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PROJECT APPRAISAL
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INTRODUCTION
Project appraisal is a process of detailed examination of
several aspects of a given project before recommending the same.
TECHNICAL APPRAISAL
Technical appraisal broadly involves a critical study of the
following aspects, viz.,
1. Selection of process / technology
2. Scale of operations
3. Raw Material
4. Technical Know-how
5. Collaboration agreements
6. Product mix
7. Selection and procurement of plant and machinery
8. Plant layout
9. Location of the project
10. Project scheduling and implementation
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SELECTION OF PROCESS / TECHNOLOGY
For manufacturing a product, more than one process /
technology may be available. The choice of technology also
depends upon the quality and quantity of the product proposed tobe manufactured.
A new technology that is protected by patent rights etc.
can be obtained either by licensing arrangement or the
technology can be purchased outright.
Technology can be purchased outright if the cost of
acquisition is affordable.
Appropriate Technology: A technology appropriate for one
country may not be the ideal one for another country. The term
appropriate technology refers that technology that is suitable for
the local economic, social and cultural conditions.Does the technology makes use of the locally available raw
material?
Can the technology by implemented and maintained by the
locally available man power?
Is the technology in tune with the local social and cultural
conditions?
Does the technology protects ecological balance etc.?
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SCALE OF OPERATIONS
Scale of operations is signified by the size of the plant. Economic size
of the plant varies from project to project. Economic size of the plant for a
given project can be arrived at by an analysis of capital and operating costs asa function of the plant size.
Other factors like special problems of fabrication of equipments,
transportation and erection of equipments, problems associated with
availability of production inputs on a sustained basis etc. also impose
restrictions on the plant size.
RAW MATERIAL
Selection of Raw Material: A product can be manufactured using alternative
raw materials and with alternative processes. Since the manufacturing process
and the machinery / equipment to be used also to a larger extent depend upon
the raw material.
TECHNICAL KNOW-HOW
When technical know-how for the project is provided by expert
consultants, it must be ascertained whether the consultant has the requisite
knowledge and experience and whether he has already executed similar
projects successfully.
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COLLABORATION AGREEMENTS
a. The competence and reputation of the collaborators needs to be
ascertained through possible sources including the Indian embassies
abroad and the collaborators bankers.
b. The technology proposed to be imported should suit to the localconditions.
c. The collaboration agreement should have necessary approval of the
Government of India.
d. There should not be any restrictive clause in the agreement that import
of equipment / machinery required for the project should be
channelised through the collaborators.e. The design of the machinery should be made available to the project
promoter to facilitate future procurement and / or fabrication of the
machinery in India at a later stage.
f. The agreement should provide a clause that any dispute arising out of
interpretation of the agreement, failure to comply with the clauses
contained in the agreement etc. shall be decided only by courts with inIndia.
g. The collaboration agreement should not impose any restriction on the
exports of goods produced.
h. It must be ensured that the collaboration agreement does not infringe
upon any patent rights.
i. It is better to have a buy-back arrangement with the technicalcollaborator.
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PRODUCT MIX
Customers differ in their needs and preferences. Hence variations in
size and quality of products are necessary to satisfy the varying needs andpreferences of customers.
Selection and Procurement of Plant and Machinery
Capacity of each machinery is to be decided by making a rough
estimate, as under: thumb rules should be avoided.
a. Take into consideration the output planned.
b. Arrive at the machine hours required for each type of
operation
c. Arrive at the machine capacity after giving necessary
allowances for machinery maintenance / break down, rest timefor workers, set up time for machines, time lost during change
of shifts etc.
d. After having arrived at the capacity of the machinery as above,
make a survey of the machinery available in the market with
regard to capacity and choose that capacity which is either
equal to or just above the capacity theoretically arrived at.
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PROCUREMENT OF MACHINERY
The quality of output depends upon the quality of machinery used in
processing the raw materials (apart from the quality of raw material itself).
