Potential Impacts World Food Supply

  • Upload
    nipjoy

  • View
    219

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    1/43

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    2/43

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    3/43

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    4/43

    Potential Impacts of Climate Change on World Food Supply, v1 (19952110)

    and Ana Iglesias of Universidad Politecnica de Madrid anddisseminated by the NASA

    Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC), managed by CIESIN at Columbia

    University

    Original release: October, 2000http://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/crop-climate-potential-impacts-world-food-supply

    Food Production from SRES Emissions and Socioeconomic Scenarios, v1 (19702080)" by the same

    authors. Users are recommended to use the new data instead. SEDAC is maintaining this data set for

    reference purposes.

    Data DescriptionGlobal Climate Models) were used as inputs for crop simulation models at 125 agricultural sites

    representing major world agricultural regions. These process-based dynamic crop growth models

    simulate the effects of meteorological variables (e.g., temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation),

    environmental modifications (e.g. CO2 enrichment), and crop management strategies (e.g., fertilization,

    irrigation, and timing of labors) on crop physiology and yields. Models were used for the three most

    significant cereal crops - wheat, rice, and coarse grains (e.g., maize, barley, etc) - which collectively

    account for over 85% of global cereal exports, and for soy bean, which accounts for 67% of trade in

    protein cake equivalent. For each GCM scenario (GISS, GFDL and UK Met Office), three levels of

    1) No adaptation;

    policy changes, such as shifts in planting dates, variety and crop, and increases in water application to

    3) Level 2 adaptation: higher order adaptations that imply significant additional costs to the farmers,

    such as large shifts in crop production timing, increased fertilizer application, installation of irrigationsystems, and development of new varieties, and/or changes in policy.

    GCMs for an increased CO2 driven climate change, at the different adaptation levels described above,

    both with and without the direct effects of CO2 enrichment on crop physiology. A full list of the 46

    scenarios used in this set of studies can be found under the Scenario section of this web resource.

    Once the crop simulation models were run, the estimated change in yields for each crop at specific field

    stations were used to estimate changes at sub-national or national levels (depending on the number of

    agricultural sites per country), and these changes were then aggregated to the trade economic regions

    of the economic model used (BLS). If a crop is simply not present in a country, then the estimated

    change in yields was not calculated (e.g., rice in Canada). For those countries that did not include

    agricultural sites, the results were extrapolated on the basis of their crop-climate profiles. This web

    resource makes available the estimated percentage change in yield for the four commodities (wheat,

    changes that are already anticipated to take place, such as projected future increases in yields due to

    changes in technology. The adaptation scenarios include different levels of agricultural technology and

    inputs. The rate of technological innovations considered in adaptation Level 2 is correlated to the

    economic regional development. For other caveats and to better understand the limitations of the data,

    read through the data limitations section of this web resource.

    http://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/crop-climate-potential-impacts-world-food-supplyhttp://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/crop-climate-potential-impacts-world-food-supply
  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    5/43

    More on the Basic Linked Systemcomprised of 16 national (including EU) models with a common structure, 4 models with country-

    specific structure and 14 regional group models. The political changes as well as changes in national

    boundaries of the very recent past are not in the BLS, although the model formulation has been

    adjusted away from centrally planned economies to more market-oriented behavior. The 20 models in

    the first two groups cover approximately 80 percent of world agricultural production; the remaining 20%is covered by the 14 regional models for countries with broadly similar attributes (for example African oil-

    exporting countries or Latin American high-income exporting countries). The BLS is a general

    equilibrium model system, with representation of all economic sectors, empirically estimated

    parameters and no unaccounted supply sources or demand sinks. Countries are linked through trade,

    Data Set Limitations

    To better interpret the data sets developed by crop modeling studies, users need to be aware of the

    many uncertainties that could not be addressed.

    1. Pests and diseases.The potential effects of climate change on crop damage due to pests and

    diseases was not considered in the study and assumed to remain at the current level. At present

    damage is estimated to reduce potential global crop yields by 30% each year. Future changes in

    temperature and precipitation will undoubtedly effect the prevalence and geographic extent of specific

    pests such as bacteria, nematodes, and insects, which in turn will impact upon crop losses.

    2. Climatic variability.Increased seasonal or annual climatic variability as well as variability across small

    geographic areas is expected to go hand-in-hand with broader secular trends in temperature increase.

    These seasonal, annual and geographic variations are not captured very well by existing GCMs, and

    therefore were not accounted for in this study. For more on this topic, see studies on climate variability

    3. Extreme weather events.Climate change is predicted to affect the frequency and severity of extreme

    weather events such as cyclones, hurricanes, and prolonged droughts. Extreme weather events can

    result in significant crop losses from wind damage, flooding, or inadequate soil moisture. Although it is

    recognized that extreme weather will affect future yields, it is very difficult to model such stochastic

    4. Impacts of CO2enrichment.Thus far, the applications of enhanced concentrations of CO2to crops

    have been conducted in highly controlled laboratory experiments. The only exception to this is a major

    field-based set of experiments in Arizona calledthe FACE experiments. In all cases the crop growing

    conditions differ from those in the real world, most notably in the control of weed competitors. Under

    normal conditions, crops compete with weeds, which also respond to climate change and enriched

    CO2. Depending on the circumstances, the effect of climate change may be for weeds to grow faster

    than field crops. This would have a negative impact on crop yields, and would in all likelihood require

    For more on these and other factors that cannot fully be taken into account in crop-climate modeling,

    see the recent report entitledClimate Change and U.S. Agriculture: The Impacts of Warming and

    Extreme Weather Events on Productivity, Plant Diseases, and Pestsby Rosenzweig,et al.

    The Climate Change ScenariosScenarios of future climate were derived from the output of general circulation models (GCMs) driven

    by anticipated changes in atmospheric composition (e.g., CO2emissions, sulphate aerosols,

    etc).GCMsare mathematical models that describe the processes that are known to occur in the earth's

    climate system and their possible interactions. Such models are used to forecast the trend of climate

    over the coming decades. Their results are still tentative and should not be accepted uncritically.

    However, we should examine the implications of their predictions, while continuing to look for the

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    6/43

    Two kinds of climate change scenarios were utilized: equilibrium scenarios and transient scenarios. The

    former are based on the assumption of a doubling of atmospheric CO2concentrations from pre-

    industrial levels (i.e., from 227 ppm to 555 ppm). When that will happen no one can be sure, so

    equilibrium scenarios are not tied to specific future dates, but rather simply reflect the point at which

    CO2is doubled in the atmosphere. The equilibrium scenarios for three major GCMs were utilized in this

    study: TheGoddard Institute for Space Studies(GISS), theGeophysical Fluid Dynamics

    Transient scenarios, by contrast, are time dependent. They tell you what will happen at some date in

    the future based on assumptions contained within the model. The transient scenarios considered were

    derived from simulations with theHadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research'sClimate Model 2

    (HadCM2) and Climate Model 3 (HadCM3) of the UK Met Office. The studies analyzed three sets of

    scenarios derived from the HadCM2 and HadCM3 models with different forcing emmission scenarios.

    HadCM3-A: A variation of the HadCM3 model forced with greenhouse gas concentrations derived

    form the IS95a emission scenario.

    HadCM2-S550: HadCM2 model forced with a CO2stabilization scenario (clean scenario). This

    simulation assumes a major policy effort to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, with stabilization at

    HadCM2-S750: HadCM2 model forced with a CO2stabilization scenario (less clean scenario). This

    simulation assumes a more modest policy effort to bring about stabilization of CO2emissions to 750

    The Agricultural ScenariosFuture agricultural scenarios were the combination of the climate change, crop response scenarios (i.e.,

    physiological response to elevated CO2), and farmers' adaptive responses. Thus, the crop simulations

    were based on some combination of the following assumptions:

    Climate change scenarios [8 to choose from] +

    CO2effects on crop growth [either with or without] +

    Adaptation [none, level 1 and level 2]

    For more information on these agricultural scenarios, please see theMethodologysection above.

    Data Set Citation Supply, v1 (19952110). Palisades, NY: Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC),

    Columbia University. Available at http://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/crop-climate-potential-

    impacts-world-food-supply (date of download)

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    7/43

    Scenario Time_Slice

    CO2

    effects CO2 ppm

    Adapt-

    ation wheat rice

    coarse

    grains

    protein

    feed grains

    four

    commo-

    dities

    GISS Equilibrium No 330 No -46 -46 -17 -17 -36 -32

    GISS Equilibrium Yes 555 No -34 -35 -13 0 -27 -21

    GISS Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 1 -15 -15 0 17 -10 -3

    GISS Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 2 0 0 0 17 0 4

    GFDL Equilibrium No 330 No -43 -43 -28 -28 -38 -36

    GFDL Equilibrium Yes 555 No -31 -32 -24 -11 -29 -25

    GFDL Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 1 -11 -11 -10 6 -11 -7GFDL Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 2 -6 -6 -5 6 -6 -3

    UKMO Equilibrium No 330 No -52 -52 -25 -25 -43 -39

    UKMO Equilibrium Yes 555 No -40 -41 -21 -8 -34 -28

    UKMO Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 1 -20 -20 -7 9 -16 -10

    UKMO Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 2 -10 -10 -3 9 -8 -4

    CM3-A 2020 No 330 Level 1 -2 -2 -4 1 -3 -2

    CM3-A 2020 Yes 475 Level 1 4 2 0 9 2 4

    CM3-A 2050 No 330 Level 1 -7 -7 -9 -1 -8 -6

    CM3-A 2050 Yes 574 Level 1 5 4 -5 16 1 5

    CM3-A 2080 No 330 Level 1 -10 -10 -14 -7 -11 -10

    CM3-A 2080 Yes 712 Level 1 7 6 -8 16 2 5

    CM2-S550 2020 No 330 Level 1 -2 -2 -1 3 -2 -1

    CM2-S550 2020 Yes 410 Level 1 3 1 1 10 2 4

    CM2-S550 2050 No 330 Level 1 -2 -2 -4 1 -3 -2

    CM2-S550 2050 Yes 458 Level 1 6 3 -2 12 2 5CM2-S550 2080 No 330 Level 1 -3 -3 -4 2 -3 -2

