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Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

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Page 1: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

Portfolio Management Henry Chan2014/2/12Husky Traders

Page 2: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

Investment Thesis

• Quantitative Portfolio Analysis• Increase diversification effect in addition to great

return opportunities• Quality large cap stocks for sustainable

correlation

Page 3: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

SP 500• IT 18.9%• Consumer

Staples 9.57%• Energy 9.98%• Industrial

10.75%• Healthcare

13.57%• Financials

16.17%• Consumer

Discretional 12.36%

• Others

Page 4: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

Our portfolio picture

Page 5: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

Comparison with SP500• Exposure to market• Technology (SYNT, SMH)• Real-estate, Healthcare (HTA)• Consumer discretionary(DDAIF, SMH)• Energy (NOG)

• We lack Financials, Consumer Staples, Industrials

Page 6: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

Segment Tests• XLB (Industrials, materials, chemicals, packaging)• XLY (Consumer Staples)• XLP (Consumer Discretionary)• XLF (Financials)

Page 7: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

Historical Analysis• Jun 6th 2012 – Feb 10th 2014 daily returns. (420 data point for

each stock) • Correlation of Assets• Create portfolios by adding in assets to existing portfolio• Beta• Alpha• Sharpe Ratio

• Excess return/ Stdev

Page 8: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

Daily return of adding $1500 into portfolio

Page 9: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

Consumer Staples XLY• Food and beverage• Kraft foods (31.69B) KRFT• Mondelez (57.94B) MDLZ• Coke (168.82B) KO• Pepsico (123.55B) PEP• General Mills (30.35B) GIS• CVS (81.58B) • Philip Morris International (125.77B)PM

Page 10: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

Daily return of adding $1500 into portfolio

Page 11: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

Financials XLF• Banks • WFC • BAC• JPM• BBT BB&T• FITB Fifth Third Bancorp

Page 12: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

Daily return of adding $1500 into portfolio

Page 13: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

BAC

Page 14: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

JPM FITB• Multinational

banking and financial services holding. Largest in US.

• Regional banking Corp headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.

Page 15: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

Comparable Analysis

Page 16: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

JPM

Page 17: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

FITB

Page 18: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

Equity P/E Comp

Page 19: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

JPM• Low PE• High Operating margin• Largest bank in US, correlation should be more sustainable. • FITB focus heavily on commercial banking, consumer lending,

branch banking. The potential source of diversification is too concentrated

• High SR

Page 20: Portfolio Management Henry Chan 2014/2/12 Husky Traders

Use Bloomberg!