Programme at a Glance - sastat · 2017-07-07 · Young Statistician's Stream (MESIKE, SSEKISAKU,(NDLOVU, JOZI, MIENIE) Chair: ANDRE SWANEPOEL Plenary: Prof Chen (Eng III‐1) Statistical

Programme at a Glance

Saturday 28 November 2015 Sunday 29 November 2015 Sunday 29 November 2015

10:30 ‐ 11:00 Tea and Coffee (Plant Science Auditorium foyer) Tea and Coffee (Brown Lab, Informatorium) Tea and Coffee (Plant Science Auditorium foyer)

15:00 ‐ 15:30 Tea and Coffee (Plant Science Auditorium foyer) Tea and Coffee (Brown Lab, Informatorium)

Registration, Tea and Coffee (Aula) 15:00‐17:00

Opening Function (Aula) 17:00 ‐ late

Text Analytics Workshop (Plant Science Auditorium)

Text Analytics Workshop (Plant Science Auditorium)

Education Workshop (Brown Lab, Informatorium)13:00 Lunch with LOC, EC, Plenaries and Mini‐

Plenaries off campus

Lunch (Plant Science Auditorium foyer)

Data Science Summit (Plant Science auditorium) Education Workshop (Brown Lab, Informatorium)

Registration, tea and coffee (Plant Science Auditorium foyer)

13:30 ‐ 15:00

15:30 ‐ 17:00

17:00

8:00 ‐ 9:00


Lunch (Plant Science Auditorium foyer) Lunch (Brown Lab, Informatorium)


9:00 ‐ 10:30

11:00 ‐ 12:30

12:30 ‐ 13:30

Registration, tea and coffee (Brown Lab, Informatorium)

Registration, tea and coffee (Plant Science Auditorium foyer)

Meet and Greet Cocktail (Light) Function for Data Science Summit Delegates (Plant Science Roof Top)

Data Science Summit (Plant Science auditorium)

Monday 30 November 2015 Monday 30 November 2015 Monday 30 November 2015 Monday 30 November 2015 Monday 30 November 2015 Monday 30 November 2015 Monday 30 November 2015

VENUE ENG III ‐ 1 ENG III ‐ 2 ENG III ‐ 3 ENG III ‐ 4 ENG III ‐ 5 ENG III ‐ 6

8:00 ‐ 8:30

8:30 ‐ 10:15

Special Session Part 1 : Special Statistics

Education Session: Creating on‐line Teaching

Materials for Teaching Introductory Statistics in

South Africa (NORTH, WILD,, KRAAMWINKEL,

SCOTT, HAZRA, FLETCHER) Chair: NORTH

Special Session: Offical Statistics (MANKWE,

BOTHA, LETSOALO, MASIMULA, SIKHOSANA,

NKWINIKA, KGOTHE, MOLATA, CHATINDIARA,

MASENYA, SHABANGU, MAZIBUKO, MULIBANA)

Chair: NAIDOO

Special Session: Risk theory in finance and

actuarial science (RAUBENHEIMER, JOUBERT,

VISAGIE, ADEKAMBI**, KONING, CHINHAMU**,

KEMDA, BASEKE) Chair: BEYERS

Special Session: Fit In or Fall Out: Statistical

Distributions (BALAKRISHNAN, MARQUES,

VISAGIE**, VAN STADEN, SEKEH, OLUYEDE, LOOTS,

MIJBURGH, IIYAMBO, AKARAWAK, BEKKER,

ADELEKER, OMACHAR) Chair: MARQUES

Special Session: The Analysis of Data from

Clinical Trials (LOMBARD, GROBLER, LEASK,

RAMJITH, GUMEDZE) Chair: LITTLE

Special Session: Statistical Image Processing and

Robotics (KING, LAU, BIERMAN) Chair: FABRIS‐

ROTELLI

Young Statistician's Stream

(NEMUKULA, DIRIBA**, RABE, DUDENI‐

TLHONE, RAS**) Chair: DR LEONARD

SANTANA

10:15 ‐

10:45

13:30 ‐

15:15

11:45 ‐

12:45

12:45 ‐

13:30

Special Session: Offical Statistics (MANKWE,

BOTHA, LETSOALO, MASIMULA, SIKHOSANA,

NKWINIKA, KGOTHE, MOLATA, CHATINDIARA,

MASENYA, SHABANGU, MAZIBUKO, MULIBANA)

Chair: NAIDOO

10:45 ‐

11:45

Arrival Tea and Coffee (Foyer ENG III)

Tea and Coffee with poster exhibitions (Foyer ENG III)

Plenary: Director Rademacher (ENG III‐1)

Lunch (Rautenbach Hall) (SASA EC Meeting (ENG III‐1))

Special Session: Managing the global hunger

challenge: food security measurement and

monitoring in the Sustainable Development

Goal era (CAFIERO, NGOMANI, SHABALALA,

HENDRIKS) Chair: SCHMIDT

Special Session: Offical Statistics

(RADERMACHER, LAHOHLA, NAIDOO, SAPS)

Chair: NAIDOO

Special Session: Extreme Value Theory

(BEIRLANT, VAN DER MERWE, VERSTER, DIRIBA,

MINKAH, MAPOSA, KAOMBE) Chair: KIJKO

Special Session: Bayesian network applications

and distributed reasoning systems (PAVLIN, DE

WAAL, KOEN, GOODALL, DABROWSKI, CLAESSEN

UDOMBOSO) Chair: DE WAAL

Young Statistician's Stream (TWABI, MLINDE)

Chair: DR ANDRAHETTE VERSTER

Special Session: Multilevel Modelling (STANCEL‐

PIATAK, BATIDZIRAI, NEL, STRASHEIM, HOOBLER)

Chair: CRAFFORD

Young Statistician's Stream (NUMAPAU GYAMFI

KHENENE, KAMPER, MAGAGULA, ) Chair: DR

FRANCK ADEKAMBI

Special Session: Risk theory in finance and

actuarial science (RAUBENHEIMER, JOUBERT,

VISAGIE, ADEKAMBI**, KONING, CHINHAMU**,

KEMDA, BASEKE) Chair: BEYERS

Special Session: The Analysis of Data from

Clinical Trials (LOMBARD, GROBLER, LEASK,

RAMJITH, GUMEDZE) Chair: LITTLE

Special Session: Fit In or Fall Out: Statistical

Distributions (BALAKRISHNAN, MARQUES,

VISAGIE, VAN STADEN, SEKEH, OLUYEDE, LOOTS,

MIJBURGH, IIYAMBO, AKARAWAK, BEKKER,

ADELEKER, OMACHAR) Chair: MARQUES




South Africa (NORTH, WILD,, KRAAMWINKEL,

SCOTT, HAZRA, FLETCHER) Chair: NORTH

15:15 ‐

15:45Tea and Coffee with poster exhibitions (Foyer ENG III)

Plenary: StatsSA: Pali Lahohla (ENG III‐1)

15:45 ‐

16:45

16:45 ‐

17:45

21:00

onwards

Special Session: Offical Statistics

(RADERMACHER, LAHOHLA, NAIDOO, SAPS)

Chair: NAIDOO

18:00 ‐

21:00

Special Session: Multilevel Modelling (STANCEL‐

PIATAK, BATIDZIRAI, NEL, STRASHEIM, HOOBLER)

Chair: CRAFFORD

Young Statistician's Stream (FERREIRA, MAKON

MAKGAI) Chair: DR RENE EHLERS

Special Session: Extreme Value Theory

(BEIRLANT, VAN DER MERWE, VERSTER, DIRIBA**,

MINKAH, MAPOSA, KAOMBE) Chair: KIJKO

Special Session: Bayesian network applications

and distributed reasoning systems (PAVLIN, DE

WAAL, KOEN, GOODALL, DABROWSKI, CLAESSEN

UDOMBOSO) Chair: DE WAAL

Poster Evening for young Statisticians (Foyer ENG III)

Young Statistician's Pizza Evening (Oom Gerts) (Speaker: Dr Schalk Human (Nedbank, University of Pretoria, Master of Ceremony: Johan Ferreira))

Special Session: Managing the global hunger

challenge: food security measurement and

monitoring in the Sustainable Development

Goal era (CAFIERO, NGOMANI, SHABALALA,

HENDRIKS) Chair: SCHMIDT

Tuesday 1 December 2015 Tuesday 1 December 2015 Tuesday 1 December 2015 Tuesday 1 December 2015 Tuesday 1 December 2015 Tuesday 1 December 2015 Tuesday 1 December 2015

VENUE ENG III ‐ 1 ENG III ‐ 2 ENG III ‐ 3 ENG III ‐ 4 ENG III ‐ 5 ENG III ‐ 6 ENG III ‐ 7

7:30 ‐ 8:00

9:45‐10:15

13:15 ‐

14:15


SASA AGM (ENG III‐1)

Lunch (Rautenbach Hall)

11:15‐12:15

12:15 ‐

13:15

14:15 ‐

16:00

Special Session: Biostatistics (CHEN, ZELL,

MANDA,MWAMBI, JORDAAN, KABERA) Chair:

DEBUSHO

8:00 ‐ 9:45

Special Session: Bayesian methods in drug

research (LESAFFRE, MOSTERT, BURGER,

LOQUIHA, MARTINS) Chair: MOSTERT

10:15‐11:15

Special Session: Bayesian methods in drug

research (LESAFFRE, MOSTERT, BURGER,

LOQUIHA, MARTINS) Chair: MOSTERT

Special Session: Business Analytics in Data

Science (LEE, BURRA, FATTI, HALL) Chair: KANFER


Science (LEE, BURRA, FATTI, HALL) Chair: KANFER


Young Statistician's Stream (KAMBO, WINNAAR

MOTHUPI) Chair: DR MARIEN GRAHAM




South Africa (SJOLANDER, MATIZIROFA, ZONDO,

MUTAMBAYI, SWANEPOEL, RAUBENHEIMER,

CORBETT) Chair: NORTH

Special Session: Experimental Design (HAINES,

DEBUSHO**, STEFFENS) Chair: DEBUSHO

Young Statistician's Stream (MESIKE, SSEKISAKU,

JOZI, MIENIE) Chair: ANDRE SWANEPOEL

Plenary: Prof Chen (Eng III‐1)

Statistical methodology and

techniques Session: Official Statistics

MASEMOLA, MOSOMA, KEKANA,

MOTSEPA, PHAKEDI) Chair: DR HERMI

BORAINE



(AYELE, ADEOGUN, MAREMBA) Chair:

DR GRETEL CRAFFORD

SAS honours project winner: DE VILLIERS AND

BEZUIDENHOUT

** Statistics SA paper competition winner:

JANSE VAN RENSBURG

Special Session: Bayesian Stream (RUBIN,

MALTITZ, VAN NIEKERK, MANJOO, LOUGUE) Chair:

RAUBENHEIMER Discussant: MALTITZ

Young Statistician's Stream: Spatial Statistics

(RITCHIE, NAIDOO, KRAAMWINKEL) Chair: PROF

CHRISTIEN THIART

Statistical methodology and techniques

Session: Forecasting (OTEKUNRIN, HOLLOWAY,

VILJOEN) Chair: PROF GARY SHARP



(NDLOVU, KONDOWE, MLINDE, PILLAY,

CHIFURIRA) Chair: Prof Tertius de

Wet

Special Session: Multivariate Analysis in

Economic and Management Sciences

(BIESMANS, GUPTA, PILLAY, BOATENG, MANGISA)

Chair: LITVINE

Special Session: Multivariate Analysis in

Economic and Management Sciences

(BIESMANS, GUPTA, PILLAY, BOATENG, MANGISA)

Chair: LITVINE

Young Statistician's Stream (BATIDZIRAI, SMIT,

MPHEKGWANA, CLAASSEN, KHUBHEKA) Chair:

PROF KIJKO

Young Statistician's Stream (VAN NIEKERK,

MASOUMI KARAKANI, PAZI, GEMECHU) Chair:

PROF ABRIE VAN DER MERWE


Science (RODRIGUEZ, ALI, SMITH**, BROMLEY‐

GANS) Chair: DAS

16:00 ‐

16:30

17:30 ‐

18:30

18:30 ‐

19:30

16:30 ‐

17:30

Special Session: Biostatistics (CHEN, ZELL,

MANDA,MWAMBI, JORDAAN, KABERA) Chair:

DEBUSHO


Science (RODRIGUEZ, ALI, SMITH**, BROMLEY‐

GANS) Chair: DAS

Young Statistician's Stream (KIRKLAND**,

KHULUSE‐MAHANYA) Chair: DR PRAVESH

DEBBA

Young Statistician's Stream (BERE,

PRETORIUS) Chair: PROF NICO

CROWTHER

Young Statistician's Stream: Statistical Process

Control (MALELA‐MAJIKA, CHAKRABORTY,

RAMJITH) Chair: DR MARIEN GRAHAM




South Africa (SJOLANDER, MATIZIROFA, ZONDO,

MUTAMBAYI, SWANEPOEL, RAUBENHEIMER,

CORBETT) Chair: NORTH

Special Session: Bayesian Stream (RUBIN,

MALTITZ, VAN NIEKERK, MANJOO, LOUGUE) Chair:

RAUBENHEIMER Discussant: MALTITZ


Plenary: Prof Rubin (Eng III‐1)

Committee Meetings: 1. MDAG (ENG III‐1) 2. Biometrics (Eng III‐2)

Wednesday 2 December 2015 Wednesday 2 December 2015 Wednesday 2 December 2015 Wednesday 2 December 2015 Wednesday 2 December 2015 Wednesday 2 December 2015

VENUE ENG III ‐ 1 ENG III ‐ 2 ENG III ‐ 3 ENG III ‐ 4 ENG III ‐ 5 ENG III ‐ 6

7:30 ‐ 8:00

9:45 ‐ 10:15

Statistical methodology and techniques Session: Biostatistics (DLAMINI,

MUSEKIWA, JUGA, MAJAKWARA, THIEBAUT) Chair: DR CARL LOMBARD

8:00 ‐ 9:45

Special Session: Applications of StochastProcesses (LEVITIN, FINKELSTEIN,

YADAVALLI, KAOMBE, LITVINE) Chair: FINKELSTEIN

Special Session Part 1: Statistical Process Control (QIU, KUMAR, GRAHAM) Chair:

CHAKRABORTY

11:15 ‐ 12:15

12:15 ‐ 14:00

Special Session: Multivariate data Anlay(VICHI, SWANEPOEL, UYS, NTUSHELO, NIENKEMPER‐SWANEPOEL, RABE, MATLWA, KHULE, SALANE) Chair:

LUBBE

Special Session Part 2: Statistical Process Control (VAN DER MERWE, SHONGWE, CHAKRABORTY, MALELA‐MAJIKA,

ADEOTI, BADHLYERA) Chair: HUMAN

10:15 ‐ 11:15

Special Session: Complex Sampling (HEERINGA, NEETHLING, RIAZ, MALEPE, CHINOMONA, KISAKU‐LWAYO, MAREMBA) Chair: dE WET, Discussant: DE WET, NEETHLING

Special Session Part 1: Statistical Process Control (QIU, KUMAR, GRAHAM) Chair:

CHAKRABORTY

Special Session: Applications of StochastProcesses (LEVITIN, FINKELSTEIN,

YADAVALLI, KAOMBE, LITVINE) Chair: FINKELSTEIN



Lunch (Rautenbach Hall)

Statistical methodology and techniques Session: General (MACDONALD,

SANDROCK, RANGANAI, PRETORIUS, SWANEPOEL) Chair: DR LIZANNE

RAUBENHEIMER

Special Session: Statistics in Nanoscience and Chemical Risk Assessment

(GOTTSCHALK, JACOBS, HAYWOOD) Chair: JACOBS

Special Session: Statistics in Sport (SWARTZ, DAS, LEMMER, CALDER,

JORDAAN) Chair: SHARP

COE‐MASS Session: National Doctoral Training Centre for Mathematical and

Statistical Sciences (Dr Andre Kaniki, Prof Loyiso Nongxa)

Special Session: Complex Sampling (HEERINGA, NEETHLING, RIAZ, MALEPE, CHINOMONA, KISAKU‐LWAYO, MAREMBA) Chair: dE WET, Discussant: DE WET, NEETHLING

Special Session: Statistics in Sport (SWARTZ, DAS, LEMMER, CALDER,

JORDAAN) Chair: SHARP

Special Session: Spatial Statistics (STEIN, THIART, DISTLLER, OKANGO, MANDA,

DE KLERK, NGWENYA, DARIKWA, KHAN) Chair: THIART, Discussant:

THIART, FABRIS‐ROTELLI

Special Session: Spatial Statistics (STEIN, THIART, DISTLLER, OKANGO, MANDA, NGWENYA, DARIKWA, KHAN) Chair: THIART, Discussant: THIART, FABRIS‐

ROTELLI

Statistical methodology and techniques Session: General ( RANGANAI, LUBBE, NEMUKULA**) Chair: PROF FRANCESCA

LITTLE

14:00 ‐ 14:30

16:00 ‐ late

14:30 ‐ 15:30

Special Session Part 2: Statistical Process Control (VAN DER MERWE, SHONGWE, CHAKRABORTY, MALELA‐MAJIKA,

ADEOTI, BADHLYERA) Chair: HUMAN

Special Session: Multivariate data Anlay(VICHI, SWANEPOEL, UYS,

NIENKEMPER‐SWANEPOEL, RABE, MATLWA, KHULE, SALANE) Chair:

LUBBE

Gala Dinner (Rautenbach Hall)


Statistical methodology and techniques Session: General (SANDROCK, KING, KIFLE) Chair:PROF PAUL MOSTERT

Blue Stallion Demonstration

Thursday 3 December 2015 Thursday 3 December 2015 Thursday 3 December 2015 Thursday 3 December 2015 Thursday 3 December 2015 Friday 4 December 2015

VENUE ENG III ‐ 1 ENG III ‐ 2 ENG III ‐ 3ENG III ‐ 4 (and ENG III ‐ 5, 6,

7 and IT 5‐16 for the breakaway)

Brown Lab, Informatorium Brown Lab, Informatorium

10:30 ‐ 11:00

Tea and Coffee (Brown Lab, Informatorium)


15:00 ‐ 15:30



8:00 ‐ 9:00


Lunch (Informatorium))

Merging Game Theory and Risk Analysis in Optimal Defense of Complex

Stochastic Systems (Levitin)







11:00 ‐ 12:30 Biostatistics Workshop (Chen)

Complex Sampling Workshop (Heeringa)

12:30 ‐ 13:30





Tea and Coffee (Foyer Eng III)


Lunch(Rautenbach Hall)

Tea and Coffee (Foyer ENG III)

Business Statistics using SAS Enterprise guide

ANOVA, Regression, and Logistic Regression

Lunch (Informatorium))







Complex Sampling Workshop (Heeringa) Mentorship Workshop

Mentorship Workshop

Mentorship Workshop

Mentorship Workshop









Arrival Tea and Coffee (Brown Lab, Informatorium)

Arrival Tea and Coffee (Brown Lab, Informatorium)

Special Session Details

Special Session Part 1 Monday 30 November 2015 8:30 – 10:15 & 10:45 – 11:45

Statistics Education Session: Creating on-line Teaching Materials for Teaching Introductory

Statistics in South Africa Chair: Prof Delia North

• Prof Delia North, University of Kwazulu-Natal (co-author: Zewotir, T (School of

Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, UKZN)) (20 minutes): Statistical Capacity Building: Can We Ignore The Online Revolution?

Mini-Plenary:

• Prof Chris Wild, University of Auckland, New Zealand (40 minutes): Data to Insight: Prototyping next-generation introductory statistics

Presentations:

• Christine Kraamwinkel, University of Pretoria (co-author: Corbett, AD (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)) (20 minutes):

Placing the computer in the students' court • Dr Leanne Scott, University of CapeTown (20 minutes):

Reviewing our blend of online and offline learning at introductory level, UCT • Annapurna Hazra, University of Kwazulu-Natal (20 minutes):

Simulation-Assisted Teaching for Undergraduates in Statistics • Dr Lizelle Fletcher, University of Pretoria (co-author: Reyneke, F (Department of

Statistics, University of Pretoria)) (20 minutes): The trials and tribulations of moving towards online teaching

Special Session Part 2

Tuesday 1 December 2015 14:15 – 15:00 & 15:30 – 16:30

Statistics Education Session: Creating on-line Teaching Materials for Teaching Introductory Statistics in South Africa

Presentations:

• Dr Morné Sjölander (20 minutes): The impact of using multimedia on students’ academic achievement in theoretical

Mathematical Statistics courses at UFS • Lyness Matizirofa, University of Johannesburg (20 minutes):

Predictors of success and failure in Statistics • Nombuso Zondo, University of Kwazulu-Natal (20 minutes):

Student Attitudes Towards Statistics

• Ruffin Mutambayi, University of Fort Hare (co-authors: Odeyemi , A.O (Department of Statistics, University of Fort Hare), Ndege, J.O (Department of Statistics, University of Fort Hare), Mjoli, Q.T(Department of Industrial Psychology, University of Fort Hare) (20 minutes):

Statistical analysis of students’ attitudes towards statistics: A case study of undergraduate Bachelor of Science students

Short Presentations with a poster:

• Andre Swanepoel, University of Pretoria (co-authors: Engelbrecht, J (Department of Science, Mathematics and Technology Education, University of Pretoria); Harding, A

(Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, University of Pretoria)and Fletcher, L (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)) (5 minutes):

Which Threshold Concepts exist in First Year Statistics courses at the University of Pretoria?

