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14/02/2020 1 Offender insight into the Australian stolen goods markets The DUMA survey as a longitudinal window into property offenders’ target selections Dr Joe Clare UWA School of Law Dr Rick Brown AIC Applied Research in Crime and Justice Conference 12-13 February 2020 Brisbane, Queensland I would like to thank the Western Australian Police Force and the Australian Institute of Criminology for making their data available for this analysis Acknowledgements 1 2 Background to burglary some data and the security hypothesis Is security the whole story? How else can we explore this? What do offenders say? What does any of this mean? What I want to cover 1 3 1. Background to burglary trends and the security hypothesis Residential burglary is in decline 1 5 Source: CSEW domestic burglary in a dwelling 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% - 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 Domestic burglary in a dwelling 6.5% in 1993 1.7% in 2019 254,500 225,700 230,500 140,000 160,000 180,000 200,000 220,000 240,000 260,000 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 12-month burglary victimisation, 2010-2018 ABS Burglary Attempted burglary Australian trends victim surveys 1 6 9% decline in absolute number Source: Extracts from Table 20 and 21 of Crime Victimisation Australia (ABS 4530), various years

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Page 1: PowerPoint Presentation · Burglary Attempted burglary ... • The Security Hypothesis as an explanation for the Global Crime Drop – Parsimonious to local changes and global trends

14/02/2020

1

Offender insight into the

Australian stolen goods

markets

The DUMA survey as a longitudinal window into

property offenders’ target selections

Dr Joe Clare UWA School of Law

Dr Rick Brown AIC

Applied Research in Crime and Justice Conference

12-13 February 2020

Brisbane, Queensland

I would like to thank the Western Australian Police Force

and the Australian Institute of Criminology for making their

data available for this analysis

Acknowledgements

1 2

• Background to burglary – some data and the security

hypothesis

• Is security the whole story?

• How else can we explore this? What do offenders say?

• What does any of this mean?

What I want to cover

1 3

1. Background to

burglary – trends and

the security

hypothesis

Residential burglary is in decline

1 5 Source: CSEW domestic burglary in a dwelling

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

-

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

Domestic burglary in a dwelling Percent with entry Percent with loss

6.5% in 1993

1.7% in 2019

254,500

225,700

230,500

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

220,000

240,000

260,000

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18

12-month burglary victimisation, 2010-2018 ABS

Burglary Attempted burglary

Australian trends – victim surveys

1 6

9% decline in

absolute number

Source: Extracts from Table 20 and 21 of Crime Victimisation Australia (ABS 4530), various years

Page 2: PowerPoint Presentation · Burglary Attempted burglary ... • The Security Hypothesis as an explanation for the Global Crime Drop – Parsimonious to local changes and global trends

14/02/2020

2

208,098 215,009

168,031

64.0%

65.0%

66.0%

67.0%

68.0%

69.0%

70.0%

0

40,000

80,000

120,000

160,000

200,000

240,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

UEWI Victims, 2010-2018 ABS data

Unlawful entry with intent % UEWI with property loss

Australian trends – police recorded crime

1 7

19% decline in

absolute number

Source: Extracts from Table 1 Recorded Crime Victims – Australia (ABS 4510), 2019

WA trends – police recorded crime

1 8

19% decline in

absolute number

4 percentage

point decline

Source: WAPF data provided for research purposes to UWA

2.9%

2.1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

4.0%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Annual WA residential burglary victimization – WAPF data

Rate % with loss % with cash loss % jewellery loss

10 principles of opportunity and crime

1. Opportunities play a role in causing all crime

2. Crime opportunities are highly specific

3. Crime opportunities are concentrated in time and space

4. Crime opportunities depend on every day movements

5. One crime produces another

6. Some products offer more tempting crime opportunities

7. Social and technological changes produce new crime opportunities

8. Opportunities for crime can be reduced

9. Reducing opportunities does not usually displace crime

10. Focused opportunity reduction can produce wider declines in crime

9

Source: Felson, M., & Clarke, R.V. (1998). Opportunity makes the thief: practical theory for crime prevention

