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Prevalence and Sociodemographic Correlates ofBeliefs Regarding Cancer Risks
Kevin Stein, PhD1
Luhua Zhao, MS1
Corinne Crammer, PhD1
Ted Gansler, MD, MBA2
1 Behavioral Research Center, American CancerSociety, Atlanta, Georgia.
2 Department of Health Promotion, AmericanCancer Society, Atlanta, Georgia.
BACKGROUND. Inaccurate beliefs about cancer risk may contribute to unhealthy
lifestyle behaviors and poor adherence to recommended screening and preven-
tion guidelines. To address this issue the current study assessed the prevalence
and sociodemographic correlates of scientifically unsubstantiated beliefs about
cancer risk in a representative sample of the US population.
METHODS. Nine hundred fifty-seven US adults with no history of cancer were
surveyed by telephone. The survey included 12 statements about cancer risk, risk
factors, and prevention that were framed to be contrary to the consensus of cur-
rent scientific evidence.
RESULTS. Participants were inconsistent in their ability to identify the statements
as false, and appraisal accuracy was associated with several sociodemographic
characteristics. Five of the 12 misconceptions were endorsed as true by at least a
quarter of the respondents, and uncertainty was higher than 15% for 7 state-
ments. At the same time, more than two-thirds of the participants were able to
identify 7 statements as false and, on average, respondents endorsed fewer than
3 statements as true. Respondents who were male, older, non-White, less edu-
cated, and of lower income were most likely to hold inaccurate beliefs.
CONCLUSIONS. A notable percentage of the participants in this study hold beliefs
about cancer risk at odds with the prevailing scientific evidence. Because the
population segments with the least accurate knowledge also bear the greatest
burden of cancer, areas for public education and intervention efforts are identi-
fied. Cancer 2007;110:1139–47. � 2007 American Cancer Society.
KEYWORDS: health knowledge, attitudes, practice, health education, patient edu-cation, neoplasms, attitude to health.
N umerous social theoretical frameworks have been advanced to
explain and predict health-related behaviors.1–4 Although such
health-behavior theories may differ with respect to their fundamen-
tal constructs, most include consideration of beliefs regarding one’s
susceptibility to disease, knowledge of potential risk factors, and
understanding of the associations between health-related behaviors
and health outcomes. Such theories hold that engaging in a healthy
lifestyle is partially predicated on an accurate assessment of risk fac-
tors and understanding the relation between such risks and one’s
behaviors. Applied to cancer, limited awareness of proven cancer
risk factors represents an obstacle to positive health outcomes.5–7
Without awareness of such risk factors, individuals may engage in
unhealthy lifestyles and may not adhere to recommended cancer
screening guidelines. Others may hold inaccurate beliefs about fac-
tors that have little or no scientific evidence supporting their rele-
vance to cancer risk. Previous research suggests that undue concern
regarding such factors may distract some individuals’ attention from
Address for reprints: Kevin Stein, PhD, AmericanCancer Society, Behavioral Research Center, 250Williams St. NW, Atlanta, GA 30303; Fax: (404)929-6832; E-mail: [email protected]
Supported by an Intramural funding of the Ameri-can Cancer Society as well as outside fundingfrom the Discovery Health Channel and Preven-tion Magazine.
The authors thank Eric Nehl, MS, and S. JaneHenley, MSPH, for advice regarding data analysisand Elizabeth Ward, PhD, for advice concerningdesign of the epidemiologist survey.
Received January 29, 2007; revision receivedApril 13, 2007; accepted April 24, 2007.
ª 2007 American Cancer SocietyDOI 10.1002/cncr.22880Published online 26 July 2007 in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com).
1139
documented risk factors and result in lifestyle beha-
vior decisions detrimental to their health.8,9 Thus,
educating individuals about factors that increase
cancer risk has been a goal of cancer prevention pro-
grams in the US.10 To address these issues, we
undertook a study to assess the accuracy of the pub-
lic’s beliefs regarding cancer risk, risk factors, and
prevention, and to identify the sociodemographic
factors associated with these beliefs.
MATERIALS AND METHODSIn late 2002 the American Cancer Society (ACS), Pre-
vention magazine (published by Rodale Press), Dis-
covery Health Channel, and Princeton Survey
Research Associates collaboratively designed and
conducted a survey of cancer-related beliefs that was
intended to further research in the area as well as
identify topics for public education projects and pro-
gramming. A previous publication reported results
concerning beliefs about cancer treatment and the
survey methods are described in detail in that
article.9
The survey instrument included standard demo-
graphic questions as well as statements about cancer
risk, screening, diagnosis, and treatment. The inten-
tion was to construct survey items that represented
common misconceptions about cancer. Thus, each
statement was framed to be contrary to the available
scientific evidence. Survey items were developed
with input from healthcare professionals and educa-
tors, including staff associated with the ACS National
Cancer Information Center, based on their experi-
ence with the public’s attitudes and beliefs about
cancer.
The current analyses focus on the 12 survey
items (Table 1) concerning overall cancer risk, speci-
fic risk factors for cancer, and cancer prevention.
