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PROJECT REPORT ON WTO AND INTERNATIONAL TRADE
INTRODUCTION
WTO is an organization for trade opening. It is a forum for governments to negotiate trade
agreements. It is a place for them to settle trade disputes. It operates a system of trade rules.
Essentially, the WTO is a place where member governments try to sort out the trade problems they
face with each other.The WTO was born out of negotiations, and everything the WTO does is the
result of negotiations. The bulk of the WTOs current work comes from the 198694 negotiations
called the Uruguay Round and earlier negotiations under the General Agreement on Tariffs and
Trade (GATT). The WTO is currently the host to new negotiations, under the Doha Development
Agenda launched in 2001.
Where countries have faced trade barriers and wanted them lowered, the negotiations have helped
to open markets for trade. But the WTO is not just about opening markets, and in some
circumstances its rules support maintaining trade barriers for example, to protect consumers or
prevent the spread of disease.
At its heart are the WTO agreements, negotiated and signed by the bulk of the worlds trading
nations. These documents provide the legal ground rules for international commerce. They areessentially contracts, binding governments to keep their trade policies within agreed limits.
Although negotiated and signed by governments, the goal is to help producers of goods and
services, exporters, and importers conduct their business, while allowing governments to meet
social and environmental objectives.
The systems overriding purpose is to help trade flow as freely as possible so long as there are
no undesirable side effects because this is important for economic development and well-being.
That partly means removing obstacles. It also means ensuring that individuals, companies and
governments know what the trade rules are around the world, and giving them the confidence that
there will be no sudden changes of policy. In other words, the rules have to be transparent and
predictable.
Trade relations often involve conflicting interests. Agreements, including those painstakingly
negotiated in the WTO system, often need interpreting. The most harmonious way to settle these
differences is through some neutral procedure based on an agreed legal foundation. That is the
purpose behind the dispute settlement process written into the WTO agreements.
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ROLE OF WTO
While the WTO is driven by its member states, it could not function without its Secretariat tocoordinate the activities. The Secretariat employs over 600 staff, and its experts lawyers,
economists, statisticians and communications experts assist WTO members on a daily basis to
ensure, among other things, that negotiations progress smoothly, and that the rules of international
trade are correctly applied and enforced.
Trade negotiations
The WTO agreements cover goods, services and intellectual property. They spell out the principles
of liberalization, and the permitted exceptions. They include individual countries commitments to
lower customs tariffs and other trade barriers, and to open and keep open services markets. They setprocedures for settling disputes. These agreements are not static; they are renegotiated from time to
time and new agreements can be added to the package. Many are now being negotiated under the
Doha Development Agenda, launched by WTO trade ministers in Doha, Qatar, in November 2001.
Implementation and monitoring
WTO agreements require governments to make their trade policies transparent by notifying the
WTO about laws in force and measures adopted. Various WTO councils and committees seek to
ensure that these requirements are being followed and that WTO agreements are being properly
implemented. All WTO members must undergo periodic scrutiny of their trade policies and
practices, each review containing reports by the country concerned and the WTO Secretariat.
Dispute settlement
The WTOs procedure for resolving trade quarrels under the Dispute Settlement Understanding is
vital for enforcing the rules and therefore for ensuring that trade flows smoothly. Countries bring
disputes to the WTO if they think their rights under the agreements are being infringed. Judgements
by specially appointed independent experts are based on interpretations of the agreements and
individual countries commitments.
Building trade capacity
WTO agreements contain special provision for developing countries, including longer time periods
to implement agreements and commitments, measures to increase their trading opportunities, and
support to help them build their trade capacity, to handle disputes and to implement technical
standards. The WTO organizes hundreds of technical cooperation missions to developing countries
annually. It also holds numerous courses each year in Geneva for government officials. Aid for
Trade aims to help developing countries develop the skills and infrastructure needed to expand their
trade.
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Outreach
The WTO maintains regular dialogue with non-governmental organizations, parliamentarians, other
international organizations, the media and the general public on various aspects of the WTO and the
ongoing Doha negotiations, with the aim of enhancing cooperation and increasing awareness of
WTO activities.
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FUNCTIONS OF WTO
The WTO agreements are lengthy and complex because they are legal texts covering a wide range
of activities. But a number of simple, fundamental principles run throughout all of these documents.
These principles are the foundation of the multilateral trading system.
Non-discrimination
A country should not discriminate between its trading partners and it should not discriminate
between its own and foreign products, services or nationals.
More open
Lowering trade barriers is one of the most obvious ways of encouraging trade; these barriers
include customs duties (or tariffs) and measures such as import bans or quotas that restrict
quantities selectively.
Predictable and transparent
Foreign companies, investors and governments should be confident that trade barriers should not be
raised arbitrarily. With stability and predictability, investment is encouraged, jobs are created and
consumers can fully enjoy the benefits of competition choice and lower prices.
More competitive
Discouraging unfair practices, such as export subsidies and dumping products at below cost to
gain market share; the issues are complex, and the rules try to establish what is fair or unfair, and
how governments can respond, in particular by charging additional import duties calculated to
compensate for damage caused by unfair trade.
More beneficial for less developed countries
Giving them more time to adjust, greater flexibility and special privileges; over three-quarters ofWTO members are developing countries and countries in transition to market economies. The
WTO agreements give them transition periods to adjust to the more unfamiliar and, perhaps,
difficult WTO provisions.
Protect the environment
The WTOs agreements permit members to take measures to protect not only the environment but
also public health, animal health and plant health. However, these measures must be applied in the
same way to both national and foreign businesses. In other words, members must not use
environmental protection measures as a means of disguising protectionist policies.
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WTO MISSION
The WTO provides a forum for negotiating agreements aimed at reducing obstacles to international
trade and ensuring a level playing field for all, thus contributing to economic growth and
development. The WTO also provides a legal and institutional framework for the implementation
and monitoring of these agreements, as well as for settling disputes arising from their interpretation
and application. The current body of trade agreements comprising the WTO consists of 16 different
multilateral agreements (to which all WTO members are parties) and two different plurilateral
agreements (to which only some WTO members are parties).
Over the past 60 years, the WTO, which was established in 1995, and its predecessor organization
the GATT have helped to create a strong and prosperous international trading system, thereby
contributing to unprecedented global economic growth. The WTO currently has 157 members, ofwhich 117 are developing countries or separate customs territories. WTO activities are supported
by a Secretariat of some 700 staff, led by the WTO Director-General. The Secretariat is located in
Geneva, Switzerland, and has an annual budget of approximately CHF 200 million ($180 million,
130 million). The three official languages of the WTO are English, French and Spanish.
