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Principles of option pricing

Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

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Page 1: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Principles of option pricing

Page 2: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Option

A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation -  to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount of the underlying asset, at a set exchange rate and expiration

date.

Page 3: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Glossary of terms

The investor buying the option is called the buyer or holder.

The investor selling the option is called the writer or seller.

When the holder of the option decides to buy (sell) the asset at maturity, it is said that he/she is exercising the option.

The asset to be bought or sold is called the underlying asset.

Since the holder enjoys a privilege - the option to buy or sell - he/she must pay a premium to acquire the option.

The price agreed upon for buying or selling the underlying asset is called exercise price or strike price.

Page 4: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Glossary of terms (con’t)

Options are traded on options exchanges.

The number of outstanding option contracts at any time is called open interest.

Page 5: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

American vs. European options

American options can be exercised at any time during their life span

European options can be exercised only at maturity

Page 6: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Option valuation basics

Like with any other financial asset, the option premium or market value or option price is a function of future expected cash flows.

Page 7: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Notation

C: price of an American call

c: price of an European call

P: price of an American put

p: price of an European put

E: exercise or strike price

S: stock price before maturity

ST: stock price at maturity

T: time to maturity

r: risk-free rate

Page 8: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Boundaries to option prices: Call options.

At expiration:C = max[0, (ST -E)]

Before expirationUpper bound:

A call cannot sell for more than the stock: C < S and c < S

Lower bound:

C > = max[0, (S -E)]

c > = max[0, (S - E/(1+r)T)]

Page 9: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

What happens if this relationship is not

satisfied?

Page 10: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Boundaries to option prices: Arbitrage

Assume the Exxon December 26 call struck at $80 sells for $1. It is now December 17. The stock of Exxon is at $83/share. The risk-free rate is

6%.

If the option is American, buy the call for $1, exercise it and make $3

Arbitrage profit = $2

Page 11: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

What if the option is European?

Construct an arbitrage portfolio

Page 12: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European call options

When Action Cash flow

Today,December 17

Short one share of Exxon

Buy one call

Lend $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

$83

-$1

-$79.8835

net CF = $2.116

Page 13: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European call options

When Action Cash flow

Today,

December 17

Short one share of Exxon

Buy one call

Lend $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

$83

-$1

-$79.8835

net CF = $2.116

Page 14: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European call options

When Action Cash flow

Today,December 17

Short one share of Exxon

Buy one call

Lend $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

$83

-$1

-$79.8835

net CF = $2.116

Page 15: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European call options

When Action Cash flow

Today,December 17

Short one share of Exxon

Buy one call

Lend $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

$83

-$1

-$79.8835

net CF = $2.116

Page 16: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European call options

When Action Cash flow

Today,

December 17

Short one share of Exxon

Buy one call

Lend $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

$83

-$1

-$79.8835

net CF = $2.116

Page 17: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European call options

When Action Cash flow

Today,December 17

Short one share of Exxon

Buy one call

Lend $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

$83

-$1

-$79.8835

net CF = $2.116

December 26

Collect $79.8835(1.06)0.025

Exercise your call and buyone Exxon share at $80

Return the Exxon share youborrowed

$80

-$80

0

net CF = 0

Page 18: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European call options

When Action Cash flow

Today,December 17

Short one share of Exxon

Buy one call

Lend $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

$83

-$1

-$79.8835

net CF = $2.116

December 26

Collect $79.8835(1.06)0.025

Exercise your call and buyone Exxon share at $80

Return the Exxon share youborrowed

$80

-$80

0

net CF = 0

Page 19: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European call options

When Action Cash flow

Today,December 17

Short one share of Exxon

Buy one call

Lend $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

$83

-$1

-$79.8835

net CF = $2.116

December 26

Collect $79.8835(1.06)0.025

Exercise your call and buyone Exxon share at $80

Return the Exxon share youborrowed

$80

-$80

0

net CF = 0

Page 20: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European call options

When Action Cash flow

Today,December 17

Short one share of Exxon

Buy one call

Lend $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

$83

-$1

-$79.8835

net CF = $2.116

December 26

Collect $79.8835(1.06)0.025

Exercise your call and buyone Exxon share at $80

Return the Exxon share youborrowed

$80

-$80

0

net CF = 0

Page 21: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European call options