Respondents could agree, disagree, or express uncer-
tainty about the truth of each statement by choosing
1 of 3 response options: ‘‘true,’’ ‘‘false,’’ or ‘‘don’t
know.’’ Although a comprehensive review of the rele-
vant epidemiological literature is beyond the scope
of this article, Table 1 includes citations to key refer-
ences relevant to each statement.
Recognizing that some survey items in this study
had not been the subject of conclusive scientific
study, the authors conducted a survey of 10 cancer
epidemiologists at the American Cancer Society to
assess their views regarding the evidence for each
statement. To characterize their views more precisely,
the response options for the epidemiologists differed
from those offered to the study participants. The epi-
demiologists’ response categories were ‘‘true,’’ ‘‘true
only in rare circumstances,’’ ‘‘difficult to evaluate
because of absent or limited data but likely to be
true,’’ ‘‘difficult to evaluate because of absent or lim-
ited data but likely to be false,’’ ‘‘false,’’ and ‘‘I’m not
familiar enough with this topic to answer this ques-
tion.’’ After each epidemiologist returned the survey
follow-up interviews explored their responses.
The sample of US adults was drawn using stand-
ard list-assisted random digit dialing method. Of the
3338 working telephone numbers (excluding fax,
business, and nonworking phones) called, 2497 were
successfully reached (contact rate 5 75%), and 1254
individuals agreed to participate (cooperation
rate 5 50%). Of the 1254 respondents, 1070 were
eligible (adults without language barriers), and 1002
completed the telephone survey (completion
rate 5 94%). The overall response rate of 35% was
calculated as the product of the contact rate (75%),
the cooperation rate (50%), and the survey comple-
tion rate (94%). Of the 1002 respondents, 45 reported
a previous cancer diagnosis. Because this study
focused on cancer risk beliefs among the general
population, individuals with a personal history of
cancer were removed from the analyses, leaving a
sample of 957 US residents with no history of cancer.
The sample was then weighted to match national
parameters (obtained from the March 2001 Current
Population Survey) for sex, age, education, race, His-
panic origin, and census region. Because of the com-
plex sampling design, we used a design effect
(51.10) to adjust the standard error for tests of statis-
tical significance.
To create an indicator of overall health literacy
regarding cancer risk, we calculated a combined
endorsement score by summing responses for all 12
statements. Each false response was assigned a zero
value, and each true response was assigned a value
of 1; don’t know and refused responses were consid-
ered missing and not included in the calculation of
this score. Thus, each participant’s score is an integer
that could vary from 0 (responded false to all 12
statements) to 12 (responded true to all 12 state-
ments), with higher scores corresponding to lower
cancer risk health literacy. Mean values were calcu-
lated for participants in various sociodemographic
categories (gender, race, education, etc), and multi-
variate linear regressions examined associations
between the combined endorsement score and
sociodemographic characteristics. Multivariate logis-
tic regressions examined associations between
responses to each of the 12 statements and sociode-
mographic variables. Confidence intervals were
adjusted by the design effect. As with the computa-
tion of the combined endorsement score, don’t know
1140 CANCER September 1, 2007 / Volume 110 / Number 5
and refused responses were considered missing and
not included in these analyses.
RESULTSSample CharacteristicsAs presented in Table 2, 54.1% of the weighted sam-
ple consisted of individuals between 35 and 64 years
old, 72.6% were non-Hispanic White, 51.4% were
female, 86.3% had at least a high school education,
and 56.2% reported a positive family history of can-
cer. The vast majority of participants said they were
very or somewhat informed about cancer.
Endorsement of Cancer Risk StatementsThe average combined endorsement score for the
sample overall and by each sociodemographic vari-
able is presented in Table 2. Multivariate linear
regression analyses indicated that the combined
endorsement score (mean of 2.74 for all participants
combined) differed by several sociodemographic
characteristics. Characteristics associated with lower
health literacy (higher combined endorsement
scores) included male gender, non-White race, His-
panic ethnicity, income less than $30,000, and less
than a high school education. Paradoxically, com-
pared with respondents who considered themselves
‘‘very informed’’ about cancer, respondents rating
themselves as ‘‘somewhat informed’’ or ‘‘not very
informed’’ had lower combined endorsement scores
(Table 2).
The associations between sociodemographic char-
acteristics and each cancer risk statement are dis-
played in Tables 3 through 5. In general, the pattern
was consistent across statements and in line with
associations noted between sociodemographic vari-
ables and the combined endorsement score, although
some variability across statements was observed. For
example, although lower income was generally asso-
ciated with greater likelihood of endorsing statements
as true, an exception was found for the belief that
underwire bras cause cancer. Similarly, those with a
college education were more likely than high school
graduates to believe that low tar cigarettes are safer,
although lower education was generally associated
with higher endorsement of other statements.