8. Opportunities for crime can be reduced

• The Security Hypothesis as an explanation for the Global Crime Drop

– Parsimonious to local changes and global trends

– See work by Farrell and colleagues (2010 onwards) for more detail

– Works very well for vehicle theft and electronic immobilisers

• The opportunity reducing methods of situational crime prevention can be

applied to all aspects of everyday life, but they must be tailored to specific

situations

– Risk, reward, effort, plus excuses and provocations

10

8. Opportunities for crime can be reduced

• The Security Hypothesis as an explanation for the Global Crime Drop

– Parsimonious to local changes and global trends

– See work by Farrell and colleagues (2010 onwards) for more detail

– Works very well for vehicle theft and electronic immobilisers

• The opportunity reducing methods of situational crime prevention can be

applied to all aspects of everyday life, but they must be tailored to specific

situations

– Risk, reward, effort, plus excuses and provocations

11

Tseloni et al. (2017) Security Journal

Used CSEW (2008-12) to estimate security

protection influence of target hardening

strategies

Most effective individual devices:

external lights and door dead locks

Door/window locks + external lights + security

chains 20 times greater protection

(relative to no devices)

Fewer successful entries in UK

1 12 Source: CSEW domestic burglary in a dwelling

63%

66%

56%

63%

59%

63%

61% 63%

61%

58% 59%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

-

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

Domestic burglary in a dwelling Percent with entry Percent with loss

Security?

(Risk/Effort)

Page 3: PowerPoint Presentation · Burglary Attempted burglary ... • The Security Hypothesis as an explanation for the Global Crime Drop – Parsimonious to local changes and global trends

14/02/2020

3

254,500

225,700

230,500

203,700

170,800

205,500

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

220,000

240,000

260,000

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18

12-month burglary victimisation, 2010-2018 ABS

Burglary Attempted burglary

More attempted burglaries in Australia

1 13

1% increase in

absolute number

Source: Extracts from Table 20 and 21 of Crime Victimisation Australia (ABS 4530), various years

14

Source: Brown, 2015, Trends and Issues 495, Australian Institute of Criminology

8. Opportunities for crime can be reduced

2. Is security the whole

story?

Also fewer burglaries with loss recorded

1 16 Source: CSEW domestic burglary in a dwelling

63%

66%

56%

63%

59%

63%

61% 63%

61%

58% 59%

53%

46%

55%

37%

40%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

-

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

Domestic burglary in a dwelling Percent with entry Percent with loss

Less stuff worth

taking?

(Reward?)

69.3%

65.3%

64.0%

65.0%

66.0%

67.0%

68.0%

69.0%

70.0%

0

40,000

80,000

120,000

160,000

200,000

240,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

UEWI Victims, 2010-2018 ABS data

Unlawful entry with intent % UEWI with property loss

4 percentage

point decline

Also fewer burglaries with loss recorded

1 17 Source: Extracts from Table 1 Recorded Crime Victims – Australia (ABS 4510), 2019

Also fewer burglaries with loss recorded

1 18

19% decline in

absolute number

4 percentage

point decline

Source: WAPF data provided for research purposes to UWA

2.9%

2.1%

66%

69%

64%

55%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

4.0%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Annual WA residential burglary victimization – WAPF data

Rate % with loss % with cash loss % jewellery loss

Page 4: PowerPoint Presentation · Burglary Attempted burglary ... • The Security Hypothesis as an explanation for the Global Crime Drop – Parsimonious to local changes and global trends

14/02/2020

4

1. Opportunities play a role in causing all crime

2. Crime opportunities are highly specific

3. Crime opportunities are concentrated in time and space

4. Crime opportunities depend on every day movements

5. One crime produces another

6. Some products offer more tempting crime opportunities

7. Social and technological changes produce new crime opportunities

8. Opportunities for crime can be reduced

9. Reducing opportunities does not usually displace crime

10. Focused opportunity reduction can produce wider declines in crime

19

Source: Felson, M., & Clarke, R.V. (1998). Opportunity makes the thief: practical theory for crime prevention

Why are people getting in and not taking

things?

