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Preferred stocks April 15, 2013 Big benefits from policy changes Market’s disinterest vs. rapid removal of discount The price gap between preferred and common stocks currently stands at 65% with preferred nearing record lows compared to common since the Asian financial crisis in 1997-1998. In the 2002 report, The value of corporate voting rights and control: A cross-country analysis, Tatiana Nenova of the World Bank presented a model to analyze and interpret the security-value differences between share classes, which still proves effective although more than a decade has passed. According to the report, the price gap averaged 48% in Korea and is explained at 17%p law enforcement, 11%p investor protection, 12%p takeover regulations, 3%p power-concentrating corporate charter provisions and 5%p others. A decade after the report’s release, the discount factors have quickly been removed but preferred stocks are still not in the scope of investors’ interest. Prime beneficiaries of the new administration’s policy changes The market has long neglected preferred stocks and their discount is fundamentally owed to the difference in the voting rights value between controlling and minority shareholders. The value represents each party’s accessibility to enterprise value (EV) and is a function of corporate transparency. With greater transparency, controlling shareholders’ private profits shrink and minority shareholders’ profit erosion diminishes. That in turn narrows the difference in EV enjoyed by the two parties and leads to a fast recovery of the value of preferred stocks, which by nature have no attached voting rights. For the past two years, the controlling shareholders’ abusive practice has been curbed by the revised commerce law and gift taxes imposed on the conglomerates’ habit of awarding excessive orders to their affiliates. Moreover, the main idea of the new administration’s proposal of economic democracy as one of its four 2013 economic pillars is to empower minority shareholders and improve corporate transparency by introducing the multiple derivate action and cumulative/electronic voting systems. Second, vigorous holding company transitions by corporations and the resulting stable ownership help ease fears about hostile M&As, which devalued preferred stocks in the past. We believe the falling value of voting rights will lead to a re-valuation of preferred stocks. Assuming the price gap between preferred and common stocks would narrow to 2-20%, on par with the level of advanced countries, preferred stocks’ upside potential would be more than 100%. Preferred stocks deserve fresh attention Preferred stock prices tend to move in lockstep with their associated common stocks. But we believe preferred stocks merit more than being a proxy investment for common stocks for three reasons. First, a thinner price premium for voting privileges is unavoidable given the new government's commitment to improve management transparency. To reflect a narrower premium, preferred stocks now trade at all-time lows. We believe preferred stocks deserve reassessment. Second, there is a list of 39 preferred stocks that offer dividend yields higher than the 2.85% average of corporate bond yields (AA-). With a 5.5% average yield, preferred stocks would make an attractive investment in the low-growth and low-interest rate environment. Third, the preferred stocks' trading liquidity has been undermined by constant share price drops. But considering a large free-float, we expect liquidity to quickly pick up once the stock prices rebound. We selected the top picks among attractive preferred stocks, including Samsung Electronics preferred, considering dividend, valuation, financial stability and market cap. Contents I. Preferred stocks were strictly sidelined..... 2 II. Cross-country comparison of preferred stock discount ............................................................ 6 III. Discount factors are disappearing....... 10 IV. Merits of preferred stocks to draw attention ........................................................................ 16 V. Top picks..................................................................... 20 Hoon Lee, CFA 82-2-3276-6158 [email protected] JJ Park 82-2-3276-6560 [email protected] Investment Strategy Issue

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Page 1: Preferred Stocks_full report_130415.pdf

Preferred stocks April 15, 2013

Big benefits from policy changes

Market’s disinterest vs. rapid removal of discount The price gap between preferred and common stocks currently stands at 65% with preferred nearing record lows compared to common since the Asian financial crisis in 1997-1998. In the 2002 report, The value of corporate voting rights and control: A cross-country analysis, Tatiana Nenova of the World Bank presented a model to analyze and interpret the security-value differences between share classes, which still proves effective although more than a decade has passed. According to the report, the price gap averaged 48% in Korea and is explained at 17%p law enforcement, 11%p investor protection, 12%p takeover regulations, 3%p power-concentrating corporate charter provisions and 5%p others. A decade after the report’s release, the discount factors have quickly been removed but preferred stocks are still not in the scope of investors’ interest. Prime beneficiaries of the new administration’s policy changes The market has long neglected preferred stocks and their discount is fundamentally owed to the difference in the voting rights value between controlling and minority shareholders. The value represents each party’s accessibility to enterprise value (EV) and is a function of corporate transparency. With greater transparency, controlling shareholders’ private profits shrink and minority shareholders’ profit erosion diminishes. That in turn narrows the difference in EV enjoyed by the two parties and leads to a fast recovery of the value of preferred stocks, which by nature have no attached voting rights. For the past two years, the controlling shareholders’ abusive practice has been curbed by the revised commerce law and gift taxes imposed on the conglomerates’ habit of awarding excessive orders to their affiliates. Moreover, the main idea of the new administration’s proposal of economic democracy as one of its four 2013 economic pillars is to empower minority shareholders and improve corporate transparency by introducing the multiple derivate action and cumulative/electronic voting systems. Second, vigorous holding company transitions by corporations and the resulting stable ownership help ease fears about hostile M&As, which devalued preferred stocks in the past. We believe the falling value of voting rights will lead to a re-valuation of preferred stocks. Assuming the price gap between preferred and common stocks would narrow to 2-20%, on par with the level of advanced countries, preferred stocks’ upside potential would be more than 100%. Preferred stocks deserve fresh attention Preferred stock prices tend to move in lockstep with their associated common stocks. But we believe preferred stocks merit more than being a proxy investment for common stocks for three reasons. First, a thinner price premium for voting privileges is unavoidable given the new government's commitment to improve management transparency. To reflect a narrower premium, preferred stocks now trade at all-time lows. We believe preferred stocks deserve reassessment. Second, there is a list of 39 preferred stocks that offer dividend yields higher than the 2.85% average of corporate bond yields (AA-). With a 5.5% average yield, preferred stocks would make an attractive investment in the low-growth and low-interest rate environment. Third, the preferred stocks' trading liquidity has been undermined by constant share price drops. But considering a large free-float, we expect liquidity to quickly pick up once the stock prices rebound. We selected the top picks among attractive preferred stocks, including Samsung Electronics preferred, considering dividend, valuation, financial stability and market cap.

Contents

I. Preferred stocks were strictly sidelined ..... 2

II. Cross-country comparison of preferred stock discount ............................................................ 6

III. Discount factors are disappearing ....... 10 IV. Merits of preferred stocks to draw

attention ........................................................................ 16

V. Top picks ..................................................................... 20

Hoon Lee, CFA 82-2-3276-6158

[email protected]

JJ Park 82-2-3276-6560

[email protected]

Investment Strategy Issue

Page 2: Preferred Stocks_full report_130415.pdf

I. Preferred stocks were strictly sidelined ................................................................................................................ 2

1. Preferred stocks trading at record lows compared to common

2. Reasons for extreme undervaluation of preferred stocks

II. Cross-country comparison of preferred stock discount ................................................................. 6

1. Causes of discount

2. Case study: Crawford

III. Discount factors are disappearing.......................................................................................................................... 10

1. Shrinking value of voting rights

2. Disadvantages of preferred stocks are not significant

3. Healthy preferred stocks to draw attention with the implementation of unqualified

preferred stock withdrawal system in Jul

IV. Merits of preferred stocks to draw attention ................................................................................................. 16

1. Narrower price gap between preferred and common to 2-20%

2. Attractive dividend yields in the low-growth period

3. Decent investment returns despite de-rating so far

4. Attention to small and mid-cap stocks

V. Top picks ......................................................................................................................................... 20

1. Top pick selecting criteria: Dividend yield, price gap with common stocks,

market cap and financial structure

2. Top 30 preferred stocks by dividend yield

3. Top 30 preferred stocks by price gap

4. Top 30 preferred stocks by market cap

Contents

Page 3: Preferred Stocks_full report_130415.pdf

Issue report

2

I. Preferred stocks were strictly sidelined

1. Preferred stocks trading at record lows compared to

common

The prices of the top 50 preferred stocks by market cap now stand at 35.4% of their

respective common stocks, translating to a 64.6% price gap. Looking at the past 20

years, the price gap between preferred and common stocks was a mere 10-25%

until 1993. But preferred stocks with no voting rights started to lose investor appeal

as concerns grew about hostile M&A attempts on the government’s decision to lift

the ceiling on foreign ownership of Korean companies. Accordingly, the gap

temporarily widened to ~75% right after the International Monetary Fund (IMF)

bailout in 1998. While the price difference briefly narrowed to 20%, the gap moved

to widen in 2007 and after. Except during the IMF bailout, preferred stocks now

trade at record lows compared to common.

