTSD by Number of Firefights

0

5

10

15

20

25

0 1 to 2 3 to 5 6 to 9 10+

Hoge, et. al., NEJM July 2004

[%]

Page 8: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant
Page 9: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant
Page 10: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Trajectories of PTSD After InjuryN=1084 hospitalized >24hrs

Bryant et al BJP 2015

Page 11: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

DSM 5 Key PointsChapters

• Anxiety Disorders

• Obsessive Compulsive and Related Disorders

• Trauma and Stressor-Related Disorders• Dissociative Disorders

Page 12: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

?? OTHER:…DSM 5 Persistent Complex Bereavement

Disorder

• One of the “Conditions for Further Study”

• Potential clinical need for the category

• Inclusion in the Appendix to facilitate research

• Substantial empirical evidence, but there remain concerns that need resolution (e.g. Onset > 12 months after death of loved one)

• Considerations of benefit vs. potential harm of the Dx

Page 13: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Cozza et al. 2017

Bereaved Military Children2001-2011

Page 14: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

OTHER AGAIN??...U.S. Army Child Neglect Rates Age 1-2 year olds,

1989-2004

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

Years

Ra

te p

er

1,0

00

1 to 2 Years

McCarroll J et al CSTS USU, 2005

Page 15: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress

http://www.centerforthestudyoftraumaticstress.org

Page 16: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

What is PTSD?

1)The inability to “digest” early stress symptoms, e.g. impaired “repair” or “return to stasis”

2) Altered “set point”

3) The “glue” that makes the symptoms “stay” or “cluster together”

Page 17: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

McNulty, F The Elephant who couldn’t forget., Harper and Row

Page 18: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Pertea & Salzberg, Science 2010

Page 19: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 19

Genomewide Association Studies

(GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS)

• Largest GWAS of PTSD to date.

• Two genomewide significant single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were found in

association with PTSD for African American (left panel) & European American (right panel) Soldiers, respectively.

• The SNP in the African American sample is in a gene, ANKRD55, known to be associated

with a variety of inflammatory and immune disorders.

• The study also showed significant pleiotropy (i.e., genes affecting multiple traits)

between PTSD and rheumatoid arthritis and psoriasis.

• Points to a possible biological association between PTSD and these disorders, and consistent with a possible role for inflammatory processes in PTSD.

Page 20: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Treatment : Across The Domains of Illness

PTSD MI Mult.Scler Back Pain

Disorder The Glue

Self Repair

ICU

Symptoms Withdawal

Nightmares

Nitroglycerin

Impairment

Of Function

Marital

Job

Walker

Job Couns.

Disability Job

“phobic”

Lg Trm Plan and

Asst

Co-Morbid

Conditions

Depression

Subst Abuse

Hypertension

Hyper chol.

Trajectory- Prev

of Relapse/Chro

Acute, Chronic,

Delayed

Recoverying

Life Style

Changes

(smoking)

Page 21: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Lifetime Probability of Treatment Contact (USA)

DysthymicDisorder

PanicDisorder

GAD, generalized anxiety disorder.Wang PS, et al. Arch Gen Psychiatry. 2005;62:603-613.

MajorDepression

BipolarDisorder

GAD PTSD

65%

94%

86%

95%

Pat

ien

ts M

akin

g Tr

eatm

en

t Co

nta

ct, %

60

70

80

90

100

88%90%

7% contact within year of PTSD onset and12-year median delay to first treatment contact

Page 22: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

“Other trauma disorder…”

Page 23: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Suicidal Thoughts and Behavior in thePast Year among Adults Aged 18 or Older:

2008

.. .

