Upload
kinjalmba48
View
222
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 1/26
..........
. . . . . . . . .
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE, LINCH
A
PROJECT REPORT ON
PERFORMANCE COMPARISION OFBANKS IN INDIA
SAVE YOUR MONEY FOR ENJOYING
YOUR FUTURE««««««««««
SUBMITTED TO: SUBMITTED BY:
M/S. KHUSHBU SHAH, PATEL DIPAK B. (0831)
FACULTY OF PRAJAPATI KINJAL D. (0848)
S.P.B.PATEL ENG. COLLEGE
(MBA Programme)
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 2/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 3/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
OVERVIEW ON BANKING SECTOR
Banking in India was defined under Section 5(A) as "any company which
transacts banking, business" and the purpose of banking business defined under Section 5(B),"accepting deposits of money from public for the purpose of lending
or investing, repayable on demand through cheque/draft or otherwise". In the
process of doing the above-mentioned primary functions, they are also permitted
to do other types of business referred to as Utility Services for their customers
(Banking Regulation Act, 1949).
During Britishers' time, three Presidency Banks were opened in Bengal (1809),
Bombay (1840) and Madras (1843) with powers to issue Notes. In the year
1921, due to banking crisis during First World War, the three Presidency Banks
merged to form Imperial Bank of India. In the year 1955, after Independence,
Imperial Bank of India was nationalized and renamed as State Bank of India
(SBI) with a primary mandate to go to rural areas by opening at least 400
branches immediately. In the year 1957, the seven banks that were earlier
catering to the rulers of different areas or States viz., Patiala, Bikaner, Jaipur,
Indore, Saurashtra, Hyderabad, Mysore, Travancore, became subsidiaries of
SBI. In 1969 and 1980, Government of India nationalized 14 and 6 major banks
respectively. After the merger of New Bank of India with Punjab National Bank
during the era of Financial Sector Reforms, the number of PSBs became 27,
which are under present study.
The type and nature of businesses handled by the Public Sector Banks have not
been merely confined to primary functions. Class Banking was replaced with
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 4/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
mass banking primarily by the Public Sector Banks by opening branches in
remote parts of the country even without basic amenities of life. Profit was not
the motive for these bank branches for about 3 decades. Their personnel
undertook barefoot banking in godforsaken areas and implemented various
poverty alleviation schemes as directed by Reserve Bank of India (RBI) or
Government of India and Sate Governments concerned. The authorities were
confident of delivering credit to the needy masses through the channel of Public
Sector Banking in the name of "Priority Sector Advances" combining the subsidy
or margin money supported schemes. All these were aimed at generating income
or employment to large number of rural masses comprising weaker sections of
society, artisans, agriculturists and self-employed persons including educated
unemployed youth (Chowdari Prasad, 2002).
In India, till the eighties, the banks operated in a protected environment
characterized by administered interest rates, high levels of pre-emption in the
form of reserve requirements and directed credit. Financial and Banking sector
reforms were initiated in India in 1991 against the backdrop of challenges faced
by the Indian banks from within and outside the banking system in the country as
well as forces of globalization operating worldwide. The accent of the reform
process was to improve productivity and efficiency of the financial system and to
provide a highly competitive environment.
In the present scenario of banking industry, competition among the banks is very
severe. The banks have been trying to find new avenues not only to retain the
present customer strength but also attracting new customers by offering hassle-
free services. In the process, strategies of certain banks, specially Public Sector
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 5/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
Banks, are aiming to divide customers into different segments on the basis of the
type of service they would like to render and also trying to segregate their
servicing counters in their respective branches to enable customer to have easy
access to a particular transaction (Srinivasa Rao, K.S. and Rama Rao,U., 1998).
On the other side, Foreign Banks and old and new Private Sector Banks in India,
have progressed well in the areas of technology up-gradation in operations,
extending the business hours, introduction of new products and services like
"Any Where Banking", "Any Time Money", "Electronic Fund Transfer", "Electronic
Clearing", "Tele-Banking", etc.. These new tools enabled them to improve the
quality of service and introduce Value Added Products (Saraf, W.S., 1997).
