Power Shift: How the West Can Adapt and Thrive in an Asian Century

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  • 8/9/2019 Power Shift: How the West Can Adapt and Thrive in an Asian Century

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    AsiA PAPer series

    Power shift: how the west can adaPt

    and thrive in an asian century

    ashley J. tellis

    Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

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    2010 Te German Marshall Fund of the United States. All rights reserved.

    No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without permission in writing

    from the German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF). Please direct inquiries to:

    Te German Marshall Fund of the United States

    1744 R Street, NW

    Washington, DC 20009

    1 202 683 2650

    F 1 202 265 1662

    E [email protected]

    Tis publication can be downloaded for free at http://www.gmfus.org/publications/index.cfm. Limited print

    copies are also available. o request a copy, send an e-mail to [email protected].

    GMf Paper eries

    Te GMF Paper Series presents research on a variety of transatlantic topics by sta, fellows, and partners of the GermanMarshall Fund of the United States. Te views expressed here are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the

    view of GMF. Comments from readers are welcome; reply to the mailing address above or by e-mail to [email protected].

    bout GMf

    Te German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF) is a non-partisan American public policy and grant-making institu-

    tion dedicated to promoting greater cooperation and understanding between North America and Europe.

    GMF does this by supporting individuals and institutions working on transatlantic issues, by convening leaders to discuss

    the most pressing transatlantic themes, and by examining ways in which transatlantic cooperation can address a variety of

    global policy challenges. Working in partnership with the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation, GMFs work on trade,

    agriculture, and development aims to promote greater cooperation between the United States and Europe on trade and

    agricultural policies as vital instruments of global prosperity.

    Founded in 1972 through a gi from Germany as a permanent memorial to Marshall Plan assistance, GMF maintains astrong presence on both sides of the Atlantic. In addition to its headquarters in Washington, DC, GMF has seven oces in

    Europe: Berlin, Bratislava, Paris, Brussels, Belgrade, Ankara, and Bucharest.

    bout GMfs sia Program

    GMFs Asia Program addresses the implications of Asias rise for the Westin particular, how Asias resurgence will impact

    the foreign policy, economic, and domestic challenges and choices facing the transatlantic alliesthrough a combination of

    convening, writing, strategic grants, study tours, fellowships, partnerships with other GMF programs, and partnerships with

    other institutions. Led by Senior Fellow for Asia Daniel wining and ransatlantic Fellow Andrew Small, the programs ini-

    tiatives include the Stockholm China Forum and India Forum, seminars and other activities in Japan, a Japanese fellowship

    program, Asia-related panels at GMFs agship events at Brussels and Halifax, and a paper series on transatlantic approaches

    to wider Asia and on deepening cooperation between democratic Asia and the West. For more information see http://www.

    gmfus.org/asia or contact Asia Program Ocer Dhruva Jaishankar ([email protected]) or Asia Program Assistant

    Amy Studdart ([email protected]).

    bout the legatum nstitute

    Te Legatum Institute is a globally-focused, independent, and nonpartisan organization that researches and promotes eco-

    nomic and social prosperity, individual liberty, and security in both advanced and developing countries. Based in London,

    the Legatum Institute supports original work in public policy, political economy, democratic governance, political culture,

    and national security. It seeks to inuence policymakers, business leaders, the media, philanthropists, scholars, and the

    interested public. Te Institute undertakes original and collaborative research, publishes scholarly literature and popular

    distillations, and cultivates a distinguished group of advisors and fellows. It develops innovative ways to disseminate its ideas

    and analyses, and to test and implement its ndings, through a variety of vehicles including convening conferences, hosting

    guest speakers, developing strategic partnerships, and eldwork.

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    Power Sift: How te WetCan Adapt and Trive in an Aian Century

    Aia Paper Serie

    January 2010

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    Te Geran Mara Fund of te United State2

    American

    protection

    produced a

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    allowed its allies

    to concentrate

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    Power Sift: How te Wet Can Adapt and Trive in an Aian Century 3

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    Te Geran Mara Fund of te United State4

    Because China

    is feared both in

    Asia and in the

    United States as

    a potential threat

    to the existing

    order, Washington

    already finds itself

    in the awkward

    position of having

    to sustain an

    economic system

    that has the

    effect of fueling

    the growth of

    what could be its

    most significant

    geopolitical rival

    over time.

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    Power Sift: How te Wet Can Adapt and Trive in an Aian Century 5

    The United State

    should pursue th

    twin objectives

    of deepening

    globalization whi

    simultaneously

    investing in

    preserving its

    extant military

    superiority.

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    Te Geran Mara Fund of te United State6

    The economic and

    political benefits

    that ensue from

    expanded mutual

    enmeshment

    could help to

    mitigate the

    existing security

    dilemmas if all

    partners choose

    such gains over

    the alternative

    possibility of

    aggressive military

    competition.

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    Power Sift: How te Wet Can Adapt and Trive in an Aian Century 7

    A realistic and

    multifaceted

    engagement with

    China requires

    freeing Western

    diplomatic

    approaches

    toward China

    from the tyranny

    of single-issue

    politics.

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