Decisions in the WTO are generally taken by consensus of the entire membership. The highest
institutional body is the Ministerial Conference, which meets roughly every two years. A General
Council conducts the organization's business in the intervals between Ministerial Conferences. Both
of these bodies comprise all members. Specialised subsidiary bodies (Councils, Committees, Sub-
committees), also comprising all members, administer and monitor the implementation by members
of the various WTO agreements.
More specifically, the WTO's main activities are:
negotiating the reduction or elimination of obstacles to trade (import tariffs, other barriers to
trade) and agreeing on rules governing the conduct of international trade (e.g. antidumping,
subsidies, product standards, etc.)
administering and monitoring the application of the WTO's agreed rules for trade in goods,
trade in services, and trade-related intellectual property rights monitoring and reviewing the trade policies of our members, as well as ensuring
transparency of regional and bilateral trade agreements
settling disputes among our members regarding the interpretation and application of the
agreements
building capacity of developing country government officials in international trade matters
assisting the process of accession of some 30 countries who are not yet members of the
organization
conducting economic research and collecting and disseminating trade data in support of the
WTO's other main activities explaining to and educating the public about the WTO, its mission and its activities.
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The WTO's founding and guiding principles remain the pursuit of open borders, the guarantee of
most-favoured-nation principle and non-discriminatory treatment by and among members, and a
commitment to transparency in the conduct of its activities. The opening of national markets to
international trade, with justifiable exceptions or with adequate flexibilities, will encourage and
contribute to sustainable development, raise people's welfare, reduce poverty, and foster peace andstability. At the same time, such market opening must be accompanied by sound domestic and
international policies that contribute to economic growth and development according to each
member's needs and aspirations
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CHAPTERISATION
I have divided this project into four chapters mainly
1. HISTORY
2. ORGANISATION
3. AGREEMENTS
4. DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
HISTORY
So while the WTO is still young, the multilateral trading system that was originally set up under
GATT is well over 50 years old.
The past 50 years have seen an exceptional growth in
world trade. Merchandise exports grew on average by 6%
annually. Total trade in 2000 was 22-times the level of
1950. GATT and the WTO have helped to create a strong
and prosperous trading system contributing to
unprecedented growth.
The system was developed through a series of trade
negotiations, or rounds, held under GATT. The first
rounds dealt mainly with tariff reductions but later
negotiations included other areas such as anti-dumping and non-tariff measures. The last round
the 1986-94 Uruguay Round led to the WTOs creation.
The negotiations did not end there. Some continued after the end of the Uruguay Round. In
February 1997 agreement was reached on telecommunications services, with 69 governmentsagreeing to wide-ranging liberalization measures that went beyond those agreed in the Uruguay
Round.
In the same year 40 governments successfully concluded negotiations for tariff-free trade in
information technology products, and 70 members concluded a financial services deal covering
more than 95% of trade in banking, insurance, securities and financial information.
In 2000, new talks started on agriculture and services. These have now been incorporated into a
broader agenda launched at the fourth WTO Ministerial Conference in Doha, Qatar, in
November 2001.
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The work programme, the Doha Development Agenda (DDA), adds negotiations and other work on
non-agricultural tariffs, trade and environment, WTO rules such as anti-dumping and subsidies,
investment, competition policy, trade facilitation, transparency in government procurement,
intellectual property, and a range of issues raised by developing countries as difficulties they face in
implementing the present WTO agreements.
The deadline for the negotiations is 1 January 2005.
THE ORGANISATION
It does this by:
Administering trade agreements
Acting as a forum for trade negotiations
Settling trade disputes
Reviewing national trade policies
Assisting developing countries in trade policy issues, through technical assistance and
training programmes
Cooperating with other international organizations
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Structure
The WTO has about 150 members, accounting for about 95% of world trade. Around 30 others are
negotiating membership.
Decisions are made by the entire membership. This is typically by consensus. A majority vote is
also possible but it has never been used in the WTO, and was extremely rare under the WTOs
predecessor, GATT. The WTOs agreements have been ratified in all members parliaments.
The WTOs top level decision-making body is the Ministerial Conferencewhich meets at least
once every two years.
Below this is the General Council (normally ambassadors and heads of delegation in Geneva, but
sometimes officials sent from members capitals) which meets several times a year in the Geneva
headquarters. The General Council also meets as the Trade Policy Review Body and the Dispute
Settlement Body.
At the next level, the Goods Council, Services Council and Intellectual Property (TRIPS)
Council report to the General Council.
Numerous specialized committees, working groups and working partiesdeal with the individual
agreements and other areas such as the environment, development, membership applications andregional trade agreements.
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THE ORGANISATIONAL CHART
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SCOPE OF WTO IN INTERNATIONAL TRADE
Membership, alliances and bureaucracy
All members have joined the system as a result of negotiation and therefore membership means a
balance of rights and obligations. They enjoy the privileges that other member-countries give to
them and the security that the trading rules provide. In return, they had to make commitments toopen their markets and to abide by the rules those commitments were the result of the
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membership (or accession) negotiations. Countries negotiating membership are WTO
observers.
How to join the WTO: the accession process
Any state or customs territory having full autonomy in the conduct of its trade policies may join
(accede to) the WTO, but WTO members must agree on the terms. Broadly speaking the
application goes through four stages:
First, tell us about yourself. The government applying for membership has to describe all
aspects of its trade and economic policies that have a bearing on WTO agreements. This is
submitted to the WTO in a memorandum which is examined by the working party dealing with the
countrys application. These working parties are open to all WTO members.
Second, work out with us individually what you have to offer.When the working party hasmade sufficient progress on principles and policies, parallel bilateral talks begin between the
prospective new member and individual countries. They are bilateral because different countries
have different trading interests. These talks cover tariff rates and specific market access
commitments, and other policies in goods and services. The new members commitments are to
apply equally to all WTO members under normal non-discrimination rules, even though they are
negotiated bilaterally. In other words, the talks determine the benefits (in the form of export
opportunities and guarantees) other WTO members can expect when the new member joins. (The
talks can be highly complicated. It has been said that in some cases the negotiations are almost as
large as an entire round of multilateral trade negotiations.)
Third, lets draft membership terms. Once the working party has completed its examination
of the applicants trade regime, and the parallel bilateral market access negotiations are complete,
the working party finalizes the terms of accession. These appear in a report, a draft membership
treaty (protocol of accession) and lists (schedules) of the member-to-bes commitments.
Finally, the decision. The final package, consisting of the report, protocol and lists of
commitments, is presented to the WTO General Council or the Ministerial Conference. If a two-
thirds majority of WTO members vote in favour, the applicant is free to sign the protocol and to
accede to the organization. In many cases, the countrys own parliament or legislature has to ratifythe agreement before membership is complete.