    CM2-S550 2080 Yes 498 Level 1 8 7 -1 16 5 8

    CM2-S550 2110 No 330 Level 1 -3 -3 1 7 -2 1

    CM2-S550 2110 Yes 530 Level 1 7 5 4 21 5 9

    CM2-S750 2020 No 330 Level 1 -1 -1 -2 2 -1 -1

    CM2-S750 2020 Yes 424 Level 1 3 1 -1 8 1 3

    CM2-S750 2050 No 330 Level 1 -3 -3 0 6 -2 0

    CM2-S750 2050 Yes 501 Level 1 5 2 2 17 3 7

    CM2-S750 2080 No 330 Level 1 -3 -3 -5 1 -4 -3

    CM2-S750 2080 Yes 577 Level 1 9 8 -1 18 5 9

    CM2-S750 2110 No 330 Level 1 -5 -5 -7 0 -6 -4

    CM2-S750 2110 Yes 643 Level 1 10 9 -2 20 6 9

    GISS Equilibrium No 330 No -51 -35 -19 -35 -35 -35

    GISS Equilibrium Yes 555 No -39 -24 -15 -18 -26 -24

    GISS Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 1 -33 -16 -12 13 -20 -12

    GISS Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 2 -16 -8 -6 13 -10 -4GFDL Equilibrium No 330 No -38 -26 -20 -20 -28 -26

    GFDL Equilibrium Yes 555 No -26 -15 -16 -3 -19 -15

    GFDL Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 1 -17 -7 -13 11 -12 -7

    GFDL Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 2 -8 -3 -6 11 -6 -2

    UKMO Equilibrium No 330 No -53 -44 -27 -53 -41 -44

    UKMO Equilibrium Yes 555 No -41 -33 -23 -36 -32 -33

    UKMO Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 1 -31 -25 -20 -7 -25 -21

    UKMO Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 2 -15 -12 -10 -3 -12 -10

    CM3-A 2020 No 330 Level 1 -24 -24 -3 -13 -17 -16

    CM3-A 2020 Yes 475 Level 1 -18 -20 1 -5 -12 -11

    CM3-A 2050 No 330 Level 1 -41 -41 -8 -25 -30 -29

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    8/43

    CM3-A 2050 Yes 574 Level 1 -29 -30 -4 -8 -21 -18

    CM3-A 2080 No 330 Level 1 -55 -55 -13 -38 -41 -40

    CM3-A 2080 Yes 712 Level 1 -38 -39 -7 -15 -28 -25

    CM2-S550 2020 No 330 Level 1 -8 -8 -1 -4 -6 -5

    CM2-S550 2020 Yes 410 Level 1 -4 -6 3 3 -2 -1

    CM2-S550 2050 No 330 Level 1 -5 -5 3 0 -2 -2

    CM2-S550 2050 Yes 458 Level 1 3 0 5 11 3 5

    CM2-S550 2080 No 330 Level 1 -22 -22 -5 -16 -16 -16

    CM2-S550 2080 Yes 498 Level 1 -14 -17 -3 -1 -11 -9

    CM2-S550 2110 No 330 Level 1 -6 -6 2 -12 -3 -6CM2-S550 2110 Yes 530 Level 1 4 2 5 2 4 3

    CM2-S750 2020 No 330 Level 1 -11 -11 -2 -19 -8 -11

    CM2-S750 2020 Yes 424 Level 1 -7 -9 -1 -13 -6 -8

    CM2-S750 2050 No 330 Level 1 -6 -6 1 -14 -4 -6

    CM2-S750 2050 Yes 501 Level 1 2 -1 3 -3 1 0

    CM2-S750 2080 No 330 Level 1 -8 -8 1 -17 -5 -8

    CM2-S750 2080 Yes 577 Level 1 4 3 5 0 4 3

    CM2-S750 2110 No 330 Level 1 -14 -14 -1 -23 -10 -13

    CM2-S750 2110 Yes 643 Level 1 1 0 4 -3 2 1

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    9/43

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    10/43

    Note that these scenarios wereremoved from the data set owing to

    problems with the crop response data

    (January 2007).

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    11/43

    File Code BLS Code BLS Region 1 BLS Region 2

    1 9Argentina Argentina

    2 21 Brazil Brazil

    3 138 Mexico Mexico

    4 906 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Exp. Latin Amer 1

    5 907 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Imp. Latin Amer 2

    6 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 37 231 USA USA

    8 33 Canada Canada

    9 888 EU Europe

    10 223 Turkey Turkey

    11 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics

    12 59 Egypt Egypt

    13 114 Kenya Kenya

    14 159 Nigeria Nigeria

    15 901Afr. Oil Exporters Africa 1

    16 902Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 2

    17 903Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 3

    18 904Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 419 905Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5

    20 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High Inc. NE Asia 1

    21 913 N.E.A. Med.-Low Inc. NE Asia 2

    22 165 Pakistan Pakistan

    23 100 India India

    24 101 Indonesia Indonesia

    25 216 Thailand Thailand

    26 41 China China

    27 110 Japan Japan

    28 909 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc. Cal. Exp. FE Asia 1

    29 910 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc. Cal. Imp. FE Asia 2

    30 911 F.E.A. Low Inc. FE Asia 3

    31 10Australia Australia

    32 156 New Zealand New Zealand

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    12/43

    Crop Crop Code Description

    wheat w all wheat

    rice r all rice

    coarse grains c coarse grains (corn, barley, sorghum, etc)

    protein feed p protein feed (soybean)

    grains g average of grains (wheat, rice, coarse grains)four commodities f average of grains and protein feed

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    13/43

    COUNTRY_M BLSCode_M YieldCode_M BLSREGION_M MAPCODE

    Afghanistan 913 913 N.E.A. Med.-Low Inc. NE Asia 2

    Albania 916 888 EU Europe

    Algeria 901 901 Afr. Oil Exporters Africa 1

    Angola 901 901 Afr. Oil Exporters Africa 1

    Antarctica 0 0

    Argentina 9 9 Argentina ArgentinaArmenia 777 223 Turkey Turkey

    Australia 10 10 Australia Australia

    Austria 11 888 EU Europe

    Azerbaijan 777 223 Turkey Turkey

    Bangladesh 911 911 F.E.A. Low Inc. FE Asia 3

    Belarus 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics

    Belgium 888 888 EU Europe

    Belize 915 21 Brazil Brazil

    Benin 904 904 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4

    Bhutan 915 910 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc.

    Cal. Imp. FE Asia 2

    Bolivia 908 9 Argentina ArgentinaBosnia and

    Herzegovina

    916 777 Russia + Republics

    Russia + Republics

    Botswana 915 903 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp.

    Africa 3

    Brazil 21 21 Brazil Brazil

    Brunei 915 910 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc.

    Cal. Imp. FE Asia 2

    Bulgaria 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics

    Burkina Faso 905 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5

    Burundi 905 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5

    Cambodia 910 910 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc.

    Cal. Imp. FE Asia 2

    Cameroon 902 902 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Exp.Africa 2

    Canada 33 33 Canada Canada

    Central

    African

    Republic

    905 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp.

    Africa 5

    Chad 905 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5

    Chile 907 907 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Imp.

    Latin Amer 2

    China 41 41 China China

    Colombia 908 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3

    Congo 901 901 Afr. Oil Exporters Africa 1

    Costa Rica 906 21 Brazil BrazilCroatia 916 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics

    Cuba 906 21 Brazil Brazil

    Cyprus 912 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High

    Inc. NE Asia 1

    Czech

    Republic

    777 777 Russia + Republics

    Russia + Republics

    Denmark 888 888 EU Europe

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    14/43

    Djibouti 915 906 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Exp.

    Latin Amer 1

    Dominican

    Republic

    906 21 Brazil

    Brazil

    Ecuador 906 906 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Exp.

    Latin Amer 1

    Egypt 59 59 Egypt EgyptEl Salvador 908 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3

    Equatorial

    Guinea

    915 903 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp.

    Africa 3

    Eritrea 903 903 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp.

    Africa 3

    Estonia 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics

    Ethiopia 904 904 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4

    Federal Rep.

    of Yugoslavia

    916 777 Russia + Republics

    Russia + Republics

    Federal Rep.

    of Yugoslavia

    916 777 Russia + Republics

    Russia + Republics

    Finland 916 777 Russia + Republics Russia + RepublicsFrance 888 888 EU Europe

    French

    Guiana

    915 903 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp.

    Africa 3

    Gabon 901 901 Afr. Oil Exporters Africa 1

    Gambia 904 904 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4

    Georgia 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics

    Germany 888 888 EU Europe

    Ghana 902 902 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Exp.

    Africa 2

    Greece 916 888 EU Europe

    Greenland

    (Denmark)

    0 0

    Guatemala 908 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3

    Guinea 905 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5

    Guinea Bissau 915 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp.

