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© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 2
Introduction
Speaker Introduction
Agenda
–Why pricing matters
–Alternative pricing strategies
–Pricing without research
–Research based pricing
–Recommendations based on product-type
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 3
Why Pricing Matters
Pricing is one of the most important factors in product (and your business’ success)
– Price too high and its sales will be limited
– Price too low and you “leave money on the table”– Lower valuation of your company
– Fewer profits for founders and investors
– Less margin with which to attract and retain staff
There are 6 Primary Pricing Models
–What are they
–How do I chose?
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 4
What to consider
In arriving at a pricing strategy, consider:
–Strategic objectives
–Development costs
–Manufacturing costs
–Target customer(s)
–Product positioning/Competition
–Price sensitivity
–Lifecycle stage
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 5
What do you need to conduct pricing research?
Product
– A sketch
– Written description
– Developed product profile
– Picture/Video of product
– Prototype
– Actual product
People
– Target customers
– Current customers
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 6
Pricing alternatives
There is a basic choice to make when pricing:
– Cost Based Pricing
– Market Rate Pricing “what the market will bear”
This presentation will focus on Market Rate Pricing
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 7
Six Market-Based Pricing Models
Direct– Market Scan
– Willingness to Pay
Indirect– Gabor Granger
– Brand Price Trade Off
– Van Westendorp
– Consumer Choice Modeling
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 8
Case Story: Picking the Wrong Price
Background:
– First product sold out all 10,000 units – considered a successful launch
– Price was set at $75 based on market scan of similar products – revenue = $750,000
Conducted Van Westendorp
– Price range found to be $80 to $170
– Based on 10,000 units, revenue could have been $1,700,000
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 9
Case Story: Responding to a price drop
Background:
– Company launched first product in new market. Competitor product launched at a lower price and began to took market share.
Conducted Consumer Choice Model study.
– Isolated key product features that were more important than price – allowing first to market to alter messaging.
– Identified new competitive price point – higher than competitor – that recaptured market share.
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 11
Market Scan/Analog
Step 1: Identify products within market or products in similar markets
Step 2: Determine product value within market
Effective in a highly defined markets. No customer sample needed.
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 12
Willingness to Pay
Step 1: Describe product
Step 2: Ask “How much would you pay for this?”
While this is simple, the findings are often flawed
–Bargain hunters
– Irrational exuberance
Can be used with Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs)
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 14
Gabor-Granger
Step 1: Describe product
Step 2: Ask purchase intent at a specific price on a 5-point scale (1=Definitely Would Not, 5= Definitely Would)
– If no, ask the same question and display a lower price
– If yes, ask the same question with a higher price
Step 3: Calculate demand and revenue curve
Useful when the range of prices is already known.
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 15
Brand Price Trade Off (BPTO)
BPTO is an extension of the Gabor-Granger approach to a competitive context.
– Simple discrete choice
Step 1: Describe product
Step 2: Ask for choice from a group of priced brands/concepts. This task is iterated 8-10 times.
Useful for developed market with defined competitors.
Brand A Brand B Brand C Brand D$75 $90 $60 $110
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 16
Van Westendorp (VW)
The VW approach aims to establish limits of price elasticity, or price thresholds (upper/lower bound)
VW contains answers to four indirect questions to calibrate price from different perspectives:
– Too Cheap
– Not a Bargain
– Not Expensive
– Too Expensive
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 17
VW: Standard Questions
What price is so low you would question its quality?
What is the highest price at which the product would still be a bargain?
What is the price at which the product is starting to get expensive?
What is the price at which the product becomes too expensive to consider buying?
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 18
VW: Sample Data
What price is so low they would
question its quality?
What is the highest price at
which the product would
still be a bargain?
What is the price at which the
product is starting to get expensive?
What is the price at which the
product becomes too expensive to consider buying?
