Project Management for ITM - NEW

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    PROJECT APPRAISAL

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    INTRODUCTION

    Project appraisal is a process of detailed examination of

    several aspects of a given project before recommending the same.

    TECHNICAL APPRAISAL

    Technical appraisal broadly involves a critical study of the

    following aspects, viz.,

    1. Selection of process / technology

    2. Scale of operations

    3. Raw Material

    4. Technical Know-how

    5. Collaboration agreements

    6. Product mix

    7. Selection and procurement of plant and machinery

    8. Plant layout

    9. Location of the project

    10. Project scheduling and implementation

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    SELECTION OF PROCESS / TECHNOLOGY

    For manufacturing a product, more than one process /

    technology may be available. The choice of technology also

    depends upon the quality and quantity of the product proposed tobe manufactured.

    A new technology that is protected by patent rights etc.

    can be obtained either by licensing arrangement or the

    technology can be purchased outright.

    Technology can be purchased outright if the cost of

    acquisition is affordable.

    Appropriate Technology: A technology appropriate for one

    country may not be the ideal one for another country. The term

    appropriate technology refers that technology that is suitable for

    the local economic, social and cultural conditions.Does the technology makes use of the locally available raw

    material?

    Can the technology by implemented and maintained by the

    locally available man power?

    Is the technology in tune with the local social and cultural

    conditions?

    Does the technology protects ecological balance etc.?

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    SCALE OF OPERATIONS

    Scale of operations is signified by the size of the plant. Economic size

    of the plant varies from project to project. Economic size of the plant for a

    given project can be arrived at by an analysis of capital and operating costs asa function of the plant size.

    Other factors like special problems of fabrication of equipments,

    transportation and erection of equipments, problems associated with

    availability of production inputs on a sustained basis etc. also impose

    restrictions on the plant size.

    RAW MATERIAL

    Selection of Raw Material: A product can be manufactured using alternative

    raw materials and with alternative processes. Since the manufacturing process

    and the machinery / equipment to be used also to a larger extent depend upon

    the raw material.

    TECHNICAL KNOW-HOW

    When technical know-how for the project is provided by expert

    consultants, it must be ascertained whether the consultant has the requisite

    knowledge and experience and whether he has already executed similar

    projects successfully.

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    COLLABORATION AGREEMENTS

    a. The competence and reputation of the collaborators needs to be

    ascertained through possible sources including the Indian embassies

    abroad and the collaborators bankers.

    b. The technology proposed to be imported should suit to the localconditions.

    c. The collaboration agreement should have necessary approval of the

    Government of India.

    d. There should not be any restrictive clause in the agreement that import

    of equipment / machinery required for the project should be

    channelised through the collaborators.e. The design of the machinery should be made available to the project

    promoter to facilitate future procurement and / or fabrication of the

    machinery in India at a later stage.

    f. The agreement should provide a clause that any dispute arising out of

    interpretation of the agreement, failure to comply with the clauses

    contained in the agreement etc. shall be decided only by courts with inIndia.

    g. The collaboration agreement should not impose any restriction on the

    exports of goods produced.

    h. It must be ensured that the collaboration agreement does not infringe

    upon any patent rights.

    i. It is better to have a buy-back arrangement with the technicalcollaborator.

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    PRODUCT MIX

    Customers differ in their needs and preferences. Hence variations in

    size and quality of products are necessary to satisfy the varying needs andpreferences of customers.

    Selection and Procurement of Plant and Machinery

    Capacity of each machinery is to be decided by making a rough

    estimate, as under: thumb rules should be avoided.

    a. Take into consideration the output planned.

    b. Arrive at the machine hours required for each type of

    operation

    c. Arrive at the machine capacity after giving necessary

    allowances for machinery maintenance / break down, rest timefor workers, set up time for machines, time lost during change

    of shifts etc.

    d. After having arrived at the capacity of the machinery as above,

    make a survey of the machinery available in the market with

    regard to capacity and choose that capacity which is either

    equal to or just above the capacity theoretically arrived at.

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    PROCUREMENT OF MACHINERY

    The quality of output depends upon the quality of machinery used in

    processing the raw materials (apart from the quality of raw material itself).