• Dr Jacques Raubenheimer (5 minutes):

A Comparison Of Rubric Scoring Methods • Thea Corbett (co-authors: Coetzee, E (Department of Statistics, University of

Pretoria), Fouche,I (Academic Literacy Department, University of Pretoria) and Immelman, S (Academic Literacy Department, University of Pretoria)) (5 minutes): Trials and tribulations of collaborative project work in a foundation Statistics module

Panel Discussion (60 minutes):

Prof D. North (UKZN) – CHAIR Prof. C. Wild (Auckland University, NZ)

Prof. J. Allison (NWU) Dr. L. Fletcher (UP) Dr. F. Reyneke (UP) Dr. Y. Chhana (Wits) Ms. H. Scott (UCT)

Special Session Monday 30 November 2015 8:30 – 10:15; 10:45 – 11:45; 13:30 – 15:15 & 15:45 – 16:45

Official Statistics

Chair: Dr Arulsivanathan Naidoo

8:30 – 10:15

Presentations:

• Sedikoe Godfrey Mankwe, Statistics South Africa (15 minutes): Advocacy and importance of official statistics across all spheres of government

• Vienie Botha, Statistics South Africa (Co-author: Mr Kevin Parry) (15 minutes): The use of data visualisation techniques and social media channels to increase

statistical awareness and literacy • Masete Letsoalo, University of Pretoria (Co-authors: Dr Boraine H, (University of

Pretoria and Department of Planning, Monitoring and Evaluations (DPME)), Swanepoel, A, (University of Pretoria)) (15 minutes):

Analysis of South African household poverty based on Income and Expenditure Survey 2010/11

Short presentations with posters:

• Sipho Masimula, Statistics South Africa (Co-author: Arulsivanathan Naidoo) (5 minutes):

Determinants of Children School Attendance in South Africa

• Cleopatra Sikhosana, Statistics South Africa (Co-author: Arulsivanathan Naidoo) (5 minutes):

Does Education Really Disadvantage Women in the Marriage Market?

• Oupa Nkwinika, Statistics South Africa (5 minutes): Gender differentials in housing characteristics and household possessions in

South Africa

• Seipati Kgothe, Statistics South Africa (5 minutes): Outcomes of being raised by grandparents as the primary care giver.

• Ntokozo Molata, Statistics South Africa (Co-author: Dr Naidoo, A (Statistics South Africa)) (5 minutes):

A spatial analysis of poverty in South Africa

• Kenneth Chatindiara, Statistics South Africa (Co-author: Naidoo, A (Statistics South Africa)) (5 minutes):

Socio-economic determinants of motor ownership in South Africa

• Lehlogonolo Masenya, Statistics South Africa (Co-author: Dr Arulsivanathan Naidoo) (5 minutes):

Measuring the efficiency of South African municipalities using Data Envelopment Analysis

Discussion (20 minutes): Dr Arulsivanathan Naidoo

10:45 – 11:45

Presentations:

• Mzi Shabangu, Statistics South Africa (15 minutes): Pro poor public transport: Rea Vaya in the City of Johannesburg

• Zanele Mazibuko, Statistics South Africa (Co-author: Dr Arulsivanathan Naidoo) (15 minutes):

Spatially variability of men and women determinants of unemployment in Limpopo Province

• Pinki Mulibana, Statistics South Africa (Co-author: Malepe, N (Methodology and Evaluation, Statistics South Africa) and Masemula, M (Methodology and Evaluation, Statistics South Africa)) (15 minutes):

The use of administrative data to derive synthetic estimates for Micro enterprises- in order to reduce response burden and cost


13:30 – 15:15

Mini-Plenary:

• Director-General Walter Radermacher, Eurostat (40 minutes): On our Way to Sustainable Development - Guidance from Statistics

Presentation:

• Statistician General Pali Lahohla, Statistics South Africa (40 minutes): Community Survey 2016


15:45 – 16:45

Presentations:

• Dr Arulsivanathan Naidoo, Statistics South Africa (30 minutes): Stats SA dissemination

• SAPS (30 minutes): Crime statistics

Special Session Monday 30 November 2015 8:30 – 10:15 & 10:45 – 11:45

Risk theory in finance and actuarial science

Chair: Dr Conrad Beyers

Mini-Plenary: • Prof Helgard Raubenheimer, Centre for BMI, North-West University (co-authors:

PJ de Jongh (Centre for BMI, NWU, South Africa), T de Wet (Centre for BMI, NWU, South Africa) and K Panman (Centre for BMI, NWU, South Africa)) (40 minutes):

A Simulation Comparison of Quantile Approximation Techniques for Compound Distributions popular in Operational Risk

Presentations:

• Morne Joubert, North West University (20 minutes): Estimation technique for deriving the Basel LGD estimate on retail bank mortgage

portfolio • Dr Jaco Visagie, North West University (20 minutes):

A generalisation of the mean correcting martingale measure • Dr Franck Adekambi, University of Johannesburg (20 minutes): A New Approach To Approximating The Distribution Of Aggregate Discounted

Claims

• Knowledge Chinhamu, University of KwaZulu-Natal (co-author: Huang, C-K(Department of Statistical Sciences,University of Cape Town) and Chikobvu,D (Department of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of the Free State) (20 minutes):

Evaluating Risk In Precious Metal Prices With Generalized Hyperbolic And Stable Distributions


• Frans Koning, University of the Free State (5 minutes): Long Term Care, The South African Outlook, Pricing And Viability

• Lionel Kemda, University of Kwazulu-Natal (co-authors: Chinhamu, K(School of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science,University of KwaZulu-Natal) and Huang, C-K (Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Cape Town)) (5 minutes): Modelling financial data using the Multivariate generalized hyperbolic distribution and

Copula. • Forbes Baseke, University of Kwazulu-Natal (5 minutes):

Modelling Volatility in Stock Returns: Case Study 3 JSE Companies

Discussion (20 minutes): Dr Conrad Beyers

http://sastat.org.za/sasa2015/risk-theory-finance-and-actuarial-science


Fit In or Fall Out: Statistical Distributions

Chair: Prof Filipe Marques

Mini-Plenary:

• Prof Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan, McMaster University, Canada (40 minutes): Some new attractive families of distributions and associated issues

Presentations:

• Prof Filipe Marques, DM, FCT and CMA, Universidade NOVA de Lisboa, Almada, Portugal (20 minutes):

Asymptotic approximations for the sum of independent Gamma random variables and for the product of independent Beta random variables

• Dr Jaco Visagie, North-West University (co-authors: Allison, JS (Department of Statistics, North-West University), Santana, L (Department of Statistics, North-West University), Smit, N (Department of Statistics, North-West University) (15 minutes):

An objective comparison between various goodness-of-fit tests for exponentiality • Dr Paul J. van Staden, University of Pretoria (co-author: King, R.A.R. (School of

Mathematical and Physical Sciences, University of Newcastle, Australia)) (15 minutes):

The quantile statistical universe • Dr Salimeh Yasaei Sekeh, Federal University of Sao Carlos (UFSCar), SP, Brazil

(15 minutes): On weighted Gaussian entropy


• Olusegun Broderick Oluyede, Georgia Southern University (5 minutes): A New Compound Class of Burr Weibull-Poisson Distribution: Properties and

Applications • Theodor Loots, University of Pretoria (co-authors: Bekker, A (Department of

Statistics, University of Pretoria) and Balakrishnan, N (Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University) (5 minutes):

Arc length estimation of cumulative distribution functions • Albert Mijburgh, University of Pretoria (co-authors: Bekker, A (Department of

Statistics, University of Pretoria) and Human, S (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)) (5 minutes):

Generalised Multivariate Beta Type II Distribution • Peter Iiyambo, (co-author: Robert Schall) (5 minutes):

Coverage probabilities and average length of generalized confidence intervals for the ratio of scale parameters, difference of location parameters and difference of

quantiles of two Weibull distributions. • Dr Eno Akarawak, University of Lagos (co-authors: Adeleke, I.A. (Department of

Actuarial Science and Insurance, University of Lagos) and Okafor, R.O. (Department of Mathematics, University of Lagos)) (5 minutes):

On the T-X Families of Continuous Distributions • Prof Andriette Bekker, University of Pretoria (co-authors: M Arashi, University of

Pretoria and Shahrood University, Iran; J van Niekerk, University of Pretoria) (5 minutes):

http://sastat.org.za/sasa2015/risk-theory-finance-and-actuarial-science

Wishart generator distribution with a Bayesian application

• I Adeleker, University of Lagos, Nigeria (co-authors: Akarawak, E.E.E; (Department of Mathematics, University of Lagos, Nigeria), Olalude, G. A; (Department of Statistics, Federal Polytechnic, Ede, Osun State), Okafor, R. O.; (Department of Mathematics, University of Lagos, Nigeria)) (5 minutes):

The Four-Parameter Weibull-Logistic Distribution And Its Properties • Brenda Omachar, University of Pretoria (Co-authors: ) (5 minutes):

The skew hyperbolic secant distribution

Discussion (15 minutes): Prof N Balakrishnan, Filipe Marques


The Analysis of Data from Clinical Trials

Chair: Prof Francesca Little

Mini-Plenary:

• Dr Carl Lombard, Biostatistics Unit, South African Medical Research Council (40 minutes):

Analysis of Randomised Controlled Trials – some perspectives

Presentations:

• Dr Anneke Grobler, CAPRISA (20 minutes): Adaptive study design to reduce the size of a Phase II clinical trial for HIV

prevention

• J Ramjith, Division of Biostatistics & Epidemiology, School of Public Health & Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa (20 minutes):

An application of the extensions of the Cox model to model the incidence of pneumonia and repeat episodes of pneumonia in boys & girls in a low-middle income

setting in South Africa: The Drakenstein child health study.

