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Pluto: the next decade of discovery Leslie Young Southwest Research Institute [email protected]

Pluto: the next decade of discovery

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Pluto: the next decade of discovery. Leslie Young Southwest Research Institute [email protected]. I. Decade-scale surface-atmosphere interaction. 2005: 30.9 AU, 34° sub-solar lat 2015: 32.8 AU, 49° sub-solar lat Farther at 0.2 AU/year distance, More northerly at 1.5 °/year. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Leslie YoungSouthwest Research Institute

[email protected]

Page 2: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

I. Decade-scale surface-atmosphere interaction

Page 3: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

2005: 30.9 AU, 34° sub-solar lat2015: 32.8 AU, 49° sub-solar latFarther at 0.2 AU/year distance,More northerly at 1.5 °/year.

0

20

40

60

30 35 40 45 50

1990

2000

2010

20202030

2040

2050

2060

2070

2080

2090

2100

Distance from Sun (AU)

1990 20002010

2020

2030

2040

2050

2060

20702080

209021002110

Page 4: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

26

28

30

32

34

36

38

40

42

0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100

Radio occultation observableN2 α-β transition

40 ( . 2004) K Tryka et al

UVS occultation observable

Global atmosphere

Stellar occultationobservable

( )Surface Temperature K

( )Surface Pressure µbar

Page 5: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

01234567

1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100 2150year

2005-2015, distance increases by 6%, insolation decreases by 12%. Simplest models have temperature decreasing by 3% (~1.2K),for the pressure nearly halving.

Page 6: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Sicardy et al. 2003, Nature 424

Elliot et al. 2003, Nature 424

Page 7: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

perihelion

Hansen and Paige fig 3 (high thermal inertia)

Hansen and Paige 1996, Icarus 120

1000 1200year

Page 8: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Hansen and Paige fig 4 (moderate thermal inertia)

perihelion

1000 1200year

Page 9: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Hansen and Paige fig 7 (low thermal inertia)

perihelion

1000 1200year

Page 10: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 11: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 12: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 13: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 14: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 15: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 16: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 17: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 18: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 19: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 20: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 21: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 22: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 23: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 24: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 25: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 26: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 27: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 28: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 29: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 30: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 31: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 32: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 33: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 34: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 35: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 36: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 37: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 38: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 39: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 40: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 41: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 42: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 43: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 44: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 45: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Darkening of ices following sublimation Thermal inertiaOld, frost-covered winter pole coming into sunlight

Page 46: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

II. Distinguishing seasonal models with observations

Page 47: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Changes in lightcurve mean and amplitude can be due to volatile transport or changing viewing.

14.9

15.1

15.3

15.5

15.60 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

phase (0.75-East Longitude/360))

Stern et al. 1988, Icarus 75Buie et al. 1997, Icarus 125 1992/93

1982.2

1975.2

1964.4

1954.8

Page 48: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Douté et al 1999, Icarus 142

N2

CH4

CO

Spectra on the surface absorption in reflected sunlight is diagnostic of the volatiles on Pluto's surface, including their grain size, mixing state, and temperature. 0.8-2.5 µm range includes N2, CH4, and CO. Shorter wavelengths include weak CH4 bands, and CH4 and tholins have absorption at 3.3 µm (See Olkin 55.02).

Page 49: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

1000 1200year

N2 frost temperature

60 µm brightness temperature1300 µm brightess temperature

Hansen and Paige 1996, Icarus 120

Page 50: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Occultations are the most sensitive and direct measure of changes in atmospheric pressure.

Young 2004, BAAS

Page 51: Pluto: the next decade of discovery
Page 52: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

2005 Jul 11 03:36:14 UTC313.2 (Sicardy 49.05, Young 55.04, Gulbis 55.05)

2006 Jun 12 16:21:49 UTP384.2

2006 Oct 31 2:30:29 UTP415

2007 May 12 4:42:24 UTP456

Page 53: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

III. Some words of warning...

Page 54: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Young et al. 2001, AJ 121

Grundy & Buie 2001, Icarus 153

Young 55.03, Buie 49.03

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Date

Non-secular time-dependent effects on visible albedo—rotation and possible opposition surges

Page 55: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Longitudinal change is much larger than the tentative secular variation (green vs. red dots) in CH4 1.66 µm band

Grundy and Buie 2001,Icarus 153.

1995

1998

Page 56: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Lellouch et al. 2000, Icarus 147

Thermal rotational lightcurves have higher amplitudes thanthe expected seasonal change.

.2 Jy

.6 Jy .6 Jy

.3 Jy

0 Jy

.8 Jy

.3 Jy

.8 Jy

Page 57: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

IV. New Horizons spacecraft to Pluto; flight 2006-2015

Page 58: Pluto: the next decade of discovery
Page 59: Pluto: the next decade of discovery
Page 60: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

PERSI Remote Sensing Package

Objectives:MVIC: Global geology and geomorphology. Stereo and terminator images. Refine radii and orbits. Search for rings and satellites. Search for clouds and hazes.LEISA: Global composition maps, high resolution composition maps, temperatures from NIR bands.ALICE: UV airglow and solar occultation to characterize Pluto’s neutral atmosphere. Search for ionosphere, H, H2, and CxHy. Search for Charon’s atmosphere.

Page 61: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

REX Radio Experiment

Objectives:•Profiles of number density,temperature, and pressure inPluto ’s atmosphere, includingconditions at surface.•Search for Pluto’s ionosphere.•Search for atmosphere andionosphere on Charon.•Measure masses and radii ofPluto and Charon, and massesof flyby KBOs.•Measure disk- averagedmicrowave brightnesstemperatures (4.2 cm) ofPluto and Charon.

Page 62: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

SWAP Solar Wind Plasma Sensor

Objectives:•Slowdown of the solar wind,as a diagnostic of Pluto’s atmospheric escape rate.•Solar wind standoff•Solar wind speed•Solar wind density•Nature of interaction of solar wind and Pluto’s atmosphere (distinguish magnetic, cometary, and ionospheric interactions)

Page 63: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

PEPSSI Pluto Energetic Particle Spectrometer

Objectives:•Measure energetic particles from Pluto’s upper atmosphere,as a diagnostic of Pluto’s atmospheric escape rate.

Page 64: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

LORRI Long Range Reconnasance Imager

Objectives• Far-side maps• High-resolution closest approach images, including terminator and stereo imaging.

Page 65: Pluto: the next decade of discovery

Summary

• We expect Pluto to undergo seasonal change in the next decade

• Observations can constrain models of voalatile transport in the outer solar system

• Beware spatial-temporal confusion!• Long time-base observations support

and are supported by the planned New Horizons mission to Pluto