When Action Cash flow

Today,December 17

Short one share of Exxon

Buy one call

Lend $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

$83

-$1

-$79.8835

net CF = $2.116

December 26

Collect $79.8835(1.06)0.025

Exercise your call and buyone Exxon share at $80

Return the Exxon share youborrowed

$80

-$80

0

net CF = 0

Page 22: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Analysis

We have created a riskless portfolio: the terminal cash flow is zero, regardless of the stock price, while the up-front cash flow is positive.

We made $2.116 in pure arbitrage profits.

Page 23: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Boundaries to option prices: Put options.

At expiration:P = max[0, (E -ST)]

Before expirationUpper bound:

A put cannot sell for more than the stock: P < S and p < S

Lower bound:

P > = max[0, (E - S)]

p > = max[0, (E/(1+r)T -S)]

Page 24: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Boundary violations

By now, we know that if price boundaries are violated, we might be able to construct an arbitrage portfolio.

Page 25: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Boundary violations: American put options

Assume the Exxon December 26 put struck at $80 sells for $2. It is now December 17. The stock of Exxon is at $75/share. The risk-free rate is 6%.

If the option is American, we can buy it for $2 and exercise it.

Arbitrage profit = $3.

Page 26: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European put options

When Action Cash flow

Today, December 17 Buy one share of Exxon

Buy one put

Borrow $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

-$75

-$2

$79.8835

net CF = $2.8835

Page 27: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European put options

When Action Cash flow

Today, December 17 Buy one share of Exxon

Buy one put

Borrow $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

-$75

-$2

$79.8835

net CF = $2.8835

Page 28: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European put options

When Action Cash flow

Today, December 17 Buy one share of Exxon

Buy one put

Borrow $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

-$75

-$2

$79.8835

net CF = $2.8835

Page 29: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European put options

When Action Cash flow

Today, December 17 Buy one share of Exxon

Buy one put

Borrow $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

-$75

-$2

$79.8835

net CF = $2.8835

Page 30: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European put options

When Action Cash flow

Today, December 17 Buy one share of Exxon

Buy one put

Borrow $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

-$75

-$2

$79.8835

net CF = $2.8835

Page 31: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European put options

When Action Cash flow

Today, December 17 Buy one share of Exxon

Buy one put

Borrow $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

-$75

-$2

$79.8835

net CF = $2.8835

December 26 Exercise your put and sellone Exxon share at $80

Pay back your loan$79.8835(1.06)0.025

$80

-$80

net CF = 0

Page 32: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European put options

When Action Cash flow

Today, December 17 Buy one share of Exxon

Buy one put

Borrow $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

-$75

-$2

$79.8835

net CF = $2.8835

December 26 Exercise your put and sellone Exxon share at $80

Pay back your loan$79.8835(1.06)0.025

$80

-$80

net CF = 0

Page 33: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European put options

When Action Cash flow

Today, December 17 Buy one share of Exxon

Buy one put

Borrow $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

-$75

-$2

$79.8835

net CF = $2.8835

December 26 Exercise your put and sellone Exxon share at $80

Pay back your loan$79.8835(1.06)0.025

$80

-$80

net CF = 0

Page 34: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Arbitrage portfolio to exploit boundary violations for European put options

When Action Cash flow

Today, December 17 Buy one share of Exxon

Buy one put

Borrow $79.8835 at 6% for 9days

-$75

-$2

$79.8835

net CF = $2.8835

December 26 Exercise your put and sellone Exxon share at $80

Pay back your loan$79.8835(1.06)0.025

$80

-$80

net CF = 0

Page 35: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Analysis

We have created a riskless portfolio: the terminal cash flow is zero, regardless of the stock price, while the up-front cash flow is positive.

We made $2.8835 in pure arbitrage profits.

Page 36: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Three important concepts

Intrinsic value - how much the call is worth if exercised.

Market value, price, or premium - the price at which the call can be sold/purchased in the market.