    Africa 5

    Guyana 908 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3

    Haiti 908 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3

    Honduras 908 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3

    Hungary 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics

    Iceland 916 777 Russia + Republics

    India 100 100 India India

    Indonesia 101 101 Indonesia Indonesia

    Iran 912 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High

    Inc. NE Asia 1Iraq 912 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High

    Inc. NE Asia 1

    Ireland 888 888 EU Europe

    Israel 916 59 Egypt Egypt

    Italy 888 888 EU Europe

    Ivory Coast 902 902 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Exp.

    Africa 2

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    15/43

    Jamaica 907 907 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Imp.

    Latin Amer 2

    Japan 110 110 Japan Japan

    Jordan 913 913 N.E.A. Med.-Low Inc. NE Asia 2

    Kazakhstan 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics

    Kenya 114 114 Kenya Kenya

    KoreaDem.People's

    Rep.

    910 110 Japan

    Japan

    Korea,

    Republic Of

    910 110 Japan

    Japan

    Kuwait 915 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High

    Inc. NE Asia 1

    Kyrgyzstan 777 223 Turkey Turkey

    Laos 910 910 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc.

    Cal. Imp. FE Asia 2

    Latvia 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics

    Lebanon 912 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High

    Inc. NE Asia 1Lesotho 915 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High

    Inc. NE Asia 1

    Liberia 903 903 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp.

    Africa 3

    Libya 912 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High

    Inc. NE Asia 1

    Lithuania 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics

    Luxembourg 888 888 EU Europe

    Macedonia 916 888 EU Europe

    Madagascar 905 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5

    Malawi 904 904 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4

    Malaysia 909 909 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc.

    Cal. Exp. FE Asia 1

    Mali 905 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5

    Mauritania 903 903 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp.

    Africa 3

    Mexico 138 138 Mexico Mexico

    Moldova 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics

    Mongolia 915 41 China China

    Morocco 903 903 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp.

    Africa 3

    Mozambique 904 904 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4

    Myanmar 911 911 F.E.A. Low Inc. FE Asia 3

    Namibia 915 904 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4

    Nepal 911 911 F.E.A. Low Inc. FE Asia 3Netherlands 888 888 EU Europe

    New Zealand 156 156 New Zealand New Zealand

    Nicaragua 908 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3

    Niger 905 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5

    Nigeria 159 159 Nigeria Nigeria

    Norway 916 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics

    Oman 915 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High

    Inc. NE Asia 1

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    16/43

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    17/43

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    18/43

    File Code BLS Code BLS Region 1 BLS Region 2 w1 r1

    1 9Argentina Argentina -46 -46

    2 21 Brazil Brazil -51 -35

    3 138 Mexico Mexico -53 -43

    4 906 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Exp. Latin Amer 1 -46 -30

    5 907 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Imp. Latin Amer 2 -46 -35

    6 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3 -51 -377 231 USA USA -21 -18

    8 33 Canada Canada -12 -12

    9 888 EU Europe -12 -12

    10 223 Turkey Turkey -30 -30

    11 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics -8 -8

    12 59 Egypt Egypt -36 -32

    13 114 Kenya Kenya -35 -35

    14 159 Nigeria Nigeria -25 -15

    15 901Afr. Oil Exporters Africa 1 -35 -35

    16 902Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 2 -23 -23

    17 903Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 3 -35 -35

    18 904Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4 -40 -4019 905Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5 -45 -45

    20 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High Inc. NE Asia 1 -35 -35

    21 913 N.E.A. Med.-Low Inc. NE Asia 2 -45 -45

    22 165 Pakistan Pakistan -57 -57

    23 100 India India -32 -27

    24 101 Indonesia Indonesia -34 -34

    25 216 Thailand Thailand -40 -40

    26 41 China China -5 -24

    27 110 Japan Japan -18 -10

    28 909 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc. Cal. Exp. FE Asia 1 -54 -34

    29 910 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc. Cal. Imp. FE Asia 2 -12 -25