The Indian economy under Liberalization, Privatization and Globalization (LPG)
throws mind-boggling process for existence and growth of the sector. WTO was
established in 1995 and signing of WTO Agreement by Indian Government
meant greater competition from foreign and domestic bankers in terms of speed,
sophistication and professionalism. The banks are now expected to maintain
transparency in their operational and financial statements. However, in the
deregulated virtual market, small banks with high Return on Equity (ROE) will
have an edge over the large banks. In fact, modern commercial banks have to be
much more agile in order to stay in the competitive market. Adoption of
Information Technology is vital for survival and growth of the sector and will fix
the future of commercial banks in the LPG economy. Adoption of Information
Technology is vital for survival and growth of the sector and will fix the future of
commercial banks in the LPG economy.
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 6/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
Bank-Group Wise Number of Commercial Banks Functioning in Various States ± March 2002
SBIAND
NATIO- FOREIGN REGIONAL OTHER NON- ALL
ITS NALISED BANKS RURAL SCHED SCHED COMME-
STATE/UNION
TERRITORY
ASSOC- BANKS BANKS ULED ULED RCIAL
IATES COM. COM. BANKS
BANKS BANKS
Andaman &
Nicobar Islands
1 9 ² ² ² ² 10
Andhra Pradesh 8 19 9 17 27 2 82Arunachal
Pradesh
1 4 ² 1 ² ² 6
Assam 2 17 2 5 2 ² 28
Bihar 3 19 ² 16 7 ² 45Chandigarh 5 19 2 ² 14 ² 40
ChhattisgarhSs 3 19 ² 5 4 ² 31
Dadra & Nagar Haveli 1 3 ² ² 2 ² 6
Daman & Diu 2 7 ² ² 2 ² 11Delhi 8 19 21 ² 29 ² 77Goa 3 19 ² ² 17 ² 39
Gujarat 8 19 7 9 26 1 70
Haryana 7 19 1 4 15 ² 46HimachalPradesh
2 17 1 2 2 ² 24
Jammu &Kashmir 2 16 1 3 2 ² 24Jharkhand 2 19 ² 6 6 ² 33
Karnataka 8 19 11 13 29 1 81
Kerala 6 19 5 2 23 ² 55Lakshadweep ² 1 ² ² ² ² 1Madhya Pradesh 8 19 ² 20 13 ² 60
Maharashtra 8 19 35 10 30 ² 102
Manipur 1 9 ² 1 ² ² 11Meghalaya 1 13 ² 1 1 ² 16
Mizoram 1 2 ² 1 ² ² 4 Nagaland 1 8 ² 1 1 ²
Orissa 5 19 ² 9 9 ² 42
Pondicherry 4 17 ² ² 12 ² 33
Punjab 4 19 3 5 14 1 46Rajasthan 8 19 1 14 14 ² 56
Sikkim 1 8 ² ² 1 ² 10
Tamil Nadu 8 19 14 3 27 ² 71
Tripura 1 12 ² 1 ² ² 14Uttar Pradesh 8 19 2 36 18 ² 83
Uttaranchal 3 18 ² 5 4 ² 30West Bengal 8 19 11 9 23 ² 70
ALL-INDIA 8 19 40 196 31 4 298
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 7/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
CENTRAL BANK
COMMERCIAL
BANKSSPECIALISED
BANKS
INSTITUTIONAL
BANKS
NON BANKING
FINANCIAL
INSTITUTION
NATIONALISEDBANKS
SBI &ASSOCIATE
BANKS
PRIVATE SECTOR
BANKS
FOREIGN
BNAKS
OLD PRIVATESECTOR BANKS
NEW PRIVATESECTOR BANKS
LAND MORTGAGE
RURAL CREDIT
INDUSTRIAL DEV.
HOUSING FINANCE
EXIM BANK
IFCI
SFCs
IRBI
NABARD
HDFC
SIDBI
MUTUAL
FUNDS
PRIVATESECTOR
NBFC
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 8/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
Present scenario of the banks in India:
Banks are extremely useful and indispensable in the modern community.The banks create the purchasing power in the form of bank notes, cheques bills,
drafts etc, transfers funds bring borrows and lenders together, encourage thehabit of saving among people.
