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Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee on Faculty Welfare by Jim Chalfant and Helen Henry The Academic Senate has not yet developed a response to the PEB recommendations, so any opinions expressed should be interpreted as the views only of the authors of these slides.

Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

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Page 1: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee on Faculty Welfare by Jim Chalfant and Helen Henry

The Academic Senate has not yet developed a response to the PEB recommendations, so any opinions expressed should be interpreted as the views only of the authors of these slides.

Page 2: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

 Substantial unfunded liabilities  UCRP  Retiree Health

 Uncompetitive salaries

 The UC Budget: Inadequate State support

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How will the PEB Recommendations help with these problems??

Page 3: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

 UCRP has an unfunded liability of $12.9 Billion (7/01/09) due to 20 years of no contributions to the Plan whose annual normal cost is 17.6%.

 Restarting contributions is overdue and absolutely necessary.

 A long-term financing plan is needed.

 Reducing Benefits? No effect on unfunded liability, only on “normal cost” for future benefits.

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Page 4: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

 UC salaries are below market averages for nearly all employee groups.

 Competitive benefits help, to varying degrees by different employee groups.

 Total remuneration is still uncompetitive

 Cutting benefits therefore further erodes our competitiveness.

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Page 5: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

 State support is inadequate and far from historical levels, posing a direct threat to UC’s excellence.

 Alternative revenue sources are welcome and critical, but there should be no illusions about their potential to fully replace state support.

 The current budget situation cannot be an excuse to delay dealing with the unfunded liability.

  The unfunded liability grows at 7.5% annually.   $2 of non-state contributions are lost for every $1 of

state contributions that are not made.

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Page 6: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

 Retiree health cuts cannot fix the operating budget.

 We do not “pre-fund” retiree health.

 The unfunded liability means that it will be 20 years before benefits cuts could make a difference in UC’s operating budget.

 Developing a long-term plan for benefits is critical, but the report misses an opportunity to document the need for competitiveness.

 Benefits cuts are not a solution to the budget problem.

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Page 7: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

 Providing incentives to delay retirement  Eligibility changes for retiree health benefits  Increases in targeted retirement ages

 A long-term financing strategy that recognizes that we cannot invest the problem away

 Achieving competitive total remuneration is required for UC excellence  Faculty and Staff need salary increases with

current benefits  We need even greater salary increases to

compensate for reduced benefits to remain where we are now

Page 8: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

 New tier plans have   No effect on accrued pension liability.   Little effect on future liability for years.  No effect on the operating budget for 20

years.

  It is impossible to build or maintain a great University by paying faculty and staff 85 cents on the dollar.

 Savings from cutting benefits are illusory.

Page 9: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

 What effect will the actions we take now have on our excellence over the next few years and the next few decades?

 Our heirs may be glad we did not prolong the 20% employer contribution any longer than necessary.  But they will have to wait until 2030 for the

first 1% reduction in employer costs.  By then the damage to the University will

likely be irreversible.

 More likely, our heirs will be glad we did everything we could to preserve UC’s excellence through competitive total remuneration.

Page 10: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

 Structured to incentivize retirement at a later age

 Reduce UC’s maximum contribution to 70% of premiums

 Eligibility for maximum contribution requires age 65 and 20 years service  Half at age 60 (i.e. 35% of premium)  Reduced by service years < 20, also linearly

 We need to be looking at pre-funding, which reduces the GASB liability

 Affordability for retirees

Page 11: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

Estimated Long-Term

Total Normal Cost

Member Contribution

Rate(s)

Estimated Long-Term Employer

Normal Cost Integrated with Social Secruity

Option A – 1.5%/3.0% 11.9% 3.5% / 9.5% 7.3%

Option B – 2.0%/3.0% 13.8% 4.0% / 8.2% 9.0%

Not Integrated with Social Security Option C – 2.50% 15.1% 6.1% 9.0%

The slashes indicate the break point of Social Security Covered Compensation (SSCC) which is currently around $60K and rises over time with wages.