    30 911 F.E.A. Low Inc. FE Asia 3 -32 -34

    31 10Australia Australia -18 -13

    32 156 New Zealand New Zealand 2 2

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    19/43

    c1 p1 g1 f1 w2 r2 c2 p2 g2

    -17 -17 -36.3 -31.5 -34 -35 -13 0 -27.3

    -19 -35 -35 -35 -39 -24 -15 -18 -26

    -43 -43 -46.3 -45.5 -41 -32 -39 -26 -37.3

    -19 -35 -31.7 -32.5 -34 -19 -15 -18 -22.7

    -19 -35 -33.3 -33.8 -34 -24 -15 -18 -24.3

    -19 -35 -35.7 -35.5 -39 -26 -15 -18 -26.7-20 -14 -19.7 -18.3 -9 -7 -16 3 -10.7

    -5 2 -9.7 -6.8 0 -1 -1 19 -0.7

    -8 -10 -10.7 -10.5 0 -1 -4 7 -1.7

    -25 -25 -28.3 -27.5 -18 -19 -21 -8 -19.3

    -8 -8 -8 -8 4 3 -4 9 1

    -25 -31 -31 -31 -24 -21 -21 -14 -22

    -35 -25 -35 -32.5 -23 -24 -31 -8 -26

    -25 -30 -21.7 -23.8 -13 -4 -21 -13 -12.7

    -20 -15 -30 -26.3 -23 -24 -16 2 -21

    -23 -13 -23 -20.5 -11 -12 -19 4 -14

    -30 -30 -33.3 -32.5 -23 -24 -26 -13 -24.3

    -30 -30 -36.7 -35 -28 -29 -26 -13 -27.7-40 -30 -43.3 -40 -33 -34 -36 -13 -34.3

    -30 -25 -33.3 -31.3 -23 -24 -26 -8 -24.3

    -40 -35 -43.3 -41.3 -33 -34 -36 -18 -34.3

    -52 -42 -55.3 -52 -45 -46 -48 -25 -46.3

    -22 -27 -27 -27 -20 -16 -18 -10 -18

    -34 -34 -34 -34 -22 -23 -30 -17 -25

    -40 -40 -40 -40 -28 -29 -36 -23 -31

    -21 -15 -16.7 -16.3 7 -13 -17 2 -7.7

    -2 -10 -10 -10 -6 1 2 7 -1

    -49 -34 -45.7 -42.8 -42 -23 -45 -17 -36.7

    -12 -13 -16.3 -15.5 0 -14 -8 4 -7.3

    -35 -20 -33.7 -30.3 -20 -23 -31 -3 -24.7

    -16 -16 -15.7 -15.8 -6 -2 -12 1 -6.7

    5 5 3 3.5 14 13 9 22 12

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    20/43

    f2 w3 r3 c3 p3 g3 f3 w4 r4

    -20.5 -15 -15 0 17 -10 -3.3 0 0

    -24 -33 -16 -12 13 -20.3 -12 -16 -8

    -34.5 -31 -24 -35 -18 -30 -27 -15 -12

    -21.5 -24 -11 -11 -10 -15.3 -14 -12 -5

    -22.8 -24 -16 -11 -10 -17 -15.3 -12 -8

    -24.5 -29 -18 -11 -10 -19.3 -17 -14 -9-7.3 0 1 0 17 0.3 4.5 0 1

    4.3 27 27 15 27 23 24 27 27

    0.5 8 8 1 15 5.7 8 8 8

    -16.5 -8 -8 -5 0 -7 -5.3 -4 -4

    3 25 11 12 17 16 16.3 25 11

    -20 -31 -13 -17 -6 -20.3 -16.8 -16 -6

    -21.5 -13 -13 -28 0 -18 -13.5 -6 -6

    -12.8 -3 4 -18 -5 -5.7 -5.5 -1 4

    -15.3 -13 -13 -11 10 -12.3 -6.8 -6 -6

    -9.5 -1 -1 -14 12 -5.3 -1 0 0

    -21.5 -13 -13 -21 -5 -15.7 -13 -6 -6

    -24 -18 -18 -21 -5 -19 -15.5 -9 -9-29 -23 -23 -31 -5 -25.7 -20.5 -11 -11

    -20.3 -13 -13 -13 0 -13 -9.8 -6 -6

    -30.3 -23 -23 -23 -10 -23 -19.8 -11 -11

    -41 -19 -38 -43 -17 -33.3 -29.3 -9 -19

    -16 3 -8 -7 -2 -4 -3.5 3 -4

    -23 -12 -7 -27 -9 -15.3 -13.8 -6 -3

    -29 -18 -9 -33 -15 -20 -18.8 -9 -4

    -5.3 16 0 0 17 5.3 8.3 16 0

    1 0 9 23 24 10.7 14 0 9

    -31.8 -32 -15 -41 -9 -29.3 -24.3 -16 -7

    -4.5 10 -3 -2 12 1.7 4.3 10 0

    -19.3 -10 -15 -27 5 -17.3 -11.8 -5 -7

    -4.8 8 0 5 9 4.3 5.5 8 0

    14.5 29 29 25 32 27.7 28.8 29 29

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    21/43

    c4 p4 g4 f4 w5 r5 c5 p5 g5

    0 17 0 4.3 -43 -43 -28 -28 -38

    -6 13 -10 -4.3 -38 -26 -20 -20 -28

    -17 -9 -14.7 -13.3 -46 -36 -36 -36 -39.3

    -5 -5 -7.3 -6.8 -43 -28 -20 -20 -30.3

    -5 -5 -8.3 -7.5 -43 -33 -20 -20 -32

    -5 -5 -9.3 -8.3 -38 -28 -20 -20 -28.70 7 0.3 2 -23 -26 -29 -27 -26

    15 27 23 24 -10 -10 -3 4 -7.7

    1 15 5.7 8 -28 -28 -8 -18 -21.3

    -2 0 -3.3 -2.5 -40 -40 -35 -35 -38.3

    12 17 16 16.3 -21 -21 -21 -21 -21

    -8 -3 -10 -8.3 -28 -26 -25 -26 -26.3

    -14 0 -8.7 -6.5 -35 -35 -35 -25 -35

    -9 -2 -2 -2 -35 -25 -35 -40 -31.7

    -5 10 -5.7 -1.8 -40 -40 -25 -20 -35

    -7 12 -2.3 1.3 19 19 -19 -9 6.3

    -10 -2 -7.3 -6 -35 -35 -30 -30 -33.3

    -10 -2 -9.3 -7.5 -50 -50 -40 -40 -46.7-15 -2 -12.3 -9.8 -45 -45 -40 -30 -43.3

    -6 0 -6 -4.5 -40 -40 -35 -30 -38.3

    -11 -5 -11 -9.5 -45 -45 -40 -35 -43.3

    -21 -8 -16.3 -14.3 -29 -29 -24 -14 -27.3

    -3 -1 -1.3 -1.3 -38 -33 -28 -33 -33

    -13 -4 -7.3 -6.5 -26 -26 -26 -26 -26

    -15 -7 -9.3 -8.8 -29 -29 -29 -29 -29

    0 17 5.3 8.3 -12 -25 -20 -19 -19

    23 24 10.7 14 -21 -23 -5 -16 -16.3

    -20 -4 -14.3 -11.8 -46 -26 -41 -26 -37.7

    0 12 3.3 5.5 -17 -26 -13 -16 -18.7

    -13 5 -8.3 -5 -38 -26 -34 -19 -32.7

    5 9 4.3 5.5 -16 -17 -17 -17 -16.7

    25 32 27.7 28.8 -2 -2 0 0 -1.3

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    22/43

    f5 w6 r6 c6 p6 g6 f6 w7 r7

    -35.5 -31 -32 -24 -11 -29 -24.5 -11 -11

    -26 -26 -15 -16 -3 -19 -15 -17 -7

    -38.5 -34 -25 -32 -19 -30.3 -27.5 -24 -17

    -27.8 -31 -17 -16 -3 -21.3 -16.8 -21 -9

    -29 -31 -22 -16 -3 -23 -18 -21 -14

    -26.5 -26 -17 -16 -3 -19.7 -15.5 -16 -9-26.3 -11 -15 -25 -10 -17 -15.3 0 0

    -4.8 2 1 1 21 1.3 6.3 27 27

    -20.5 -16 -17 -4 -1 -12.3 -9.5 0 0

    -37.5 -28 -29 -31 -18 -29.3 -26.5 -18 -18

    -21 -9 -10 -17 -4 -12 -10 6 0

    -26.3 -16 -15 -21 -9 -17.3 -15.3 -26 -7

    -32.5 -23 -24 -31 -8 -26 -21.5 -13 -13

    -33.8 -23 -14 -31 -23 -22.7 -22.8 -13 -6

    -31.3 -28 -29 -21 -3 -26 -20.3 -18 -18

    2.5 31 30 -15 8 15.3 13.5 4 4

    -32.5 -23 -24 -26 -13 -24.3 -21.5 -13 -13

    -45 -38 -39 -36 -23 -37.7 -34 -28 -28-40 -33 -34 -36 -13 -34.3 -29 -23 -23

    -36.3 -28 -29 -31 -13 -29.3 -25.3 -18 -18

    -41.3 -33 -34 -36 -18 -34.3 -30.3 -23 -23

    -24 -17 -18 -20 3 -18.3 -13 -7 -10

    -33 -26 -22 -24 -16 -24 -22 -9 -14

    -26 -14 -15 -22 -9 -17 -15 -4 2

    -29 -17 -18 -25 -12 -20 -18 -7 2

    -19 0 -14 -16 -2 -10 -8 8 0

    -16.3 -9 -12 -1 1 -7.3 -5.3 0 0

    -34.8 -34 -15 -37 -9 -28.7 -23.8 -24 -7

    -18 -5 -15 -9 1 -9.7 -7 5 -3