The work of the WTO is undertaken by representatives of member governments but its roots lie in
the everyday activity of industry and commerce. Trade policies and negotiating positions are
prepared in capitals, usually taking into account advice from private firms, business organizations,
farmers, consumers and other interest groups.
Most countries have a diplomatic mission in Geneva, sometimes headed by a special ambassador tothe WTO. Officials from the missions attend meetings of the many councils, committees, working
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parties and negotiating groups at WTO headquarters. Sometimes expert representatives are sent
directly from capitals to put forward their governments views on specific questions.
Representing groups of countries ...
Increasingly, countries are getting together to form groups and alliances in the WTO. In many cases
they even speak with one voice using a single spokesman or negotiating team. In the agriculture
negotiations, well over 20 coalitions have submitted proposals or negotiated with a common
position, most of them still active. The increasing number of coalitions involving developing
countries reflects the broader spread of bargaining power in the WTO. One group is seen as
politically symbolic of this change, the G-20, which includes Argentina, Brazil, China, Egypt,
India, South Africa, Thailand and many others, but there are other, overlapping Gs too, and one
C the Cotton Four (C-4), an alliance of sub-Saharan countries lobbying for trade reform in thesector.
Coalition-building is partly the natural result of economic integration more customs unions, free
trade areas and common markets are being set up around the world. It is also seen as a means for
smaller countries to increase their bargaining power in negotiations with their larger trading
partners and to ensure they are represented when consultations are held among smaller groups of
members. Sometimes when groups of countries adopt common positions consensus can be reached
more easily. Sometimes the groups are specifically created to compromise and break a deadlock
rather than to stick to a common position. But there are no hard and fast rules about the impact of
groupings in the WTO.
The largest and most comprehensive group is the European Union and its 27 member states. The
EU is a customs union with a single external trade policy and tariff. While the member states
coordinate their position in Brussels and Geneva, the European Commission alone speaks for the
EU at almost all WTO meetings. The EU is a WTO member in its own right as are each of its
member states.
A lesser degree of economic integration has so far been achieved by WTO members in
the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia,Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Thailand, Singapore and Viet Nam. (The remaining
member Laos is applying to join the WTO.) Nevertheless, they have many common trade interests
and are frequently able to coordinate positions and to speak with a single voice. The role of
spokesman rotates among ASEAN members and can be shared out according to
topic. MERCOSUR, the Southern Common Market(Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay and
Venezuela, with Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador and Peru as associate members), has a similar
set-up.
More recent efforts at regional economic integration have not yet reached the point where their
constituents frequently have a single spokesman on WTO issues. An examples is the North
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American Free Trade Agreement: NAFTA (Canada, US and Mexico). Among other groupings
which occasionally present unified statements are the African Group, the least-developed
countries, the African, Caribbean and Pacific Group (ACP) and the Latin American Economic
System (SELA).
A well-known alliance of a different kind is the Cairns Group. It was set up just before the
Uruguay Round began in 1986 to argue for agricultural trade liberalization. The group became an
important third force in the farm talks and remains in operation. Its members are diverse, but
sharing a common objective that agriculture has to be liberalized and the common view that
they lack the resources to compete with larger countries in domestic and export subsidies.
The WTO Secretariat and budget
The WTO Secretariat is located in Geneva. It has around 630 staff and is headed by a director-
general. Its responsibilities include:
Administrative and technical support for WTO delegate bodies (councils, committees, working
parties, negotiating groups) for negotiations and the implementation of agreements.
Technical support for developing countries, and especially the least-developed.
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Trade performance and trade policy analysis by WTO economists and statisticians.
Assistance from legal staff in the resolution of trade disputes involving the interpretation of
WTO rules and precedents.
Dealing with accession negotiations for new members and providing advice to governments
considering membership.
Some of the WTOs divisionsare responsible for supporting particular committees: the Agriculture
Division assists the committees on agriculture and on sanitary and phytosanitary measures, for
example. Other divisions provide broader support for WTO activities: technical cooperation,
economic analysis, and information, for example.
The WTO budget is over 160 million Swiss francs with individual contributions calculated on the
basis of shares in the total trade conducted by WTO members. Part of the WTO budget also goes tothe International Trade Centre.
UNDERSTANDING THE WTO AGREEMENT
The WTO agreements cover goods, services and intellectual property. They spell out the principles
of liberalization, and the permitted exceptions. They include individual countries commitments to
lower customs tariffs and other trade barriers, and to open and keep open services markets. They set
procedures for settling disputes. They prescribe special treatment for developing countries. Theyrequire governments to make their trade policies transparent by notifying the WTO about laws in
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force and measures adopted, and through regular reports by the secretariat on countries trade
policies.
These agreements are often called the WTOs trade rules, and the WTO is often described as rules-
based, a system based on rules. But its important to remember that the rules are actually
agreements that governments negotiated.
This chapter focuses on the Uruguay Round agreements, which are the basis of the present WTO
system. Additional work is also now underway in the WTO. This is the result of decisions taken at
Ministerial Conferences, in particular the meeting in Doha, November 2001, when new negotiations
and other work were launched. (More on the Doha Agenda, later.)
Six-part broad outlineback to top
The table of contents of The Results of the Uruguay Round of Multilateral Trade Negotiations:The Legal Texts is a daunting list of about 60 agreements, annexes, decisions and understandings.
In fact, the agreements fall into a simple structure with six main parts: an umbrella agreement (the
Agreement Establishing the WTO); agreements for each of the three broad areas of trade that the
WTO covers (goods, services and intellectual property); dispute settlement; and reviews of
governments trade policies.
The agreements for the two largest areas goods and services share a common three-part
outline, even though the detail is sometimes quite different.
They start with broad principles: theGeneral Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) (for
goods), and the General Agreement on Trade in Services(GATS). (The third area,Trade-Related
Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS), also falls into this category although at present it
has no additional parts.)
Then come extra agreements and annexes dealing with the special requirements of specific
sectors or issues.
Finally, there are the detailed and lengthy schedules (or lists) of commitments made by
individual countries allowing specific foreign products or service-providers access to their markets.
For GATT, these take the form ofbinding commitmentson tariffs for goods in general, and
combinations of tariffs and quotas for some agricultural goods. For GATS, the commitments state
how much access foreign service providers are allowed for specific sectors, and they include lists of
types of services where individual countries say they are not applying the most-favoured-nation
principle of non-discrimination.
Underpinning these are dispute settlement, which is based on the agreements and commitments, and
trade policy reviews, an exercise in transparency.