The banks have played substantial role in the growth of Indian economy.From the meager start in 1860 the banks have come to long way. At present inIndia there are 20 nationalized banks, State bank of India and its seven
Associate banks, 21 old private sector banks and 8 new private sector banks.Besides them there are more than 30 foreign banks either operating themselvesor having their branches in India. The statistical table hereunder shows thefinancial position of the banks as on 31.03.2005.
Statistical table for banks in India (Year 2004-05)
State bank of India and its associates (Rs. In Crores)
Name of bank
Year of incorporation
No. of Offices
Networth Deposits Advances Interestincome
NetNPAratio
State Bank of Bikaner &Jaipur
1966 833 1298 19038 12009 1741 1.61
State Bank of Hyderabad
1941 943 1765 28930 15600 2325 0.61
State Bank of India
1955*. 9161 24072 367048 202374 32428 2.65
State Bank of Indore
1960 456 904 13807 9041 1110 1.00
State Bank of Mysore
1913 639 756 13585 8781 168 0.92
State Bank of Patiala
1917 754 2045 26496 15359 2133 1.23
State Bank of Saurashtra
1902 429 794 12613 6714 1132 1.40
State Bank of Travancore
1945 681 1130 24133 14848 2008 1.81
* From 27th January 1921 to 30th June 1955 it was Imperial Bank of India, whichcame about by merger of Bank of Bengal (2nd June 1806), Bank of Bombay (15th
April 1840) and Bank of Madras (1st July, 1843).
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 9/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
Nationalized Banks
Name of
bank
Year of
incorporation
No. of
Offices
Networth Deposits Advances Interest
income
Net
NPAratio
AllahabadBank
1865 2027 2328 40762 21151 3186 1.28
AndhraBank
1923 1159 1837 27551 17517 2273 0.28
Bank of Baroda
1908 2772 5628 81333 43400 6431 1.45
Bank of India
1906 2668 4465 78821 56013 6032 2.77
Bank of
Maharashtra
1935 1330 1543 28844 13062 2368 2.15
CanaraBank
1906 2627 6109 96908 60421 7572 1.88
CentralBank of India
1911 3239 3265 60752 27277 5205 2.98
CorporationBank
1906 799 3054 27233 18546 2250 1.12
Dena Bank 1938 1072 1104 20096 11309 1725 5.23
Indian Bank 1907 1417 5936 34809 18360 2871 1.35
Indian
OverseasBank
1937 1583 2575 44241 25205 3951 1.27
OrientalBank of Commerce
1943 1166 3327 47850 25299 3572 1.29
Punjab &Sind Bank
1908 787 440 14171 6322 1249 8.11
PunjabNationalBank
1895 4117 8161 103167 60413 8460 0.20
Syndicate
Bank
1925 1905 2199 46295 26729 3758 1.59
UCO Bank 1943 1801 2049 49470 27656 3547 2.93
Union Bankof India
1919 2140 3614 61831 40105 4970 2.64
United Bankof India
1950 1343 1957 25348 11390 2133 2.43
Vijaya Bank 1931 966 1590 25618 14336 2094 0.59
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 10/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
Old private Sector Banks
Name of bank Year of incorpora
tion
No. of Offices
Networth Deposits Advances Interestincome
NetNPAratio
Bank of Rajasthan
1943 388 351 8120 2896 522 2.50
BharatOverseas Bank
1973 91 199 2749 1651 219 1.56
Catholic Syrian
Bank
1920 314 210 4021 2289 368 3.80
City Union Bank 1904 137 241 3095 2013 291 3.37DevelopmentCredit Bank
1995** 88 200 3895 2001 303 6.83
DhanalakshmiBank
1927 180 114 2339 1410 192 3.92
Federal Bank 1931 471 724 15193 8823 1191 2.21
Ganesh Bank of Kurundwad
-- 31 11 217 95 18 8.32
ING Vysya Bank 1930 381 710 12569 9081 991 2.13
Jammu &
Kashmir Bank
1938 439 1665 21645 11517 1549 1.41
Karnataka Bank 1924 398 978 10837 6287 840 2.29
Karur VysyaBank
1926 249 761 6672 4620 591 1.66
Lakshmi VilasBank
1926 239 230 3496 2318 298 4.98
Lord KrishnaBank
1940 118 181 2176 1387 195 4.22
Nainital Bank 1922 69 76 933 363 74 0.00
Ratnakar Bank 1943 75 45 784 424 66 5.54
Sangli Bank 1948 192 85 1985 812 137 4.30
SBI Comm. &Intl. Bank
1993 3 88 331 231 26 7.65
South IndianBank
1929 438 456 8492 5365 709 3.81
TamilnadMercantile Bank
1921 183 559 4827 2626 513 2.95
United Western 1936 237 244 6453 3976 487 5.97
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 11/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
Bank
** Converted to a private sector commercial bank on 31st May, 1995. Started as aCredit Society set up by the followers of His Highness the Aga Khan in the 1930sand later converted into Co-operative Bank.
