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CENTRAL WESTERN MAINE WORKFORCE INVESTMENT AREA 3
LOCAL CONDITIONS, TRENDS and JOB VACANCIESpresented to
Central Western Maine Workforce Investment BoardApril 17, 2015
Ruth Pease
Economic Research Analyst
Center for Workforce
Research & Information
Maine Dept. of Labor
www.maine.gov/labor/cwri/
207-621-5189
Employment and unemployment in
the Central-Western region
(Androscoggin, Oxford, Franklin,Somerset & Kennebec counties)
Through 2014 the Central-Western region of Maine has not fully recovered all jobs lost during the recession. This is in-line with the statewide average.
Androscoggin and Kennebec counties are nearly back to 2008 job levels. The border counties are lagging, especially Franklin County.
Unemployment rates are back to 2008 levelsin all counties in the region
Labor force growth outlook
According to the Conference Board, Maine has the second worst outlook for working-age population (behind Vermont) between 2015 and 2030, potentially declining nine percent
Maine has the highest share of population in their 60s…and the lowest share under 25
Labor force growth ended in 2006. In 2013 it began to decline…a trend likely to accelerate in the years ahead.
350,000
450,000
550,000
650,000
750,000
19
50
19
54
19
58
19
62
19
66
19
70
19
74
19
78
19
82
19
86
19
90
19
94
19
98
20
02
20
06
20
10
20
14
Civ
ilian L
abor
Forc
e
Seniors are the only age group expected to increase significantly between 2012 and 2022. The expecteddecrease of the 25 to 54 age group is important…
...Because that group has the highestrates of labor force participation
From 2012 to 2022, we expect modest job growth, despite the declining labor force, as unemployment and labor force
participation rates return to normal levels
525,000
550,000
575,000
600,000
625,0002
00
0
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
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20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
Wag
e an
d S
alar
y Jo
bs 2.3%
The age structure of the Central-Western regionpopulation is similar to the statewide average
Half of workers in the region are
45 or older.
2%
5% 5%
18
%
21
%
26
%
18
%
4%
2%
4% 6
%
19
% 20
%
24
%
20
%
5%
14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99
2010
2014
3,6
57
6,9
63
7,6
36
26
,93
4
31
,63
9 3
9,1
45
26
,57
9
6,5
22
3,2
04
6,6
29
8,5
02
28
,56
9
29
,84
3 3
7,0
54
30
,07
0
8,2
33
14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99
2010
2014
Maine Job Vacancy Survey
September 2014a snapshot of employer demand
Survey findings published at www.maine.gov/labor/cwri/blog.html
• 3,400 surveys sent to employers
• Results by region, industry, and firm size
• 70% response
• Nearly one-third of respondents reported one or more openings
• 21,500 openings statewide, or 4% vacancy rate
• Regional distribution of vacancies was proportional to population and jobs. 27% (5,800) in Central-Western Maine
Eight sectors accounted for 97 percent of job vacancies in the region. There was an above average share of vacancies reported in the
construction, admin & waste services, healthcare, and transportation & warehousing sectors compared to existing job levels.
Eight occupational groups accounted for80 percent of job vacancies in the region
(median wage and relative demand for new hires)
Higher WagesHigher Demand
Higher WagesLower Demand
Lower WagesLower Demand
Lower WagesHigher Demand
www.maine.gov/labor/cwri
