Pierre-Francois Verhulst Possible explanations: S-curve Logistics function, S-curve

© Marc van der Erve – 2009/2010/2011/2012 The

Next Scientific Revolution?

PHILOSOPHICAL & PRACTICAL CONSEQUENCES

Our world is not a world of things that determine behavior patterns

but a world of behavior patterns that determine things…




A DB C

What is behind this universal pattern of organizational and societal emergence?

What really ‘shapes’ our world?

A

D

B

C




Trying to connect the dots...

Failure & Fate of the Knowledge Graph




Pierre-Francois Verhulst

Possible explanations: S-curve

Logistics function, S-curve





Thomas Malthus


Logistics function, S-curvePrinciple of Population





Thomas Malthus

Theodore Modis

S-curve behind everythingLogistics function, S-curvePrinciple of Population






Thomas Malthus

Theodore Modis

Alfred Russel WallaceCharles Darwin


Natural selection of the fittest






Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould

Theodore Modis


Natural selection of the fittestPunctuated equilibrium






Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould

Theodore Modis

Per Bak



Avalanche effect




PHILOSOPHICAL & PRACTICAL CONSEQUENCESPremise What ‘shapes’ our world?

AristotleOur world consists of substances, each substance is plainly divisible into other substances... if not substances there must be attributes...

• S-curve • (Shaping-process) attribute

Possible explanations:

?

x

DescartesOur world consists of corpuscles of matter that can be divided (and assembled) into other corpuscles...





Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould

Gilbert Probst

Theodore Modis

Per Bak

Possible explanations: S-curve, Self-organization



Avalanche effectSelf-organization





Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould

Hermann HakenGilbert Probst

Theodore Modis

Per Bak




Out-of-equilibrium, synergentics






Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak

Humberto MaturanaFrancisco Varela






Self-referentiality, autopoiesis





Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman






Fitness landscapes






Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis






Fitness landscapesEndosymbiosis






Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson








4th Law





Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine








4th Law

Chaos vs order, state of least resistence prevails





Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan







Constructal law


4th Law






S-curve (Shaping-process) attribute


?

x


Self-organization (Shaping-process) attribute x





Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan

Edward Lorentz

Possible explanations: S-curve, Self-organization, Complexity theory






Constructal law


4th Law


Attractor emergence: stage B





Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan

Benzi, Satura, Vulpiani

Edward Lorentz







Constructal law


4th Law



Stochastic resonance: stage A





Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan


Edward Lorentz

Ichiro Tsuda, Kunihiko Kaneko







Constructal law


Open chaos, itinerant attractor: stage D, C

4th Law








Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan


Edward Lorentz








Constructal law


Open chaos, itinerant attractor: stage D, CGradient (inequality) produces gradient-minimization behavior

4th Law










?

x


Self-organization (Shaping-process) attribute xComplexity (Shaping-process) attribute x





Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan


Edward Lorentz


Possible explanations: S-curve, Self-organization, Complexity theory, Time

Time precedes existence






Constructal law



4th Law








Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan


Edward Lorentz









Constructal law



4th Law




Henri Bergson

Duration = Creation





Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan


Edward Lorentz




Alfred North Whitehead

Simultaneity = Essence






Constructal law



4th Law




Henri Bergson

Duration = Creation





Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan


Edward Lorentz



Simultaneity precedes energy conversion


Time precedes existenceSimultaneity = Essence






Constructal law



4th Law




Henri Bergson

Duration = Creation





Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan


Edward Lorentz




Chris Isham


Lack of emergent time in QM







Constructal law



4th Law




Henri Bergson

Duration = Creation Time precedes existence





Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan


Edward Lorentz




Julian Barbour

Chris Isham


Lack of emergent time in QMTime does not exist







Constructal law



4th Law




Henri Bergson






Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan


Edward Lorentz




Julian Barbour

Chris Isham

Lee Smolin, Stuart KauffmanAlfred North Whitehead

Lack of emergent time in QMTime does not exist







Constructal law



4th Law




Time is local phenomenon

Henri Bergson






Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan


Edward Lorentz



Simultaneity precedes energy conversion *

Julian Barbour

Chris Isham


Lack of emergent time in QMTime does not existTime is local phenomenon







Constructal law



4th Law




Duality of time, time holon (tilon) *

Two clocks...- Regular time = human invention = measure of repetition - Fundamental time = 4 stages of simultaneity emergence *