    -29.3 -26 -15 -30 -2 -23.7 -18.3 -16 -7

    -16.8 -4 -6 -13 0 -7.7 -5.8 11 0

    -1 10 9 4 17 7.7 10 25 25

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    23/43

    c7 p7 g7 f7 w8 r8 c8 p8 g8

    -10 6 -10.7 -6.5 -6 -6 -5 6 -5.7

    -13 11 -12.3 -6.5 -8 -3 -6 11 -5.7

    -28 -11 -23 -20 -12 -8 -14 -5 -11.3

    -12 5 -14 -9.3 -10 -4 -6 5 -6.7

    -12 5 -15.7 -10.5 -10 -7 -6 5 -7.7

    -12 5 -12.3 -8 -8 -4 -6 5 -6-10 3 -3.3 -1.8 0 0 0 3 0

    17 29 23.7 25 27 27 17 29 23.7

    1 7 0.3 2 0 0 1 7 0.3

    -15 -10 -17 -15.3 -9 -9 -7 -5 -8.3

    0 13 2 4.8 6 0 0 13 2

    -17 -1 -16.7 -12.8 -13 -3 -8 0 -8

    -28 0 -18 -13.5 -6 -6 -14 0 -8.7

    -28 -15 -15.7 -15.5 -6 -3 -14 -7 -7.7

    -16 5 -17.3 -11.8 -9 -9 -8 5 -8.7

    -10 16 -0.7 3.5 4 4 -5 16 1

    -21 -5 -15.7 -13 -6 -6 -10 -2 -7.3

    -31 -15 -29 -25.5 -14 -14 -15 -7 -14.3-31 -5 -25.7 -20.5 -11 -11 -15 -2 -12.3

    -18 -5 -18 -14.8 -9 -9 -9 -2 -9

    -23 -10 -23 -19.8 -11 -11 -11 -10 -11

    -15 11 -10.7 -5.3 -3 -5 -7 11 -5

    -20 -8 -14.3 -12.8 -4 -7 -6 -4 -5.7

    -19 -1 -7 -5.5 -2 2 -9 0 -3

    -22 -4 -9 -7.8 -3 2 -11 -2 -4

    0 1 2.7 2.3 8 0 0 15 2.7

    20 18 6.7 9.5 0 0 20 18 6.7

    -33 -1 -21.3 -16.3 -12 -3 -16 0 -10.3

    -2 9 0 2.3 5 0 0 9 1.7

    -26 7 -16.3 -10.5 -8 -3 -13 7 -8

    4 8 5 5.8 11 0 4 8 5

    20 25 23.3 23.8 25 25 20 25 23.3

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    24/43

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    25/43

    c10 p10 g10 f10 w11 r11 c11 p11 g11

    -21 -8 -34 -27.5 -20 -20 -7 9 -15.7

    -23 -36 -32.3 -33.3 -31 -25 -20 -7 -25.3

    -41 -28 -39.3 -36.5 -33 -35 -37 -20 -35

    -23 -36 -31 -32.3 -30 -22 -19 -28 -23.7

    -23 -36 -32.7 -33.5 -30 -27 -19 28 -25.3

    -23 -36 -33.3 -34 -31 -28 -19 -28 -26-32 -41 -28 -31.3 -7 -11 -14 -20 -10.7

    -30 -12 -27.7 -23.8 0 0 0 6 0

    -3 2 -8.7 -6 0 0 2 10 0.7

    -31 -18 -29.3 -26.5 -18 -18 -15 -10 -17

    -31 -18 -26 -24 -10 -8 -7 -1 -8.3

    -34 -29 -37 -35 -51 -27 -30 -21 -36

    -31 -8 -26 -21.5 -13 -13 -28 0 -18

    -21 -13 -12.7 -12.8 -3 4 -18 -5 -5.7

    -26 -8 -31 -25.3 -23 -23 -21 0 -22.3

    -30 -7 -25 -20.5 -12 -12 -25 1 -16.3

    -31 -18 -29.3 -26.5 -18 -18 -26 -10 -20.7

    -31 -18 -32.7 -29 -23 -23 -26 -10 -24-41 -18 -39.3 -34 -28 -28 -36 -10 -30.7

    -36 -18 -34.3 -30.3 -23 -23 -23 -10 -23

    -41 -23 -39.3 -35.3 -28 -28 -28 -15 -28

    -64 -41 -62.3 -57 -55 -54 -59 -33 -56

    -42 -34 -42 -40 -26 -26 -31 -26 -27.7

    -3 2 -6 -4 -1 -6 0 10 -2.3

    -38 -25 -33 -31 -20 -23 -35 -17 -26

    -18 -4 -12.3 -10.3 0 0 0 13 0

    -6 -5 -13 -11 0 2 15 12 5.7

    -43 -15 -31.3 -27.3 -20 -13 -39 -7 -24

    -12 -5 -16 -13.3 -3 -5 -4 5 -4

    -42 -14 -35.7 -30.3 -34 -13 -38 -6 -28.3

    -12 1 -7 -5 9 0 5 9 4.7

    -1 12 -1.3 2 11 11 15 20 12.3

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    26/43

    f11 w12 r12 c12 p12 g12 f12

    -9.5 -10 -10 -3 9 -7.7 -3.5

    -20.8 -15 -12 -10 -3 -12.3 -10

    -31.3 -16 -17 -18 -10 -17 -15.3

    -24.8 -15 -11 -9 -14 -11.7 -12.3

    -12 -15 -13 -9 -14 -12.3 -12.8

    -26.5 -16 -14 -9 -14 -13 -13.3-13 -3 -5 -7 -10 -5 -6.3

    1.5 0 0 0 6 0 1.5

    3 0 0 2 10 0.7 3

    -15.3 -9 -9 -7 -5 -8.3 -7.5

    -6.5 -5 -4 -3 0 -4 -3

    -32.3 -25 -13 -15 -10 -17.7 -15.8

    -13.5 -6 -6 -14 0 -8.7 -6.5

    -5.5 -1 4 -9 -2 -2 -2

    -16.8 -11 -11 -10 0 -10.7 -8

    -12 -6 -6 -12 1 -8 -5.8

    -18 -9 -9 -13 -5 -10.3 -9

    -20.5 -11 -11 -13 -5 -11.7 -10-25.5 -14 -14 -18 -5 -15.3 -12.8

    -19.8 -11 -11 -11 -5 -11 -9.5

    -24.8 -14 -14 -14 -7 -14 -12.3

    -50.3 -27 -27 -29 -16 -27.7 -24.8

    -27.3 -13 -13 -16 -13 -14 -13.8

    0.8 0 -3 0 10 -1 1.8

    -23.8 -10 -11 -17 -8 -12.7 -11.5

    3.3 0 0 0 13 0 3.3

    7.3 0 2 15 12 5.7 7.3

    -19.8 -10 -6 -19 -3 -11.7 -9.5

    -1.8 0 0 0 5 0 1.3

    -22.8 -17 -6 -19 -3 -14 -11.3

    5.8 9 0 5 9 4.7 5.8

    14.3 11 11 15 20 12.3 14.3

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    27/43

    File Code BLS Code BLS Region 1 BLS Region 2 w25 r25

    1 9Argentina Argentina -2 -2

    2 21 Brazil Brazil -24 -24

    3 138 Mexico Mexico -6 -6

    4 906 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Exp. Latin Amer 1 -24 -24

    5 907 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Imp. Latin Amer 2 -15 -15

    6 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3 -15 -157 231 USA USA -6 -6

    8 33 Canada Canada -7 -7

    9 888 EU Europe -1 -1

    10 223 Turkey Turkey -18 -18

    11 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics -18 -18

    12 59 Egypt Egypt -5 -5

    13 114 Kenya Kenya -6 -6

    14 159 Nigeria Nigeria -16 -16

    15 901Afr. Oil Exporters Africa 1 -5 -5

    16 902Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 2 -11 -11

    17 903Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 3 -8 -8

    18 904Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4 -8 -819 905Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5 -8 -8

    20 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High Inc. NE Asia 1 -9 -9

    21 913 N.E.A. Med.-Low Inc. NE Asia 2 -9 -9

    22 165 Pakistan Pakistan -13 -13

    23 100 India India -12 -12

    24 101 Indonesia Indonesia 0 -3

    25 216 Thailand Thailand -2 -2

    26 41 China China 0 -5

    27 110 Japan Japan -5 2

    28 909 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc. Cal. Exp. FE Asia 1 0 -3

    29 910 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc. Cal. Imp. FE Asia 2 -2 -1