• Dr Freedom Gumedze, University of Cape Town (20 minutes): Analysis of recurrent hospitalisations and deaths in a tuberculous pericarditis

multicentre clinical trial

• Dr Kerry Leask, CAPRISA (20 minutes): Design and Analysis of Cluster Randomised Trials

Discussion (40 minutes): Prof Francesca Little

Special Session Monday 30 November 2015 8:30 – 10:15

Statistical Image Processing and Robotics

Chair: Dr Inger Fabris-Rotelli

Mini-Plenary:

• Dr Robert King, University of Newcastl, Australia (40 minutes): Image analysis in robot soccer

Presentations:

• Alex Lau, University of Pretoria (Co-author: Fabris-Rotelli, I (University of Pretoria) and Bekker, A (University of Pretoria)) (20 minutes);

A Study of Dependence Structures in Image Pixels

• Dr Surette Bierman, Stellenbosch University (20 minutes): Feature selection for kernel models by means of stepwise selection and

regularisation: a comparative study

Discussion (25 minutes): Dr I Fabris-Rotelli


Managing the global hunger challenge: food security measurement and monitoring in

the Sustainable Development Goal era

Chair: Dr Isabel Schmidt

Mini-Plenary:

• Dr Carlo Cafiero, Senior Statistician in the FAO Statistics Division, Rome (Co-authors: Nord, M., Viviani, S. ) (40 minutes):

Constructing, validating, interpreting and presenting household food insecurity measures.

Presentations:

• Dr Tsakani Ngomani, DPME (30 minutes): Data-driven policy making, impact assessment and accountability: The experience of the

Department for Planning Evaluation and Monitoring (DPME)

• Nozipho Shabalala, Statistics South Africa (30 minutes): Stats SA’s Poverty and Food Security measurements

• Prof Sheryl Hendriks, University of Pretoria (30 minutes): What are we measuring? Comparison of food security indicators from the

Eastern Cape

Discussion (30 minutes): Dr Isabel Schmidt


Extreme Value Theory

Chair: Prof Andrzej Kijko

Mini-Plenary:

• Prof Jan Beirlant, Department of Mathematics, LStat and LRisk KU Leuven, and Department of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of the Free State (Co-authors: Tom Reynkens, Department of Mathematics KU Leuven; Isabel Fraga Alves, Department of Statistics, University of Lisbon; Ivette Gomes, Department of Statistics, University of Lisbon) (40 minutes):

Tail estimation in a bounded world: bounded or unbounded models?

Presentations:

• Sean van der Merwe, University of the Free State (Ntseki, J (Department of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of the Free State) and Teise, C (Department of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of the Free State) (20 minutes):

Comparison of old and new fit tests for peaks over a known threshold

• Dr Andréhette Verster, University of the Free State (Co-author: Maribe, G (Department of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of the Free State)) (20 minutes):

An Improved unbiased-Bayesian estimation of the Extreme value index for heavy-tailed distributions

• Tadele Akeba Diriba, University of Pretoria (Co-authors: Legesse Kassa Debusho; Joel Botai) (20 minutes):

Modelling Extreme Daily Temperature using Generalized Pareto Distribution at Port Elizabeth, South Africa

• Richard Minkah, Stellenbosch University and University of Ghana (Co-author: Prof. Tertius de Wet, Stellenbosch University) (20 minutes):

Conditional Tail Index and Extreme Quantiles: A Review and Simulation Comparison

Short Presentations with a Poster:

• Daniel Maposa, University of Limpopo (Co-author: Cochran, JJ (Department of Information Systems, Statistics and Management Sciences, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, USA) and Lesaoana, M (Department of Statistics and Operations Research, University of Limpopo)) (5 minutes):

Modelling nonstationary extremes in the lower Limpopo River basin of Mozambique

• Tsirizani Kaombe, Department Of Mathematical Sciences, Chancellor College, University Of Malawi (Co-author: Manda, S. O. M. (Biostatistics Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Pretoria, Republic of South Africa)) (5 minutes):

Assessing Influential Observations In Analysis Of Survival Data

Discussion (20 minutes): Prof Andrzej Kijko


Bayesian network applications and distributed reasoning systems

Chair: Dr Alta de Waal

Mini-Plenary:

• Dr Gregor Pavlin, Thales Research & Technology Netherlands/D-CIS Lab (40 minutes):

Situation Assessment Exploiting Correlated Data from Disparate, Spatially Distributed Sources: A Probabilistic Causal Model Approach

Presentations:

• Dr Alta de Waal, University of Pretoria (20 minutes): 3D Expert Knowledge Elicitation for Bayesian Networks

• Hildegarde Koen, CSIR, University of Pretoria (20 minutes): Rhino Poaching Decision Support Modelling

• Dr Victoria Goodall, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University (Co-author: Fatti, L.P. (School of Statistics & Actuarial Science, University of the Witwatersrand) and Owen-Smith, N (School of Animal, Plant & Environmental Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand) ) (20 minutes):

Multiple State Allocation for Latent Animal Behavioural States based on Hidden Markov Models

• Dr Joel Dabrowski, University of Pretoria (Co-authors Dr Pieter de Villiers & Dr Conrad Beyers, University of Pretoria) ) (20 minutes):

Towards developing early warning systems - behavioural modelling from maritime piracy to banking crises

• Rik Claessens, Thales Research & Technology Netherlands/D-CIS Lab, University of Liverpool (Co-authors: 1) Alta de Waal, University of Pretoria 2) Pieter de Villiers, University of Pretoria & CSIR 3) Ate Penders, Thales Research & Technology Netherlands/D-CIS Lab & Delft University of Technology 4) Gregor Pavlin, Thales Research & Technology Netherlands/D-CIS & University of Amsterdam, 5) Karl Tuyls, University of Liverpool & Delft University of Technology ) (20 minutes):

Multi-Agent Target Tracking using Particle Filters enhanced with Context Data


• Dr Chistopher Udomboso, Department of Statistics, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria) (Co-authors: Dr Chukwu, A U (Department of Statistics, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria) and Prof Dontwi I K (Department of Mathematical Sciences, Nkwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana)) (5 minutes):

On Model Selection Criteria in Statistical Neural Network

Discussion (20 minutes): Dr Alta de Waal

http://sastat.org.za/sasa2015/bayesian-network-applications-and-distributed-reasoning-systems


Multilevel Modeling

Chair: Dr Gretel Crafford

Mini-Plenary:

• Dr Agnes Stancel-Piątak, IEA Data Processing and Research Center (40 minutes): Using Multiple Group Multilevel Latent Models for Cross-Country Comparisons

Presentations:

• Jesca Batidzirai, University of KwaZulu- Natal (Co-authors: Manda, S.O.M (Biostatistics Research Unit, South Africa Medical Research Council, Pretoria)and Mwambi H.G (School of Mathematics, Statistics & Computer Science, University of KwaZulu- Natal)) (20 minutes):

Multilevel Modelling of Event Histories in Family Formation and Dissolution Studies in the sub-Saharan Africa

• Prof Deon Nel, University of Pretoria (20 minutes): Applications of Multilevel Modelling in Brand Value Research

• Prof Arien Strasheim, Department of Human Resource Management, University of Pretoria, Faculty of Economic & Management Sciences (Co-author: Kriel, G (Department of Human Resource Managemen, University of Pretoria, Faculty of Economic & Management Sciencest) ) (20 minutes):

Modelling branch-level data in MG SEM

• Prof Jenny Hoobler, University of Pretoria, Faculty of Economic & Management Sciences (20 minutes):

Modelling Supervisor-Subordinate Relationship Dyadic Data

Discussion (40 minutes): Prof Jenny Hoobler

Special Session Tuesday 1 December 2015 8:00 – 9:45 & 10:15 – 11:15

Bayesian methods for drug research

Chair: Prof Paul Mostert

Mini-Plenary:

• Prof Emmanuel Lesaffre Leuven Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics Centre (40 minutes):

Modeling multivariate multilevel continuous responses with a hierarchical regression model for the mean and covariance matrix applied to a

large nursing data set

Presentations:

• Prof Paul Mostert, Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Stellenbosch University (Co-author: Van Rooyen, R (Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Stellenbosch University) ) (20 minutes):

Class of objective priors for a generalised compound Rayleigh model under various loss functions

• Dr Divan Burger, University of the Free State and Quintiles, Biostatistics (Co-author: Prof. Robert Schall) (20 minutes):

Robust mixed effects regression models with application to colony forming unit count and time to positivity in TB research

• Osvaldo Loquiha, Universidade Eduardo Mondlane/Uhasselt (Co-author: Hens,N (Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Universiteit Hasselt), and Chavane, L (Jhpiego, MCHIP Maternal and Child Health Integrated Program), and Temmerman, M (International Centre for Reproductive Health, Ghent University), and Aerts, M (Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Universiteit Hasselt) ) (20 minutes):

Modelling Heterogeneity for Count Data. A Study of Maternal Mortality in Health Facilities in Mozambique

• Adelino Martins, Eduardo Mondlane University (20 minutes): A New Model For Multivariate Current Status Data

Discussion (40 minutes): Prof Paul Mostert


Business Analytics and Big Data

Chair: Dr Frans Kanfer

Presentations:

• Prof Gregory Lee, Wits Business School (30 minutes): Extrapolating business statistics to financial valuations

• Pravin Burra, Customer Insights & Analytics, Standard Bank (30 minutes):

The Business of Counting: From practical considerations to value extraction

• Prof Paul Fatti, Wits University (40 minutes): Big Data, Data Science and Analytics - the end of Statistics?

