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INTERNATIONAL ENERGY OUTLOOK 2006
Energy Consumption increased by 3.0 in non OECD
Energy Consumption increased by 1.0 in OECD
(Note: in non-OECD Countries includes
are China and South Asian countries)
PRIMARY ENERGY SUPPLIES DURING 2005-06
Hydral Power increased by 20.2% Natural Gas 50.4% Oil 28.4% Hydro Electricity 12.7% Coal 7.0% Nuclear Electricity 1.0% LPG 0.04%
DURING 1996-97 TO 2005-06
Consumption of Petroleum Products decreased by 0.4% per annum.
And Consumption of other resources increased by Gas 7.8%
Electricity 5.1% Coal 8.8%
DURING 2006-07
In 1st 9 month the consumption of oil increased by 19.2 and of coal is 24.6
Growth of all components of energy during 2006-07 is 8.8%
Real GDP rate is 7.0%
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
The change in consumption of Petroleum Products byHousehold -20.2%Industry -2.5%Agriculture +11.7%Transportation -4.2%Power +89.9%Other Govt. Sector -2.7%
CONSUMPTION OF GAS
Change in consumption of GasHousehold +4.7Commercial +27.3Cement -10.0Fertilizer -2.7Power -16.9Industry +29.4Transportation +49.4
CONSUMPTION OF ELECTRICITY
Changes in consumption of ElectricityHouse hold 6.3Commercial 11.8Industrial 5.4Agriculture 1.7Street Light 8.8Other Govt. 3.3
Changes are compared with 2005-06 and 2006-07
PRIMARY ENERGY SUPPLY
Energy supplies in 2004-05 55.5% (MTOE).
Energy supplies increased by 4.3% by 57.9 (MTOE) (2005-06).
PRIMARY ENERGY SUPPLY RESOURCES
a) Crude Oilb) Natural Gasc) Drilling Activitiesd) Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG)e) Compressed Natural Gas (CNG)f) Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG)
CRUDE OIL
Recoverable balance reserve on Jan 1st 2007 was 317.82 million barrels.
In 2005-06 production was 65,385 barrels per day.
Average production 66,485 barrels per day (2006-07)
The change is 1.68%
NATURAL GAS
Recoverable balance reserve on Jan 1st was 31.81 trillion cubic feet.
The average production in2005-06 was 3,825.51 (mmcfd)
The average production of natural gas during July-March 2006-07 was 3,876.38 million cubic feet per day.
Showing an increase of 1.33%.
DRILLING ACTIVITIES
During July-March 2005-06 that was 41. During July-March 2006-07 46 were
drilled. 19 in public sector and 27 in private sector.
Increase is 12.2%.
LIQUEFIED PETROLEUM GAS (LPG) Usage of LPG gas in 2000-01 was
540MT Usage of LPG gas in 2006-07 is
1650MT. Companies have planned to import
43000MT during 2006-07.
COMPRESSED NATURAL GAS (CNG) 1.00 million vehicles used CNG during
2005-06. 1.35 million vehicle using CNG during
2006-07. Increase in usage is 35% in vehicle. 29167 vehicle are being converted to
CNG every month. Investment made in 2005-06 was 20
billion.
COMPRESSED NATURAL GAS (CNG) Investment made in 2006-07 was 60
billion. Increase in investment is 200%. CNG also create 60000 new jobs.
LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS (LNG)
LNG usage and its demand increased by 40 % over the World between 2002 to 2005.
Pakistan has the world’s second largest pipeline network of the natural gas after the United States.
PERFORMANCE OF MAJOR OIL AND GAS COMPANIES
The operational performance of the three major oil and gas companies in the public sector is:
a) Oil and Gas Development Company Limited (OGDCL)
b) Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Limited (SNGPL)
c) Sui Southern Gas Company Limited (SSGC)
OIL AND GAS DEVELOPMENT COMPANY LIMITED (OGDCL)
During July-March 2006-07, company’s average oil and gas production remained at 34,893 barrels per day and 834 mmcfd per day respectively. This reflects an increase of 11 percent in oil and 7.1 percent in natural gas as against the same period last year.
