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Prevention of Underage and College Drinking Problems
Ralph Hingson, Sc.D.
US Department of Education
National Meeting on Alcohol and Other Drug Abuse, and Violence Prevention
Indianapolis, IN
October 5, 2005
Purpose
• Assess magnitude of alcohol related health problems among college students
– Drunk driving
– Heavy drinking
– Alcohol-related traffic deaths
– Unintentional non-traffic deaths
– Other health problems
• Examine research on interventions to reduce college drinking problems
Dr. Margaret Jonathan Travis
Moore Levy Stedman
Magnitude of Alcohol Problems on U.S. College Campuses
Hingson et al. (2002) J. Studies on Alcohol
Data Sources Examined
• Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS)
– National Highway Transportation and Safety Administration (NHTSA)
• Mortality Statistics Centers for Disease Control (CDC)
• US Census Bureau Population Statistics
• College Enrollment Data US Department of Education
• Smith, et al. Fatal Non-Traffic Injuries Involving Alcohol: A Meta Analysis, Annals of Emergency Medicine 1999, 33:29 19-25
National Surveys
• National Household Survey on Drug Abuse 1999, 2002
• Harvard School of Public HealthCollege Alcohol Survey (CAS) 1999, 2001
• CDC National College Youth Risk Behavior Survey (1995)
Change in percent binge drinking and driving under the influence among 18-24 year olds
1999-2002
Persons ages 18-24 1999 2002 Change
Past month binged
5+ at least once College 41.7 43.2 +4% Non-College 36.5 39.8 +9%
Drove under the influence in past year
College 26.5 31.4 +18% Non-College 19.8 25.7 +30% Source: National Household Survey on Drug Use and Health
Changes in Alcohol Related Injury Deaths college and non-college 18-24
year olds 1998-2001
1998 2001 Percent Change
Total Per Pop.
All Alcohol Related Injury Deaths
College 1,550 1,700 + 9% + 6%
Source: FARS, CDC, Smith et al. 1995
Change in Numbers of College Students 18-24 Experiencing Alcohol Problems
1999-2001
1999 2001
Binge 5+ Drinks 3.6 million 3.8 million
Drove under influence 2.3 million 2.8 million
Injured under influence of alcohol 588,000 599,000
Assaulted by another college student 730,000 690,000
Sex assault/date rape 82,400 97,000
Full time 4 year college students 6.1 million 6.4 million
Change of +4.5%Sources: College Alcohol Survey, National Household Survey on Drug Use and Health
Alcohol Related Behaviors and Consequences of 18-24 Year Olds in the U.S. 2001
• Drank 5+ on an occasion past month
• Past year drove under the influence of alcohol
• Died of alcohol-related unintentional injury
College3.8 million
2.8 million
1,700
Non College7.6 million
4.5 million
3,700
Total11.4 million
7.3 million
5,400
College Alcohol StudyThe younger college students were when first drunk, the more likely they will experience in college:•Alcohol Dependence•Drive after drinking•Alcohol related injury•Unplanned and unprotected sex after drinking
Source: Hingson, Heeren, Winter. J. Studies on Alcohol 2003, Pediatrics 2003
CDC Youth RiskBehavior Survey 2003
• 28% of high school students start to drink before age 13.
• They are 7 times more likely by age 17 to binge frequently (5 or more drinks/6 or more times per month).
• There are over 1 million frequent bingers in high school.
Youth Risk Behavior Survey2003
• Frequent binge drinkers compared to abstainers in high school were much more likely to:
•Ride with a drinking driver•Drive after Drinking•Never wear safety belts
•Carry weapon•Carry gun
•Be injured in a fight•Be injured in a suicide attempt
•Be forced to have sex •Had sex with 6 or more partner•Have unprotected sex•Been or gotten someone pregnant
•Use Marijuana•Used Cocaine•Ever injected drugs
Youth Risk Behavior Survey2003
• Frequent binge drinkers compared to abstainers in high school were much more likely in the past month to:
Drink at school 31% vs. 0%
Use marijuana at school 29% vs. 1%
Earned mostly D’s and F’s in 13% vs. 4%school within the past year
Conclusion
In the U.S. there is an urgent need to expand and improve prevention, screening and treatment programs and policies to reduce alcohol related harm
–Persons under 21
–Among college students
–Persons of similar ages not in college
Interventions
• Individually oriented
• Environmental
• Comprehensive Campus/ Community Interventions
GentilelloBrief Motivational Alcohol Intervention in a
Trauma CenterAnnals of Surgery, 1999
• 46% of injured trauma center patients age 18 and older screened positive for alcohol problems.