• Patrick Hall, SAS Institute (40 minutes): An Overview of Machine Learning with SAS Enterprise Miner

Discussion (20 minutes): Dr Frans Kanfer


Business Analytics and Big Data

Chair: Dr Sonali Das

Mini-plenary:

• Dr Robert N Rodriguez, SAS Institute (40 minutes): Methods, Models, Motivation, and More: Recent Developments in SAS/STAT®

Software

Mini-Plenary:

• Prof Montaz Ali, School Of Computer Science And Applied Mathematics, University Of The Witwatersrand (40 minutes):

Models and methods for analysing (Big) datasets

Presentations:

• Peter Smith, University of Pretoria (Co-authors: Kanfer, F and Millard, S (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)) (20 minutes):

Investment-Policy Surrender Prediction with Random Survival Forests

• Erin Bromley-Gans, UTi (co-authors: Kirshnee Moodley and Calven van der Byl) (20

minutes): Demand Forecasting for Inventory Planning

Discussion (30 minutes): Dr Sonali Das


Experimental Design

Chair: Prof Legesse Debusho

Mini-Plenary:

• Prof Linda Haines, University of Cape Town (40 minutes): Designs for Small Data

Presentations:

• Prof Legesse Debusho, University of South Africa (Co-author: Dibaba Bayisa Gemechu and Linda M. Haines ) (20 minutes):

Properties of A- and D-optimal row-column designs for two-colour cDNA microarray experiments: Robustness against missing arrayss

• Prof Francois Steffens, University of Pretoria (20 minutes): R A logarithmic logistic regression model

Discussion (25 minutes): Prof Legesse Debusho


Multivariate Analysis in Economic and Management Sciences

Chair: Prof Igor Litvine

Mini-Plenary:

• Prof Francis Biesmans, University of Lorraine, France (Co-author: Igor Litvine (Centre of Expertise in Forecasting, NMMU, South Africa)) (40 minutes):

The Dynamic Probit Model: A Tool for Forecasting

Presentations:

• Prof Rangan Gupta, University of Pretoria (Co-author: Bejiros, S (European University Institute) and Majumdar, A (Center for Advanced Statistics and Econometrics, Soochow University)) (20 minutes); Incorporating Economic Policy Uncertainty in US Equity Premium Models: A

Nonlinear Predictability Analysis

• Dr Saragan Pillay, Statistics South Africa (20 minutes): Inter-Linkages Between Private Investment, Public Investment And Economic

Growth In South Africa

• Alexander Boateng, University of Limpopo (Co-author: Prof Maseka, L (Department of Statistics and Operations Research, University of Limpopo), Prof Gil-Alana, LA(Faculty of Economics, University of Navarra), Prof Hlegani, S (Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, University of Limpopo),Prof Belete, A (Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Limpopo)) (20 minutes):

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rates, Whittle method, Long memory, ARFIMA model

• Siphumlile Mangisa, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University (Co-author: Das, S (Advanced Mathematical Modelling, Modelling and Digital Science, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, Pretoria, South Africa; and Department of Statistics, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University, South Africa) and Sharp, G (Department of Statistics, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University, South Africa) and Ray, S (School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Glasgow, UK)) (20 minutes):

A functional data analysis investigation of the relationship between electricity demand and economic indicators in South Africa

Discussion (40 minutes): Prof Igor Litvine


Biostatistics

Chair: Prof Legesse Debusho

Mini-Plenary:

• Prof Din Chen, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (40 minutes): Interval-Censored Time-to-event Data: From Parametric to Nonparametric Survival

Data Analysis

Presentations:

• Elizabeth R Zell, Stat-Epi Associates Inc.; CDC (retired) (20 minutes): A Potential Outcomes Approach to Documenting the Public Health Impact of the

Introduction of PCV13 for the Prevention of Invasive Pneumococcal Disease

• Prof Samuel Manda, South African Medical Research Council (20 minutes): A Bayesian Modelling Approach for Weighted Survival Data from Non-

Proportionally Sampled Strata in Complex Surveys

• Prof Henry Mwambi, School of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of KwaZulu-Natal (Co-authors: Dr Ali Satty (School of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of KwaZulu-Natal) and Professor Geert Molenberghs (Hasselt University, I-BioStat, 3500 Hasselt, Belgium and KU Leuven - University of Leuven, 3000 Leuven, Belgium)) (20 minutes):

Different Methods for handling incomplete longitudinal binary outcome due missing at random dropout

• Esmè Jordaan, Biostatistics unit, MRC (20 minutes); Applying a Structural Equation Model (SEM) to infer a causal relationship between

alcohol use and ART adherence • Dr Gaetan Kabera, South African Medical Research Council (Co-author: Mr Paul

Gatabazi, University of Johannesburg) (20 minutes): A look on additive hazards regression models in survival analysis

Discussion (20 minutes): Prof Legesse Debusho

Special Session Wednesday 2 December 2015 8:00 – 9:45 & 10:15 – 11:15

Statistics in Sport

Chair: Prof Gary Sharp

Mini-Plenary:

• Prof Tim Swartz, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby BC, Canada (40 minutes): Recent Work in Twenty20 Cricket Analytics

Presentations:

• Prof Sonali Das, CSIR (co-authors: B Ganguli, Univ. of Calcutta; Q Louw, Univ. of Stellenbosch; J Cockcroft (Univ. of Stellenbosch); S Sen Roy (Univ. of Calcutta); N Botha (CSIR, Pretoria)) (20 minutes):

Statistical Analysis of Gait Data

• Prof Hoffie Lemmer, University of Johannesburg (20 minutes): A Measure for the Wicket Taking Ability of Bowlers

• Arnu Pretorius, Stellenbosch University (Co-author: Dr Surette Bierman) (20 minutes): Predicting the future of the 2015 Rugby World Cup using Random Forest variants


• John Calder, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University (Co-author: Sharp, G (Department of Statistics HoD, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University)) (5 minutes):

Statistical Methods for Cricket Batting Performance • Max Jordaan, Statistics South Africa (5 minutes):

Spatial Statistical Analysis to determine Cricket Facilities

Discussion (20 minutes): Dr Paul van Staden


Bayesian Stream

Chair: Dr Lizanne Raubenheimer

Mini-Plenary:

• Prof Donald B Rubin, Harvard University (40 minutes): The Utility of Bayesian Inference in Instrumental Variables Models

Presentations:

• Dr Michael von Maltitz, University of the Free State (Co-author: van der Merwe, AJ (Department of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of the Free State) ) (20 minutes):

Investigating the posterior predictive p-value for model evaluation in sequential regression multiple imputation (SRMI)

• Janet van Niekerk, University of Pretoria (Co-authors: A. Bekker*, M. Arashi*' and D.J. de Waal*" *Department of Statistics, Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Sciences,University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa, 'Department of Statistics, School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Shahrood, Shahrood, Iran, **"Department of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Sciences, University of the Free State, Bloemfontein, South Africa) (20 minutes):

Bayesian estimation under the Matrix variate elliptical model

• Raeesa Manjoo, University of Witwatersrand (Co-authors: Fitsum Abadi (School of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of the Witwatersrand, P/Bag 03, Wits 2050, South Africa )) (20 minutes):

A Bayesian capture-recapture model to estimate the survival rate of blue cranes

• Dr Siaka Lougue, University of Kwazulu Natal (Co-author: Ogunsakin Ropo Ebenezer) (20 minutes): Medication of people living with Cancer in South Africa: A Bayesian approach of

statistical analysis

Discussion (40 minutes): Dr Michael von Maltitz


Applications of Stochastic Processes

Chair: Prof Maxim Finkelstein

Mini-Plenary:

• Prof Gregory Levitin, The Israel Electric Corporation (Co-author: Xing, L (Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Massachusetts)) (40 minutes):

Stochastic systems with reworking

Presentations:

• Prof Maxim Finkelstein, University of the Free State (co-author: Cha, JH (department of Statistics, Ewha Womans University, Korea)) (20 minutes):

New Shock Models Based on the Generalized Polya Process

• Prof Sarma Yadavalli, University of Pretoria (Co-author: Vaidyanathan S Vaidyanathan, Pondicherry University, Puducherry, India) (20 minutes): Estimation of the Modified Traffic intensity of a Markovian Queuing system with

Balking

• Tsirizani Kaombe, Department of Mathematical Sciences, Chancellor College, University of Malawi (Co-authors: Samuel O.M. Manda (1Department of Mathematical Sciences, Chancellor College, University of Malawi and South African Medical Research Council, Biostatistics Unit, Pretoria, RSA)) (20 minutes):

Assessing influential observations in analysis of survival data

• Prof Igor Litvine, NMMU (Co-author: Francis Biesmans (Beta, University of Lorraine, France)) (20 minutes);

Dating financial cycles with hierarchical method

Discussion (40 minutes): Prof Maxim Finkelstein


Statistical Process Control

Chair: Prof Subra Chakraborti

Mini-Plenary:

• Prof Peihua Qiu, Department of Biostatistics, University of Florida, USA (40 minutes):

Recent Research on Nonparametric Statistical Process Control

Presentations:

• Dr Nirpeksh Kumar, MG Kashi Vidyapith, Varanasi, India (Co-author: Prof. Chakraborti, S. (Department of Information Systems, Statistics and Management Science, University of Alabama, U.S.A.)) (40 minutes):

Bayesian monitoring of times between events: The Shewhart rt -chart

• Dr Marien Graham, University of Pretoria (co-author: Mukherjee, A (Department of Mathematics, IIT Madras, India), Chakraborti, S (Department of Information Systems, Statistics and Management Science, University of Alabama, USA)) (40 minutes):

Design and Implementation of Distribution-free Phase II EWMA Exceedance Control Charts for Monitoring Unknown Location

Discussion (60 minutes): Prof Subra Chakraborti


Statistical Process Control

Chair: Dr Schalk Human

Mini-Plenary:

• Prof Abrie van de Merwe, University of the Free State (Co-author: van Zyl, R (Biostatistics, Quintiles) and Groenewald P.C.N (Department of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Sciences, University of the Free State)) (40 minutes):

A Bayesian Control Chart for a One-sided Upper Tolerance Limit for the Normal Population

Presentations:

• Sandile Shongwe, University of Pretoria (Co-author: Graham M.A. (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)) (20 minutes): Shewhart-type synthetic and runs-rules charts for monitoring the mean of normally

distributed processes

• Niladri Chakraborty, University of Pretoria (co-author: Chakraborti, S (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria), Human,S.W. (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria), Balakrishnan, N. (Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University)) (20 minutes):

A Distribution-Free Generally Weighted Moving Average Control Chart

• Jean-Claude Malela-Majika, University of South Africa (Co-author: E. Rapoo) (20 minutes):

Distribution-free CUSUM and EWMA Control Charts based on the Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Statistic using Ranked Set Sampling for Monitoring Mean Shifts

• Dr Olatunde Adeoti, University of South Africa (Co-author: Prof John Olaomi (Department of Statistics, University of South Africa)) (20 minutes):

Process capability index based control chart for variables


• Oliver Bodhlyera, University of KwaZulu Natal (Co-author: Zewotir, T (School of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of KwaZulu Natal) and Ramroop, S (School of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of KwaZulu Natal) (5 minutes):

Classification of Timber Genotypes for Chemical Pulping Using Piecewise Regression and Kernel Density based Clustering

Discussion (35 minutes): Dr Schalk Human


Complex Sampling

Chair: Prof Tertius de Wet

Mini-Plenary:

• Dr Steven Heeringa, Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI (Co-author: Berglund, P. (Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan), Melipillán, E.R. (Program in Survey Methods, University of Michigan) (40 minutes):

Survey Sampling and Big Data: Applications to Survey-assisted Modeling for Populations.

