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Gas Project Coordination Office PNG LNG PROJECT 101 P t ti t NEFC 101 Presentation to NEFC Dairi Vele – Project Director 24 July 2009

PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

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Page 1: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

Gas Project Coordination Office

PNG LNG PROJECT101 P t ti t NEFC101 – Presentation to NEFC

Dairi Vele – Project Director

24 July 2009

Page 2: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

The PNG LNG Project.Wh h tt ti ?Why so much attention?

The PNG LNG Joint Venture members are strong: ExxonMobil Oil The PNG LNG Joint Venture members are strong: ExxonMobil, Oil Search, Santos, Nippon, Eda Oil & MRDC

The JV have all the required components: owns gas resources, can find funds have access to gas sales markets and can build LNG plantsfunds, have access to gas sales markets, and can build LNG plants

The preliminary LNG economics look good and critical foundation commercial agreements have been agreed

N i FEED ($400M i t t) th hi h l d t Now in FEED ($400M investment), the process which may lead to a Final Investment Decision and Construction of an LNG plant in PNG.

The Project prosects is high: it will normally happen

If the Project goes ahead it will fundamentally change the fiscal position of PNG for decades

P j t d $10 000 (2007 R l) Project spend over $10,000m (2007 Real) 30yr State take about $32,000m (2007 money)

A great opportunity for the local economy and industry and should bring huge benefits to the nation. Massive up-skilling and training initiative

2

Page 3: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

Review of Hydrocarbon ProductionReview of Hydrocarbon Production An oilfield has multiple wells drilled in

i l ia single reservoir Relatively expensive in PNG

Kutubu: 60 wellsKutubu: 60 wells Moran: 13 wells Hides: 4 wells Gobe: 25 well

In reality, fields produce a combination of:combination of: Hydrocarbons Water

( G)

The components of all oil/gas fields : The cap-rock or seal

The permeable reservoir rock Nitrogen (little in PNG) Carbon Dioxide (little in PNG) Hydrogen Sulphide (only in Pandora in PNG)

Source rockReservoir fluids

y g p ( y ) Helium (little in PNG) Mercury (little in PNG)

3

Page 4: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

Hydrocarbons-what they areyd oca bo s at t ey a e

F lFormula(CxH2x+2)

Name State @ RT Use

CH Methane Gas FuelCH4 Methane Gas FuelC2H6 Ethane Gas Fuel/ChemsC H Propane Gas Fuel/ChemsC3H8 Propane Gas Fuel/ChemsC4H10 Butane Gas Fuel/ChemsC5 10H(12 22) Gasoline Gas/Oil PetrolC5-10H(12-22) Gasoline Gas/Oil PetrolC11-12 Kero/Jet A1 Oil AviationC13-17 Light Gas Oil Oil Diesel13 17 gC18-25 Heavy Gas Oil Oil Bunker fuelC26-38 Lubs & waxes Thick Oil Lubrication

4

C38+ Residuum Vey thick Oil Tar, asphalt

Page 5: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

The composition of Oil and Gas fieldsfields

n

An oil field has a low

po

siti

on a low

proportion of low carbon

hydrocarbons

Associated gas

ion

% c

om

p hydrocarbons

om

po

siti

Increasing C(n)A gas field has a high proportion

In PNG oil is exported associated

% c

o of low carbon hydrocarbons

In PNG, oil is exported, associated gas re-injected and other gas not produced. (Stranded gas)Li f i h (1/600 l ) Liquefying the gas (1/600 volume) makes it practical to export

Condensate

5 Increasing C(n)

Page 6: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

Changing Gas to Liquid(P /T t l ti hi )(Pressure/Temperature relationship)

Gas becomes liquid by:

e CNG

q y

(1) Increasing Pressure, called

ress

ure CNG

Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) like LPG

sin

g P

r

LNG

ncr

eas LNG

(2) Decreasing the temperature, called Liquefied

In

p , qNatural Gas (LNG)

6

Increasing Temperature

Page 7: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

The LNG Process

Remove

Field Production

Remove unwanted gas/liquid

Storage in tanks

Gas

Three stage LNG cooling

train

Regas plant

Gas Conditioning Plant (Field)

Storage in

train

Gas distribution tanks distribution

networkCondensateWater

ShippingPipeline Transport Gas Buyer

PNG Field Other CountryPNG POM

7

Page 8: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

The Product (LNG Video)The Product (LNG Video)

8 Click screen for video to play

Page 9: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

The Value of LNG

Delivered LNG is used for:Delivered LNG is used for: Power generation in gas fired power generators City gas (cooking, heating)City gas (cooking, heating) Industrial consumption (smelters, petrochemicals)

LNG (like oil) is aimed at the Global market Not tied by pipelines

S d bit Swaps and arbitrage

PNG LNG will target Japan Korea Taiwan ChinaPNG LNG will target Japan, Korea, Taiwan, China and India. JCC Market (linked to oil price)( p )

