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Potential Impacts of Climate Change on World Food Supply, v1 (19952110)
and Ana Iglesias of Universidad Politecnica de Madrid anddisseminated by the NASA
Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC), managed by CIESIN at Columbia
University
Original release: October, 2000http://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/crop-climate-potential-impacts-world-food-supply
Food Production from SRES Emissions and Socioeconomic Scenarios, v1 (19702080)" by the same
authors. Users are recommended to use the new data instead. SEDAC is maintaining this data set for
reference purposes.
Data DescriptionGlobal Climate Models) were used as inputs for crop simulation models at 125 agricultural sites
representing major world agricultural regions. These process-based dynamic crop growth models
simulate the effects of meteorological variables (e.g., temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation),
environmental modifications (e.g. CO2 enrichment), and crop management strategies (e.g., fertilization,
irrigation, and timing of labors) on crop physiology and yields. Models were used for the three most
significant cereal crops - wheat, rice, and coarse grains (e.g., maize, barley, etc) - which collectively
account for over 85% of global cereal exports, and for soy bean, which accounts for 67% of trade in
protein cake equivalent. For each GCM scenario (GISS, GFDL and UK Met Office), three levels of
1) No adaptation;
policy changes, such as shifts in planting dates, variety and crop, and increases in water application to
3) Level 2 adaptation: higher order adaptations that imply significant additional costs to the farmers,
such as large shifts in crop production timing, increased fertilizer application, installation of irrigationsystems, and development of new varieties, and/or changes in policy.
GCMs for an increased CO2 driven climate change, at the different adaptation levels described above,
both with and without the direct effects of CO2 enrichment on crop physiology. A full list of the 46
scenarios used in this set of studies can be found under the Scenario section of this web resource.
Once the crop simulation models were run, the estimated change in yields for each crop at specific field
stations were used to estimate changes at sub-national or national levels (depending on the number of
agricultural sites per country), and these changes were then aggregated to the trade economic regions
of the economic model used (BLS). If a crop is simply not present in a country, then the estimated
change in yields was not calculated (e.g., rice in Canada). For those countries that did not include
agricultural sites, the results were extrapolated on the basis of their crop-climate profiles. This web
resource makes available the estimated percentage change in yield for the four commodities (wheat,
changes that are already anticipated to take place, such as projected future increases in yields due to
changes in technology. The adaptation scenarios include different levels of agricultural technology and
inputs. The rate of technological innovations considered in adaptation Level 2 is correlated to the
economic regional development. For other caveats and to better understand the limitations of the data,
read through the data limitations section of this web resource.
http://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/crop-climate-potential-impacts-world-food-supplyhttp://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/crop-climate-potential-impacts-world-food-supply7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
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More on the Basic Linked Systemcomprised of 16 national (including EU) models with a common structure, 4 models with country-
specific structure and 14 regional group models. The political changes as well as changes in national
boundaries of the very recent past are not in the BLS, although the model formulation has been
adjusted away from centrally planned economies to more market-oriented behavior. The 20 models in
the first two groups cover approximately 80 percent of world agricultural production; the remaining 20%is covered by the 14 regional models for countries with broadly similar attributes (for example African oil-
exporting countries or Latin American high-income exporting countries). The BLS is a general
equilibrium model system, with representation of all economic sectors, empirically estimated
parameters and no unaccounted supply sources or demand sinks. Countries are linked through trade,
Data Set Limitations
To better interpret the data sets developed by crop modeling studies, users need to be aware of the
many uncertainties that could not be addressed.
1. Pests and diseases.The potential effects of climate change on crop damage due to pests and
diseases was not considered in the study and assumed to remain at the current level. At present
damage is estimated to reduce potential global crop yields by 30% each year. Future changes in
temperature and precipitation will undoubtedly effect the prevalence and geographic extent of specific
pests such as bacteria, nematodes, and insects, which in turn will impact upon crop losses.
2. Climatic variability.Increased seasonal or annual climatic variability as well as variability across small
geographic areas is expected to go hand-in-hand with broader secular trends in temperature increase.
These seasonal, annual and geographic variations are not captured very well by existing GCMs, and
therefore were not accounted for in this study. For more on this topic, see studies on climate variability
3. Extreme weather events.Climate change is predicted to affect the frequency and severity of extreme
weather events such as cyclones, hurricanes, and prolonged droughts. Extreme weather events can
result in significant crop losses from wind damage, flooding, or inadequate soil moisture. Although it is
recognized that extreme weather will affect future yields, it is very difficult to model such stochastic
4. Impacts of CO2enrichment.Thus far, the applications of enhanced concentrations of CO2to crops
have been conducted in highly controlled laboratory experiments. The only exception to this is a major
field-based set of experiments in Arizona calledthe FACE experiments. In all cases the crop growing
conditions differ from those in the real world, most notably in the control of weed competitors. Under
normal conditions, crops compete with weeds, which also respond to climate change and enriched
CO2. Depending on the circumstances, the effect of climate change may be for weeds to grow faster
than field crops. This would have a negative impact on crop yields, and would in all likelihood require
For more on these and other factors that cannot fully be taken into account in crop-climate modeling,
see the recent report entitledClimate Change and U.S. Agriculture: The Impacts of Warming and
Extreme Weather Events on Productivity, Plant Diseases, and Pestsby Rosenzweig,et al.
The Climate Change ScenariosScenarios of future climate were derived from the output of general circulation models (GCMs) driven
by anticipated changes in atmospheric composition (e.g., CO2emissions, sulphate aerosols,
etc).GCMsare mathematical models that describe the processes that are known to occur in the earth's
climate system and their possible interactions. Such models are used to forecast the trend of climate
over the coming decades. Their results are still tentative and should not be accepted uncritically.
However, we should examine the implications of their predictions, while continuing to look for the
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Two kinds of climate change scenarios were utilized: equilibrium scenarios and transient scenarios. The
former are based on the assumption of a doubling of atmospheric CO2concentrations from pre-
industrial levels (i.e., from 227 ppm to 555 ppm). When that will happen no one can be sure, so
equilibrium scenarios are not tied to specific future dates, but rather simply reflect the point at which
CO2is doubled in the atmosphere. The equilibrium scenarios for three major GCMs were utilized in this
study: TheGoddard Institute for Space Studies(GISS), theGeophysical Fluid Dynamics
Transient scenarios, by contrast, are time dependent. They tell you what will happen at some date in
the future based on assumptions contained within the model. The transient scenarios considered were
derived from simulations with theHadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research'sClimate Model 2
(HadCM2) and Climate Model 3 (HadCM3) of the UK Met Office. The studies analyzed three sets of
scenarios derived from the HadCM2 and HadCM3 models with different forcing emmission scenarios.
HadCM3-A: A variation of the HadCM3 model forced with greenhouse gas concentrations derived
form the IS95a emission scenario.
HadCM2-S550: HadCM2 model forced with a CO2stabilization scenario (clean scenario). This
simulation assumes a major policy effort to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, with stabilization at
HadCM2-S750: HadCM2 model forced with a CO2stabilization scenario (less clean scenario). This
simulation assumes a more modest policy effort to bring about stabilization of CO2emissions to 750
The Agricultural ScenariosFuture agricultural scenarios were the combination of the climate change, crop response scenarios (i.e.,
physiological response to elevated CO2), and farmers' adaptive responses. Thus, the crop simulations
were based on some combination of the following assumptions:
Climate change scenarios [8 to choose from] +
CO2effects on crop growth [either with or without] +
Adaptation [none, level 1 and level 2]
For more information on these agricultural scenarios, please see theMethodologysection above.