New Private Sector banks
Name of bank
Year of incorporation
No. of Offices
Networth Deposits Advances Interestincome
NetNPAratio
Bank of Punjab*
1995 120 241 4307 2417 329 4.64
CenturionBank
1994 77 590 3530 2194 346 2.51
HDFC Bank 1994 446 4520 36354 25566 3093 0.24ICICI Bank 1994 519 12900 99819 91405 9410 1.65IDBI BankLtd.
1994 157 5929 15103 45414 2656 1.74
IndusIndBank
1995 127 830 13114 9000 1134 2.71
KotakMahindraBank
1985 54 757 4300 4017 420 1.56
UTI Bank 1994 249 2422 31712 15603 1924 1.39
Yes Bank 2003 3 217 663 761 30 0.00
* now merged with Centurion Bank
Foreign Banks
Name of bank No. of Offices
Networth Deposits Advances Interestincome
Net NPAratio
ABM Amro Bank 19 1347 7077 9831 907 0.35
Abu Dhabi
Commercial Bank
2 71 1663 90 150 12.73
American ExpressBank
8 301 2264 1483 270 0.99
Antwerp DiamondBank
1 128 50 434 26 0.00
Arab BangladeshBank
1 45 23 22 3 0.28
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 12/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
Bank InternationalIndonesia
1 74 11 20 1.81 10.49
Bank of America 5 1437 1993 3219 257 0.00
Bank of Bahrain &Kuwait
2 67 394 264 34 5.53
Bank of Ceylon 1 54 104 59 8 13.76Bank of NovaScotia
5 257 1602 2053 159 3.08
Bank of TokyoMitsubishi
3 369 532 559 57 0.01
Barclays Bank 1 698 75 2 31 0.00BNP Paribas 9 333 1674 1719 176 0.00
Calyon Bank 4 328 1306 674 117 0.30ChinatrustCommercial Bank
1 45 48 59 9 6.02
Cho Hung Bank 1 72 97 69 0.99 0.00
Citibank 35 3310 21484 18111 2203 1.00DBS Bank 1 556 611 560 30 0.00
Deutsche Bank 5 1232 3625 2541 390 0.00
Hongkong &Shanghai BankingCorpn.
39 3578 17013 12621 1627 0.50
JP Morgan ChaseBank
1 266 930 150 40 0.00
Krung Thai Bank 1 40 34 16 4 0.00
Mashreq Bank 2 58 269 19 29 0.00Mizuho Corporate
Bank
1 164 110 267 17 0.00
Oman InternationalBank
2 161 225 13 18 55.05
Societe Generale 2 321 527 159 37 0.00Sonali Bank 1 6 22 6 1 1.90
Standard CharteredBank
85 3234 22522 19970 2493 1.12
State Bank of Mauritius
3 126 148 222 36 4.08
UFJ Bank 1 228 71 102 16 0.00(Source: A profile on banks 2004-05, RBI))
The banks in India are operating through 55530 branches. All the banks together had the net worth of Rs. 149385 crores as on 31st March, 2005. The banks also hadthe deposit base of Rs. 1836985 crores and the advances of Rs. 1151113 crorestaking the total business to Rs. 2988098 crores. During the year 2004-05 the bankshad earned the interest income of Rs. 154761 crores. The average net NPA ratio of the banks was also less 3.84% in year 2005.