Appraisal of each cancer risk statement for study
participants is presented in Table 1. Five of the 12
statements were endorsed as true by more than 20%
of the participants, with the most frequently
endorsed misconception being ‘‘The risk of dying
from cancer in the United States is increasing,’’
TABLE 1Distribution of Responses to Statements About Cancer Risk: Cancer Myths and Cancer Facts Survey 2002
Statements
% General public No. of cancer epidemiologists
True
Not
true
Don’t
know True
True only
in rare
circumstances
Difficult
to evaluate;
likely true
Difficult
to evaluate;
likely false False
Not
familiar with
this topic
1. The risk of dying from cancer in the
United States is increasing.11–1367.7 22.5 9.8 0 0 0 0 10 0
2. Living in a polluted city is a greater risk for lung
cancer than smoking a pack of cigarettes a day.17,1838.7 42.5 18.8 0 0 0 0 10 0
3. Some injuries can cause cancer later in life.32,33 37.2 41.9 20.9 0 1 0 0 5 4
4. Electronic devices, like cell phones can cause
cancer in the people who use them.3429.7 45.7 24.7 0 0 0 8 1 1
5. What someone does as a young adult has little effect
on their chance of getting cancer later in life.3524.8 68.2 7.1 0 0 0 1 9 0
6. Long-time smokers cannot reduce their
cancer risk by quitting smoking.1716.2 78.1 5.7 0 0 0 0 10 0
7. People who smoke low-tar cigarettes have less chance of
developing lung cancer than people
who smoke regular cigarettes.18
14.7 74.5 10.8 0 0 0 1 8 1
8. Personal hygiene products, like shampoo, deodorant,
and antiperspirants, can cause cancer.3613.7 71.0 15.3 0 0 0 5 4 1
9. Getting a mammogram, or using a special X-ray machine
to detect breast cancer, can cause cancer of the breast.26,3710.2 73.8 16.1 0 2 0 1 5 2
10. Getting a base tan or base coat at a tanning salon will provide
protection from skin cancer when you go outside in the sun.388.4 78.4 13.2 0 0 0 0 7 3
11. Underwire bras can cause breast cancer.39 6.2 62.9 30.9 0 0 0 1 9 0
12. You cannot get skin cancer from using a tanning booth.38 6.2 75.5 18.3 0 0 0 3 6 1
Cancer Risk Beliefs/Stein et al. 1141
which was believed by almost 68% of the sample.
Four statements were endorsed as true by 10% to
20% of the sample, and 3 statements were endorsed
as true by less than 10% of the participants. With
respect to refuting the statements, over two-thirds of
the sample correctly identified 7 statements as false,
and each of the remaining 5 statements was judged
to be incorrect by at least 20% of the participants.
Uncertainty was relatively high for several of the
statements, with more than 15% of the sample
responding don’t know for seven statements, and
20% choosing this same option for 3 statements.
Uncertainty was lower than 10% for 3 statements.
In addition to showing the appraisal of each
statement by the study participants, Table 1 also dis-
plays the tabulation of responses to our survey of 10
cancer epidemiologists. Examination of these data
shows that none of the 12 statements were endorsed
as true by any of the epidemiologists. For the most
part, the epidemiologists identified the statements as
false or as likely to be false (but difficult to evaluate
because of absent or limited data), although the
TABLE 2Association Between Sociodemographic Characteristics and Combined Endorsement Score
Characteristic Count %*
Mean endorsement
scorey
Multivariate model design effect: 1.10
Beta
Adjusted
std err t test P{
Total 957 2.74
Sex
Women 483 51.5 2.50 Referent Referent
Men 474 48.5 3.00 0.6313 0.1142 5.53 <.001
Race
White 727 72.6 2.53 Referent Referent
Black 93 10.9 3.12 0.4603 0.1910 2.41 <.05
Hispanic 85 10.7 3.53 0.9233 0.1918 4.81 <.001
Other 39 4.5 3.57 0.9343 0.2779 3.36 <.01
Age
<35 295 30.9 2.81 Referent Referent
35–64 520 54.1 2.65 20.0380 0.1303 20.29
651 133 14.2 2.97 0.0744 0.1922 0.39
Education
<High school 80 13.4 3.73 0.6321 0.1823 3.47 <.001
High school graduate 359 37.0 2.96 Referent Referent
Some college 204 24.2 2.46 20.4468 0.1494 22.99 <.01
College graduate 311 25.2 2.16 20.6624 0.1540 24.30 <.001
Income
<$30,000 259 29.7 3.19 0.3840 0.1714 2.24 <.05
$30–50,000 173 18.3 2.56 Referent Referent
$50–100,000 265 26.6 2.42 20.0053 0.1716 20.03
$100,0001 102 9.4 2.31 20.0322 0.2313 20.13
Family history of cancer
Yes 545 56.2 2.59 Referent Referent
No 403 42.8 2.93 0.1800 0.1170 1.53
Cancer knowledge
Very informed 334 33.8 2.89 Referent Referent
Somewhat informed 509 53.1 2.63 20.3045 0.1240 22.45 <.05
Not very informed 91 10.5 2.79 20.4754 0.2014 22.36 <.05
Not at all informed 15 1.6 3.36 20.0147 0.4791 20.03
Census region
South 329 35.8 2.94 Referent Referent
Northeast 173 19.7 2.69 20.0498 0.1619 20.31
Midwest 256 23.2 2.53 20.1963 0.1532 21.28
West 199 21.3 2.69 20.1239 0.1577 20.79
* Percentages may not sum to 100 because of nondisplayed unknown/refused category.y Unknown/refused responses to each statement were excluded in the analyses.{ P values adjusted for design effect.