Uninterrupted production is again ensured only by high quality machines that
do not break down so often.PLANT LAYOUT
The efficiency of a manufacturing operation depends upon the layout the plant
and machinery. Plant-layout is the arrangement of the various production
facilities within the production area.
a. The layout should be such that future expansion can be done withoutmuch alteration of the existing layout.
b. The layout should facilitate effective supervision of work.
c. Equipments causing pollution should be arranged to be located away
from other plant and machinery. For example generator is a major
source of noise pollution. Generator can not be placed amidst other
machinery since the noise generated will spoil the entire atmosphere of
the plant. Hence generally generator is housed in a separate shedaway from the main plant. Equipments that generate fumes are
normally placed separately, preferably along the side of walls so that
proper exhaust and ducting arrangements can be made easily for
driving out the fumes.
d. There should be adequate clearance between adjacent machinery and
between the wall and machinery to enable undertaking of regularinspection and maintenance work.
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LOCATION OF PROJECTS
REGIONAL FACTORS
a. Raw Materials
b. Proximity to Market
c. Availability of Labour
d. Availability of Supporting Industries
e. Availability of Infrastructural facilities.
POWER
Power intensive industries should be located at places where
regular power supply is available.
WATER
Water requirement for the project should be correctly arrived at.
TRANSPORT FACILITIES
f. Locating industries in backward / most-backward areas, growth
centre areas.
g. Climatic factors
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SITE FACTORS
After having chosen a region that is comparatively more advantageous
for the location of a project, for choosing a particular site in the chosen region.
i. Choice of Location
ii. Choice of Location based on tangible factors.
PROJECT SCHEDULING
Scheduling is nothing but the arrangement of activities of the project
in the order of time in which they are to be performed.
The schedule which broadly indicates the logical sequence of events would be
as under.
1.Land acquisition
2.Site Development
3.Preparing building plans, estimates, designs, getting necessary
approvals and entrusting the construction work to contractors.
4.Construction of building, machinery foundation and other related civil
works and completion of the same.
5.Placing order for machinery.
6.Receipt of machinery at site
7.Erection of machinery
8.Commissioning of plant and taking trial runs
9.Commencement of regular commercial production
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COMMERCIAL APPRAISAL
The Commercial appraisal is concerned with market for the
product / service.
Commercial approved (or market appraisal) of a project is donestudying the commercial successfulness of the product / service
offered by the project from the following angles.
a. Demand for the product
b. Supply position for the product
c. Distribution channelsd. Pricing of the product
e. Government policies.
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PROJECT RISKANALYSIS
In project appraisal, risk analysis play an important part. Allprojects are prone to some kind of risk or the other.
The following list of elements will give an idea of the
assumptions on which any project appraisal is based on.
Periodic cash inflows (the cash inflows are assumed by assuming
the selling price of the producer over a period of time and the plant
output over the said period)
Periodic cash outflows (the cash outflows are assumed by assuming
the purchase price of raw materials, the cost of power, labour etc.)
Life of machinery
Salvage value of machinery.
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RISK VS UNCERTAINLY
Risk can be defined as the variability of return from an investment. If the
probabilities of possible outcomes of a given problem are known, we can
conclude that the problem outcomes of a gives words the problem is risky.
KINDS OF PROJECT RISKS
Project Completion Risk : Completing the project in time and within the
estimated cost itself is a major achievement.
Resource Risk : Raw materials, power, fuel, manpower etc.
Price Risk : Price fluctuations of both inputs and outputs.
Technology Risk: Technology risk may appear in two forms. A project that is
based on unproven technology (i.e. a technology that is proved at
laboratory level but not proved at commercial level) may have hidden
defects which may make the project a non-starter.
Political Risk : The saying goes Do not fight with King and God The King
(i.e., the Government) acts as a watch dog of the countrys economy and
frames rules and regulations for regulating the countrys economy.
Interest Rate Risk: Fluctuations in interest rate may bring in an adverse effect.
Exchange Rate Risk : Exchange rate risk (also called currency risk) is the risk
arising from currency fluctuations
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TECHNIQUES OF RISK ANALYSIS
Though there are many mathematical techniques available for risk
analysis, the following are the simple tools that come handy for
analyzing small and medium sized projects.
Break Even Analysis
SensitivityAnalysis
Decision TreeAnalysis
Monte-Carlo Technique
Game Theory
Break Even Analysis: The financial viability of a project is estimated by
making various assumptions like the cost of raw material, cost of
consumables, cost of labour, expected sales realization, expected
capacity utilization of the plant etc.
