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1 PROCEDURE FOR RESOLVING DIFFERENCES IN TEST RESULTS PROCEDURE FOR RESOLVING DIFFERENCES IN TEST RESULTS Olga Puzic ETG Meeting 09 15 2003 Las Vegas

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PROCEDURE FOR RESOLVING DIFFERENCES IN TEST RESULTSPROCEDURE FOR RESOLVING

DIFFERENCES IN TEST RESULTS

Olga Puzic

ETG Meeting09 15 2003Las Vegas

2

Tk 57

Tk 123

Sources of variability

= σm2 σo

2 σs2 σt

2+ + +

σtest2σo

2σm2

σs2

2σσσσTVariability is here to stay

3

The true value of a measured property can never be established exactly

All we ever get is an estimate of the true value

The test results always show some scatter as defined by

Repeatability and Reproducibility limits

xxxx

x

xxxx

Spec (min)

x

4

A dispute between supplier and receiver may arise whenever receiver’s result fails the specification value

XR= 0.98 kPaXS = 1.16 kPa Tk 123

SUPPLIER RECEIVER

DSRo Spec:1.00 kPa min

5

ASTM D3244

“Standard Practice for Utilization of Test Data to

Determine Conformance with Specification”

PROPOSAL

Define an AASHTO standard procedure for test results dispute resolution

Based on:

Reproducibility limitsfrom AASHTO precision tables

orRegional proficiency testing results

6

Condition Acceptable Range of TwoTest Results (d2s%)

Single operator PrecisionDSRo 9.5DSRr 11.0DSRp 22.4BBR-S 9.1BBR-m 4.0

Multi-laboratory PrecisionDSRo 29.1DSRr 31.3DSRp 56.1BBR-S 26.9BBR-m 13.0

DSR and BBR testing precision estimates

FromAASHTO T315

& AASHTO T313

precision tables

2.77 !!!! σσσσX_ !!!! 100

d2s%

7

“duplicate results obtained by the same operator should not be considered suspect unless their differenceexpressed as a percent of their mean exceeds the values in Column 2”

x1 -x2ave ×××× 100 <<<< 9.5%

x1 = 1.18 kPa

x2 = 1.05 kPa

x1-x2 = 0.13Ave = 1.115

Both results are unacceptable

Significance of repeatability (single-operator precision)

x1 -x2ave ×××× 100 = 11.7 %

Condition Acceptable Range of TwoTest Results (d2s%)

Single operator Precision (repeatability)DSRo 9.5

DSRr 11.0

DSRp 22.4

BBR-S 9.1

BBR-m 4.0

Application

8

“two test results obtained by two different operators testing the same material in different labs should not be considered suspect unless the difference expressed as a percent of their mean exceeds the values in Column 2”

XS -XRave ×××× 100 <<<< 29.1%

XS = 1.16 kPaXR= 0.98 kPa

XS - XR = 0.18Ave = 1.07

Both results are acceptable

XS -XRave ×××× 100 = 16.8 %

Significance of Reproducibility (multi-lab precision)

Condition Acceptable Range of TwoTest Results (d2s%)

Multi-lab Precision (Reproducibility)DSRo 29.1

DSRr 31.3

DSRp 56.1

BBR-S 26.9

BBR-m 13.0

9

Putting Reproducibility to work

10

Executive Summary

The procedure described in ASTM D 3244 provides a logical approach to solving

disputes between suppliers and receivers based on the reproducibility of the test procedure. It is important for all parties

involved in specification testing to agree how to settle disputes before they occur.

Executive Summary

The procedure described in ASTM D 3244 provides a logical approach to solving

disputes between suppliers and receivers based on the reproducibility of the test procedure. It is important for all parties

involved in specification testing to agree how to settle disputes before they occur.

For more information, contact:Asphalt Institute

Phone: (859) 288-4960Fax: (859) 288-4999

web address: www.asphaltinstitute.org

For more information, contact:Asphalt Institute

Phone: (859) 288-4960Fax: (859) 288-4999

web address: www.asphaltinstitute.org

Asphalt Institute Technical Bulletin

11

XS = 1.16 kPa XR= 0.98 kPa

All anybody ever gets is an estimate of the true value...

