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Prof. Dr. Mir Shabbar Ali
Karachi Bus Rapid Transit Progress
Courtesy:Mirza Anwar Baig
ConsultantKarachi Mass Transit Cell, KMC
Presentation on BRTS in Karachi
Population Projection for Karachi
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 20350
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
15.1
18.9
23.1
27.6
29.7
31.6
Year
Popu
latio
n (M
illio
ns)
Current Population
Projection in KSDP 2020
Projection in KTIP
Source : KTIP 2030
An increase of almost 9 million
people
An increase of another 4 million
people
Population in 20051,000,000500,000100,000
Population in 20201,000,000500,000100,000
Expected Population Growth Trend by Town upto 2030
Gadap Town
Bin Qasim Town
Kemari Town
New Karachi Town
Most of the population growth is expected to take place in the out skirts of the existing city i.e. Gadap Town, Bin Qasim Town, Keamari Town, New Karachi Town as the centre is already densely populated.
World Metropolitan Population
All Metropolises of the world have Mass Transit Systems EXCEPT KARACHI
Toky
o
Guang
zhou
Seou
l
Delhi
Mum
bai
Mex
ico
City
New Y
ork
Sao
Paul
o
Man
ila
Jaka
rta0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
34.3
25.1 24.6 24.1 23.5 22.922
20.8 20.218.8
Pop
ula
tion
(M
illio
ns)
Karachi Now
Karachi in 2030
6
Status of Existing Public Transport [Vehicle Count VS Occupancy Comparison]
• 4.5% composition of Public Transport Vehicles carry 42% of Total Persons Traveling in the City.
• Private Cars which is 36.5% of Total Vehicular Traffic carries only 21% of Persons. Showing Lesser Average Vehicle Occupancy.
• The above leads to the conclusion that there is still deficiency of Public Transport availability on all Major Routes in the city.
In order to improve the transport situation in Karachi city
KARACHI TRANSPORTATION IMPROVEMENT STUDY PROJECT 2010 – 12 was conducted by
Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) in association with
Karachi Mass Transit Cell (KMTC), Karachi Metropolitan Corporation (KMC)
including preparation of Transport Master Plan with 2030 vision
Karachi Transport Improvement Plan 2030
The JICA Study Team has reviewed the corridors and the systems in previous plans and analyzed alternatives corridors and systems.
The master plan network consists of • Karachi Circular Railway (KCR), • Two Mass Rapid Transits (MRTs) named as Blue Line and Brown
Line and • 6 Bus Rapid Transits (BRTs) along major corridors.
Karachi Transport Improvement Plan 2030
BRT-1Length: 21.1 Km
BRT-2Length: 24.4 Km
BRT-3Length: 26.0 KmBRT-6
Length: 11.8 Km
BRT-5Length: 9.7 Km
BRT-4Length: 3.9 Km
Total length of Mass Transit Network: 189.8 kmMRT Network: 98.5 km; BRT Network: 91.3
Karachi Transport Improvement Plan 2030
• JICA identified Red, Green and Yellow Line as priority corridors and completed technical feasibility study for Red and Green Line.
• No resettlement and Land procurement issues in the BRT Corridors/Lines.
• The Project Development of BRT Yellow Line was approved in the 9th PPP Policy Board held in November 2012.
• Accordingly KMTC, KMC has engaged a consortium of consultancy firms consisting of financial, legal and technical, expertise to act as Transaction Advisors for the Project in April 2013.
• The Advisory Consortium consists of
Karachi Transport Improvement Plan 2030
(Project Brief)BRT “Yellow” Line
Dawood Chowrangi
Murtaza Chowrang
i
Singer Chowrangi
Bilal Chowrangi
Vita Chowrangi
Chamra Chowrangi
Brooks Chowrang
i
KPT Interchang
e
Kh -e- Itteha
d
Sunset Boulevar
d
DHA More
Kala Pull
Shah Ahmad Noorani
FTC Interchang
e
Nursery
Allah Wali Chowrangi
Mansehra Colony
Jam Sadiq Bridge
Khalid Bin Waleed Road
People’s Roundabout
CDGK Parking Plaza
Empress Market
Regal Chowk
Numaish
Khudadad Colony
Yellow Line
Proposed Bridge Widening
Proposed Elevated Structure
At-Grade StationProposed Grade Separated Station
Proposed Elevated Structure (For Mix Traffic)
BRT (In Mix Traffic)
BRT Yellow Line - Route
Average speed of system30 km/hr
Estimated BRT
Ridership 2013125,000 Pax per day
Bridge wideningone (1km)
Proposed stations24
Proposed flyoversThree
Overhead pedestrian bridges 24
Corridor .