• Not all products are equally at risk for theft

• Products are more attractive to thieves when they are

20

6. Some products offer more tempting

crime opportunities

C oncealable – easier to remove, transport, and dispose

R emovable – you have to take it to steal it

A vailable – macro - , meso - , and micro - level availability

V aluable – without value, it is not worth stealing

E njoyable – relates to disposability of items – greater demand

D isposable – stolen goods are generally converted into cash/drugs

• Not all products are equally at risk for theft

• Products are more attractive to thieves when they are

• CRAVED items can change over time as a function of market forces

(the life-cycle theory, Wellsmith and Burrell, 2005, Brit.J.Crim)

– Stable CRAVED – jewellery, gold, cash

– Variable CRAVED – small electronic goods, clothes

21

6. Some products offer more tempting

crime opportunities

C oncealable – easier to remove, transport, and dispose

R emovable – you have to take it to steal it

A vailable – macro - , meso - , and micro - level availability

V aluable – without value, it is not worth stealing

E njoyable – relates to disposability of items – greater demand

D isposable – stolen goods are generally converted into cash/drugs

1 22

Is the decline in cash use contributing to

the trends?

Cash declines, jewellery stable…

1 23

19% decline in

absolute number

4 percentage

point decline

Source: WAPF data provided for research purposes to UWA

2.9%

2.1%

66%

69%

64%

55%

23%

12%

22% 22%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

4.0%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Annual WA residential burglary victimization – WAPF data

Rate % with loss % with cash loss % jewellery loss

1 24

What about the influence of a shortening

product life cycle?

• “Technology based commodities such as mobile phones and computers

have shorter innovation cycle so that the previous generation becomes

obsolete faster, either functionally or psychologically.”

Lebreton & Tuma (2006) A quantitative approach to assessing the profitability of car and truck tire

remanufacturing. Int J Production Economics

• “Product life cycle in electronic industry is shorter than before due to

technology advances, and as a result, an outdated product could reach its

end-of-use even if it is still in a good condition.”

Hsueh (2011) An inventory control model with consideration of remanufacturing and product life cycle.

Int J Production Economics

• Implications for the market-side (value/disposability) of CRAVED

Page 5: PowerPoint Presentation · Burglary Attempted burglary ... • The Security Hypothesis as an explanation for the Global Crime Drop – Parsimonious to local changes and global trends

14/02/2020

5

1 25

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Playstation 2

Playstation 2 Console (theft) Playstation 2 Console (sales)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Playstation 3

Playstation 3 Console (theft) Playstation 3 Console (sales)

0

5

10

15

20

25

0

100

200

300

400

500

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Playstation 4

Playstation 4 Console (theft) Playstation 4 Console (sales)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Playstation Portable

PlayStation Portable (theft) PlayStation Portable (sales)

r = 0.98 r = 0.78

r = 0.89 r = 0.92

What about the influence of a shortening

product life cycle?

26

Source: Brown, 2015, Trends and Issues 495, Australian Institute of Criminology

What about the influence of a shortening

product life cycle?

What about the influence of a shortening

product life cycle?

27

Source: Brown, 2015, Trends and Issues 495, Australian Institute of Criminology

Shaw et al. (2015) Crime and the Value of

Stolen Goods (Home Office Report)

Analysis of the CSEW over a 20 year period

Found the average value of a single theft

declined by 35%

Concluded value, availability, and

disposability were key drivers in what gets

stolen

AKA REWARD

3. How else can we

explore this? What

do offenders have to

say?

The DUMA surveys as a source of

information

1 29

• Drug Use Monitoring in Australia (DUMA) survey

o Established 1999

o Quarterly survey of police detainees at multiple sites across Australia

o Participation voluntary and confidential

o Independent of police – administered by trained researchers

• DUMA stolen goods survey addenda undertaken 7 times since 2002

• N = 6,079 arrestees across the 7 iterations

• 21% said they had stolen something in the last 12 months

o Of these, 13% stole daily and 49% stole less than once a month

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

• 84% male

• Average age 31 years

• 17% Indigenous

• 14% spent time in youth detention

• 40% had previously been in prison

Who participated?