    Uninterrupted production is again ensured only by high quality machines that

    do not break down so often.PLANT LAYOUT

    The efficiency of a manufacturing operation depends upon the layout the plant

    and machinery. Plant-layout is the arrangement of the various production

    facilities within the production area.

    a. The layout should be such that future expansion can be done withoutmuch alteration of the existing layout.

    b. The layout should facilitate effective supervision of work.

    c. Equipments causing pollution should be arranged to be located away

    from other plant and machinery. For example generator is a major

    source of noise pollution. Generator can not be placed amidst other

    machinery since the noise generated will spoil the entire atmosphere of

    the plant. Hence generally generator is housed in a separate shedaway from the main plant. Equipments that generate fumes are

    normally placed separately, preferably along the side of walls so that

    proper exhaust and ducting arrangements can be made easily for

    driving out the fumes.

    d. There should be adequate clearance between adjacent machinery and

    between the wall and machinery to enable undertaking of regularinspection and maintenance work.

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    LOCATION OF PROJECTS

    REGIONAL FACTORS

    a. Raw Materials

    b. Proximity to Market

    c. Availability of Labour

    d. Availability of Supporting Industries

    e. Availability of Infrastructural facilities.

    POWER

    Power intensive industries should be located at places where

    regular power supply is available.

    WATER

    Water requirement for the project should be correctly arrived at.

    TRANSPORT FACILITIES

    f. Locating industries in backward / most-backward areas, growth

    centre areas.

    g. Climatic factors

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    SITE FACTORS

    After having chosen a region that is comparatively more advantageous

    for the location of a project, for choosing a particular site in the chosen region.

    i. Choice of Location

    ii. Choice of Location based on tangible factors.

    PROJECT SCHEDULING

    Scheduling is nothing but the arrangement of activities of the project

    in the order of time in which they are to be performed.

    The schedule which broadly indicates the logical sequence of events would be

    as under.

    1.Land acquisition

    2.Site Development

    3.Preparing building plans, estimates, designs, getting necessary

    approvals and entrusting the construction work to contractors.

    4.Construction of building, machinery foundation and other related civil

    works and completion of the same.

    5.Placing order for machinery.

    6.Receipt of machinery at site

    7.Erection of machinery

    8.Commissioning of plant and taking trial runs

    9.Commencement of regular commercial production

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    COMMERCIAL APPRAISAL

    The Commercial appraisal is concerned with market for the

    product / service.

    Commercial approved (or market appraisal) of a project is donestudying the commercial successfulness of the product / service

    offered by the project from the following angles.

    a. Demand for the product

    b. Supply position for the product

    c. Distribution channelsd. Pricing of the product

    e. Government policies.

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    PROJECT RISKANALYSIS

    In project appraisal, risk analysis play an important part. Allprojects are prone to some kind of risk or the other.

    The following list of elements will give an idea of the

    assumptions on which any project appraisal is based on.

    Periodic cash inflows (the cash inflows are assumed by assuming

    the selling price of the producer over a period of time and the plant

    output over the said period)

    Periodic cash outflows (the cash outflows are assumed by assuming

    the purchase price of raw materials, the cost of power, labour etc.)

    Life of machinery

    Salvage value of machinery.

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    RISK VS UNCERTAINLY

    Risk can be defined as the variability of return from an investment. If the

    probabilities of possible outcomes of a given problem are known, we can

    conclude that the problem outcomes of a gives words the problem is risky.

    KINDS OF PROJECT RISKS

    Project Completion Risk : Completing the project in time and within the

    estimated cost itself is a major achievement.

    Resource Risk : Raw materials, power, fuel, manpower etc.

    Price Risk : Price fluctuations of both inputs and outputs.

    Technology Risk: Technology risk may appear in two forms. A project that is

    based on unproven technology (i.e. a technology that is proved at

    laboratory level but not proved at commercial level) may have hidden

    defects which may make the project a non-starter.

    Political Risk : The saying goes Do not fight with King and God The King

    (i.e., the Government) acts as a watch dog of the countrys economy and

    frames rules and regulations for regulating the countrys economy.

    Interest Rate Risk: Fluctuations in interest rate may bring in an adverse effect.

    Exchange Rate Risk : Exchange rate risk (also called currency risk) is the risk

    arising from currency fluctuations

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    TECHNIQUES OF RISK ANALYSIS

    Though there are many mathematical techniques available for risk

    analysis, the following are the simple tools that come handy for

    analyzing small and medium sized projects.

    Break Even Analysis

    SensitivityAnalysis

    Decision TreeAnalysis

    Monte-Carlo Technique

    Game Theory

    Break Even Analysis: The financial viability of a project is estimated by

    making various assumptions like the cost of raw material, cost of

    consumables, cost of labour, expected sales realization, expected

    capacity utilization of the plant etc.