8.3 Million Adults HadSerious Thoughts ofCommitting Suicide

2.3 MillionMade

Suicide Plans

1.1 MillionAttempted

Suicide

0.9 MillionMade Plans and

AttemptedSuicide

0.2 MillionMade No Plans andAttempted Suicide

(SAMHSA, 2008)

Page 24: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant
Page 25: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

• “One type of symptomatic behavior associated with depressions, either neurotic or psychotic in type, is suicide. Between July, 1940, and June 1946, there were 2,214 suicides in the Army, 300 of which occurred among officers.1 ….these figures represent a sharp drop during the war period from the peacetime suicide rate in the Army. 2

There was also a sharp drop in the number of suicides in the Army in World War “

Menninger, K. Psychiatry in a Troubled World. Pp. 166-167, 1948

The Past…

Page 26: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Suicide IdeationWHO Study: 108,664 respondents from 21 countries

A wide range of mental disorders increased the odds of experiencing suicide ideation.

But who will attempt?!

Nock M, et al WHO PLoS 2009

Page 27: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant
Page 28: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 28

Data Collection Summary:

Soldiers, Surveys, Blood

Samples

NSS (2 sessions/Soldier) 50,000 100,000 35,000* 35,000 35,000

AAS (incl. Guard & Reserve) 34,000 34,000 - - -

AAS Kuwait (in-theater) 6,000 6,000 - - -

PPDS pre Time 0 9,000 8,000 24,000 55,000

PPDS post Time 1 10,000 8,800 17,500 57,000

PPDS post Time 2 9,000 - - -

PPDS post Time 3 (on-going) 8,000 - - -

SHOS-A 185** 600 300 600 600

SHOS-B 150** 600 - - -

* NSS blood collection was added 6 months after study began. Approx. 80% of Soldiers who were asked gave blood.

148,000

NOTE: Red Text = Estimated totals to be enrolled/collected

Approx. Number

of Soldiers

Enrolled

100,000

10,000

** Cases Only -- Controls are already counted in AAS

Approx. Number

of Surveys

Collected

Approx. Number of Blood Samples

Soldiers Who

Provided Blood

Blood Tubes

Collected

Blood Vials in

Frozen Storage

Study

APPROXIMATE TOTAL 177,000 52,000 77,000

Page 29: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 29

New U.S. Army Soldiers

(NSS 2011-2012, N= 38237)

• At enlistment prevalence estimates:

• 14.1% reported lifetime suicidal ideation

• 2.3% reported lifetime suicide plans

• 1.9% reported lifetime suicide attempts

Ursano et al. (2015). Depression and Anxiety

Page 30: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 30

U.S. Army

(AAS Q2–4 2011)

And for the Army as a whole….

• 13.9% reported lifetime suicidal ideation

• 5.3% reported lifetime suicide plans

• 2.4% reported lifetime suicide attempts

• More than half of the transitions from ideation to attempt occurred within a year

Nock et al. (2014). JAMA Psychiatry

Page 31: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 31

U.S. Army Suicide Deaths

(HADS 2004-2009)

Schoenbaum et al. (2014). JAMA Psychiatry

Regular Army suicide deaths per 100,000 person-years of Active duty Army service (12-month moving average)

Page 32: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 32

WHEN: Suicide Deaths by Time in

Service & Deployment Status

(HADS 2004-2009)

• The mean suicide rate for all soldiers, enlisted and officers: 18.5 per 100,000 person-years.

• 90.9% of Regular Army suicides were completed by enlisted soldiers.

• Currently and previously deployed enlisted soldiers in their first 4 years of service had ratesmeaningfully higher than the mean suicide rate for all soldiers (Table 1).

Gilman et al. (2014). Psychological Medicine

Page 33: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 33

Suicide Rates(Enlisted Regular Army, 2004-2009)

Never deployed Currently deployed Previously deployed

0

5

10

15

20

25

Deployment Status

Rat

e (

Suic

ide

/10

00

00

pe

rso

n-y

ear

s)

C RUDE RATES OF SUIC ID E BY DEPLOYMENT HISTORY A MONG ENLISTED, REG ULA R A RMY SOLDIERS IN THE

A RMY STA RRS 2004–2009 HA DS

Gilman, et al. Psychological Medicine, 2014

Page 34: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 34

Suicide Attempt Rates(Enlisted Regular Army, 2004-2009)