Break even point (BEP) refers to the level of operation at which the
project will earns profit nor incurs loss. Calculation ofBEP for the
given cost and price levels indicate the minimum capacity utilization
that the project should aim at in order to be in a no-profit, no-loss
situation.
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Fixed Costs: All projects incur certain costs that are fixed in nature.
These costs remain constant irrespective of the changed in the volume
of output. Following are some of the fixed costs:
Rent payable for land
Rent payable for factory / office premises
Insurance premium on fixed assets
Interest payable on long-term borrowing / deposits
Administrative expenses
Annual maintenance charges payable for machinery maintenance
Depreciation
Property tax etc.
Variable Costs: These are those costs that vary directly with the level of
output. Raw material cost is a variable cost since it depends on thelevel of output. Some other variable costs are as under.
Consumable stores
Power, Fuel, water charges
Selling expenses etc.
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SENSITIVITYANALYSIS
It is a technique that measures the change in the profitability of a
project caused by changes in the factors that affect the each inflows ofthe project. If a small change in one factor leads to a major change in
the profitability of the proposed investment, the project is considered
more sensitive to that factor; in other words, the project is more risky.
Other things being equal, a project that is less sensitive is preferable to
projects that are more sensitive.
DECISION TREEANALYSIS:
Decision tree approach is a graphical technique that can be used
for analyzing the pros and cons of alternative decisions and choosing
the best possible course of action. In real life situation, decision aretaken under conditions of uncertainty.
A decision tree is a diagrammatic representation of the logical
relationship between the different parts of a complex situation and the
possible outcomes of different decisions.
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A decision tree is made up of nodes and branches. Nodes and of
two types, viz.,
Decision node (also called decision point)
and Chance node (also called chance point orchance event)
A decision point is represented by a square and a chance point is
represented by a Circle, Different alternatives available for the given
situation emerges from the decision point. At each chance point, thedifferent possible outcomes of one of the alternative decisions are
marked.
EXPECTED MONETARY VALUE (EMV):
The effectiveness of any decision is measured only in terms of
money. Hence, the outcomes of all decisions are measured in terms of
the expected monetary value (EMV). EMV provides a common base for
comparing the outcomes of different decisions and choosing the one
that is found more advantageous.
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RULE FOR DRAWING DECISION TREE:
Identify all the alternative decisions available at the initial decision
point (i.e., at decision point - I)
Identify all possible subsequent decisions points
Identify all possible chance points and the likely outcomes at the
change points
Develop a decision tree diagram showing in sequence the
decision points and chance points. Construct the decision tree
diagram from the left to the right. Denote the decision point by a
square and the chance points by a circle.
After constructing the decision tree, work backwards (i.e., from
the right to the left) computing the EMV of each change point and
each decision point till the initial decision point is reached
Determine the best alternative at the initial decision point.
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MONTE CARIO SIMULATION:
Monte Carlo is a code name given by Von Newmann and Ulam to
the technique of solving problems using random numbers. Monte
Carlo technique can be used to solve a variety of problems
involving stochastic situations (a stochastic situation is one
where some of all parameters of the problem are described by
random variable)
The steps involved in Monte Carlo technique are as under:
1. From the given probability of occurrence of events, establish
cumulative probability.
2. Assign tag numbers to the events in such a way that the tag
numbers represent the cumulative probability.
3. Obtain random numbers from a random number table.
4. Correlate the random numbers with the tag numbers assigned to
the events and identify the value for the respective events.
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GAME THEORY
In real life situation, business firms compete with one another.
Game theory deals with situations in which two intelligent
opponents have conflicting interests. To achieve their goals, thetwo firms will form strategies. The strategy that one firm forms will
depend upon the strategy that the other firm has already formed /
in the process of forming. The approach to such competitive
problems was developed by Von Neumann who named it Game
Theory
The number of competitors are finite. (the competitors are also
known as players)
Each player has a finite number of strategies
All the players need not necessarily have the same number of
strategies.
Each player chooses a single course of action from the list ofstrategies available to him.All the players are assumed to make
their choice simultaneously so that no player known the choices of
his opponent until he is already committed to his choice.
