1
984 merely on the information given by the relatives and we have had evidence that many certificates have been carelessly or even recklessly given. It is no fault of the law if premature burials do not take place. The present law of death certification offers every oppor- tunity for premature burial and every facility for the concealment of crime." These vigorous statements justified the Federation of Medical and Allied Services in preparing a Bill to change the law. In 1923 Sir FRANCIS FREMANTLE presented the Bill in the House of Commons. It required two certificates-a medical certificate of the fact of death and a certificate of the cause of death-before death could be registered, and it insisted that the fact of death must be certified by a registered medical practitioner who had viewed and examined the dead body, and was satisfied that life was extinct. There is no need to elaborate the fact that mistake may easily be made over the apparent manifestations of death. The late Sir FREDERICK TREVES published his recollec- tions of cases of this kind ; Sir GEORGE GREENWOOD enumerated other cases in his pamphlet on the Law of Death Certification. When Parliament discussed the Federation’s proposals, the spokes- man of the Ministry of Health observed that, if there were a complete medical inspection in every case as some people desired, it would mean heavy expense, and " would set up a universal and compulsory requirement for a very small chance indeed." The Federation’s Bill was replaced by an official measure which became law in 1926.11 The new Act contained no requirement as to examination of the body after death, although in the course of the debate someone quoted the Registrar-General as having declared that " only 40 per cent. of the people buried in this country are certified on medical evidence actually to be dead." A fresh change in the law will come on the day when some sensational case stirs public opinion. The incident at Bootle was a genuine mistake with no serious consequences. As the coroner observed, it would have been otherwise if there had been any suspicion of foul play or any evidence of heavy insurance. 1 See THE LANCET, 1926, ii., 1295. ANNOTATIONS PRESIDENTS AND PROPHECIES WHEN, on Friday last, Oct. 20th, Dr. Charles Porter, M.O.H. for the borough of St. Marylebone, delivered an address before the Society of Medical Officers of Health on his installation as president, he introduced a new responsibility for himself and his successors in the important post by an inquisition into how far the things predicted in the expansiveness of such deliveries came afterwards to materialise. Dr. Porter was able to find in the earlier orations much wisdom, and where his researches were not thus rewarded he made no detailed references. But the fact that, save in one or two instances, the forecasts of the presidents of the Society, since its foundation nearly 80 years ago, have not been much or exactly borne out has a great implication, and one that is at bottom a proof of the pace at which sanitary science has developed. As growth was rapid and prolific so it became impossible to foresee ramifica- tions. The failure to prophesy thus showed a prophetic instinct, the instinct that unpredictable things were at hand. The case of the first president, Sir John Simon, is different. He occupied the chair for several years and whether he delivered a set address at the beginning of each session or no is uncertain ; our excellent contemporary Public Health was not founded as the journal of the Society until 1888, before which date no precise records are forth- coming. But what Simon may have said can be deduced from what he did, and he was in the favourable position for a prophet of being largely able to bring about the things which he foresaw would conduce to the realisation of his views. We learn from Dr. Porter that between the foundation of the Society in 1856 and the first issue of Public Health there were 15 presidential addresses delivered, and Dr. S. R. Lovett, who was president in 1894, gave in a retrospective resume the titles of these, from which one sees the extreme improbability that accurate prophecies could be made. The funda- mental alterations in. scientific, economic, and social activities that were beginning to occur some 80 years ago, and which have multiplied and gathered force ever since, must have constantly interfered with accurate forecasting. It is clear that deliveries upon such themes as the Cause of Disease, the Sanitary Condition of Communities, or the Scientific Work of the M.O.H., could contain only vague guesses, while new phases of pathology were becoming manifested daily in an environment which was rapidly revolutionising itself. Among the great sanitarians who were able in certain directions to look accurately into the future, a place must be found for Shirley Murphy, president in 1891-92, who foresaw the benefits to health that would follow proper inspection of animal food-supplies while indicating the measures needed for that end. Dr. Spottiswoode Cameron, also, who was president in 1902, was successful as a seer, his views in respect to housing and slum clearance having in certain directions been already adopted. And Sir John Robertson, president in 1916, said in October of that fearful year that the cause of public health would be hastened and not retarded by the war, an outlook which has proved amply correct. Dr. Porter’s comments on the words of his predecessors brings out one striking thing: none of the fine and experienced workers in public health who were presidents of the Society in the earlier days ever seemed to contemplate the striking diminu- tions in the commoner infections that we now enjoy and that they were working to bring about; not one of them would have dared to suggest the possibility of such figures as our present vital statistics furnish. THE DIAGNOSIS OF UNDULANT FEVER UNDULANT fever, which many years ago was referred to by Nicolle as the " disease of the future," is now being regarded as the disease of the present. Not only in this country-where, according to Dalrymple. Champneys, actual records of about 190 cases have been obtained, and where, according to G. S. Wilson, serological evidence suggests an incidence of about 500 cases a year-but also in other parts of Europe and in the United States of America it continues to cause the liveliest concern. Diagnosis is usually made on the basis of the agglutination reaction, a titre of 1/100 or over in a pyrexial patient who is not in continual contact with infected animals, and