Henri Bergson






Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan


Edward Lorentz




Julian Barbour

Chris Isham









Constructal law



4th Law






Eugene Maslow

4 stages of Parametic Resonance *

Henri Bergson






Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan


Edward Lorentz




Julian Barbour

Chris Isham

Lee Smolin, Stuart Kauffman

Carlo Rovelli



Forget time, it is a thermodynamic phenomenon *







Constructal law



4th Law






Eugene Maslow


Henri Bergson






Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan


Edward Lorentz




Julian Barbour

Chris Isham


Carlo Rovelli



Ancient Egypt: Time Great *, Time Small *







Constructal law



4th Law




Jan Assmann



Two clocks...- Regular time = human invention = measure of repetition *- Fundamental time = 4 stages of simultaneity emergence *

Eugene Maslow


Henri Bergson








?

x


Self-organization (Shaping-process) attribute xComplexity (Shaping-process) attribute xTime (Shaping-process) attribute x





Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan


Edward Lorentz



Julian Barbour

Chris Isham


Carlo Rovelli










Constructal law



4th Law




Jan Assmann


Possible explanations: S-curve, Self-organization, Complexity theory, Time, Shape



Eugene Maslow


Henri Bergson

Duration = Creation





Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan


Edward Lorentz



Julian Barbour

Chris Isham


Carlo Rovelli









Constructal law



4th Law




Jan Assmann

Kenneth Libbrecht

Snowflake-structure depends on temperature






Eugene Maslow


Henri Bergson

Duration = Creation





Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan


Edward Lorentz



Julian Barbour

Chris Isham


Carlo Rovelli









Constructal law



4th Law




Jan Assmann

Kenneth Libbrecht







I don’t know

why!

Eugene Maslow


Henri Bergson

Duration = Creation







x



?

Shape (Shaping-process) attribute x





Thomas Malthus


Stephen J. Gould


Theodore Modis

Per Bak


Stuart Kauffman

Lynn Margulis

Rod Swenson

Ilya Prigogine

Adrian Bejan


Edward Lorentz



Julian Barbour

Chris Isham


Carlo Rovelli









Constructal law



4th Law




Jan Assmann

Kenneth Libbrecht







Eugene Maslow


I don’t know

why!

Figure & Ground of Reality...

Reproducing least-energy fitting behavior patterns draw Figure of Reality

Henri Bergson

Duration = Creation







Per Bak’s avalanche moment...

x



?

Problem is Assembly

Shape (Shaping-process) attribute x

Plainly Wrong!






We interpret our world by what we see...

But who or what assembles it?

What is the Ground of our world?




Which view explains how our world is being shaped?

Figure Gestalt Ground Gestalt






We interpret our world by what we see...

But who or what assembles it?

What is the Ground of our world?




FutureToday



Inequality

Behavior-Pattern Species

Organization

Motion

Memory

ΔExternal inequalities

Congruent Simultaneity - 2nd LawLeast-energy fitting out-reproduce others

Observation of reality

Repetition of patternsLeast-energy fitting reproduce

Division of Labor - 0th LawMinimization of the inequalities

Behavior patte

rns

Sum of inequalities = ConstantDivision of Inequalities - 1st Law

Entropy

Awareness

THE PATH OF NATURE



Alfred Russel Wallace and Charles Darwin: What makes the branching tree of species grow?

Hidden

Existential Manifold

Niches, Species

Behavioral Domain

Visible Outcomes

Cause

Consequence

Re-explaining Evolution

UNIFICATION



Reciprocal Conditioning

Evolving Realities

Behavior Patterns

Behavioral Domain

Dimension of Outcomes

Physical Outcomes

Non-material Outcomes

Awareness

Thought

Organizations

Humans

Snowflakes

RNA, DNA

Flocks

Niches, Species

UNIFICATION



Reality in truth…An ecosystem of behavior-pattern species

We touch a sub-atomic abyss An atom is at least 15-times smaller than a molecule

An atom is at least 100,000 times bigger than its nucleus

Niches, Species

Behavioral Domain

Visible Outcomes

What is reality? Could it be that what we touch or observe?

Gautama BuddhaOnly together they arise - pattica sumuppãda

UNIFICATION



Fast

Slow

Population of Best-Fitting Behavior-Pattern Species

Behavioral Domain


Time

From holons to time holons or tilons (fractals of organizational emergence)

UNIFICATION

Time Holons or Tilons



Behavioral Domain


Emzine

Existential Manifold Inequality Forms of Organization

Roles ≡ Complexity

InequalitiesEver-increasing

Inequality-minimizing Capacity

Purposeful Evolution

UNIFICATION



Hexagon-inspired structures are residues rather than explanations

Ice Crystal

E8 Symmetry

Bénard Cell

Honeycomb

Most-efficient geometry

Behavioral Domain


Emzine

Existential Manifold Inequality

UNIFICATION



Environment Congruent Simultaneity

Best-AchievableEnvironment of Gradients

ORGANIZATIONAL DESIGN APPROACH inspired by Behavior-Pattern Species

Typical DesignApproach

Sustainable Business orOrganizationReward & Punishment GradientsSocial Sciences

Material SciencesNovel Insulating Polymer Chipwith Trillions Nano-M VacuumsTemperature, Material, Interval Gradients

