1
LANDSCAPE HETEROGENEITY MODULATES FOREST SENSITIVITY TO CLIMATE I F O R I ICON5 COLLEGE OF FORESTRYAND CONSERVATION Where Ideas Take Flight Zachary Hoylman and Kelsey Jencso College of Forestry and Conservation, University of Montana, Missoula, MX 59801 The University of Montana ' he University of Montana Climate Change ^ - Studies INTRODUCTION At higher elevations in the Rocky Mountains, snowmelt strongly influences the magnitude and timing of net ecosystem productivity. Throughout the western U.S., increased spring temperatures, declining snowpack, and earlier snowmelt have been observed over multiple decades. These trends have been correlated with decreased water availability and coniferous forest productivity and concurrent increases in forest wildfire activity and tree mortality. However, previous work has provided little insight into how topographic complexity may modulate plant available water and therefore forest productivity. We hypothesize that landscape scale lateral water redistribution patterns influence the persistence of soil water during the growing season and subsequently tree biomass accumulation. SITE DESCRIPTION North Fork of Elk Creek - Lubrecht Experimental Forest Location - 25 miles NE of Missoula, MT 4 primary tree species Pseudotsuga menziesii, Pinus ponderosa, Pinus contorta, Larix occidentalis Average Annual Precipitation 515mm Mean Elevation 1570m Snow dominated r q n Figure 1 - This map shows the Topographic Wetness Index (TWI) for the North Fork of Elk Creek watershed as well as tree core sampling distribution (red dots) within the watershed 500 1,000 2,000 3 000 4 000 Meters METHODOLOGY 8000 6000 o c 0 3 CT 0 4000 We collected 500 tree cores across a wide range of convergent and divergent topography We derived the topographic wetness index (TWI) from a 1 m LiDAR derived DEM. The TWI represents moisture availability and the potential for lateral water H O O lU IH lO lO Topographic Wetness Index redistribution. Figure 2 - This plot shows a histogram of the TWI frequency in the North Fork of Elk Creek and a point cloud (red dots) showing the sampling frequency of tree core TWI values. MS? 2000 10 CO i E E c 0) (h > > 200 D O UJ o o o c w UJ CO 400 600 800 1980 100 IIIliIII liiiliii 1 Jit .llilliiil lliLiii I iiii iij jiiilLi lil.ll lillLiii ,1 ll ..I illL ltiA i ill 111 iiii.il i iiiiiLn i ll it 111 ii 1990 2000 2010 3.5 F ^ O S D £ CO |.i o b- ..A N A --- , - A ---- --- D 0.0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2.5 O E N V 0 O \\ CO CD ct: o) V ----- 0.0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Figure 3 - 1 . Precipitation data retrieved by a NRCS SNOWTEL site in Elk Creek (top) and 2. the annual growth rate for multiple stems from Pinus Ponderosa and Pseudotsuga Menziesii species (middle and bottom respectively. Figure 4 - A representative tree core (Pseudotsuga Menziesii) PRECIPITATION These graphs display how precipitation and average annual growth for two species lack a clear relationship. This may change with an increase in data set size. E E, CD : CO m ^ N ^ 0 o S 3 03 C/) c o !■§ CD CD ^ o) Q- 03 i 0 > < 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 r^=0.10 p < 0.05 n = 32 E E 0 CO 03 </3 £ 2 ^ 0 O T3 5 O II < CL 0 O) 0 0 > < 1.6 1.4 - 1.2 - 1.0 - 0.8 - 0.6 - f2=0.06 p < 0.05 n = 32 r 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 TWI RELATIONSHIP Figure 5 - These scatter plots display average annual growth for two species, plotted against annual precipitation. Initial comparisons of measured tree growth rates to the topographic wetness index suggest differential tree growth response as a function of landscape position. Generally, trees located in wetter landscape positions exhibited greater average growth rates. 2.0 2.0 CO O (D O 3 O) o CD ^ 0 0 < CL O Q. 0 CO O) 3 2 -- 0 Q 0.6 0.6 4 6 8 10 12 14 4 6 8 10 12 14 Topographic Wetness Index Topographic Wetness Index Figure 6 - These graphs show average growth rate plotted against the TWI value associated with each stem. (Eeft plot represents north aspect samples, right plot represents south aspect samples) GROWTH/HjO vs. TWI Initial analysis of the slope produced by annual precipitation and annual growth, plotted against the stem’s associated TWI value, show a differential growth rate related to TWI. c g CD 'g. ‘o 0) 0 . CD 0) 1'^ < S X CD I ^ E V) ^ ti ^ o SZ O I ^ O W CD C c < Q) o> CD i_ CD > < E E^ c g 'o CD 0.0025 0.0020 0.0015 0.0010 0.0005 0.0000 - 0.0005 - 0.0010 Topographic wetness Index CD D C C < CD C /3 O L CD "D C F ° 3 C /) D £ .F ^ CL O O ro D C C < CD O) CD i CD > < 0.004 0.003 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.001 9 10 11 Topographic wetness Index Figure 7 - These plots shows the relationship between TWI and the change in biomass per unit of precipitation for each tree. WORK TO BE CONTINUED Tree Cores Continued data analysis of tree cores NDVI Explore TWI - NDVI relationship at the catchment scale. Seasonal Response to Transpiration Data extraction from Sap-Flux sensors Examine relationship of Sap-Flux, soil moisture and biomass accumulation Insolation (w/m^/yr) 9767 1355 Biomass (lbs) " 7385 ■ 8 TWI trench UAA k AQ Q^-Q, Nested sap flow sensors( 16) Q soil water content nest # precipitation and relative humidity/temp O shallow recording well O discharge I 19 4 Stream Si ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This work was supported by: - USD A Mclntire Stennis grant awarded to Jencso - University of Montana Climate Change Studies grant awarded to Hoylman - - - _ - -— - - - " - ' - - _ - - - = - - = -

