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Populism in the European Parliament – the future Parliament. Populists will do well in the election…. …But they will remain fragmented. The current make-up of the EP. ALDE. Greens / EFA. EPP. S & D. ECR. EFD. GUE-NGL. Image: Ssolbergj. Non-Attached (NI). - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Populism in the European Parliament – the future Parliament
Populists will do well in the election…
…But they will remain fragmented
The current make-up of the EP
Image: Ssolbergj
GUE-NGL
S & D
Greens / EFAALDE
EPP
ECR
EFD
Non-Attached (NI)
The potential future make-up of the EP
Scenarios for the future ParliamentScenario 1: ultra-fragmentation
UKIPOrder and JusticeIndependent GreeksSGPFinns PartyDanish People’s PartyFive Star Movement
Front NationalPVVVlaams BelangFPÖLega NordSweden Democrats?
Europe of Freedom and Democracy
A new populist group
Non-Attached Members
JobbikGolden DawnLSNS
Source: Electionista, own calculationsImages: Remi Noyon, Niccolò Caranti, Steve Jurvetson
Scenarios for the future ParliamentScenario 2: UKIP betrayed
Front NationalPVVVlaams BelangFPÖLega NordSweden Democrats?
JobbikGolden DawnLSNSUKIP
Source: Electionista, own calculationsImages: Remi Noyon, Jennifer Jane Mills
A new populist group
Non-Attached Members
Scenarios for the future ParliamentScenario 3: more of the same
UKIPFinns PartyDanish People’s PartyLega NordFive Star MovementOrder and JusticeIndependent Greeks
JobbikFront NationalPVVVlaams BelangFPÖSweden DemocratsGolden DawnLSNS
Source: Electionista, own calculationsImage:: Steve Jurvetson
Europe of Freedom and Democracy
Non-Attached Members