PRESIDENTS AND PROPHECIES

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merely on the information given by the relatives andwe have had evidence that many certificates havebeen carelessly or even recklessly given. It is no faultof the law if premature burials do not take place. Thepresent law of death certification offers every oppor-tunity for premature burial and every facility for theconcealment of crime."These vigorous statements justified the Federationof Medical and Allied Services in preparing a Billto change the law. In 1923 Sir FRANCIS FREMANTLE

presented the Bill in the House of Commons. It

required two certificates-a medical certificate ofthe fact of death and a certificate of the cause ofdeath-before death could be registered, and itinsisted that the fact of death must be certified

by a registered medical practitioner who hadviewed and examined the dead body, and wassatisfied that life was extinct. There is no need toelaborate the fact that mistake may easily be madeover the apparent manifestations of death. Thelate Sir FREDERICK TREVES published his recollec-tions of cases of this kind ; Sir GEORGE GREENWOODenumerated other cases in his pamphlet on theLaw of Death Certification. When Parliament

discussed the Federation’s proposals, the spokes-man of the Ministry of Health observed that, ifthere were a complete medical inspection in everycase as some people desired, it would mean heavyexpense, and " would set up a universal and

compulsory requirement for a very small chanceindeed." The Federation’s Bill was replaced byan official measure which became law in 1926.11The new Act contained no requirement as toexamination of the body after death, although inthe course of the debate someone quoted the

Registrar-General as having declared that " only40 per cent. of the people buried in this countryare certified on medical evidence actually to bedead." A fresh change in the law will come onthe day when some sensational case stirs publicopinion. The incident at Bootle was a genuinemistake with no serious consequences. As thecoroner observed, it would have been otherwiseif there had been any suspicion of foul play or anyevidence of heavy insurance.

1 See THE LANCET, 1926, ii., 1295.

ANNOTATIONS

PRESIDENTS AND PROPHECIES

WHEN, on Friday last, Oct. 20th, Dr. CharlesPorter, M.O.H. for the borough of St. Marylebone,delivered an address before the Society of MedicalOfficers of Health on his installation as president,he introduced a new responsibility for himself andhis successors in the important post by an inquisitioninto how far the things predicted in the expansivenessof such deliveries came afterwards to materialise.Dr. Porter was able to find in the earlier orationsmuch wisdom, and where his researches were notthus rewarded he made no detailed references. Butthe fact that, save in one or two instances, theforecasts of the presidents of the Society, since itsfoundation nearly 80 years ago, have not been muchor exactly borne out has a great implication, and onethat is at bottom a proof of the pace at which sanitaryscience has developed. As growth was rapid andprolific so it became impossible to foresee ramifica-tions. The failure to prophesy thus showed a

prophetic instinct, the instinct that unpredictablethings were at hand. The case of the first president,Sir John Simon, is different. He occupied the chairfor several years and whether he delivered a setaddress at the beginning of each session or no isuncertain ; our excellent contemporary Public Healthwas not founded as the journal of the Society until1888, before which date no precise records are forth-coming. But what Simon may have said can bededuced from what he did, and he was in thefavourable position for a prophet of being largelyable to bring about the things which he foresawwould conduce to the realisation of his views. Welearn from Dr. Porter that between the foundationof the Society in 1856 and the first issue of PublicHealth there were 15 presidential addresses delivered,and Dr. S. R. Lovett, who was president in 1894,gave in a retrospective resume the titles of these,from which one sees the extreme improbability thataccurate prophecies could be made. The funda-mental alterations in. scientific, economic, and socialactivities that were beginning to occur some 80 yearsago, and which have multiplied and gathered forceever since, must have constantly interfered with

accurate forecasting. It is clear that deliveriesupon such themes as the Cause of Disease, the

Sanitary Condition of Communities, or the ScientificWork of the M.O.H., could contain only vagueguesses, while new phases of pathology were becomingmanifested daily in an environment which was rapidlyrevolutionising itself. Among the great sanitarianswho were able in certain directions to look accuratelyinto the future, a place must be found for ShirleyMurphy, president in 1891-92, who foresaw the benefitsto health that would follow proper inspection ofanimal food-supplies while indicating the measures

needed for that end. Dr. Spottiswoode Cameron,also, who was president in 1902, was successful asa seer, his views in respect to housing and slumclearance having in certain directions been alreadyadopted. And Sir John Robertson, president in 1916,said in October of that fearful year that the causeof public health would be hastened and not retardedby the war, an outlook which has proved amplycorrect. Dr. Porter’s comments on the words ofhis predecessors brings out one striking thing: none

of the fine and experienced workers in public healthwho were presidents of the Society in the earlier

days ever seemed to contemplate the striking diminu-tions in the commoner infections that we now enjoyand that they were working to bring about; not oneof them would have dared to suggest the possibilityof such figures as our present vital statistics furnish.

THE DIAGNOSIS OF UNDULANT FEVER

UNDULANT fever, which many years ago was referredto by Nicolle as the " disease of the future," is nowbeing regarded as the disease of the present. Notonly in this country-where, according to Dalrymple.Champneys, actual records of about 190 cases havebeen obtained, and where, according to G. S. Wilson,serological evidence suggests an incidence of about500 cases a year-but also in other parts of Europeand in the United States of America it continues tocause the liveliest concern. Diagnosis is usuallymade on the basis of the agglutination reaction, atitre of 1/100 or over in a pyrexial patient who isnot in continual contact with infected animals, and