Figure 1. Relative price of preferred stocks compared to common

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Apr-93 Apr-96 Apr-99 Apr-02 Apr-05 Apr-08 Apr-11

Note: Relative price of preferred stocks (top 50 by market cap) =preferred stock prices/common stock prices (for preferred stocks in top 50 market cap group)

Source: Korea Investment & Securities

2. Reasons for extreme undervaluation of preferred stocks

Preferred stocks are overly discounted to common due primarily to their features as

being non-voting and non-cumulative. Other reasons include little trading volume,

disinterest among investors and low dividend yields.

Most preferred stocks traded on the exchange are non-cumulative,

non-participating and non-voting equity securities that pay an additional dividend

equal to 1% of par value (e.g., W50 for W5,000 par value). The preferred stocks of

such a nature were first issued by Dongyang Beer (now Oriental Brewery or OB) in

1986. Companies rushed to issue preferred stocks as a way to raise capital with

little worry about having to control stake dilution and dividend. And the vigorous

issuance continued until the government announced plans to amend the regulation

related to non-voting preferred stock issues in Mar 1990.

Non-voting preferred stocks with a fixed additional (1%) dividend were a less

attractive investment compared to bonds due to small dividend payout, and

compared to commons stocks as well due to non-voting status.

Price gap between

preferred and common

stocks stands at 65%

Disadvantages of

non-voting and

non-cumulative

preferred stocks

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Table 1. Preferred stock types

Type Features

Old preferred stock - Senior to common in terms of dividend or distribution of remaining assets - Receives 1%p more dividend than common based on face value - Non-cumulative, non-participating and perpetual

New preferred stocks

- Senior to common in terms of dividend or distribution of remaining assets - Minimum dividend rate is determined at the time of issue in the articles of association;

Converted to common at a 1:1 ratio after a specified period (three to 10 years) - If a dividend is missed, it accumulates and must be paid before the stock can be

converted to common - Cumulative, participating and term-based

Dividend accumulation

Cumulative preferred stock - Unpaid or omitted dividend in any one term is accumulated and paid in any future term

Non-cumulative preferred stock - The right to receive a dividend expires whenever the dividend is not declared - Unpaid or omitted dividend in any one term need not be paid in any future term

Participation

Participating preferred stock - Along with a common stock, a participating preferred has the opportunity to receive an

extra dividend equal to a specified rate

Non-participating preferred stock - Receives only the dividend that equals a specified rate and cannot participate in an extra

dividend

Voting rights Preferred stock with voting rights - Holders have the right to vote

Preferred stock without voting rights - Holders do not have the right to vote (most preferred stocks in Korea are such type)

Convertibility/ redeemability

Convertible preferred stock - Includes the option to convert to common shares at a fixed price after a predetermined

date

Redeemable preferred stock - Holders have the right to redeem the stock at a preset price after a defined date - Has seniority in its right to receive a dividend

Source: Korea Investment & Securities, Analysis of Determinants in Price Gap between Preferred Stocks and Common Stocks by Lee Sang-il (2011)

Table 2. History of preferred stock issues

Period Description

1) Introductory period (pre-1986): Issuance of corporate bond-type preferred stock

- Korea’s first preferred stocks were issued in May 1969 for Jeonju Paper that was fully acquired by Korea Investment Development Corp. (now UBS Hana Asset Management)

- Preferred stocks were more attractive than common in terms of rights as they were issued during times of urgency such as company restructuring

- Companies issued preferred stock that featured voting rights, cumulative, participatory and with a duration of three years to perpetual

- Preferred stock without voting rights was guaranteed a dividend at a level similar to the key interest rate

- The government encouraged the issuance of preferred stock by revising the Furtherance of the Capital Market Act that allowed a company to issue preferred stock without voting rights up to 50% of all shares

2) Active period (1986 to Feb 1990): Emergence of 1% preferred stock without voting rights

- Dongyang Beer (OB) first started issuing 1% preferred stock without voting rights (same type as currently in use) that pay 1%p more dividend based on face value than common stock dividend

- Some scholars challenged the legality of the 1% preferred stock without voting rights but it was widely issued thanks to a booming stock market and positive response from investors

- The government did not place any restrictions regarding issuance other than a 15% discount to the issue price of common shares

3) Regulatory period (Mar 1990 to Dec 1996)

- With the stock market’s drop from 2H89, controlling shareholders first started selling the 1% preferred stock

- As preferred stocks were considered the main culprit behind falling share prices, the Ministry of Finance (now the Ministry of Strategy & Finance) turned toward curbing the issuance of 1% preferred shares, which helped maintain the price gap between preferred and common at a constant level

- Investment sentiment on preferred stocks eroded significantly due to amended related laws in 1994

- The Securities Supervisory Service (now Financial Supervisory Service) reintroduced “measures to stabilize supply/demand of preferred stock without voting rights” in Nov 1994 to promote the stocks

4) Stabilization period (Dec 1996 to present)

- Common stock with voting rights gained more relative value due partly to measures taken by companies to protect management rights with the legalization of hostile takeovers in 1998

- New preferred shares emerged in 1999-2000, the interim dividend payment was introduced and preferred stocks gained strength on economic recovery

- After the price gap between preferred and common stocks repeatedly kept narrowing and widening, the gap has been expanding since 2008

Source: Analysis of Determinants in Price Gap between Preferred Stocks and Common Stocks by Lee Sang-il (2011)

Page 5: Preferred Stocks_full report_130415.pdf

Issue report

4

1) Overly neglected by investors due to non-voting status

Preferred stocks with non-voting rights were very ignored by investors as hostile

M&A attempts and the succession of management rights became headline issues in

Korea’s stock market. Non-voting preferred stocks went through the first round of

de-rating in 1994 when the raised limit on foreign ownership and repeal of the 10%

ownership ceiling in a general corporation upon the amendment to the Securities

and Exchange Act in Jan stoked concerns about hostile M&A attempts. Non-voting

preferred stocks were even considered “non-stocks” by market investors. The price

difference between preferred stocks and common widened to as much as 75%

during the IMF bailout.

After brief ups and downs, the relative price of preferred stocks compared to

common has been on a downturn since 2007. Non-voting preferred stocks were left

out of investors’ interest as corporate governance and stable management rights

became issues in Korea’s stock market.

In reality, there were only limited cases of foreign investors making hostile M&A

attempts toward Korean companies as seen in the management threat to SK Corp.

from Sovereign Asset Management. But voting rights became a very critical concern

for investing in Korean companies, which we attribute to their relatively weak

management transparency.