    Break even point (BEP) refers to the level of operation at which the

    project will earns profit nor incurs loss. Calculation ofBEP for the

    given cost and price levels indicate the minimum capacity utilization

    that the project should aim at in order to be in a no-profit, no-loss

    situation.

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    Fixed Costs: All projects incur certain costs that are fixed in nature.

    These costs remain constant irrespective of the changed in the volume

    of output. Following are some of the fixed costs:

    Rent payable for land

    Rent payable for factory / office premises

    Insurance premium on fixed assets

    Interest payable on long-term borrowing / deposits

    Administrative expenses

    Annual maintenance charges payable for machinery maintenance

    Depreciation

    Property tax etc.

    Variable Costs: These are those costs that vary directly with the level of

    output. Raw material cost is a variable cost since it depends on thelevel of output. Some other variable costs are as under.

    Consumable stores

    Power, Fuel, water charges

    Selling expenses etc.

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    SENSITIVITYANALYSIS

    It is a technique that measures the change in the profitability of a

    project caused by changes in the factors that affect the each inflows ofthe project. If a small change in one factor leads to a major change in

    the profitability of the proposed investment, the project is considered

    more sensitive to that factor; in other words, the project is more risky.

    Other things being equal, a project that is less sensitive is preferable to

    projects that are more sensitive.

    DECISION TREEANALYSIS:

    Decision tree approach is a graphical technique that can be used

    for analyzing the pros and cons of alternative decisions and choosing

    the best possible course of action. In real life situation, decision aretaken under conditions of uncertainty.

    A decision tree is a diagrammatic representation of the logical

    relationship between the different parts of a complex situation and the

    possible outcomes of different decisions.

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    A decision tree is made up of nodes and branches. Nodes and of

    two types, viz.,

    Decision node (also called decision point)

    and Chance node (also called chance point orchance event)

    A decision point is represented by a square and a chance point is

    represented by a Circle, Different alternatives available for the given

    situation emerges from the decision point. At each chance point, thedifferent possible outcomes of one of the alternative decisions are

    marked.

    EXPECTED MONETARY VALUE (EMV):

    The effectiveness of any decision is measured only in terms of

    money. Hence, the outcomes of all decisions are measured in terms of

    the expected monetary value (EMV). EMV provides a common base for

    comparing the outcomes of different decisions and choosing the one

    that is found more advantageous.

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    RULE FOR DRAWING DECISION TREE:

    Identify all the alternative decisions available at the initial decision

    point (i.e., at decision point - I)

    Identify all possible subsequent decisions points

    Identify all possible chance points and the likely outcomes at the

    change points

    Develop a decision tree diagram showing in sequence the

    decision points and chance points. Construct the decision tree

    diagram from the left to the right. Denote the decision point by a

    square and the chance points by a circle.

    After constructing the decision tree, work backwards (i.e., from

    the right to the left) computing the EMV of each change point and

    each decision point till the initial decision point is reached

    Determine the best alternative at the initial decision point.

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    MONTE CARIO SIMULATION:

    Monte Carlo is a code name given by Von Newmann and Ulam to

    the technique of solving problems using random numbers. Monte

    Carlo technique can be used to solve a variety of problems

    involving stochastic situations (a stochastic situation is one

    where some of all parameters of the problem are described by

    random variable)

    The steps involved in Monte Carlo technique are as under:

    1. From the given probability of occurrence of events, establish

    cumulative probability.

    2. Assign tag numbers to the events in such a way that the tag

    numbers represent the cumulative probability.

    3. Obtain random numbers from a random number table.

    4. Correlate the random numbers with the tag numbers assigned to

    the events and identify the value for the respective events.

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    GAME THEORY

    In real life situation, business firms compete with one another.

    Game theory deals with situations in which two intelligent

    opponents have conflicting interests. To achieve their goals, thetwo firms will form strategies. The strategy that one firm forms will

    depend upon the strategy that the other firm has already formed /

    in the process of forming. The approach to such competitive

    problems was developed by Von Neumann who named it Game

    Theory

    The number of competitors are finite. (the competitors are also

    known as players)

    Each player has a finite number of strategies

    All the players need not necessarily have the same number of

    strategies.

    Each player chooses a single course of action from the list ofstrategies available to him.All the players are assumed to make

    their choice simultaneously so that no player known the choices of

    his opponent until he is already committed to his choice.