Never deployed Currently deployed Previously deployed

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Deployment Status

Rat

e (

Suic

ide

Att

em

pts

/10

00

00

pe

rso

n-y

ear

s)

C RUDE RATES OF SUIC ID E ATTEMP T BY DEPLOYMENT HISTORY A MONG ENLISTED, REG ULA R A RMY SOLDIERS IN THE

A RMY STA RRS 2004 –2009 HISTORIC A L A DMINISTRATIVE DATA (HA DS)

Ursano, et al. JAMA Psychiatry, 2016

Page 35: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 35

• 98.6% of all suicide attempt cases during 2004-2009 were enlisted soldiers.

• Overall enlisted rate: 377 per 100,000 person-years.

• Suicide attempt risk was higher for females than males (as with civilians).

• After adjusting for socio-demographic and service-related variables, risk of

suicide attempt was highest for enlisted soldiers who were:

• In their first 2 years of service.• Never or previously deployed.

• Recently diagnosed with a mental disorder (Table 2).

Suicide Attempts

(HADS 2004-2009)

1Ursano et al. (2015). JAMA Psychiatry

Page 36: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 36

WHEN:…Suicide Attempt

Risk by

Time in Service

(HADS 2004-2009)

Ursano et al. (2015). JAMA Psychiatry

Page 37: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 37

WHO:…Suicide Attempt (S.A.) Risk:

Combat Arms, Special Forces & Combat

Medics (HADS 2004-2009)

Overall: Combat Arms & Combat

Medics had higher odds of S.A. (1.2,

1.4), & Special Forces had lower odds

(0.3), than other MOSs. MOS associated

with S.A. in first 10 years of service, but

not beyond.

First year of service: Combat Medics

had higher odds of S.A. than Combat

Arms & other occupations.

Deployment: Combat Arms & Combat

Medics had higher odds of S.A. than

other occupations among those never

deployed and those previously

deployed. Combat Medics also had

higher odds of S.A. among deployed.

Military occupation can inform the

understanding of S.A. risk.Ursano, et al. (2017) BMC Psychiatry

Page 38: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 38

Frequency of IEDs & Suicide

Attempts (HADS 2004-2009)

BLUF: Threat of new weapons may increase stress burden as measured by suicide attempt rate among Soldiers. Targeting risk perception & perceived preparedness, particularly early in a Soldier’s career, may improve psychological resilience & reduce suicide ris k.

• Examined association of monthly IED rates with suicide attempt risk in deployed & non-deployed for all active duty Regular Army suicide attempters (n=9,791) & equal-probability sample of control person-months (n=183,826).

• Soldiers’ suicide attempt risk increased with increasing numbers of IEDs.

• Suicide attempt was 26% more likely for each 1,000 IED increase in monthly frequency.

• Association of IED frequency with suicide attempt was greater for Soldiers in first 2 years of service than for those with 3+ years of service.

• Among Soldiers in 1st two years of service, association was constant for all 3 deployment statuses.

• Among Soldiers with 3+ years of service, association was higher for those never deployed & currently deployed, than for those previously deployed.

Ursano, et al. (2017) Military Med

Page 39: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 39

Risk of Suicide Attempt (SA) among

Soldiers in Army Units with a History of

Suicide Attempts (HADS 2004-2009)

• SA risk increased if 1 S.A. in unit in past yr

• Odds increased with # of SAs in unit (OR=1.4 with 1 SA; OR=2.3 with 5+ SAs)

• Association true in combat arms & other MOS

• Highest risk in small units (1-40 Soldiers)

• If risk reduced to 0 SAs in unit in past yr, number of SAs would decrease 18.2%

Conclusion:

• Units with a history of SAs are important targets for preventive interventions

Study included all SAs in enlisted Regular Army Soldiers 2004-2009 (n=9,650) and an equal-probability sample of control person-months (n=153,528)

Ursano, et al. (2017) JAMA Psychiatry

Page 40: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 40

• Hay Stacks…

Page 41: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 41

Concentration of Risk

Page 42: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 42

“Its bigger than friendship”b hofstede

“Our biology gives us our brain….Our life turns it into our mind “j eugenides

Our Challenge to knowing

how to help..

