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A Comparison of Weighted Time Dummy Hedonic and Time-Product Dummy Indexes Jan de Haan, Rens Hendriks and Michael Scholz

Presentation. A Comparison of Weighted Time-Product … · A Comparison of Weighted Time Dummy Hedonic and Time-Product Dummy Indexes Jan de Haan, Rens Hendriks and Michael Scholz

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Page 1: Presentation. A Comparison of Weighted Time-Product … · A Comparison of Weighted Time Dummy Hedonic and Time-Product Dummy Indexes Jan de Haan, Rens Hendriks and Michael Scholz

A Comparison of Weighted Time

Dummy Hedonic and Time-Product

Dummy Indexes

Jan de Haan, Rens Hendriks and Michael Scholz

Page 2: Presentation. A Comparison of Weighted Time-Product … · A Comparison of Weighted Time Dummy Hedonic and Time-Product Dummy Indexes Jan de Haan, Rens Hendriks and Michael Scholz

Background

• Aizcorbe, Corrado and Doms (2003)

– “When Do Matched-Model and Hedonic Techniques Yield Similar Price Measures?”

• Aizcorbe and Pho (2005)

– “Differences in Hedonic and Matched-Model Price Indexes: Do the Weights Matter?”

• Silver and Heravi (2005)

– “A Failure in the Measurement of Inflation: Results from a Hedonic and Matched Experiment Using Scanner Data”

• Krsinich (2016)

– “The FEWS Index: Fixed Effects with a Window Splice”

Page 3: Presentation. A Comparison of Weighted Time-Product … · A Comparison of Weighted Time Dummy Hedonic and Time-Product Dummy Indexes Jan de Haan, Rens Hendriks and Michael Scholz

The TDH and TPD models

• The Time Dummy Hedonic model:

• The Time Product Dummy model:

tiik

K

kk

T

t

ti

tti zDp εβδδ +++= ∑∑

== 11

0ln

ti

N

iii

T

t

ti

tti DDp εγδα +++= ∑∑

==

1

11

ln

Page 4: Presentation. A Comparison of Weighted Time-Product … · A Comparison of Weighted Time Dummy Hedonic and Time-Product Dummy Indexes Jan de Haan, Rens Hendriks and Michael Scholz

Weighted TDH and TPD Indexes

)ˆexp(0 ttP δ=

( )

−= ∑∏∏

=

∈ tkk

K

kk

Si

si

Si

sti

tTDH zz

p

p

Pi

t

ti

0

10

0 ˆexp)(

)(

0

0 β

( )t

Si

si

Si

sti

tTPD

i

t

ti

p

p

P γγ ˆˆexp)(

)(0

0

0

0

0 −=∏∏

Page 5: Presentation. A Comparison of Weighted Time-Product … · A Comparison of Weighted Time Dummy Hedonic and Time-Product Dummy Indexes Jan de Haan, Rens Hendriks and Michael Scholz

Decomposition in regression residuals (1)

• Weighted TDH and TPD sum to zero in each

period.

• The TDH and TPD indices can be written as:

1ˆˆ

0

0

0

0

=

=

∏ ∏∈ ∈Si Si

s

ti

ti

s

i

i

t

tii

p

p

p

p

∏ ∏∏∏∈ ∈∈∈

=

=

=

0

0

0

0

2

0

2

0000

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

ˆ

Si Si

s

i

ti

s

i

ti

Si

s

i

ti

Si

s

i

tit

t

tii

t

tii

p

p

p

p

p

p

p

pP

Page 6: Presentation. A Comparison of Weighted Time-Product … · A Comparison of Weighted Time Dummy Hedonic and Time-Product Dummy Indexes Jan de Haan, Rens Hendriks and Michael Scholz

Decomposition in regression residuals (2)

( ) •

−= 0

)(0

)(0

0

0

0

exp TDHDTPDDM

Dt

TDH

tTPD uu

s

s

P

P

( ) •

−• t

TPDNt

TDHNtM

tN uu

s

s)()(exp

( ) ( )[ ])(0)(

0)(

)(0)(

0)(exp t

TDHMTDHMtTPDMTPDM uuuu −−−•

Page 7: Presentation. A Comparison of Weighted Time-Product … · A Comparison of Weighted Time Dummy Hedonic and Time-Product Dummy Indexes Jan de Haan, Rens Hendriks and Michael Scholz

Empirical Illustration (1)

Weighted TPD & TDH Indexes

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49

TPD TDH

Page 8: Presentation. A Comparison of Weighted Time-Product … · A Comparison of Weighted Time Dummy Hedonic and Time-Product Dummy Indexes Jan de Haan, Rens Hendriks and Michael Scholz

Empirical Illustration (2)

Weighted Average Residuals

-0,5

-0,4

-0,3

-0,2

-0,1

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

0,4

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49

Disapp. TPD Disapp. TDH New TPD New TDH

Page 9: Presentation. A Comparison of Weighted Time-Product … · A Comparison of Weighted Time Dummy Hedonic and Time-Product Dummy Indexes Jan de Haan, Rens Hendriks and Michael Scholz

Empirical Illustration (3)

Aggregate Expenditure Shares

0

0,1

0,2

0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

0,8

0,9

1

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49

Disapp. New Matched (0) Matched (t)

Page 10: Presentation. A Comparison of Weighted Time-Product … · A Comparison of Weighted Time Dummy Hedonic and Time-Product Dummy Indexes Jan de Haan, Rens Hendriks and Michael Scholz

Empirical Illustration (4)

Decomposition of TPD-TDH Ratio

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

0,8

0,9

1

1,1

1,2

1,3

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49

Ratio Disapp. New Third term

Page 11: Presentation. A Comparison of Weighted Time-Product … · A Comparison of Weighted Time Dummy Hedonic and Time-Product Dummy Indexes Jan de Haan, Rens Hendriks and Michael Scholz

Empirical Illustration (5)

TPD-TDH Indexes – Group Level

80

90

100

110

120

130

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49

TPD TDH

Page 12: Presentation. A Comparison of Weighted Time-Product … · A Comparison of Weighted Time Dummy Hedonic and Time-Product Dummy Indexes Jan de Haan, Rens Hendriks and Michael Scholz

Empirical Illustration (6)

Decomposition – Group Level

0,92

0,93

0,94

0,95

0,96

0,97

0,98

0,99

1

1,01

1,02

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49

Ratio Disapp. New Third term

Page 13: Presentation. A Comparison of Weighted Time-Product … · A Comparison of Weighted Time Dummy Hedonic and Time-Product Dummy Indexes Jan de Haan, Rens Hendriks and Michael Scholz

Questions?