• Half (N=336) randomly allocated to receive 30 minute brief intervention to reduce risky drinking and offers links to alcohol treatment
GentilelloBrief Motivational Alcohol Intervention in a
Trauma CenterAnnals of Surgery, 1999
• Reduced alcohol consumption by an average 21 drinks per week at 1 year follow up
• 47% reduction in new injuries requiring treatment in ED
• 48% reduction in hospital admissions for injury over 3 years
• 23% fewer drunk driving arrests
Brief Alcohol Intervention for Older Adolescents J. Consulting and Clinical Psychology Monti et al.
(1999)• 94 ED patients, mean age 18.4, injured after drinking
• Half randomly allocated to a 35-40 minute motivational intervention to reduce drinking and related risky behaviors such as DWI
Results at six months MI SC
Drinking and driving 62% 85% SC had 4 times more drinking and driving occasions
Moving Violations 3% 23%
Alcohol-related injury
21% 50% SC had 4 times more alcohol-related injury
Fifteen Studies Provide Strong Support for the Efficacy of This
Approach Among College Students
• Marlatt, 1998• Anderson et. Al., 1998• Larimer, 2000• D’Amico & Fromme
2000• Dimeff, 1997• Aubrey, 1998• Monti, 1999• Baer, 2001
• Barnett et al. 2004
• Boresian et al. In Press
• Labrie 2002
• Gregory 2001
• LaChance 2004
• Murphy and Colleagues 2001
• Murphy and Colleagues 2004
Source: Larimer and Cronce (2002, In Review)
19% of College Students 18-24 met DSM IV Alcohol Abuse or Dependence Criteria
5% of them sought treatment in the past year 3% thought they should seek help but did not
Source: National Epidemiologic Study of Alcohol Related Conditions 2002
Insurers’ Liability for Losses Due to Intoxication As of January 1, 2004
28 States and DC allow with holding of medical reimbursement if injured under the influence
Drinking Trends AmongHigh School Seniors, 1975-2003
0102030405060708090
100
Perc
en
t
Yearly
Monthly
5+ Drinks
Source: Monitoring the Future, 2004
Federal 21 drinking age
Drinking age 21 in all States
Trends in Alcohol Related and Non Alcohol Related Traffic Fatalities persons 16-20 U.S.
1982-2004US MLDA Age 21 Law
MLDA 21 in All 50 States
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
5500
1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Year
Num
ber
of F
atal
ities
3,781
2,738
2,115
5,244
↑38%
↓60%
Non Alcohol Related Fatalities
Alcohol Related Fatalities
Source: U.S. Fatality Analysis Reporting System
Frequency of use of any alcoholic beverage during the last 12 months: Students age 15- ESPAD 2003
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Austri
a
Belgiu
m
Bulgar
ia
Croat
ia
Cypru
s
Czech
Rep
.
Denm
ark
Estoni
a
Faroe
Isl.
Finla
nd
France
Germ
any
Greec
e
Green
land
Hungar
y
Icel
and
Irela
nd
Isle
of M
anIta
ly
Latvi
a
Lithuan
iaM
alta
Nether
lands
Norway
Polan
d
Portu
gal
Roman
ia
Russi
a
Slova
k Rep
.
Slove
nia
Sweden
Switzer
land
Turkey
Ukrai
neUK
Spain
USA
Pe
rce
nt
Comment: Of 35 European nations only Turkey has a lower percentage of 15 year olds who drank alcohol in the past year than the United States
Frequency of being drunk in last 12 months: Students age 15- ESPAD 2003
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Austri
a
Belgiu
m
Bulgar
ia
Croat
ia
Cypru
s
Czech
Rep
.
Denm
ark
Estoni
a
Faroe
Isl.
Finla
nd
France
Germ
any
Greec
e
Green
land
Hungar
y
Icel
and
Irela
nd
Isle
of M
anIta
ly
Latvi
a
Lithuan
iaM
alta
Nether
lands
Norway
Polan
d
Portu
gal
Roman
ia
Russi
a
Slova
k Rep
.
