Provincial Assessment Program

Overview of Results 2018-19

Anglophone Sector

Assessment, Analysis & Design Services Branch, November 6, 2019

EYE-DA assesses five developmental areas

associated with readiness to learn at school:

Developmental

AreaExamples of child’s ability in each developmental area:

Awareness of Self

& Environment

• notice, think and talk about their world (e.g., identify: opposites,

characteristics of common animals, colours, …)

• understand and use home and community experiences (e.g., A

police officer keeps you safe)

Cognitive Skills

• name letters and sounds

• recognize rhyme

• name numbers and count sets of objects

• recognize same and different

Language and

Communication

• listen and understand instructions, discussions, and stories

• use full sentences (i.e., five to seven words) to explain their ideas

• talk so people can easily understand

Fine Motor Skills• use crayons and pencils, cut, and handle small objects (e.g., sort

and rearrange pebbles)

Gross Motor Skills • balance, hop on one foot, and jump

EYE-DA Over Time:

Language & Communication Domain

75 77 81 81 81 81 81 80

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

% of Students at Appropriate Development

EYE-DA Over Time: District and Province

75 7781 81 81 81 81 80

7579 80

8384

8280

7371 70

75

6971

62

68 67

7678

84 85 8688 87 87

7881 82

8385 83

84

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19

Language and Communication Domain: % Appropriate Development by District and Province

Province

ASD-N

ASD-E

ASD-S

ASD-W

ASD-S

ASD-E

ASD-W

ASD-N

EYE-DA Over Time in NB and ASD-S

7577

81 81 81 81 81 80

7678

84 85 8688 87 87

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19

Percentage Appropriate Development of ASD-S and Province

Province ASD-S

English Reading

Overview Success Rates2017-2018 2018-2019

Grade 2 71% -

Grade 4 - 67.2%

Grade 4 PIRLSNB Anglophone on par with Canada

535 - 543

Grade 6 61.1% 71.7%

Grade 8 PCAP NB tied for 7th (last) place with SK, NF, MB

Grade 9 ELPA 80.6% 73.6%

PISA (15 year-olds) NB Ranking 7th (Anglophone is higher)

PIRLS 2016 = Progress in International Reading Literacy Study

PCAP 2016 = Pan-Canadian Assessment Program

PISA 2015 = Program for International Student Assessment

Grade 4, 6 and 9: English Reading 2018-19% Successful by District and Grade level

67.271.7 73.7

60.2

73.369

6569.3

73 72.3 71.775

65.6

72.9 74

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

G4 G6 G9 G4 G6 G9 G4 G6 G9 G4 G6 G9 G4 G6 G9

Province ASD-N ASD-E ASD-S ASD-W

Grade 9 ELPA 2018-19% Successful Students by Program Over Time

92 92 93 94

8893 93 93 92

85

7073 72 72

64

7880 81 81

74

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19*

Early FrenchImmersionn=1446*

Late FrenchImmersionn=598*

English Primen=2907*

Provincen=4951*

(n) refers to the number of students included in each district

Grade 9 ELPA – 2018-2019% Successful Students by District Over Time

78.375.7

78.4 79.6 78.580.4

77.379.9 79.8

82.880.5

75.1

82.2 81.4 80.680.6 79.5 80.2 81.980

73.669.4

72.675.3 73.6

0

20

40

60

80

100

Province(*N=4951)

ASD-N(*N=539)

ASD-E(*N=1178)

ASD-S(*N=1622)

ASD-W(*N=1612)

Perc

en

tag

e

2014-15

2015-16

2016-17

2017-18

2018-19*

(n) refers to the number of students included in each district

ELPA- ASD-S

80 80 81 8275

78 80 81 8174

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19

Percentage of Successful Students Over Time in ASD-S

ASD-S Province

90 9196 96

9295 94 93 93

86

72 71 73 7266

80 80 82 82

75

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19*

ASD-SPercentage of Successful Students by Program

Early French Immersion n=357* Late French Immersionn=283*

English Primen=982*

ASD-Sn=1622*

Grade 8 PCAP Reading

2007 2010 2013 2016

Anglophone 471 486 466 498

Francophone 470 464 485 467

NewBrunswick(combined)