    30 911 F.E.A. Low Inc. FE Asia 3 0 -3

    31 10Australia Australia 0 -5

    32 156 New Zealand New Zealand -2 -2

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    28/43

    c25 p25 g25 f25 w26 r26 c26 p26 g26

    -4 1 -2.7 -1.8 4 2 0 9 2

    -3 -13 -17 -16 -18 -20 1 -5 -12.3

    -12 -10 -8 -8.5 0 -2 -8 -2 -3.3

    -7 -13 -18.3 -17 -18 -20 -3 -5 -13.7

    -7 -10 -12.3 -11.8 -9 -11 -3 -2 -7.7

    -7 -10 -12.3 -11.8 -9 -11 -3 -2 -7.7-17 -7 -9.7 -9 0 -2 -13 1 -5

    -7 4 -7 -4.3 -1 -3 -3 12 -2.3

    -5 -6 -2.3 -3.3 5 3 -1 2 2.3

    -18 -18 -18 -18 -12 -14 -14 -10 -13.3

    -18 -18 -18 -18 -12 -14 -14 -10 -13.3

    -10 -10 -6.7 -7.5 1 -1 -6 -2 -2

    -6 -6 -6 -6 0 -2 -2 2 -1.3

    -16 -16 -16 -16 -10 -12 -12 -8 -11.3

    -10 -10 -6.7 -7.5 1 -1 -6 -2 -2

    -11 -11 -11 -11 -5 -7 -7 -3 -6.3

    -10 -10 -8.7 -9 -2 -4 -6 -2 -4

    -10 -10 -8.7 -9 -2 -4 -6 -2 -4-10 -10 -8.7 -9 -2 -4 -6 -2 -4

    -11 -12 -9.7 -10.3 -3 -5 -7 -4 -5

    -11 -12 -9.7 -10.3 -3 -5 -7 -4 -5

    -13 -13 -13 -13 -7 -9 -9 -5 -8.3

    -12 -12 -12 -12 -6 -8 -8 -4 -7.3

    -6 -7 -3 -4 6 1 -2 1 1.7

    -2 -2 -2 -2 4 2 2 6 2.7

    -10 -13 -5 -7 6 -1 -6 -5 -0.3

    -4 4 -2.3 -0.8 1 6 0 12 2.3

    -6 -7 -3 -4 6 1 -2 1 1.7

    -4 -4 -2.3 -2.8 4 3 0 4 2.3

    -6 -7 -3 -4 6 1 -2 1 1.7

    0 0 -1.7 -1.3 6 -1 4 8 3

    -7 9 -3.7 -0.5 4 2 -3 17 1

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    29/43

    f26 w27 r27 c27 p27 g27 f27 w28 r28

    3.8 -7 -7 -9 -1 -7.7 -6 5 4

    -10.5 -41 -41 -8 -25 -30 -28.8 -29 -30

    -3 -20 -20 -17 -17 -19 -18.5 -8 -9

    -11.5 -41 -41 -14 -25 -32 -30.3 -29 -30

    -6.3 -27 -27 -14 -22 -22.7 -22.5 -15 -16

    -6.3 -27 -27 -14 -22 -22.7 -22.5 -15 -16-3.5 -10 -10 -28 -21 -16 -17.3 2 1

    1.3 -13 -13 -13 1 -13 -9.5 -1 -2

    2.3 -3 -3 -9 -10 -5 -6.3 9 8

    -12.5 -26 -26 -26 -26 -26 -26 -14 -15

    -12.5 -27 -27 -27 -27 -27 -27 -15 -16

    -2 -13 -13 -18 -18 -14.7 -15.5 -1 -2

    -0.5 -13 -13 -13 -13 -13 -13 -1 -2

    -10.5 -23 -23 -23 -23 -23 -23 -11 -12

    -2 -13 -13 -18 -18 -14.7 -15.5 -1 -2

    -5.5 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18 -6 -7

    -3.5 -16 -16 -18 -18 -16.7 -17 -4 -5

    -3.5 -16 -16 -18 -18 -16.7 -17 -4 -5-3.5 -16 -16 -18 -18 -16.7 -17 -4 -5

    -4.8 -18 -18 -20 -20 -18.7 -19 -6 -7

    -4.8 -18 -18 -20 -20 -18.7 -19 -6 -7

    -7.5 -22 -22 -22 -22 -22 -22 -10 -11

    -6.5 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18 -6 -7

    1.5 -8 -8 -12 -14 -9.3 -10.5 4 3

    3.5 -7 -7 -7 -7 -7 -7 5 4

    -1.5 -8 -10 -18 -20 -12 -14 4 1

    4.8 -14 -4 -13 -2 -10.3 -8.3 -2 7

    1.5 -8 -8 -12 -14 -9.3 -10.5 4 3

    2.8 -12 -7 -12 -12 -10.3 -10.8 0 4

    1.5 -7 -7 -12 -13 -8.7 -9.8 5 4

    4.3 -10 -8 -10 -10 -9.3 -9.5 2 3

    5 -4 -4 -16 5 -8 -4.8 8 7

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    30/43

    c28 p28 g28 f28 w29 r29 c29 p29 g29

    -5 16 1.3 5 -10 -10 -14 -7 -11.3

    -4 -8 -21 -17.8 -55 -55 -13 -38 -41

    -13 0 -10 -7.5 -38 -38 -23 -29 -33

    -10 -8 -23 -19.3 -55 -55 -21 -38 -43.7

    -10 -5 -13.7 -11.5 -36 -36 -21 -34 -31

    -10 -5 -13.7 -11.5 -36 -36 -21 -34 -31-24 -4 -7 -6.3 -10 -10 -31 -29 -17

    -9 18 -4 1.5 -22 -22 -16 -5 -20

    -5 7 4 4.8 -8 -8 -12 -13 -9.3

    -22 -9 -17 -15 -27 -27 -27 -27 -27

    -23 -10 -18 -16 -31 -31 -31 -31 -31

    -14 -1 -5.7 -4.5 -28 -28 -28 -28 -28

    -9 4 -4 -2 -24 -24 -24 -24 -24

    -19 -6 -14 -12 -34 -34 -34 -34 -34

    -14 -1 -5.7 -4.5 -28 -28 -28 -28 -28

    -14 -1 -9 -7 -29 -29 -29 -29 -29

    -14 -1 -7.7 -6 -28 -28 -28 -28 -28

    -14 -1 -7.7 -6 -28 -28 -28 -28 -28-14 -1 -7.7 -6 -28 -28 -28 -28 -28

    -16 -3 -9.7 -8 -31 -31 -31 -31 -31

    -16 -3 -9.7 -8 -31 -31 -31 -31 -31

    -18 -5 -13 -11 -33 -33 -33 -33 -33

    -14 -1 -9 -7 -28 -28 -28 -28 -28

    -8 3 -0.3 0.5 -13 -15 -19 -20 -15.7

    -3 10 2 4 -19 -19 -19 -19 -19

    -14 -3 -3 -3 -13 -14 -21 -23 -16

    -9 15 -1.3 2.8 -23 -15 -22 -8 -20

    -8 3 -0.3 0.5 -13 -15 -19 -20 -15.7

    -8 5 -1.3 0.3 -17 -14 -16 -16 -15.7

    -8 4 0.3 1.3 -15 -17 -20 -22 -17.3

    -6 7 -0.3 1.5 -26 -12 -26 -26 -21.3

    -12 22 1 6.3 -5 -5 -20 1 -10

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    31/43

    f29 w30 r30 c30 p30 g30 f30

    -10.3 7 6 -8 16 1.7 5.3

    -40.3 -38 -39 -7 -15 -28 -24.8

    -32 -21 -22 -17 -6 -20 -16.5

    -42.3 -38 -39 -15 -15 -30.7 -26.8

    -31.8 -19 -20 -15 -11 -18 -16.3

    -31.8 -19 -20 -15 -11 -18 -16.3-20 7 6 -25 -6 -4 -4.5

    -16.3 -5 -6 -10 18 -7 -0.8

    -10.3 9 8 -6 10 3.7 5.3

    -27 -10 -11 -21 -4 -14 -11.5

    -31 -14 -15 -25 -8 -18 -15.5

    -28 -11 -12 -22 -5 -15 -12.5

    -24 -7 -8 -18 -1 -11 -8.5

    -34 -17 -18 -28 -11 -21 -18.5

    -28 -11 -12 -22 -5 -15 -12.5

    -29 -12 -13 -23 -6 -16 -13.5

    -28 -11 -12 -22 -5 -15 -12.5

    -28 -11 -12 -22 -5 -15 -12.5-28 -11 -12 -22 -5 -15 -12.5

    -31 -14 -15 -25 -8 -18 -15.5

    -31 -14 -15 -25 -8 -18 -15.5

    -33 -16 -17 -27 -10 -20 -17.5

    -28 -11 -12 -22 -5 -15 -12.5

    -16.8 4 1 -13 3 -2.7 -1.3

    -19 -2 -3 -13 4 -6 -3.5

    -17.8 4 2 -15 0 -3 -2.3

    -17 -6 1 -16 15 -7 -1.5

    -16.8 4 1 -13 3 -2.7 -1.3

    -15.8 0 2 -10 7 -2.7 -0.3

    -18.5 2 -1 -14 1 -4.3 -3

    -22.5 -9 4 -20 -3 -8.3 -7

    -7.3 12 11 -14 24 3 8.3

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    32/43

    File Code BLS Code BLS Region 1 BLS Region 2 w31 r31

    1 9Argentina Argentina -2 -2

    2 21 Brazil Brazil -8 -8

    3 138 Mexico Mexico -11 -11

    4 906 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Exp. Latin Amer 1 -9 -9

    5 907 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Imp. Latin Amer 2 -7 -7

    6 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3 -7 -77 231 USA USA -8 -8

    8 33 Canada Canada -4 -4

    9 888 EU Europe 1 1

    10 223 Turkey Turkey -4 -4

    11 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics -6 -6

    12 59 Egypt Egypt -4 -4

    13 114 Kenya Kenya -2 -2

    14 159 Nigeria Nigeria -12 -12

    15 901Afr. Oil Exporters Africa 1 -4 -4

    16 902Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 2 -7 -7

    17 903Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 3 -6 -6

    18 904Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4 -6 -619 905Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5 -6 -6

    20 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High Inc. NE Asia 1 -7 -7

    21 913 N.E.A. Med.-Low Inc. NE Asia 2 -7 -7

    22 165 Pakistan Pakistan -7 -6

    23 100 India India -8 -7

    24 101 Indonesia Indonesia 3 -1

    25 216 Thailand Thailand 1 1

    26 41 China China -3 -4

    27 110 Japan Japan -3 3

    28 909 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc. Cal. Exp. FE Asia 1 4 -1

    29 910 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc. Cal. Imp. FE Asia 2 2 1