Table 3. Price gap between preferred and common stocks

Key factors for determining preferred stock’s price gap

Preferred stock’s price gap to common = value of voting rights (corporate transparency) ± dividend yield

Source: Korea Investment & Securities

① Basically, the price gap between preferred and common stocks reflects the value

of voting rights, which is closely correlated with corporate transparency. That is, the

value of voting rights represents different accessibility to EV between controlling

and minority shareholders. With no-voting rights attached, preferred stockholders

have much weaker accessibility to EV than holders of common stocks.

Much research suggests a 2-37% premium is placed on the voting rights in the

global market, or 2-20% in advanced countries where transparent management is in

place. With greater transparency, the controlling shareholders' private profits shrink

and minority shareholders' opportunity costs significantly diminish. That in turn

narrows the difference in EV enjoyed by the two parties.

But the controlling shareholders of Korea’s conglomerates had a habit of awarding

excessive orders to affiliates as a way to maximize private wealth. In addition, the

controlling shareholders took advantage of the circular ownership structure to

control the entire group with a tiny stake and to use the business for private interest.

The abusive practices of the controlling shareholders were a major cause of the

so-called “Korea discount”.

② Minority shareholders can oppose any controlling shareholders’ decision that

may undermine corporate transparency by exercising voting rights at the general

shareholders’ meeting. A lack of the voting rights can put preferred stockholders at a

disadvantage compared to common stockholders, which leads to a price discount.

The concerns are deepening with some companies buying back only common

stocks, not preferred, when they decided to support share prices with buybacks.

Page 6: Preferred Stocks_full report_130415.pdf

Issue report

5

2) Weak appeal as a dividend vehicle

Korea’s preferred stocks lost much of their appeal to investors due to the features

such as fixed additional dividend of 1% (e.g., W50 for W5,000 par value) and

non-cumulative dividend payment. To offset the disadvantages owed to non-voting

rights, it is essential to offer policies to enhance shareholder value, such as a lofty

dividend, but the additional 1% was not attractive enough to draw investors’ interest

to preferred stocks. Furthermore, the old preferred stocks do not ensure a stable

dividend payment due to their non-cumulative feature.

As preferred stocks lost appeal to long-term investors as a dividend vehicle, there

was nothing to buttress the prices when the stock market went through a downturn

period. Common stocks can rebound on bargain-hunting demand although the

stock market is trending downward, but preferred stocks are neglected, resulting in

high price volatility.

Table 4. Key features of old preferred stocks currently in circulation

Description Outcome

1% dividend - When a company decides to pay a common stock dividend, a 1%p based on face value (W5,000 in face

value would see an additional W50 per share) is added to the common stock dividend and then paid Low dividend appeal

Non-cumulative - Holders would not receive missed dividends but they would receive dividends in a given year if the

company decides to pay dividends the same year Low dividend stability

Source: Korea Investment & Securities

3) Limited trading volume and investors’ disinterest not causes but consequences

It is true that small trading liquidity and disinterest among investors have led to a

lengthy de-rating of preferred stocks. But the problems are not causes but the

consequences of preferred stocks’ poor share performance. That is, constant share

price drops undermined trading liquidity and investors’ interest in preferred stocks,

which created a vicious cycle by dragging the prices down further.

Page 7: Preferred Stocks_full report_130415.pdf

Issue report

6

II. Cross-country comparison of preferred

stock discount

1. Causes of discount

Many countries allow preferred stocks to be issued but their features vary by

country. Preferred stocks with different voting privileges than common stocks are

actively issued in Brazil, Canada, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Italy, Norway,

Mexico, Sweden and Switzerland along with Korea. In those countries, the major

shareholders use preferred stocks as a way to raise capital with no threat to

controlling rights. Countries such as Australia, Chile, France, Hong Kong, South

Africa, the UK and US also allow preferred stocks with different voting rights by law

but the actual issue is not as active.

In contrast, discriminatory voting rights are prohibited in some countries such as

Belgium, China, Japan, Singapore and Spain. Preferred stocks offer a fixed

dividend and contain a convertible feature to common stocks in Southeast Asian

countries such as Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan and Thailand. In this

report, we narrow our analysis to general preferred stocks traded in Korea’s stock

market, i.e., preferred stocks with discriminatory voting privileges and dividend and

a non-convertible feature. In this section II, we refer to preferred stocks with those

features as “preferred stocks”.

Preferred stocks tend to trade at a discount to common in the world’s stock markets.

In the 2002 report, The value of corporate voting rights and control: A cross-country

analysis, Tatiana Nenova of the World Bank presented a model to analyze and

interpret the security-value differences between share classes.

Figure 2. Preferred stocks’ discount by country

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

US

Ca

na

da

Sou

th

Afr

ica

UK

Austr

alia

Bra

zil

Ch

ile

Fra

nce

Ita

ly

Me

xic

o

De

nm

ark

Sw

ede

n

No

rwa

y

Ge

rma

ny

Kore

a

Common law French civ il law Scandinav ian civ il

law

German

civ il law

(%)

Note: 1) Preferred stock discount=100–(preferred stock price/common stock price*100) 2) Based on 2002 data

Source: Nenova (2002), Korea Investment & Securities

Features of preferred

stocks vary by country

Our analysis is on

preferred stocks with

discriminatory voting

rights and dividend and

non-convertible feature

Generally, preferred

stocks are discounted

to common

Page 8: Preferred Stocks_full report_130415.pdf

Issue report

7

Although more than a decade has passed, Nenova’s report still resonates and

presents important implications. According to the report, first, preferred stocks trade

at a discount to common in most countries. Second, the price gap varies by country.

For example, the gap was less than 5% in the US, Canada, Denmark and Sweden

whereas it was as wide as 50% in Korea. Third, the legal environment appears to

affect the price gap. The magnitude of price difference varied widely even across

developed countries, and the gap was much wider in French civil law countries.

According to Nenova’s analysis, the price gap was lowest for the Scandinavian civil

law group of countries, followed by common law countries, German civil law

countries and French civil law countries. The report says that such a minimal

discount to preferred stocks in Scandinavian civil law countries was because the

legal environment and social norms discourage the controlling parties from abusing

the minority. In contrast, the price gap was wide in French civil law countries where

investor protection is weaker. As such, the legal protection of investors and minority

shareholders would be a key variable to the price gap between preferred and

common stocks.

Figure 3. Price gap between preferred and common

stocks by legal origin

Figure 4. Rank of investor protection in the World

Bank’s Doing Business survey

0

5

10

15

20

25

French civil law German civil law Common law Scandinavian civil

law

(%)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

France Italy Korea

2012 2013

(rank)

Source: Nenova (2002), Korea Investment & Securities Source: The World Bank, Korea Investment & Securities

Of note, Korea’s legal environment for investor protection has fast improved recently.

The World Bank has worked out an investor protection index in its Doing Business

survey. Korea made a great leap from 79th, similar to France, in 2012 to 49

th in 2013

in terms of investor protection. Although there is a still long way to go, we view such

rapid improvement in Korea as encouraging.

Then to what degree could the legal environment such as a corporate governance

mechanism and investor protection affect the preferred stocks’ discount? Nenova

suggests the legal environment variables explain 68% of the cross-country variation

in the value of preferred stocks. That is, the price gap will narrow when there is a

refined legal framework such as tighter enforcement, better general investor

protection, stricter takeover regulations and less use of corporate charter provisions

concentrating control in the hands of dominant shareholders. For example,

Nenova’s analysis showed that the price gap was largest in Korea at 48%, and the

gap would be reduced by 17%p with law enforcement, 11%p with investor

protection, 12%p by takeover regulations and 3%p by corporate charter provisions

(together 43%p). Given the analysis, the preferred stocks’ discount to common in

Korea could ease from 48% to 5% if the legal environment is improved to match the

level of developed countries.

