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Preparing for disruption with a strategic mind-set
December 11, 2017
2© 2017 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 725567
Everywhere you look, disruptors are in the news
Here’s why bitcoin will take over
Clothing, beauty retailers experiment with augmented reality
Small businesses that have already changed the world
The Amazon disruption dilemma Tesla vs. the auto industry WeWork: Reworking the
office
3© 2017 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 725567
1. Macroeconomics/ demographic shifts
2. Asset lite platforms
3. Customer engagement
4. Unicorns play by different rules
5. Proliferation of startups and funding
6. Technology companies are crossing industry barriers
Why is this period so disruptive?
1
2
3
4
5
6
4© 2017 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 725567
Over the past 50 years GDP growth has continued to slow 1
5© 2017 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 725567
The speed of technology adoption is increasing and disruptorsare levering asset lite platforms
Years to achieve 50% penetration in US households
0
20
40
60
Telephone Automobile HomeComputer
Internet Smartphone
50 years
6 years
Most of these companies were founded within the past 13 years.
Technology enabled platforms
2
Etsy
LyftUber
fitbit
Warby Parker
GroupongrubHub
wework
GILT Airbnb
IndieGoGo
gofundme
Amazon Mechanical
Turk
Source: JPMC; KPMG analysis
6© 2017 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 725567
Disruptors are leveraging their technology platform to engagewith the customer in new ways
How we discover a need for
certain products and services
Explore
How we browse and compare options, make trade-offs and
decisions
Shop
The products and services to meet our new
needs
Products & Services
The buying process and experience
Purchase
The way products and services are
delivered to us
Receive
How relationships are built with brands
and influence decisions
Engage
3
Pinterest Etsy Amazon.com Prime
Uber Shyp Warby Parker
7© 2017 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 725567
Unicorns play by different rules
Source: (1) Business Insider, CB Insights, KPMG analysis
4
0
(3)(2)(1)00
-$5
$60
$40
$5
$65
$0
$70
20132012
40
20162015
63
2014
68
Valuation Net income
4
Emphasis on growth over profits
Pursuit of superior returns on riskier bets by investors
Delay in entering public markets by private unicorns
Uber valuation and net income ($b)
8© 2017 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 725567
Global corporate venture capital investment ($b)
Access to capital for startups has increased…
Source: Venture Pulse Q2 2017, Global analysis of venture funding, KPMG Enterprise, 13 July 2017
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
5
9© 2017 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 725567
Number of active global unicorns and aggregate value ($b)
…unicorns continue to proliferate
Note(s): totals based upon value at year end; unicorns that have completed an exit are not included in the YoY total; Source: http://graphics.wsj.com/billion-dollar-club/?co=Mode%20Media; KPMG analysis
0
150
300
450
600
750
20162014 2015 2017
Aggregate Unicorn Valuation ($b)Count of Active Unicorns
5
10© 2017 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 725567
Established technology companies are becoming moreubiquitous
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2015 2017 YTD
20102005Note(s):(a) Includes any publicly available shareholder conference calls (b) Data through Oct. 11 (c) Google and Alphabet included in 2015 and beyondSource: (1) FactSet
Alphabet/Google
Amazon
6
Mentions of Alphabet/Google and Amazon on shareholder conference calls
11© 2017 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 725567
Innovation is not enough to defend disruption
Disruption: introducing new value chains to existing markets
Innovation: building upon existing value chains
Razor industry disruption summary
Double-edged
safety razor
Three Blade
FiveBlade
Subscription
Stainless steel mass production
Two-blade razor /
disposables
1900 1950 2000 201519751925
12© 2017 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 725567
To be a successful disruptor you need to drive multiple outcomes
Expand & enhance
ecosystem
Lower CostIncrease
value
Improve customer
experience
Expand market reach
13© 2017 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 725567
Example: Transportation
Expand & enhance
ecosystem
Lower CostIncrease
value
Improve customer
experience
Expand market reach
x
?Uber
Lyft
Tesla
14© 2017 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 725567
Example: Amazon’s ecosystem is disrupting grocery
Amazon has urban scale
Purchasing power
Connect supply chain execution with customer service
Strong online platform
Amazon Whole Foods
Expand & enhance
ecosystem
Lower CostIncrease
value
Improve customer
experience
Expand market reach
15© 2017 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 725567
Three steps we believe companies should be taking now
Control the controllable Determine your exposure Explore the horizon
Cut Cost Reinvest for growth
Go Northeast
Disruptive Threats
Timing
Weak signals
Hard signals
Strategic options
Achievablestrategicoptions
Prioritizedoptions
Capabilityfilter
Increase value proposition & customer experience
Likelihood
16© 2017 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 725567
Questions
Thank you
© 2017 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 725567The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International.
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