PowerPoint Presentation - Landscape Heterogeneity ...The TWI represents moisture availability and the potential for lateral water H O O lU IH lO lO Topographic Wetness Index redistribution

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Page 1: PowerPoint Presentation - Landscape Heterogeneity ...The TWI represents moisture availability and the potential for lateral water H O O lU IH lO lO Topographic Wetness Index redistribution

LANDSCAPE HETEROGENEITY MODULATES FOREST SENSITIVITY TO CLIMATE

I F O R I IC O N 5

COLLEGE OFFO R E ST R Y A N D CONSERVATIONWhere Ideas Take Flight

Zachary Hoylman and Kelsey JencsoCollege of Forestry and Conservation, University of Montana, Missoula, MX 59801

The University ofMontana ' he University ofMontana

Climate Change ^ - Studies

INTRODUCTIONAt higher elevations in the Rocky Mountains, snowmelt strongly influences the magnitude and timing of net ecosystem productivity. Throughout the western U.S., increased spring temperatures, declining snowpack, and earlier snowmelt have been observed over multiple decades. These trends have been correlated with decreased water availability and coniferous forest productivity and concurrent increases in forest wildfire activity and tree mortality. However, previous work has provided little insight into how topographic complexity may modulate plant available water and therefore forest productivity. We hypothesize that landscape scale lateral water redistribution patterns influence the persistence of soil water during the growing season and subsequently tree biomass accumulation.

SITE DESCRIPTIONNorth Fork of Elk Creek - Lubrecht Experimental Forest• Location - 25 miles NE of Missoula, MT• 4 primary tree species

• Pseudotsuga menziesii, Pinus ponderosa, Pinus contorta, Larix occidentalis

• Average Annual Precipitation 515mm• Mean Elevation 1570m• Snow dominated

r q nFigure 1 - This map shows the Topographic Wetness Index (TWI) for the North Fork of Elk Creek watershed as well as tree core sampling distribution (red dots) within the watershed

500 1,000 2,000 3 000 4 000 Meters

METHODOLOGY8 0 0 0

6 0 0 0

oc03CT0

4 0 0 0

• We collected 500 tree cores across a wide range of convergent and divergent topography

• We derived the topographic wetness index (TWI) from a 1 m LiDAR derived DEM. The TWI represents moisture availability and the potential for lateral water

H O O lU IH lO lO

Topographic Wetness Index redistribution.Figure 2 - This plot shows a histogram of the TWI frequency in the North Fork o f Elk Creek and a point cloud (red dots) showing the sampling frequency o f tree core TWI values.