Price gaps varied by

country: A much wider

gap in French civil law

countries

Governance structure

and investor protection

by law are key variables

to the price gap between

preferred and common

stocks

Korea’s investor

protection is fast

improving according to

World Bank survey

If legal environment

improves dramatically,

Korean preferred

stocks’ discount to

common could ease

from 48% to 5%

Page 9: Preferred Stocks_full report_130415.pdf

Issue report

8

Figure 5. Price gap between preferred and common stocks in Korea and influence

by legal environment variable

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Price gap

(common stock price-pref . stock price)

Af ter ref ined legal f ramework

(%, %p)

Law enf orcement: 17%p

Inv estor protection: 11%p

Takeov er regulation: 12%p

Corporate charter prov isions: 3%p

Note: 1) Price gap = 1 - (preferred stock price/common stock price) 2) Based on 2002 data

Source: Nenova (2002), Korea Investment & Securities

2. Case study: Crawford

The case of US-based Crawford & Co. also provides some implications of preferred

stock investment. The company processes outsourced insurance claims and is

owned by the Crawfords with a 58% stake. Crawford has two classes of common

stock outstanding: Class A without voting rights and Class B with rights. Instead of

voting rights, Class A Common Stock offers a ~1%p higher dividend yield than

Class B, amounts to 80% of Class B’s market cap and accounts for 30% of the total

EV.

Figure 6. Crawford’s shareholder structure Figure 7. Crawford’s EV

Crawford family

57.9%

Others 24.63%

Suntrust Banks

Inc. 6.11%

Blackrock 6.28%

F&C Asset

5.08%

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

CRD/A CRD/B Market cap Cash Debt Enterprise

value

(USD mn)

Source: Bloomberg, Korea Investment & Securities Source: The World Bank, Korea Investment & Securities

US-based Crawford:

Family-owned company,

Class A (preferred)

value amounts to 80% of

Class B (common)

Page 10: Preferred Stocks_full report_130415.pdf

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9

Theoretically, Crawford’s Class A Common Stock does not deserve a discount to

Class B Common Stock because of the company’s very stable governance structure

with a near-60% majority shareholder’s stake and a sizable market cap (80% of

Class B) of preferred stocks (Class A). Since Class A shares offer a 1%p higher

dividend yield than Class B, it would be no surprise if the preferred stocks trade at a

premium to the common.

We examined how the price gap between Crawford’s preferred and common stocks

trended since 1991. In 1994-1997 and in 2004-2006, the gap was near zero or

preferred stocks traded at higher prices than common. Interestingly, the two periods

coincide with when the economy was relatively stable after a recession. In contrast,

Crawford’s preferred stocks traded at much lower prices than common when the

economy was shaky in the early 1990s, early 2000s and after 2008.

Then, how does economic instability lead to a discount for Crawford’s preferred

stocks that are the same as common, other than with respect to voting rights,

despite the stable governance structure? The answer lies in the market’s view that

common stocks held by majority shareholders reflect information faster than

preferred stocks at a time of large external uncertainties. Since investors believe a

company’s inside information is faster reflected in common stocks, they pay a

premium over common.

Figure 8. Price gap between Crawford’s preferred and common stocks

(10)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

(%)

Source: Bloomberg, Korea Investment & Securities

Based on Nenovo’s report and Crawford’s example, the price gap between

preferred and common stocks tends to narrow with a better corporate governance

structure, stronger investor protection and less economic uncertainties. If that is true,

then there is a good chance the price gap will likely shrink worldwide. That is

because the uncertainties that have been fueled by the global financial crisis since

2008 are gradually being addressed albeit at a very moderate pace. In particular,

serious consideration is needed for Corporate Korea’s preferred stocks since they

used to post the widest price gap with common due to the conglomerates’

ownership structure and legal and institutional issues. As illustrated by the World

Bank’s Doing Business 2013, Korea is fast improving in terms of its corporate

governance and investor protection. Despite such positive changes, preferred

stocks are now valued less than in 2002 with the price gap expanded to 64.6% now.

Price gap between

Crawford’s preferred

and common stocks

fluctuates along with

market conditions

During economic

instability, Crawford’s

preferred stocks are

discounted due to less

effective reflection of

inside information

Investment on Korea’s

preferred stocks

promising as financial

crisis-related

uncertainties subsided

and the nation’s

institutions are fast

improving

Page 11: Preferred Stocks_full report_130415.pdf

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10

III. Discount factors are disappearing

1. Shrinking value of voting rights

1) Animated holding company transition and ensuing stable management rights

The practice of valuing preferred stocks less than common originates in the threat of

hostile M&A. At a time of animated M&A activities, voting rights matter and thus

investors turn away from preferred stocks. However, Korea’s top 10 companies by

market cap include five holding firm affiliates (LG Chem, LG Electronics, LG

Household & Healthcare, AmorePacific and Doosan) and three Samsung and

Hyundai Motor affiliates (Samsung Electronics, Samsung F&M and Hyundai Motor).

In effect, a hostile M&A strategy could not be used for the above firms due to the

stable ownership for the former group and the market cap size for the latter. S-Oil

and Shinyoung Securities, the remaining two in the top 10, cannot be deemed as

exposed to any M&A risk.

Moreover, the shift to a holding company is gaining pace among not only

conglomerates but small/midsize enterprises (SMEs). While each company has its

reasons, the transition is taking place mainly to strengthen the share ownership by

spinning off a holding company and an operating entity from a main company then

followed by a share swap. That in turn stabilizes management rights. Indeed, four

(SK, LG, GS and Hanjin) of the 10 largest corporate groups in Korea have

established a holding company, the path taken by 33 listed firms in Korea over the

past five years.

Considering the holding company transition is the most efficient way to secure

stable management rights, more companies will likely follow suit and in turn there

would be less concern about hostile takeover. Then, the threat of M&A should not

further widen the price gap between preferred and common stocks.

Table 5. Listed companies’ holding company transition over the past five years

Holding company Established Subsidiaries Sub-

subsidiaries Sub-sub-

subsidiaries Holding company Established Subsidiaries

Sub- subsidiaries

Sub-sub- subsidiaries

Woongjin Holdings Jan 1, 2008 7 15 1 Daesung Holdings Oct 1, 2009 9 0 0

JW Holdings Jan 1, 2008 6 3 0 Hanjin Shipping Holdings Dec 1, 2009 2 12 1

Chinyang Holdings Jan 7, 2008 9 0 0 KC Green Holdings Jan 1, 2010 12 4 0

S&T Holdings Feb 5, 2008 3 4 0 Wooree Lighting Holdings Jan 1, 2010 3 4 0

SBS Media Holdings Mar 4, 2008 8 9 0 Kolon Corp. Jan 1, 2010 8 20 1

Dongsung Holdings May 14, 2008 7 3 0 CS Holdings Jan 5, 2010 3 0 0

LS Corp Jul 2, 2008 5 21 1 Humax Holdings Mar 31, 2010 4 5 0

Hitejinro Holdings Jul 3, 2008 4 8 0 SJM Holdings Jan 1, 2011 4 1 0

Poongsan Holdings Jul 3, 2008 4 2 0 Hanmi Science Jan 1, 2011 2 1 0

Iljin Holdings Jul 4, 2008 6 5 0 Daesung Group Holdings Jan 1, 2011 9 19 0

KISCO Holdings Sep 3, 2008 3 1 0 BS Financial Group Mar 15, 2011 6 0 0

KB Financial Group Sep 29, 2008 9 6 1 DGB Financial Group May 7, 2011 3 0 0

Pulmuone Holdings Sep 30, 2008 6 9 0 Samyang Holdings Nov 3, 2011 10 3 0

Doosan Jan 1, 2009 9 9 2 InterPark Corp. Jan 1, 2012 11 5 0

Hansae Yes24 Holdings Jun 30, 2009 2 1 0 Nice Holdings Aug 23, 2012 15 4 0

Youngone Holdings Jul 2, 2009 2 1 0 AK Holdings Sep 1, 2012 4 10 0

CNH Sep 30, 2009 6 1 0

Source: Fair Trade Commission, Korea Investment & Securities

Voting rights value

shrinks

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2) New administration’s better transparency policy empowers minority

shareholders

The preferred stock discount is owed to the difference in voting rights value

between controlling and minority shareholders. The value is important for a

company facing a hostile takeover. However, what it fundamentally represents is

each shareholder party’s accessibility to EV that is linked to corporate transparency.

