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Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
PRODUCER PRICE INDEX FOR WATER TRANSPORTATION
IN GERMANY
2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP
Slide 2
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
DEFINITION OF THE SECTOR
Water transportation comprises
Maritime transport (continental and intercontinental)
Coastal (domestic) transport and
Inland water transport via rivers, lakes and other inlandwaterways
Slide 3
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
Size of the industry
30.4 Bill EUR turnover in 2007, thereof
- 28,6 Bill for sea and coastal water transport
- 1.8 Bill EUR for inland water transport
Slide 4
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
Market characteristics of sea and coastal water transport
Share in terms of total turnover, approximatelyFreight transport : 97 %
Passenger transport : 3 %
Slide 5
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
Freight transport in sea and coastal water transport
Shares in terms of turnover, approximately60-65% liner shipment
25-30% Tramp shipping
<10% Roll-on-roll-of transports (mainly baltic sea)
Slide 6
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
Special conditions or restrictions
Role of international sea conferences:
international price cartels
internationally forbidden since 18 October 2008
Present global economic crisis:
Decreasing transport performance
Hard price competition
Decreasing Freight rates
Restructuring of shipment agencies
Slide 7
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
Sample designa) liner shipment
20 units report freight rates:
All dominant suppliers included
Stratified sampling for all other units.
criterion for selection: unit regularly performs representative maritime transports suitable for rate monitoring.
Inclusion of domestic companies with transportsunder foreign flags.
Slide 8
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
Sample designb) roll-on, roll-off ferries
12 units in the price observation
Main data sources:
Internet: price lists
Additional information by telephone
Slide 9
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
Sample designc) passenger transport
Information directly taken from the CPI (minus VAT)
Slide 10
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
Sample designd) excluded: tramp shipping
Difficult to define representative transports comparable over time
Statistical burden for companies (model pricing might be possible)
Information from the trade press for transports used till 2003:
Number of price quotations varied stronglyLow significance of data
Slide 11
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
liner shipment:
Contract prices for repeated services
roll-on, roll-of-ferries and passenger transport:
Direct use of prices for repeated services (tariffs)
Contract prices (exception)
Main pricing method for water transport
Slide 12
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
Collection of informationprinciples
Quarterly survey with monthly breakdown of data:
-- General sources for company‘s transport activities:
transport statistics and commercial sources.
-- Statistical services in consultation with companies choosea number of transport services.
-- Products selected are representative for the business.
-- Products are delivered regularly in the same way
-
Slide 13
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
Collection of informationexample liner shipment
Reported are prices for 400 transported goods:
- basic rates plus
- currency adjustment factors plus
- surcharges (e.g. bunker oil and port charges),
minus
- price reductions.
Slide 14
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
Collection of information, detailsexample liner shipment
Collection of freight rates for each type of good and each traffic relation.
For multimodal transport only the proportional freight rate for mere maritime transport is included.
Freight rates are collected in the original currency and converted to EURO.
Slide 15
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
Specification of services example liner shipment
Services are specified as detailed as possible.
Major parameters:
- Origin and destination of transport,
- Weight or volume for non-containerised cargo,
- Size of container,
- type of container
(general, dangerous, refrigerated),
- need for services (load, unloading, storage).
Slide 16
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
Calculation procedure, liner shipmentMultiple stage calculation:1. Statistics of maritim transport:
- quantities of goods transshipped in German sea ports,
liner trades
- Data grouped by traffic relations and product groups (in tons)
2. From price statistics:
- Average freight rates (container rates) recalculated to obtain freight rates per tonne.
Information necessary on specific weight of products, dimensions of products transported,types and size of containers
Slide 17
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
Quality issues
Precise specification of transport services necessary, must be kept constant over time
Regular update of price quotations from “old” transports to new and similar transports
Certain “redundance” of price quotations is desirable.
reduction of liner shipment due to economic crisis requires extra-efforts for statistics
Slide 18
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
ResultsDistinction between
Total trades
- homeward-bound trades,
- outward-bound trades
Regional breakdown of results:All regions
- Europe,
- Africa,
- America and
- Asia/Australia-
Slide 19
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
Producer price index for maritim water transportation in Germany
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
1. Q. 06 2. Q. 06 3. Q. 06 4. Q. 06 1. Q. 07 2. Q. 07 3. Q. 07 4. Q. 07 1. Q. 08 2. Q. 08 3. Q. 08 4. Q. 08 1. Q. 09 2. Q. 09 3. Q. 09 4. Q. 09
maritim w ater transports, total freight transports RoRo- transports Passenger transports
Slide 20
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
Index of freight rates of liner trades2006 = 100
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
1/ 00 2/ 00 3/ 00 4/ 00 1/ 01 2/ 01 3/ 01 4/ 01 1/ 02 2/ 02 3/ 02 4/ 02 1/ 03 2/ 03 3/ 03 4/ 03 1/ 04 2/ 04 3/ 04 4/ 04 1/ 05 2/ 05 3/ 05 4/ 05 1/ 06 2/ 06 3/ 06 4/ 06 1/ 07 2/ 07 3/ 07 4/ 07 1/ 08 2/ 08 3/ 08 4/ 08 1/ 09 2/ 09 3/ 09 4/ 09
Freight transports Europe Africa America Asia/Australia
Federal Statistical Office of Germany
FSO Germany - Peter Roemer - Division Prices – 2009 MEETING OF VOORBURG GROUP, OSLO
Discussion ?!
Roemer Peter, Destatis GermanyTelefone: ++49 (0) 611 75-2332 E-Mail: [email protected]