Presentations:

• Dr Ariane Neethling, Department Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of the Free State (Co-author: Luus, Retha (Department of Statistics and Population Studies, University of the Western Cape) and de Wet, Tertius (Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Stellenbosch University)) (20 minutes):

The Role of Weighting in the Analysis of Complex Survey Data

• Dr Saba Riaz, Riphah International University Islamabad Pakistan (co-author: Chakraborti, S (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria), Human,S.W. (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria), Balakrishnan, N. (Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University)) (20 minutes):

A modified class of estimators for estimation of population mean in the presence on non-response

• Naume Malepe, Statistics South Africa (Co-author: Mandla Masemula (Statistics South Africa, Methodology and Evaluation), Pinki Mulibana (Statistics South Africa, Methodology and Evaluation)) (20 minutes):

The use of administrative data to derive synthetic estimates for Micro enterprises- in order to reduce response burden and the collection cost


• Amos Chinomona, Rhodes University (Co-author: Mwambi, H (School of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of KwaZulu-Natal)) (5 minutes):

Hierarchical Logistic Regression for Estimating HIV Prevalence using Survey Data Accounting for Missing Data

• Maggie Kisaka-Lwayo, Statistics South Africa (Co-author: Caiphus Mashaba, Ngoako Mokgerepi, Neo Mashamba) (5 minutes):

A review of model-based approaches to small area estimation: An exploratory study

• Thanyani Maremba, Statistics South Africa) (5 minutes): Sample design to optimise the estimation of small micro and medium enterprise

owners and their characteristics

Discussion (30 minutes): Prof Tertius de Wet, Dr Ariane Neethling


Complex Sampling

Chair: Prof Christien Thiart

Mini-Plenary:

• Prof Alfred Stein, Twente University, The Netherlands (40 minutes): Spatial statistics: an overview and some recent developments.

Presentations:

• Prof Christien Thiart, Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Cape Town and AEON-ESSRI (Co-author: Linda Haines (Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Cape Town), Suvira Bodha (Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Cape Town), Divan Stroebel (AEON-ESSRI, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University) and Maarten de Wit (AEON-ESSRI, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University)) (20 minutes):

Space-filling designs for finding an optimum sample in order to access the quality of groundwater hydrochemistry of the Karoo

• Greg Distiller, University of Cape Town (20 minutes): Using continuous-time spatial capture-recapture (SCR) models to make inference

about animal activity.

• Elphas Okango, University of Kwazulu-Natal (Co-author: Henry Mwambi(1.School of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of KwaZulu -Natal, Private Bag X01, 3201 Pietermaritzburg, South Africa), Oscar Ngesa (1, and Mathematics and Informatics Department, Taita Taveta University College, P.O Box 635-80300, Voi, Kenya.)) (20 minutes):

Semi-Parametric spatial Joint modeling of HIV and HSV-2 among women in Kenya with spatially varying coefficients

• Prof Samuel Manda, South African Medical Research Council (20 minutes): Multivariate Spatial-Temporal Autocorrelations for Small-Area Multiple Health

Outcomes in South Africa


• Mzabalazo Ngwenya, Biometry, Agricultural Research Council (ARC) (co-authors: Strydom, M. (Centre for Invasion Biology & Department of Conservation Ecology and Entomology, Stellenbosch University), Veldtman, R. (Applied Biodiversity Research, South African National Biodiversity Institute (SANBI)), Esler, K.J. (Centre for Invasion Biology & Department of Conservation Ecology and Entomology, Stellenbosch University) (5 minutes):

Characterising Australian Acacia seed bank size and its relationship with stand characteristics in the Western Cape

• Timotheus Darikwa, Department of Statistics and Operations Research, University of Limpopo (Co-authors: Manda, S (Biostatistics Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council & School of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of Kwazulu-Natal), Leasoana, M (Department of Statistics and Operations Research,University of Limpopo)) (5 minutes):

Investigating Bivariate Spatial Autocorrelations of Cardiovascular Mortality in South Africa: 2011

• Caiphus Mashaba, Statistics South Africa (Co-authors: Mokgerepi, N.; Strauss, M.; Chuene, M.; Ndzhukula, M.; Khan, A) (5 minutes):

The use of Geo-spatial data for Master Sample Design

Discussion (25 minutes): Prof Christien Thiart, Dr Inger Fabris-Rotelli


Multivariate Data Analysis Chair: Prof Sugnet Lubbe

Mini-Plenary:

• Prof Maurizio Vichi, Universita di Roma Sapienza (40 minutes): New Challenges in Clustering and Dimensional Reduction in the Era of Big Data

Presentations:

• Prof Jan Swanepoel, North-West University, Potchefstroom (20 minutes); Bernstein estimation for a copula derivative with application to conditional

distribution and regression functionals

• Prof Danie Uys, Stellenbosch University (20 minutes): The histogram and polygon revisited

• Johané Nienkemper-Swanepoel, Stellenbosch University (Co-author: le Roux, NJ (Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Stellenbosch University), Lubbe, S (Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Cape Town) and von Maltitz, MJ (Department of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of the Free State)) (20 minutes):

Generalized Orthogonal Procrustes Analysis for the comparison of Multiple Imputed data sets

• Anasu Rabe, University of Botswana (Co-authors: Shangodoyin,D.K.(Department of Statistics, University of Botswana) and Thaga,K.(Department of Statistics, University of Botswana)) (20 minutes):

Cholesky-based Covariance Modeling in Longitudinal Studies


• Tshepho Brian Matlwa, Statistics South Africa (5 minutes): Is There Hope for Survivalists?| Success In Running a NON-VAT Registered

Business In SOUTH AFRICA.

• Thabo Khule, Statistics South Africa (5 minutes): Factors affecting high mortality in Lesotho, 2009

• Mulalo Salane, Statistics South Africa (5 minutes): Influential factors of divorce in South Africa

Discussion (20 minutes): Prof Sugnet Lubbe

Special Session Wednesday 2 December 2015 12:15 – 14:00

Statistics in Nanoscience and Chemical Risk Assessment

Chair: Rianne Jacobs

Mini-Plenary:

• Dr Fadri Gottschalk, ETSS – Environmental, Technical and Scientific Services, Strada, Switzerland (Co-author: Andrea Sanchini (ETSS – Environmental, Technical and Scientific Services, Strada, Switzerland)) (40 minutes):

Probabilistic environmental exposure, effect and risk assessments in the context of potential chemical/nano risk

Presentations:

• Rianne Jacobs, Biometris, Wageningen University and Research Centre (Co-authors: van der Voet, H (Biometris, Wageningen University and Research Centre) and ter Braak, CJF (Biometris, Wageningen University and Research Centre)) (20 minutes); Probabilistic methods for the environmental risk assessment of nanoparticles

• Andries Haywood, University of Pretoria (Co-authors: Fabris-Rotelli, I (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria) and Das, S (Advanced Mathematical Modelling, CSIR Modelling and Digital Science) and Wesley-Smith, J (DST/CSIR National Centre for Nanostructured Materials, CSIR)) (20 minutes):

Bayesian object classification in nanoimages

Discussion (20 minutes): Rianne Jacobs

http://sastat.org.za/sasa2015/statistics-nanoscience-and-chemical-risk-assessment

Open Sessions

Statistical methodology and techniques sessionsTuesday 1 December 2015 8:00 - 9:45 & 10:15 - 11:15 & 14:00 - 15:45 (Official Statistics)

Presenter's Insitution Co-authors Title8:00 - 8:20 Mr Thabo Masemola Statistics South Africa Long-term trends in living alone among South African adults:

Age, gender, and educational differences8:20 - 8:40 Ms Rosina Mosoma Statistics South Africa Dr Naidoo,A (Statistics South Africa) Patterns of activity and employment in the young adulthood years

(18-24) following their exit from the school system8:40 - 9:00 Ms Mmanate Kekana Statistics South Africa Naidoo,A (Statistics South Africa) Homeownership differentials in South Africa9:00 - 9:20 Mr Collen Motsepa Statistics South Africa Dr Arulsivanathan Naidoo Socioeconomic Determinants and Spatial Variation of Fertility in

South Africa9:20 - 9:40 Ms Gaongalelwe Phakedi Statistics South Africa Spatial variation in disability and poverty – A Case of South

Africa10:15 - 10:35 Dr Dawit Ayele University of KwaZulu-

NatalTemesgen T. ZewotirSchool of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science,University of KwaZulu-Natal

Childhood mortality spatial distribution in Ethiopia

10:35 - 10:55 Dr. Adewale Adeogun North-West University Palamuleni, M. (Department of Population Studies, North-West University)Palamuleni, L. (School of Environmental & Health Science, North-West University)

Dynamic spatio-temporal analysis of Ebola virus disease: putting in perspective epidemics in Africa

10:55 - 11:15 Mr Thanyani Maremba Statistics South Africa Zewotir, T (School of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, UKZN)

Sample design to optimise the estimation of small micro and medium enterprise owners and their characteristics

14:00 - 14:20 Mrs Fadzayi Ndlovu Department of Statistics and Operations Research, National University of Science and Technology

Chivafa, A (Department of Statistics and Operations Research, National University of Science and Technology) and Mdlongwa, P (Department of Statistics and Operations Research, National University of Science and Technology)

Modeling Gender Representation: A Case Study of the National University of Science and Technology

14:20 - 14:40 Miss Fiskani Kondowe University of Malawi Mwakilama, E (Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Malawi-Chancellor College)

ASSESSING THE LEVELS OF SECONDARY SCHOOL DROPOUTS IN RELATION TO SOME SOCIO-ECONOMIC FACTORS: A CASE STUDY OF KHONJENI.

14:40 - 15:00 Mr Henry Mlinde University of Malawi Simbeye, J (Department of Mathematics, Chancellor College, University Of Malawi ) and Mwakilama, E (Department of Mathematics, Chancellor College, University Of Malawi )

ASSESSING FACTORS AFFECTING ADMISSION TIME OF KAPOSI SARCOMA USING SURVIVAL ANALYSIS, A CASE OF ZOMBA CENTRAL HOSPITAL MALAWI

15:00 - 15:20 Xaven Pillay StatsSA Business clustering along the M1-N3-N1 corridor between Johannesburg and Pretoria, South Africa.