Similar to their peers in developed countries, majority shareholders in Korea

enjoyed surplus profits, which were not shared with minority shareholders, via a

management rights premium when selling their companies. Not only that, controlling

shareholders have often been cited as maximizing private profits through the

practice of unfairly awarding affiliate orders to a company they set up. Such opaque

transparency gave rise to a different level of accessibility between controlling and

minority shareholders. That in turn led to an excessive price plunge for preferred

stocks whose rights are not guaranteed due to the lack of voting rights.

But on Mar 28, the new administration proposed economic democracy as one of the

four economic policy directions along with jobs creation, livelihood security and risk

management. Policies for economic democracy include a ban on conglomerates’

practice of unfair internal trade among affiliates, reinforced measures for

pension/public funds’ voting rights execution, introduction of a multiple derivative

action system and phase-in of the cumulative/electronic voting systems. As the new

administration’s corporate policy focuses on empowering minority shareholders and

improving corporate transparency, such efforts will considerably narrow the price

gap between preferred and common stocks.

Table 6. Four major economic policies

Jobs creation Stabilize public welfare Economic democracy Enhance risk management

Tasks

Aggressive management of macro policies

Stabilize consumer prices Bolster management transparency and responsibility

Strengthen risk response plans

Establish favorable conditions for the dual economic drivers of domestic demand and exports

Ease financial, housing and education burdens of low-income households

Provide a system for fair competition

Provide tools to counter each risk factor

Improve employment-friendly policies Enhance customized welfare system

Protect the economically weak

Source: Korea Investment & Securities

First, the practice of affiliates awarding orders to a company governed by their

controlling shareholder is a good example of controlling shareholders maximizing

their profits at the cost of minority shareholders’ profit erosion. Such a practice will

likely be strictly regulated by imposing gift taxes, expanding the items defined as

unfair affiliate aid and adopting a multiple derivative action system.

Table 7. Multiple derivative actions

Policy Description

Multiple derivative action

- Intended for shareholders that have held more than 5/100,000 of total shares in a parent company for more than six months

- Shareholders of a parent company that suffered losses due to illegal activities by a subsidiary can file a lawsuit against the board directors of the subsidiary

- Under current law, shareholders of a parent company can file a lawsuit against the management of its subsidiary but the multiple derivative action (double derivative action) allows shareholders to bring a derivate suit against a grandchild company as well

Source: Korea Corporate Governance Service, Korea Investment & Securities

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In particular, a derivative action allows shareholders to file a lawsuit against the

company’s directors and/or employees for the company’s losses triggered by their

illegal action. For example, let us say a parent company’s controlling shareholder

established a subsidiary and used it to generate private profits. In that case, a

minority shareholder of the parent company can impose a sanction due to the

practice. The same can be done even if the involved company was a

sub-subsidiary.

At present, a bill to adopt the multiple derivative lawsuit system is being proposed to

the National Assembly. Once the system is introduced, a minority shareholder of a

parent company can file a damages claim on behalf of a subsidiary/sub-subsidiary

against a controlling shareholder’s private profiteering.

Second, the electronic and cumulative voting systems are very effective in

strengthening minority shareholders’ profits. A phase-in of the systems would bring

a significant change to minority shareholders’ participation in the execution of

management rights. 1) The electronic voting system is an alternative to the shadow

system which reflects the voting rights of minority shareholders who are absent at a

shareholders’ meeting in proportion to the votes cast by the shareholders present at

the meeting. The electronic voting system will make it easier for minority

shareholders who are not present at the meeting to exercise their rights. 2) When

electing two or more board directors, the cumulative voting system grants each

share an identical number of voting rights as the number of board directors to be

elected. As the system allows minority shareholders to cast all their votes to a single

candidate, it increases the chance for a candidate who represents minority

shareholders’ profits to win the election. At present, only 34 or 5% of Kospi-listed

firms have adopted the system.

Table 8. Key policy directions of the new administration

Policy Description

Cumulative voting

- When electing two or more directors, shareholders may cast votes equal to the number of shares owned multiplied by the number of directors to be elected

- Minority shareholders can pool their votes to elect a director who can represent their interests - No. of listed companies that have adopted cumulative voting: Kospi 34 (4.79%) and Kosdaq 27 (3.03%) - If policy measures are finalized in 1H13, a public hearing will be held in Aug to enforce the adoption of cumulative voting

Electronic voting

- Allows minority shareholders who cannot attend a shareholders’ meeting to exercise their votes online - Cuts the cost of holding a shareholders’ meeting and can prevent major shareholders from making one-sided decisions by

encouraging shareholders, including minority, to participate in the shareholders’ meeting - No. of listed companies that have adopted electronic voting: Kospi 74 (10.42%) and Kosdaq 71 (7.98%) - If policy measures are finalized in 1H13, a public hearing will be held in Aug to enforce the adoption of electronic voting

Source: Korea Corporate Governance Service, Korea Investment & Securities

Third, the government has amended the Commerce Law over the past two years to

improve corporate transparency. Related efforts include tax revision to levy gift

taxes on controlling shareholders who profited from the practice of unfair internal

trades, prohibiting business opportunity appropriation and expanding the definition

of “directors”2 in restricting trade with their own companies.

2 “Directors” earlier meant only board members but now include major shareholders and special-interest parties. Such measures

have legally stipulated controlling shareholders can no longer seek private profits via affiliates, which before was routine. As minority shareholders’ profits will no longer be eroded by the controlling shareholders’ unfair practices, the difference in the value of their voting rights should narrow considerably.

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Table 9. Deemed gift tax imposed on companies favoring subsidiaries/affiliates

Issues & reasons for revision Revised commercial law

Deemed gift tax imposed on companies favoring subsidiaries/affiliates

Favoritism toward subsidiaries/affiliates allows major shareholders to make unfair profits and erodes the value of minority shareholders

- Establish grounds for imposing a gift tax on profits made from transactions between special-interest parties

- Shareholders subject to the tax are major shareholders (individuals) who are the controlling shareholders (incl. relatives) of a benefiting entity whose stake in the entity (incl. indirect ownership) exceeds the limited ownership stake of 3%

- Conditions for taxation: Percentage of transactions between special-interest parties exceeds the normal transaction percentage of 30% Deemed gift tax on profits: Benefiting entity’s NOPLAT x (transaction percentage with special-interest party - 30%) x (stake ownership - 3%)

Source: Korea Investment & Securities, Presentation of main revisions to the Commercial Law for companies (Ministry of Justice, Apr 2011), Trends in Capital Market System (Capital market analyst Kim Su-yeon, May 2011)

2. Disadvantages of preferred stocks are not significant

A common misconception in the stock market is that companies discriminate

against preferred shareholders. A notable example is the exclusion of preferred

stocks during buybacks. But a closer look at the top 10 preferred stocks by market

cap tells a different story. We found that not all preferred stocks were excluded from

share buybacks and companies just followed different policies when dealing with

their preferred stocks.

Samsung Electronics, commanding the top spot in preferred stock market cap,

carried out three share buybacks since 2005. Every time, it bought back both

common and preferred stocks. It was also true for Samsung F&M. In contrast,

Hyundai Motor started buying back only common stocks since its last simultaneous

repurchase in 2005. LG Chem and LG Household & Health Care have also been

steady buyers of common stocks. On the other hand, Doosan Corp., a long-time

follower of common stocks during buybacks, cancelled preferred stocks along with

common in Mar 2012, resulting in greater preferred shareholder value.