Data Set Citation Supply, v1 (19952110). Palisades, NY: Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC),
Columbia University. Available at http://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/crop-climate-potential-
impacts-world-food-supply (date of download)
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Scenario Time_Slice
CO2
effects CO2 ppm
Adapt-
ation wheat rice
coarse
grains
protein
feed grains
four
commo-
dities
GISS Equilibrium No 330 No -46 -46 -17 -17 -36 -32
GISS Equilibrium Yes 555 No -34 -35 -13 0 -27 -21
GISS Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 1 -15 -15 0 17 -10 -3
GISS Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 2 0 0 0 17 0 4
GFDL Equilibrium No 330 No -43 -43 -28 -28 -38 -36
GFDL Equilibrium Yes 555 No -31 -32 -24 -11 -29 -25
GFDL Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 1 -11 -11 -10 6 -11 -7GFDL Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 2 -6 -6 -5 6 -6 -3
UKMO Equilibrium No 330 No -52 -52 -25 -25 -43 -39
UKMO Equilibrium Yes 555 No -40 -41 -21 -8 -34 -28
UKMO Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 1 -20 -20 -7 9 -16 -10
UKMO Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 2 -10 -10 -3 9 -8 -4
CM3-A 2020 No 330 Level 1 -2 -2 -4 1 -3 -2
CM3-A 2020 Yes 475 Level 1 4 2 0 9 2 4
CM3-A 2050 No 330 Level 1 -7 -7 -9 -1 -8 -6
CM3-A 2050 Yes 574 Level 1 5 4 -5 16 1 5
CM3-A 2080 No 330 Level 1 -10 -10 -14 -7 -11 -10
CM3-A 2080 Yes 712 Level 1 7 6 -8 16 2 5
CM2-S550 2020 No 330 Level 1 -2 -2 -1 3 -2 -1
CM2-S550 2020 Yes 410 Level 1 3 1 1 10 2 4
CM2-S550 2050 No 330 Level 1 -2 -2 -4 1 -3 -2
CM2-S550 2050 Yes 458 Level 1 6 3 -2 12 2 5CM2-S550 2080 No 330 Level 1 -3 -3 -4 2 -3 -2
CM2-S550 2080 Yes 498 Level 1 8 7 -1 16 5 8
CM2-S550 2110 No 330 Level 1 -3 -3 1 7 -2 1
CM2-S550 2110 Yes 530 Level 1 7 5 4 21 5 9
CM2-S750 2020 No 330 Level 1 -1 -1 -2 2 -1 -1
CM2-S750 2020 Yes 424 Level 1 3 1 -1 8 1 3
CM2-S750 2050 No 330 Level 1 -3 -3 0 6 -2 0
CM2-S750 2050 Yes 501 Level 1 5 2 2 17 3 7
CM2-S750 2080 No 330 Level 1 -3 -3 -5 1 -4 -3
CM2-S750 2080 Yes 577 Level 1 9 8 -1 18 5 9
CM2-S750 2110 No 330 Level 1 -5 -5 -7 0 -6 -4
CM2-S750 2110 Yes 643 Level 1 10 9 -2 20 6 9
GISS Equilibrium No 330 No -51 -35 -19 -35 -35 -35
GISS Equilibrium Yes 555 No -39 -24 -15 -18 -26 -24
GISS Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 1 -33 -16 -12 13 -20 -12
GISS Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 2 -16 -8 -6 13 -10 -4GFDL Equilibrium No 330 No -38 -26 -20 -20 -28 -26
GFDL Equilibrium Yes 555 No -26 -15 -16 -3 -19 -15
GFDL Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 1 -17 -7 -13 11 -12 -7
GFDL Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 2 -8 -3 -6 11 -6 -2
UKMO Equilibrium No 330 No -53 -44 -27 -53 -41 -44
UKMO Equilibrium Yes 555 No -41 -33 -23 -36 -32 -33
UKMO Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 1 -31 -25 -20 -7 -25 -21
UKMO Equilibrium Yes 555 Level 2 -15 -12 -10 -3 -12 -10
CM3-A 2020 No 330 Level 1 -24 -24 -3 -13 -17 -16
CM3-A 2020 Yes 475 Level 1 -18 -20 1 -5 -12 -11
CM3-A 2050 No 330 Level 1 -41 -41 -8 -25 -30 -29
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CM3-A 2050 Yes 574 Level 1 -29 -30 -4 -8 -21 -18
CM3-A 2080 No 330 Level 1 -55 -55 -13 -38 -41 -40
CM3-A 2080 Yes 712 Level 1 -38 -39 -7 -15 -28 -25
CM2-S550 2020 No 330 Level 1 -8 -8 -1 -4 -6 -5
CM2-S550 2020 Yes 410 Level 1 -4 -6 3 3 -2 -1
CM2-S550 2050 No 330 Level 1 -5 -5 3 0 -2 -2
CM2-S550 2050 Yes 458 Level 1 3 0 5 11 3 5
CM2-S550 2080 No 330 Level 1 -22 -22 -5 -16 -16 -16
CM2-S550 2080 Yes 498 Level 1 -14 -17 -3 -1 -11 -9
CM2-S550 2110 No 330 Level 1 -6 -6 2 -12 -3 -6CM2-S550 2110 Yes 530 Level 1 4 2 5 2 4 3
CM2-S750 2020 No 330 Level 1 -11 -11 -2 -19 -8 -11
CM2-S750 2020 Yes 424 Level 1 -7 -9 -1 -13 -6 -8
CM2-S750 2050 No 330 Level 1 -6 -6 1 -14 -4 -6
CM2-S750 2050 Yes 501 Level 1 2 -1 3 -3 1 0
CM2-S750 2080 No 330 Level 1 -8 -8 1 -17 -5 -8
CM2-S750 2080 Yes 577 Level 1 4 3 5 0 4 3
CM2-S750 2110 No 330 Level 1 -14 -14 -1 -23 -10 -13
CM2-S750 2110 Yes 643 Level 1 1 0 4 -3 2 1
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Note that these scenarios wereremoved from the data set owing to
problems with the crop response data
(January 2007).
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File Code BLS Code BLS Region 1 BLS Region 2
1 9Argentina Argentina
2 21 Brazil Brazil
3 138 Mexico Mexico
4 906 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Exp. Latin Amer 1
5 907 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Imp. Latin Amer 2
6 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 37 231 USA USA
8 33 Canada Canada
9 888 EU Europe
10 223 Turkey Turkey
11 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics
12 59 Egypt Egypt
13 114 Kenya Kenya
14 159 Nigeria Nigeria
15 901Afr. Oil Exporters Africa 1
16 902Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 2
17 903Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 3
18 904Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 419 905Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5
20 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High Inc. NE Asia 1
21 913 N.E.A. Med.-Low Inc. NE Asia 2
22 165 Pakistan Pakistan
23 100 India India
24 101 Indonesia Indonesia
25 216 Thailand Thailand
26 41 China China
27 110 Japan Japan
28 909 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc. Cal. Exp. FE Asia 1
29 910 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc. Cal. Imp. FE Asia 2
30 911 F.E.A. Low Inc. FE Asia 3
31 10Australia Australia
32 156 New Zealand New Zealand
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Crop Crop Code Description
wheat w all wheat
rice r all rice
coarse grains c coarse grains (corn, barley, sorghum, etc)
protein feed p protein feed (soybean)
grains g average of grains (wheat, rice, coarse grains)four commodities f average of grains and protein feed
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COUNTRY_M BLSCode_M YieldCode_M BLSREGION_M MAPCODE
Afghanistan 913 913 N.E.A. Med.-Low Inc. NE Asia 2
Albania 916 888 EU Europe
Algeria 901 901 Afr. Oil Exporters Africa 1
Angola 901 901 Afr. Oil Exporters Africa 1
Antarctica 0 0
Argentina 9 9 Argentina ArgentinaArmenia 777 223 Turkey Turkey
Australia 10 10 Australia Australia
Austria 11 888 EU Europe
Azerbaijan 777 223 Turkey Turkey
Bangladesh 911 911 F.E.A. Low Inc. FE Asia 3
Belarus 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics
Belgium 888 888 EU Europe
Belize 915 21 Brazil Brazil
Benin 904 904 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4
Bhutan 915 910 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc.
Cal. Imp. FE Asia 2
Bolivia 908 9 Argentina ArgentinaBosnia and
Herzegovina
916 777 Russia + Republics
Russia + Republics
Botswana 915 903 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp.
Africa 3
Brazil 21 21 Brazil Brazil
Brunei 915 910 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc.
Cal. Imp. FE Asia 2
Bulgaria 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics
Burkina Faso 905 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5
Burundi 905 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5
Cambodia 910 910 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc.
Cal. Imp. FE Asia 2
Cameroon 902 902 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Exp.Africa 2
Canada 33 33 Canada Canada
Central
African
Republic
905 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp.
Africa 5
Chad 905 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5
Chile 907 907 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Imp.
Latin Amer 2
China 41 41 China China
Colombia 908 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3
Congo 901 901 Afr. Oil Exporters Africa 1
Costa Rica 906 21 Brazil BrazilCroatia 916 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics
Cuba 906 21 Brazil Brazil
Cyprus 912 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High
Inc. NE Asia 1
Czech
Republic
777 777 Russia + Republics
Russia + Republics
Denmark 888 888 EU Europe
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Djibouti 915 906 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Exp.
Latin Amer 1
Dominican
Republic
906 21 Brazil
Brazil
Ecuador 906 906 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Exp.
Latin Amer 1
Egypt 59 59 Egypt EgyptEl Salvador 908 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3
Equatorial
Guinea
915 903 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp.
Africa 3
Eritrea 903 903 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp.
Africa 3
Estonia 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics
Ethiopia 904 904 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4
Federal Rep.
of Yugoslavia
916 777 Russia + Republics
Russia + Republics
Federal Rep.
of Yugoslavia
916 777 Russia + Republics
Russia + Republics
Finland 916 777 Russia + Republics Russia + RepublicsFrance 888 888 EU Europe
French
Guiana
915 903 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp.
Africa 3
Gabon 901 901 Afr. Oil Exporters Africa 1
Gambia 904 904 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4
Georgia 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics
Germany 888 888 EU Europe
Ghana 902 902 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Exp.
Africa 2
Greece 916 888 EU Europe
Greenland
(Denmark)
0 0
Guatemala 908 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3
Guinea 905 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5
Guinea Bissau 915 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp.
Africa 5
Guyana 908 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3
Haiti 908 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3
Honduras 908 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3
Hungary 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics
Iceland 916 777 Russia + Republics
India 100 100 India India
Indonesia 101 101 Indonesia Indonesia
Iran 912 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High
Inc. NE Asia 1Iraq 912 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High
Inc. NE Asia 1
Ireland 888 888 EU Europe
Israel 916 59 Egypt Egypt
Italy 888 888 EU Europe
Ivory Coast 902 902 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Exp.
Africa 2
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Jamaica 907 907 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Imp.
