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PERUN - software demonstration -. Martin Dubrovsky ([email protected]) Mirek Trnka ([email protected]. Introduction to this afternoon (several experiments will be made). main window of PERUN. Window 2: Directories and lists. Window 3: Parameters of Met&Roll. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Introduction to this afternoon(several experiments will be made)
main window of PERUN
Window 2: Directories and lists
Window 3: Parameters of Met&Roll
Window 4: importing weather data
Seasonal analysis (AG-01)
Meteo input:
- observed data
- 1 year
- no forecast
- no scenario
Seasonal analysis (AG-01) - graph 1
Multi-year analysis (AG-02)
Meteo input:
- observed data
- 40 year
- no forecast
- no scenario
Seasonal analysis (AG-02) - graph 1
Seasonal analysis (AG-02) - graph 2
Seasonal analysis (AG-02) - graph 3
Sensitivity analysis (AG-03): precipitation
Meteo input:
- observed data
- 40 year
- no forecast
- no scenario
Seasonal analysis (AG-02) - graph 3
Sensitivity analysis (AG-03): soil
Meteo input:
- observed data
- 40 year
- no forecast
- no scenario
Seasonal analysis (AG-03) - graph 3
Probabilistic seasonal forecast of crop yields (AG-04)sensitivity to the lead-time
Meteo input:
- observed till day0-1
- synthetic since day0
- 10 re-runs
- no forecast
- no scenario
Crop yield forecasting (AG-04) - graph 3
Weather forecast - type 1* weather forecastMETHOD = 1 ...averages... ..std. deviation..@JD-from JD-to TMAX TMIN PREC TMAX TMIN PREC 99121 99130 17 6 30 2 2 10 99131 99140 14 4 60 3 3 20 99141 99150 21 10 10 4 4 10 @
Weather forecast - type 2* weather forecastMETHOD = 3 ...averages... ..std. deviation..@JD-from JD-to TMAX TMIN PREC TMAX TMIN PREC 99121 99130 1 1 1.2 1 1 1 99131 99140 0 0 1.0 1 1 1 99141 99150 -1 -1 0.9 1 1 1 @
Climate change impacts on crop yields (AG-05.exp)
Meteo input:
- synthetic
- scenario
- 99 years
- no forecast
Makkink!!!
Climate change scenario@original file =WIE-A2H.scMONTH DTR PRE RAD TMN TMP TMX VAP WND--- + * * + + + * * 0 0.341 -2.568 2.626 1.284 1.454 1.625 6.600 0.766 1 -0.054 8.354 -3.884 1.233 1.206 1.178 9.298 -0.335 2 0.101 3.694 -3.544 1.315 1.365 1.416 10.467 0.542 3 0.239 3.377 -0.458 0.902 1.022 1.141 6.012 0.582 4 0.100 6.025 1.216 1.080 1.130 1.180 6.175 0.620 5 0.128 2.539 2.726 1.230 1.294 1.358 6.932 0.152 6 0.308 -7.229 3.895 1.224 1.378 1.532 5.971 1.372 7 0.699 -13.576 3.812 1.524 1.874 2.223 6.308 2.994 8 1.164 -15.628 6.828 1.666 2.248 2.831 4.757 2.650 9 0.958 -9.463 7.242 1.516 1.995 2.474 4.673 0.439 10 0.174 1.774 1.424 1.292 1.379 1.466 8.211 -0.138 11 0.265 -2.996 -0.404 0.951 1.084 1.216 7.023 -0.835 12 0.010 7.344 -3.748 1.472 1.477 1.482 10.945 1.612
Climate change impacts - graph 3
(3 climates) x (2 ambient CO2)
Now350
Now535
HadCM3 350
NCAR 350
HadCM3 535
NCAR 535
Multi-site analysis - 1# multi-station analysis@idx soil rdmsol wav wghtCZ01 CZ01.awc 132 15.6 56CZ05 CZ05.awc 133 14.2 67CZ06 CZ06.awc 127 13.4 70CZ09 CZ09.awc 87 7.5 44CZ13 CZ13.awc 111 9.5 181CZ19 CZ19.awc 129 13.1 45***
Multi-site analysis - 2# multi-station analysis@idx soil crop wea lat lon RDMsol WAV idsol weightc001 CZ01.awc WHhan2.CAB BTUR 49.16 16.70 132 15.6 0 714c002 CZ01.awc WHhan2.CAB CASL 49.85 15.67 132 15.6 0 252c003 CZ01.awc WHhan2.CAB CERV 49.78 17.54 132 15.6 0 0c004 CZ01.awc WHhan2.CAB CHEB 50.07 12.39 132 15.6 0 0c005 CZ01.awc WHhan2.CAB CHUR 49.07 13.61 132 15.6 0 0c006 CZ01.awc WHhan2.CAB DOKS 50.46 14.17 132 15.6 0 760c007 CZ01.awc WHhan2.CAB DOMA 49.53 16.25 132 15.6 0 31c008 CZ01.awc WHhan2.CAB HAVL 49.61 15.58 132 15.6 0 0c009 CZ01.awc WHhan2.CAB HNEV 50.30 15.72 132 15.6 0 126c010 CZ01.awc WHhan2.CAB HOLE 49.32 17.57 132 15.6 0 137c011 CZ01.awc WHhan2.CAB HRAD 50.18 15.84 132 15.6 0 0c012 CZ01.awc WHhan2.CAB HUMP 49.55 15.55 132 15.6 0 0c013 CZ01.awc WHhan2.CAB HUSI 49.04 13.99 132 15.6 0 0
PERUN - notes on installation
?. Delete C:\MADSOFT\PERUN directory
1. Open CD:\PERUN
2. Run “installPerun.bat”
3. find and run “c:\madsoft\perun\perun.exe”
4. Open experiment: AG-01.exp and START