1142 CANCER September 1, 2007 / Volume 110 / Number 5
‘‘true, but only in rare circumstances’’ response was
used 3 times. For 7 of the statements 1 or more of
the epidemiologists reported that they were not fa-
miliar with this topic.
DISCUSSIONThis study assessed the prevalence of belief in or
uncertainty regarding several scientifically unsub-
stantiated statements about cancer risk in a sample
of 975 US adults with no personal history of cancer.
Overall, the results indicate that the participants in
this study were able to identify several incorrect
statements about cancer risk as being false. Specifi-
cally, the overall endorsement score across all 12
statements—the mean of the individual scores of all
respondents—was less than 3. This suggests that, on
average, participants in this study believed less than
TABLE 3Association Between Sociodemographic Characteristics and Beliefs About Cancer Risk
Statement 1*,y Statement 2*,y Statement 3*,y Statement 4*,y
Risk of dying increasing
City pollution worse than
smoking Injuries cause cancer
Electronic devices cause
cancer
%{ OR (CI)§ %{ OR (CI)§ %{ OR (CI)§ %{ OR (CI)§
Sex
Women 75.6 1.00 (referent) 47.4 1.00 (referent) 41.3 1.00 (referent) 35.7 1.00 (referent)
Men 74.3 1.03 (0.80–1.32) 47.9 1.16 (0.92–1.46) 52.8 1.85 (1.46–2.34) 42.8 1.37 (1.07–1.75)
Race
White 73.0 1.00 (referent) 46.1 1.00 (referent) 44.1 1.00 (referent) 36.3 1.00 (referent)
African American 79.3 1.01 (0.66–1.56) 47.7 0.96 (0.66–1.40) 54.2 1.74 (1.19–2.54) 43.8 1.23 (0.82–1.85)
Hispanic 84.0 1.52 (0.94–2.44) 51.4 1.21 (0.82–1.78) 63.6 2.62 (1.75–3.93) 53.2 1.73 (1.17–2.57)
Other 76.4 1.06 (0.57–1.96) 60.5 1.74 (0.97–3.12) 36.7 0.85 (0.47–1.56) 43.6 1.30 (0.71–2.36)
Age
<35 79.7 1.00 (referent) 41.0 1.00 (referent) 42.6 1.00 (referent) 45.0 1.00 (referent)
35–64 72.6 0.74 (0.55–1.00) 49.3 1.42 (1.09–1.85) 47.2 1.44 (1.10–1.89) 39.7 0.87 (0.66–1.13)
651 73.0 0.50 (0.32–0.77) 56.1 1.52 (1.03–2.23) 56.8 2.15 (1.44–3.21) 21.9 0.36 (0.23–0.58)
Education
<High school 85.0 1.34 (0.84–2.13) 67.1 1.99 (1.37–2.90) 58.0 1.29 (0.89–1.86) 48.4 1.47 (0.98–2.22)
High school graduate 81.1 1.00 (referent) 50.6 1.00 (referent) 47.0 1.00 (referent) 41.3 1.00 (referent)
Some college 70.2 0.51 (0.37–0.71) 41.6 0.73 (0.54–0.99) 47.8 1.08 (0.79–1.46) 38.4 0.84 (0.61–1.15)
College graduate 64.3 0.51 (0.37–0.72) 38.3 0.66 (0.48–0.90) 39.5 0.78 (0.57–1.08) 32.9 0.66 (0.47–0.91)
Income
<$30,000 82.8 1.12 (0.80–1.58) 56.4 1.31 (0.93–1.85) 52.5 1.45 (1.02–2.06) 39.8 1.02 (0.71–1.47)
$30–49,999 76.6 1.00 (referent) 45.5 1.00 (referent) 40.9 1.00 (referent) 38.6 1.00 (referent)
$50–99,999 69.3 0.74 (0.51–1.07) 46.1 1.03(0.72–1.46) 43.5 1.37 (0.96–1.96) 43.4 1.32 (0.92–1.90)
�$100,000 57.9 0.48 (0.30–0.77) 33.1 0.61 (0.37–0.98) 44.0 1.41 (0.88–2.26) 29.6 0.78 (0.47–1.28)
Family history
Yes 74.9 1.00 (referent) 44.6 1.00 (referent) 48.3 1.00 (referent) 38.8 1.00 (referent)
No 74.9 0.99 (0.76–1.28) 51.3 1.37 (1.08–1.73) 45.0 0.75 (0.59–0.96) 40.5 1.04 (0.81–1.34)
Cancer knowledge
Very informed 74.3 1.00 (referent) 53.8 1.00 (referent) 47.8 1.00 (referent) 35.2 1.00 (referent)
Somewhat informed 75.9 1.11 (0.85–1.47) 46.1 0.73 (0.57–0.94) 44.4 0.90 (0.70–1.16) 41.6 1.31 (1.00–1.72)
Not very informed 73.6 0.70 (0.44–1.10) 37.6 0.45 (0.30–0.68) 53.4 1.20 (0.81–1.79) 44.0 1.14 (0.75–1.74)
Not at all informed 77.7 1.02 (0.34–3.05) 29.6 0.30 (0.11–0.85) 57.4 1.27 (0.49–3.30) 32.2 0.84 (0.75–1.74)
Census region
South 81.3 1.00 (referent) 50.8 1.00 (referent) 50.9 1.00 (referent) 42.0 1.00 (referent)
Northeast 69.6 0.59 (0.41–0.85) 49.8 1.06 (0.76–1.47) 44.5 0.84 (0.60–1.16) 42.9 1.10 (0.78–1.54)
Midwest 70.1 0.56 (0.40–0.79) 44.1 0.86 (0.63–1.17) 42.8 0.79 (0.57–1.08) 34.6 0.77 (0.56–1.07)
West 74.2 0.76 (0.53–1.09) 44.3 0.90 (0.65–1.24) 47.1 0.88 (0.63–1.21) 37.6 0.82 (0.58–1.15)
OR indicates odds ratio; CI, confidence interval.
