PFS Guide 8 Sep 2009

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    Cities Development Initiative for Asia

    Pre-Feasibility Study Guideline

    September 2009

    CDIA

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    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    1 INTRODUCTION 3

    2 DEFINITION OF PFS 3

    3 NECESSITY AND OBJECTIVES OF PFS 3

    3.1 CDIA Guiding Principles 3

    3.2 Bridging the gap 3

    4 SCOPE OF PFS 3

    5 KEY STEPS TO UNDERTAKE PFS 4

    5.1 Initial Consultations Prior Departure to the Project Location 4

    5.2 Counterpart Consultations 4

    5.3 Undertaking the Assignment 5

    6 CONTENT OF PFS 5

    Table 1: PFS Checklist 6

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    1 INTRODUCTION

    CDIAs key operational principle is to provide

    services up to pre-feasibility level. This guide

    has been developed to clarify the term

    Prefeasibility Study (PFS) and aims to

    further elucidate the content of PFS primarilyfor CDIA stakeholders (local governments of

    medium-sized cities in Asia), and not at least

    for the consultants who are hired to

    undertake and implement CDIA supported

    assignments.

    2 DEFINITION OF PFS1

    A PFS is broadly defined as preparatory

    studies required to enable funders to have a

    successful feasibility study carried out for aparticular investment opportunity; this

    generally will comprise investment

    programming and packaging, initial scoping

    and costing of identified investment projects,

    and priority-setting among identified

    investment projects competing for scarce

    resources. Typical outputs are descriptions of

    priority projects for which broad design

    choices have been made, at a level of detail

    sufficient for a Terms of Reference for a

    feasibility study

    Another way to define PFS is a preliminarystudy undertaken to determine if it would be

    worthwhile to proceed to the feasibility study

    stage2. Hence, a PFS can determine the

    scope of the probable following feasibility

    study whether; i) Is it worthwhile to proceed

    with the feasibility stage? And, ii) What would

    be the main objective(s) of the feasibility

    study?

    3 NECESSITY AND OBJECTIVES OF PFS

    3.1 CDIA Guiding Principles

    The guiding principles and operational

    directions for CDIA are addressing four major

    principles: i) Urban environmental

    1Reference: CDIA Operational Guidelines

    2BusinessDictionary.com

    sustainability, ii) Climate change

    mitigation/adaptation, iii) Urban poverty

    reduction, and iv) Good urban governance.

    While it is not possible to make a discernable

    impact across all these dimensions in every

    project, CDIA is committed to addressing

    them as much as possible across all aspects ofCDIA operations. Thus, a PFS should always

    upfront emphasize the relevance the

    proposed infrastructure has for one or more

    of these guiding principles.

    3.2 Bridging the gap

    In many cases cities do have some type of

    urban development strategies and/or

    masterplan, but have somehow not been able

    to move forward from these plans. CDIA was

    created to bridge these urban governance

    gaps and assist cities to translate theirinfrastructure needs into projects and

    programs ready to be financed, including

    prioritization of investment proposals by

    providing useful pre-feasibility information.

    CDIA is cooperating closely with bi-lateral and

    multi-lateral development banks and

    agencies.

    Therefore, the main purpose of PFS is to

    ensure that there is a solid base for

    undertaking a feasibility study and to further

    defining probable following investment

    projects. The PFS can also be used to identity

    and highlight certain development issues and

    assist the cities and local government to

    identify prioritized sectors to improve the

    urban situation.

    4 SCOPE OF PFS3

    The specific scope and tasks of a PFS will be

    determined in the Terms of Reference (TOR).

    Generally a PFS undertaken under CDIA

    umbrella would include the following:

    a review of technical options andfeatures for the potential project(s);

    3There are usually more than 1 PFS per CDIA study,

    hence section 4 will need to be repeated for each sector

    while the other sections apply to the Project as a whole.

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    brief assessment of potential economicand social benefits;

    preliminary assessment of probabledevelopment impact objectives of the

    project(s) in terms of urban

    environmental improvement, urban

    poverty reduction, urban governanceimprovement and social and gender

    impacts;

    preliminary assessment of possibleadverse environmental and social

    impacts and how to mitigate by

    safeguards4, flag these issues for the

    anticipated Feasibility Study;

    preliminary estimates of project costsand of financial sustainability;

    recommend likely implementation andoperation arrangements for thepotential project(s) including possible

    public-private partnership (PPP)

    potential;

    undertake financial and/or economicanalysis based on available information,

    providing the basis for negotiation with

    potential financers;

    flagging of issues to be considered indetail in the ensuring Feasibility Study

    including review of the process why the

    specific infrastructure has become a

    priority.

    CDIA has developed ToR templates for

    consultants in specific areas of work. For

    example, i) TOR template to undertake PFS(s),

    and ii) TOR template for urban infrastructure

    investment planning and programming. These

    templates will be reviewed and adjusted to

    specific city circumstances to meet the actual

    requirements depending on which sector to

    support.