Slove
nia
Sweden
Switzer
land
Turkey
Ukrai
neUK
USA
Pe
rce
nt
Comment: Of 35 European countries 31 had a higher percentage of 15 year olds than in the U.S. who reported being drunk in the past year
Legal Drinking Age Changes
• CDC reviewed 49 studies published in scientific journals
• Alcohol-Related Traffic Crashes:- Increased10% when the drinking age was lowered
- Decreased 16% when the drinking age was raised
Source: Shults et al., American Journal of Preventive Medicine, 2001
Cumulative Estimated Number of Lives Saved by the Minimum Drinking Age Laws, 1975-2003
12,35713,15213,968
14,816 15,66716,513
17,35918,22019,121
20,04320,970
21,88722,798
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
1975-1991
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Source: National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
10 Reasons for Legal Drinking Age of 21
• Alcohol-related traffic fatalities and injuries
• Other unintentional injuries (falls, drownings, burns)
• Homicide and assault• Sexual assault
• Suicide• STDs, HIV/AIDS• Unplanned pregnancy• Alcohol dependence• Teen drug use• Poor academic
performance
PurposeTo assess whether an earlier drinking onset is related to:
• Unintentional injuries under the influence of alcohol
• Motor vehicle crashes because of drinking
• Physical fights after drinking
- ever in the respondent’s life
- during the year prior to the survey
Figure 2: Ever in a Physical Fight While or After Drinking According to Age of Drinking Onset, National Longitudinal
Alcohol Epidemiologic Survey
4.10
3.203.50
2.90
2.30
1.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
<14 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21+
Controlling for Age, Gender, Black, Non Hispanic, Hispanic, other, education, marital status, current, past, never smoke current, past, never use drugs, family history of alcoholism, current, past, never alcohol dependent, frequency drank 5+ during respondent’s period of heaviest drinking
Odds Ratio and Confidence Intervals
P<.001
Age Started Drinking
Why Are These Findings Important?
Injuries are the leading cause of death among youth 1-34
• Unintentional injuries #1 1-44
• Intentional injuries #2 8-34
Source: CDC
Why Are These Findings Important?
Source G. Smith et. al 1999
•40% unintended injury deaths
39,000
•47% Homicides 8,000
•29% Suicides 8,500
Alcohol is involved over 50,000 injury deaths annually
Over half under age 44
Legislation to Reduce AlcoholRelated Traffic Deaths:
• Legal drinking age of 21 All States• Criminal per se laws All States• Administrative license revocation 40 States• Mandatory assessment
and treatment 32 States • Primary enforcement safety belt 21 States• Zero tolerance for drivers under 21 All States• .08% Criminal per se BAC level All States
BAC and Impairment
.10
.09
.08
.07
.06
.05
.04
.03
.02
.01 BAC
Concentrated Attention, Speed Control,Braking, Steering, Gear Changing, Lane Tracking, Judgement
Tracking, Divided Attention, Coordination,Comprehension, Eye Movement
Simple Reaction Time, Emergency ResponseChoice Reaction Time
Source: National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
Key driving functions are impaired at levels as low as .02-.04%.
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
0 .015-.049 .050-.079
Blood Alcohol Concentration (mg%)
Rel
ativ
e R
isk
of F
atal
Cra
sh
Relative Risk of Fatal CrashDrivers Age 16-19 and 20+ As a function of BAC
16-19 y.o.
20+ y.o.
Source: Simpson, H. 1989
The risk of fatal crash increases more with each drink among young drivers than drivers age 20 and older.
Increased Risk of Driver Single Vehicle Crash Death at Blood Alcohol Concentration of
.08% - .10% Relative to Sober Drivers
Male Relative Risk
Age 16-20 51.4
21-34 13.4
35+ 11.4
Female Relative Risk
Age 16-20 14.9
21-34 13.4
35+ 11.4
Source: (Zador P., Krawchuck S., Voas R., J. Studies on Alcohol, 2000)
Proportion of Teen Fatal Crashes Involving Single Vehicles at Night
Before and After Zero Tolerance Laws for Youth
31.3 31.7 31.6
25.1
0%
10%
20%
30%
40% Comparison
ZeroTolerance
SVNF 1439 1079 1150 717Fatal Crashes 4597 3400 3637 2851
1%
21%
Source: Hingson, Heeren, Winter, 1994
PercentComparison Zero Tolerance
Before After Before After
Conclusion: If all states adopted Zero Tolerance laws there would be 375-400 fewer fatal crashes each year involving
drivers under 21.