Latin Amer 2
Japan 110 110 Japan Japan
Jordan 913 913 N.E.A. Med.-Low Inc. NE Asia 2
Kazakhstan 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics
Kenya 114 114 Kenya Kenya
KoreaDem.People's
Rep.
910 110 Japan
Japan
Korea,
Republic Of
910 110 Japan
Japan
Kuwait 915 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High
Inc. NE Asia 1
Kyrgyzstan 777 223 Turkey Turkey
Laos 910 910 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc.
Cal. Imp. FE Asia 2
Latvia 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics
Lebanon 912 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High
Inc. NE Asia 1Lesotho 915 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High
Inc. NE Asia 1
Liberia 903 903 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp.
Africa 3
Libya 912 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High
Inc. NE Asia 1
Lithuania 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics
Luxembourg 888 888 EU Europe
Macedonia 916 888 EU Europe
Madagascar 905 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5
Malawi 904 904 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4
Malaysia 909 909 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc.
Cal. Exp. FE Asia 1
Mali 905 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5
Mauritania 903 903 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp.
Africa 3
Mexico 138 138 Mexico Mexico
Moldova 777 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics
Mongolia 915 41 China China
Morocco 903 903 Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp.
Africa 3
Mozambique 904 904 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4
Myanmar 911 911 F.E.A. Low Inc. FE Asia 3
Namibia 915 904 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4
Nepal 911 911 F.E.A. Low Inc. FE Asia 3Netherlands 888 888 EU Europe
New Zealand 156 156 New Zealand New Zealand
Nicaragua 908 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3
Niger 905 905 Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5
Nigeria 159 159 Nigeria Nigeria
Norway 916 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics
Oman 915 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High
Inc. NE Asia 1
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File Code BLS Code BLS Region 1 BLS Region 2 w1 r1
1 9Argentina Argentina -46 -46
2 21 Brazil Brazil -51 -35
3 138 Mexico Mexico -53 -43
4 906 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Exp. Latin Amer 1 -46 -30
5 907 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Imp. Latin Amer 2 -46 -35
6 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3 -51 -377 231 USA USA -21 -18
8 33 Canada Canada -12 -12
9 888 EU Europe -12 -12
10 223 Turkey Turkey -30 -30
11 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics -8 -8
12 59 Egypt Egypt -36 -32
13 114 Kenya Kenya -35 -35
14 159 Nigeria Nigeria -25 -15
15 901Afr. Oil Exporters Africa 1 -35 -35
16 902Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 2 -23 -23
17 903Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 3 -35 -35
18 904Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4 -40 -4019 905Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5 -45 -45
20 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High Inc. NE Asia 1 -35 -35
21 913 N.E.A. Med.-Low Inc. NE Asia 2 -45 -45
22 165 Pakistan Pakistan -57 -57
23 100 India India -32 -27
24 101 Indonesia Indonesia -34 -34
25 216 Thailand Thailand -40 -40
26 41 China China -5 -24
27 110 Japan Japan -18 -10
28 909 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc. Cal. Exp. FE Asia 1 -54 -34
29 910 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc. Cal. Imp. FE Asia 2 -12 -25
30 911 F.E.A. Low Inc. FE Asia 3 -32 -34
31 10Australia Australia -18 -13
32 156 New Zealand New Zealand 2 2
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c1 p1 g1 f1 w2 r2 c2 p2 g2
-17 -17 -36.3 -31.5 -34 -35 -13 0 -27.3
-19 -35 -35 -35 -39 -24 -15 -18 -26
-43 -43 -46.3 -45.5 -41 -32 -39 -26 -37.3
-19 -35 -31.7 -32.5 -34 -19 -15 -18 -22.7
-19 -35 -33.3 -33.8 -34 -24 -15 -18 -24.3
-19 -35 -35.7 -35.5 -39 -26 -15 -18 -26.7-20 -14 -19.7 -18.3 -9 -7 -16 3 -10.7
-5 2 -9.7 -6.8 0 -1 -1 19 -0.7
-8 -10 -10.7 -10.5 0 -1 -4 7 -1.7
-25 -25 -28.3 -27.5 -18 -19 -21 -8 -19.3
-8 -8 -8 -8 4 3 -4 9 1
-25 -31 -31 -31 -24 -21 -21 -14 -22
-35 -25 -35 -32.5 -23 -24 -31 -8 -26
-25 -30 -21.7 -23.8 -13 -4 -21 -13 -12.7
-20 -15 -30 -26.3 -23 -24 -16 2 -21
-23 -13 -23 -20.5 -11 -12 -19 4 -14
-30 -30 -33.3 -32.5 -23 -24 -26 -13 -24.3
-30 -30 -36.7 -35 -28 -29 -26 -13 -27.7-40 -30 -43.3 -40 -33 -34 -36 -13 -34.3
-30 -25 -33.3 -31.3 -23 -24 -26 -8 -24.3
-40 -35 -43.3 -41.3 -33 -34 -36 -18 -34.3
-52 -42 -55.3 -52 -45 -46 -48 -25 -46.3
-22 -27 -27 -27 -20 -16 -18 -10 -18
-34 -34 -34 -34 -22 -23 -30 -17 -25
-40 -40 -40 -40 -28 -29 -36 -23 -31
-21 -15 -16.7 -16.3 7 -13 -17 2 -7.7
-2 -10 -10 -10 -6 1 2 7 -1
-49 -34 -45.7 -42.8 -42 -23 -45 -17 -36.7
-12 -13 -16.3 -15.5 0 -14 -8 4 -7.3
-35 -20 -33.7 -30.3 -20 -23 -31 -3 -24.7
-16 -16 -15.7 -15.8 -6 -2 -12 1 -6.7
5 5 3 3.5 14 13 9 22 12
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f2 w3 r3 c3 p3 g3 f3 w4 r4
-20.5 -15 -15 0 17 -10 -3.3 0 0
-24 -33 -16 -12 13 -20.3 -12 -16 -8
-34.5 -31 -24 -35 -18 -30 -27 -15 -12