The objective of the Game Theory is to develop a rational
criterion for the selection of a strategy / strategies by each player.
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SWOT ANALYSIS
STRENGTHS:
Locational advantage of the organization nearness to the
sources of raw material, nearness to location of end users etc.
Goodwill developed among clients
Buy-back arrangements
Lower capital investment on the existing plant (i.e., setting
up
a similar plant would have become much costlier)
Good network of dealers and distributors already
established
WEAKNESSES:
Technological obsolescence
Scarcity of raw material
Comparatively less international price for similar products
Locational disadvantage resulting in higher freight costs for
transportation of raw materials / finished products
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OPPORTUNITIES
Cost of raw material becoming cheaper
Liberalisation of import of raw material (where the cost of
imported raw material is cheaper)Growth in per capita income and growth in consumption
level
Advent of cost saving production technology
THREATS
Import of competitive products becoming cheaper
Liberalisation of import of competitive products (when the
cost
of imported goods is cheaper)
Withdrawal of existing incentives by the GovernmentRaw material becoming costlier
General recession in the economy resulting in slowing down
of consumption
New entrants entering the field in a big way
Stringent pollution control measures adopted by the
Government
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PROJECT COSTESTIMATION
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COST OF THE PROJECT
Correct estimation of the capital cost of a project is the foundation over
which the edifice of financial appraisal stands.
Components of capital cost of a project : The following are the componentsthat consistute the capital cost of any project.
i. Land
ii. Land development
iii. Buildings
iv. Plant and machinery
v. Electricalsvi. Transport and erection charges
vii. Know-how / consultancy fees
viii.Miscellaneous assets
ix. Preliminary and preoperative expenses
x. Provision for contingencies
xi. Margin money for working capitalORDER OF MAGNITUDE ESTIMATE
a. Investment per Unit of Output
b. Turnover Ratio
c. Inflation Index
d. Six-tenth Factor
e. Location Index
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PROJECTFINANCING
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INTRODUCTION
Project financing may be defined as the raising of funds required
to finance an economically separable capital investment proposalin which the lenders mainly rely on the estimated cash flow from
the project to service their loans.
SOURCES OF FINANCE
1. Ordinary shares2. Preference shares
3. Debentures
4. Bonds
5. Term Loans
6. Deferred Credits
7. Capital Investment Subsidy8. Lease Financing
9. Unsecured Loans
10. InternalAccruals
11. Bridge Loans
12. Public Deposits
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ROLE OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS IN PROJECT FINANCING
Normally projects are financed by a combination of equity and
debt. This is more so in respect of larger projects, for the reason
that arranging for equity capital to fund the entire project may notbe feasible.
Whatever may be the approach to lending, the lending decision is
primarily governed by three considerations, viz.,
1. The capacity of the project to repay the loan along with interestobligations, out of its own cash generations.
2. The value of security offered for the loan
3. The integrity and willingness of the borrower to repay the loan in
time.
COVENANTS ATTACHED TO LENDING
The bank / financial institution that extends term loan for the
setting up of a project imposes certain conditions to be fulfilled by
the borrower and these conditions (covenants) are contained in
the term loan sanction orders / mortgage deeds executed by the
borrower in favour of the bank / financial institution.
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PROJECT APPRAISAL I
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
OF PROJECTS
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INTRODUCTION
A project should earn sufficient return on the investment. The very
idea of promoting a project by an entrepreneur is to earnattractive returns on investment on the project. Projects
sponsored / undertaken by Government may take into account
social cost benefits. All other projects have the prime motive of
getting maximum return on investment.
Financial analysis broadly falls under two categories viz.,
Non-discounted cash flow techniques.
Discounted cash flow techniques
The further subdivision within these two techniques are as under:
Non-discounted cash flow techniques:
Payback period (PB) method.
Accounting rate of return (ARR) method.
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Discounted cash flow techniques
Net Present Value (NPV) method
Profitability Index (PI) method
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) method Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR) method
PAYBACK PERIOD METHOD
This is one of the widely recognized and simple method of
evaluating investment proposals. Payback period is defined as thelength of time required to recover the original investment on the
project, through cash flows earned.
Average Rate of Return (ARR) Method (orAccounting Rate of
Return Method)
The average rate of return is also called the accounting rate of return.