Page 43: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Back Up

Page 44: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

…..And…

Page 45: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

U.S. Army: Age at First

TBI (AAS Q2-4 2011)

Stein (2012) presented at ACNP Annual Meeting

Page 46: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

New, Old and the Same

January 1945European Theater of Operations

Page 47: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Stein MB & McAllister TW. Am J Psychiatry 2009; 166:768-776

Relationship of Brain Regions Implicated in PTSD to Regions Vulnerable to TBI

Page 48: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant
Page 49: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 49

Example in PPDS: TBI

At 3 months post-deployment:

• Deployment-acquired TBI was strongly associated with increased odds of past-30-day PTSD (AOR= 1.81)

• Deployment-acquired TBI was associated with risk of past-30-day major depressive episode (AOR=1.45) and generalized anxiety disorder (AOR=1.81)

• The association between deployment-acquired TBI and past-30-day suicidality did not reach the threshold for statistical significance (AOR=1.39)

At 9 months post-deployment:

• Deployment-acquired TBI was strongly associated with increased odds of past-30-day PTSD (AOR=1.48)

• Deployment-acquired TBI was associated with risk of past-30-day generalized anxiety disorder (AOR=1.81)

Page 50: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Suicide and TBI..?

Page 51: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 51

Table 3: Multivariate model

predicting suicidality1

Lifetime SuicideIdeation

Lifetime Suicide Plan

Lifetime SuicideAttempt

OR [95% CI] OR [95% CI] OR [95% CI]

Antecedent TBI1 1.7 [1.4-2.0] 1.9 [1.5-2.5] 1.6 [1.2-2.2]

Antecedent TBI2 (full model) 1.4 [1.2-1.6] 1.6 [1.1-2.1] 1.3 [0.9-1.8]

1Multivariate model predicting suicidality outcomes with TBI (0,1,2) controlling for all

demographics and interaction between "not entered army yet" and "birth place";

controlling for years since ideation for outcomes among ideators

2As above and controlling for mental disorders

Page 52: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 52

U.S. Army: Age at First

TBI (AAS Q2-4 2011)

Stein (2012) presented at ACNP Annual Meeting

Page 53: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 53

Suicide Attempt Risk

among Regular Army Enlisted Soldiers

(HADS 2004-2009)

0

50

100

Rat

e P

er

10

0,0

00

Sold

iers

With and Without PTSD Sxs Fol 1st

Deployment (Hazard Rates)

No PTSD Symptoms

Months Since 1st Deployment

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Slide 54

Method of Suicide Attempt

By Deployment Status

(HADS 2004-2009, Regular Enlisted Army)

0

5

10

15

20

25

Never Current Previous

Deployment Status

Rat

e O

f Su

icid

Att

em

pt P

er 1

00,

000

Method of Suicide Attempt: Firearm (Crude Yearly Rate)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Never Current Previous

Deployment Status

Rat

e O

f Su

icid

Att

em

pt P

er 1

00,

000

Method of Suicide Attempt: Other (Crude Yearly Rate)

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US Army

•Lifetime suicide ideation 13.8%

•Lifetime suicide plan 5.5%

•Lifetime suicide attempt 2.7%

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Slide 56

Severity of TBI*

Mild: (Concussion)

Altered/loss of consciousness < 30 minutes

Post traumatic amnesia < 24 hours

Normal CT/MRI

Moderate:

Altered/loss of consciousness < 6 hours

Post traumatic amnesia < 7 days

Severe:

Altered/loss of consciousness > 6 hours

Post traumatic amnesia > 7 days*American Congress of Rehabilitation Medicine (ACRM)

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Slide 57

Table 1: Traumatic Brain Injuries (TBI)

among AAS Q2-Q4 CONUS Soldiers (N=5428)

Traumatic Brain Injury(TBI)

Ever Happened

Multiple Occurrences (2+ times)

(Among 'Ever Happened’)

Before Army (Among 'Ever Happened’)

% SE % SE % SE

Knocked out < 30min 29.7 0.7 53.9 2.1 . .30min-<=24 hrs 5.8 0.4 27.9 2.6 . .