-21.5 -24 -11 -11 -10 -15.3 -14 -12 -5
-22.8 -24 -16 -11 -10 -17 -15.3 -12 -8
-24.5 -29 -18 -11 -10 -19.3 -17 -14 -9-7.3 0 1 0 17 0.3 4.5 0 1
4.3 27 27 15 27 23 24 27 27
0.5 8 8 1 15 5.7 8 8 8
-16.5 -8 -8 -5 0 -7 -5.3 -4 -4
3 25 11 12 17 16 16.3 25 11
-20 -31 -13 -17 -6 -20.3 -16.8 -16 -6
-21.5 -13 -13 -28 0 -18 -13.5 -6 -6
-12.8 -3 4 -18 -5 -5.7 -5.5 -1 4
-15.3 -13 -13 -11 10 -12.3 -6.8 -6 -6
-9.5 -1 -1 -14 12 -5.3 -1 0 0
-21.5 -13 -13 -21 -5 -15.7 -13 -6 -6
-24 -18 -18 -21 -5 -19 -15.5 -9 -9-29 -23 -23 -31 -5 -25.7 -20.5 -11 -11
-20.3 -13 -13 -13 0 -13 -9.8 -6 -6
-30.3 -23 -23 -23 -10 -23 -19.8 -11 -11
-41 -19 -38 -43 -17 -33.3 -29.3 -9 -19
-16 3 -8 -7 -2 -4 -3.5 3 -4
-23 -12 -7 -27 -9 -15.3 -13.8 -6 -3
-29 -18 -9 -33 -15 -20 -18.8 -9 -4
-5.3 16 0 0 17 5.3 8.3 16 0
1 0 9 23 24 10.7 14 0 9
-31.8 -32 -15 -41 -9 -29.3 -24.3 -16 -7
-4.5 10 -3 -2 12 1.7 4.3 10 0
-19.3 -10 -15 -27 5 -17.3 -11.8 -5 -7
-4.8 8 0 5 9 4.3 5.5 8 0
14.5 29 29 25 32 27.7 28.8 29 29
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
21/43
c4 p4 g4 f4 w5 r5 c5 p5 g5
0 17 0 4.3 -43 -43 -28 -28 -38
-6 13 -10 -4.3 -38 -26 -20 -20 -28
-17 -9 -14.7 -13.3 -46 -36 -36 -36 -39.3
-5 -5 -7.3 -6.8 -43 -28 -20 -20 -30.3
-5 -5 -8.3 -7.5 -43 -33 -20 -20 -32
-5 -5 -9.3 -8.3 -38 -28 -20 -20 -28.70 7 0.3 2 -23 -26 -29 -27 -26
15 27 23 24 -10 -10 -3 4 -7.7
1 15 5.7 8 -28 -28 -8 -18 -21.3
-2 0 -3.3 -2.5 -40 -40 -35 -35 -38.3
12 17 16 16.3 -21 -21 -21 -21 -21
-8 -3 -10 -8.3 -28 -26 -25 -26 -26.3
-14 0 -8.7 -6.5 -35 -35 -35 -25 -35
-9 -2 -2 -2 -35 -25 -35 -40 -31.7
-5 10 -5.7 -1.8 -40 -40 -25 -20 -35
-7 12 -2.3 1.3 19 19 -19 -9 6.3
-10 -2 -7.3 -6 -35 -35 -30 -30 -33.3
-10 -2 -9.3 -7.5 -50 -50 -40 -40 -46.7-15 -2 -12.3 -9.8 -45 -45 -40 -30 -43.3
-6 0 -6 -4.5 -40 -40 -35 -30 -38.3
-11 -5 -11 -9.5 -45 -45 -40 -35 -43.3
-21 -8 -16.3 -14.3 -29 -29 -24 -14 -27.3
-3 -1 -1.3 -1.3 -38 -33 -28 -33 -33
-13 -4 -7.3 -6.5 -26 -26 -26 -26 -26
-15 -7 -9.3 -8.8 -29 -29 -29 -29 -29
0 17 5.3 8.3 -12 -25 -20 -19 -19
23 24 10.7 14 -21 -23 -5 -16 -16.3
-20 -4 -14.3 -11.8 -46 -26 -41 -26 -37.7
0 12 3.3 5.5 -17 -26 -13 -16 -18.7
-13 5 -8.3 -5 -38 -26 -34 -19 -32.7
5 9 4.3 5.5 -16 -17 -17 -17 -16.7
25 32 27.7 28.8 -2 -2 0 0 -1.3
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
22/43
f5 w6 r6 c6 p6 g6 f6 w7 r7
-35.5 -31 -32 -24 -11 -29 -24.5 -11 -11
-26 -26 -15 -16 -3 -19 -15 -17 -7
-38.5 -34 -25 -32 -19 -30.3 -27.5 -24 -17
-27.8 -31 -17 -16 -3 -21.3 -16.8 -21 -9
-29 -31 -22 -16 -3 -23 -18 -21 -14
-26.5 -26 -17 -16 -3 -19.7 -15.5 -16 -9-26.3 -11 -15 -25 -10 -17 -15.3 0 0
-4.8 2 1 1 21 1.3 6.3 27 27
-20.5 -16 -17 -4 -1 -12.3 -9.5 0 0
-37.5 -28 -29 -31 -18 -29.3 -26.5 -18 -18
-21 -9 -10 -17 -4 -12 -10 6 0
-26.3 -16 -15 -21 -9 -17.3 -15.3 -26 -7
-32.5 -23 -24 -31 -8 -26 -21.5 -13 -13
-33.8 -23 -14 -31 -23 -22.7 -22.8 -13 -6
-31.3 -28 -29 -21 -3 -26 -20.3 -18 -18
2.5 31 30 -15 8 15.3 13.5 4 4
-32.5 -23 -24 -26 -13 -24.3 -21.5 -13 -13
-45 -38 -39 -36 -23 -37.7 -34 -28 -28-40 -33 -34 -36 -13 -34.3 -29 -23 -23
-36.3 -28 -29 -31 -13 -29.3 -25.3 -18 -18
-41.3 -33 -34 -36 -18 -34.3 -30.3 -23 -23
-24 -17 -18 -20 3 -18.3 -13 -7 -10
-33 -26 -22 -24 -16 -24 -22 -9 -14
-26 -14 -15 -22 -9 -17 -15 -4 2
-29 -17 -18 -25 -12 -20 -18 -7 2
-19 0 -14 -16 -2 -10 -8 8 0
-16.3 -9 -12 -1 1 -7.3 -5.3 0 0
-34.8 -34 -15 -37 -9 -28.7 -23.8 -24 -7
-18 -5 -15 -9 1 -9.7 -7 5 -3
-29.3 -26 -15 -30 -2 -23.7 -18.3 -16 -7
-16.8 -4 -6 -13 0 -7.7 -5.8 11 0
-1 10 9 4 17 7.7 10 25 25
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
23/43
c7 p7 g7 f7 w8 r8 c8 p8 g8
-10 6 -10.7 -6.5 -6 -6 -5 6 -5.7
-13 11 -12.3 -6.5 -8 -3 -6 11 -5.7
-28 -11 -23 -20 -12 -8 -14 -5 -11.3
-12 5 -14 -9.3 -10 -4 -6 5 -6.7
-12 5 -15.7 -10.5 -10 -7 -6 5 -7.7
-12 5 -12.3 -8 -8 -4 -6 5 -6-10 3 -3.3 -1.8 0 0 0 3 0
17 29 23.7 25 27 27 17 29 23.7
1 7 0.3 2 0 0 1 7 0.3
-15 -10 -17 -15.3 -9 -9 -7 -5 -8.3
0 13 2 4.8 6 0 0 13 2
-17 -1 -16.7 -12.8 -13 -3 -8 0 -8
-28 0 -18 -13.5 -6 -6 -14 0 -8.7
-28 -15 -15.7 -15.5 -6 -3 -14 -7 -7.7
-16 5 -17.3 -11.8 -9 -9 -8 5 -8.7
-10 16 -0.7 3.5 4 4 -5 16 1
-21 -5 -15.7 -13 -6 -6 -10 -2 -7.3
-31 -15 -29 -25.5 -14 -14 -15 -7 -14.3-31 -5 -25.7 -20.5 -11 -11 -15 -2 -12.3
-18 -5 -18 -14.8 -9 -9 -9 -2 -9
-23 -10 -23 -19.8 -11 -11 -11 -10 -11
-15 11 -10.7 -5.3 -3 -5 -7 11 -5
-20 -8 -14.3 -12.8 -4 -7 -6 -4 -5.7
-19 -1 -7 -5.5 -2 2 -9 0 -3
-22 -4 -9 -7.8 -3 2 -11 -2 -4
0 1 2.7 2.3 8 0 0 15 2.7
20 18 6.7 9.5 0 0 20 18 6.7
-33 -1 -21.3 -16.3 -12 -3 -16 0 -10.3
-2 9 0 2.3 5 0 0 9 1.7
-26 7 -16.3 -10.5 -8 -3 -13 7 -8
4 8 5 5.8 11 0 4 8 5
20 25 23.3 23.8 25 25 20 25 23.3
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
24/43
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
25/43
c10 p10 g10 f10 w11 r11 c11 p11 g11
-21 -8 -34 -27.5 -20 -20 -7 9 -15.7
-23 -36 -32.3 -33.3 -31 -25 -20 -7 -25.3
-41 -28 -39.3 -36.5 -33 -35 -37 -20 -35
-23 -36 -31 -32.3 -30 -22 -19 -28 -23.7
-23 -36 -32.7 -33.5 -30 -27 -19 28 -25.3
-23 -36 -33.3 -34 -31 -28 -19 -28 -26-32 -41 -28 -31.3 -7 -11 -14 -20 -10.7
-30 -12 -27.7 -23.8 0 0 0 6 0
-3 2 -8.7 -6 0 0 2 10 0.7
-31 -18 -29.3 -26.5 -18 -18 -15 -10 -17
-31 -18 -26 -24 -10 -8 -7 -1 -8.3
-34 -29 -37 -35 -51 -27 -30 -21 -36
-31 -8 -26 -21.5 -13 -13 -28 0 -18
-21 -13 -12.7 -12.8 -3 4 -18 -5 -5.7
-26 -8 -31 -25.3 -23 -23 -21 0 -22.3