(Profit after tax)
Average rate of return = --------------------------------------------
(Book value of investment)
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NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV) METHOD
This method is one of the discounted cash flow techniques and it
recognize the time value of money.
Net present value [Present value of all [Present value of
(NPV) of Cash Flow = future cash in flows - cash out flow]
over the life of the project.]
PROFITABILITY INDEX (PI) METHOD
If there are two projects that require the same amount of
investment, the project with a higher net present value can be chosen.
INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR) METHOD
The internal rate of return of a project is the discount rate that
makes the net present value equal to Zero. In other words, internal rate
of return is that rate of discount which would equate the present value
of cash out flows (investments on the project) to the present value of
cash inflows (the benefits over the life of the project).
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PROJECT APPRAISAL II
FINANCIAL
PROJECTIONS
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INTRODUCTION
The following financial projections are done in financial appraisal
of projects to ascertain the financial viability.
a. Cost of production and profitability estimate
b. Cash flow estimate
c. Projected balance sheet
The above three projections are interrelated
PROFITABILITY ESTIMATE
This is an estimate of expected sales realizations and expected
expenses to be incurred by the enterprise. If the expected sales
realization is greater than the expected expenses, the unit is
expected to earn profit.
CAPACITY UTILIZATION
A plant may have a capacity to produce say 1,000 units of a
proposed product in a year.
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RAW MATERIALS
The requirement of raw material depends upon the
projected output. If the capacity utilization of the plant forthe first year of operation is assumed at, say 50%, then, the
raw material requirement for the production of products
equal to 50% of the installed capacity of the plant.
POWER, FUEL, WATER
Electric power requirement is to be calculated keeping in
view of the manufacturing process. Some of the equipments
may be in operation only for a few hours in a shift while
some equipment may be running throughout. These factorsare to be carefully looked into while arriving at the power
requirement. The expenses required to be spent on power
charge is arrived at by multiplying the total power
requirement with the prevailing power tariff.
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CONSUMABLES
These are materials that are consumed during production process
and they can not be traced in the final product. Consumablesdepend upon the nature of production process and type of
machinery.
The following are some of the examples for consumables.
a. Welding electrodes used inAre welding componentsb. Welding wires and oxy-acetelene gas used in gas welding
c. Drill bits used in drilling machines
d. Graphite electrodes used inArc furnaces
e. Grinding stones
f. Grease, emery sheets, etc.
WAGES AND SALARIES
Wages and salaries for all the employees in the production and
allied departments are to be accounted for.
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REPAIRS AND MAINTENANCE
Both building and machinery require periodical maintenance.
RENT, INSURANCE
Rent for leased premises shall be calculated as per the terms of
the lease agreement.
FACTORY SUPERVISION
This is the salary payable to factory supervisory staff and it shall
be ascertained in the same lines as it is arrived at for the head
wages and salaries.
DEPRECIATION
The term depreciation denotes the decrease in the value of fixed
assets with the passage of time.
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PROJECT PLANNING
ANDSCHEDULING
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INTRODUCTION
The process of project planning involves the following main steps.
a. Defining the objectives of the project
b. Making forecasts for achieving the goals
c. Identifying the alternative courses of action for
achieving the goals
d. Evaluating the resources available to the organization
e. Evaluating the available alternative courses of actionsand selecting the course of action/actions that are most
suited to achieve the desired results, taking into
account resource constraints, if any.
PROJECT SCHEDULING
Project scheduling refers to the process of laying out all the
actual activities of the project in the time order in which they are
to be performed, keeping in view of the logical sequence of the
activities.
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The logical sequence of activities of a project would be as under.
Company registration
Obtaining industrial licenses / import licenses
Appointment of consultant
Resource mobilization
Land acquisition and site development.
Preparing civil work designs, plans and estimates and entrusting
the construction work to civil contractors.
Preparing design specifications and placing order for plant and
machinery.
Transport of plant and machinery to the project site.
Erection of machinery
Commissioning the plant and taking trial run.
Commencing regular commercial production.