471 479 471 489

Canada 512 500 508 507

440

450

460

470

480

490

500

510

520

Reading Scores 2007-2016

83%84%

76%77%

81%82%

88% 88%

2007* 2016*

Reading: % of Students at Level 2 or Above

Anglophone Francophone

New Brunswick Canada

FRENCH SECOND LANGUAGE

French Second Language Reading Assessment% Successful by District by Grade level

64.5 66.6

75

53.2 52.3

68.3

61.5

67.9

78.875.6

64.6

75.6

61.8

70.8 73.2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

G4 G6 G10 G4 G6 G10 G4 G6 G10 G4 G6 G10 G4 G6 G10

Province ASD-N ASD-E ASD-S ASD-W

Early Immersion

Note: All students writing these assessments began FI in Grade 3.

French Second Language Reading Assessment% Successful by District by Grade level

58.562.1 61

69.6

45.9

53.2

63.2 64.561.4 62.8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

G6 G10 G6 G10 G6 G10 G6 G10 G6 G10

Province ASD-N ASD-E ASD-S ASD-W

Late Immersion

Note: All students writing these assessments began FI in Grade 6.

French Second Language Reading Assessment% Successful by District by Grade level

52.258.3

62.8 64

47.7

59.7

50.2

5752.9

57

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

G6 G10 G6 G10 G6 G10 G6 G10 G6 G10

Province ASD-N ASD-E ASD-S ASD-W

Post-Intensive French

Note: All students writing these assessments participated in the Grade 5

Intensive French Program.

NB Second Language Oral Proficiency Scale

Performance Description for Intermediate

Level (B1.1)

• The student is able to satisfy routine social demands and limited

requirements in school/work settings with a speaking vocabulary

sufficient for simple conversation, with some paraphrasing.

• The student can:

✓ provide information and give explanations with some degree of

accuracy;

✓ handle most common social situations, including introductions

and casual conversations about events in school and

community;

✓ provide autobiographical information in some detail;

✓ give directions from one place to another; and

✓ give accurate instructions in a field of personal expertise.

French Second Language Oral Proficiency% Intermediate and Above by District by Grade level – all Programs

22.1

46.1

91.1

7.6

52.3

94.2

31.9

58.8

92.5

13.8

43.2

91.4

30.837.4

88.9

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

G6 G10 G12 G6 G10 G12 G6 G10 G12 G6 G10 G12 G6 G10 G12

Province ASD-N ASD-E ASD-S ASD-W

Students assessed in Grade 6 and 10 began FI in Grade 3

Students assessed in Grade 12 began FI in Grade 1

Note: the Grade 10 assessment was administered in 2017-18

Grade 10 French Second Language Oral

Proficiency over time by Program (2017-18)Intermediate and Above

99.1 99.8 99.8 100

95 96.7 97.694.9

32.727.8 30.1

46.8

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19

EFI

LFI

PIF

In 2018-19 the first Early

Immersion Grade 3 Entry

students reached Grade 10

Grade 12 French Second Language Oral Proficiency Post Intensive French - % attaining Intermediate and Above

4248

54

68

46

2936

54

3121 25

46

3325 23

42

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

201

5-1

6

201

6-1

7

201

7-1

8

20

18

-19

201

5-1

6

201

6-1

7

20

17

-18

201

8-1

9

201

5-1

6

201

6-1

7

201

7-1

8

201

8-1

9

201

5-1

6

201

6-1

7

201

7-1

8

201

8-1

9

ASD-N ASD-E ASD-S ASD-W

MATHEMATICS

Mathematics

Overview Success Rates

2017-2018 2018-2019

Grade 4 - 62.3%

Grade 6 37.1% 57.8%

Grade 8 PCAP NB tied for 4th place with PEI, NS, BC

Grade 10 64.5% 62.8%

PISA (15 year-olds) NB Ranking 19th (Anglophone is lower)