This shows that companies have policy differences in dealing with their preferred

stocks. But it does not necessarily mean preferred stocks are disadvantaged in

shareholder friendly policy due to their low weighting of controlling shareholders.

Table 10. Treasury share purchases by major company (shares)

Company Date Common Preferred

Samsung Electronics

Sep 6, 2005 3,800,000 300,000

Jun 4, 2006 2,600,000 400,000

Mar 21, 2007 2,800,000 400,000

Hyundai Motor

Apr 26, 2005 11,000,000 1,000,000

Oct 18, 2007 1,665,630 -

Jan 21, 2010 2,218,120 -

Sep 1, 2010 1,686,330 -

Oct 28, 2011 1,979,740 -

LG Chem May 18, 2005 568,000 -

LG H&H Sep 28, 2006 937,000 -

Samsung F&M Oct 2, 2012 1,400,000 90,000

Doosan Corp. Jan 27, 2012 300,000 -

Mar 8, 2012 (retired) 4,072,978 373,058

Source: Korea Investment & Securities

Differences exist in

dealing with preferred

stocks but do not

necessarily mean they

are disadvantaged

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3. Healthy preferred stocks to draw attention with the implementation

of unqualified preferred stock withdrawal system in Jul

For investors, preferred stocks have not been an easy investment to trade due to

their poor liquidity even considering their low market cap. But we believe such weak

liquidity is the outcome of the stocks’ pullback. In 1993 and 1997 when preferred

stocks were much favored by investors, their weighting of trading value in the

Kospi’s total was large at 7% and 5%, respectively. But now, the figure is less than

2%.

Given the shallow ownership of preferred stocks among major shareholders, the

weighting of the shares that can be easily put on the market is heavy. Nevertheless,

the trading value of preferred stocks is low for their market cap, and we believe the

main reason is weak share prices. But if the stocks are properly reassessed in line

with share price gains, the liquidity concern should ease substantially.

Figure 9. Trading value: Preferred stocks vs. Kospi

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

Dec-93 Dec-96 Dec-99 Dec-02 Dec-05 Dec-08 Dec-11

Pref ./Kospi 52-week av g. trading v alue

Source: Korea Investment & Securities

In addition, preferred stocks with poor liquidity will probably be designated as

administrative issues or even delisted starting from this Jul. At present, some stocks

with low market cap and scarce trading volume are experiencing sharp price

fluctuations, which we believe contributes to investors’ distorted perception of

preferred stocks.

Under the new system, stocks with less than 100 shareholders in the business

report, less than 50,000 listed shares as of the end of half-year, less than 10,000

monthly trading volume in a half-year or market cap remaining below W500mn for

30 straight days would be designated as administrative issues. Conditions for

delisting would be the delisting of common stocks, less than 100 shareholders for

two straight years, less than 50,000 listed shares for two straight half-years, or less

than 10,000 monthly trading volume for two straight half-years. With the new rules,

the overall undervaluation of preferred stocks due to the extreme movement of only

a few should ease considerably.

Introduction of the new

system should prompt

reassessment of

preferred stocks and

shed a new light on

healthy stocks

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Table 11. Conditions for designation as administrative issues or delisting

Type Designated as administrative issues Delisting

Formal requirement

① Common stocks designated as

administrative issues ① Delisting of common stocks

② Less than 100 shareholders in the

business report

② Less than 100 shareholders for two

straight years

③ Less than 50,000 listed shares as of end

of a half-year

③ Less than 50,000 listed shares for two

straight half-years

④ Less than 10,000 monthly trading

volume* in a half-year

④ Less than 10,000 monthly trading volume

for two straight half-years

⑤ Market cap remains below W500mn for

30 straight days

⑤ Unable to meet a specified condition**

after market cap falls short of requirement

- ⑥ In case share transfer is restricted

Qualitative requirement

- ⑦ In case delisting is required to protect

public interests and investors

* (no. of trading days in a half-year / no. of trading days for a given company in a half-year) x total trading volume in a half-year / 6 ** Specified condition: Market cap stays above W500mn for 10 straight days and for more than 30 days during the 90 days after

being designated as an administrative issue Source: KRX, Financial News

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IV. Merits of preferred stocks to draw attention

As preferred stock prices tend to move in lockstep with their associated common,

their correlation coefficient is as high as 0.95-0.98. For preferred stocks to become

attractive, an excess return over common needs to be guaranteed. We believe

preferred stocks merit attention as an alternative investment to common.

First, given the preferred stocks’ undervalued status trading at all-time lows, the

price gap between preferred and common stocks has only limited room to expand.

As the Park administration is committed to improving management transparency,

there will likely be a thinner price premium for voting privileges attached to common

stocks and the resulting re-evaluation of preferred. Second, investment in preferred

stocks can be rewarding given solid dividend yields and gains from share rallies.

Among them, 39 stocks offer dividend yields of more than 2.85%, the average yield

of corporate bonds rated AA-. Third, top-tier preferred stocks in terms of market cap

realized similar returns as their common over the past 13 years even when overall

preferred stocks passed through de-rating phases. Moreover, stocks with dividend

yields of more than 3% performed better than their common. Fourth, investors are

aggressively buying small and mid-cap stocks that have investment appeal. As

such, attractive preferred stocks should also enter the scope of investors’ interest.

1. Narrower price gap between preferred and common to 2-20%

Although there is room for discussion about preferred stocks’ appropriate price

compared to common, the current gap of 64.6% with preferred nearing all-time lows

seems excessive. Given the fundamental reason for the large price gap is preferred

stocks’ discount to common due to no voting rights, the new government’s

commitment to improve management transparency should regulate the profit

erosion among minority shareholders caused by the excessive influence of

controlling shareholders and thus considerably diminish voting privileges. If

corporate transparency improves to the level of advanced countries, the price gap

between preferred and common stocks would narrow to 2-20%. If so, a valuation

re-rating of preferred stocks should drive their upside to more than 100% from the

current price level. As the price gap is more likely to narrow than widen, the room for

a re-rating of preferred stocks seems noteworthy.

Figure 10. Relative share prices of top 50 preferred stocks by market cap to common

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Apr-93 Apr-96 Apr-99 Apr-02 Apr-05 Apr-08 Apr-11

Pref ./Common stock price

Source: Korea Investment & Securities

Reassessment of

preferred stocks to

begin in earnest

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2. Attractive dividend yields in the low-growth period

As the price of preferred stocks is only 35% of their associated common, a 1%p

more dividend policy for preferred stocks is giving them fat dividend yields. Among

preferred stocks, 39 offer dividend yields higher than 2.85%, a level above the

current market interest rate. Moreover, the average yield for the top 10 preferred

stocks by dividend yield is as high as 7.9%.

As the Korean economy has entered the low-growth period and bond yields are

trending down, equity investors are lowering their expected rates of return. In such

circumstances, the fat dividend yields of preferred stocks that beat the market

interest rate would offer sufficient appeal for equity investors.