* Statements are fully defined in Table 1.y Unknown and/or refused responses to each statement were excluded in the analyses.{ Percentage of participants who endorsed the statement as true.§ Odds ratio for multivariate analysis adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics; 95% confidence intervals are adjusted for design effect.
Cancer Risk Beliefs/Stein et al. 1143
a quarter of these cancer risk statements to be true,
which may be encouraging for health educators.
Indeed, endorsement rates for most statements were
relatively low, providing further evidence that the
general public is able to correctly refute many erro-
neous cancer risk beliefs. At the same time, however,
endorsement rates for several statements were rela-
tively high, and belief in some of these statements
could adversely affect health behaviors. For example,
almost 4 in 10 believed that ‘‘living in a polluted city
is a greater risk for lung cancer than smoking a pack
of cigarettes a day.’’ This belief could affect smoking
behaviors by reducing concern about the risk asso-
ciated with tobacco. Statements such as this, which
have higher levels of endorsement and relate directly
to unhealthy behaviors, should be addressed by pub-
lic health education. In addition, several sociodemo-
graphic characteristics (gender, race, education, and
TABLE 4Association Between Sociodemographic Characteristics and Beliefs About Cancer Risk
Statement 5*,y Statement 6*,y Statement 7*,y Statement 8*,y
Young adult behaviors
Smokers can’t reduce
their risk
Low tar cigarettes
are safer
Hygiene products cause
cancer
%{ OR (CI)§ %{ OR (CI)§ %{ OR (CI)§ %{ OR (CI)§
Sex
Women 24.8 1.00 (referent) 17.1 1.00 (referent) 13.6 1.00 (referent) 11.4 1.00 (referent)
Men 28.6 1.47 (1.14–1.90) 17.3 1.13 (0.85–1.50) 19.5 1.65 (1.23–2.23) 21.3 2.02 (1.48–2.77)
Race
White 23.4 1.00 (referent) 14.9 1.00 (referent) 15.1 1.00 (referent) 15.1 1.00 (referent)
African American 32.0 1.57 (1.05–2.34) 20.7 1.45 (0.92–2.28) 17.0 1.29 (0.78–2.13) 11.0 0.80 (0.45–1.44)
Hispanic 37.4 2.46 (1.65–3.68) 23.7 1.81 (1.17–2.79) 23.1 1.91 (1.23–2.98) 19.4 1.30 (0.81–2.10)
Other 51.9 5.33 (2.91–9.79) 35.6 3.94 (2.18–7.10) 20.9 1.47 (0.74–2.91) 34.2 2.07 (1.08–3.96)
Age, y
<35 21.2 1.00 (referent) 17.1 1.00 (referent) 12.5 1.00 (referent) 18.4 1.00 (referent)
35–64 26.8 1.69 (1.26–2.28) 15.5 0.97 (0.70–1.34) 17.1 1.56 (1.09–2.22) 14.6 0.65 (0.46–0.92)
651 40.1 2.87 (1.89–4.33) 25.0 1.54 (0.98–2.42) 24.9 2.47 (1.52–4.02) 15.5 0.59 (0.35–0.99)
Education
<High school 49.0 2.04 (1.43–2.93) 25.6 1.20 (0.79–1.81) 25.3 1.64 (1.06–2.54) 24.3 2.04 (1.29–3.24)
High school graduate 28.6 1.00 (referent) 20.6 1.00 (referent) 14.1 1.00 (referent) 15.4 1.00 (referent)
Some college 23.1 0.77 (0.56–1.07) 15.6 0.82 (0.57–1.18) 12.2 0.95 (0.62–1.44) 12.6 0.72 (0.47–1.10)
College graduate 15.9 0.49 (0.34–0.70) 9.8 0.56 (0.37–0.85) 19.8 1.75 (1.17–2.61) 16.5 0.91 (0.60–1.38)
Income
<$30,000 33.6 1.14 (0.79–1.63) 22.9 1.23 (0.82–1.85) 18.3 1.34 (0.85–2.12) 13.6 0.92 (0.56–1.49)
$30–49,999 24.8 1.00 (referent) 17.0 1.00 (referent) 14.3 1.00 (referent) 13.7 1.00 (referent)
$50–99,999 22.7 1.03 (0.71–1.50) 12.7 0.79 (0.50–1.23) 14.4 0.98 (0.61–1.56) 15.3 1.17 (0.73–1.89)
�$100,000 19.0 0.86 (0.51–1.47) 6.8 0.43 (0.21–0.91) 16.8 1.03 (0.56–1.86) 19.8 1.46 (0.79–2.69)
Family history
Yes 24.9 1.00 (referent) 13.7 1.00 (referent) 13.1 1.00 (referent) 14.3 1.00 (referent)
No 29.1 1.05 (0.81–1.35) 21.3 1.47 (1.10–1.97) 20.5 1.59 (1.17–2.15) 18.8 1.36 (0.99–1.87)
Cancer knowledge
Very informed 28.2 1.00 (referent) 18.6 1.00 (referent) 18.2 1.00 (referent) 19.6 1.00 (referent)
Somewhat informed 25.7 0.87 (0.66–1.13) 15.8 0.76 (0.56–1.03) 14.4 0.72 (0.52–0.99) 14.5 0.68 (0.49–0.94)
Not very informed 23.6 0.64 (0.41–1.02) 15.4 0.67 (0.39–1.13) 21.5 1.14 (0.71–1.85) 12.7 0.46 (0.26–0.81)