Hingson, Heeren, Winter – AJPH (1996).08 Laws
.08 Law Comparison Date .08% AnalysisStates States Law Effective Period
Utah Idaho August 1983 Aug. 1976 – July 1991
Oregon Washington November 1983 Nov. 1976 – Oct. 1991
Maine Massachusetts August 1988 Aug. 1984 – July 1993
California Texas January 1990 Jan. 1986 – Dec. 1993
Vermont New Hampshire July 1981 July 1990 – June 1993
Results:•.08 law states experienced significant declines in the proportion of fatal crashes with drivers with BAC’s of
– .08%+ ↓ 16%– .15%+ ↓ 18%
•All .08% law states also had Administrative License Revocation (ALR)
•16% post law declines in .08% law states were greater than the 6 – 9% declines attributed to ALR laws in national studies
Hingson, Heeren, and Winter 1996 American Journal of Public Health
Conclusion:“.08 laws, in combination with ALR, reduce the proportion of fatal crashes involving drivers with blood alcohol levels at .08% or higher and .15% or higher.”
After subtracting 6-9% alcohol related fatal crash declines associated with ALR, we projected that if all states adopted .08% laws, 500-600 fewer fatal crashes would occur each year.
Key ABI Arguments
- .08% law a feel good law that will not reduce alcohol-related traffic deaths
- .08% laws target social drinkers, not high BAC offenders; over ½ drivers in alcohol-related fatal crashes have BACs above .15%
- MADD prohibitionist .08% first step down slippery slope (“Impairment begins with 1st drink” proves it)
- MADD more concerned with raising money than reducing traffic deaths
- Hingson 1996 study of .08% laws flawed• Compared California with Texas, not a nearby state• Other comparisons preferable, e.g. Mythical State, Michigan,
Ohio, Pennsylvania (Scopatz, 1998)• Not possible to separate effects of .08 laws from ALR• Clinton relied too heavily on Hingson study
- .08% laws will clog courts with new cases and fill jails- This will cost $$- Every year the majority of states considering .08 laws
defeat them- A 120 pound woman would reach .08% after 2 drinks; she
would lose her license, be called a criminal and face jail time
Ten studies have been conducted in the U.S. that examined multiple states that adopted .08% Per Se
Laws
• Johnson & Fell (1995)• Hingson, Heeren, Winter (1996)• Apsler et. al. (1999)• Voas, Tippetts, Fell (2000)• Hingson, Heeren, Winter (2000)• Dee (2001)• Shults et al. (2001) • Eisenberg (2003)• Bernat et al. (2004)• Tippetts et al. (2005)
• Every study found significant reductions in fatal crash measures involving drinking drivers
Potential Process of Change After a Drinking Age Increase
Legal Drinking Age Increase
Police and Enforcement
Court Enforcement
General Legal Deterrence
Public Education
Who
- Minors
- Alcohol Outlets
What
- Reasons for Law
- Enforcement
Changes in Public Perception about Alcohol
Reduction
In
Drinking
&
Driving
After
Drinking
Fatal and
Night
Fatal
Crash
Reductions
Increase Price of Alcohol
• Heaviest drinkers may be less affected
Moderate drinkers most affected (average consumption level)
Manning, 1995
• 1% price increase leads to 1.19% decrease in consumption among moderate drinkers
• Younger heavier drinkers more affected than older heavier drinkers
Kenkel, 1993Godfrey, 1997Chaloupka & Wechsler, 1996Sutton & Godfrey, 1995
• Higher prices reduce alcohol related problems – Motor vehicle fatalities: 1% price increase leads to .7% decrease
in drunk driving for males, .8% decrease for females (Kenkel, 1993)
– Robberies– Rapes– Liver cirrhosis mortality
See Cook & Moore, 1993Cook & Tauchen, 1982Ruhm, 1996
Restricting Alcohol LicensesDensity of alcohol outlets is associated with
- Higher alcohol consumption
- Violence
- Other crime
- Health problems
Ornstein & Hanssens, 1985
Gliksman & Rush, 1986
Gruenewald et.al, 1993
Scribner et.al., 1995
Stitt and Giacopassi, 1992
Chaloupka & Wechsler, 1996
Comprehensive Community Interventions
• Involve multiple departments of city government and private citizens
• Use multiple program strategies– Education
– Media advocacy
– Community organizing and mobilization
– Environment policy change
– Heightened enforcement
Successful Comprehensive Community Interventions
• Saving Lives Program Hingson (1996)
• Project Northland Perry (1996)
• Communities Mobilizing for Change Wagenaar (2002)