-30 -7 -25 -20.5 -12 -12 -25 1 -16.3
-31 -18 -29.3 -26.5 -18 -18 -26 -10 -20.7
-31 -18 -32.7 -29 -23 -23 -26 -10 -24-41 -18 -39.3 -34 -28 -28 -36 -10 -30.7
-36 -18 -34.3 -30.3 -23 -23 -23 -10 -23
-41 -23 -39.3 -35.3 -28 -28 -28 -15 -28
-64 -41 -62.3 -57 -55 -54 -59 -33 -56
-42 -34 -42 -40 -26 -26 -31 -26 -27.7
-3 2 -6 -4 -1 -6 0 10 -2.3
-38 -25 -33 -31 -20 -23 -35 -17 -26
-18 -4 -12.3 -10.3 0 0 0 13 0
-6 -5 -13 -11 0 2 15 12 5.7
-43 -15 -31.3 -27.3 -20 -13 -39 -7 -24
-12 -5 -16 -13.3 -3 -5 -4 5 -4
-42 -14 -35.7 -30.3 -34 -13 -38 -6 -28.3
-12 1 -7 -5 9 0 5 9 4.7
-1 12 -1.3 2 11 11 15 20 12.3
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
26/43
f11 w12 r12 c12 p12 g12 f12
-9.5 -10 -10 -3 9 -7.7 -3.5
-20.8 -15 -12 -10 -3 -12.3 -10
-31.3 -16 -17 -18 -10 -17 -15.3
-24.8 -15 -11 -9 -14 -11.7 -12.3
-12 -15 -13 -9 -14 -12.3 -12.8
-26.5 -16 -14 -9 -14 -13 -13.3-13 -3 -5 -7 -10 -5 -6.3
1.5 0 0 0 6 0 1.5
3 0 0 2 10 0.7 3
-15.3 -9 -9 -7 -5 -8.3 -7.5
-6.5 -5 -4 -3 0 -4 -3
-32.3 -25 -13 -15 -10 -17.7 -15.8
-13.5 -6 -6 -14 0 -8.7 -6.5
-5.5 -1 4 -9 -2 -2 -2
-16.8 -11 -11 -10 0 -10.7 -8
-12 -6 -6 -12 1 -8 -5.8
-18 -9 -9 -13 -5 -10.3 -9
-20.5 -11 -11 -13 -5 -11.7 -10-25.5 -14 -14 -18 -5 -15.3 -12.8
-19.8 -11 -11 -11 -5 -11 -9.5
-24.8 -14 -14 -14 -7 -14 -12.3
-50.3 -27 -27 -29 -16 -27.7 -24.8
-27.3 -13 -13 -16 -13 -14 -13.8
0.8 0 -3 0 10 -1 1.8
-23.8 -10 -11 -17 -8 -12.7 -11.5
3.3 0 0 0 13 0 3.3
7.3 0 2 15 12 5.7 7.3
-19.8 -10 -6 -19 -3 -11.7 -9.5
-1.8 0 0 0 5 0 1.3
-22.8 -17 -6 -19 -3 -14 -11.3
5.8 9 0 5 9 4.7 5.8
14.3 11 11 15 20 12.3 14.3
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
27/43
File Code BLS Code BLS Region 1 BLS Region 2 w25 r25
1 9Argentina Argentina -2 -2
2 21 Brazil Brazil -24 -24
3 138 Mexico Mexico -6 -6
4 906 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Exp. Latin Amer 1 -24 -24
5 907 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Imp. Latin Amer 2 -15 -15
6 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3 -15 -157 231 USA USA -6 -6
8 33 Canada Canada -7 -7
9 888 EU Europe -1 -1
10 223 Turkey Turkey -18 -18
11 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics -18 -18
12 59 Egypt Egypt -5 -5
13 114 Kenya Kenya -6 -6
14 159 Nigeria Nigeria -16 -16
15 901Afr. Oil Exporters Africa 1 -5 -5
16 902Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 2 -11 -11
17 903Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 3 -8 -8
18 904Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4 -8 -819 905Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5 -8 -8
20 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High Inc. NE Asia 1 -9 -9
21 913 N.E.A. Med.-Low Inc. NE Asia 2 -9 -9
22 165 Pakistan Pakistan -13 -13
23 100 India India -12 -12
24 101 Indonesia Indonesia 0 -3
25 216 Thailand Thailand -2 -2
26 41 China China 0 -5
27 110 Japan Japan -5 2
28 909 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc. Cal. Exp. FE Asia 1 0 -3
29 910 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc. Cal. Imp. FE Asia 2 -2 -1
30 911 F.E.A. Low Inc. FE Asia 3 0 -3
31 10Australia Australia 0 -5
32 156 New Zealand New Zealand -2 -2
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
28/43
c25 p25 g25 f25 w26 r26 c26 p26 g26
-4 1 -2.7 -1.8 4 2 0 9 2
-3 -13 -17 -16 -18 -20 1 -5 -12.3
-12 -10 -8 -8.5 0 -2 -8 -2 -3.3
-7 -13 -18.3 -17 -18 -20 -3 -5 -13.7
-7 -10 -12.3 -11.8 -9 -11 -3 -2 -7.7
-7 -10 -12.3 -11.8 -9 -11 -3 -2 -7.7-17 -7 -9.7 -9 0 -2 -13 1 -5
-7 4 -7 -4.3 -1 -3 -3 12 -2.3
-5 -6 -2.3 -3.3 5 3 -1 2 2.3
-18 -18 -18 -18 -12 -14 -14 -10 -13.3
-18 -18 -18 -18 -12 -14 -14 -10 -13.3
-10 -10 -6.7 -7.5 1 -1 -6 -2 -2
-6 -6 -6 -6 0 -2 -2 2 -1.3
-16 -16 -16 -16 -10 -12 -12 -8 -11.3
-10 -10 -6.7 -7.5 1 -1 -6 -2 -2
-11 -11 -11 -11 -5 -7 -7 -3 -6.3
-10 -10 -8.7 -9 -2 -4 -6 -2 -4
-10 -10 -8.7 -9 -2 -4 -6 -2 -4-10 -10 -8.7 -9 -2 -4 -6 -2 -4
-11 -12 -9.7 -10.3 -3 -5 -7 -4 -5
-11 -12 -9.7 -10.3 -3 -5 -7 -4 -5
-13 -13 -13 -13 -7 -9 -9 -5 -8.3
-12 -12 -12 -12 -6 -8 -8 -4 -7.3
-6 -7 -3 -4 6 1 -2 1 1.7
-2 -2 -2 -2 4 2 2 6 2.7
-10 -13 -5 -7 6 -1 -6 -5 -0.3
-4 4 -2.3 -0.8 1 6 0 12 2.3
-6 -7 -3 -4 6 1 -2 1 1.7
-4 -4 -2.3 -2.8 4 3 0 4 2.3
-6 -7 -3 -4 6 1 -2 1 1.7
0 0 -1.7 -1.3 6 -1 4 8 3
-7 9 -3.7 -0.5 4 2 -3 17 1
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
29/43
f26 w27 r27 c27 p27 g27 f27 w28 r28
3.8 -7 -7 -9 -1 -7.7 -6 5 4
-10.5 -41 -41 -8 -25 -30 -28.8 -29 -30
-3 -20 -20 -17 -17 -19 -18.5 -8 -9
-11.5 -41 -41 -14 -25 -32 -30.3 -29 -30
-6.3 -27 -27 -14 -22 -22.7 -22.5 -15 -16
-6.3 -27 -27 -14 -22 -22.7 -22.5 -15 -16-3.5 -10 -10 -28 -21 -16 -17.3 2 1
1.3 -13 -13 -13 1 -13 -9.5 -1 -2
2.3 -3 -3 -9 -10 -5 -6.3 9 8
-12.5 -26 -26 -26 -26 -26 -26 -14 -15
-12.5 -27 -27 -27 -27 -27 -27 -15 -16
-2 -13 -13 -18 -18 -14.7 -15.5 -1 -2
-0.5 -13 -13 -13 -13 -13 -13 -1 -2
-10.5 -23 -23 -23 -23 -23 -23 -11 -12
-2 -13 -13 -18 -18 -14.7 -15.5 -1 -2
-5.5 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18 -6 -7
-3.5 -16 -16 -18 -18 -16.7 -17 -4 -5
-3.5 -16 -16 -18 -18 -16.7 -17 -4 -5-3.5 -16 -16 -18 -18 -16.7 -17 -4 -5
-4.8 -18 -18 -20 -20 -18.7 -19 -6 -7
-4.8 -18 -18 -20 -20 -18.7 -19 -6 -7
-7.5 -22 -22 -22 -22 -22 -22 -10 -11
-6.5 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18 -18 -6 -7
1.5 -8 -8 -12 -14 -9.3 -10.5 4 3