15:20 - 15:40 Retius Chifurira University of KwaZulu-Natal

Chinhamu, K(School of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of KwaZulu-Natal)

Using Extreme Value Theory To Measure Value-At-Risk For Daily South African Mining Index

Tuesday 1 December 2015 10:15 - 11:15 (Forecasting)Presenter Institution Co‐authors: Title

10:15 - 10:35 Dr Oluwaseun Otekunrin University of Ibadan, Nigeria

Ariyo,O (Department of Statistics,University of Ibadan) Modelling Total Electricity Generation in Nigeria: The Response Surface Methodology Approach

10:35 - 10:55 Mrs Jenny Holloway CSIR Koen, R (CSIR) and Mokilane, P (CSIR) Comparison of methods for long-term forecasting of electricity load profiles in South Africa

10:55 - 11:15 IdentifyingLienki Viljoen Stellenbosch University Steel, S. J. (Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Stellenbosch University)

Identifying a secondary series for Stepwise Common Singular Spectrum Analysis

Presenter

Presenter

Wednesday 2 December 2015 8:00 - 9:45 (biostatistics)Presenter's Insitution Co-authors Title

8:00 - 8:20 Mr Welcome Dlamini University of KwaZulu-Natal

Statistical Models to Model the Probability of the Under-five Mortality in United Republic of Tanzania

8:20 - 8:40 Alfred Musekiwa University of KwaZulu-Natal (UKZN)

Manda, S (Biostatistics Unit, South African Medical Research Council) and Mwambi, H (School of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of KwaZulu-Natal)

Meta-analysis of Longitudinal Studies in the Presence of Missing Effect Sizes

8:40 - 9:00 Adelino Juga Eduardo Mondlane University/Uhasselt University

Niel Hens(Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and Statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat),Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium) and (Centre for Health Economic Research and Modelling Infectious Diseases, Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute (VAXINFECTIO), University of Antwerp, Antwerp,Belgium)Nafissa Osman(Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Maputo Central Hospital, Maputo,Mozambique) and (Faculty of Medicine, Eduardo Mondlane University, Maputo, Mozambique)Marc Aerts(Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and Statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat),Hasselt University, Diepenbeek, Belgium)

A Case-Control Study of Tattoo and HIV Infection among Teens in Mozambique

9:00 - 9:20 Mr Jacob Majakwara Wits university Suvra P (Department of Mathematics, University of Texas at Arlington, Texas, USA)

Likelihood inference based on EM algorithm for the destructive COM-Poisson cure rate model

9:20 - 9:40 Mrs Nicolene Thiebaut Agricultural Research Council, Head-Office, Pretoria

Dr Andre Nel and Annelie De Beer (Agricultural Research Council, Potchefstroom)

Yield probability as a method for cultivar selection

Wednesday 2 December 2015 12:15 - 14:00 (General)Presenter's Insitution Co-authors Title

12:15 - 12:35 Dr Iain MacDonald Univ of Cape Town More thoughts on the EM algorithm12:35 - 12:55 Dr Trudie Sandrock University of Stellenbosch Steel, S (Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science,

University of Stellenbosch)Variable selection in multi-label classification using probe variables

12:55 - 13:15 Dr Edmore Ranganai University of South Africa A Note On Studentized Residuals in the Quantile Regression Framework

13:15 - 13:35 Mr Charl Pretorius Department of Statistics, North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus

Prof Swanepoel, JWH (Department of Statistics, North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus)

On a new method of constructing bootstrap confidence bounds

13:35 - 14:55 Prof Cornelia J Swanepoel North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus

Mr. Shawn C. Liebenberg (Statistical Consultation Services, North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus)

MULTIPLE IMPUTATION IN THE PRESENCE OF A DETECTION LIMIT, WITH APPLICATIONS: AN EMPIRICAL APPROACH.


14:30 - 14:50 Dr Trudie Sandrock University of Stellenbosch From Bernoulli to Beethoven and Fisher to Pharrell: An Introduction to Music Information Retrieval

Presenter

Presenter

Presenter

14:50 - 15:10 Dr Robert King Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria; School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, University of Newcastle, Australia

van Staden, P (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)

Mixtures of generalized lambda distributions

15:10 - 15;30 Prof Yehenew GetaKifle Department of Statistics & Operations Research, University of Limpopo, South Africa

Delenasaw Yewhalaw, Delenasaw (Department of Biology, College of Natural sciences, Jimma University, Jimma Ethiopia); Niko Speybroeck (Institute of Health and Society, Universit´e Catholique de Louvain, Brussels, Belgium); Paul Janssen (CenStat, Hasselt University, Belgium) and Luc Duchateau (Department of Comparative Physiology and Biometrics, Ghent University, Belgium).

Assessing the effect of distance from a dam on time to malaria, with distance confounded with the clustering structure.


10:15 - 10:35 Dr Edmore Ranganai University of South Africa Quality of Fit Measurement in Regression Quantiles: An Elemental Set Method Approach

10:35 - 10:55 Prof Sugnet Lubbe University of Cape Town le Roux, NJ (Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Stellenbosch University) and Gower, JC (Department of Mathematics and Statistics, The Open University UK)

Fisher Optimal Scores for Visualisation in Categorical Data

10:55 - 11:15 MURENDENI NEMUKULAUNIVERSITY OF LIMPOPO AND UNIVERSITY OF THE WITWATERSRAND

SIGAUKE, C (DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, UNIVERSITY OF VENDA) AND (SCHOOL OF STATISTICS AND ACTUARIAL SCIENCE, UNIVERSITY OF THE WITWATERSRAND)

Modelling average minimum daily temperature using extreme value theory with a time varying threshold

Presenter

Young Statistician’s Sessions

Young Statistician's StreamMonday 30 November 2015 8:30 - 10:15

Presenter's Institution Co‐authors Title8:30 - 8:50 Murendeni MauNemukula University of the

WitwatersrandSigauke, C (School of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of the Witwatersrand)

Modelling minimum average daily temperature using extreme value theory with a time varying threshold

8:50 - 9:10 Tadele Diriba University of Pretoria Debusho, LK (Department of Statistics, University of South Africa) and Botai, J (Department of Geography, Geo informatics & Meteorology, University of Pretoria).

Modelling Extreme Daily Temperature Using Generalized Pareto Distribution at Port Elizabeth, South Africa

9:10 - 9:30 Anasu RABE University of Botswana Shangodoyin, D.K. (Department of Statistics, University of Botswana) and Thaga,K.(Department of Statistics, University of Botswana)

A New Approach to Covariance Modeling of Longitudinal Data

9:30 - 9:50 Nontembeko Dudeni-Tlhone CSIR APPLICABILITY OF MULTILEVEL MODELS TO TEMPORAL SPECTRAL DATA

9:50 - 10:10 Christiaan Ras University of Pretoria The risk performance of the heteroscedastic preliminary test estimator under different loss functions

Monday 30 November 2015 10:45 - 11:45Presenter's Institution Co‐authors Title

10:45 - 11:05 Halima Twabi Chancellor College Namangale, J. J (Department of Mathematical Sciences, Chancellor College) and Mukaka, M ( Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford (UK), Mahidol-Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit,Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University)

Modeling Length of Hospital Stay for Tuberculosis In-Patients at Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital: Applying Competing risks

Presenter

Presenter

11:05 - 11:25 Henry Mlinde Department of Mathematics, University of Malawi, Chancellor College, Zomba, Malawi

J.Simbeye, E.Mwakilama, Department of Mathematics, University of Malawi, Chancellor College, Zomba, Malawi

Assessing Factors Affecting Admission Time Of Kaposi Sarcoma Using Survival AnalysisA Case Of Zomba Central Hospital

Tuesday 1 December 2015 8:00 - 9:45Presenter's Institution Co‐authors Title

8:00 - 8:20 Jesca Batidzirai University of KwaZulu- Natal

Manda, S.O.M (South Africa Medical Research Council, Pretoria) and Mwambi, H.G (School of Mathematics, Statistics & Computer Science, University of KwaZulu- Natal)

Multilevel Modelling of Event Histories in Family Formation and Dissolution Studies in the sub-Saharan Africa

8:20 - 8:40 Ansie Smit University of Pretoria Natural Hazard Centre, University of Pretoria

Kijko, A (University of Pretoria Natural Hazard Centre, University of Pretoria) and Fabris-Rotelli, IN (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria) and Van Staden, PJ (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)

New Procedure for Probabilistic Hazard Assessment from Incomplete and Uncertain Data

8:40 - 9:00 Modupi Peter Mphekgwana African Institute for Mathematical Sciences

Hewson, P ((Department of Statistics, Plymouth University (UK))

Diagnosis of Zero Inflation

9:00 - 9:20 Paul Claassen Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria

Fletcher, L (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)

The problem of zero-inflated count data: a discussion and application of zero-inflated and hurdle models

9:20 - 9:40 S Kubheka UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH AFRICA DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS

E. Ranganai Long Memory and Structural Breaks:An Application to Platinum Price Return Series

Monday 30 November 2015 15:45 - 16:4515:45 - 16:05 Johan Ferreira University of Pretoria Bekker, A (Department of Statistics,

University of Pretoria, South Africa) and Arashi, M (Department of Statistics, University of Sharhood, Iran)

Quadratic forms on complex elliptical random variables and its applications

16:05 - 16:25 Tsitsi Makoni University of Pretoria van Staden, P.J. (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)

Generalized Burr Type II - exponential distribution

Presenter

16:25 - 16:45 Seite Littah Makgai University of Pretoria Supervisor: Prof A. BekkerCo-supervisor: Mr J.T. Ferreira

Creating mixtures of Pareto distributions via beta type generators

Monday 30 November 2015 13:30 - 15:15Presenter's Institution Co‐authors Title

13:30 - 13:50 EMMANUEL NUMAPAU GYAMFI DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS,

KYEI, K.A (DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS, UNIVERSITY OF

LONG-MEMORY IN ASSET RETURNS AND VOLATILITY: EVIDENCE FROM WEST

13:50 - 14:10 Letlhogonolo Khenene Statistics South Africa The impact of Infrastructure on South Africa's Economic Growth

14:10 - 14:30 Francois Kamper University of Stellenbosch

Marginalization of Multivariate Gaussians with Application in Optimization Problems

14:30 - 14:50 Sibusiso Magagula Nedbank/UNISA Feasibility in using Greeks...to manage options' risks - The Management Perspective


10:15 - 10:35 Abdalla Kombo UKZN Satty A (School of Statistics, Mathematics and Computer Science, UKZN) and Mwambi H (School of Statistics, Mathematics and Computer Science, UKZN)

Handling longitudinal continuous outcomes with dropout missing at random: A comparative analysis

10:35 - 10:55 Lolita Winnaar University of the Western Cape

Prof. Renette Blignaut (University of the Western Cape) and Dr. George Frempong (Human Sciences Research Council)

Using multilevel analysis to determine the learner and school factors associated with mathematics performance

10:55 - 11:15 THUTO MOTHUPI UNIVERSITY OF BOTSWANA

ARNAB,R(DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS,UNIVERSITY OF BOTSWANA)

A randomized response survey on the risky behaviors of certain University students


10:15 - 10:35 Michaela Ritchie Council for Scientific and Industrial Research

A comparison of domain expert classification and unsupervised computer classification techniques: A case study of the Orange Riv

10:35 - 10:55 Belisha Naidoo University of KwaZulu-Natal Westville

Statistical modelling and spatial mapping of crime in South Africa.