> 24 hours 1.0 0.2 38.1 4.3 . .

Knocked out for any time 31.0 0.8 54.6 1.7 78.7 1.2Dazed or confused 54.3 0.9 76.5 1.3 73.2 1.1Either knocked out or dazed 58.7 0.8 80.6 1.0 78.2 0.9

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Suicidal Thoughts in the Past Year amongAdults Aged 18 or Older, by Age and

Gender: 2008

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

18 or Older 18 to 25 26 to 49 50 or Older Male Female

Age Group Gender

Perc

ent w

ith

Seri

ous

Tho

ught

s o

fSu

icid

e in

the

Pas

t Ye

ar

3.7

6.7

3.9

2.3

3.43.9

(SAMHSA, 2008)

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Slide 59

U.S. Army

(AAS Q2–4 2011)

• Among the 13.9% of Soldiers who reported lifetime suicide ideation:

– 38.5% of ideators had developed suicide plans.

– 17.1% of ideators had made a suicide attempt.

– 34.4% of ideators with plans had made suicide attempts.

– Only 6.3% of ideators without plans had made attempts.

• Analysis of age-at-onset indicated the importance of the past year:

– Within 1 year of the onset of suicide ideation:

62.4% of the transitions from ideation to plans occurred.

58.3% of the transitions from ideation to attempts occurred.

– Within 1 year of the onset of suicide plans:

63.3% of transitions from plans to attempts occurred.

Nock et al. (2014). JAMA Psychiatry

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Slide 60

Lifetime Past 30 Days

Suicide Ideation

13.5%

(n=6,192)

1.1%

(n=473)

Suicide Plan

2.7%

(n=1,234)

0.1%

(n=42)

Suicide Attempt

1.9%

(n=878)

0.1%

(n=58)

Suicidal Thoughts/Behaviors

among New Soldiers:

New Soldier Study (NSS)

• Mental disorders strongly predicted suicide ideation, but were less predictive of which ideators go on to make suicide plans or attempts

• Only PTSD & mental disorders characterized by irritability & aggressive/impulsive behavior predict the transition from suicide ideation to unplanned attempts

• These provide targets for interventions

Page 61: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 61

Pre/Post Deployment Study

(PPDS)

• The PPDS dataset is currently the subject of intensive analysis

• In PPDS, there are many cases of PTSD, depression, TBI, Persistent Post-Concussive Symptoms (PCS) and suicidality (5 suicide deaths & nearly 100 suicide attempts) after deployment & redeployment

• Analyzing a wide range of survey, administrative & genetic predictors of these outcomes that could be detected prior to deployment

• Results of these analyses could have important implications for deployment decisions, as well as for interventions for soon-to-deploy and deployed Soldiers

Page 62: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 62

Another Example in PPDS:

Persistent Post-Concussive Symptoms

(PCS) after Deployment-Related Mild

Traumatic Brain Injury (mTBI)

• Deployment-acquired mTBI was associated with nearly triple the risk of any PCS, and with increased severity of PCS when symptoms were present

• Prognostic indicators of persistent PCS after an index mTBI: previous TBI(s), pre-deployment psychological distress, severe deployment stress, and loss of consciousness or lapse of memory resulting from mTBI(s)

• These observations may have actionable implications for prevention of chronic sequelae of mTBI in the military and other settings

Page 63: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 63

Suicide Attempt GWAS

(NSS, PPDS, SHOS-A)

• Novel genomewide significant loci for attempted suicide

– Observed in the European-American sample

• Interesting locus: MRAP2

– Melanocortin-2 Receptor Accessory

– Expressed in brain and adrenal cortex

– M2CR accessory protein

• support MC2R cell-surface expression, producing a functional ACTH-responsive receptor