    The objective of the Game Theory is to develop a rational

    criterion for the selection of a strategy / strategies by each player.

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    SWOT ANALYSIS

    STRENGTHS:

    Locational advantage of the organization nearness to the

    sources of raw material, nearness to location of end users etc.

    Goodwill developed among clients

    Buy-back arrangements

    Lower capital investment on the existing plant (i.e., setting

    up

    a similar plant would have become much costlier)

    Good network of dealers and distributors already

    established

    WEAKNESSES:

    Technological obsolescence

    Scarcity of raw material

    Comparatively less international price for similar products

    Locational disadvantage resulting in higher freight costs for

    transportation of raw materials / finished products

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    OPPORTUNITIES

    Cost of raw material becoming cheaper

    Liberalisation of import of raw material (where the cost of

    imported raw material is cheaper)Growth in per capita income and growth in consumption

    level

    Advent of cost saving production technology

    THREATS

    Import of competitive products becoming cheaper

    Liberalisation of import of competitive products (when the

    cost

    of imported goods is cheaper)

    Withdrawal of existing incentives by the GovernmentRaw material becoming costlier

    General recession in the economy resulting in slowing down

    of consumption

    New entrants entering the field in a big way

    Stringent pollution control measures adopted by the

    Government

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    PROJECT COSTESTIMATION

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    COST OF THE PROJECT

    Correct estimation of the capital cost of a project is the foundation over

    which the edifice of financial appraisal stands.

    Components of capital cost of a project : The following are the componentsthat consistute the capital cost of any project.

    i. Land

    ii. Land development

    iii. Buildings

    iv. Plant and machinery

    v. Electricalsvi. Transport and erection charges

    vii. Know-how / consultancy fees

    viii.Miscellaneous assets

    ix. Preliminary and preoperative expenses

    x. Provision for contingencies

    xi. Margin money for working capitalORDER OF MAGNITUDE ESTIMATE

    a. Investment per Unit of Output

    b. Turnover Ratio

    c. Inflation Index

    d. Six-tenth Factor

    e. Location Index

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    PROJECTFINANCING

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    INTRODUCTION

    Project financing may be defined as the raising of funds required

    to finance an economically separable capital investment proposalin which the lenders mainly rely on the estimated cash flow from

    the project to service their loans.

    SOURCES OF FINANCE

    1. Ordinary shares2. Preference shares

    3. Debentures

    4. Bonds

    5. Term Loans

    6. Deferred Credits

    7. Capital Investment Subsidy8. Lease Financing

    9. Unsecured Loans

    10. InternalAccruals

    11. Bridge Loans

    12. Public Deposits

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    ROLE OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS IN PROJECT FINANCING

    Normally projects are financed by a combination of equity and

    debt. This is more so in respect of larger projects, for the reason

    that arranging for equity capital to fund the entire project may notbe feasible.

    Whatever may be the approach to lending, the lending decision is

    primarily governed by three considerations, viz.,

    1. The capacity of the project to repay the loan along with interestobligations, out of its own cash generations.

    2. The value of security offered for the loan

    3. The integrity and willingness of the borrower to repay the loan in

    time.

    COVENANTS ATTACHED TO LENDING

    The bank / financial institution that extends term loan for the

    setting up of a project imposes certain conditions to be fulfilled by

    the borrower and these conditions (covenants) are contained in

    the term loan sanction orders / mortgage deeds executed by the

    borrower in favour of the bank / financial institution.

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    PROJECT APPRAISAL I

    FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

    OF PROJECTS

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    INTRODUCTION

    A project should earn sufficient return on the investment. The very

    idea of promoting a project by an entrepreneur is to earnattractive returns on investment on the project. Projects

    sponsored / undertaken by Government may take into account

    social cost benefits. All other projects have the prime motive of

    getting maximum return on investment.

    Financial analysis broadly falls under two categories viz.,

    Non-discounted cash flow techniques.

    Discounted cash flow techniques

    The further subdivision within these two techniques are as under:

    Non-discounted cash flow techniques:

    Payback period (PB) method.

    Accounting rate of return (ARR) method.

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    Discounted cash flow techniques

    Net Present Value (NPV) method

    Profitability Index (PI) method

    Internal Rate of Return (IRR) method Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR) method

    PAYBACK PERIOD METHOD

    This is one of the widely recognized and simple method of

    evaluating investment proposals. Payback period is defined as thelength of time required to recover the original investment on the

    project, through cash flows earned.