1 30

0% 10% 20% 30%

Violence

Property

Drugs

DUI

Traffic

Disorder

Breach

Other

Current charge (%)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Nearly every day

2 to 4 times a week

Once a week

Monthly

Less than monthly

None in the last 6 months, but have…

Never in my life

6-month property offending frequency (2017 only)

Page 6: PowerPoint Presentation · Burglary Attempted burglary ... • The Security Hypothesis as an explanation for the Global Crime Drop – Parsimonious to local changes and global trends

14/02/2020

6

What did they prefer to take?

1 31

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

200

2 (Q

2)

200

3 (Q

2)

200

3 (Q

4)

200

5 (Q

4)

200

7 (Q

1)

201

2 (Q

2)

201

7 (Q

1)

Trends in what people usually take

Consumer electricals (% yes, usually) Cars (% yes, usually)

Computers (% yes, usually) Personal effects (% yes, usually)

Tools (% yes, usually) Clothes (% yes, usually)

Cigarettes (% yes, usually) Food (% yes, usually, 2007, 2012, and 2017 only)

What did they prefer to take?

1 32

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

200

2 (Q

2)

200

3 (Q

2)

200

3 (Q

4)

200

5 (Q

4)

200

7 (Q

1)

201

2 (Q

2)

201

7 (Q

1)

Trends in what people usually take

Consumer electricals (% yes, usually) Cars (% yes, usually)

Computers (% yes, usually) Personal effects (% yes, usually)

Tools (% yes, usually) Clothes (% yes, usually)

Cigarettes (% yes, usually) Food (% yes, usually, 2007, 2012, and 2017 only)

2017-specific data also showed

• 9% usually stole bikes

• 21% usually stole cosmetics

• 22% usually stole alcohol

• 16% usually stole drugs

Where did they prefer to take things

from?

1 33

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 6 6 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81 6 6 3 3

Cars (12%) 0 44 39 0 17

Bikes ( 9%) 0 23 69 0 0

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 6 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 9 5 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 3 0 0 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2 0 0 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 0 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94 3 0 3 0

Food (64%) 98 1 1 0 0

Drugs (16%) 4 22 0 0 74

Where did they prefer to take things

from?

1 34

Sampling period Shop

(%)

House

(%)

Public place

(%)

Car

(%)

Person

(%)

2002-2012 weighted avg. 66 12 11

2017-specific

Consumer electricals (22%) 81

Cars (12%) 44 39 17

Bikes ( 9%) 23 69

Personal effects (21%) 45 19 10 16

Tools (15%) 55 14 18

Cash (20%) 13 23 13 13 23

Cosmetics (21%) 87 10

Clothes (32%) 96 2

Cigarettes (13%) 53 11 11 26

Alcohol (22%) 94

Food (64%) 98

Drugs (16%) 22 74

What did they do with the things they

took?

1 35

44%

11%

20%

64%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

200

2 (Q

2)

200

3 (Q

2)

200

3 (Q

4)

200

5 (Q

4)

200

7 (Q

1)

201

2 (Q

2)

201

7 (Q

1)

Trends in what people do with things they take

Sell them Swap them for drugs Spend on other things Consume them Keep/use them Other

What did they do with the things they

took?

1 36

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

200

2 (Q

2)

200

3 (Q

2)

200

3 (Q

4)

200

5 (Q

4)

200

7 (Q

1)

201

2 (Q

2)

201

7 (Q

1)

Trends in what people do with things they take

Sell them Swap them for drugs Spend on other things Consume them Keep/use them Other

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14/02/2020

7

Who did they sell/trace the things they

took with?

1 37

26%

51%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

200

2 (Q

2)

200

3 (Q

2)

200

3 (Q

4)

200

5 (Q

4)

200

7 (Q

1)

201

2 (Q

2)

201

7 (Q

1)

Trends in who people sell/swap with

Family member/friend/acquaintance Stranger Drug dealer

Fence Pawnbroker/second-hand dealer Other business

Other

Who did they sell/trace the things they

took with?

