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Presentation by
H.E. Mr. Ashok Sajjanhar Ambassador of India to Sweden & Latvia
at
Lund University
Edens hörsal, Paradisgatan 5, Lund
06 Oct 2011
INDIA - Opportunities & Prospects
POPULATION – 1.2 Billion(Second largest in the world & 17.3% of the
World population)
AREA - 3,287,263 sq kms (7,516 kilometers - Coastline )(Seventh largest in the world and 2/3 of
Europe)
CIVILISATION dates back to 3000 BC(One of the World’s oldest civilisations)
India – Some Basic Facts
India – Unity in Diversity
India – An ancient civilisation but a young nation!
28 major languages & 1650 dialects.
Secular state: Home to major religions of the world:
Hindus, Muslims, Christians, Buddhist, Sikhs, Jains, Jews Zoroastrians,...
The Indian revolution
Social and Political Revolutions
Rule of law based on Justice,Freedom, Equality and FraternityGreater representation to Women in ParliamentDemocracy through Panchayat Raj, State Assemblies and Parliament
Economic revolution
Land ReformsRight to Education ActLiberalisationRight to Information ActFood Security LegislationMahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act
OVERVIEW OF THE ECONOMY
Source: RBI, Ministry of Finance(Govt of India), Trading Economics.com
Annual GDP Growth adjusted by Inflation
India´s GDP Growth rate
Source: IBEF, RBI, Ministry of Finance(Govt of India)
*As on September 16, 2011 it is US $317 billion
2002–03 2003–04 2004–05 2005–06 2006–07 2007–08 2008--09 2009--10 2010--110
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
75
112
141152
199
310
252277
*317
India´s Forex ReservesU
S$ B
illio
n
Cumulative amount of FDI equity inflows from April 2000 to May 2011 stood at US$ 205.96 billion
FDI Equity Inflow
2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-110
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
4.36.1
9
23
34.3 35.237.2
19.42
Source: IBEF, RBI, DIPP
US$
Bill
ion
FDI equity inflows for June 2011 stood at US$ 5.69 billion (11 year high)
India - Net FII (FII interest in India on the rise)
Source: IBEF, RBI, DIPP
2004–05 2005–06 2006–07 2007–08 2008- 09 2009- 10 2010- 11
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
912
7
27
-15
29
39
US$
Bill
ion
Crossed US$ 100 billion in October 2010
India - Exports
Source: Department of Commerce, Govt of India
2005–06 2006–07 2007–08 2008–09 2009--10 2010--110
50
100
150
200
250
103
126
163
183 178
246
India’s exports to touch US $ 500 billion by 2015
Exports registered 82% rise in July 2011
US$
Bill
ion
India's imports in July 2011 were US $ 40.4 billion registering a growth of 51.5%
India - Imports
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-110
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
150
185
252
291 287
350
Source: Department of Commerce , Govt of India
US$
Bill
ion
Growth enablers Demographics
-India is among the world‘s youngest nations with a median age of 25 years as compared to 43 in Japan and 36 in the US.
-India has third largest pool of scientific and technical manpower in the world
- Large English Speaking Population
-In 2025, more than 55 per cent of the population of India would be of working age.
- With a large working population, India can continue to be competitive globally.
Projected Median Age in 2025
Source: World Population Prospects, 2010, UN
Between 20-59 years50.7%
0-19 years 41.8%
Demographic Dividend
Human Capital
India-Sweden Relations Evidence shows that Swedish ships were in India in mid 18th century Ship ”Götha Leijon” was in Surat Sept 1750 – Feb 1751
In 1903 India’s first telephone exchange was bought from Swedish company Ericsson. Ericsson incorporated 1903 – today over 100 years in India
Together with Ericsson, the first wave of traditional Swedish companies came to India. Example: Swedish Match, Asea (today ABB)
In 1960’s and 1970’s the second wave of classic Swedish industrial companies entered India, mainly in Pune. Examples: Alfa Laval, SKF, Tetra Pak, Sandvik, Atlas Copco
In 1980’s and 1990’s a third wave of companies entered India. Examples: IKEA trading (HongKong Ltd), Oriflame, Volvo
Today we are experiencing the fourth wave of Swedish companies entering India Examples: Volvo Cars, Scania, Systemair, Roxtec
India offers the best opportunity amongst the emerging Economic markets:
Fast economic growth – massive investment in Infrastructure and power sector.
Large domestic consumption base – consumer base to touch 800 mn by 2020.
Stable policy, strong judicial system and mature regulatory framework.
Healthy corporate presence and strong corporate performance.
To play key role in emerging global economic order – particularly post financial crisis era.
In Summary
Thank you !