Much of the Uruguay Round dealt with the first two parts: general principles and principles forspecific sectors. At the same time, market access negotiations were possible for industrial goods.
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Once the principles had been worked out, negotiations could proceed on the commitments for
sectors such as agriculture and services.
In a nutshell
The basic structure of the WTO agreements: how the six main areas fit together the umbrella
WTO Agreement, goods, services, intellectual property, disputes and trade policy reviews.
Umbrella AGREEMENT ESTABLISHING WTO
Goods Services Intellectual property
Basic principles GATT GATS TRIPS
Additional details Other goods
agreements and
annexes
Services annexes
Market access
commitments
Countries schedules
of commitments
Countries schedules
of commitments(and
MFN exemptions)
Dispute settlement DISPUTE SETTLEMENT
Transparency TRADE POLICY REVIEWS
Additional agreements
Another group of agreements not included in the diagram is also important: the two plurilateral
agreements not signed by all members: civil aircraft and government procurement.
Further changes on the horizon, the Doha Agenda
These agreements are not static; they are renegotiated from time to time and new agreements can be
added to the package. Many are now being negotiated under the Doha Development Agenda,
launched by WTO trade ministers in Doha, Qatar, in November 2001.
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Tariffs: more bindings and closer to zero
The bulkiest results of Uruguay Round are the 22,500 pages listing individual countries
commitments on specific categories of goods and services. These include commitments to cut and
bind their customs duty rates on imports of goods. In some cases, tariffs are being cut to zero.
There is also a significant increase in the number of bound tariffs duty rates that are
committed in the WTO and are difficult to raise.
GOODS SCHEDULES
Members commitments
WTO negotiations produce general rules that apply to all Members, and specific commitments
made by individual Member governments. The specific commitments are listed in documents called
schedules of concessions, which reflect specific tariff concessions and other commitments that
they have given in the context of trade negotiations, such as the Uruguay Round. For trade in goods
in general, these usually consist of maximum tariff levels which are often referred to as bound
tariffs or bindings (GATT Article II). In the case of agricultural products, these concessions and
commitments also relate to tariff rate quotas, limits on export subsidies, and some kinds of
domestic support. All WTO Members have a schedule of concessions which is either annexed to
the Marrakesh Protocol to the GATT 1994 or to a Protocol of Accession. The content of the
schedules change over time to take account of different modifications, such as GATT Article
XXVIII negotiations or rectification procedures. This is the reason why determining a Member'sconcession for a specific tariff line could involve, in some cases, examining several different legal
instruments.
The WTOs rules the agreements are the result of negotiations between the members. The
current set were the outcome of the 198694 Uruguay Round negotiations which included a major
revision of the original General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT).
GATT is now the WTOs principal rule-book for trade in
goods. The Uruguay Round also created new rules for dealing
with trade in services, relevant aspects of intellectual
property, dispute settlement, and trade policy reviews. The
complete set runs to some 30,000 pages consisting of about
30 agreements and separate commitments (called schedules)
made by individual members in specific areas such as lower
customs duty rates and services market-opening.
Through these agreements, WTO members operate a non-
discriminatory trading system that spells out their rights and their obligations. Each country
receives guarantees that its exports will be treated fairly and consistently in other countries
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markets. Each promises to do the same for imports into its own market. The system also gives
developing countries some flexibility in implementing their commitments.
Goods
It all began with trade in goods. From 1947 to 1994, GATT was the forum for negotiating lower
customs duty rates and other trade barriers; the text of the General Agreement spelt out important
rules, particularly non-discrimination.
Since 1995, the updated GATT has become the WTOs umbrella agreement for trade in goods. It
has annexes dealing with specific sectors such as agriculture and textiles, and with specific issues
such as state trading, product standards, subsidies and actions taken against dumping.
Services
Banks, insurance firms, telecommunications companies, tour operators,
hotel chains and transport companies looking to do business abroad can
now enjoy the same principles of freer and fairer trade that originally only
applied to trade in goods.
These principles appear in the new General Agreement on Trade in
Services (GATS). WTO members have also made individual commitments
under GATS stating which of their services sectors they are willing to open
to foreign competition, and how open those markets are.
Intellectual property
The WTOs intellectual property agreement amounts to rules
for trade and investment in ideas and creativity. The rules state
how copyrights, patents, trademarks, geographical names used
to identify products, industrial designs, integrated circuit
layout-designs and undisclosed information such as trade
secrets intellectual property should be protected when
trade is involved.
Dispute settlement
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The WTOs procedure for resolving trade quarrels under the Dispute Settlement Understanding is
vital for enforcing the rules and therefore for ensuring that trade flows smoothly. Countries bring
disputes to the WTO if they think their rights under the agreements are being infringed. Judgements
by specially-appointed independent experts are based on interpretations of the agreements and
individual countries commitments.
The system encourages countries to settle their differences
through consultation. Failing that, they can follow a carefully
mapped out, stage-by-stage procedure that includes the
possibility of a ruling by a panel of experts, and the chance to
appeal the ruling on legal grounds. Confidence in the system
is borne out by the number of cases brought to the WTO
around 300 cases in eight years compared to the 300 disputes
dealt with during the entire life of GATT (194794).
DEVELOPING OUNTRIES
Development and trade
Over three quarters of WTO members are developing or least-developed countries. All WTO
agreements contain special provision for them, including longer time periods to implement
agreements and commitments, measures to increase their trading opportunities and support to help
them build the infrastructure for WTO work, handle disputes, and implement technical standards.
The 2001 Ministerial Conference in Doha set out tasks, including negotiations, for a wide range of
issues concerning developing countries. Some people call the new negotiations the Doha
Development Round.
Before that, in 1997, a high-level meeting on trade initiatives and technical assistance for least-developed countries resulted in an integrated framework involving six intergovernmental
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agencies, to help least-developed countries increase their ability to trade, and some additional
preferential market access agreements.
A WTO committee on trade and development, assisted by a sub-committee on least-developed
countries, looks at developing countries special needs. Its responsibility includes implementation
of the agreements, technical cooperation, and the increased participation of developing countries in
the global trading system
Technical assistance and training
The WTO organizes around 100 technical cooperation missions to developing countries annually. It
holds on average three trade policy courses each year in Geneva for government officials. Regional
seminars are held regularly in all regions of the world with a special emphasis on African countries.
Training courses are also organized in Geneva for officials from countries in transition from centralplanning to market economies.