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SCHEDULING TECHNIQUES :
As we have seen above, a project consists of many activities,
which have some logical interrelationship between themselves.A
llactivities consume resources of three kinds viz., time, men and
materials (or money). The project scheduling techniques are
concerned with the resource time. One of the objectives of
project management is to optimize the use of resources.
Scheduling techniques offer solution to optimatisation of project
time.
BAR CHARTS :
Bar chart is a pictorial representation showing the various
activities involved in a project. The chart has two co-ordinateaxes; one axis represents the activities and the other axis
represents the time required for completion of the individual
activities. Bar chart was first conceived and developed by Henry
L. Gantt and hence bar chart is also sometimes referred as Gantt
chart, in the name of the person who popularized the concept.
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PROGRAMME PROGRESS CHARTS
The Bar chart that we have discussed in the previous paragraph
depicts the proposed activities of a project with their estimated time
duration.
LIMITATIONS OF BAR CHART
Bar charts are difficult to update when there are many changes.
When there are changes between the plan and the actual
achievement, bar charts become quickly obsolete.
Bar charts do not equate time with cost; hence time-cost relationship
cannot be derived from them.
Bar charts do not provide methods for optimizing resource allocation.
In view of the above limitations, bar charts are useful only for small
projects and cannot be effectively used for medium sized and large
projects.
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NETWORK BASED SCHEDULING
Network Diagram
It is a graphical flow plan of the activities that must be
accomplished for completing the project. It arranges the activities
in logical sequence, following the precedence succulence
relationships between the activities.
There are two popular network-scheduling techniques. They are
a. Critical Path Method (CPM) and
b. Programme Evaluation Review Technique (PERT)
CPM was developed in the year 1957, by Morgan R. Walker of
DU Pont and James E. Kelly of Remington Rand.
PERT was developed in the year 1958 by the US Navy.
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Activity
An activity is any identifiable job that has a beginning and an end.
An activity consumes time, manpower and material resources.
The following are some examples of activities.
1. Excavation of foundation
2. Placing of foundation concrete
3. Construction of walls4. Construction of roofing
5. Wiring and electrification work.
Event
An event (also called node) is the beginning or end of an activity.
An event does not consume time, manpower or material
resources. An event represents a specific point in time. Event is
represented by a circle. Thus the two circles placed at the
beginning and at the end of an activity are called events.
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Relationship Among Activities : As we have already said, a network is a
graphical representation of the logical sequence of all the
activities of a project. A project is a collection of various activities
and the activities are interrelated among themselves. There are
three possible relationships between the different activities.
Skip Numbering : Large projects involve a large number of activities.
Since all the activities can not be correctly foreseen and included
in the network, the network for large projects may need
modifications during execution of projects.
Critical Path Method : A network represents the logical sequence of
activities contained in a Each path in a network will have a
different duration. The path that has the longest duration is called
the critical path and the activities that lie on the critical path are
called critical activities. It is the critical path that sets the overall
duration of the project.
Finding Critical path in Large Network : The method of finding out the
number of paths available in a given network connecting the initial
and end events, finding the time duration of all the available paths
and identifying the critical path is suitable for smaller networks.
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PROGRAMME EVALUATION AND REVIEW TECHNIQUE (PERT)
The critical path method (CPM) uses only one time estimate for
each activity.
a. Optimistic time estimate
b. Pessimistic time estimate and
c. Most likely time estimate
a. Optimistic Time Estimate :It is the shortest possible time in which an activity can be
completed under ideal conditions.
b. Pessimistic Time Estimate :
It is the maximum possible time that it would take to complete
an activity under worst conditions.
c. Most likely Time Estimate:
It lies between optimistic and pessimistic time estimates. It is
the time in which an activity can be completed under normal
conditions.
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RESOURCEALLOCATION
One of the main problems faced by a project manageris resource allocation. With the help of the network
techniques explained earlier, the project manager can
identify the critical activities. For completing the
project in time, he must have the required resources at
his disposal.
RESOURCE LEVELLING
There are situations demanding that the project shouldbe completed by a specified due date. The due-date
for project completion is decided by the management
for various reasons.
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PROJECTORGANIZATION
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INTRODUCTION
1. Functional Organization
2. Product Organization and
3. Matric OrganizationFUNCTIONAL ORGANIZATION
Functional Organization is the most basic and logical form of
organizational structure.