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 13/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 14/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
Introduction
The last decade saw many positive developments in the Indian banking
sector. The policy makers and financial sector regulatory entities have made
several notable efforts to improve regulation in the sector. The sector now
compares favourably with banking sectors in the region on metrics like growth,
profitability and non-performing assets (NPAs). However, improved regulations,
innovation, growth and value creation in the sector remain limited to a small part
of it. The cost of banking intermediation in India is higher and bank penetration is
far lower than in other markets. India¶s banking industry must strengthen itself
significantly if it has to support the modern and vibrant economy which India
aspires to be. In this paper, we have tried to evaluate the riskiness of Indian
Banks, a year wise and a relative comparison between Pubic and Private sector
banks in India using the risk index suggested by Hannan an Hanweck (1988).
This measure of insolvency risk i.e. Z statistic incorporates data on a bank's
expected profits, the likelihood that these profits will be realized, and a bank's
capital base. The Z statistic attempts to capture the likelihood of a bank's
earnings in a given year becoming low enough to exhaust the bank's capital baseand, thus, the likelihood of the bank becoming insolvent. Specifically, Z is defined
as:
ROA + (Capital to Asset Ratio)Z =
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 15/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
S.D. of ROAWhere:
Return on Assets (ROA) = Net Income/ Average of Total Assets.
Capital-to-Asset Ratio (CAP) = Equity/ Total Assets.
Higher values of Z imply lower insolvency risk because higher values of Z
correspond with higher levels of equity relative to a potential shock to the
earnings of a bank. Thus, banks with risky loan portfolios can maintain a low risk
of insolvency as long as they are adequately capitalized. The risk index
suggested by Hannan and Hanweck (1988) was used by Liang and Savage
(1990), Eisenbeis and Kwast (1991), Sinkey and Nash (1993), and Sinkey and
Blasko (2001)
Z statistic for individual banks.
The bank's average return on assets(ROA) over the years 2004 through
2008 period proxies for the bank's expected earnings and the standard deviation
of each bank's ROA proxies for the riskiness of its earnings. The bank's capital-
to-asset ratio is measured as of March 2008. Unfortunately, using this
methodology yields Z scores that are implausibly high and, thus, failure
probabilities that are implausibly low, since insolvency probabilities are inversely
related to Z scores. However, if the ordinal ranking of the banks in terms of their
expected return/riskiness trade-off is captured during the 2004 through 2008 time
period, even though the level of individual Z scores provides poor estimates of
absolute insolvency risk, individual Z scores can still be used to examine relative
insolvency risk.
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 16/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
Z statistic for a group of banks:
Expected earnings for a group are proxied by averaging individual banks'
ROA between 2004 and 2008 for all banks in a particular group (failed/survived).
Earnings riskiness for each group is proxied by the standard deviation of this
distribution of ROAs. The capital-to-asset ratio is the group average as of the end
of 2008.
John S. Jordan (1998) found that the banks that failed had an average
individual Z score of 21.22 (the median was 16.76) while survivors had an
average score of 37.62 (the median was 29.56). The difference in means is
significant at the 5 percent level. Group Z scores provide similar results. The
group of banks that went on to fail had a composite Z score of 8.71 while the
composite score for the surviving banks was13.33.
The Case of Global Trust Bank
Bankruptcy is a situation in which an organization falls short of cash to
repay its debt or has liabilities that exceed its assets.
The Indian Company Law Board treats insolvency in a slightly different
manner. When over 50 per cent of a company¶s net worth is washed away,
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 17/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
making it impossible to repay debts, the company declares itself potentially µsick¶
and BIFR (Board for Industrial and Financial Reconstruction) begins the process
of finding out if the company can be rehabilitated.
A case in point is Global Trust Bank. The bank became sick with huge bad
debts in 2004. However, the RBI managed the crisis by merging it with Oriental
Bank of Commerce.
Now, when we apply the framework developed by Hannan and Hanweck to
GTB for the year 2003, we get the Z-statistic for GTB as 1.93, which is much less
than the survivors Z-score found during the study conducted on the Banks in
New England. Hence the framework is relevant in the current scenario.
