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Progress, Well-Being and Sustainable Development Results of the ESS Sponsorship Group
S
June 2012, Paris
Walter Radermacher, Eurostat
GDP and beyond – history
1968: adoption of System of National Accounts Early 70s– criticism to economic growth and the economic accounts– Key role of Jacques Mayer (Eurostat DG 1973-1977)
• UN Expert Group (chair Jacques Mayer) to discuss a• Framework to develop an integrated system of
demographical and social statistics, with instrumental analogies with SNA
• failed, but extension of social statistics + Social Report• chair of INSEE Working Group ‘Statistics, Accounting
and Economical Concepts for the Environment ’
Walter Radermacher 2
26-28 June 2012 OECD, Paris
GDP and beyond – history
1987: Sustainable Development 2001: EU Sustainable Development strategydevelopment of Sustainable Development Indicators (SDIs)2006: renewed EU Sustainable Development strategy
Governance cycle with bi-annual Eurostat monitoring reports
(100 Sustainable Development Indicators)
2005-2007-2009-2011
But still missing elements….
3
26-28 June 2012 OECD, Paris
GDP and beyond in recent years
Major European conference involving broad participation (statisticians, environmentalists, social policy makers)
(Nov 2007)
Commission produces political roadmap for actions ‘GDP and beyond’ in the short/medium term (Aug 2009)
Sponsorship Group launched by the European Statistical System (Feb 2010)
Sponsorship Group Report (November 2011)
Commission Statistical Work Programme (2012 & beyond)
Stiglitz Report
4
26-28 June 2012 OECD, Paris
1. Complementing GDP with environmental and social indicators A comprehensive environmental index Quality of life and well-being
2. Near real time information for decision-making More timely environmental indicators More timely social indicators
3. More accurate reporting on distribution and inequalities
4. Developing a European Sustainable Development Scoreboard
5. Extending National Accounts to environmental and social issues
Priorities set out in the European Roadmap 2009
Europe 2020
Towards
5
26-28 June 2012 OECD, Paris
Smart, sustainable and inclusive growth
Europe 2020 strategy – GDP and beyond
6
Intra-generational
Inter-generational
26-28 June 2012 OECD, Paris
Sponsorship Group recommendations Topic 1: Strengthening the household perspective & distributional aspects
Promoting existing national accounts data on household income & consumption– Adjusted household gross disposable income per capita
Providing information on distribution of income, consumption & wealth– Use the adjusted GDI of households as the reference
concept to link National Accounts (NA) data with social statistics
Encouraging compilation of balance sheet accounts for households
7
26-28 June 2012 OECD, Paris
Sponsorship Group recommendations Topic 2: Multi-dimensional measures of quality of life
EU Statistics on Income & Living Conditions (EU-SILC) as the core instrument– 2013 AHM on subjective well-being– Expert Group on QoL indicators
Complementing the coverage of the dimensions with additional data sources – LFS, EHIS, Time use
Deepening and improvement of analysis
8
26-28 June 2012 OECD, Paris
Sponsorship Group recommendationsTopic 3: Environmental sustainability – first priority actions
EP-Council Regulation on Environmental Economic Accounts
Develop energy flows accounts and derive indicators (e.g. energy use by economic activity)
Further develop indicators related to climate change
Develop early estimates of CO2 emissions based on monthly energy statistics
Derive “footprint indicators” using Supply/Use • Input/Output Tables (SUIOT) to look at the “consumer perspective” of global climate change
Explore production of a “raw material consumption” indicator
26-28 June 2012 OECD, Paris
domestic industries, 7.2
imports, 1.7
capital formation, 1.6
direct by private households 1.9
direct by private households 1.9
consumption expenditure 5.6
exports, 1.6
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
Production perspective Consumption perspective
2006 2006
tonn
es C
O2
per c
apita
Different approaches to deriving footprint indicators
10
26-28 June 2012 OECD, Paris
Short Medium Long term
Develop environmental goods and services sector (EGSS)
Develop asset accounts for natural resources, including sub-soil assets and energy assets
Consolidate & simplify the environmental protection expenditure accounts (EPEA)
Use Land Use/Land Cover data to build relevant indicators on landscape and biodiversity
merge with existing framework for European environmental
accounts
11
Sponsorship Group report recommendationsTopic 3: Environmental sustainability – second priority actions
26-28 June 2012 OECD, Paris
Short Medium Long term
Harmonise presentation and meta-data of existing waste indicators
Develop water accounts to map use of water according to economic activity
Improve data coverage & quality of existing water statistics & develop indicators for pressures on regional water resources
Develop waste accounts based on existing waste statistics
12
Sponsorship Group report recommendationsTopic 3: Environmental sustainability – third priority actions
26-28 June 2012 OECD, Paris
Consistency with theory
Political relevance Measurability
Stiglitz
GDP&BeyondEurope 2020
Quality of Indicators
Need to bring all elements together
13
26-28 June 2012 OECD, Paris
Challenges
Implementation – first Commission reporting by end 2012 Liaising with other projects (eFrame) Giving broader society time to “catch up” with the statisticians
– Openness to the results of a broader societal reflection, e.g. civil society reflection with the EU
– Still evolving picture at national level
Moving forward but keeping some flexibility Selecting a dashboard of indicators Getting political acceptance and use of the data (long term)
14
Figures for the future:20 years of sustainable development in Europe?