Table 12. Preferred stocks with higher dividend yields than corporate bond (AA-) yields

Rank Stock Dividend yield Rank Stock Dividend yield

1 Daishin Securities pref. 11.3% 21 Noroo Paint pref. 5.1%

2 Bookook Securities pref. 9.9% 22 Samyang Holdings pref. 4.9%

3 Doosan Corp. pref. 8.3% 23 LG Chem pref. 4.7%

4 Hanyang Securities pref. 8.0% 24 Hanwha pref. 4.6%

5 Kumho Petrochemical pref. 8.0% 25 SK Holdings pref. 4.6%

6 Hyundai Securities 2-pref. B 7.5% 26 Samsung F&M pref. 4.6%

7 Shinyoung Securities pref. 6.8% 27 LG Corp. pref. 4.5%

8 TS Corp. pref. 6.7% 28 S-Oil pref. 4.5%

9 Woori Investment & Securities pref. 6.4% 29 Taeyang Metal Industrial pref. 4.4%

10 Korea Investment Holdings pref. 6.2% 30 Noroo Holdings pref. 4.4%

11 Kolon Industries pref. 6.0% 31 LG Hausys 4.4%

12 Kolon Corp. pref. 6.0% 32 Hanwha Chemical pref. 4.3%

13 Samyang Genex Corp. pref. 6.0% 33 Daewoo Securities 4.1%

14 Yuhwa Securities pref. 5.8% 34 SEMCO pref. 3.7%

15 SK Innovation pref. 5.6% 35 Sebang pref. 3.7%

16 GS Holdings pref. 5.6% 36 Kumkang Kind pref. 3.5%

17 Daekyo pref. B 5.6% 37 Samsung SDI pref. 3.4%

18 Hitejinro Holdings pref. 5.4% 38 SK Chemicals pref. 3.3%

19 Ilsung Construction pref. B 5.3% 39 Green Cross Holdings 1-pref. 2.9%

20 Daeduck GDS pref. 5.2%

Note: 1) 2012 DPS 2) Apr 4, 2013 close

Source: Korea Investment & Securities

3. Decent investment returns despite de-rating so far

The prices of preferred stocks have constantly de-rated but the top 10 stocks by

market cap have delivered similar returns as their common since 2000 (incl. share

price gains and dividend yields). For example, the top 10 preferred stocks in terms

of market cap realized a similar annual average return as their common over the

past 13 years (preferred 26.7% vs. common 25.4%). Furthermore, five delivered

better returns in more years during the period. This shows there is no big difference

between investing in preferred and common stocks.

In comparison, among preferred stocks with dividend yields of more than 3%, all

(except AmorePacific) such as LG Chem, Samsung F&M, S-Oil, Shinyoung

Securities and Doosan Corp. gave better returns than their common. All in all, given

their potential for a valuation re-rating, we believe preferred stocks merit attention

as an alternative investment to common stocks.

Preferred stocks’ fat

dividend yields

Sufficient alternative

investment to common

stocks

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Table 13. Past returns: Preferred vs. common stocks (%)

Samsung

Electronics pref.

Samsung Electronics

Hyundai Motor pref.

Hyundai Motor

LG Chem pref.

LG Chem LG

Electronics pref.

LG Electronics

LG H&H pref.

LG H&H

2000 -64.70 -47.39 -31.24 -38.45 NM NM NM NM NM NM

2001 53.33 54.44 139.38 111.56 86.61 56.92 NM NM 131.01 105.51

2002 28.93 10.40 56.95 7.73 101.01 100.67 -38.91 -30.13 43.93 30.17

2003 56.63 37.52 54.44 66.43 33.51 25.90 32.13 33.88 0.58 -15.47

2004 19.77 -2.54 18.49 0.38 2.59 -26.23 38.59 5.46 18.60 -7.59

2005 64.63 45.16 118.43 70.99 67.73 40.29 64.61 42.84 59.81 103.57

2006 -0.09 -7.96 -42.40 -30.59 -36.49 -25.05 -45.25 -37.99 55.86 124.14

2007 -11.39 -7.76 -7.22 7.55 60.39 109.82 47.61 74.78 32.94 50.98

2008 -34.46 -16.11 -61.23 -44.52 -22.62 -18.33 -37.49 -24.79 -38.44 -9.44

2009 90.62 68.23 231.19 190.17 125.91 112.53 55.05 56.77 84.65 60.11

2010 22.98 15.06 52.91 50.00 104.94 70.31 -15.34 -9.92 15.92 32.36

2011 -4.80 11.27 5.13 21.19 -30.94 -15.49 -43.12 -36.64 30.74 28.64

2012 24.75 36.17 12.54 4.94 -1.42 3.75 -16.16 -5.12 53.47 35.97

Avg. 18.9 15.1 42.1 32.1 40.9 36.3 3.8 6.3 40.8 44.9

AmorePacific

pref. AmorePacific

Samsung F&M pref.

Samsung F&M

S-Oil pref. S-Oil Shinyoung Securities

pref.

Shinyoung Securities

Doosan Corp. pref.

Doosan Corp.

2000 NM NM -58.26 -27.90 4.89 18.14 -42.54 -32.84 -47.37 -32.59

2001 NM NM 89.63 79.05 162.06 95.41 82.13 25.88 34.94 6.28

2002 NM NM 73.91 21.25 -9.44 -11.56 2.26 1.12 -37.11 -52.82

2003 NM NM -2.64 2.25 47.33 86.62 14.68 -6.27 -5.53 29.89

2004 NM NM 28.03 20.78 112.78 122.99 26.09 27.07 44.30 -10.09

2005 NM NM 109.97 54.84 71.17 15.20 116.82 134.39 168.98 183.90

2006 10.41 46.23 -11.04 22.34 -0.64 5.85 -5.11 20.52 45.68 51.96

2007 -5.74 21.31 34.86 59.11 56.39 39.06 47.15 74.60 164.38 232.17

2008 -50.21 -13.78 -31.81 -25.46 -20.01 -8.50 -45.42 -65.52 -73.28 -48.34

2009 91.72 42.48 29.32 8.35 3.95 -8.31 46.73 56.78 41.77 -8.08

2010 4.65 15.18 -2.30 8.05 33.91 70.55 18.63 6.83 77.04 69.23

2011 -12.34 -0.27 -14.42 -3.35 4.81 15.18 -5.97 -22.92 -26.29 -7.94

2012 39.29 16.59 17.11 7.59 11.67 6.50 23.59 23.29 13.90 -14.66

Avg. 11.1 18.2 20.2 17.5 36.8 34.4 21.5 18.7 30.9 30.7

Annual avg. return for the past 13 years

Preferred

26.7

Common

25.4

Note: Annual returns include cash dividends as of Dec 26 of each year Source: Korea Investment & Securities

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4. Attention to small and mid-cap stocks

While large-cap stocks have been the major investment target for domestic and

overseas investors so far, investment in small and mid-cap stocks has been sharply

increasing over the past year. Of note, unlike the past, domestic institutional

investors have remained net buyers of small and mid-caps worth W1.37trn,

breaking away from their usual habit of large-cap-centered investment. Such a net

purchase trend shows the switch of investor interest from market cap to the

investment merit of an individual stock. Although preferred stocks have relatively

smaller market caps on the share pullback so far, we believe they have a rising

chance to be added to investment portfolios given their fat dividend yields and the

falling value of voting rights in line with a greater focus on management

transparency.

Table 14. Institutional and foreign net purchases of small and mid-caps in 2012

(W bn)

Mid-cap net purchase

(A) Small-cap net purchase

(B) Small and mid-cap net

purchase (A+B)

Institutions 1,295.7 77.8 1,373.5

Foreign investors (187.4) 38.5 (226.0)

Source: Korea Investment & Securities

Small and mid-cap

stocks receive more

attention

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V. Top picks

1. Top pick selecting criteria: Dividend yield, price gap with

common stocks, market cap and financial structure

The prices of preferred stocks are closely correlated with their associated common

shares. But we selected attractive preferred stocks considering dividend yield, the

price gap with common stocks and valuation, sufficient market cap for investment

and stable financial structure.