length 26 km (Dedicated: 16km,
Elevated 4km,Mixed Traffic 4km)
Estimated project costPKR 8-10 bn
Salient Features after Initial Study
Progress of the Transaction Advisors on Yellow Line is as follows:– Have submitted the Inception Report of the Assignment– Have conducted major traffic, topographic and other related surveys– Initial cost estimate has been determined– Other technical studies are in progress– Broad Project/Transaction structure has been determined– Work on the Financial Model has been initiated– Preliminary meeting for Legal Review has been conducted– Preliminary meeting for Regulatory Authority / Company has been completed – RFQ, EOI and Project Brief Submitted and approved by TFEC
Project Status
(Project Brief)BRT “Red” Line
BRT Red Line - Route
Average speed of system25 km/hr
Estimated BRT
Ridership 2013355,000Pax per day
Bridge widening0
Proposed stations20
Proposed flyovers0
Overhead pedestrian bridges 20
Corridor .
length –22.2 km (Dedicated: 22.2 km,
Elevated 0 km,Mixed Traffic 0 km)
Estimated project costPKR 10-11 bn
Salient Features after Initial Study
• Technical Feasibility Study of the Project completed by JICA• EOI, RFQ and Project Brief completed and can be finalized in
weeks’ time. • Bidding Documents (RFP & Concession Agreement) to be prepared
for BRT Yellow Line shall be used for the Project. Resultantly Cost saving for Government.
• Note for Chief Secretary for formation of Technical and Financial Evaluation Committee (a requirement of SPPRA) for Green Line is in process.
Project Status
(Project Brief)BRT “Green” Line
BRT Green Line - Route
Average speed of system25 km/hr
Estimated BRT
Ridership 2013432,000 Pax per day
Bridge widening0
Proposed stations28(24 at grade,4 elevated)
Proposed flyovers2
Overhead pedestrian bridges 24
Corridor .
length 22.1 km (Dedicated: 22.1 km,
Elevated 3.2 km,Mixed Traffic-0 km)
Estimated project costPKR 14-15 bn
Salient Features after Initial Study
• Technical Feasibility Study of the Project completed by JICA• EOI, RFQ and Project Brief completed and can be finalized in
weeks’ time. • Bidding Documents (RFP & Concession Agreement) to be prepared
for BRT Yellow Line shall be used for the Project. Resultantly Cost saving for Government.
• Note for Chief Secretary for formation of Technical and Financial Evaluation Committee (a requirement of SPPRA) for Green Line is in process.
Project Status
Project Structure
Share pledge
Shareholdersagreement
Sponsors Procuring Authority/ Public Sector SPV
Insurance company End users
Party A:Infrastructure
& maintenance
Party B: Operator
Party C:Fare collector
Direct agreement/support guarantees
Insurance agreement Fare
Disbursement of funds
LendersIncome from fare collection
Private Parties
Services
Debt repayment
ROI guaranteed/ support
Project Structure for Yellow Line
■ Infrastructure design, ■ Construction of bus
way and bus depots) ■ Maintenance of
infrastructure
Party A:Infrastructure &
maintenance
Party B: Operator
Party C:Fare collector
■ Procurement of busses ■ Operation of the same■ Maintenance of bus
fleet
■ Collection of fare and non-fare revenue
■ ITS systems and related infrastructure
■ Compensation in form of annuity payments over predetermined period of time
■ Payment on per km basis with various elements of inflation and pass through items built into formula
■ Fixed payment by Party to Authority with incentive to pocket upside
■ Or % payment surcharge
Incentive structure Incentive structure Incentive structure
ResponsibilitiesMajor responsibilities of private parties
Proposed Project Structure
Implementation Structure
• Proposed “Sindh BRT Company” • Basic obligations shall include:
– Policy / Regulation Formation, Administration and Management
– Planning and Design – Contracting and Concessions, Project Award and
Implementation – Engineering and Construction – Liaising with Government Authorities– Operational Management and Enforcement and Rights to
Penalize– Marketing and Customer Care
Implementation Structure
• Dedicated Company required because :– Specialized professional/technical expertise required for the
Project– Implementation of Project requires authority/powers from
various agencies, who shall surrender powers for BRT Corridor in favor of BRTC
– Regulation Monitoring a specialized task considering best practice and sophisticated technology
– In accordance with Global Practice (Transmilano SA, Transport for London etc), Same model followed by Punjab whereby an authority has been formed by act of parliament
– Representation of all Stakeholders
Implementation Structure
• To be incorporated under Companies Ordinance 1984• Proposed board representation after initial
assessment, as follows:• Secretary Transport and Mass Transit Chairman• Director General, Mass Transit• Special Secretary Finance (B & E)• Administrator (Co-opt Member) of City where the Project is being
implemented• DIG Traffic• P & D Chief Transport• Pakistan Engineering Council Representative• ICAP Representative• Acedmia Representative
Salient Features
• Formal approval by Honorable Chief Minister, Sindh for formation of “Sindh BRT Company”.
• After detailed legal review, a formal Summary to be moved by Transport Department, GoS with the necessary particulars for approval of Honorable Chief Minister.
• Approval of PPP Policy Board is required for launch of Yellow Line under PPP Mode. RFQ, EoI and Project Brief have been completed and can be finalized in a week’s time.
• Launch of Red and Green Line shall be made after launch/progress of Yellow Line considering the considering the investment climte.
Decisions Solicited
???