PRODUCTION ORGANIZATION
The advantage of product organization is that all the activities,
skills and expertise required to produce and market a particular
product (or a group of related products) are grouped together
under a single head.
MATRIX ORGANIZATION
This form of organization is ideally suited for enterprise that are
project-driven, i.e., enterprises whose activities centers around
handling projects like construction companies, companies
offering turn-key projects etc.,
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PROJECT EVALUATION
AND POST PROJECTEVALUATION
(POST AUDIT)
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PROJECT EVALUATION
To evaluate means to assess. Thus, project evaluation is an
assessment of the project during the course of implementation.
PROJECT EVALUATION OBJECTIVES
1. To verify if the progress of project implementation is as planned
and to take corrective measures if the project progress lags
behind the schedule.
2. To ascertain whether the actual costs are within the budgeted
costs at the different stages of implementation and to take
steps to contain costs if the actual costs escalate over the
budgeted costs.
3. To ensure that the quality standards of the project are reached
without any compromise.
4. To identify any unexpected problem areas and to plan for
managing such situations appropriately.
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5. To appraise the clients about the progress of the project and to
keep them informed about the project status.
6. To bring about overall improvement in project performance.
7. To watch whether the project objectives are met and to suggest
corrective measures if the objectives are found to get
defeated.
8. To give confidence to the project team members and toreassure the organizations commitment to the project.
OBJECTIVES OF POSTAUDIT
The adequacy of contingency provision made in the project
cost estimate to take care of unforeseen expenditures.
The normal project implementation time for different projects
The comparative project cost for similar projects
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OPTIONS
INPROJECTS
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CALL OPTION : A call option gives the option-holder (i.e., the buyer of
the option) the right to buy the specified amount or quantity of the
underlying asset before a specified date at a specified price. It
must be noted that the option-holder has the right to buy but hasno obligation to buy.
PUT OPTION : A put option gives the option-holder (i.e., the buyer of
the option) the right to sell the specified amount or quantity of the
underlying asset before a specified date at a specified price.
EUROPEAN OPTION : An European option is one that can be exercised
only on the expiry date. For example, a 3-month European option
purchased on January 1st can be exercised only on 1stApril.
AMERICAN OPTION : An American option is one that can be exercisedat any time on or before the expiry date. For example, a 3-month
American option purchased on January 1st can be exercised on
any day on or before 1stApril. It is the option-holder who decides
as to when to exercise his option.
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TOPICS OF INTEREST
ON PROJECTMANAGEMENT
BANK GUARANTEE
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BANK GUARANTEE
1. Financial Guarantee
2. Performance Guarantee and
3. Deferred Payment Guarantee
FINANCIAL GUARANTEE
When a bank gives financial guarantee on behalf of its customer,
the bank undertakes to discharge some monetary obligation of its
customer.
PERFORMANCE GUARANTEE
These are the guarantees issued by a bank for the performance of
a specific contract or obligation.
BOOT (Build, Own, Operate, Transfer) Projects
Boot project have their origin in Turkey, where the formula for
building up of mega projects was tried in 1980-s. There are two
parties to a BOOT project, viz., the principal project promoter
(usually, the Government) and a private participant.
BOO (B ild O O ) P j
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BOO (Build, Own, Operate) Projects
The private investors execute the project, own and operate the
infrastructural assets created for the whole life.
BOLT (Build, Operate, Lease, Transfer) Projects
The private investors build and operate the project for a specified
period of time.
COST OVERRUN
The term cost overrun means increase in project cost over and
above the estimated project cost. Delayed implementation of
project (time overrun) invariably results in cost overrun due to the
following reasons.
1. Due to time delay, the cost of project components may get
increased in view of the effects of inflation.
2. Delayed implementation beyond the planned duration means
employing labour for more period than envisaged leading to
increased expenditure on labour.
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CREDIT RATING
The dictionary ofBusiness and Economics by Christian Ammer
and Dean S. Ammer (The Free Press, Newyork, 1977) defines
credit rating as an evaluation of the financial trust worthiness of a
company or individual particularly with regard to meeting some
obligation. Rating commenced in the year 1909, when John
Moody, a financial analyst published ratings on bonds issued by
railroad companies, using rating symbols ranging fromAaa to C.In 1910, John Moody extended his ratings to utility and industrial
bonds.