Based on the criteria, we chose the preferred stocks of seven companies –

Samsung Electronics, Doosan Corp., Woori Investment & Securities, SK Innovation,

LG Chem, Samsung F&M and Hyundai Motor – as our top picks. The stocks offer

an average dividend yield of 4.7%, attractive valuation with a 60.4% price gap with

the common stocks and market caps worth W71.3bn-20trn.

Table 15. Top preferred stock picks (W mn)

Code Stock Market cap Dividend yield Price gap Debt-to-equity

005935 Samsung Electronics pref. 20,002,082 0.9% 42.2% 49.05%

005385 Hyundai Motor pref. 2,016,332 2.6% 63.9% 153.64%

051915 LG Chem pref. 682,788 4.7% 64.8% 54.02%

000815 Samsung F&M pref. 263,021 4.6% 62.3% 426.89%

000155 Doosan Corp. pref. 185,927 8.3% 66.9% 85.78%

005945 Woori Investment & Securities pref. 86,618 6.4% 60.1% 618.73%

096775 SK Innovation pref. 71,285 5.6% 62.5% 106.94%

Note: Apr 4 close Source: Korea Investment & Securities

2. Top 30 preferred stocks by dividend yield

Table 16. Top 30 preferred stocks by dividend yield

Rank Stock Dividend

yield Rank Stock

Dividend yield

1 Daishin Securities pref. 11.3% 16 Daekyo pref. B 5.6%

2 Bookook Securities pref. 9.9% 17 Hitejinro Holdings pref. 5.4%

3 Doosan Corp. pref. 8.3% 18 Ilsung Construction pref. B 5.3%

4 Hanyang Securities pref. 8.0% 19 Daeduck GDS pref. B 5.2%

5 Kumho Petrochemical pref. 8.0% 20 Noroo Paint pref. 5.1%

6 Shinyoung Securities pref. 6.8% 21 Samyang Holdings pref. 4.9%

7 TS Corp. pref. 6.7% 22 LG Chem pref. 4.7%

8 Woori Investment & Securities pref. 6.4% 23 Hanwha pref. 4.6%

9 Korea Investment Holdings pref. 6.2% 24 SK Holdings pref. 4.6%

10 Kolon Industries pref. 6.0% 25 Samsung Fire & Marine Ins. pref. 4.6%

11 Kolon Corp. pref. 6.0% 26 LG Corp. pref. 4.5%

12 Samyang Genex Corp. pref. 6.0% 27 S-Oil pref. 4.5%

13 Yuhwa Securities pref. 5.8% 28 Taeyang Metal Industrial pref. 4.4%

14 SK Innovation pref. 5.6% 29 Noroo Holdings pref. 4.4%

15 GS Holdings pref. 5.6% 30 LG Hausys pref. 4.4%

Note: 1) Based on 2012 DPS 2) Apr 4 close 3) Excluded Hyundai Securities 2-preferred B as it has the features of a common stock with voting rights

Source: Korea Investment & Securities

Chose top picks

considering dividend

yield, price gap and

market cap

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3. Top 30 preferred stocks by price gap

Table 17. Top 30 preferred stocks by price gap

Rank Stock Price gap Rank Stock Price gap

1 Daesang Corp. pref. 88.3% 16 LG Electronics pref. 71.6%

2 Korea Circuit pref. 81.8% 17 Samsung C&T pref. 71.3%

3 Nexen Tire 1-pref. 79.9% 18 Kolon Industries pref. 69.9%

4 CJCJ pref. 79.4% 19 Korean Air pref. 69.5%

5 CJ Corp. pref. 77.2% 20 Daeduck GDS pref. 69.3%

6 Daelim Ind. pref. 77.0% 21 LG H&H pref. 69.1%

7 Lotte Chilsung pref. 76.5% 22 Doosan Corp. 2-pref. B 68.4%

8 Hotel Shilla pref. 75.0% 23 Hyundai Motor 3-pref. B 67.1%

9 SK Chemicals pref. 74.5% 24 Doosan Corp. pref. 66.9%

10 Kumho Petrochemical pref. 74.4% 25 Samsung SDI pref. 66.1%

11 Korea Investment Holdings pref. 73.3% 26 SK Holdings pref. 65.9%

12 Sebang pref. 73.3% 27 BYC pref. 65.6%

13 LG Hausys pref. 73.0% 28 AmorePacific pref. 65.4%

14 Namyang Dairy pref. 72.4% 29 LG Chem pref. 64.8%

15 Samsung Electro-Mechanics pref. 71.6% 30 Hyundai Motor pref. 63.9%

Note: 1) Based on 1-preferred share prices 2) Apr 4 close 3) AmorePacific Group excluded due to almost nil trading volume

Source: Korea Investment & Securities

4. Top 30 preferred stocks by market cap

Table 18. Top 30 preferred stocks by market cap (W mn)

Rank Stock Market

cap Dividend

yield Price

gap Rank Stock

Market cap

Dividend yield

Price gap

1 Samsung Electronics pref. 20,002,082 0.9% 42.2% 16 Woori Investment & Securities pref. 86,618 6.4% 60.1%

2 Hyundai Motor 2-pref. B 3,234,792 2.4% 60.8% 17 Samsung Electro-Mechanics pref. 82,704 3.7% 71.6%

3 Hyundai Motor pref. 2,016,332 2.6% 63.9% 18 Daelim Ind. pref. 80,750 2.8% 77.0%

4 LG Chem pref. 682,788 4.7% 64.8% 19 LG Corp. pref. 78,558 4.5% 62.1%

5 LG Electronics pref. 394,419 1.1% 71.6% 20 Kumho Petrochemical pref. 77,704 8.0% 74.4%

6 LG H&H pref. 374,796 2.1% 69.1% 21 Daekyo pref. B 75,668 5.6% 42.3%

7 AmorePacific pref. 335,739 2.0% 65.4% 22 Samsung SDI pref. 75,313 3.4% 66.1%

8 Samsung Fire & Marine Ins. pref. 263,021 4.6% 62.3% 23 CJ Corp. pref. 74,587 2.1% 77.2%

9 S-Oil pref. 241,316 4.5% 34.1% 24 Korea Investment Holdings pref. 72,056 6.2% 73.3%

10 Shinyoung Securities pref. 216,551 6.8% 10.7% 25 SK Innovation pref. 71,285 5.6% 62.5%

11 Doosan Corp. pref. 185,927 8.3% 66.9% 26 Daewoo Securities pref. 64,256 4.1% 60.0%

12 Hyundai Motor 3-pref. B 181,907 2.9% 67.1% 27 Daishin Securities 2-pref. B 58,100 12.4% 39.9%

13 Daishin Securities pref. 166,400 11.3% 34.1% 28 Namyang Dairy pref. 47,665 0.4% 72.4%

14 Samsung C&T pref. 91,811 2.8% 71.3% 29 Kolon Industries pref. 44,701 6.0% 69.9%

15 CJCJ pref. 91,726 2.6% 79.4% 30 GS Holdings pref. 43,639 5.6% 58.9%

Note: Excluded Ssangyong Cement Industry 4-preferred B as stocks were given voting rights due to unpaid dividends Source: Korea Investment & Securities

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The contents of this report accurately reflect the analyst’s views. Under no circumstances were there any external pressures or intervention during the analysis process or the preparation of this report. This report was written by Korea Investment & Securities Co., Ltd. to help its clients invest in securities. This material is copyrighted and may not be copied, redistributed, forwarded or altered in any way without the consent of Korea Investment & Securities Co., Ltd. This report has been prepared by Korea Investment & Securities Co., Ltd. and is provided for information purposes only. Under no circumstances is it to be used or considered as an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy. We make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and it should not be relied upon as such. The company accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or its contents. The final investment decision is based on the client’s judgment, and this report cannot be used as evidence in any legal dispute related to investment decisions.

Page 24: Preferred Stocks_full report_130415.pdf
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