9

Page 10: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

Historical LNG Demand

Global LNG Imports

160AmericasEurope

100

120

140EuropeIndiaTaiwanKoreaJapan

60

80

100

mtp

a

20

40

0

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

10

Page 11: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

Future LNG Demand

Growth Comparison by Fuel World 2003-2025Growth Comparison by Fuel, World 2003-2025(Base 2002=100)

350

300

200

250

LNG

150

Natural GasOil

Coal

100

Source: Energy Information Agency (EIA) International Energy Outlook 2005

11

Page 12: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

The Regional LNG MarketgGood Points for PNG LNG Asia-Pacific Supply Demand Predicted to grow Very strong demand in

large emerging countries 210

230Demand(WoodMac)

(India & China) Delays to competing

projects (good for us)170

190Demand

(Alternate 3rd Party View)

Indonesia supply reductions Strong LNG prices linked to

oil price150

170

mm

tpa Probable Supply

(includes Gorgon, Ichthys)

Bad Points for PNG LNG Global LNG alternatives,

particularly AU & ME110

130m SupplyUnder Construction

(Peru LNG, Qatar Gas 2/3/4, RasGas3, Sakhalin 2, Tangguh, Yemen LNG, Pluto)

p y Alternative untapped

sources available Security of supply and 70

90 Onstream Supply

y pp yconstruction risk High delivery cost to plant

70

12

Page 13: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

Kenai, Alaska,

13

Page 14: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

Atlantic LNG

14

Page 15: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

Idku, Egypt, gyp

15

Page 16: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

Darwin, Australia,

16

Page 17: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

Sites under construction

Large construction site Reducing in size when

facility finished

17

Page 18: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

LNG carriers are Big Shipsg p

Moss Tanker Moss Tanker 290m x 48m x 11m

New membrane 300m x 50m x 12m

Will require new ports, special tugs, and

18

Will require new ports, special tugs, and other special handling services

Page 19: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

Oil & Gas fields in PNG

Many oilfields are f

Elevala

nearing the end of their life

All gas fields are

Stanley

Elk

Douglas

All gas fields are incidental to oilfield exploration

All gas fields are ElkAll gas fields are currently stranded, (except HGTE)

The major certified gas fields are:

Hides Juha Angore Hides, Juha, Angore, Kutubu and Gobe

These are dedicated to th PNG LNG P j t

191919

the PNG LNG Project.

Page 20: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

PNG Gas Resources Q3 2006

Recoverable Gas (bcf) ElevalaK tKetuPandoraUramuKimu

25,000

30,000

(b

cf)

BarikewaP'nyangAngoreJ h

15,000

20,000

ble

Gas

JuhaHidesSE GobeGobe Main

5 000

10,000

,

eco

vera

MoranAgogoSE ManandaK t b

0

5,000

1P 2P 3P

Re

1P Proven “bankable” resources called reserves: 7TCF2P Proven and probable resources or likely resources: 14TCF

Kutubu1P 2P 3P

20

2P Proven and probable resources, or likely resources: 14TCF3P Proven, probable and possible resources: 24TCF

Page 21: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

PNG Oil Production

80 000

70,000

80,000

Added over45mmstb

by investment in LOF

P50ContingentResources-

LOF

P50 2008Programme

HidesGTE

P50Base

50,000

60,000

bopd

)

30,000

40,000

Oil

Rat

e (b

10 000

20,000

O

0

10,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

2121

PNG Oil Actuals Base Hides GTE Fcst 2008 Program Life of Field Hides GTE Actuals Decline Before OSL

Page 22: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

PNG Oil & LNG Production

180

200Condensate

140

160

180

80

100

120

KBO

E\D Gas boe

40

60

80

Crude Oil

-

20

7 2 7 2 7 2 7

22

2007

2012

2017

2022

2027

2032

2037

Page 23: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

Project Overview.Production Facilities and PipelinesProduction Facilities and Pipelines

Fields: Hides , Angore Kutubu, Moran, Gobe (using oil wells) Juha (later)

Gas production facilities: Hides Gas Conditioning Plant (HGCP) Juha Production Facility (JPF) ~ year 10Juha Production Facility (JPF) year 10 Amendments to Oil Field processing plants

Main Pipelines:G Pi li Gas PipelinesJuha to Hides Gas Conditioning Plant

(HGCP)HGCP to Omati River landfallHGCP to Omati River landfallOmati River to LNG facility site, (POM)

Condensate and Liquids PipelinesJPF to HGCP (liquids)

23

JPF to HGCP (liquids)HGCP to Kutubu Central Processing

Facility

Page 24: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

Project Overview.The LNG FacilityThe LNG Facility

LNG facility will be on Portion 152 LNG facility will be on Portion 152 LNG facility—

Gas Scrubber Twin 3.4MT/yr trains LNG is stored in insulated tanks at the

facility 2km LNG loading jetty

A 35 185kt hi t /Schematic of LNG facility site and loading terminal

Approx. 35 x 185kt shipments/year Supporting facilities and infrastructure:

Large camp for construction (~7,500) P t O ti ( 500)l Permanent Operations camp(~500)l