3.5 -7 -7 -7 -7 -7 -7 5 4
-1.5 -8 -10 -18 -20 -12 -14 4 1
4.8 -14 -4 -13 -2 -10.3 -8.3 -2 7
1.5 -8 -8 -12 -14 -9.3 -10.5 4 3
2.8 -12 -7 -12 -12 -10.3 -10.8 0 4
1.5 -7 -7 -12 -13 -8.7 -9.8 5 4
4.3 -10 -8 -10 -10 -9.3 -9.5 2 3
5 -4 -4 -16 5 -8 -4.8 8 7
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
30/43
c28 p28 g28 f28 w29 r29 c29 p29 g29
-5 16 1.3 5 -10 -10 -14 -7 -11.3
-4 -8 -21 -17.8 -55 -55 -13 -38 -41
-13 0 -10 -7.5 -38 -38 -23 -29 -33
-10 -8 -23 -19.3 -55 -55 -21 -38 -43.7
-10 -5 -13.7 -11.5 -36 -36 -21 -34 -31
-10 -5 -13.7 -11.5 -36 -36 -21 -34 -31-24 -4 -7 -6.3 -10 -10 -31 -29 -17
-9 18 -4 1.5 -22 -22 -16 -5 -20
-5 7 4 4.8 -8 -8 -12 -13 -9.3
-22 -9 -17 -15 -27 -27 -27 -27 -27
-23 -10 -18 -16 -31 -31 -31 -31 -31
-14 -1 -5.7 -4.5 -28 -28 -28 -28 -28
-9 4 -4 -2 -24 -24 -24 -24 -24
-19 -6 -14 -12 -34 -34 -34 -34 -34
-14 -1 -5.7 -4.5 -28 -28 -28 -28 -28
-14 -1 -9 -7 -29 -29 -29 -29 -29
-14 -1 -7.7 -6 -28 -28 -28 -28 -28
-14 -1 -7.7 -6 -28 -28 -28 -28 -28-14 -1 -7.7 -6 -28 -28 -28 -28 -28
-16 -3 -9.7 -8 -31 -31 -31 -31 -31
-16 -3 -9.7 -8 -31 -31 -31 -31 -31
-18 -5 -13 -11 -33 -33 -33 -33 -33
-14 -1 -9 -7 -28 -28 -28 -28 -28
-8 3 -0.3 0.5 -13 -15 -19 -20 -15.7
-3 10 2 4 -19 -19 -19 -19 -19
-14 -3 -3 -3 -13 -14 -21 -23 -16
-9 15 -1.3 2.8 -23 -15 -22 -8 -20
-8 3 -0.3 0.5 -13 -15 -19 -20 -15.7
-8 5 -1.3 0.3 -17 -14 -16 -16 -15.7
-8 4 0.3 1.3 -15 -17 -20 -22 -17.3
-6 7 -0.3 1.5 -26 -12 -26 -26 -21.3
-12 22 1 6.3 -5 -5 -20 1 -10
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
31/43
f29 w30 r30 c30 p30 g30 f30
-10.3 7 6 -8 16 1.7 5.3
-40.3 -38 -39 -7 -15 -28 -24.8
-32 -21 -22 -17 -6 -20 -16.5
-42.3 -38 -39 -15 -15 -30.7 -26.8
-31.8 -19 -20 -15 -11 -18 -16.3
-31.8 -19 -20 -15 -11 -18 -16.3-20 7 6 -25 -6 -4 -4.5
-16.3 -5 -6 -10 18 -7 -0.8
-10.3 9 8 -6 10 3.7 5.3
-27 -10 -11 -21 -4 -14 -11.5
-31 -14 -15 -25 -8 -18 -15.5
-28 -11 -12 -22 -5 -15 -12.5
-24 -7 -8 -18 -1 -11 -8.5
-34 -17 -18 -28 -11 -21 -18.5
-28 -11 -12 -22 -5 -15 -12.5
-29 -12 -13 -23 -6 -16 -13.5
-28 -11 -12 -22 -5 -15 -12.5
-28 -11 -12 -22 -5 -15 -12.5-28 -11 -12 -22 -5 -15 -12.5
-31 -14 -15 -25 -8 -18 -15.5
-31 -14 -15 -25 -8 -18 -15.5
-33 -16 -17 -27 -10 -20 -17.5
-28 -11 -12 -22 -5 -15 -12.5
-16.8 4 1 -13 3 -2.7 -1.3
-19 -2 -3 -13 4 -6 -3.5
-17.8 4 2 -15 0 -3 -2.3
-17 -6 1 -16 15 -7 -1.5
-16.8 4 1 -13 3 -2.7 -1.3
-15.8 0 2 -10 7 -2.7 -0.3
-18.5 2 -1 -14 1 -4.3 -3
-22.5 -9 4 -20 -3 -8.3 -7
-7.3 12 11 -14 24 3 8.3
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
32/43
File Code BLS Code BLS Region 1 BLS Region 2 w31 r31
1 9Argentina Argentina -2 -2
2 21 Brazil Brazil -8 -8
3 138 Mexico Mexico -11 -11
4 906 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Exp. Latin Amer 1 -9 -9
5 907 L.A. High Inc. Cal. Imp. Latin Amer 2 -7 -7
6 908 L.A. Med.-Low Inc. Latin Amer 3 -7 -77 231 USA USA -8 -8
8 33 Canada Canada -4 -4
9 888 EU Europe 1 1
10 223 Turkey Turkey -4 -4
11 777 Russia + Republics Russia + Republics -6 -6
12 59 Egypt Egypt -4 -4
13 114 Kenya Kenya -2 -2
14 159 Nigeria Nigeria -12 -12
15 901Afr. Oil Exporters Africa 1 -4 -4
16 902Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 2 -7 -7
17 903Afr. Med. Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 3 -6 -6
18 904Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Exp. Africa 4 -6 -619 905Afr. Low Inc. Cal. Imp. Africa 5 -6 -6
20 912 N.E.A. Oil Exp. High Inc. NE Asia 1 -7 -7
21 913 N.E.A. Med.-Low Inc. NE Asia 2 -7 -7
22 165 Pakistan Pakistan -7 -6
23 100 India India -8 -7
24 101 Indonesia Indonesia 3 -1
25 216 Thailand Thailand 1 1
26 41 China China -3 -4
27 110 Japan Japan -3 3
28 909 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc. Cal. Exp. FE Asia 1 4 -1
29 910 F.E.A. High-Med. Inc. Cal. Imp. FE Asia 2 2 1
30 911 F.E.A. Low Inc. FE Asia 3 3 -2
31 10Australia Australia -5 -3
32 156 New Zealand New Zealand 2 2
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
33/43
c31 p31 g31 f31 w32 r32 c32 p32 g32
-1 3 -1.7 -0.5 3 1 1 10 1.7
-1 -4 -5.7 -5.3 -4 -6 3 3 -2.3
-7 -1 -9.7 -7.5 -6 -8 -5 6 -6.3
-1 -4 -6.3 -5.8 -5 -7 1 3 -3.7
-2 -2 -5.3 -4.5 -2 -4 0 5 -2
-2 -2 -5.3 -4.5 -2 -4 0 5 -2-4 6 -6.7 -3.5 -3 -5 -2 13 -3.3
-2 10 -3.3 0 0 -2 -1 16 -1
1 -2 1 0.3 5 3 2 4 3.3
-5 -8 -4.3 -5.3 0 -2 -4 -2 -2
-4 -6 -5.3 -5.5 -2 -4 -3 0 -3
-8 -8 -5.3 -6 0 -2 -7 -2 -3
-2 -2 -2 -2 2 0 -1 4 0.3
-12 -12 -12 -12 -7 -9 -10 -5 -8.7
-8 -8 -5.3 -6 0 -2 -7 -2 -3
-7 -7 -7 -7 -3 -5 -6 -1 -4.7
-7 -8 -6.3 -6.8 -1 -3 -5 -1 -3
-7 -8 -6.3 -6.8 -1 -3 -5 -1 -3-7 -8 -6.3 -6.8 -1 -3 -5 -1 -3
-9 -9 -7.7 -8 -2 -4 -7 -2 -4.3
-9 -9 -7.7 -8 -2 -4 -7 -2 -4.3
-5 -8 -6 -6.5 -3 -4 -4 -2 -3.7
-7 -9 -7.3 -7.8 -4 -5 -6 -3 -5
-4 -4 -0.7 -1.5 7 1 -3 2 1.7
1 1 1 1 5 3 2 7 3.3
-3 -6 -3.3 -4 1 -2 -2 0 -1
1 3 0.3 1 1 5 2 9 2.7
-3 -4 0 -1 9 2 -1 3 3.3
-3 -3 0 -0.8 6 3 -2 3 2.3
-3 -5 -0.7 -1.8 8 1 -1 2 2.7
-4 -5 -4 -4.3 -1 -1 -3 1 -1.7
-1 11 1 3.5 7 5 1 18 4.3
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
34/43
f32 w33 r33 c33 p33 g33 f33 w34 r34
3.8 -2 -2 -4 1 -2.7 -1.8 6 3
-1 -5 -5 3 0 -2.3 -1.8 3 0
-3.3 -12 -12 -10 -3 -11.3 -9.3 -4 -7
-2 -5 -5 1 0 -3 -2.3 3 0
-0.3 -4 -4 0 1 -2.7 -1.8 4 1
-0.3 -4 -4 0 1 -2.7 -1.8 4 10.8 -5 -5 -7 3 -5.7 -3.5 3 0
3.3 -2 -2 1 14 -1 2.8 4 3
3.5 0 0 1 -3 0.3 -0.5 6 5
-2 -3 -3 -4 -9 -3.3 -4.8 3 2