A better estimate of the true value

XS - XR <R

XS + XR

2ASSIGNED TEST VALUE

ATV

12

Calculate ATV

XS & XRwithin R

?Y

N RejectBOTH results

ATV within spec

?

ACCEPT

Y

N ATV within AL ?

ACCEPT

N

Y

REJECT

Obtain XS & XR(same sample)

START

13

* ASTM D3244“Standard Practice for Utilization of Test Data to Determine Conformance with Specification”

a numerical value that divides the regions of acceptable and unacceptable test results

Acceptance Limit *, AL

AL = Smin - 0.419 ×××× R

AL = Smax + 0.419 ×××× R

AASHTO Acceptable Range of two test results (d2s%) Specification Acceptance Limit

(measurement units)DSRo 29.1 1.00 min 0.88

DSRr 31.3 2.20 min 1.91

DSRp 56.1 5000 max 6175.30

BBR-S 26.9 300 max 333.81

BBR-m 13.0 0.300 min 0.28

AASHTO Acceptable Range of two test results (d2s%) Specification Acceptance Limit

(measurement units)DSRo 29.1 1.00 min 0.88

DSRr 31.3 2.20 min 1.91

DSRp 56.1 5000 max 6175.30

BBR-S 26.9 300 max 333.81

BBR-m 13.0 0.300 min 0.28

14

WCTG 2003 Acceptable

Range of two test results (d2s%)

Specification Acceptance Limit (measurement units)

DSRo 16.5 1.00 min 0.93DSRr 17.7 2.20 min 2.04DSRp 52.7 5000 max 6104BBR-S 22.7 300 max 329BBR-m 5.7 0.300 min 0.293DTT Stress 24.2 - naDTT Strain 130.6 1.00 max 1.55

WCTG 2003 Acceptable

Range of two test results (d2s%)

Specification Acceptance Limit (measurement units)

DSRo 16.5 1.00 min 0.93DSRr 17.7 2.20 min 2.04DSRp 52.7 5000 max 6104BBR-S 22.7 300 max 329BBR-m 5.7 0.300 min 0.293DTT Stress 24.2 - naDTT Strain 130.6 1.00 max 1.55

Acceptance Limits based on regional Reproducibility

(Rocky Mountain states)

15

In closing• The supplier should ship product only

if there is confidence that each property meets specification value.

• Individual measurement is only an estimate of the true value

• ATV is a better estimate of the true value

• If the two labs have no bias, ATV approach will resolve 99% of disputes

• A standard practice for resolving testing differences based on ASTM D3244 and established R is needed...

16

If time permits...If time permits...

AMRL PERFORMANCE

17

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

150 160 170 180 190

DSRoDSRr

'94 '97 '00 '03

COV% of AMRL samples 155 - 192

Significant improvement in DSR precision since ‘94 - ‘952003 sample COV% higher than expected

18

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

150 160 170 180 190

DSRoDSRrDSRp

'94 '97 '00 '03

G*sin δδδδ (PAV) (in)precision still a challenge...

COV%

COV% of AMRL samples 155 - 192

19

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

150 160 170 180 190

Creep Sm-value

'94 '97 '00 '03

BBR

Creep Stiffness variability is consistently within 10%Coefficient of variation for m-value is ~ 3%

COV% of AMRL samples 155 - 192

20

010

2030

405060

7080

90100

150 160 170 180 190

FstressFstrain

DTT

'94 '97 '00 '03

COV% of AMRL samples 155 - 192

DTT precision is improving...