    Average Rate of Return (ARR) Method (orAccounting Rate of

    Return Method)

    The average rate of return is also called the accounting rate of return.

    (Profit after tax)

    Average rate of return = --------------------------------------------

    (Book value of investment)

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    NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV) METHOD

    This method is one of the discounted cash flow techniques and it

    recognize the time value of money.

    Net present value [Present value of all [Present value of

    (NPV) of Cash Flow = future cash in flows - cash out flow]

    over the life of the project.]

    PROFITABILITY INDEX (PI) METHOD

    If there are two projects that require the same amount of

    investment, the project with a higher net present value can be chosen.

    INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR) METHOD

    The internal rate of return of a project is the discount rate that

    makes the net present value equal to Zero. In other words, internal rate

    of return is that rate of discount which would equate the present value

    of cash out flows (investments on the project) to the present value of

    cash inflows (the benefits over the life of the project).

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    PROJECT APPRAISAL II

    FINANCIAL

    PROJECTIONS

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    INTRODUCTION

    The following financial projections are done in financial appraisal

    of projects to ascertain the financial viability.

    a. Cost of production and profitability estimate

    b. Cash flow estimate

    c. Projected balance sheet

    The above three projections are interrelated

    PROFITABILITY ESTIMATE

    This is an estimate of expected sales realizations and expected

    expenses to be incurred by the enterprise. If the expected sales

    realization is greater than the expected expenses, the unit is

    expected to earn profit.

    CAPACITY UTILIZATION

    A plant may have a capacity to produce say 1,000 units of a

    proposed product in a year.

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    RAW MATERIALS

    The requirement of raw material depends upon the

    projected output. If the capacity utilization of the plant forthe first year of operation is assumed at, say 50%, then, the

    raw material requirement for the production of products

    equal to 50% of the installed capacity of the plant.

    POWER, FUEL, WATER

    Electric power requirement is to be calculated keeping in

    view of the manufacturing process. Some of the equipments

    may be in operation only for a few hours in a shift while

    some equipment may be running throughout. These factorsare to be carefully looked into while arriving at the power

    requirement. The expenses required to be spent on power

    charge is arrived at by multiplying the total power

    requirement with the prevailing power tariff.

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    CONSUMABLES

    These are materials that are consumed during production process

    and they can not be traced in the final product. Consumablesdepend upon the nature of production process and type of

    machinery.

    The following are some of the examples for consumables.

    a. Welding electrodes used inAre welding componentsb. Welding wires and oxy-acetelene gas used in gas welding

    c. Drill bits used in drilling machines

    d. Graphite electrodes used inArc furnaces

    e. Grinding stones

    f. Grease, emery sheets, etc.

    WAGES AND SALARIES

    Wages and salaries for all the employees in the production and

    allied departments are to be accounted for.

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    REPAIRS AND MAINTENANCE

    Both building and machinery require periodical maintenance.

    RENT, INSURANCE

    Rent for leased premises shall be calculated as per the terms of

    the lease agreement.

    FACTORY SUPERVISION

    This is the salary payable to factory supervisory staff and it shall

    be ascertained in the same lines as it is arrived at for the head

    wages and salaries.

    DEPRECIATION

    The term depreciation denotes the decrease in the value of fixed

    assets with the passage of time.

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    PROJECT PLANNING

    ANDSCHEDULING

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    INTRODUCTION

    The process of project planning involves the following main steps.

    a. Defining the objectives of the project

    b. Making forecasts for achieving the goals

    c. Identifying the alternative courses of action for

    achieving the goals

    d. Evaluating the resources available to the organization

    e. Evaluating the available alternative courses of actionsand selecting the course of action/actions that are most

    suited to achieve the desired results, taking into

    account resource constraints, if any.

    PROJECT SCHEDULING

    Project scheduling refers to the process of laying out all the

    actual activities of the project in the time order in which they are

    to be performed, keeping in view of the logical sequence of the

    activities.

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    The logical sequence of activities of a project would be as under.

    Company registration

    Obtaining industrial licenses / import licenses

    Appointment of consultant

    Resource mobilization

    Land acquisition and site development.

    Preparing civil work designs, plans and estimates and entrusting

    the construction work to civil contractors.

    Preparing design specifications and placing order for plant and

    machinery.

    Transport of plant and machinery to the project site.

    Erection of machinery

    Commissioning the plant and taking trial run.

    Commencing regular commercial production.