-2.3 -5 -5 -1 -5 -3.7 -4 1 0
-2.8 -8 -8 -11 -11 -9 -9.5 -2 -3
1.3 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 1 0
-7.8 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15 -7 -10
-2.8 -8 -8 -11 -11 -9 -9.5 -2 -3
-3.8 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -4 -5
-2.5 -9 -9 -10 -11 -9.3 -9.8 -1 -4
-2.5 -9 -9 -10 -11 -9.3 -9.8 -1 -4-2.5 -9 -9 -10 -11 -9.3 -9.8 -1 -4
-3.8 -12 -12 -13 -14 -12.3 -12.8 -4 -7
-3.8 -12 -12 -13 -14 -12.3 -12.8 -4 -7
-3.3 -11 -11 -9 -12 -10.3 -10.8 -5 -6
-4.5 -13 -12 -10 -14 -11.7 -12.3 -7 -7
1.8 5 -3 -6 -6 -1.3 -2.5 11 2
4.3 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 5 4
-0.8 -2 -5 -2 -7 -3 -4 4 0
4.3 -4 3 2 3 0.3 1 2 8
3.3 5 -3 -4 -6 -0.7 -2 13 2
2.5 4 0 -3 -3 0.3 -0.5 10 5
2.5 3 -4 -5 -7 -2 -3.3 11 1
-1 -5 0 -3 -5 -2.7 -3.3 1 5
7.8 0 0 -3 10 -1 1.8 8 5
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
35/43
c34 p34 g34 f34 w35 r35 c35 p35 g35
-2 12 2.3 4.8 -3 -3 -4 2 -3.3
5 11 2.7 4.8 -22 -22 -5 -16 -16.3
-8 8 -6.3 -2.8 -10 -10 -12 -8 -10.7
3 11 2 4.3 -28 -28 -6 -12 -20.7
2 12 2.3 4.8 -19 -19 -8 -11 -15.3
2 12 2.3 4.8 -19 -19 -8 -11 -15.3-5 14 -0.7 3 -6 -6 -18 -7 -10
2 22 3 7.8 -4 -4 1 14 -2.3
2 5 4.3 4.5 0 0 1 -4 0.3
-3 -1 0.7 0.3 -5 -5 -5 -11 -5
0 3 0.3 1 -7 -7 -3 -7 -5.7
-10 -3 -5 -4.5 -8 -8 -12 -12 -9.3
-4 3 -1 0 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5
-13 -4 -10 -8.5 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15
-10 -3 -5 -4.5 -8 -8 -12 -12 -9.3
-9 -2 -6 -5 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10
-8 0 -4.3 -3.3 -8 -8 -10 -10 -8.7
-8 0 -4.3 -3.3 -8 -8 -10 -10 -8.7-8 0 -4.3 -3.3 -8 -8 -10 -10 -8.7
-11 -3 -7.3 -6.3 -14 -14 -16 -16 -14.7
-11 -3 -7.3 -6.3 -14 -14 -16 -16 -14.7
-8 -4 -6.3 -5.8 -14 -13 -11 -16 -12.7
-9 -6 -7.7 -7.3 -15 -14 -12 -17 -13.7
-5 2 2.7 2.5 -4 -6 -11 -11 -7
0 7 3 4 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3
-1 1 1 1 0 -3 -1 -8 -1.3
3 11 4.3 6 -5 3 2 3 0
-2 5 4.3 4.5 -5 -6 -10 -11 -7
-2 5 4.3 4.5 -4 -2 -7 -7 -4.3
-3 4 3 3.3 -6 -7 -10 -12 -7.7
-2 3 1.3 1.8 -6 -6 -3 -6 -5
-1 21 4 8.3 -2 -2 -8 10 -4
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
36/43
f35 w36 r36 c36 p36 g36 f36 w37 r37
-2 8 7 -1 16 4.7 7.5 -3 -3
-16.3 -14 -17 -3 -1 -11.3 -8.8 -6 -6
-10 1 0 -9 6 -2.7 -0.5 -15 -15
-18.5 -17 -17 -6 -1 -13.3 -10.3 -9 -9
-14.3 -8 -9 -5 3 -7.3 -4.8 -7 -7
-14.3 -8 -9 -5 3 -7.3 -4.8 -7 -7-9.3 5 4 -15 7 -2 0.3 -4 -4
1.8 4 1 3 25 2.7 8.3 -3 -3
-0.8 8 5 3 7 5.3 5.8 -1 -1
-6.5 3 0 -3 0 0 0 -6 -6
-6 1 -2 -1 4 -0.7 0.5 -5 -5
-10 0 -3 -10 -1 -4.3 -3.5 -10 -10
-5 3 0 -3 6 0 1.5 -9 -9
-15 -4 -5 -12 -1 -7 -5.5 -19 -19
-10 0 -3 -10 -1 -4.3 -3.5 -10 -10
-10 -2 -5 -8 1 -5 -3.5 -14 -14
-9 3 2 -7 4 -0.7 0.5 -12 -12
-9 3 2 -7 4 -0.7 0.5 -12 -12-9 3 2 -7 4 -0.7 0.5 -12 -12
-15 -3 -4 -13 -2 -6.7 -5.5 -17 -17
-15 -3 -4 -13 -2 -6.7 -5.5 -17 -17
-13.5 -6 -8 -9 -5 -7.7 -7 -17 -16
-14.5 -7 -9 -10 -6 -8.7 -8 -20 -19
-8 4 -1 -9 0 -2 -1.5 -1 -8
-3 5 2 -1 8 2 3.5 -7 -7
-3 8 2 1 3 3.7 3.5 0 -7
0.8 3 8 4 14 5 7.3 -6 2
-8 6 4 -7 3 1 1.5 -1 -8
-5 4 3 -5 4 0.7 1.5 0 -2
-8.8 5 3 -7 2 0.3 0.8 6 -6
-5.3 2 -1 -1 5 0 1.3 -8 -4
-0.5 9 8 -5 24 4 9 5 5
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
37/43
c37 p37 g37 f37 w38 r38 c38 p38 g38
1 7 -1.7 0.5 7 5 4 21 5.3
2 -12 -3.3 -5.5 4 2 5 2 3.7
-19 -11 -16.3 -15 -5 -7 -16 3 -9.3
3 -5 -5 -5 1 -1 6 9 2
2 -2 -4 -3.5 3 1 5 12 3
2 -2 -4 -3.5 3 1 5 12 30 7 -2.7 -0.3 6 4 3 21 4.3
2 15 -1.3 2.8 7 5 5 29 5.7
1 -4 -0.3 -1.3 9 7 4 10 6.7
-5 -10 -5.7 -6.8 4 2 -2 4 1.3
0 -5 -3.3 -3.8 5 3 3 9 3.7
-14 -14 -11.3 -12 0 -2 -11 0 -4.3
-9 -9 -9 -9 1 -1 -6 5 -2
-19 -19 -19 -19 -9 -11 -16 -5 -12
-14 -14 -11.3 -12 0 -2 -11 0 -4.3
-14 -14 -14 -14 -4 -6 -11 0 -7
-14 -14 -12.7 -13 -2 -4 -11 0 -5.7
-14 -14 -12.7 -13 -2 -4 -11 0 -5.7-14 -14 -12.7 -13 -2 -4 -11 0 -5.7
-19 -19 -17.7 -18 -7 -9 -16 -5 -10.7
-19 -19 -17.7 -18 -7 -9 -16 -5 -10.7
-13 -19 -15.3 -16.3 -7 -8 -10 -5 -8.3
-16 -22 -18.3 -19.3 -10 -11 -13 -8 -11.3
-11 -11 -6.7 -7.8 9 0 -8 3 0.3
-7 -7 -7 -7 3 1 -4 7 0
-1 -8 -2.7 -4 10 1 2 6 4.3
2 3 -0.7 0.3 4 10 5 17 6.3
-11 -11 -6.7 -7.8 9 0 -8 3 0.3
-5 -5 -2.3 -3 10 6 -2 9 4.7
-14 -14 -4.7 -7 16 2 -11 0 2.3
-5 -8 -5.7 -6.3 2 4 -2 6 1.3
6 14 5.3 7.5 15 13 9 28 12.3
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
38/43
f38 w39 r39 c39 p39 g39 f39 w40 r40
9.3 -1 -1 -2 2 -1.3 -0.5 3 1
3.3 -11 -11 -2 -19 -8 -10.8 -7 -9
-6.3 -10 -10 -11 -3 -10.3 -8.5 -6 -8
3.8 -13 -13 -2 -11 -9.3 -9.8 -9 -11
5.3 -10 -10 -3 -9 -7.7 -8 -6 -8
5.3 -10 -10 -3 -9 -7.7 -8 -6 -88.5 -6 -5 -3 -4 -4.7 -4.5 -2 -3
11.5 -3 -3 -2 5 -2.7 -0.8 1 -1
7.5 0 0 0 -6 0 -1.5 4 2
2 -4 -4 -5 -9 -4.3 -5.5 0 -2
5 -7 -6 -5 -8 -6 -6.5 -3 -4
-3.3 -5 -5 -8 -8 -6 -6.5 -1 -3
-0.3 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3 1 -1
-10.3 -13 -13 -13 -13 -13 -13 -9 -11
-3.3 -5 -5 -8 -8 -6 -6.5 -1 -3
-5.3 -8 -8 -8 -8 -8 -8 -4 -6
-4.3 -6 -6 -8 -8 -6.7 -7 -2 -4
-4.3 -6 -6 -8 -8 -6.7 -7 -2 -4-4.3 -6 -6 -8 -8 -6.7 -7 -2 -4
-9.3 -8 -8 -9 -9 -8.3 -8.5 -4 -6
-9.3 -8 -8 -9 -9 -8.3 -8.5 -4 -6
-7.5 -7 -6 -6 -8 -6.3 -6.8 -3 -4
-10.5 -9 -8 -8 -10 -8.3 -8.8 -5 -6
1 -7 -3 -7 -7 -5.7 -6 -3 -1
1.8 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 3 1
4.8 2 -2 0 -8 0 -2 6 0
9 -2 3 2 4 1 1.8 2 5
1 -7 -3 -7 -7 -5.7 -6 -3 -1
5.8 -7 0 -4 -4 -3.7 -3.8 -3 2
1.8 -11 -4 -12 -12 -9 -9.8 -7 -2