PCAP 2016 = Pan-Canadian Assessment Program

PISA 2015 = Program for International Student Assessment

Mathematics – 2018-2019% Successful by District by Grade level

62.357.8

62.8 64.7 64.1

5651.7

47.1

61.1

69.7

62.565.8

62.458.2

63.5

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

G4 G6 G10 G4 G6 G10 G4 G6 G10 G4 G6 G10 G4 G6 G10

Province ASD-N ASD-E ASD-S ASD-W

66.9

64.3

64.264.5

59.6

63.5

62.8

61.1

65.8

56.0

2017-18 2018-19

NB

ASD-E

ASD-N

ASD-W

ASD-S

Grade 10

Mathematics

35.5

62.7

1.8

37.2

61.3

1.50

20

40

60

80

100

Below Appropriate Appropriate Strong

Perc

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Percentage of Students by Achievement Level

2017-18

2018-19

Percentage of Successful Students by District

SCIENTIFIC LITERACY

Scientific Literacy

Overview Success Rates

2017-2018 2018-2019

Grade 4 - 61.0%

Grade 6 35.1% 55.9%

Grade 8 PCAP NB tied for 8th place with NS, SK, MB

Grade 10 64.7% 65.4%

PISA (15 year-olds)NB Ranking 10th (Anglo and Franco are

the same)

PCAP 2016 = Pan-Canadian Assessment Program

PISA 2015 = Program for International Student Assessment

Scientific Literacy 2018-19% Successful by District by Grade level

61.055.9

65.4

57.560.2 60.9

56.7

48.9

68.465.9

57.9

67.7

60.357.5

62.6

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

G4 G6 G10 G4 G6 G10 G4 G6 G10 G4 G6 G10 G4 G6 G10

Province ASD-N ASD-E ASD-S ASD-W

Grade 10

Scientific Literacy

Percentage of Successful Students by District

ASD-N

ASD-E

ASD-W

ASD-S

NB

60.9

65.4

68.4

67.7

62.6

61.4

64.7

64.7

64.3

67.1

2017-18 2018-19

35.3

63.2

1.5

34.6

63.8

1.60

20

40

60

80

100

Below Appropriate Appropriate Strong

Perc

en

tag

e

Percentage of Students by Achievement Level

2017-18

2018-19

Grade 8 PCAP Science

2007 2010 2013* 2016

Anglophone 468 489 467 501

Francophone 460 482 475 498

New Brunswick 465 487 469 500

Canada 500 500 500 508

430

440

450

460

470

480

490

500

510

520

STUDENT CONTEXTUAL

INFORMATION

Student Perception Survey

By Grade 12 …

– 60% of students report having a positive sense of

belonging (Province Aver = 56%)

– 70% value school outcomes (Province Aver = 57%)

– 36% are interested and motivated (Province Aver =

36%)

– In Grades 6 to 12, on average 30% of students

report moderate or high levels of anxiety or

depression (Province Aver = 30%)

Source: OurSCHOOL Student Survey, 2018-19

Assessment Program Contextual Questions

▪ 18 survey questions are included in the assessment booklets for

Grades 4, 6, & 10

▪ These were adapted from the PISA contextual survey, selected for

their relatively strong correlation with math performance

▪ They cover 4 domains:

―Student self-perception (e.g., I understand things quickly.)

―Learning environment (e.g., The teacher tells us at the

beginning of the lesson what we should know by the end of the

lesson.)

―Student personal characteristics (e.g., number of times late

for school)

―Socio-economic status (e.g., number of books in home)

Assessment Program Contextual Questions

Highest Correlations with Grade 10 Math

Achievement

Q503 - I like to solve hard problems (+0.491)

Q501 - I understand things quickly (+0.465)

Q520 - Do the adults you live with have a university degree? (+0.122)

Q515 - How many books in your home? (+0.273)

Q502 - I can easily make connections between facts (+0.434)

Q513 - Teacher asks us to explain our steps for answers/what info. we used (+0.133)

Q514 - In the last two weeks, how many times were you late for school? (+0.149)

Q517 - How many computers in your home? (+0.206)

All other items have either negative or no correlation.

Source: NB Provincial Assessment Program Grade 10 Contextual Survey,

2018-19