DISASTER PROJECTS
These are projects that need to be completed at the shortest
possible time, inspite of the capital cost going up. The main aim is
to reduce the project time drastically. As time is the main criterion,
normally competitive bidding is avoided.
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ENTERPRISE RESOURCE PLANNING (ERP)
A small organization can be managed single handedly by its
promoter. As the organization grows in size and the volume of
operations increases, it becomes increasingly difficult to manage
by a single person.
Such an information system that takes a holistic view of the
organization will tie up all the functional departments of theorganization and will facilitate seamless flow of information
across the different departments and is called as Enterprise
Resource Planning (ERP) system.
The term Enterprise represents an undertaking in which a group
of people work with a common goal. The term Resource
represents factors like men, material, money, time and other
things that are required to run an enterprise and that are
consumed during the process of running an enterprise.
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The ERP System is a computer Software Program that supports
the ERP.
The following are some of the definition of ERP / ERP Software.
1. Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) is an attempt to integrate all
departments and functions across an organization into a single
computer system that can serve all those departments particular
needs and also help achieve organisational goals.
2. ERP Software is an integrated software program that runs of a
single data base in such a way that the various departments can
share information easily among themselves and can communicate
with each other.
3. ERP software is set of programs that integrate a companys
operations and operate on a shared database.
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PROJECT FINANCING
Banks and financial institutions are the two institutions
that play a major role in project financing. A projectrequires resources. In other words, funds are required
to be set aside to create resources meant for the
execution of projects.
The financial requirement for the creation of fixedassets are made available by financial institutions and
banks in the form ofTerm-loan
Even when a project is executed by an existing firm for
meeting its specific requirements (like expansion,modernization, new product development etc.)
depending on the size of the project, it may also
require financial assistance in the form of Term-Loan.
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PROJECT LIFE CYCLE
All projects have a life cycle. The duration of life cycle will vary
depending on the type and nature of the project. The life cycle of
any project consists of four phases. The phases in project life
cycle are as under.
1. Conceptualization of project and defining the problem.
2. Planning of project activities and planning for resources3. Execution of Project
4. Termination of Project
VENTURE CAPITAL
The term Venture Capital comprises two words, viz., venture
and capital. The dictionary meaning of venture is a risky
undertaking and the term capital means the resources to start
the enterprise.
A project that the potential for substantial growth but that has a
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A project that the potential for substantial growth, but that has a
high risk proportion in view of its technology not having been
proved, will not generally attract investors since investors do not
want to take undue risk, however attractive the long term returns
may be. Hence, the need for a venture capitalist to nurse suchventures.
The main characteristics of venture capital investments are as under:
Investments are usually made in the equity capital of the
enterprise.
The venture capitalist does not interfere in the management of theenterprise.
Apart from equity finance, the venture capitalist may also extend
financial assistance in the form of quasi-equity, conditional loans
etc.
Venture capital investments are made only in high-risk, high-
growth projects.
Risk analysis forms the major part of project appraisal.
The venture capitalist opts to finance the venture only if he is
satisfied after his extensive analysis and appraisal that the risk
factors are offset by higher probability of success.
Investment is made usually in new ventures, i.e., in start-ups.
STAGES OF VENTURE CAPITAL FINANCING
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First Stage: A small amount of capital is provided to the entrepreneur to
finance his R&D efforts for product development, to prove a
concept, or to go for commercial production in a small level when
the product development stage has already been completedsuccessfully.
Second Stage: Once the first stage of financing has been successful,
the enterprise qualifies for the second stage of financing.
Third Stage: This is provided for the major expansion of the company.
The Indian Scene of Venture Capital Financial : The concept of venture
capital as a new area of financial service was first introduced in
the fiscal budget for the year 1986-87.
1. Technology Development and Information Company of India Ltd.,
(TDICI), Jointly promoted by ICICI and UTI.2. Venture capital division of IDBI.
3. Risk Capital and Technology Finance Corporation Ltd., (RCTC)
promoted by IFCI.
4. Gujarat Venture Capital Limited, promoted by the Gujarat
Industrial Investment Corporation Limited.