• Community Trials Holder (2000)
• A Matter of Degree Weitzman (2004)
• Clapp et al. (2005)
• Fighting Back Hingson (2005)
Goals: Reduce
•Drunk Driving
•Related Traffic Risks eg. speeding, not wearing safety belts, running red lights
Saving Lives ProgramProgram Components
• School based education • Community awareness-public education • Increased police enforcement• Business for safety• Alcohol beverage server education • Community task forces – key public and private
sector community leaders• Full-time coordinator Mayor’s office• Encourage local initiatives• Evaluation feedback
Saving Lives vs. Rest of Mass. 5 Pre Program Years Compared to
5 Program Years PreProgram Program Change
Fatal Crashes 178 120 ↓ 25%* Fatal Crashes Involving Alcohol 69 36 ↓42%*
Fatally Injured Drivers with 49 24 ↓47%*Positive BAC
Fatal Crashes Involving Speeding 68 33 ↓27%*
Pedestrian Fatalities 45 33 ↓18%*
Drivers in Fatal Crashes 98 45 ↓39%*Age 15-25
*p<0.05
A Matter of Degree (AMOD)Weitzman et al. American Journal of Preventive Medicine. 2004
• College/ Community Partnerships
• Environmental strategies to reduce drinking problems:– Keg registration– Mandatory responsible beverage service– Police wild party enforcement– Substance free residence halls– Advertising bans
A Matter of Degree (AMOD)Weitzman et al. American Journal of Preventive Medicine. 2004
• AMOD achieved reductions among college students in– Binge drinking– Driving after drinking– Alcohol related injuries– Being assaulted by other drinking college
students
Fighting Back Program Hingson et al., Injury Prevention (2005)
Limit Alcohol Availability:1. Compliance check (sting) surveys to reduce youth
alcohol access2. Responsible service trainings3. Enact ordinances e.g. prohibit public consumption,
sales of large beer bottles or fortified wine4. Monitor problematic liquor outlets (shut down if
needed)5. Voluntary merchant covenants not to sell to minors
or intoxicated persons6. Restricting bill board campaigns7. Convening city-wide task forces
Expand Treatment Services:1. Increase public funds for treatment (city wide anti
drug sales tax)2. Referral and public awareness campaigns regarding
existing treatment services3. Create or expand new treatment or after care
programs within existing organizations (e.g. courts, jails, persons, health care agencies, public housing)
4. Initiating emergency department screening, brief interventions and referral
5. Drug courts mandating treatment6. Opening new treatment or after care facilities (e.g.
outpatient, inpatient, recovery residences)7. Convening a treatment provider task force
Greater Relative Reduction in Alcohol-Related Fatal Crashes VS Fatal Crashes
with Zero BACPooled Effects BAC .01%+
VS Zero BAC
BAC .08%+
VS Zero BAC
BAC .15%+
VS Zero BAC
5 FB sites VS controls
22% P=.01 20% P<.001
17% P=.02
3 FB sites targeting entire communities* VS controls
31% P<0.001 36% P<.001 39% P=.003
Communities: Kansas City, MO, *Milwaukee, WI, San Antonio, TX, *Santa Barbara, CA, and *Vallejo, CA
Conclusions
• Efforts to reduce underage drinking and drunk driving have focused state level legislative change
- Legal drinking age 21- Criminal & Administrative Per Se Laws- Increased Penalties- Lower legal BAC
Conclusions
• Alcohol-Related Traffic Fatalities can also be reduced by attention to:
- Speeding
- Running Red Lights
- Failure to Yield to Pedestrians
- Failure to Wear Safety Belts
Conclusions• Community Level Interventions can also reduce
alcohol-related traffic deaths and other types of alcohol related injuries
- Coordination of multiple city departments- Clear measurable Objectives and Strategic Plans- Combine Education and Enforcement- Include Treatment Program- Use Data to Plan and Evaluate- Involve Private Citizens – Be Inclusive - Involve Youth
1. Clemson University2. Fordham University3. Loyola Marymount
University4. Minnesota State
University5. Northeastern University6. North Dakota State
University7. Ohio State University8. State University of New
York Albany
9. University of Central Florida
10. University of Michigan11. University of Rhode
Island12. University of San Diego13. University of Virginia14. University of Wisconsin
– Milwaukee15. Western Washington
State University
NIAAA Rapid Response to College Drinking Grants