1 38

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

200

2 (Q

2)

200

3 (Q

2)

200

3 (Q

4)

200

5 (Q

4)

200

7 (Q

1)

201

2 (Q

2)

201

7 (Q

1)

Trends in who people sell/swap with

Family member/friend/acquaintance Stranger Drug dealer

Fence Pawnbroker/second-hand dealer Other business

Other

• 21/35 respondents (2017) said they didn’t

know what happened to the goods after

they sold them

• 2% of 2012 respondents said they had sold

goods over the internet

• Increased to 9% of 2017 respondents

• EBay, Facebook, and Gumtree

How much did they get for the things

they took?

1 39

20%

40%

26%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

200

2 (Q

2)

200

3 (Q

2)

200

3 (Q

4)

200

5 (Q

4)

200

7 (Q

1)

201

2 (Q

2)

201

7 (Q

1)

Trends in prices attained for items

Less than one-quarter of what they're worth About one-quarter of what they're worth

About one-third of what they're worth About half of what they're worth

More than half of what they're worth About what they're worth

More than what they're worth

How much did they get for the things

they took?

1 40

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

200

2 (Q

2)

200

3 (Q

2)

200

3 (Q

4)

200

5 (Q

4)

200

7 (Q

1)

201

2 (Q

2)

201

7 (Q

1)

Trends in prices attained for items

Less than one-quarter of what they're worth About one-quarter of what they're worth

About one-third of what they're worth About half of what they're worth

More than half of what they're worth About what they're worth

More than what they're worth

While frequency of selling

has declined

No clear indication that

prices have declined over

time

How does this relate to offending

patterns?

1 41

61%

18%

8%

4% 4%

8%

72%

12%

7%

2%

6%

1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Shoplift Rob a person or shop Residential burglary Theft from a motorvehicle

Theft of a motor vehicle Sell stolen goods

Most frequent crimes in previous 12 months

2012 (Q2) 2017 (Q1)

4. What does any of this

mean?

Page 8: PowerPoint Presentation · Burglary Attempted burglary ... • The Security Hypothesis as an explanation for the Global Crime Drop – Parsimonious to local changes and global trends

14/02/2020

8

• Burglary continues to decline

o Attempts increasing – risk/effort

o Entry with no loss increasing – reduced reward

• Who were our arrestees?

o 10% offending at least weekly but one-third not for the last 6-months

• Target selection

o Huge preference for shops over houses

o Increases in food/clothes/personal consumables

o Declines in electrical/computing

• Use of goods – increases in ‘keeping’ and declines in ‘selling’

• Selling to – drug dealers and people they know

o Some indication internet being used

o Value consistent and low – typically 1

4 to

1

3 of original value

Summing it up

1 43

• Reducing reward is likely reducing offender motivation to commit

burglaries

• This idea is compatible with the security hypothesis (risk/effort)

• Also compatible with explanations of offending that draw on cognitive

psychology (domain-specific expertise) and economics

o Offenders have reduced opportunity to ‘learn’ how to be an

effective burglar – fewer available targets (macro- and meso-level)

and less chance to gain financial reward

o A no-result burglary and/or failed attempts to sell items that are

stolen may well influence the perceived utility of burglary

o Reducing the attractiveness of engaging in this crime in the future

Implications for theory

1 44

• Clear implications for targeted prevention interventions

• Continue to design-in/create techniques to reduce disposability of

stolen goods

o e.g., phone kill switches, immobilizers, preferred purchasers of

second hand metal, bike registers

• Disrupt stolen goods markets (traditional and emerging e-markets)

o The market reduction approach (see Sutton)

o Think ‘crime scripts’ and link with drug dealers as fences

• Potential for long-term sustainable crime prevention without arrest

or conviction (much like car immobilisers)

Practical implications

1 45

• Use available data to monitor trends

• Find out more about the stolen goods market in Australia

o The more we know, the more we can do to disrupt it

• Explore what is increasing in houses and shops

• Compare these signatures with other jurisdictions

Where to next?

1 46

Dr Joe Clare UWA School of Law

+61 8 6488 7956

[email protected]

Thank you

1 47