21

PMA MORPHOLOGY

22Sample: M93134

center of pen tin (40x)Sample: M93134

side of pen tin (40x)

23

Sample 920313 bulk: TCE wash

24

25

26

27

Sample 930316 bulk TCE wash

(plastomer: 4.5MI, low shear)magn: 50x

28

Sample 960709 bulk wash: nC7/Varsol(elastomer: SBS 5%)magn: 400x

29

Sample 960709 bulk wash: nC7/Varsol(elastomer: SBS 5%)magn: 1000x

30

Sample 960709 bulk wash: nC7/Varsol(elastomer: SBS 5%)magn: 5000x

31

PMApoured fresh,quench cooled

After 48h(@163 C)

32

Testing variability

330.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

46 52 58 64 70 76 82

Pour, 100°C, desc

Pour, 100°C, asc

10 Minute Pill, 100°C, desc

10 Minute Pill, 100°C,asc

Pour, 135°C, asc

Pour, 135°C, desc

10 Minute Pill, 135°C, asc

10 Minute Pill, 135°C, desc

4 Hour Pill, 135°C, desc

10 Minute Pill, 145°C, desc

Pour, 145°C, asc

DSR variability

PG 64-22

340.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

58 64 70 76 82

Pour, 100°C, desc

Pour, 100°C, asc

10 Minute Pill, 100°C, desc

10 Minute Pill, 100°C,asc

Pour, 135°C, asc

Pour, 135°C, desc

10 Minute Pill, 135°C, asc

10 Minute Pill, 135°C, desc

4 Hour Pill, 135°C, desc

10 Minute Pill, 145°C, desc

Pour, 145°C, asc

DSR variability

PG 64-22

350.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

64 70 76 82 88

DSRo Pour, 100°C, ascDSRo 1h Pill, 100°C, ascDSRo Pour, 135°C, ascDSRo 10 Min Pill, 135°C, ascDSRo Pour, 145°C, ascDSRo Pour, 145°C, descDSRo Pour, 160°C, ascDSRo Pour, 160°C, disc

DSRo variabilityPG 70-28 (PMA)

36

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

A (1h HS) B (1h HS + 1h LS) C (B+o/n LS)

Max

PG

Tem

p

DSRo (LW)DSRr (LW)

5% SBS in MBH

PG 70-XX

PG 28-XX

180 oC (356 oF)

37

PG Lines

38

46

52

58

64

70

76

-40 -34 -28 -22 -16

Min PG Temp, °C

Max

PG

Tem

p, °C

PG 64-22

PG 58-28

PG 52-34

Performance Grades

39

Tmax = 1.598Tmin + 109.71R2 = 0.9955

40

46

52

58

64

70

76

82

-46 -40 -34 -28 -22 -16

Min PG Temp, °C

Max

PG

Tem

p, °C

27 pen

45 pen

70 pen

130 pen

190 pen

380 pen

Asphalt grades produced from the same crude source have a characteristic PG line

Cold Lake AsphaltPG line

40

PG Lines for crudes

Tmax CB= 1.4038 Tmin + 105.33R2 = 0.9984

Tmax CA = 1.598 Tmin + 109.71R2 = 0.9955

Tmax CD= 1.4925 Tmin + 102.82R2 = 0.9993

40

46

52

58

64

70

76

82

-46 -40 -34 -28 -22 -16 -10

Min PG Temp, °C

Max

PG

Tem

p, °C

CA CB CD

41

PG lines for Crudes

40

46

52

58

64

70

76

82

-46 -40 -34 -28 -22 -16Min PG Temp, °C

Max

PG

Tem

p, °C BCF-22

Menemota

Mesa 30

Cold Lake

Arab Heavy

Arab Medium

Maya

Lago Treco

Kuw ait

42

Tmax 03 = 1.40 Tmin + 104.65R2 = 0.9746

40

46

52

58

64

70

-46 -40 -34 -28 -22Min PG Temp, °C

Max

PG

Tem

p, °C

2000 - 2003 Asphalt Production

ABC’s PG line

43

Tmax 03 = 1.40 Tmin + 104.65R2 = 0.9746

40

46

52

58

64

70

-46 -40 -34 -28 -22

Min PG Temp, °C

Max

PG

Tem

p, °C

2000 - 2003 Asphalt Production