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Role of Advanced ICT for Hyper Aged Society
The University of Tokyo
Michitaka Hirose
1. Japan Has Entered Hyper Aged Society
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Pole society become Real
*Hiroya Masuda’s List The list shows 896 local governments whose popula/on will become less
than 20,000 un/l 2040. These governments are called “city of possible
disappearance”.
Moreover, 527 local governments will become less than 10,000.
Causes of the popula/on decreasement are:
(1) Decrease of younger females of 20-‐39 years old
(2) ShiT of Young people from Local area to Urban area.
* Mr. Hiroya Masuda is a former minister of internal affairs and communica/on.
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PopulaGon Pyramid of Japan in 2055
Younger genera/on will not be able to support elder genera/on any more.
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First Person View of the Hyper Aged Society
Age of High Economic Growth (1954-‐1961)
Working
Re/red but Healthy
Not Healthy
Working
Re/red but Healthy
Not Healthy
Age of Hyper Aged Society (2010-‐ )
Care Technology
Care Technology
Novel Technology Required
2. What Advanced ICT Can Do
11
x + yi
Real Imaginary
i
Complex Number:
x 2 = -1
x = ±
i = √‐1
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On-‐line Adver/sement
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Digital Makes Impossible Possible. Computer is an entropy machine. It has a poten/al to decrease entropy.
In the real world, it is impossible to decrease entropy, because there is an entropy law.
But in the cyber world, we can use computer to break entropy law.
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3. Current InformaGon Technology
3-‐1 Virtual Reality
20
In 1989, the term “Virtual Reality (VR)” became popular. VR is a technology to enter a space which is synthesized by computers. By entering this space, we can experience different sensa/ons.
USAF VCASS (1982)
NASA VIEW (1987) VPL RB2 (1989)
Jaron Laniar:
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PlaySta/onVR
FOVE
Oculus RiT
23
Growth of GPU power
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
10billion
1billion
5billion
Maxwell (8billion)
Kepler
Fermi
GeForce 8
GeForce GTX200
NV1 (1million) GeForce 7
GeForce 4
Transistors
NVIDIA GPU
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3-‐2 Mobile, Wearable, Life-‐Log, IOT
28
Ins/tu/onal Technology → Personal Technology → In/mate Technology
Our body will be augmented by wearable computers equipped with micro sensors and displays.
Wearable computer is a “NewType”.
Wearable computer technology is different from the conven/onal computer technology …..
Wearable Computers:
29
Huge data generated by computers Huge data generated by sensors Huge data generated by people
Age of Big Data
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If you record mpeg image every 16hours per day for 70years, required capacity is just 10T bytes. It is not a too large capacity today. Within several years, this size of file server will be available even in our home.
Emo/on
Loca/on
Vision
Audio
Ambience
GPSで位置を取得PDAで記録保存ビデオ・カメラで画像取得
“Life Log” Technology became real
32
Silent Log Rei Fron/er
This applica/on system records people’s movement history with minimum basery consump/on.
User can see in which place people is gathering now in real /me. User can also see from where they came because the data can be rewinded.
3-‐3 Affec/veCompu/ng
34
OKAO Vision
This system recognizes the age, gender, and emo/on of the face.
35
“Jibo”: Pet Robot
This robot can recognize emo/on of the users and respond them.
36
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4. Several on-‐Going Related Projects
4-‐1 Senior Cloud
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標準的労働者レベル
分野Aの経験・スキル
運動機能 認知機能 運動機能運動機能分野Bの経験・スキル
シニア A
分野Aの経験・スキル
運動機能 認知機能 運動機能運動機能分野Bの経験・スキル
シニア B
分野Aの経験・スキル
運動機能 認知機能 運動機能分野Bの経験・スキル
若者
仮想労働者 X
分野Aの経験・スキル
分野Bの経験・スキル
運動機能
認知機能
仮想労働者X
分野
分野分野
運動機能
認知機能
労働力合成
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43
有業者 -‐ 仕事が主な者 100 有業者 -‐ 仕事は従な者 -‐ 通学が主な者 50 無業者 -‐ 通学している者 50 有業者 -‐ 仕事は従な者 -‐ 家事が主な者 20 有業者 -‐ 仕事は従な者 -‐ 家事・通学以外が主な者 20 無業者 -‐ 家事をしている者 10 無業者 -‐ その他 5
就業状態別社会参加指数の仮定値
15~64year old(83 Million people) Over 65 years old(27 Million people)
Senior Cloud/Crowd Increases Social AcGvity
※From Sta/s/cs by Ministry of General Affairs
100
% of popula/on 100 0
100
0 % of popula/on 100
Worker
Student
Housekeeping
No Job
If 40% of non-‐working senior go back to work, there will be 22600 billion yen economical effect.
2. Health Management System
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4-‐3 Digital Museum
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Window to the Past
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5. At the End of My Talk
2015 2025 2035 2045 2055
60
40
50
20
30
20
60
40
80 Serious SituaGon
2015 2025 2035 2045 2055
60
40
50
20
30
20
60
40
80 Serious SituaGon