Proposed Plan- Age Factor

Page 12: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

HAPC UCRP Option A Option B Option C

$60,000 $45,000 $19,440 $25,920 $32,400

$90,000 $67,500 $38,880 $43,740 $48,600

$120,000 $90,000 $58,320 $64,800 $64,800

Pension Alternatives with Retirement: Age = 60 Years of Service = 30

%HAPC is shown in parentheses

(75%) (32%) (42%) (54%)

(75%) (43%) (49%) (54%)

(75%) (49%) (54%) (54%)

Page 13: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

HAPC UCRP Option A Option B Option C

$60,000 $45,000 $27,000 $36,000 $45,000

$90,000 $67,500 $54,000 $60,750 $67,500

$120,000 $90,000 $81,000 $90,000 $90,000

Pension Alternatives with Retirement: Age = 65 Years of Service = 30

%HAPC is shown in parentheses

(75%) (45%) (60%) (75%)

(75%) (60%) (68%) (75%)

(75%) (68%) (75%) (75%)

Page 14: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

Employee  Group  Current  UCRP  

With  5%  Contribu8ons  

Op8on  A   Op8on  B   Op8on  C  

Overall   +10%   -­‐43%   -­‐27%   -­‐22%  Ladder  Rank  Faculty   -­‐8%   -­‐41%   -­‐30%   -­‐26%  

Senior  Management  Group  

+19%   -­‐6%   -­‐2%   +2%  

Librarians  &  Other  Academics  

+50%   -­‐19%   +5%   +13%  

Management  &  Senior  Professionals  

+24%   -­‐33%   -­‐17%   -­‐14%  

Professional  &  Support  Staff—Policy  Covered  

+25%   -­‐52%   -­‐30%   -­‐22%  

Professional  &  Support  Staff—Represented    

+25%   -­‐54%   -­‐31%   -­‐25%  

Service  Workers   +43%   -­‐43%   -­‐17%   -­‐8%  

Page 15: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

Options A, B, and C: Comparisons to Market and to Current Benefits, for

Faculty and Policy-Covered Staff Group/  

Cash  Comp.  Lag Re2rement Re2ree  Health Total  

Re2rement Total  

Remunera2on Current UCRP with 5% employee contributions

Faculty          -­‐10%   -­‐8%   +56%   +2%   -­‐2%  

PSS-­‐PC          -­‐13%   +27%   +485%   +85%   -­‐2%  

Option A: 1.5%/3% with 3.5%/9.5% employee contributions

Faculty          -­‐10% -­‐41% -­‐3% -­‐36% -­‐11%

PSS-­‐PC          -­‐13% -­‐52% +212% -­‐18% -­‐11%

Option B: 2%/3% with 4%/8.2% employee contributions

Faculty          -­‐10% -­‐30% -­‐3% -­‐26% -­‐9%

PSS-­‐PC          -­‐13% -­‐30% +212% +1% -­‐9%

Option C: “UCRP Lite” with 6.1% employee contributions

Faculty          -­‐10% -­‐26% -­‐3% -­‐23% -­‐9%

PSS-­‐PC          -­‐13% -­‐22% +212% +8% -­‐8%

Page 16: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

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20% for Options A, B, and C

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1. No pension plan should be adopted if it is competitive only after future hypothetical salary increases.

2. Option A is unacceptable because it would not be competitive even if the salary gap were closed.

3. Options B and C could be competitive if the salary gap is closed.

4. It can be argued that Option C is superior to Option B for simplicity and transparency.

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5. If “Choice” between remaining in UCRP or joining a new tier is implemented, the employee contribution for UCRP should not exceed 7%.

6.  We oppose attempts to undermine the Total Remuneration studies and their results.

7. We support the cuts in Retiree Health described in the Report but oppose any further cuts in this area.

8. We support steps proposed and taken to put UCRP on a sounder financial footing.

Page 19: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

 The budget problem (and potential shrinkage of work force) arises from the unfunded liability, which we have no way to reduce.

 A new tier will initially apply to only a few people, so there is little reduction in future liability early on in any Option.

 Borrowing from STIP* (at 2.5-3%) to address the unfunded liability results in identical effects of Options A, B, and C on the operating budget for two decades.

*STIP = Short Term Investments Pool

Page 20: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

 Under Option A, there will be fewer employees, and there might be layoffs.

 Since they cost the same until 2030, Options B and C will not cause any additional layoffs.

 Option A could even cause more harm, since it requires higher salaries just to match Options B and C in total remuneration.

 Option A cannot be competitive unless salaries move to levels above market.

Page 21: Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget … Issues/post... · 2020-03-25 · Prepared for the University Committee on Planning and Budget and the University Committee

  Integration with Social Security is not an overriding goal and has disadvantages, among which is complexity.

 What matters is total remuneration!

 How to formulate a better strategy?   LAO call for long-term financing plan  The PEB Task Force Report is a missed

opportunity to make the case for remaining competitive and for UC excellence.

 “Sustainability” vs. Quality