Often-Unexpected ResultsTinkering with Gradients

Nuclear Fusion Research Sustainable OrganizationOf Fusing NucleiInner-Star Temperature Gradient

FutureDesignApproach

Selection Based on Level of Congruent Simultaneity

Simulation ofBehavior-Pattern Species

Desired Result

IBM’s“Self-assembling” Circuit

Artem Oganov“Crystal Structure Prediction”

RECENT DOTS

DOTDOT



RECENT DOTS

Blue Valley senior is on the verge of a quantum leap for science

“Everything you see is shaking,” he says. His eyes sweep across the tabletop. The chairs. The carpeted floor. “Solidity is an illusion.”

Quantum physics explores the vast inner universe of molecules, the open spaces where atomic particles vibrate and struggle against one

another in waves. Kinetic energy is in everything, he says, “like mass on a spring.”

The laws of thermodynamics dictate that you can’t get something from nothing. The energy needed to break out hydrogen was too much to get

enough energy profit in the output.

“You want an open mind,” he said, “but not so open that your brain falls out.”

There Browning stood, describing the resonant frequency of molecules and the chemical reactions, proposing the electrical circuitry and the

models for measuring feedback.

He has created a hydrogen cell that is efficient enough to power a cooking grill. So he’s created another company, Green Grills, which he

plans will create water-powered grills to help raise the capital he needs to carry on his ultimate dream.

That is being carried out by his prize company, BLISresonance — Beauty Lies in Simplicity, which continues its pursuit of a water-powered

car engine.

Novel hydrogen fuel-cell technology by Hunter Browning (18)

DOT



RECENT DOTS

DOT

DOT GroupCohesion

Source ofMomentum

GroupPerspective

Elasticity ofSocial Forces

Yin-Yang Features

Inward/Closed

Outward/Open

Outward/Open

Inward/Closed

Autonomy

Interdependence

Org

anizatio

nInd

ivid

ual

Fragmentation

IntegrationInelastic

Inelastic

Vision

Culture



World of Things

(Equilibrium) Equality

(Deliberate) Creation

(Mutual) Causality

Time

Space, Time, Gravity

Extrapolation

Sustainability

Mind over Matter

Awareness

Morality

Timeless Leadership

Built to Last

Due Diligence

God

Being, Sein

World of Behavior Patterns

Inequality (Out of Equilibrium)

WHAT WILL SHAPE THE 3RD MILLENNIUM?

EMERGENT WORLDSTATIC WORLD



Equilibrium Out ofEquilibrium

Out ofEquilibrium

Dark Energy, Matter ObervableReality

ObervableReality

Inequality-Driven Reality

Inequality-Driven Reality

INEQUALITY



World of Things



(Mutual) Causality

Time


Extrapolation

Sustainability

Mind, Matter

Awareness

Morality

Timeless Leadership

Built to Last

Due Diligence

God

Being, Sein



Self-creation (Spontaneous)

Conditioning (Reciprocal)

Congruent-Simultaneity Development



Simultime



NOT A PATH IN TIME OF OUR MAKING

Out of EquilibriumHigh Inflation

Credit Contraction

Nearing EquilibriumLow Inflation

Credit Expansion



ON NATURE’S PATH OF EMERGENCE

Credit Contraction Credit Expansion

High Inflation

Low Inflation



World of Things



(Mutual) Causality

Time


Extrapolation

Sustainability

Mind, Matter

Awareness

Morality

Timeless Leadership

Built to Last

Due Diligence

God

Being, Sein






Emergent Phenomena (Verlinde)



A New Physics?



A NEW PHYSICS

Our world is not a world of particles and forces

that determine behavior patterns…

but a world of behavior patterns

that determine particles and forces…



World of Things



(Mutual) Causality

Time


Extrapolation

Sustainability

Mind over Matter

Awareness

Morality

Timeless Leadership

Built to Last

Due Diligence

God

Being, Sein






Emergent Phenomena (Verlinde)

Prediction (CS Development Stages)

Non-Sustainabiliy

Motion over Memory, Mind

Meta-awareness

Meta-morality

Temporal Leadership

Grown to Achieve

Future Diligence

Nature and Man as its Exponent

Becoming, Emzine



Documents

Pierre-Francois Verhulst Possible explanations: S-curve Logistics function, S-curve