Not at all informed 43.4 1.45 (0.55–3.80) 20.3 0.87 (0.28–2.74) 14.6 0.74 (0.19–2.79) 25.8 1.00 (0.32–3.11)
Census region
South 31.1 1.00 (referent) 16.6 1.00 (referent) 17.2 1.00 (referent) 15.2 1.00 (referent)
Northeast 26.2 0.93 (0.66–1.32) 16.5 1.18 (0.78–1.79) 18.7 1.13 (0.75–1.69) 14.6 0.89 (0.57–1.39)
Midwest 23.4 0.83 (0.59–1.16) 19.7 1.48 (1.02–2.15) 19.7 0.89 (0.59–1.34) 14.2 1.11 (0.74–1.68)
West 23.0 0.71 (0.50–1.01) 16.0 1.00 (0.67–1.50) 15.8 0.90 (0.60–1.36) 18.1 1.26 (0.83–1.93)
OR indicates odds ratio; CI, confidence interval.
* Statements are fully defined in Table 1.y Unknown/refused response to each statement were excluded in the analyses.{ Percent of participants who endorsed the statement as true.§ Odds ratio for multivariate analysis adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics; 95% confidence intervals are adjusted for design effect.
1144 CANCER September 1, 2007 / Volume 110 / Number 5
income) were associated with greater likelihood of
endorsement (both in terms of the overall mean
endorsement score and across individual items), sug-
gesting avenues for developing targeted messages for
particular at-risk populations.
Notably, the 2 most commonly endorsed state-
ments were also among the statements that were
unanimously identified as false by all 10 epidemiolo-
gists. Specifically, 68% of the respondents believed
that the risk of dying from cancer in the US is
increasing. This statement is clearly false, as the age-
standardized cancer death rate has been decreasing
since the early 1990s,11,12 and the 5-year relative sur-
vival rate for all cancers combined has improved
steadily over the last 30 years.13 Although these
trends clearly reflect the decline in the cancer death
TABLE 5Association Between Sociodemographic Characteristics and Statements About Cancer Risk
Statement 9*,y Statement 10*,y Statement 11*,y Statement 12*,y
Mammograms cause
cancer Base tans are protective
Underwire bras cause
cancer
No cancer from tanning
booths
%{ OR (CI)§ %{ OR (CI)§ %{ OR (CI)§ %{ OR (CI)§
Sex
Women 7.4 1.00 (referent) 7.6 1.00 (referent) 5.9 1.00 (referent) 7.4 1.00 (referent)
Men 17.4 3.32 (2.27–4.86) 11.9 2.08 (1.40–3.08) 12.9 2.14 (1.32–3.46) 7.8 1.18 (0.76–1.83)
Race
White 9.8 1.00 (referent) 7.4 1.00 (referent) 7.4 1.00 (referent) 6.1 1.00 (referent)
African American 21.2 2.16 (1.29–3.62) 16.7 2.26 (1.26–4.06) 9.6 1.39 (0.66–2.91) 9.1 1.82 (0.85–3.91)
Hispanic 16.7 1.37 (0.79–2.38) 15.4 2.47 (1.40–4.35) 5.7 0.96 (0.38–2.43) 17.4 3.23 (1.77–5.92)
Other 15.8 1.12 (0.49–2.60) 20.3 2.95 (1.39–6.25) 38.5 10.51 (4.69–23.6) 9.3 1.62 (0.56–4.66)
Age
<35 15.1 1.00 (referent) 10.4 1.00 (referent) 12.5 1.00 (referent) 7.9 1.00 (referent)
35–64 10.3 0.69 (0.46–1.02) 7.3 0.80 (0.51–1.26) 5.8 0.34 (0.20–0.59) 6.8 0.96 (0.59–1.56)
651 11.8 0.61 (0.34–1.10) 17.9 1.78 (1.00–3.18) 12.9 0.89 (0.43–1.86) 10.7 1.27 (0.63–2.56)
Education
<High school 18.2 1.11 (0.67–1.86) 15.3 0.86 (0.50–1.48) 15.5 0.93 (0.48–1.77) 17.8 2.54 (1.43–4.52)
High school graduate 15.6 1.00 (referent) 11.9 1.00 (referent) 12.0 1.00 (referent) 7.6 1.00 (referent)
Some college 9.7 0.62 (0.38–1.00) 5.6 0.48 (0.27–0.84) 4.3 0.23 (0.11–0.49) 8.3 1.17 (0.68–2.03)
College graduate 6.8 0.49 (0.29–0.84) 7.3 0.91 (0.52–1.57) 5.6 0.24 (0.11–0.49) 2.5 0.36 (0.16–0.80)
Income
<$30,000 18.3 2.93 (1.67–5.14) 13.9 3.06 (1.58–5.92) 8.3 0.93 (0.46–1.88) 11.6 2.12 (1.08–4.18)
$30–49,999 7.5 1.00 (referent) 4.7 1.00 (referent) 7.5 1.00 (referent) 5.3 1.00 (referent)
$50–99,999 5.5 1.07 (0.54–2.12) 4.5 1.11 (0.51–2.41) 4.7 1.04 (0.46–2.32) 3.4 0.82 (0.36–1.85)
�$100,000 13.7 2.63 (1.26–5.49) 5.8 1.40 (0.53–3.67) 16.4 6.29 (2.58–15.3) 5.6 1.84 (0.68–4.95)
Family history of cancer
Yes 9.8 1.00 (referent) 7.3 1.00 (referent) 7.9 1.00 (referent) 6.7 1.00 (referent)
