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Planning for Drought: A Risk Management Approach. Mark Svoboda, Climatologist Monitoring Program Area Leader, National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln, USA South Central U.S. Drought Impacts and Assessment Workshop, Austin, TX July 7, 2011. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Planning for Drought: A Risk Management Approach
Mark Svoboda, Climatologist
Monitoring Program Area Leader, National Drought Mitigation Center
University of Nebraska-Lincoln, USA
South Central U.S. Drought Impacts and Assessment Workshop, Austin, TX July 7, 2011
Drought: “a force for truth”Analysis of drought risk management is the starting point for a comprehensive institutional analysis
Stress from drought highlights:Strengths and weaknesses that are usually hidden
Political priorities and underlying cultural values revealed by difficult choices
Societies will manage climate change in the same way they will manage droughts (for better and worse)
Daniel Connell, Australian National University, 2010
Characteristics of Crisis Management
reactive, post-impactpoorly coordinateduntimelypoorly targetedineffectivedecreases self-reliance greater vulnerability
United States National Drought Policy
Collection of fragmented efforts- 88 drought-related federal programs- No national policy (WDCC,NDPC 1998)- States have been leaders (WGA, etc.)
Limited funding for monitoring/mitigation- fraction of response expenditures
Focus on crisis management- ad-hoc responses and relief payments- paradigm shift underway?
• Then came NIDIS (2006)• Much more to do……
Focusing Events: Windows of Opportunity for Drought Planning
NDMC, 2011
Drought Plan Components
Monitoring and early warningAssess, communicate, and trigger actionFoundation of a drought mitigation plan
Vulnerability assessment Who and what is at risk and why?
Mitigation and response actionsActions/programs that reduce risk and impacts and enhance recovery
Tools for Planning: NDMC and NIDIS• All droughts are “local”• Planning is a “living” process• Planning should start local• Planning at all scales• Now what?
“Drought Ready” Communities
http://www.drought.unl.edu/plan/DRC.htm
The Drought Ready Communities Project
2 years (June 2008-June 2010)
Funded by NOAA’s Climate Program Office, Sectoral Applications Research Program (SARP), and NIDIS
http://drought.unl.edu/plan/DRC.htm
The Pilot Communities Nebraska City, Nebraska, pop. ~ 7,000
□ Wells draw from aquifer under the Missouri River Decatur, Illinois, pop. ~ 82,500
□ Surface water Norman, Oklahoma ~ 100,000 +
□ Surface and ground water
1: Invite & Commit
2: Gather Information
3: Start Monitoring
4: Plan for Education & Awareness
5: Plan Responses to Reduce Impacts
NIDIS Engaging Preparedness Communities Working Group
Establishing a cooperative network of drought stakeholders
UNL Project approval number (IRB# 20101111010 EX)
EPC Goal:Assist entities in planning for and reducing the risks associated with drought
NIDIS Implementation Plan, 2007
Approach
Approach•Create▫ database of state drought plan information
Drought Plan Database
Basic information
Communication & coordination
Drought declaration & response
Diversity of water users
Impact & risk assessment
Indicators & triggers
Climate change & uncertainty
Take Home Messages
• Be in position to take advantage of focusing events (windows of opportunity) to push drought planning to the forefront as a consistent priority via policy
• No “one size fits all” option available to develop a plan
• Needs to have a regular update period defined ( living process)
• Many lessons to be shared and learned
Why Plan for Drought?
Please visit the NDMC website for more information: http://drought.unl.edu
Contact me at:Mark [email protected]
Thanks!