2.5 -7 -3 -5 -8 -5 -5.8 -3 -1
16.3 -1 -1 -2 5 -1.3 0.3 3 1
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
39/43
c40 p40 g40 f40 w41 r41 c41 p41 g41
-1 8 1 2.8 -3 -3 0 6 -2
-1 -13 -5.7 -7.5 -6 -6 1 -14 -3.7
-10 3 -8 -5.3 -10 -10 -16 -9 -12
-1 -5 -7 -6.5 -7 -7 3 -5 -3.7
-2 -3 -5.3 -4.8 -6 -6 1 -3 -3.7
-2 -3 -5.3 -4.8 -6 -6 1 -3 -3.7-2 5 -2.3 -0.5 -8 -8 -2 4 -6
-1 11 -0.3 2.5 -9 -8 -3 2 -6.7
1 0 2.3 1.8 -1 -1 0 -8 -0.7
-4 -3 -2 -2.3 -5 -5 -5 -10 -5
-4 -2 -3.7 -3.3 -10 -8 -5 -11 -7.7
-7 -2 -3.7 -3.3 -8 -8 -11 -11 -9
-2 3 -0.7 0.3 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5
-12 -7 -10.7 -9.8 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15
-7 -2 -3.7 -3.3 -8 -8 -11 -11 -9
-7 -2 -5.7 -4.8 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10
-7 -2 -4.3 -3.8 -9 -9 -11 -11 -9.7
-7 -2 -4.3 -3.8 -9 -9 -11 -11 -9.7-7 -2 -4.3 -3.8 -9 -9 -11 -11 -9.7
-8 -3 -6 -5.3 -13 -13 -15 -15 -13.7
-8 -3 -6 -5.3 -13 -13 -15 -15 -13.7
-5 -2 -4 -3.5 -14 -12 -11 -15 -12.3
-7 -4 -6 -5.5 -15 -14 -12 -17 -13.7
-6 -1 -3.3 -2.8 -1 -6 -10 -10 -5.7
0 5 1.3 2.3 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3
1 -2 2.3 1.3 -3 -6 -3 -14 -4
3 10 3.3 5 -6 3 1 2 -0.7
-6 -1 -3.3 -2.8 -1 -6 -10 -10 -5.7
-3 2 -1.3 -0.5 -1 -1 -6 -6 -2.7
-11 -6 -6.7 -6.5 4 -6 -14 -14 -5.3
-4 -2 -2.7 -2.5 -10 -6 -6 -11 -7.3
-1 11 1 3.5 0 0 1 11 0.3
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
40/43
f41 w42 r42 c42 p42 g42 f42 w43 r43
0 5 2 2 17 3 6.5 -3 -3
-6.3 2 -1 3 -3 1.3 0.3 -8 -8
-11.3 -2 -5 -14 2 -7 -4.8 -17 -17
-4 1 -2 5 6 1.3 2.5 -11 -11
-3.5 2 -1 3 8 1.3 3 -9 -9
-3.5 2 -1 3 8 1.3 3 -9 -9-3.5 0 -3 0 15 -1 3 -10 -10
-4.5 -1 -3 -1 13 -1.7 2 -8 -8
-2.5 7 4 2 3 4.3 4 -4 -4
-6.3 3 0 -3 1 0 0.3 -8 -8
-8.5 -2 -3 -3 0 -2.7 -2 -12 -12
-9.5 0 -3 -9 0 -4 -3 -13 -13
-5 3 0 -3 6 0 1.5 -9 -9
-15 -7 -10 -13 -4 -10 -8.5 -19 -19
-9.5 0 -3 -9 0 -4 -3 -13 -13
-10 -2 -5 -8 1 -5 -3.5 -14 -14
-10 -1 -4 -9 0 -4.7 -3.5 -14 -14
-10 -1 -4 -9 0 -4.7 -3.5 -14 -14-10 -1 -4 -9 0 -4.7 -3.5 -14 -14
-14 -5 -8 -13 -4 -8.7 -7.5 -19 -19
-14 -5 -8 -13 -4 -8.7 -7.5 -19 -19
-13 -6 -7 -9 -4 -7.3 -6.5 -18 -18
-14.5 -7 -9 -10 -6 -8.7 -8 -20 -20
-6.8 7 -1 -8 1 -0.7 -0.3 -4 -9
-3 5 2 -1 8 2 3.5 -7 -7
-6.5 5 -1 -1 -3 1 0 -1 -8
0 2 8 3 13 4.3 6.5 -6 2
-6.8 7 -1 -8 1 -0.7 -0.3 -4 -9
-3.5 7 4 -4 5 2.3 3 -3 -3
-7.5 12 -1 -12 -3 -0.3 -1 1 -8
-8.3 -2 -1 -4 0 -2.3 -1.8 -14 -8
3 8 5 3 22 5.3 9.5 0 0
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
41/43
c43 p43 g43 f43 w44 r44 c44 p44 g44
-5 1 -3.7 -2.5 9 8 -1 18 5.3
1 -17 -5 -8 4 3 5 0 4
-19 -12 -17.7 -16.3 -5 -6 -15 5 -8.7
1 -9 -7 -7.5 1 0 5 8 2
0 -6 -6 -6 3 2 4 11 3
0 -6 -6 -6 3 2 4 11 3-4 3 -8 -5.3 2 1 0 20 1
-2 4 -6 -3.5 4 3 2 21 3
-1 -9 -3 -4.5 8 7 3 8 6
-6 -12 -7.3 -8.5 4 3 -2 5 1.7
-5 -13 -9.7 -10.5 0 -1 -1 4 -0.7
-16 -16 -14 -14.5 -1 -2 -12 1 -5
-9 -9 -9 -9 3 2 -5 8 0
-19 -19 -19 -19 -7 -8 -15 -2 -10
-16 -16 -14 -14.5 -1 -2 -12 1 -5
-14 -14 -14 -14 -2 -3 -10 3 -5
-15 -15 -14.3 -14.5 -2 -3 -11 2 -5.3
-15 -15 -14.3 -14.5 -2 -3 -11 2 -5.3-15 -15 -14.3 -14.5 -2 -3 -11 2 -5.3
-20 -20 -19.3 -19.5 -7 -8 -16 -3 -10.3
-20 -20 -19.3 -19.5 -7 -8 -16 -3 -10.3
-14 -21 -16.7 -17.8 -6 -7 -10 -4 -7.7
-16 -23 -18.7 -19.8 -8 -9 -12 -6 -9.7
-13 -13 -8.7 -9.8 8 2 -9 4 0.3
-7 -7 -7 -7 5 4 -3 10 2
-2 -18 -3.7 -7.3 11 3 2 -1 5.3
3 3 -0.3 0.5 6 13 7 20 8.7
-13 -13 -8.7 -9.8 8 2 -9 4 0.3
-7 -7 -4.3 -5 9 8 -3 10 4.7
-17 -17 -8 -10.3 13 3 -13 0 1
-8 -16 -10 -11.5 -2 3 -4 1 -1
1 12 0.3 3.3 12 11 5 29 9.3
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
42/43
f44 w45 r45 c45 p45 g45 f45 w46 r46
8.5 -5 -5 -7 0 -5.7 -4.3 10 9
3 -14 -14 -1 -23 -9.7 -13 1 0
-5.3 -22 -22 -21 -16 -21.7 -20.3 -7 -8
3.5 -20 -20 -3 -18 -14.3 -15.3 -5 -6
5 -17 -17 -5 -14 -13 -13.3 -2 -3
5 -17 -17 -5 -14 -13 -13.3 -2 -35.8 -15 -14 -9 -7 -12.7 -11.3 0 0
7.5 -14 -14 -5 0 -11 -8.3 1 0
6.5 -11 -11 -5 -12 -9 -9.8 4 3
2.5 -14 -14 -9 -14 -12.3 -12.8 1 0
0.5 -14 -14 -5 -14 -11 -11.8 1 0
-3.5 -16 -16 -20 -20 -17.3 -18 -1 -2
2 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 5 4
-8 -20 -20 -20 -20 -20 -20 -5 -6
-3.5 -16 -16 -20 -20 -17.3 -18 -1 -2
-3 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15 0 -1
-3.5 -16 -16 -18 -18 -16.7 -17 -1 -2
-3.5 -16 -16 -18 -18 -16.7 -17 -1 -2-3.5 -16 -16 -18 -18 -16.7 -17 -1 -2
-8.5 -23 -23 -25 -25 -23.7 -24 -8 -9
-8.5 -23 -23 -25 -25 -23.7 -24 -8 -9
-6.8 -23 -22 -18 -25 -21 -22 -8 -8
-8.8 -23 -22 -18 -25 -21 -22 -8 -8
1.3 -6 -11 -15 -15 -10.7 -11.8 9 3
4 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 -11 4 3
3.8 -5 -10 -4 -21 -6.3 -10 10 4
11.5 -10 0 0 1 -3.3 -2.3 5 14
1.3 -6 -11 -15 -15 -10.7 -11.8 9 3
6 -4 -4 -8 -8 -5.3 -6 11 10
0.8 2 -8 -16 -16 -7.3 -9.5 17 6
-0.5 -18 -9 -11 -21 -12.7 -14.8 -3 5
14.3 -2 -2 -2 11 -2 1.3 13 12
7/30/2019 Potential Impacts World Food Supply
43/43
c46 p46 g46 f46
-2 20 5.7 9.3
4 -3 1.7 0.5
-16 4 -10.3 -6.8
2 2 -3 -1.8
0 6 -1.7 0.3
0 6 -1.7 0.3-4 13 -1.3 2.3
0 20 0.3 5.3
0 8 2.3 3.8
-4 6 -1 0.8
0 6 0.3 1.8
-15 0 -6 -4.5
-5 10 1.3 3.5
-15 0 -8.7 -6.5
-15 0 -6 -4.5
-10 5 -3.7 -1.5
-13 2 -5.3 -3.5
-13 2 -5.3 -3.5-13 2 -5.3 -3.5
-20 -5 -12.3 -10.5
-20 -5 -12.3 -10.5
-13 -5 -9.7 -8.5
-13 -5 -9.7 -8.5
-10 5 0.7 1.8
-6 9 0.3 2.5
1 -1 5 3.5
5 21 8 11.3
-10 5 0.7 1.8
-3 12 6 7.5
-11 4 4 4
-6 -1 -1.3 -1.3
3 31 9.3 14.8