– Involved with neural control of energy homeostasis

– Loss of function linked to obesity (Asai M et al., Science, 2013)

• Need larger sample size to gain more power to identify genetic components of these phenotypes, which likely have a highly polygenic architecture

• Future studies may gain additional power by

– Stratifying phenotypes differently (e.g., early-onset SA)

– Incorporating informative covariates (e.g., childhood maltreatment history)

– Sequencing to identify causal rare variants

Page 64: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 64

Other Examples for Suicide

& Suicide Attempts

(HADS 2004-2009)

SUICIDE:

• Currently & previously deployed in first 4 years of service had greater risk than never deployed

• Not associated with increased risk of suicide:

o Waivers

o Length of time since return from most recent deployment

o Total number of deployments

o Interval between 2 most recent deployments (dwell time)

SUICIDE ATTEMPTS:

Page 65: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 65

PGC Collaboration

Publications

• Dunn EC, Sofer T, Wang MJ, et al. Genome-wide association study of depressive symptoms in the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos. J Psychiatr Res 2017

• Wolf EJ, Maniates H, Nugent N, Maihofer AX, et al. Traumatic stress and accelerated DNA methylation age: A meta-analysis. Psychoneuroendocrinology 2017

• Dunn EC, Sofer T, Gallo LC, et al. Genome-wide association study of generalized anxiety symptoms in the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos. Am J Med Genet B Neuropsychiatr Genet 2017

• Duncan LE, Ratanatharathorn A, Aiello AE, et al. Largest GWAS of PTSD (N=20 070) yields genetic overlap with schizophrenia and sex differences in heritability. Mol Psychiatry 2018

Page 66: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 66

Documented Family Violence (FV)

and Risk of Suicide Attempt(HADS 2004-2009)

• Active duty Regular Army enlisted Soldiers (n=9,650 with medically documented SA; n=153,528 control person-months)

• Odds of SA were higher for those with a FV history

• Odds increased as number of FV events increased

• Past-month FV had SA odds ~5 times higher than those with no FV history

• SA odds elevated for both perpetrators and victims

• For males, higher SA risk in perpetrators than victims

• For females, SA risk did not differ between perpetrators & victims

• SA risk highest in initial months after 1st FV event

• Conclusion: FV is an important consideration in understanding risk of SA among Soldiers

Ursano, et al. (2017) Psychiatry Research

Page 67: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 67

Suicide Attempt GWAS

(NSS, PPDS, SHOS-A)

• Novel genomewide significant loci for attempted suicide

– Observed in the European-American sample

• Interesting locus: MRAP2

– Melanocortin-2 Receptor Accessory

– Expressed in brain and adrenal cortex

– M2CR accessory protein

• support MC2R cell-surface expression, producing a functional ACTH-responsive receptor

– Involved with neural control of energy homeostasis

– Loss of function linked to obesity (Asai M et al., Science, 2013)

• Need larger sample size to gain more power to identify genetic components of these phenotypes, which likely have a highly polygenic architecture

• Future studies may gain additional power by

– Stratifying phenotypes differently (e.g., early-onset SA)

– Incorporating informative covariates (e.g., childhood maltreatment history)

– Sequencing to identify causal rare variantsStein, et al. (2017) Am J Hum Genet B

Page 68: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 68

Predictive Models

Developed (n=17)