Time value - the difference between premium and intrinsic value

Page 37: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

A Snapshot of the intrinsic value of the American Call: S - E

S

S - E

E

Page 38: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

A Snapshot of the intrinsic value of the American Call: S - E

S

S - E

E

Page 39: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

A Snapshot of the intrinsic value of the American Call: S - E

S

S - E

E

Page 40: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

A Snapshot of the intrinsic value of the American Call: S - E

S

S - E

E

Page 41: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

A Snapshot of the intrinsic value of the American Call: S - E

S

S - E

E

Page 42: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

A Snapshot of the intrinsic value of the American Call: S - E

S

S - E

E

Page 43: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

A Snapshot of the intrinsic value of the American Call: S - E

S

S - E

E

Page 44: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

A Snapshot of the intrinsic value of the American Call: S - E

S

S - E

E

Page 45: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

A Snapshot of the intrinsic value of the American Call: S - E

S

S - E

E

Page 46: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

A Snapshot of the intrinsic value of the American Put: E - S

S

E - S

E

E

Page 47: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

A Snapshot of the intrinsic value of the American Put: E - S

S

E - S

E

E

Page 48: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

A Snapshot of the intrinsic value of the American Put: E - S

S

E - S

E

E

Page 49: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

A Snapshot of the intrinsic value of the American Put: E - S

S

E - S

E

E

Page 50: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

A Snapshot of the intrinsic value of the American Put: E - S

S

E - S

E

E

Page 51: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

A Snapshot of the intrinsic value of the American Put: E - S

S

E - S

E

E

Page 52: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

A Snapshot of the intrinsic value of the American Put: E - S

S

E - S

E

E

Page 53: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

A Snapshot of the intrinsic value of the American Put: E - S

S

E - S

E

E

Page 54: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

The market value of the American Call as expiration approaches

S

S - E

E

Page 55: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

The market value of the American Call as expiration approaches

S

S - E

E

Page 56: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

The market value of the American Call as expiration approaches

S

S - E

E

Page 57: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

The market value of the American Call as expiration approaches

S

S - E

E

Page 58: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

The market value of the American Call as expiration approaches

S

S - E

E

Page 59: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

The market value of the American Call as expiration approaches

S

S - E

E

Page 60: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

The market value of the American Call as expiration approaches

S

S - E

E

Page 61: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Remark

As expiration approaches, the market value of the option converges to its intrinsic value

At the same time, time value converges to zero

Page 62: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Relationship between several variables and the market value of options

Variable European call European put American call American put

Stockprice

+ - + -

Strikeprice

- + - +

Time toexpiration

? ? + +

Stockvolatility

+ + + +

Risk-freerate

+ - + -

Dividends - + - +

Page 63: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Relationship between several variables and the market value of options

Variable European call European put American call American put

Stockprice

+ - + -

Strikeprice

- + - +

Time toexpiration

? ? + +

Stockvolatility

+ + + +

Risk-freerate

+ - + -

Dividends - + - +

Page 64: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Relationship between several variables and the market value of options

Variable European call European put American call American put

Stock price + - + -

Strike price - + - +

Time toexpiration

? ? + +

Stockvolatility

+ + + +

Risk-freerate

+ - + -

Dividends - + - +

Page 65: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Relationship between several variables and the market value of options

Variable European call European put American call American put

Stock price + - + -

Strike price - + - +

Time toexpiration

? ? + +

Stockvolatility

+ + + +

Risk-freerate

+ - + -

Dividends - + - +

Page 66: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Relationship between several variables and the market value of options

Variable European call European put American call American put

Stockprice

+ - + -

Strikeprice

- + - +

Time toexpiration

? ? + +

Stockvolatility

+ + + +

Risk-freerate

+ - + -

Dividends - + - +

Page 67: Principles of option pricing Option A contract that gives the holder the right - not the obligation - to buy (call), or to sell (put) a specified amount

Relationship between several variables and the market value of options

Variable European call European put American call American put

Stockprice

+ - + -

Strikeprice

- + - +

Time toexpiration

? ? + +

Stockvolatility

+ + + +

Risk-freerate

+ - + -

Dividends - + - +