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Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Page 1: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

Performance Report

Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005

March 3, 2005

Page 2: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

2

MBA Fund Managers

Christophe Pane

Luis Prandini

Stephen Petretto

Igor Lemagic

Rajiv Iyer

Jie Wan

Ashley Martella

Yun Cai

Amit Kumar

Sampita Ray

Gabriel Joanes

Page 3: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Performance Highlights (Sept 24,2004 thru February 11,2005)

SMF PORTFOLIO

S & P 500

Portfolio Value (9/24/04) $410,918.25 1,110.11

Portfolio Value (2/11/05)$958,082.81(*

)1,205.30

Holding PeriodReturn (9/24/04 thru 2/11/05)

11.48% 8.57%

Annualized Return (%) 29.93% 22.36%

Beta 0.89 1

Annualized Standard Deviation

10.04% 11.11%

Sharpe Ratio** 2.57 1.64

Treynor Index** 28.95 18.18

Alpha 4.67%

*An additional $500,000 was added to the portfolio as of Jan,19 2005.

**Based on risk-free rate of

4.2%.

Page 4: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Agenda Investment Methodology

Portfolio Performance & Attribution Analysis

Economic Outlook and Allocation

Page 5: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Blend Strategy Combination of value and growth

Multi-Cap Fund

Investment Strategy and Style

Mid Caps

5 stocks

Small Caps1 stock

Large Caps

23 stocks

Primarily investments in large-cap stocks

Number of holdings as of 02/25/05: 29

Market Capitalization

Page 6: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Investment Philosophy Fundamental analysis

Historical performance Valuation models Business models Future Prospects Economic outlook for the industry

Long-term (3-5 year) investment horizon

Benchmark: S&P500 Index Selecting stocks with potential Close monitoring of the portfolio

Page 7: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Investment Approach

Sector Allocation

Valuation Models

•PEG and P/E Models•Dividend Discount Model •Free Cash Flow Model

Stock Selection

Fundamental Analysis

•Business Model Analysis•Ratio Analysis•Future Prospects

Top Down Approach

Page 8: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Stock Selection CriteriaWe look for:

Solid financials

Strong management

Earnings growth

Attractive valuation relative to peers

Higher return/risk relative to industry

“If the choice is between a questionable business at a comfortable price or a comfortable business at a questionable price, we much prefer the latter.”

Page 9: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

Buy & Sell Discipline

Buy CriteriaSteady growth ratesIntrinsic value > market value Above average expected returns

Sell Review CriteriaStock reaches our target return Predetermined stop loss pricesRisk/reward profile deterioratesActual earnings figures lower than estimates

Page 10: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Management Style

Active Management Report presentation and voting

Performance Monitoring Stop Loss Measures (15%) Appreciation Reevaluation (20%) Continuous Monitoring & Dynamic Response

Page 11: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Sector Allocation (as of 02/11/2005)

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

S&P 500 Current SMF allocation

Top 5 sectors:

FinancialsIndustrials

Consumer Disc.IT

Health Care

Page 12: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Detailed Sector Allocation (as of 02/11/2005)

COMPANY NAMETRADE DATE

# SHARES COST ($)

CURRENTPRICE ($)

CURRENT VALUE ($)

% RETURN

% OF PORTFOLIO

HEALTHCARE

Aetna Inc. 27-Oct-04 200 $89.41 $133.50 $26,700.00 *49.31% 2.79%

ENERGY

Valero Energy 27-Oct-04 500 $44.00 $61.43 $30,715.00 39.61% 3.21%

FINANCIALS

Citigroup 22-Oct-04 500 $42.80 $49.40 $24,700.00 15.42% 2.58%

Commerce Bancorp 22-Dec-04 600 $60.03 $57.74 $34,644.00 -3.81% 3.62%

Hartford F. Services 12-Nov-04 350 $62.00 $73.76 $25,816.00 18.97% 2.69%

ING Group (ADR) 9-Nov-04 300 $26.71 $29.31 $8,793.00 9.73% 0.92%

CONSUMER STAPLES

Coca-Cola 22-Sep-04 300 $40.46 $42.76 $12,828.00 5.68% 1.34%

Walgreen's 22-Nov-04 400 $37.93 $42.81 $17,124.00 12.87% 1.79%

* Best Performeruntil 02/11

Page 13: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Detailed Sector Allocation (as of 02/11/2005)

CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY

Comcast Corp. 15-Oct-04 375 $28.77 $31.53 $11,823.75 9.59% 1.23%

Starwood Hotels 28-Dec-04 350 $59.01 $59.00 $20,650.00 -0.02% 2.16%

Lions Gate Entertain. 11-Feb-05 3000 $10.42 $10.44 $31,320.00 0.19% 3.27%

Viacom B 6-Oct-04 500 $35.21 $37.44 $18,720.00 6.33% 1.95%

INDUSTRIALS

Fedex Corp. 15-Nov-04 260 $95.12 $98.01 $25,482.60 3.04% 2.66%

Masco Corp. 22-Dec-04 500 $36.46 $37.19 $18,595.00 2.00% 1.94%

3M Corp. 15-Nov-04 200 $82.64 $84.04 $16,808.00 1.69% 1.75%

INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

Cisco Systems 3-Dec-04 1000 $19.50 $17.70 $17,700.00 -9.23% 1.85%

Flextronics 28-Dec-04 1000 $13.80 $14.15 $14,150.00 2.54% 1.48%

SAP AG (ADR) 8-Feb-05 750 $39.24 $39.86 $29,895.00 1.58% 3.12%

UTILITIES

Dominion Resources 23-Nov-04 150 $66.71 $70.63 $10,594.50 5.88% 1.11%

INDEX FUND and CASH 

Vanguard S&P500 Index 27-Jan-05 686 $103.26 $110.46 $75,775.56 6.97% 7.91%

CASH         $485,248.40   50.65%

Page 14: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Performance Highlights (Sept 24,2004 thru February 11,2005)

SMF PORTFOLIO

S & P 500

Portfolio Value (9/24/04) $410,918.25 1,110.11

Portfolio Value (2/11/05) $958,082.81(*) 1,205.30

Holding PeriodReturn (9/24/04 thru 2/11/05)

11.48% 8.57%

Annualized Return (%) 29.93% 22.36%

Beta 0.89 1

Annualized Standard Deviation

10.04% 11.11%

Sharpe Ratio** 2.57 1.64

Treynor Index** 28.95 18.18

Alpha 4.67%

*An additional $500,000 was added to the portfolio as of Jan,19 2005.

**Based on risk-free rate of

4.2%.

Page 15: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Portfolio Performance Attribution

290 339

-2 -47-200

0

200

400

PortfolioExcessReturn

StockSelectionAttribution

SectorAllocationAttribution

CashPosition

Attribution

S1

Basis points

Excess Return = Stock Selection + Sector Allocation + Cash Position

Period: September 24, 2004 to February 11, 2005

Page 16: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Current State of the SMF Portfolio (since Feb. 11)

Positions Added:

Apache Corporation, PetroChina (Energy)

Ameritrade, E*Trade, MBNA (Financials)

Invitrogen (Health Care)

Sysco Foods (Consumer Staples)

Dunn & Bradstreet, Tyco International (Industrials)

Florida Power & Light Group, Inc. (Utilities)

Positions Increased:

Comcast and Starwood Hotels (Consumer Discretionary)

Hartford Financial Services (Financials)

Page 17: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Portfolio Summary Market Value at Feb. 25, 2005: $967,397

Current number of stocks: 29

Total amount yet to be allocated: $160,653

Top 10 holdings:

Apache Corporation – 4.43%

Dun & Bradstreet – 4.45%

Tyco International – 4.24%

Hartford Financial Services – 4.12%

E*Trade - 4.07%

FPL Group - 4.06%

MBNA Corporation - 4.04%

Invitrogen Corp. – 3.97%

Page 18: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Portfolio Summary

Top 10 holdings:

Commerce Bancorp – 3.72%

Sysco Foods – 3.63%

Page 19: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Economic OutlookExpected GDP growth of over 3% for 2005, albeit lower than 2004.

Core Inflation expected to rise; prices rose 2.3% from a year earlier.

Long-term interest rates are still low; flattening yield curve.

Federal Reserve is expected to continue increasing the federal-funds rate at “measured” pace.

Mergers-and-acquisitions market is picking up steam – favorable development for equities.

Situation in Iraq puts pressure on oil price and maintain high level of uncertainty.

Energy,industrials,materials, utilities expected to lead market.

Page 20: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Industry Outlook Sector Weight OutlookConsumer Discretionary

Overweight Favorable

Consumer Staples

Underweight Favorable

Energy Neutral Favorable

Financials Overweight Favorable

Healthcare Underweight Favorable

Industrials Overweight Favorable

IT Underweight Unfavorable

Materials Underweight Favorable

Telecom Underweight Unfavorable

Utilities Underweight Favorable

Page 21: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Fulfilled Portfolio Objectives

Performance surpassed S&P 500

Lower Risk Level

Invested primarily in Large Cap U.S. Equities

Chose only fundamentally strong companies

WRAP UP

Top Performers

Aetna (AET)-49.31%

Valero (VLO)-39.61%

Hartford (HIG)-18.97%

Worst Performers

Cisco (CSCO)- (9.23%)

Pfizer (PFE)- (16.83%)

CACI (CAI)- (16.98%)

Page 22: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Takeaways

Valuation Highly Dependent on Analyst’s Assumptions

Stop Losses can sometimes work against you

Have patience

Stick to your strategy and convictions

Enjoy the extraordinary learning opportunity

Page 23: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Thank you.

University of Connecticut Foundation Inc.

Investment Advisory Board

Dr. Chinmoy Ghosh

Page 24: Performance Report Student Managed Fund MBA class of 2005 March 3, 2005

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Q & A ?