No 14.8 1.42 (0.98–2.04) 12.9 1.44 (0.97–2.14) 10.5 0.88 (0.54–1.45) 9.0 1.25 (0.80–1.94)
Cancer knowledge
Very informed 11.5 1.00 (referent) 11.4 1.00 (referent) 10.6 1.00 (referent) 6.0 1.00 (referent)
Somewhat informed 10.9 0.96 (0.65–1.43) 8.0 0.68 (0.45–1.04) 6.7 0.59 (0.35–0.98) 8.9 1.54 (0.94–2.55)
Not very informed 16.2 1.07 (0.59–1.95) 11.7 0.75 (0.39–1.43) 9.7 0.56 (0.24–1.30) 7.4 0.81 (0.36–1.81)
Not at all informed 35.9 2.38 (0.86–6.62) 20.6 1.31 (0.40–4.34) 31.5 1.81 (0.52–6.25) NAk NAk
Census region
South 14.7 1.00 (referent) 12.4 1.00 (referent) 9.6 1.00 (referent) 7.4 1.00 (referent)
Northeast 8.3 0.62 (0.35–1.10) 8.5 0.79 (0.59–2.07) 10.0 1.13 (0.59–2.07) 7.6 1.53 (0.82–2.85)
Midwest 17.0 0.59 (0.33–0.92) 8.3 0.62 (0.36–1.08) 7.7 0.85 (0.40–1.45) 7.5 1.44 (0.80–2.61)
West 15.5 1.23 (0.80–1.95) 8.5 0.63 (0.37–1.09) 8.2 0.62 (0.26–1.08) 8.1 1.35 (0.72–2.50)
OR indicates odds ratio; CI, confidence interval.
* Statements are fully defined in Table 1.y Unknown/refused response to each statement were excluded in the analyses.{ Percent of participants who endorsed the statement as true.§ Odds ratio for multivariate analysis adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics; 95% confidence intervals are adjusted for design effect.k Not estimable because of the low number of endorsements.
Cancer Risk Beliefs/Stein et al. 1145
rate, at the time of this survey the actual number of
deaths from cancer had been steadily increasing over
several decades because of the growth and aging of
the US population.11 Thus, some respondents might
have based their answer on the absolute number of
cancer deaths, as opposed to either relative survival
rates or age-standardized death rates. The second
most commonly endorsed statement—that living in a
polluted city is a greater risk for lung cancer than
smoking a pack of cigarettes a day—was believed by
39% of the respondents, with an additional 19%
uncertain. Despite frequent public education mes-
sages about risk associated with tobacco use, media
coverage of carcinogenic environmental exposures
such as pollution may impact the public’s attitude
about relative risks associated with these factors.
Another possible explanation for this belief may lie
with personal responsibility for the exposure.
Although smoking behavior was not examined in the
present study, our results are consistent with studies
demonstrating that individuals who engage in beha-
viors like smoking or unprotected sun exposure tend
to underestimate their own health risks associated
with these choices despite knowledge of the risk in
general, a phenomenon described as self-exempting
optimistic bias.14–16
Two other misconceptions about smoking, each
endorsed by about 15% of the respondents, are that
there is little reduction in cancer risk when long-
term smokers quit, and that low tar cigarettes are
less dangerous than regular cigarettes. On the con-
trary, studies have found that quitting smoking is
indeed associated with a reduced risk of lung cancer,
even among long-term smokers,17 and research has
not demonstrated any significant difference in cancer
risk between smokers of regular and low-tar cigar-
ettes.18 These misconceptions could have an obvious
impact on behavioral choices, with significant health
implications. Future public education and smoking
cessation programs should include attempts to dispel
such inaccurate beliefs. Although such misconcep-
tions are of obvious concern, the remaining 6 mis-
conceptions in this study were endorsed as true by
less than 15% of the sample, and of these 6, 3 were
endorsed by less than 10% of the respondents. This
finding offers the encouraging suggestion that belief
in these misconceptions is relatively low and may
not require significant public education efforts.