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    SCHEDULING TECHNIQUES :

    As we have seen above, a project consists of many activities,

    which have some logical interrelationship between themselves.A

    llactivities consume resources of three kinds viz., time, men and

    materials (or money). The project scheduling techniques are

    concerned with the resource time. One of the objectives of

    project management is to optimize the use of resources.

    Scheduling techniques offer solution to optimatisation of project

    time.

    BAR CHARTS :

    Bar chart is a pictorial representation showing the various

    activities involved in a project. The chart has two co-ordinateaxes; one axis represents the activities and the other axis

    represents the time required for completion of the individual

    activities. Bar chart was first conceived and developed by Henry

    L. Gantt and hence bar chart is also sometimes referred as Gantt

    chart, in the name of the person who popularized the concept.

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    PROGRAMME PROGRESS CHARTS

    The Bar chart that we have discussed in the previous paragraph

    depicts the proposed activities of a project with their estimated time

    duration.

    LIMITATIONS OF BAR CHART

    Bar charts are difficult to update when there are many changes.

    When there are changes between the plan and the actual

    achievement, bar charts become quickly obsolete.

    Bar charts do not equate time with cost; hence time-cost relationship

    cannot be derived from them.

    Bar charts do not provide methods for optimizing resource allocation.

    In view of the above limitations, bar charts are useful only for small

    projects and cannot be effectively used for medium sized and large

    projects.

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    NETWORK BASED SCHEDULING

    Network Diagram

    It is a graphical flow plan of the activities that must be

    accomplished for completing the project. It arranges the activities

    in logical sequence, following the precedence succulence

    relationships between the activities.

    There are two popular network-scheduling techniques. They are

    a. Critical Path Method (CPM) and

    b. Programme Evaluation Review Technique (PERT)

    CPM was developed in the year 1957, by Morgan R. Walker of

    DU Pont and James E. Kelly of Remington Rand.

    PERT was developed in the year 1958 by the US Navy.

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    Activity

    An activity is any identifiable job that has a beginning and an end.

    An activity consumes time, manpower and material resources.

    The following are some examples of activities.

    1. Excavation of foundation

    2. Placing of foundation concrete

    3. Construction of walls4. Construction of roofing

    5. Wiring and electrification work.

    Event

    An event (also called node) is the beginning or end of an activity.

    An event does not consume time, manpower or material

    resources. An event represents a specific point in time. Event is

    represented by a circle. Thus the two circles placed at the

    beginning and at the end of an activity are called events.

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    Relationship Among Activities : As we have already said, a network is a

    graphical representation of the logical sequence of all the

    activities of a project. A project is a collection of various activities

    and the activities are interrelated among themselves. There are

    three possible relationships between the different activities.

    Skip Numbering : Large projects involve a large number of activities.

    Since all the activities can not be correctly foreseen and included

    in the network, the network for large projects may need

    modifications during execution of projects.

    Critical Path Method : A network represents the logical sequence of

    activities contained in a Each path in a network will have a

    different duration. The path that has the longest duration is called

    the critical path and the activities that lie on the critical path are

    called critical activities. It is the critical path that sets the overall

    duration of the project.

    Finding Critical path in Large Network : The method of finding out the

    number of paths available in a given network connecting the initial

    and end events, finding the time duration of all the available paths

    and identifying the critical path is suitable for smaller networks.

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    PROGRAMME EVALUATION AND REVIEW TECHNIQUE (PERT)

    The critical path method (CPM) uses only one time estimate for

    each activity.

    a. Optimistic time estimate

    b. Pessimistic time estimate and

    c. Most likely time estimate

    a. Optimistic Time Estimate :It is the shortest possible time in which an activity can be

    completed under ideal conditions.

    b. Pessimistic Time Estimate :

    It is the maximum possible time that it would take to complete

    an activity under worst conditions.

    c. Most likely Time Estimate:

    It lies between optimistic and pessimistic time estimates. It is

    the time in which an activity can be completed under normal

    conditions.

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    RESOURCEALLOCATION

    One of the main problems faced by a project manageris resource allocation. With the help of the network

    techniques explained earlier, the project manager can

    identify the critical activities. For completing the

    project in time, he must have the required resources at

    his disposal.

    RESOURCE LEVELLING

    There are situations demanding that the project shouldbe completed by a specified due date. The due-date

    for project completion is decided by the management

    for various reasons.

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    PROJECTORGANIZATION

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    INTRODUCTION

    1. Functional Organization

    2. Product Organization and

    3. Matric OrganizationFUNCTIONAL ORGANIZATION

    Functional Organization is the most basic and logical form of

    organizational structure.