10:55 - 11:15 Christine Kraamwinkel University of Pretoria Fabris-Rotelli, IN (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)

Spatial Sampling


Presenter

Presenter

Presenter

Presenter

16:30 - 16:50 Lisa-Ann Kirkland University of Pretoria Kanfer, F (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria) and Millard, S (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)

LASSO Tuning Parameter Selection

16:50 - 17:10 Sibusisiwe Khuluse-Makhanya CSIR Stein, A (Faculty of Geo-information Science and Earth Observation, University of Twente) and Debba, P (Built Environment, CSIR)

Sequential regression imputation of air quality data


14:00 - 14:20 godson Mesike university of Lagos, Akoka,Nigeria

Adeleke, I.A (Department of Actuarial science and Insurance, University of Lagos)Hamadu, D (Department of Actuarial science and Insurance, University of Lagos)

INDUSTRY-WIDE DATA GOVERNANCE MODEL FOR CREDIBLE RATING IN NIGERIA

14:20 - 14:40 FAROUK SSEKISAKA MAKERERE UNIVERSITY

SHAMIRAH IGA BIRTH REGISTRATION IN UGANDA: CHALLENGES, OPPORTUNITIES AND LESSONS.

14:40 - 15:00 FAROUK SSEKISAKA MAKERERE UNIVERSITY

Islamic Banking as an option for developing Sub-Saharan Africa economies

15:00 - 15:20 Xolani Jozi Statistics South Africa Modelling Net-Internal Migration in South Africa

15:20 - 15:40 Barend Mienie Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University

WJ BrettennyNelson Mandela Metropolitan UniversityDepartment of Statistics

GD SharpNelson Mandela Metropolitan UniversityDepartment of Statistics

Assessing the Productivity of Selective Container Terminals in Africa using DEA


Presenter

Presenter

8:00 - 8:20 Janet Van Niekerk University of Pretoria Bekker, A (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria) and Arashi, M (Department of Statistics, University of Shahrood, Shahrood, Iran and Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)

Comparative subjective Bayesian analysis of the normal model

8:20 - 8:40 Hossein Masoumi Karakani University of Pretoria Van Niekerk, J (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria) and Van Staden, P.J (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)

The first-order autoregressive process - a Bayesian perspective

8:40 - 9:00 Sisa Pazi Nelson Mandela Metropolitan Univerisity

Sharp, G.D (Department of Statistics, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University) and Clohessy C ((Department of Statistics, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University)

Statistical methods for the detection of non-technical electricity losses: A case study for Nelson Mandela Bay Municipality

9:00 - 9:20 Dibaba Gemechu University of Pretoria Debusho, L. K. (Department of Statistics, University of South Africa) and Haines, L. M. (Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Cape Town)

Bayesian optimal block designs for two-colour cDNA microarray experiments

Tuesday 1 Decemberr 2015 16:30 - 17:30Presenter's Institution Co‐authors Title

16:30 - 16:50 Alphonce Bere University of Venda Koen, C (Department of Statistics, University of the Western Cape)

On the possibility of using chi-plots and Kendall plots for revealing the presence of mixture components in bivariate data.

16:50 - 17:10 Arnu Pretorius Stellenbosch University Dr Surette Bierman Predicting the future of the 2015 Rugby World Cup using Random Forest variants


16:30 - 16:50 Jean-Claude Malela-Majika UNISA Dr Rapoo, E (Department of Statistics, University of South Africa)

Distribution-free CUSUM and EWMA Control Charts based on the Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Statistic using RSS for Monitoring Mean Shifts

Presenter

Presenter

16:50 - 17:10 Niladri Chakraborty University of Pretoria Chakraborti, S (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria), Human,S.W. (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria), Balakrishnan, N. (Department of Mathematics and Statistics, McMaster University)

A Distribution-Free Generally Weighted Moving Average Control Chart

17:10 - 17:30 Jordache Ramjith Division of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health & Family Medicine, University of Cape Town

Myer, L (Division of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health & Family Medicine, University of Cape Town)and Zar, H (Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Red Cross War Memorial Children’s Hospital and University of Cape Town) and Little, F (Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Cape Town)

An application of the extensions of the Cox model to model the incidence of pneumonia and repeat episodes of pneumonia in boys &


SAS Honours Project Winner14:15 - 14:35 Dalene Bezuidenhout Stellenbosch University de Villiers, Margaret; (Stellenbosch

University) and Mostert, Paul J. (Stellenbosch University)

Influence of right-censoring on some kernel-smoothed hazard rates

Statistics SA paper competition winner14:35 - 14:55 Charl Janse van Rensburg University of Pretoria Fabris-Rotelli, I (Department of

Statistics, University of Pretoria)Big data, compressed sensing and wavelets

Presenter

Poster Evening

Presenter's Institution Co‐authors Title

Micaela Giacovazzi University of PretoriaFerreira, J.T. & Bekker, A., Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria, Pretoria

A study of the moment generating functions of the generalised κ − μ and η − μ distributions in wireless systems

Halima Twabi Chancellor College

Dr M Mukaka (Department of Statistics, University of Oxford (UK), Mahidol‐Oxford Tropical) , Dr J.J. Namangale (Department of Mathematical Sciences, Chancellor College)

Modeling Length of Hospital Stay for Tuberculosis In‐Patients at Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital: Applying Competing risks

Sharkay Izally Rhodes University

Raubenheimer, L (Department of Statistics, Rhodes University)Adekpedjou, A (Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Missouri University of Science and Technology)

Bayesian accelerated life testing for the exponential model using the MDI prior

Altus Coetzee University of PretoriaFabris‐Rotelli, I (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)

Compressed sensing and Statistical Preprocessing of fMRI data

Bertha Nambahu University of Namibia

Pazvakawambwa, L. (Department of Statistics and Population Studies, University of Namibia), Neema, I. (Namibia Statistical Agency)

MODELING OF ROAD TRAFFIC FATALITIES IN NAMIBIA: GENERALIZED LINEAR MODEL APPROACH

Bracken van Niekerk NMMUGoodall, V (Department of Statistics, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University)

Application of Mixture models for Eland movement in two Eastern Cape National parks

Bracken van NiekerkNelson Mandela Metropolitan University

Goodall,V (Department of Statistics, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University)

Application of Mixture models for Eland movement in two Eastern Cape National parks

Prenil Sewmohan University of Pretoria Statistical Robotics

Phuti Sebatjane University of South AfricaNjuho, P (Department of Statistics, University of South Africa)

Quantifying aggregation and zero inflation in faecal egg counts of sheep and goats.

Presenter

Kirstie EastwoodNelson Mandela Metropolitan University

Comparing two different sized photo‐bio reactors using growth curves and bootstrapping

Carmen StindtNelson Mandela Metropolitan University

Clohessy, CM (Department of Statistics, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University) and Sharp, GD (Department of Statistics, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University)

A structural equation modelling (SEM) analysis of a four factor model with demographic influences

Shezad Muttur NMMULitvine, I (Department of Statistics, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University)

Detecting and Analysing Financial Cycles

Prenil Sewmohan University of Pretoria

Fabris‐Rotelli, I (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria), Kanfer, F (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria) and Millard, S (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)

Statistical Robotics

Kylie Tarboton NMMULitvine, I (Department of Statistics, NMMU)

The synchronization between stock prices in JSE and related commodities

Emma PlumsteadNelson Mandela Metropolitan University

Prof Litvine, I (Department of Statistics, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University)

Statistical Modelling for Unplanned Capacity Loss in Electricity Generation

Sihle PoswayoNelson Mandela Metropolitan University

Litvine, I (Department of Statistics, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University)

Analysis of JSE Stock Prices Using Hurst Exponent

Francois Meintjes University of PretoriaCo‐Author: Fabris‐Rotelli, I (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)

Tests for Complete Spatial Randomness

Christine Papavarnavas University of PretoriaFabris‐Rotelli, I (department of Statistics)

Miss

Evert Coetzee University of Pretoria

Graham, M (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria) and Kanfer, F (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)

Nonparametric Bootstrap EWMA Control Chart

Brett Rowland University of Pretoria

Coauthors: Ferreira, J.T. & Bekker, A., Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria, Pretoria

Mixtures of gamma distributions to model the signal‐to‐noise ratio of wireless channels

Iketle Maharela University of Pretoria Spatial Econometrics

Albert Mijburgh University of Pretoria

Bekker, A (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria) and Human, S (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)

Generalised Multivaraite Beta Type II Distribution

Ané NeethlingDepartment of Statistics, University of Pretoria

van Staden, Dr PJ (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)

A smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) time series model for the South African inflation rate

Anika Wessels University of Pretoria

Van Staden, P.J (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria) and Omachar, B.V (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)

Asymmetric generalizations of the logistic distribution

Mbongeni Mzila University of Pretoria

Fabris‐Rotelli I (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria), Van Staden P.J (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria), Venter M (Department of Insurance and Actuarial Science, University of Pretoria)

Using linear programming to allocate swimmers to relay teams

Carl van HeerdenNorth‐West University, Potchefstroom Campus

Jansen van Rensburg, H. (Department of Statistics, North‐West University, Potchefstroom Campus)

Priyanka Nagar University of PretoriaVan Niekerk, J (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)

Subjective Bayesian analysis of the univariate normal model.

Keunyoung Yoo University of PretoriaSynchronization and conformity in random systems: the hipster effect

Laruchelle de Almeida University of PretoriaVan Niekerk, J (Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria)

Time series analysis of South African gross domestic product

Rion Jansen University of Pretoriavan Staden, P; Fabris‐Rotelli, I; Vanter, M ((University of Pretoria)

A rating system for rugby teams from multiple leagues

Hayley Reynolds University of PretoriaLoots, T; Kijko, A; Smit, A (university of Pretoria)

Spatial modelling of peak ground acceleration in South Africa

Documents

Programme at a Glance - sastat · 2017-07-07 · Young Statistician's Stream (MESIKE, SSEKISAKU,(NDLOVU, JOZI, MIENIE) Chair: ANDRE SWANEPOEL Plenary: Prof Chen (Eng III‐1) Statistical