The WTO set up reference centres in over 100 trade ministries and regional organizations in
capitals of developing and least-developed countries, providing computers and internet access to
enable ministry officials to keep abreast of events in the WTO in Geneva through online access to
the WTOs immense database of official documents and other material. Efforts are also being
made to help countries that do not have permanent representatives in Geneva
Trade and development
The WTO Agreements recognize the link between trade and development. More than two thirds of
WTO Members are developing countries.
At the Doha Ministerial Conference, in November 2001, Trade Ministers launched the Doha
Development Agenda. With this Agenda, WTO Members have placed development issues and the
interests of developing countries at the heart of the WTOs work.
In the Hong Kong Ministerial Declaration the central importance of the development dimension of
the Doha Work Programme was emphasized and there was a recommitment to making it a
meaningful reality. At the same time, the Aid for Trade Initiative was launched, designed to help
developing countries build supply-side capacity in order to expand trade.
Building trade capacity
Developing countries face special difficulties in benefiting as they should from the multilateral
trading system. This page describes the efforts made by WTO to meet their special needs by
building trade capacity to enable them to trade more effectively.
Introduction
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Helping developing countries participate more fully in the global trading system is one of the
WTO's most important activities. Those developing countries which trade successfully tend to be
those which have made the most progress in alleviating poverty and raising living standards. But
there are countries, including a large number of least-developed countries (LDCs) where trade is
failing to make the contribution that it should be making to economic growth and povertyreduction.
The main thrust of WTO work to redress this is the Doha Development Agenda, but Members have
recognized that building trade capacity is anessential complement to the DDA.
There are a variety of ways in which the WTO provides assistance to build trade capacity in
developing countries, but instructing developing country delegates on how their countries can gain
through the trading system is the central focus of the organization's efforts. The vast bulk of WTO
technical assistance spending is dedicated towards helping officials better understand complex
WTO rules and disciplines so that they can implement WTO agreements in ways which will bolstertheir trading regimes and negotiate more effectively with their trading partners. Broader and more
effective dissemination of such knowledge has facilitated the participation of developing country
trade officials in the Doha round and in other WTO activities.
Enhancing trade capacity involves other forms of assistance too, including building more efficient
ports and road networks, providing customs officials with automated equipment and teaching
entrepreneurs how to take advantage of business opportunities in the global marketplace. Work of
this nature is largely the responsibility of other international organizations like the United Nations
and the World Bank. Some programmes, particularly those involving infrastructure, require
significant funding not only from international organizations but also direct contributions from
national governments. To be truly effective, any programme of trade capacity building requires all
these elements to come together in a co-ordinated fashion. For this reason many WTO activities in
this area involve close co-operation with other international organizations.
Assistance to developing countries has always been on WTO's work schedule, but the scale and
scope have become much broader with the Aid for Trade initiative.
Why is building trade capacity important?
Because many countries simply don't have the human, institutional and infrastructural capacity to
participate effectively in international trade. Without that, these countries won't be able to expand
the quantity and quality of goods and services they can supply to world markets at competitive
prices.
human capacity refers to the professionals governments rely on for advice on WTO
matters: trade lawyers, economists, skilled negotiators. A country that lacks these
professionals is clearly at a disadvantage when implementing existing trade agreements,
when negotiating new ones, and when handling trade disputes.
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institutional capacity refers to the institutions businesses and governments rely upon for
trade, such as customs, national standards authorities, and the delegation representing the
country at the WTO. Trade ultimately suffers if these institutions are inadequate.
infrastructure refers to the physical setup required for trade to happen: roads, ports,
telecommunications. Again, countries lacking infrastructure will find it difficult to developtrade.
The WTO's trade rules, negotiating forum and dispute settlement system are not goals in
themselves. They are necessary preconditions for free and predictable trade, but are not
always sufficient to create results. WTO Members have recognized that the multilateral system
needs to be accompanied by improvements in trade capacity.
10 things the WTO can do
The world is complex. The World Trade Organization is complex. This booklet is brief, but it triesto reflect the complex and dynamic nature of trade and the WTOs trade rules. It highlights benefits
of the trading system, but it doesnt claim that everything is perfect. Were it a perfect system, there
would be no need for further negotiations and for the system to evolve and reform continually.
Nor does this booklet claim that everyone agrees about everything in the WTO. Thats one of the
most important reasons for having the system: its a forum for countries to thrash out their
differences on trade issues.
That said, there are a number of reasons why were better off with the system than without it.
The WTO can ...
WTO cancut living costs and raise living standards
WTO cansettle disputes and reduce trade tensions
WTO canstimulate economic growth and employment
WTO cancut the cost of doing business internationally
WTO canencourage good governance
WTO canhelp countries develop
WTO cangive the weak a stronger voice
WTO cansupport the environment and health
WTO cancontribute to peace and stability
WTO canbe effective without hitting the headlines
Aid for Trade
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Aid for Trade aims to help developing countries, particularly least-developed countries, develop the
trade-related skills and infrastructure that is needed to implement and benefit from WTO
agreements and to expand their trade.
The success of the initiative depends on creating closer cooperation in national capitals between
trade, finance and development officials of WTO member governments. This needs to be matched
by close cooperation at the international and regional level among intergovernmental organisations
with core responsibilities in these areas and their member governments.
Aid-for-Trade Work Programme 2012-2013
The Aid-for-Trade Work Programme 2012-2013, issued on 15 November 2011, is based on the
theme deepening coherence and focuses on five key areas: resource mobilization, mainstreaming
of trade into development plans and programmes, regional trade integration, private sector
development, and monitoring and evaluation of Aid for Trade. The Work Programme aims topromote deeper coherence and an on-going focus on Aid for Trade among the trade and
development community, notably on showing results, which will generate continued impetus to the
implementation process. It includes a calendar of meetings, culminating in a Fourth Global Review
of Aid for Trade envisaged for 2013. This calendar will be regularly updated to provide information
on progress achieved in the various areas of the Aid for Trade Initiative.
Role of the WTO in Trade Practises
The role of the WTO is to:
encourage additional flows of Aid for Trade from bilateral, regional and multilateral donors
to support requests fortrade-related capacity building from beneficiary countries
support improved ways of monitoring and evaluating the initiative.
encourage mainstreaming of trade into national development strategies by partner
countries.
The Enhanced Integrated Frameworkis the main mechanism through which least-developed
countries access Aid for Trade.
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The Standards and Trade Development Facility maintains close contacts with the Aid for Trade
initiative. It complements this global scheme through projects and monitoring of aid flows at an
operational, issue-specific level.
> Fact sheet on Aid for Trade
> Presentation Aid for Trade: why, what and how?
Background
The Aid for Trade initiative was launched at the Hong Kong Ministerial Conference in December
2005. In February 2006 the WTO established aTask Force, with the aim of operationalizing Aid
for Trade.