Year 2003
ROA 0.004601
CAP 0.034901
Standard Deviation (ROA) 0.02041
Z 1.935419
Table1. Case of Global Trust Bank
Measuring the Risk Index for Indian Banks
If we want to capture the overall risk of a bank, the variability of ROA
provides a comprehensive measure that reflects not only credit risk but also
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 18/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
interest rate risk, liquidity risk and any other risk that is realized in bank earnings.
The standard deviation of ROA is a good measure of the variability of ROA.
Thus, the Z-statistic is a function of the normal profit margin of the bank,
the variation in that profit margin, and the equity capital available to absorb that
variation. In effect, the Z-ratio measures the number of standard deviations by
which ROA would have to decline before the book equity capital of the bank
would be exhausted. The relationship between the Z-ratio and the probability of
insolvency is an inverse one, with higher Z-ratios indicating a lower probability of
insolvency. If the assumption is made that the potential ROAs of the business are
normally distributed, then the one-period probability of insolvency can be
calculated as a function of the Z-ratio:
2
P=1/[2Z ]
However, empirical studies indicate that ROAs are not normally distributed, but
instead are ³fat-tailed,´ so that the actual probability of insolvency may be greater
than that calculated using the assumption of normality. Moreover, this one-period
probability may understate the true probability of insolvency because it measures
the risk of a single-period loss being so large it wipes out equity. In reality,
insolvency often occurs after a sequence of smaller losses occurring over several
periods, indicating that serial correlation between negative shocks may exist.
Year 2006 2007
CAP 0.067845 0.06090309 0.076489
E(ROA) 0.008694 0.00878688 0.009143
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 19/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
Standard Deviation (ROA) 0.006402 0.0054265 0.004814
Z 11.95607 12.842528 17.78941
Probability of book value insolvency (P) 0.003497788 0.00303158 0.00158
Table 2. Z statistic & probability of book value insolvency for Indian Banks over years
A random sample of 15 banks were chosen consisting of 6 public sector
banks and 9 private sector banks. Table 2. shows that with relatively strong
capital position, stable earnings, and accepted E(ROA), the Z ± statictic has
increased over years and hence the probability of book-value insolvency has
decreased.
It can be observed from table 2. that the group score obtained for various
years are much higher than the Z statistic obtained for banks that failed(obtained
from the studies conducted on the banks in New England). Also, the two
measures of risk, the risk index and the standard deviation of ROA indicate that
Indian banks became safer in 2008 as compared to 2007 or 2006.
The Z statistic was also calculated for the two groups of Public and Private
sector banks separately for the year 2008. Table 3 shows the results obtained for
the same.
Year: 2008 Public Sector Banks Private Sector Banks
CAP 0.0573255 0.089264111ROA 0.010486681 0.008246557
Standard Deviation(ROA) 0.001664097 0.006046488
Z 40.75013312 16.12682808
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 20/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
P 0.000301101 0.001922525
Table 3. Z statistic& probability of book value insolvency for Public & Private sector banks
From table 3 it can be observed that the Z statistics obtained for the
group for the group of public and private sector banks are much higher than
the Z values obtained for banks that failed (obtained from the studies
conducted on the banks in New England). Also, from the table, it can be
observed that the Z statistic obtained for Public sector banks are much
higher than that obtained for Private sector banks indicating that Public
sector banks are safer as compared to Private banks and the probability of
book value insolvency is lower.
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 21/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
Conclusion
Financial sector reforms were initiated as part of overall economic reforms
in the country and wide ranging reforms covering industry, trade, taxation,
external sector, banking and financial markets have been carried out since mid
1991. A decade of economic and financial sector reforms has strengthened the
fundamentals of the Indian economy and transformed the operating environment
for banks and financial institutions in the country. The sustained and gradual
pace of reforms has helped avoid any crisis and has actually fuelled growth. The
most significant achievement of the financial sector reforms has been the marked
improvement in the financial health of commercial banks in terms of capital
adequacy, profitability andasset quality as also greater attention to risk
management and this improvement is visible in the form of increasing Z-statistic
values obtained over years.