OIL AND GAS DEVELOPMENT COMPANY LIMITED (OGDCL)
The LPG and sulphur production reached 310 metric ton per day and 65 metric ton per day showing an increase of 7.6 percent in LPG production and 16.0 percent in sulphur as against same period last year.
OIL AND GAS DEVELOPMENT COMPANY LIMITED (OGDCL)
The company has discovered four new gas and oil producing fields during July -March 2006-07.
a) Mela oil and gas mix field (NWFP), producing 4,100 barrel per day of crude and 12 mmcfd of natural gas.
b) Unar-1 producing 150 barrel per day of oil and 13.7 mmcfd of gas.
c) Pasaki and Nim West-1 produced 1,800 barrels of oil and 6.26 mmcfd of natural gas respectively.
SUI NORTHERN GAS PIPELINES LIMITED(SNGPL)
During July-March 2006-07, the company carried out Rs. 1077 million on transmission project, Rs. 3,906 million on distribution projects and Rs. 252 million on other projects under Khushal Pakistan programme.
During next fiscal year company has planned to invest Rs. 11,376 on transmission and distribution projects.
SUI SOUTHERN GAS COMPANY LIMITED (SSGC)
SSCG limited carried out Rs. 4,433 million on transmission project, Rs. 3,137 million on distribution projects and Rs. 680 million on other projects under Khushal Pakistan programme with the collaboration of district governments.
During the next fiscal year the company plans to invest Rs. 10,384 million on transmission and distribution projects.
POWER SECTOR
a) Electricity Generationb) WAPDAc) Karachi Electric Supply Corporation Ltd
(KESC)d) Nuclear Power Energye) Alternative Energyf) Private Power & Infrastructure Boardg) National Electric Power Regulatory
Authority (NEPRA)
ELECTRICITY GENERATION
Capacity of electricity generation during July-March 2006-07, remaining at 19,440 MW.
WAPDA
WAPDA generated 63,020 Gwh during July March 2006-07.
6.9% increase in 2006-07 as compared to 2005-06
KARACHI ELECTRIC SUPPLY CORPORATION LTD (KESC)
Electricity producing capacity of KESC is 2,222 MW during July-March 2005-06.
KESC’s generation has declined by 20.6 percent at 1,756 MW.
The gap of 466 MW between demand and supply was bridged from different sources.
NUCLEAR POWER ENERGY
Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission (PAEC) is responsible for implementation of nuclear power programmed.
ALTERNATIVE ENERGY
Generate capacity through alternate energy including Wind and Solar Technology
7% of total power generation meet by Wind and Solar by 2030.
7874 villages in Sindh and Baluchistan using alternate energy.
PRIVATE POWER & INFRASTRUCTURE BOARD
Power sector, improving system efficiency rationalizing price and social subsidize.
Indigenous resources like hydro, coal, gas and human resources.
PPIV is currently processing 49 projects capacity of 12000 MW & estimated cost is over $11 billion.
NATIONAL ELECTRIC POWER REGULATORY AUTHORITY (NEPRA)
Responsible for granting licenses, tariff determination, prescribing performance standards and addressing the complaints of electric power consumers.
Execute projects
COAL
Sindh province has 175 billion ton of coal resources.
Coal mine increased by 6.5% from 4.6% in 2005-06 and 4.9 million .
Demand increased for 2.5 to 3 million tons.
Govt. signed agreement with CNCEC
OIL SELLING PRICE
2004 05 Change in Rs/ltr
Gasoline 33.78 40.39 6.61HOBC 37.67 44.69 6.92Kerosene 22.38 26.04 3.66HSD 22.78 26.21 3.43LDO 18.63 22.92 4.29Gasoline to PIA 15.96 21.68 5.72Gasoline to Cargo 19.68 24.71 5.03
HIGH CHANGE IN 2005-06
2005 06 change in Rs/ltr
40.3956.29 15.944.5962.77 18.1826.0432.87 6.8326.2137.18 11.022.9730.97 8.0521.6832.15 10.5024.7133.37 8.75
LOW CHANGE IN 2006-07
2006 07 change in Rs/ltr
56.29 57.70 1.4062.77 64.88 1.9032.87 35.23 9.7537.18 38.73 0.5030.97 32.57 1.5432.15 34.32 2.033.37 36.49 2.81