The Task Force recommended in July 2006 that Aid for Trade should focus on identifying the
needs within recipient countries, responding to donors and acting as a bridge between donors and
developing countries. It also recommended the establishment of a monitoring body in the WTO,
which would undertake a periodic global review based on reports from a variety of stakeholders
Working in cooperation
The WTO works in cooperation with an Advisory Group that the Director-General established in
2007 following the recommendations of the 2006 Aid-for-Trade Task Force. The main objective of
the Advisory Group is to take forward the Task Force recommendations by encouragingcoordination among the key players in the Aid for Trade initiative. The Advisory Group members
are: the African Development Bank,Asian Development Bank,European Bank for Reconstruction
and Development, IMF,Inter-American Development Bank,Islamic Development
Bank, ITC, OECD, UNCTAD, UNDP,UNECA, UNIDO, World Bankand the World Customs
Organization.
Implementation/monitoring
In 2007 the WTO's Aid for Trade initiative moved into its first stage of implementing the 2006
recommendations of the Aid for Trade Task Force.
The WTO started by establishing a system of monitoring Aid for Trade at three levels:
global monitoring of overall Aid for Trade flows, based on work carried out by the OECD
monitoring the commitment of individual donors to provide additional Aid for Trade
monitoring how the needs of developing countries for additional Aid for Trade are being
presented to, and met by, the international donor community, including the developmentbanks.
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A Symposium Identifying Indicators for Monitoring Aid for Trade was held on 15-16 September
2008.
Regional reviews
Working with its partner agencies, the WTO is also encouraging the holding of a limited number of
national and sub-regional Aid-for-Trade reviews which will road-test current Aid-for-Trade
plans, identify priorities, and agree on how these plans and priorities should be implemented. The
aim of these reviews initially was to raise awareness of Aid-for-Trade. More recently, the Regional
Reviews showcase real-world examples of Aid-for-Trade strategies in progress and create
incentives for other countries and sub-regions to follow. The results of these regional reviews are
profiled in the Global Reviews on Aid-for-Trade.
Global review
One of the recommendations of the Aid-for-Trade task force was that a Global Periodic Review be
convened yearly by the Monitoring Body in the WTO. The purpose of the Global Review is to
strengthen the Monitoring and Evaluation of Aid-for-Trade to provide strong incentive to both
donors and recipients in advancing the Aid-for-Trade agenda.
Trade facilitation
Trade facilitation has become an important subject in the Doha Round negotiations. The saving
from streamlining procedures could be 2%15% of the value of the goods traded, according to
estimates by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). The World
Bank says that for every dollar of assistance provided to support trade facilitation reform in
developing countries, there is a return of up to US$ 70 in economic benefits. Currently, there are
high levels of bureaucracy and unnecessary costs, due to:
vast amounts of red tape
document requirements that lack transparency and involve duplication
lack of cooperation between traders and customs agencies
lack of automatic data submission.
At some border crossings, cargo can take up to 30 days to be cleared. The introduction of simpler
procedures and greater transparency could help to significantly improve trade flows.
According to some estimates, the average customs transaction involves 20-30 parties, 40
documents, 200 data elements (30 of which are repeated at least 30 times) and the re-keying of 60-
70 per cent of all data at least once. With the lowering of tariffs, the cost of complying withcustoms formalities exceeds in many instances the cost of duties to be paid.
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The OECD estimates that up to 7 per cent of the US$ 12,000 billion value of international trade
each year is swallowed up by the cost of documentation.
The objective of the WTO's trade facilitation negotiations is to clarify and improve three articles of
the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) concerning:
the transit of goods
fees and formalities (documentation and procedures)
the transparency of laws and regulations.
The aim is to ease border procedures and to facilitate the movement, release and clearance of
goods.
A successful conclusion to the negotiations would:
allow governments to apply and conduct border controls more efficiently
allow traders to move their goods across borders more quickly and easily
reduce transaction costs and hence reduce prices for consumers and producers
reduce transit costs in landlocked countries
reduce bureaucracy and corruption
facilitate trade for small and medium-sized businesses burdened with excessive bureaucracy
and red tape
add to members' GDP by making trade less costly.
An APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Co-operation) study estimated that trade facilitation programmes
would generate gains of about 0.26 per cent of GDP for the 21 APEC countries. Savings in import
costs would be between 1-2 per cent of such costs for developing countries in the APEC region.
According to the World Bank, increased efficiency at ports and airports could increase global trade
in manufacturing by up to US$ 377 billion a year and triple the benefits for consumers from tariff
reductions. The gains would be from streamlining customs, reducing bribery and corruption, better
infrastructure and more efficient cross-border services, and speeding up business through use of the
Internet.
Doha Round negotiations
WTO members have made proposals on how to clarify and improve the three GATT articles.
These proposals have been negotiated and refined over the past few years.
The proposals include:
use of the Internet for publishing information that is useful to traders and in general
improving the availability of information - according to the OECD, improvements in
information availability would save 1.8 per cent of transaction costs
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establishing advance rulings on tariff classification and applicable duties to expedite
customs clearance - according to a study by the OECD, advance rulings would achieve the
single biggest reductions in trade costs (up to 3.7 per cent)
introducing pre-arrival clearance - to allow goods to be released immediately upon arrival
expediting and simplifying the release and clearance of goods
enhancing transparency in customs rulings and administrative procedures
developing a uniform administration of trade regulations
streamlining fees and charges and establishing more discipline in their application - for
example, prohibition of the collection of unpublished fees and charges,
reduction/minimization of the number and diversity of fees and charges, and prohibition ofconsular fees - according to the OECD, this could cut 1.7 per cent of total costs
improving coordination among border agencies - according to the OECD, this cooperation
would have a significant cost reduction potential, of up to 2.4 per cent
creating a single window to submit data only once to one agency
establishing discipline for transit formalities and documentation requirements.
To assist developing country members to implement the results of the negotiations, the draft text fora new trade facilitation agreement contains provisions for special and differential treatment.
These provisions would allow developing countries to delay the implementation of each provision
of the text according to their needs.
The current draft text reflects the views of all WTO members, incorporating their ideas for
improving the situation. It is called the draft consolidated negotiating text (TN/TF/W/165)
(currently in its 12th revision). Since this text was first drafted, members have been working to
refine the text and reduce the number of brackets (indicating areas where members are not in
agreement).
All WTO members have been actively involved in the negotiations since everybody is aware of the
importance of trade facilitation in light of the increase in trade around the world.