MS?

2000 10 CO

i

EE

c0)(h>> 200DO

U J

oo

ocw

UJ

CO

400

600

800 1980

100

III li III liiiliii 1 Jit .llilliiil lliLiii I iiii iij jiiilLi lil.ll lillLiii ,1 ll ..I illLltiAi ill 111 iiii.il i iiiiiLn i ll it 111 ii1990 2000 2010

3.5

F O

S D

£ CO

| . io b- ..A N A

□--- ,-A----□---D

0.01980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

2.5

OE N —V 0

O \\CO CD ct: o)

V -----

0.01980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Figure 3 - 1 . Precipitation data retrieved by a NRCS SNOWTEL site in Elk Creek (top) and 2. the annual growth rate for multiple stems from Pinus Ponderosa and Pseudotsuga Menziesii species (middle and bottom respectively.

Figure 4 - A representative tree core (Pseudotsuga Menziesii)

PRECIPITATIONThese graphs display how precipitation and average annual growth for two species lack a clear relationship. This may change with an increase in data set size.

EE,CD :

CO m

^ N

^ 0 o S

3 0 3 C/)

c o!■§CDCD ^o) Q-03i0><

1.6

1.4

1.2

1.0

0.8

0.6

r^=0.10p < 0.05n = 32

EE0CO

03</3£ 2 0

O T3

5 O

II< CL0O)00><

1.6

1.4 -

1.2 -

1.0 -

0.8 -

0.6 -

f2=0.06p < 0.05n = 32

r50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

TWI RELATIONSHIP Figure 5 - These scatter plots display average annual growth for two species, plotted against annual precipitation.

Initial comparisons of measured tree growth rates to the topographic wetness index suggest differential tree growth response as a function of landscape position. Generally, trees located in wetter landscape positions exhibited greater average growth rates.

2.0 2.0

CO

O (D O 3

O) oCD ^ 0 0< CL

O Q .0 CO O) 32 - - 0 Q

0.6 0.64 6 8 10 12 14 4 6 8 10 12 14

Topographic W etness Index Topographic W etness Index

Figure 6 - These graphs show average growth rate plotted against the TWI value associated with each stem. (Eeft plot represents north aspect samples, right plot represents south aspect samples)

GROWTH/HjO vs. TWIInitial analysis of the slope produced by annual precipitation and annual growth, plotted against the stem’s associated TWI value, show a differential growth rate related to TWI.

cgCD'g.‘o0)0 .

CD 0)

1'< SX CD

I ^E V) t i^ oSZ O

I ^O W

CD

Cc<Q)o>CDi_CD><

EEcg

'oCD

0 .0 0 2 5

0.0020

0 .0 0 1 5

0.0010

0 .0 0 0 5

0.0000

-0 .0 0 0 5 -

0.0010

Topographic w etness Index

CDDCC<

CD C/3 OLCD "D C

F °3 C/) D£ .F^ CL OOroDCC<CDO)CDiCD><

0 .0 0 4

0 .0 0 3

0.002

0.001

0.000

0.0019 10 11

Topographic w etness Index

Figure 7 - These plots shows the relationship between TWI and the change in biomass per unit of precipitation for each tree.

WORK TO BE CONTINUEDTree Cores

• Continued data analysis of tree cores

NDVI• Explore TWI - NDVI relationship at the

catchment scale.

Seasonal Response to Transpiration• Data extraction from Sap-Flux sensors• Examine relationship of Sap-Flux, soil

moisture and biomass accumulationInsolation(w/m^/yr)

■ 9767

1355

Biomass(lbs)

" 7385

■ 8TWI

trench

UAA

k

AQ Q^-Q,

Nested sap flow sensors(16)

Q soil water content nest# precipitation and

relative humidity/tempO shallow recording wellO discharge

Q»I 19

4Stream

Si

ACKNOWLEDGMENTSThis work was supported by:- USD A Mclntire Stennis grant awarded to Jencso- University of Montana Climate Change Studies grant awarded to Hoylman

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