    30 911 F.E.A. Low Inc. FE Asia 3 3 -2

    31 10Australia Australia -5 -3

    32 156 New Zealand New Zealand 2 2

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    33/43

    c31 p31 g31 f31 w32 r32 c32 p32 g32

    -1 3 -1.7 -0.5 3 1 1 10 1.7

    -1 -4 -5.7 -5.3 -4 -6 3 3 -2.3

    -7 -1 -9.7 -7.5 -6 -8 -5 6 -6.3

    -1 -4 -6.3 -5.8 -5 -7 1 3 -3.7

    -2 -2 -5.3 -4.5 -2 -4 0 5 -2

    -2 -2 -5.3 -4.5 -2 -4 0 5 -2-4 6 -6.7 -3.5 -3 -5 -2 13 -3.3

    -2 10 -3.3 0 0 -2 -1 16 -1

    1 -2 1 0.3 5 3 2 4 3.3

    -5 -8 -4.3 -5.3 0 -2 -4 -2 -2

    -4 -6 -5.3 -5.5 -2 -4 -3 0 -3

    -8 -8 -5.3 -6 0 -2 -7 -2 -3

    -2 -2 -2 -2 2 0 -1 4 0.3

    -12 -12 -12 -12 -7 -9 -10 -5 -8.7

    -8 -8 -5.3 -6 0 -2 -7 -2 -3

    -7 -7 -7 -7 -3 -5 -6 -1 -4.7

    -7 -8 -6.3 -6.8 -1 -3 -5 -1 -3

    -7 -8 -6.3 -6.8 -1 -3 -5 -1 -3-7 -8 -6.3 -6.8 -1 -3 -5 -1 -3

    -9 -9 -7.7 -8 -2 -4 -7 -2 -4.3

    -9 -9 -7.7 -8 -2 -4 -7 -2 -4.3

    -5 -8 -6 -6.5 -3 -4 -4 -2 -3.7

    -7 -9 -7.3 -7.8 -4 -5 -6 -3 -5

    -4 -4 -0.7 -1.5 7 1 -3 2 1.7

    1 1 1 1 5 3 2 7 3.3

    -3 -6 -3.3 -4 1 -2 -2 0 -1

    1 3 0.3 1 1 5 2 9 2.7

    -3 -4 0 -1 9 2 -1 3 3.3

    -3 -3 0 -0.8 6 3 -2 3 2.3

    -3 -5 -0.7 -1.8 8 1 -1 2 2.7

    -4 -5 -4 -4.3 -1 -1 -3 1 -1.7

    -1 11 1 3.5 7 5 1 18 4.3

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    34/43

    f32 w33 r33 c33 p33 g33 f33 w34 r34

    3.8 -2 -2 -4 1 -2.7 -1.8 6 3

    -1 -5 -5 3 0 -2.3 -1.8 3 0

    -3.3 -12 -12 -10 -3 -11.3 -9.3 -4 -7

    -2 -5 -5 1 0 -3 -2.3 3 0

    -0.3 -4 -4 0 1 -2.7 -1.8 4 1

    -0.3 -4 -4 0 1 -2.7 -1.8 4 10.8 -5 -5 -7 3 -5.7 -3.5 3 0

    3.3 -2 -2 1 14 -1 2.8 4 3

    3.5 0 0 1 -3 0.3 -0.5 6 5

    -2 -3 -3 -4 -9 -3.3 -4.8 3 2

    -2.3 -5 -5 -1 -5 -3.7 -4 1 0

    -2.8 -8 -8 -11 -11 -9 -9.5 -2 -3

    1.3 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 1 0

    -7.8 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15 -7 -10

    -2.8 -8 -8 -11 -11 -9 -9.5 -2 -3

    -3.8 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -4 -5

    -2.5 -9 -9 -10 -11 -9.3 -9.8 -1 -4

    -2.5 -9 -9 -10 -11 -9.3 -9.8 -1 -4-2.5 -9 -9 -10 -11 -9.3 -9.8 -1 -4

    -3.8 -12 -12 -13 -14 -12.3 -12.8 -4 -7

    -3.8 -12 -12 -13 -14 -12.3 -12.8 -4 -7

    -3.3 -11 -11 -9 -12 -10.3 -10.8 -5 -6

    -4.5 -13 -12 -10 -14 -11.7 -12.3 -7 -7

    1.8 5 -3 -6 -6 -1.3 -2.5 11 2

    4.3 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 5 4

    -0.8 -2 -5 -2 -7 -3 -4 4 0

    4.3 -4 3 2 3 0.3 1 2 8

    3.3 5 -3 -4 -6 -0.7 -2 13 2

    2.5 4 0 -3 -3 0.3 -0.5 10 5

    2.5 3 -4 -5 -7 -2 -3.3 11 1

    -1 -5 0 -3 -5 -2.7 -3.3 1 5

    7.8 0 0 -3 10 -1 1.8 8 5

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    35/43

    c34 p34 g34 f34 w35 r35 c35 p35 g35

    -2 12 2.3 4.8 -3 -3 -4 2 -3.3

    5 11 2.7 4.8 -22 -22 -5 -16 -16.3

    -8 8 -6.3 -2.8 -10 -10 -12 -8 -10.7

    3 11 2 4.3 -28 -28 -6 -12 -20.7

    2 12 2.3 4.8 -19 -19 -8 -11 -15.3

    2 12 2.3 4.8 -19 -19 -8 -11 -15.3-5 14 -0.7 3 -6 -6 -18 -7 -10

    2 22 3 7.8 -4 -4 1 14 -2.3

    2 5 4.3 4.5 0 0 1 -4 0.3

    -3 -1 0.7 0.3 -5 -5 -5 -11 -5

    0 3 0.3 1 -7 -7 -3 -7 -5.7

    -10 -3 -5 -4.5 -8 -8 -12 -12 -9.3

    -4 3 -1 0 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5

    -13 -4 -10 -8.5 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15

    -10 -3 -5 -4.5 -8 -8 -12 -12 -9.3

    -9 -2 -6 -5 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10

    -8 0 -4.3 -3.3 -8 -8 -10 -10 -8.7

    -8 0 -4.3 -3.3 -8 -8 -10 -10 -8.7-8 0 -4.3 -3.3 -8 -8 -10 -10 -8.7

    -11 -3 -7.3 -6.3 -14 -14 -16 -16 -14.7

    -11 -3 -7.3 -6.3 -14 -14 -16 -16 -14.7

    -8 -4 -6.3 -5.8 -14 -13 -11 -16 -12.7

    -9 -6 -7.7 -7.3 -15 -14 -12 -17 -13.7

    -5 2 2.7 2.5 -4 -6 -11 -11 -7

    0 7 3 4 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3

    -1 1 1 1 0 -3 -1 -8 -1.3

    3 11 4.3 6 -5 3 2 3 0

    -2 5 4.3 4.5 -5 -6 -10 -11 -7

    -2 5 4.3 4.5 -4 -2 -7 -7 -4.3

    -3 4 3 3.3 -6 -7 -10 -12 -7.7

    -2 3 1.3 1.8 -6 -6 -3 -6 -5

    -1 21 4 8.3 -2 -2 -8 10 -4

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    36/43

    f35 w36 r36 c36 p36 g36 f36 w37 r37

    -2 8 7 -1 16 4.7 7.5 -3 -3

    -16.3 -14 -17 -3 -1 -11.3 -8.8 -6 -6

    -10 1 0 -9 6 -2.7 -0.5 -15 -15

    -18.5 -17 -17 -6 -1 -13.3 -10.3 -9 -9

    -14.3 -8 -9 -5 3 -7.3 -4.8 -7 -7

    -14.3 -8 -9 -5 3 -7.3 -4.8 -7 -7-9.3 5 4 -15 7 -2 0.3 -4 -4

    1.8 4 1 3 25 2.7 8.3 -3 -3

    -0.8 8 5 3 7 5.3 5.8 -1 -1

    -6.5 3 0 -3 0 0 0 -6 -6

    -6 1 -2 -1 4 -0.7 0.5 -5 -5

    -10 0 -3 -10 -1 -4.3 -3.5 -10 -10

    -5 3 0 -3 6 0 1.5 -9 -9

    -15 -4 -5 -12 -1 -7 -5.5 -19 -19

    -10 0 -3 -10 -1 -4.3 -3.5 -10 -10

    -10 -2 -5 -8 1 -5 -3.5 -14 -14

    -9 3 2 -7 4 -0.7 0.5 -12 -12

    -9 3 2 -7 4 -0.7 0.5 -12 -12-9 3 2 -7 4 -0.7 0.5 -12 -12

    -15 -3 -4 -13 -2 -6.7 -5.5 -17 -17

    -15 -3 -4 -13 -2 -6.7 -5.5 -17 -17

    -13.5 -6 -8 -9 -5 -7.7 -7 -17 -16

    -14.5 -7 -9 -10 -6 -8.7 -8 -20 -19

    -8 4 -1 -9 0 -2 -1.5 -1 -8

    -3 5 2 -1 8 2 3.5 -7 -7

    -3 8 2 1 3 3.7 3.5 0 -7

    0.8 3 8 4 14 5 7.3 -6 2

    -8 6 4 -7 3 1 1.5 -1 -8

    -5 4 3 -5 4 0.7 1.5 0 -2

    -8.8 5 3 -7 2 0.3 0.8 6 -6

    -5.3 2 -1 -1 5 0 1.3 -8 -4

    -0.5 9 8 -5 24 4 9 5 5

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    37/43

    c37 p37 g37 f37 w38 r38 c38 p38 g38

    1 7 -1.7 0.5 7 5 4 21 5.3

    2 -12 -3.3 -5.5 4 2 5 2 3.7

    -19 -11 -16.3 -15 -5 -7 -16 3 -9.3

    3 -5 -5 -5 1 -1 6 9 2

    2 -2 -4 -3.5 3 1 5 12 3

    2 -2 -4 -3.5 3 1 5 12 30 7 -2.7 -0.3 6 4 3 21 4.3

    2 15 -1.3 2.8 7 5 5 29 5.7

    1 -4 -0.3 -1.3 9 7 4 10 6.7

    -5 -10 -5.7 -6.8 4 2 -2 4 1.3

    0 -5 -3.3 -3.8 5 3 3 9 3.7

    -14 -14 -11.3 -12 0 -2 -11 0 -4.3

    -9 -9 -9 -9 1 -1 -6 5 -2

    -19 -19 -19 -19 -9 -11 -16 -5 -12

    -14 -14 -11.3 -12 0 -2 -11 0 -4.3

    -14 -14 -14 -14 -4 -6 -11 0 -7

    -14 -14 -12.7 -13 -2 -4 -11 0 -5.7

    -14 -14 -12.7 -13 -2 -4 -11 0 -5.7-14 -14 -12.7 -13 -2 -4 -11 0 -5.7

    -19 -19 -17.7 -18 -7 -9 -16 -5 -10.7

    -19 -19 -17.7 -18 -7 -9 -16 -5 -10.7

    -13 -19 -15.3 -16.3 -7 -8 -10 -5 -8.3

    -16 -22 -18.3 -19.3 -10 -11 -13 -8 -11.3

    -11 -11 -6.7 -7.8 9 0 -8 3 0.3

    -7 -7 -7 -7 3 1 -4 7 0

    -1 -8 -2.7 -4 10 1 2 6 4.3

    2 3 -0.7 0.3 4 10 5 17 6.3

    -11 -11 -6.7 -7.8 9 0 -8 3 0.3

    -5 -5 -2.3 -3 10 6 -2 9 4.7

    -14 -14 -4.7 -7 16 2 -11 0 2.3

    -5 -8 -5.7 -6.3 2 4 -2 6 1.3

    6 14 5.3 7.5 15 13 9 28 12.3

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    38/43

    f38 w39 r39 c39 p39 g39 f39 w40 r40

    9.3 -1 -1 -2 2 -1.3 -0.5 3 1

    3.3 -11 -11 -2 -19 -8 -10.8 -7 -9

    -6.3 -10 -10 -11 -3 -10.3 -8.5 -6 -8

    3.8 -13 -13 -2 -11 -9.3 -9.8 -9 -11

    5.3 -10 -10 -3 -9 -7.7 -8 -6 -8

    5.3 -10 -10 -3 -9 -7.7 -8 -6 -88.5 -6 -5 -3 -4 -4.7 -4.5 -2 -3

    11.5 -3 -3 -2 5 -2.7 -0.8 1 -1