Several coalitions have been formed by members that have common goals. These coalitions are
particularly useful for countries that have a small presence at the WTO. The most active coalitions
are the African group, least-developed countries (LDCs) and the Africa, Caribbean and Pacific
(ACP) group.
In order to help developing countries negotiate more effectively, the WTO Secretariat conducted atechnical assistance programme that helped each participating country to identify its particular
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needs and priorities in the trade facilitation negotiations. This programme was implemented in
cooperation with the International Monetary Fund, OECD, the United Nations Conference on Trade
and Development, the World Customs Organization and the World Bank, as well as the national
governments of many WTO members.
The WTO Secretariat also oversees a technical assistance programme that brings technical experts
from the capitals of African and LDC countries to participate in some of the trade facilitation
negotiation meetings. Once the trade facilitation negotiations have been concluded, the WTO
Secretariat will implement technical assistance programmes to help members understand and meet
their obligations under this new agreement:
RIVALRY AMONG THE EXISTINGFIRMS
The strongest of the five competitive forces is usually the jockeying for position and buyers
favorthat goes among rival firms. In case of textile industry there is intense rivalry among thefirmsdue to the following factors:
a) Diverse competitors
Attempts by cross-border competitors to gain stronger footholds in each others domestic
marketboost the intensity of rivalry, especially when foreign rivals have lower costs or very
attractiveproducts. In case of Pakistani textile sector, so far Indian, Korean, and Chinese companies
areonly close rivals. No doubt, that competition between all the countries is quite intense. All
areengaged in consistent homework, just to break and attract each other customers
towardthemselves. Elimination of quota system in 2007 will further boost up this rivalry amongfirms indifferent countries.
b) Customers switching cost
The lower the cost of switching, the easier it is for rival sellers to raid one anothers customer.
If any company not gives the quality and price buyers want, they would definitely go for
othertextile companies.
c) High exit barriers
Huge investments of financial, human and marketing resources are required to enter in thisbusiness
because of need for plants which can produce quality with consistency and need forprocurement athigh level. After obtaining such plants it takes years to recover the fixed costsand to breakeven so
rivalry tends to be more vigorous when it costs more to get out of abusiness than to stay in and
compete. Thus, rivalry is strong, as the firm has to stay andcompete with existing rivals.
d) Competitors cost saving
Cost saving is the key to survival in this sector. The companies having cost advantages over
theircompetitors are doing well in this industry. Currently many organizations are introducing the
costsystems to be more cost efficient and to take edge on competitors
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POTENTIAL ENTRY OF NEW COMPETITORS
New Entrants to market bring new production capacity. Garment is the commodity that is
usedthroughout the year. Moreover the industry is attractive, so there are threats of potential
newentrants. But on the other side these threats are not intense due to high entrybarriers andexisting condition of the economy.
a) Huge investment is required
The larger the total rupees investment and other resources needed to enter the marketsuccessfully,
the more limited the pool of potential entrants. Production of branded garmentsrequires huge
investment of financial, human, technical and marketing resources. At themoment, the threat of new
entrants is low but in the future foreign firms can be a big threat.
b) Economy of scale
Scale economies deter entry because they force potential competitors either to enter on a large-scale
basis (a costly and perhaps risky move) or to accept a cost disadvantage (and lower profitability).
Without achieving the economy of scale it is difficult to compete in the market.More over new
entrants in the textile business may encounter scale-related barriers not just inthe production, but
also in advertising, marketing, distribution, financing, and raw material availability.
c) Cost disadvantages
Existing firms may have cost advantages not available to potentials entrants. In the industry
of branded garments these advantages include access to good supply sources and the benefits
of learning and experience curves etc.
d) Brand preference
Once the brand image is formed, than it is difficult for any other firm to introduce its products
intothe market so unless and until it has low price and superior quality. As inExport of garments
only few quality textile companies exist in Pakistan, so buyers will preferthese companies on the
other newly introduced firms.
e) Government regulatory policies
It is an entry barrier because different licenses and permits are required from those
registeredcompanies, which want to deal in manufacturing business and especially on international
level.
Trade Raises Incomes
Lowering trade barriers allows trade to increase, which adds to incomes national incomes and
personal incomes. But some adjustment is necessary
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The WTOs own estimates for the impact of the 1994 Uruguay Round trade deal were between
$109 billion and $510 billion added to world income (depending on the assumptions of the
calculations and allowing for margins of error). Other economists have produced similar figures.
In Europe, The EU Commission calculates that over 198993 EU incomes increased by 1.11.5%
more than they would have done without the Single Market. So trade clearly boosts incomes.
Trade also poses challenges as domestic producers face competition from imports. But the fact that
there is additional income means that resources are available for governments to redistribute the
benefits from those who gain the most for example to help companies and workers adapt by
becoming more productive and competitive in what they were already doing, or by switching to
new activities.
Trade stimulates economic growth, and that can be good news for employment.
This is a difficult subject to tackle in simple terms. There is strong evidence
that trade boosts economic growth, and that economic growth means more jobs.
It is also true that some jobs are lost even when trade is expanding.
But a reliable analysis of this poses at least two problems:
First, there are other factors at play. For example, technological advance has
also had a strong impact on employment and productivity, benefiting some
jobs, hurting others.
Second, while trade clearly boosts national income (and prosperity), this is not
always translated into new employment for workers who lost their jobs as aresult of competition from imports.
The picture is not the same all over the world. The average length of time a
worker takes to find a new job can be much longer in one country than for a
similar worker in another country experiencing similar conditions.
In other words, some countries are better at making the adjustment than others.
This is partly because some countries have more effective adjustment policies.Those without effective policies are missing an opportunity.
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There are many instances where the facts show that the opportunity has been
grasped where freer trade has been healthy for employment.
The EU Commission calculates that the creation of its Single Market means
that there are somewhere in the range of 300,000900,000 more jobs than there
would be without the Single Market.
Often, job prospects are better in companies involved in trade.
In the United States, 12 million people owe their jobs to exports; 2 million of
those jobs were created between 1993 and 1997. And those jobs tend to be
better-paid with better security. Between 1987 and 1992, employment growth
in companies involved in exporting was around 18% higher than in other
comparable companies.
The facts also show how protectionism hurts employment. The example of
the US car industry has already been mentioned: trade barriers designed to
protect US jobs by restricting imports from Japan ended up making cars more
expensive in the US, so fewer cars were sold and jobs were lost.
In other words, an attempt to tackle a problem in the short term by restrictingtrade turned into a bigger problem in the longer term.
Even when a country has difficulty making adjustments, the alternative of
protectionism would simply make matters worse.
The system shields governments from narrow interests.