Too Cheap Not a bargain Not Expensive Too ExpensiveResp 1 $45 $100 $150 $175Resp 2 $50 $75 $100 $110Resp 3 $75 $150 $175 $200… … … … …Resp N $55 $100 $120 $150
• Data is graphed for analysis
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 19
VW: Range of Competitive Prices - $80 to $170
Point of Marginal Cheapness
Point of Marginal Expensiveness
Optimal Price Point
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 20
VW: Propensity to buy?
Caution: While VW can isolate a range of prices, it does not measure propensity to buy
For propensity, use the following question:
– How likely are you to buy this product within [time range] if it is available between [Bargain Price] and [Starting to Get Expensive Price]?
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 21
CCM (or “trade off analysis”) is used to determine the most successful product-brand-price mix
1. Determine the product-brand-price mix that will appeal to the greatest proportion of the target market
2. Understand product expectations and purchase drivers across different customer segments
3. Reduces the commercial risk of over- or under investing due to mismatch between product development and customers’ expected price points
4. Results can drive forecasts by showing brand preference and competitive tradeoffs
Consumer Choice Model (CCM)
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 22
Product Acceptance
CCM: Can Simultaneously Measure Many Attributes
ProductFeatures
Aesthetics
Performance
Brand
PriceFinancing
Comparative
Residual Value
Switching cost
ExperienceExpectations
Function
Emotion
Social proof
AccessChannels
Regulation
Location
Timeliness
ServiceAccess to service
Customer care
Warranty
Purchase
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 23
This matrix represents 21,600 possible combinations
CCM: Example Attribute Table
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6Brand Company 1 Company 2 Company 3 Company 4Effectiveness 99% 97% 95% 90% 85% 80%Market Usage Used by 50% Used by 35% Used by 25% Used by 10% New to marketSize 2 cubic feet 4 cubic feet 8 cubic feet 12 cubic feet 20 cubic feetRun Time 30 minutes 25 minutes 20 minutes 15 minutes 10 minutes 5 minutesPrice $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 24
Divides a product into all its key attributes/product features
Combines these attributes/product features into a selection of “hypothetical products”
Testing the boundaries and not just current features
CCM: Question Example
Company 1 Company 2 Company 3
90% effective 95% effective 80% effective
Product is new to market
Product is used by 10% of consumers
Product is used by 35% of consumers
4 cubic feet 2 cubic feet 8 cubic feet
10 minutes 15 minutes 20 minutes
$500 $600 $200
m m m
Which of the following medical devices would you be most likely to purchase?
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 25
CCM: Market Simulator Sample
Market Configuration
Preference Share
65%
35%
Simulations• Add products to the
marketplace• Change product
attributes• “What if” scenarios
for any possible market changes
• External metrics can be calculated
Company 1 Company 2
90% effective 95% effective
Product is used by 10% of consumers
Product is new to market
2 cubic feet 4 cubic feet
10 minutes 15 minutes
$600 $600
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 26
CCM: Market Simulator Sample
Market Configuration
Preference Share
45%
55%
Simulations• Add products to the
marketplace• Change product
attributes• “What if” scenarios
for any possible market changes
• External metrics can be calculated
Company 1 Company 2
90% effective 95% effective
Product is used by 10% of consumers
Product is new to market
2 cubic feet 4 cubic feet
10 minutes 15 minutes
$300 $600
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 27
How to Decide Which Pricing Test to Use
Recommendations:• For “me too” products—consider Market Scan or Brand Price
Tradeoff
• Effective way to compare vs. known products
• For “disruptive” or complex new products—consider Consumer Choice Modeling
• Enables pricing based on value across many product feature variables
© Pacific Consulting Group. All Rights Reserved. | December 2014 28
Contact
For more information or a demonstration, please contact:
Jonathan HoniballSenior Director, Customer Research
[email protected]: 650-223-8228 | Office: 650-327-8108 | Mobile: 267-992-6730
Pacific Consulting Group | 643 Bair Island Road, Suite 212 | Redwood City, CA 94063
www.pcgfirm.com