Material offloading facility Upgrade of existing road between LNG

facility and Port Moresbyfacility and Port Moresby Rerouting of the road around the LNG

facility Very large temporary lay-down areas

d i t ti l

24

during construction only

Page 25: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

Key Commercial Conceptsey Co e c a Co cepts

Fi i lEstimated final Equity

Financial Total Project Costs (w/o

fees) over US$10-11b (2007

Participants (after government back-in)

Real) Very big project for any

country

JV PartnersExxonMobil 34.0%

Biggest LNG Project Finance arrangement ever

State back-in will be about

(LNG Operator)

Oil Search 27.8%19.4%

Powerful JV strength State and L/O

(Oil Operator)

State & L/O 19.4% State and L/O EM experience & size OSL with PNG experience

Santos 14.4%Nippon 4 4%

2525

STO with AU experience Nippon 4.4%

Page 26: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

Economic Importance of PNG LNG

ACIL Tasman Independent Economic Impact Report 6 February 2008 ACIL Tasman Independent Economic Impact Report 6 February 2008 Based on a $36:65:100 oil price model “Affects economy of PNG and its balance of trade situation profoundly” GDP will more than double (K8.65bn (2006) to K18.2bn average duringGDP will more than double (K8.65bn (2006) to K18.2bn average during

production phase) Oil & gas exports increase 4 fold Huge cash flows to Government – national and provincial - and landowners

th h t lti l i d it ti i ti (di t h tthrough tax, royalties, levies and equity participation (direct cash payments of about K100bn to PNG Gov’nt / Landowners over 30 years)

Economic (Gas) Agreement allows quick return to the State More than fills the gap left by other projects decline More than fills the gap left by other projects decline Up to 7,500 jobs in initial phase,(latest estimate is higher), 20% by

nationals; 850 full time positions, developing national workforce over time Builds initial infrastructure for national gas developmentg p

Other gas developments almost certain to follow Step change for PNG’s credibility internationally

Easier access to finance for secondary projects

26

y p j

Page 27: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

State Schedule and Milestones

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20142007

Pre FEED FEED Construction Commission

Sanction FID

Pre-FEED FEED Construction Commission

•EIS•Licence strategy

Financing BSA

•Gas Agreement

•Financing planning

•Early Works start-up

Labour planning Fi

•BSA•Landowner interaction•RegulationC di ti •Regulation

•Economic Modelling

•Land Access

•Labour planning•Logistics

Organisation•BSA

•Finance activation•License approval

•Coordination Regulation•Coordination

27

•BSA principles

Page 28: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

State Deliverables Some important milestones already delivered

Gas Agreement Gas Agreement Amendments to 9 Acts and 3 Regulations

No exemption from Work Permit or Visa process (first “Project” ever)M St t D li bl iti l t th P j t’Many State Deliverables critical to the Project’s successMany different Departments, Agencies and Government

Offices impacted IPA DLIRpDPE DLPPDEC

IPANAQIAIPBCCustoms

DLIRLLGProvincial GovsCAADEC

IRCTreasuryPNG P

CustomsImmigrationBPNGNEFC

CAAClimate ChangeAGEd iPNG Ports

Foreign AffairsNEFCStatisticsDTI

EducationDNPMWorks

State have created the Gas Project Coordination Office to assist in coordinating this

Page 29: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

Gas Coordination Structure

Ministerial Economic Treasury (Chair)Ministerial EconomicCommitteeTreasury (Chair)

DNPM, DPE, DLPP, DEC, AG, IPBC, GPCO

Treasury (Chair)

5 Key Ministers

Total of 14 members

PNG LNG Project FEED

C, G, C, G CO

Project FEED Committee

Gas Project C di ti

PNG LNG Dept 1 Dept 2

Coordination Office

ProjectDept 3 Dept 4

Government Departments NEC Decision

161/2008, 7th August

Page 30: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

GPCO Organisationg

Dairi VeleDirector

Lars MortensenCarl OkukDepartment Brian Rapson

Key advisors

Lars MortensenFinancial

Carl OkukLegal

DepartmentSecondees

Brian RapsonCoordination

Support Staff as required

Established by NEC Decision 161/2008 on the 7th August

Support Staff as required

“to be the focal point for the Project for all contact and engagement with the State, with the responsibility for the management, leadership, facilitation

and coordination of all the technical inputs from respective State A i ”Agencies”

Will be located on 11th floor Pacific Place

Page 31: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

GPCO Key Deliverablesy

Coordination Work with Project to understand requirements Work with government agencies to plan their position. Facilitate meeting between the State and the Project Document process, milestones, issues, minutes

Planning Develop Integrated Work Plan for State deliverables Maintain the “issues database” related to State deliverables Watch for opportunities for the State falling off the “train”

CCommunication Keep the impacted government agencies up to date with

Project and the Integrated State’s ProgressProject and the Integrated State s Progress Point of contact for both the State and the Project

Page 32: PNG LNG PROJECT 101 – PttitNEFCPresentation to NEFC€¦ · LNG facility will be on PortionLNG facility will be on Portion 152 ... OSL with PNG experience Santos 14.4% Nippon 44%

THANK YOU