The GATT-WTO system which evolved in the second half of the 20th Century
helps governments take a more balanced view of trade policy. Governments are
better-placed to defend themselves against lobbying from narrow interest
groups by focusing on trade-offs that are made in the interests of everyone in
the economy.
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One of the lessons of the protectionism that dominated the early decades of the
20th Century was the damage that can be caused if narrow sectoral interests
gain an unbalanced share of political influence.
The result was increasingly restrictive policy which turned into a trade war that
no one won and everyone lost.
Superficially, restricting imports looks like an effective way of supporting an
economic sector. But it biases the economy against other sectors which
shouldnt be penalized if you protect your clothing industry, everyone else
has to pay for more expensive clothes, which puts pressure on wages in all
sectors, for example.
Protectionism can also escalate as other countries retaliate by raising their own
trade barriers.
Thats exactly what happened in the 1920s and 30s with disastrous effects.
Even the sectors demanding protection ended up losing.
Governments need to be armed against pressure from narrow interest groups,
and the WTO system can help.
The GATT-WTO system covers a wide range of sectors.
So, if during a GATT-WTO trade negotiation one pressure group lobbies its
government to be considered as a special case in need of protection, the
government can reject the protectionist pressure by arguing that it needs a
broad-ranging agreement that will benefit all sectors of the economy.
Governments do just that, regularly.
The system encourages good government.
Under WTO rules, once a commitment has been made to liberalize a sector of
trade, it is difficult to reverse. The rules also discourage a range of unwise
policies. For businesses, that means greater certainty and clarity about tradingconditions. For governments it can often mean good discipline.
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The rules include commitments not to backslide into unwise policies.
Protectionism in general is unwise because of the damage it causes
domestically and internationally, as we have already seen.
Particular types of trade barriers cause additional damage because they provide
opportunities for corruption and other forms of bad government.
One kind of trade barrier that the WTOs rules try to tackle is the quota, for
example restricting imports or exports to no more than a specific amount each
year.
Because quotas limit supply, they artificially raise prices, creating abnormally
large profits (economists talk about quota rent). That profit can be used to
influence policies because more money is available for lobbying.
It can also provide opportunities for corruption, for example in the allocation of
quotas among traders. There are plenty of cases where that has happened
around the world.
In other words, quotas are a particularly bad way of restricting trade.
Governments have agreed through the WTOs rules that their use should bediscouraged.
Nevertheless, quotas of various types remain in use in most countries, and
governments argue strongly that they are needed. But they are controlled by
WTO agreements and there are commitments to reduce or eliminate many of
them, particularly in textiles.
Many other areas of the WTOs agreements can also help reduce corruption andbad government.
Transparency (such as making available to the public all information on trade
regulations), other aspects of trade facilitation, clearer criteria for regulations
dealing with the safety and standards of products, and non-discrimination also
help by reducing the scope for arbitrary decision-making and cheating.
Quite often, governments use the WTO as a welcome external constraint ontheir policies: we cant do this because it would violate the WTO agreements.
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GLOBALIZATION AND THE WTO
The WTO has become the most prominent symbol of globalization and the
complex changes that are driving the world economy. As such it has become
the target for all opponents of globalization as events in Seattle in December
1999 showed clearly. Despite the criticism, the WTO is a powerful example of
a rules-based international system to promote more open trade and investment
worldwide.
On the one hand, the WTO is a magnet for countries seeking to participate inthe benefits of the globalization process. More that 40 emerging and developing
countries have joined in the past five years and a further 30 are currently
waiting to get in. On the other hand, the WTO is regarded by the opponents of
globalization as the focal point for their concerns.
It may be that the WTO has become a victim of its own success. Along with its
predecessor, the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), it has been
a key instrument in opening markets and boosting prosperity through
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successive rounds of multilateral trade liberalization. It is also a powerful
example of a rules-based international system, run by its member governments
via a consensus-based system of decision-taking involving all its members.
Far from favouring the rich and powerful countries, international trade rules
and WTO disciplines give the poorer countries the chance to defend themselves
against pressures from powerful trading partners. The WTO is based on non-
discrimination. Rich and poor countries alike can be challenged if they violate
an agreement, and they have an equal right to challenge others through the
WTO's dispute settlement procedures.
The second half of the 20th century saw an unprecedented expansion of world
trade, which has also brought unprecedented economic growth. Since 1948,
annual economic statistics have invariably shown growth in world trade
outstripping economic growth. In other words, trade has been the engine of
economic growth. This means that economic activity is more and more
dependent upon trade as the years go by. The World Bank has estimated that a
40 percent cut in trade protection by 2005, through the reduction of tariffs in
manufacturing and of other trade barriers in agriculture and services, would
boost global output by about 500 billion dollars.
In 1998, world merchandise exports were worth over five trillion dollars, and in
volume terms that represents an 18-fold increase over 1948. Although the
world's population has more than doubled, to reach six billion this year, exports
per capita are eight times as high in real terms as in 1948. The figures are so
huge that it is difficult to take them in. Behind them is the reality that trade has
contributed enormously to world growth and prosperity over the half century,
bringing better jobs and more resources for education, health and other social
spending. Despite the poverty that still exists in too many countries, the fact is
that the world is far more prosperous now than it has ever been.
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TENTATIVE CONCLUSIONS
Mode IV affects both the international politics of trade and migration. It therefore falls under
the broad category of trade and issues.
In order to understand the impact on the multilateral level, it is necessary to look at how
Mode IV is mediated by domestic and bureaucratic politics.
The degree to which Mode IV mobilises new actors will depend partly upon certain domestic
thresholds of tolerance through which the social impacts of market liberalisation are
mediated.
Mode IV affects the politics of trade by drawing in a range of interests groups and
government departments with interests in migration. This leads to the emergence of new veto
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players at the multilateral level.
Mode IV affects the politics of migration because its social consequences draw in different
government ministries. This leads different ministries to engage in different strategies of
ministerial forum-shopping and institutional choice at the multilateral level.
Because of its domestic and bureaucratic implications the migration-trade linkage inherent to
Mode IV appears to be cooperation-diminishing rather than cooperation-enhancing for both
issue-areas.
On a theoretical level, the analysis highlights interesting elements of the relationship
between regime complexity and domestic politics:
1) Whether or not complexity is cooperation-enhancing or cooperation-diminishing will
be mediated by conditions at the domestic level.
2) In the context of complexity, it is not only unitary states that engage in forum
shopping and cross-institutional strategies but also different government ministries
pursuing specific agendas and normative goals.
So the analytical challenge before us is to assess how the different veto players at the
domestic and multilateral level will interact with trade circles and what factors will affect
outcomes at different moments in time to
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