In addition to noting substantial belief in several
statements for the sample as a whole, we also found
associations between certain sociodemographic vari-
ables and the combined endorsement score. When
examining the endorsement of each statement indi-
vidually, a consistent finding was that males were
more likely to believe the statements to be true than
were females, as noted for 8 misconceptions. Some
research indicates that males may be less attentive to
and less likely to seek medical information than are
females19,20 and thus may be less well informed, as
suggested by these data. Lower educational levels
were also significantly associated with higher com-
bined endorsement scores, which is consistent with
most prior studies of health literacy and with endor-
sement of 10 of the 12 statements.21–23 These find-
ings suggest that public education and community
intervention projects may be most effective and effi-
cient if targeted to the groups with the most miscon-
ceptions about cancer risk.
One surprising result was that those claiming to
be ‘‘very informed’’ about cancer were significantly
more likely to endorse 4 of the statements, compared
with those rating themselves as having lower cancer
literacy. This finding is consistent with previous
research demonstrating that people tend to overrate
their own abilities and reach judgments with too much
confidence.16 The practical implication for health edu-
cation is that individuals who feel confident about
their cancer knowledge may not ask relevant questions
of their healthcare providers, and may therefore miss
opportunities to obtain accurate information.
Although these data raise intriguing questions
about the public’s accuracy in judging cancer risk
associated with certain factors, several limitations of
this research should be noted. First, the degree to
which these data can be considered representative of
the US population is somewhat limited by the 35%
response rate. However, the use of weights increased
the concordance with national sociodemographic
characteristics and a response rate in this range is
consistent with other national studies from which
conclusions about health behaviors are drawn.24
A second limitation relates to the lack of strong
scientific evidence regarding some of the statements
in this study. In support of including such state-
ments, we assert that many important health deci-
sions regarding risks and prevention are made by the
general public in a context of limited or inconsistent
evidence. In fact, research suggests that perceived
ambiguity regarding cancer risk factors can increase
worry about cancer and reduce perceived prevent-
ability.25 Although the 10 epidemiologists were not
unanimous in conclusively rejecting all of the state-
ments, none endorsed any of the statements as true.
Furthermore, 10 of the 12 statements were rated as
definitely false or likely to be false (but difficult to
evaluate given current scientific knowledge) by the
epidemiologists. The variation among the epidemiol-
ogists’ responses, as assessed by qualitative follow-up
1146 CANCER September 1, 2007 / Volume 110 / Number 5
interviews, concerned rare exceptions, the quality
and quantity of available evidence, and the consis-
tency of evidence. Because all 10 epidemiologists
work together closely, their responses may not repre-
sent the full range of opinion within the epidemiolo-
gic community. It should be acknowledged that some
evidence indicates that mammograms may actually
result in a slight increase in the risk of developing
breast cancer.26 Most experts, however, believe that
the slight risk associated with mammography is
more than offset by the considerable reduction in
breast cancer mortality gained through early detec-
tion. Finally, the beliefs included in this survey were
not selected based on estimates of the mortality
attributed to related behaviors, but may still be use-
ful as a proxy for cancer-related health literacy.
In sum, the key conclusions from this study are
that beliefs in several scientifically unsubstantiated
cancer risk statements are relatively common among
the participants in this study, and that the prevalence
of such beliefs varies by certain sociodemographic
characteristics. Such beliefs may play a role in cancer
disparities or influence actual health-related beha-
viors and adherence to screening guidelines, because
previous research suggests that knowledge, attitudes,
and beliefs about health and risk factors for disease
contribute to the development and maintenance of
disparities in heath outcomes.27,28
Notwithstanding these results, it is important to
recognize that individual beliefs are frequently not
the most influential determinants of health behavior.
For example, 1 of the most powerful predictors of
cancer screening utilization is the healthcare provi-
der’s recommendation. Screening is also strongly
influenced by healthcare access issues, such as hav-
ing health insurance and a regular source of primary
care.29 Likewise, the contribution of individual
knowledge and beliefs to health disparities is influ-
enced and often substantially limited by the broader
socioeconomic context (eg, tobacco marketing tar-
geting minority youths and the limited availability of
healthful food choices and safe venues for physical
activity in certain neighborhoods).30,31 In addition,
the extent to which beliefs about risk factors influ-
ence actual health behaviors is an important topic
that should be addressed by future research. Public
education programs and interventions to address
and convincingly refute commonly held misconcep-
tions regarding cancer risks might increase the adop-
tion of healthy attitudes, beliefs, and, most
important, behaviors. Such educational and interven-
tion programs should be culturally informed and ac-
cessible to all individuals, with special attention
placed on reaching the highest risk populations.
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