    7.5 0 0 0 -6 0 -1.5 4 2

    2 -4 -4 -5 -9 -4.3 -5.5 0 -2

    5 -7 -6 -5 -8 -6 -6.5 -3 -4

    -3.3 -5 -5 -8 -8 -6 -6.5 -1 -3

    -0.3 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3 1 -1

    -10.3 -13 -13 -13 -13 -13 -13 -9 -11

    -3.3 -5 -5 -8 -8 -6 -6.5 -1 -3

    -5.3 -8 -8 -8 -8 -8 -8 -4 -6

    -4.3 -6 -6 -8 -8 -6.7 -7 -2 -4

    -4.3 -6 -6 -8 -8 -6.7 -7 -2 -4-4.3 -6 -6 -8 -8 -6.7 -7 -2 -4

    -9.3 -8 -8 -9 -9 -8.3 -8.5 -4 -6

    -9.3 -8 -8 -9 -9 -8.3 -8.5 -4 -6

    -7.5 -7 -6 -6 -8 -6.3 -6.8 -3 -4

    -10.5 -9 -8 -8 -10 -8.3 -8.8 -5 -6

    1 -7 -3 -7 -7 -5.7 -6 -3 -1

    1.8 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 3 1

    4.8 2 -2 0 -8 0 -2 6 0

    9 -2 3 2 4 1 1.8 2 5

    1 -7 -3 -7 -7 -5.7 -6 -3 -1

    5.8 -7 0 -4 -4 -3.7 -3.8 -3 2

    1.8 -11 -4 -12 -12 -9 -9.8 -7 -2

    2.5 -7 -3 -5 -8 -5 -5.8 -3 -1

    16.3 -1 -1 -2 5 -1.3 0.3 3 1

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    39/43

    c40 p40 g40 f40 w41 r41 c41 p41 g41

    -1 8 1 2.8 -3 -3 0 6 -2

    -1 -13 -5.7 -7.5 -6 -6 1 -14 -3.7

    -10 3 -8 -5.3 -10 -10 -16 -9 -12

    -1 -5 -7 -6.5 -7 -7 3 -5 -3.7

    -2 -3 -5.3 -4.8 -6 -6 1 -3 -3.7

    -2 -3 -5.3 -4.8 -6 -6 1 -3 -3.7-2 5 -2.3 -0.5 -8 -8 -2 4 -6

    -1 11 -0.3 2.5 -9 -8 -3 2 -6.7

    1 0 2.3 1.8 -1 -1 0 -8 -0.7

    -4 -3 -2 -2.3 -5 -5 -5 -10 -5

    -4 -2 -3.7 -3.3 -10 -8 -5 -11 -7.7

    -7 -2 -3.7 -3.3 -8 -8 -11 -11 -9

    -2 3 -0.7 0.3 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5

    -12 -7 -10.7 -9.8 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15

    -7 -2 -3.7 -3.3 -8 -8 -11 -11 -9

    -7 -2 -5.7 -4.8 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10

    -7 -2 -4.3 -3.8 -9 -9 -11 -11 -9.7

    -7 -2 -4.3 -3.8 -9 -9 -11 -11 -9.7-7 -2 -4.3 -3.8 -9 -9 -11 -11 -9.7

    -8 -3 -6 -5.3 -13 -13 -15 -15 -13.7

    -8 -3 -6 -5.3 -13 -13 -15 -15 -13.7

    -5 -2 -4 -3.5 -14 -12 -11 -15 -12.3

    -7 -4 -6 -5.5 -15 -14 -12 -17 -13.7

    -6 -1 -3.3 -2.8 -1 -6 -10 -10 -5.7

    0 5 1.3 2.3 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3

    1 -2 2.3 1.3 -3 -6 -3 -14 -4

    3 10 3.3 5 -6 3 1 2 -0.7

    -6 -1 -3.3 -2.8 -1 -6 -10 -10 -5.7

    -3 2 -1.3 -0.5 -1 -1 -6 -6 -2.7

    -11 -6 -6.7 -6.5 4 -6 -14 -14 -5.3

    -4 -2 -2.7 -2.5 -10 -6 -6 -11 -7.3

    -1 11 1 3.5 0 0 1 11 0.3

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    40/43

    f41 w42 r42 c42 p42 g42 f42 w43 r43

    0 5 2 2 17 3 6.5 -3 -3

    -6.3 2 -1 3 -3 1.3 0.3 -8 -8

    -11.3 -2 -5 -14 2 -7 -4.8 -17 -17

    -4 1 -2 5 6 1.3 2.5 -11 -11

    -3.5 2 -1 3 8 1.3 3 -9 -9

    -3.5 2 -1 3 8 1.3 3 -9 -9-3.5 0 -3 0 15 -1 3 -10 -10

    -4.5 -1 -3 -1 13 -1.7 2 -8 -8

    -2.5 7 4 2 3 4.3 4 -4 -4

    -6.3 3 0 -3 1 0 0.3 -8 -8

    -8.5 -2 -3 -3 0 -2.7 -2 -12 -12

    -9.5 0 -3 -9 0 -4 -3 -13 -13

    -5 3 0 -3 6 0 1.5 -9 -9

    -15 -7 -10 -13 -4 -10 -8.5 -19 -19

    -9.5 0 -3 -9 0 -4 -3 -13 -13

    -10 -2 -5 -8 1 -5 -3.5 -14 -14

    -10 -1 -4 -9 0 -4.7 -3.5 -14 -14

    -10 -1 -4 -9 0 -4.7 -3.5 -14 -14-10 -1 -4 -9 0 -4.7 -3.5 -14 -14

    -14 -5 -8 -13 -4 -8.7 -7.5 -19 -19

    -14 -5 -8 -13 -4 -8.7 -7.5 -19 -19

    -13 -6 -7 -9 -4 -7.3 -6.5 -18 -18

    -14.5 -7 -9 -10 -6 -8.7 -8 -20 -20

    -6.8 7 -1 -8 1 -0.7 -0.3 -4 -9

    -3 5 2 -1 8 2 3.5 -7 -7

    -6.5 5 -1 -1 -3 1 0 -1 -8

    0 2 8 3 13 4.3 6.5 -6 2

    -6.8 7 -1 -8 1 -0.7 -0.3 -4 -9

    -3.5 7 4 -4 5 2.3 3 -3 -3

    -7.5 12 -1 -12 -3 -0.3 -1 1 -8

    -8.3 -2 -1 -4 0 -2.3 -1.8 -14 -8

    3 8 5 3 22 5.3 9.5 0 0

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    41/43

    c43 p43 g43 f43 w44 r44 c44 p44 g44

    -5 1 -3.7 -2.5 9 8 -1 18 5.3

    1 -17 -5 -8 4 3 5 0 4

    -19 -12 -17.7 -16.3 -5 -6 -15 5 -8.7

    1 -9 -7 -7.5 1 0 5 8 2

    0 -6 -6 -6 3 2 4 11 3

    0 -6 -6 -6 3 2 4 11 3-4 3 -8 -5.3 2 1 0 20 1

    -2 4 -6 -3.5 4 3 2 21 3

    -1 -9 -3 -4.5 8 7 3 8 6

    -6 -12 -7.3 -8.5 4 3 -2 5 1.7

    -5 -13 -9.7 -10.5 0 -1 -1 4 -0.7

    -16 -16 -14 -14.5 -1 -2 -12 1 -5

    -9 -9 -9 -9 3 2 -5 8 0

    -19 -19 -19 -19 -7 -8 -15 -2 -10

    -16 -16 -14 -14.5 -1 -2 -12 1 -5

    -14 -14 -14 -14 -2 -3 -10 3 -5

    -15 -15 -14.3 -14.5 -2 -3 -11 2 -5.3

    -15 -15 -14.3 -14.5 -2 -3 -11 2 -5.3-15 -15 -14.3 -14.5 -2 -3 -11 2 -5.3

    -20 -20 -19.3 -19.5 -7 -8 -16 -3 -10.3

    -20 -20 -19.3 -19.5 -7 -8 -16 -3 -10.3

    -14 -21 -16.7 -17.8 -6 -7 -10 -4 -7.7

    -16 -23 -18.7 -19.8 -8 -9 -12 -6 -9.7

    -13 -13 -8.7 -9.8 8 2 -9 4 0.3

    -7 -7 -7 -7 5 4 -3 10 2

    -2 -18 -3.7 -7.3 11 3 2 -1 5.3

    3 3 -0.3 0.5 6 13 7 20 8.7

    -13 -13 -8.7 -9.8 8 2 -9 4 0.3

    -7 -7 -4.3 -5 9 8 -3 10 4.7

    -17 -17 -8 -10.3 13 3 -13 0 1

    -8 -16 -10 -11.5 -2 3 -4 1 -1

    1 12 0.3 3.3 12 11 5 29 9.3

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    42/43

    f44 w45 r45 c45 p45 g45 f45 w46 r46

    8.5 -5 -5 -7 0 -5.7 -4.3 10 9

    3 -14 -14 -1 -23 -9.7 -13 1 0

    -5.3 -22 -22 -21 -16 -21.7 -20.3 -7 -8

    3.5 -20 -20 -3 -18 -14.3 -15.3 -5 -6

    5 -17 -17 -5 -14 -13 -13.3 -2 -3

    5 -17 -17 -5 -14 -13 -13.3 -2 -35.8 -15 -14 -9 -7 -12.7 -11.3 0 0

    7.5 -14 -14 -5 0 -11 -8.3 1 0

    6.5 -11 -11 -5 -12 -9 -9.8 4 3

    2.5 -14 -14 -9 -14 -12.3 -12.8 1 0

    0.5 -14 -14 -5 -14 -11 -11.8 1 0

    -3.5 -16 -16 -20 -20 -17.3 -18 -1 -2

    2 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 5 4

    -8 -20 -20 -20 -20 -20 -20 -5 -6

    -3.5 -16 -16 -20 -20 -17.3 -18 -1 -2

    -3 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15 0 -1

    -3.5 -16 -16 -18 -18 -16.7 -17 -1 -2

    -3.5 -16 -16 -18 -18 -16.7 -17 -1 -2-3.5 -16 -16 -18 -18 -16.7 -17 -1 -2

    -8.5 -23 -23 -25 -25 -23.7 -24 -8 -9

    -8.5 -23 -23 -25 -25 -23.7 -24 -8 -9

    -6.8 -23 -22 -18 -25 -21 -22 -8 -8

    -8.8 -23 -22 -18 -25 -21 -22 -8 -8

    1.3 -6 -11 -15 -15 -10.7 -11.8 9 3

    4 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 4 3

    3.8 -5 -10 -4 -21 -6.3 -10 10 4

    11.5 -10 0 0 1 -3.3 -2.3 5 14

    1.3 -6 -11 -15 -15 -10.7 -11.8 9 3

    6 -4 -4 -8 -8 -5.3 -6 11 10

    0.8 2 -8 -16 -16 -7.3 -9.5 17 6

    -0.5 -18 -9 -11 -21 -12.7 -14.8 -3 5

    14.3 -2 -2 -2 11 -2 1.3 13 12

  • 7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply

    43/43

    c46 p46 g46 f46

    -2 20 5.7 9.3

    4 -3 1.7 0.5

    -16 4 -10.3 -6.8

    2 2 -3 -1.8

    0 6 -1.7 0.3

    0 6 -1.7 0.3-4 13 -1.3 2.3

    0 20 0.3 5.3

    0 8 2.3 3.8

    -4 6 -1 0.8

    0 6 0.3 1.8

    -15 0 -6 -4.5

    -5 10 1.3 3.5

    -15 0 -8.7 -6.5

    -15 0 -6 -4.5

    -10 5 -3.7 -1.5

    -13 2 -5.3 -3.5

    -13 2 -5.3 -3.5-13 2 -5.3 -3.5

    -20 -5 -12.3 -10.5

    -20 -5 -12.3 -10.5

    -13 -5 -9.7 -8.5

    -13 -5 -9.7 -8.5

    -10 5 0.7 1.8

    -6 9 0.3 2.5

    1 -1 5 3.5

    5 21 8 11.3

    -10 5 0.7 1.8

    -3 12 6 7.5

    -11 4 4 4

    -6 -1 -1.3 -1.3

    3 31 9.3 14.8