    4Safeguarding the environment, Indigenous Peoples

    and resettled people, i.e. to prevent, minimize, or

    mitigate harmful environmental impacts, social costs,

    and marginalization of vulnerable groups that may

    result from development projects.

    5 KEY STEPS TO UNDERTAKE PFS

    Depending on the nature of the PFS below are

    standard steps the study team should take

    into consideration.

    5.1 Initial Consultations Prior

    Departure to the Project Location

    Consult the CDIA nominated CoreManagement Team member who will

    supervise the Consultants work, i.e. to

    ensure that the scope and expectations

    of the assignment has been correctly

    understood;

    Study related programs and activities inthe country to establish a sound

    understanding of the urban

    development situation being addressed.

    5.2 Counterpart Consultations

    Counterpart consultations should be seen as a

    key priority activity. The following steps are

    recommended:

    Formally validate Steering Committeestructure and counterpart contribution;

    Establish sound working relationshipwith the city counterpart to strive for

    efficient team work and good

    cooperation ensuring that key

    institutions are at all times engaged inthe process of the assignment as equal

    partners;

    Thoroughly explain and inform thecounterpart when and how many

    consultants will be present in the city,

    especially if intermittent inputs are

    being used. Ideally this is done by

    providing a tentative staffing schedule

    and workplan to the counterpart;

    Undertake field visits to locations ofproposed activities to reach a full

    understanding of the developmentissues;

    Together with the counterpart discussand identify the key issues of the study

    and agree on how to address those;

    Identify investments with thecounterpart through participatory

    processes and in partnership with

    citizens, civil society and private sector,

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    which are pro-poor focus and mitigate

    climate change.

    5.3 Undertaking the Assignment

    As mentioned under Para 4 the TOR should be

    the guiding instrument for the assignment,

    however to ensure a successful study thebelow steps should be taken into account.

    Jointly with the counterpart define thegeographical scope of the study area;

    Review of previous studies on thereferred development issues, if

    available;

    Study the current development issues(e.g. urban planning, land use, urban

    transport, solid waste, sewage water

    and drainage etc.) and design within the

    city;

    Assess the organizational andinstitutional issues in the provision of

    basic urban services (e.g. systems,

    business processes, stakeholder

    analysis, internal/external relationships

    and political economy);

    Identify possible solutions andmeasures to improve the urban

    management situation, including new

    institutional delivery mechanisms for

    improved service provision;

    Identify alternative solutions includingassessment of local financing capacity

    and the likely need for external funding

    and support, including the role of the

    private sector;

    Make use of CDIA developed toolkitsand guidelines5, as appropriate;

    Recommend environmentally andsocially responsible techniques and

    strategies for urban infrastructure

    investment;

    Conduct preliminary assessment ofprobable development impact

    objectives of the project(s) in terms of

    urban environmental improvement,

    urban poverty reduction, urban

    governance improvement and social

    and gender impacts;

    5 This PFS Guideline, Project Programming &

    Prioritisation Toolkit and PPP Manual Quick Start

    Guide

    Conduct preliminary assessment ofpossible adverse environmental and

    social impacts and how to mitigate by

    safeguards, flag these issues for the

    anticipated Feasibility Study;

    Conduct preliminary estimates ofproject costs and of financialsustainability;

    Recommend likely implementation andoperation arrangements for the

    potential project(s) including possible

    potential of public-private partnership

    (PPP);

    Flag issues to be considered in detail inthe anticipated Feasibility Study

    including review of the process why the

    specific urban infrastructure has

    become a priority;

    Undertake an initial assessment ofmajor risks including political;

    Throughout the assignment holdregular meetings (besides steering

    committee meetings) with relevant

    stakeholders in the counterpart

    institution and the city administration

    to update on progress of the study and

    create ownership;

    Throughout the assignment discuss withand inform potential funding partners

    of the progress and likely need for

    future investments;

    If applicable, define issues to beaddressed in, and further need for data

    collection and analysis for, a potential

    Feasibility Study.

    6 CONTENT OF PFS

    Depending on the nature of the PFS the

    content of the report(s) will naturally vary.

    CDIA has developed a detailed checklist

    containing the standard requirements andcontent of a PFS (refer to Table 1 overleaf).

    Relevant parts shall apply depending on the

    nature and scope of the PFS.

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    Table 1: PFS Checklist

    1.0 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    1.1 ObjectivesBrief information of project objectives and

    background.( )

    1.2 Summary of analysis

    Summarize the stages of the PFS, brief description

    of current situation and recommended projects and

    strategies including tentative cost estimate.

    ( )

    2.0 INTRODUCTION

    2.1 Reporting structureBrief introduction to the PFS, objectives of the

    report and how it is structured.( )

    2.2 Schedule Indicate the schedule of the study. ( )

    2.3Consultant(s) and

    Counterpart(s)Involved consultants(s) and counterpart staff ( )

    3.0 ANALYSIS OF DEVELOPMENT ISSUES

    3.1 Current situation

    Indicate Project area, policy and legislation,

    institutional structure and finance, analysis and

    overview of the current situation and its impact.