1. Suicide after inpatient mental health treatment (admin predictor & outcome)

2. Suicide after outpatient mental health treatment (admin predictor & outcome)

3. Major violent crime perpetration (admin predictor & outcome)

4. Minor violent crime perpetration (admin predictor & outcome)

5. Sexual assault victimization in women (admin predictor, AAS survey outcome)

6. Suicide attempt (NSS survey predictor, admin outcome)

7. Mental health hospitalization (NSS survey predictor, admin outcome)

8. Positive drug test (NSS survey predictor, admin outcome)

9. Traumatic brain injury (NSS survey predictor, admin outcome)

10. Other severe injury (NSS survey predictor, admin outcome)

11. Major violence perpetration in men (NSS survey predictor, admin outcome)

12. Minor violence perpetration in men (NSS survey predictor, admin outcome)

13. Sexual assault perpetration in men (NSS survey predictor, admin outcome)

14. Minor violence victimization (NSS survey predictor, admin outcome)

15. Sexual assault victimization in women (NSS survey predictor, admin outcome)

16. Attrition (NSS survey predictor, admin outcome)

17. Demotion (NSS survey predictor, admin outcome) Kessler, et al (2015) JAMA PsychiatryRosellini, et al (2015) Psychological Medicine

Kessler, et al (2016) Molecular PsychiatryStreet, et al (2016) Clinical Psychological Science

Rosellini, et al (2017) Journal of Psychiatric ResearchRosellini, et al (2017) Psychological Medicine

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PTSD: an Autoimmune DisorderExposure to Death and the DeadIdentification and PTSD Symptoms

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1 4 13Months After Disaster

Intr

usio

n a

nd

Avo

idan

ce S

co

re

Intrusion Identif ier Intrusion Nonidentif ier

Avoidance Identif ier Avoidance Nonidentif ier

Ursano et al AJP, 1999

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Slide 70

Suicide Attempt Rates(Enlisted Regular Army, 2004-2009)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Never deployed Currently deployed Previously deployed

Rat

es

(Att

em

pts

/100

,00

0 p

ers

on

ye

ars)

Deployment Status

STA NDA RDIZED RATES* OF SUIC ID E ATTEMP T BY DEPLOY MENT HISTORY A ND G ENDER A MONG ENLISTED, REG ULA R A RMY

SOLDIERS IN THE A RMY STA RRS 2004–2009 HA DS

Male

Female

* Rates standardized on gender, race, marital status, education, age at entry, current age and service time

Ursano, et al. JAMA Psychiatry, 2016

Page 71: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Slide 71

Suicide Rates(Enlisted Regular Army, 2004-2009)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Never deployed Currently deployed Previously deployed

Rat

es

(Su

icid

es/

10

0,00

0 p

ers

on

ye

ars)

Deployment Status

STA NDA RDIZED RATES* OF SUIC ID E (<=4 YEA RS OF SERVIC E) BY DEPLOYMENT HISTORY A ND G ENDER A MONG ENLISTED, REG ULA R

A RMY SOLDIERS IN THE A RMY STA RRS 2004–2009 HA DS

Male

Female

* Rates standardized on deployment and service time

Gilman, et al. Psychological Medicine, 2014

Page 72: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Trajectory of PTSD & SIRiskamong reserve soldiers

PTSD Trajectories of Deploymettraumatic event exposure % Suicide ID

Page 73: PTSD, Suicide, TBI… DSM5 · McCarrollJ et al CSTS USU, 2005. Center for the Study of Traumatic Stress ... (GWAS) of PTSD (NSS & PPDS) • Largest GWAS of PTSD to date. • Two genomewidesignificant

Collective Efficacy and Probability of PTSD

Ursano R et al PLoS 2014.

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I would be seen as weak

My unit leadershipmight treat me differently

Members of my unit might haveless confidence in me

It would harm my career

My leaders would blame mefor the problem

*Participants were asked to “rate each of the possible concerns that might affect your decision to receive mental health counseling or services if you ever had a problem.” Hoge CW, et al. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:13-22.

Barriers to Care and Mental Health Risk*

24

20

31

33

31

50

51

59

63

65

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

Agree or Strongly Agree, %

Screen pos

Screen neg

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Is Stigma Unique to Military?

Maybe Less Than One Might Think…!

Kessler RC. J Clin Psychiatry. 2000;61(suppl 5):4-12.

Lack of perceived need

Perceived lack of effectiveness

Fear of forced hospitalization

24

22

40

60

6854

66

66

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

Agree or Strongly Agree, %

MenWomen

Want to solve on own

Stigma

35

1723

Unsure where to go49

40