    PRODUCTION ORGANIZATION

    The advantage of product organization is that all the activities,

    skills and expertise required to produce and market a particular

    product (or a group of related products) are grouped together

    under a single head.

    MATRIX ORGANIZATION

    This form of organization is ideally suited for enterprise that are

    project-driven, i.e., enterprises whose activities centers around

    handling projects like construction companies, companies

    offering turn-key projects etc.,

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    PROJECT EVALUATION

    AND POST PROJECTEVALUATION

    (POST AUDIT)

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    PROJECT EVALUATION

    To evaluate means to assess. Thus, project evaluation is an

    assessment of the project during the course of implementation.

    PROJECT EVALUATION OBJECTIVES

    1. To verify if the progress of project implementation is as planned

    and to take corrective measures if the project progress lags

    behind the schedule.

    2. To ascertain whether the actual costs are within the budgeted

    costs at the different stages of implementation and to take

    steps to contain costs if the actual costs escalate over the

    budgeted costs.

    3. To ensure that the quality standards of the project are reached

    without any compromise.

    4. To identify any unexpected problem areas and to plan for

    managing such situations appropriately.

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    5. To appraise the clients about the progress of the project and to

    keep them informed about the project status.

    6. To bring about overall improvement in project performance.

    7. To watch whether the project objectives are met and to suggest

    corrective measures if the objectives are found to get

    defeated.

    8. To give confidence to the project team members and toreassure the organizations commitment to the project.

    OBJECTIVES OF POSTAUDIT

    The adequacy of contingency provision made in the project

    cost estimate to take care of unforeseen expenditures.

    The normal project implementation time for different projects

    The comparative project cost for similar projects

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    OPTIONS

    INPROJECTS

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    CALL OPTION : A call option gives the option-holder (i.e., the buyer of

    the option) the right to buy the specified amount or quantity of the

    underlying asset before a specified date at a specified price. It

    must be noted that the option-holder has the right to buy but hasno obligation to buy.

    PUT OPTION : A put option gives the option-holder (i.e., the buyer of

    the option) the right to sell the specified amount or quantity of the

    underlying asset before a specified date at a specified price.

    EUROPEAN OPTION : An European option is one that can be exercised

    only on the expiry date. For example, a 3-month European option

    purchased on January 1st can be exercised only on 1stApril.

    AMERICAN OPTION : An American option is one that can be exercisedat any time on or before the expiry date. For example, a 3-month

    American option purchased on January 1st can be exercised on

    any day on or before 1stApril. It is the option-holder who decides

    as to when to exercise his option.

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    TOPICS OF INTEREST

    ON PROJECTMANAGEMENT

    BANK GUARANTEE

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    BANK GUARANTEE

    1. Financial Guarantee

    2. Performance Guarantee and

    3. Deferred Payment Guarantee

    FINANCIAL GUARANTEE

    When a bank gives financial guarantee on behalf of its customer,

    the bank undertakes to discharge some monetary obligation of its

    customer.

    PERFORMANCE GUARANTEE

    These are the guarantees issued by a bank for the performance of

    a specific contract or obligation.

    BOOT (Build, Own, Operate, Transfer) Projects

    Boot project have their origin in Turkey, where the formula for

    building up of mega projects was tried in 1980-s. There are two

    parties to a BOOT project, viz., the principal project promoter

    (usually, the Government) and a private participant.

    BOO (B ild O O ) P j

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    BOO (Build, Own, Operate) Projects

    The private investors execute the project, own and operate the

    infrastructural assets created for the whole life.

    BOLT (Build, Operate, Lease, Transfer) Projects

    The private investors build and operate the project for a specified

    period of time.

    COST OVERRUN

    The term cost overrun means increase in project cost over and

    above the estimated project cost. Delayed implementation of

    project (time overrun) invariably results in cost overrun due to the

    following reasons.

    1. Due to time delay, the cost of project components may get

    increased in view of the effects of inflation.

    2. Delayed implementation beyond the planned duration means

    employing labour for more period than envisaged leading to

    increased expenditure on labour.

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    CREDIT RATING

    The dictionary ofBusiness and Economics by Christian Ammer

    and Dean S. Ammer (The Free Press, Newyork, 1977) defines

    credit rating as an evaluation of the financial trust worthiness of a

    company or individual particularly with regard to meeting some

    obligation. Rating commenced in the year 1909, when John

    Moody, a financial analyst published ratings on bonds issued by

    railroad companies, using rating symbols ranging fromAaa to C.In 1910, John Moody extended his ratings to utility and industrial

    bonds.