    ( )

    3.2 Development need

    Analysis of future requirements and demand

    analysis, i.e. typically 5 10 years projections and

    estimates.

    ( )

    3.3 Stakeholders viewsStakeholders perceptions of the conditions and

    how they were obtained.( )

    3.4Institutional and financial

    options considered

    Indicate considered institutional and financial

    options, public funding versus PPP, point out why

    the project appears as it does etc.

    ( )

    4.0 PROJECT IDENTIFICATION

    4.1 Recommendations

    Studys recommendations and analysis to improve

    the urban situation. Alternative broad technical

    solutions and preliminary design, social-,

    environmental- and institutional aspects.

    ( )

    4.2 Project Descriptions

    Project description to include:

    - Project title

    - Sector / Sub-sector

    - Location (maps, photos as required)

    - Implementing agency

    - Technical description and aspects

    - Project benefits and outcomes- Beneficiaries

    - Social, poverty, gender impacts

    - Environmental impacts

    - Project Costs (US$)

    - Operation and Maintenance Cost

    - Recommended implementation schedule

    - Potential for private investment

    ( )

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    - Potential for community

    involvement/contributions

    5.0 DEVELOPMENT IMPACT OBJECTIVES

    5.1 Assessment

    Preliminary assessment of likely development

    impact objectives of the project(s) in terms of urban

    environmental improvement, urban poverty

    reduction, urban governance improvement and

    social and gender impacts.

    ( )

    5.2Adverse Environmental

    and Social Impacts

    Preliminary assessment of possible adverse

    environmental and social impacts and how to

    mitigate those by safeguards (environment,

    indigenous peoples and resettled people). Flag

    these issues for the anticipated Feasibility Study.

    (Refer to ADBs checklists on social and

    environmental assessments)

    ( )

    6.0 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

    6.1 Project CostsPreliminary estimates and summary of project costs

    of identified and prioritized projects.( )

    6.2 Municipal revenues

    Analysis of the current municipal revenues,

    recurrent internally generated and other revenue

    (funds from irregular sources that can vary

    significantly from year to year). In addition, analysis

    of grants and loans situation.

    ( )

    6.3 Municipal expenditure

    Analysis of recurrent expenditure, other

    expenditure (operation & maintenance, possibly

    electricity etc) and development (capital)

    expenditure.

    ( )

    6.4Economic and Financial

    Analysis

    Preliminary estimates of project costs. Analysis ofthe current investment situation to derive a

    financial envelope to finance the identified

    investment projects. Undertake financial and/or

    economic analysis of the project. Elaborate various

    funding scenarios considering potential

    loans/grants from development banks, possible

    private investments and government contribution,

    producing projections of financial statements as

    required to evaluate viability. (Refer to ADB

    guidelines on economic and financial analysis)

    ( )

    6.5 Conclusions

    Conclusion remarks of the current investment

    situation and the affordability to finance identifiedinvestment projects.

    ( )

    7.0 IMPLEMENTATION ARRANGEMENTS

    7.1Implementation and

    Operation Arrangements

    Recommend and elaborate likely implementation

    and operation arrangements for the potential

    project(s) including possible potential of public-

    private partnership (PPP). Indicate possible

    ( )

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    institutional weaknesses and suggested measures

    to rectify the situation.

    8.0 RISKS

    8.1 AssessmentInitial assessment of the key risks for each proposed

    project.( )

    8.2 Assumptions

    Identify the major assumptions which are made for

    recommended projects. Indicate if there are any

    circumstances outside the control of the

    recommended project, if they occurred, would

    prevent the achievement of the main objectives.

    These assumptions would be analyzed further at

    the feasibility stage.

    ( )

    8.3 Risks

    Identify broad risks to both implementation and

    sustainability. Indicate risk management strategies,

    if relevant. To be further developed at the feasibility

    stage.

    ( )

    9.0 FORTHCOMING FEASIBILITY STUDY (if required)

    9.1 Further studiesIndicate the need and reasons for further studies, if

    required.( )

    9.2Feasibility study

    requirements

    Briefly summarize the requirements to indicate

    likely data and survey needs, required expertise,

    support facilities, locations, and institutions to be

    consulted, skills required on the team and time

    requirements.

    ( )

    10.0 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

    10.1 Conclusions andRecommendations

    Summarize the conclusions and recommendations

    from the study. Highlight key issues and suggested

    way forward for the local government and/or city.

    ( )

    11.0 APPENDICES

    11.1 Appendices

    To be attached as necessary e.g. data and survey

    sheets, detailed technical descriptions and costing,

    project fiches, key references etc.

    ( )

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    Cities Development Initiative for Asia

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    Metro Manila, Philippines

    Phone: +63-2 631-2342 Fax: +63-2 631-6158

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