    DISASTER PROJECTS

    These are projects that need to be completed at the shortest

    possible time, inspite of the capital cost going up. The main aim is

    to reduce the project time drastically. As time is the main criterion,

    normally competitive bidding is avoided.

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    ENTERPRISE RESOURCE PLANNING (ERP)

    A small organization can be managed single handedly by its

    promoter. As the organization grows in size and the volume of

    operations increases, it becomes increasingly difficult to manage

    by a single person.

    Such an information system that takes a holistic view of the

    organization will tie up all the functional departments of theorganization and will facilitate seamless flow of information

    across the different departments and is called as Enterprise

    Resource Planning (ERP) system.

    The term Enterprise represents an undertaking in which a group

    of people work with a common goal. The term Resource

    represents factors like men, material, money, time and other

    things that are required to run an enterprise and that are

    consumed during the process of running an enterprise.

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    The ERP System is a computer Software Program that supports

    the ERP.

    The following are some of the definition of ERP / ERP Software.

    1. Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) is an attempt to integrate all

    departments and functions across an organization into a single

    computer system that can serve all those departments particular

    needs and also help achieve organisational goals.

    2. ERP Software is an integrated software program that runs of a

    single data base in such a way that the various departments can

    share information easily among themselves and can communicate

    with each other.

    3. ERP software is set of programs that integrate a companys

    operations and operate on a shared database.

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    PROJECT FINANCING

    Banks and financial institutions are the two institutions

    that play a major role in project financing. A projectrequires resources. In other words, funds are required

    to be set aside to create resources meant for the

    execution of projects.

    The financial requirement for the creation of fixedassets are made available by financial institutions and

    banks in the form ofTerm-loan

    Even when a project is executed by an existing firm for

    meeting its specific requirements (like expansion,modernization, new product development etc.)

    depending on the size of the project, it may also

    require financial assistance in the form of Term-Loan.

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    PROJECT LIFE CYCLE

    All projects have a life cycle. The duration of life cycle will vary

    depending on the type and nature of the project. The life cycle of

    any project consists of four phases. The phases in project life

    cycle are as under.

    1. Conceptualization of project and defining the problem.

    2. Planning of project activities and planning for resources3. Execution of Project

    4. Termination of Project

    VENTURE CAPITAL

    The term Venture Capital comprises two words, viz., venture

    and capital. The dictionary meaning of venture is a risky

    undertaking and the term capital means the resources to start

    the enterprise.

    A project that the potential for substantial growth but that has a

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    A project that the potential for substantial growth, but that has a

    high risk proportion in view of its technology not having been

    proved, will not generally attract investors since investors do not

    want to take undue risk, however attractive the long term returns

    may be. Hence, the need for a venture capitalist to nurse suchventures.

    The main characteristics of venture capital investments are as under:

    Investments are usually made in the equity capital of the

    enterprise.

    The venture capitalist does not interfere in the management of theenterprise.

    Apart from equity finance, the venture capitalist may also extend

    financial assistance in the form of quasi-equity, conditional loans

    etc.

    Venture capital investments are made only in high-risk, high-

    growth projects.

    Risk analysis forms the major part of project appraisal.

    The venture capitalist opts to finance the venture only if he is

    satisfied after his extensive analysis and appraisal that the risk

    factors are offset by higher probability of success.

    Investment is made usually in new ventures, i.e., in start-ups.

    STAGES OF VENTURE CAPITAL FINANCING

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    First Stage: A small amount of capital is provided to the entrepreneur to

    finance his R&D efforts for product development, to prove a

    concept, or to go for commercial production in a small level when

    the product development stage has already been completedsuccessfully.

    Second Stage: Once the first stage of financing has been successful,

    the enterprise qualifies for the second stage of financing.

    Third Stage: This is provided for the major expansion of the company.

    The Indian Scene of Venture Capital Financial : The concept of venture

    capital as a new area of financial service was first introduced in

    the fiscal budget for the year 1986-87.

    1. Technology Development and Information Company of India Ltd.,

    (TDICI), Jointly promoted by ICICI and UTI.2. Venture capital division of IDBI.

    3. Risk Capital and Technology Finance Corporation Ltd., (RCTC)

    promoted by IFCI.

    4. Gujarat Venture Capital Limited, promoted by the Gujarat

    Industrial Investment Corporation Limited.