Some of the major reform initiatives in the last decade that have changed the
face of the Indian banking and financial sector are:
Interest rate deregulation.
Adoption of prudential norms in terms of capital adequacy, asset classification,
income recognition, provisioning, exposure limits, investment fluctuation reserve,
etc.
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 22/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
Lowering of reserve requirements (SLR and CRR), thus releasing more
lendable resources which banks can deploy profitably.
Government equity in banks has been reduced and strong banks have been
allowed to access the capitalmarket for raising additional capital.
Banks now enjoy greater operational freedom
Banks have been allowed to operate in new areas like bank financing:
insurance, infrastructure financing, leasing, gold banking, besides of course
investment banking, asset management, factoring, etc.
New instruments have been introduced for greater flexibility and better risk
management
Several new institutions have been set up including the National Securities
Depositories Ltd., Central Depositories Services Ltd. and the Clearing
Corporation of India Ltd.
Limits for investment in overseas markets by banks, mutual funds and
corporates have been liberalised. Full convertibility for deposit schemes of NRIs
introduced.
Adoption of global standards. Prudential norms for capital adequacy, asset
classification, income recognition and provisioning are now close to global
standards. RBI has introduced Risk Based Supervision of banks (against the
traditional transaction based approach). Best international practices in
accounting systems, corporate governance, payment and settlement systems,
etc. are being adopted.
RBI guidelines have been issued for putting in place risk management systems
in banks. Risk Management Committees in banks address credit risk, market risk
and operational risk. Banks have specialised committees to measure and monitor
various risks and have been upgrading their risk management skills and systems.
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 23/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
All these measure have proved to be fruitful. Results obtained from the study
conducted have shown that the probability of book value insolvency has reduced
over years and the the probability of book value insolvency is lower in case of
public sector banks in comparison to private sector banks in India.
Appendix
Table A1: Table shows consolidated results for the randomly selected group of Banks.
BANKS 2006 2006 2007 2007 2008 2008
CAP ROA CAP ROA CAP ROA
Punjab National
Bank
0.064546 0.010637 0.064249 0.010348563 0.061895 0.0103377
Bank of Baroda 0.06918 0.008602 0.060427 0.008243882 0.061492 0.0081936
Indian Overseas
Bank
0.05353 0.012284 0.048511 0.012277591 0.04768 0.012183
Federal Bank 0.060552 0.008428 0.059873 0.009237702 0.120767 0.0096546
IndusInd Bank 0.069335 0.014928 0.068191 0.014543322 0.077135 0.0144032
State Bank of
Mysore
0.048363 0.012163 0.042519 0.011443279 0.041664 0.0110829
HDFC Bank 0.072097 0.012277 0.070511 0.012335399 0.086331 0.0122564
Bank of Rajasthan 0.036804 0.004513 0.037016 0.005669631 0.059398 0.0059937
Centurion Bank of
Punjab
0.127945 -0.01056 0.082188 -0.00736005 0.075535- 0.0045746
ING Vysya Bank 0.060815 0.000841 0.057205 0.001783488 0.060128 0.0024961
Allahabad Bank 0.065806 0.012708 0.066163 0.012302648 0.063265 0.0121926
ICICI Bank 0.089725 0.011712 0.071559 0.011040261 0.117111 0.0130728
Axis Bank 0.058025 0.010048 0.046442 0.009784708 0.080041 0.0097826
Kotak Mahindra 0.084971 0.012729 0.083449 0.011321709 0.126931 0.011134
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 24/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
Bank
State Bank of Indi 0.055974 0.009103 0.055243 0.008831108 0.067957 0.0089301
Average Values 0.067845 0.008694 0.060903 0.008786883 0.07648860.0091426
Standard Deviatio 0.021229 0.006402 0.013568 0.005426499 0.0261233 0.0048136
Z Statistic 0.006402 12.84252797 17.789413
Table A2: Table shows consolidated results for Public Sector Banks in India.
Public Sector Banks ROA CAP
Punjab National Bank 0.010337695 0.061895Bank of Baroda 0.008193684 0.061492
Indian Overseas Bank 0.012183 0.04768
State Bank of Mysore 0.011082974 0.041664
Allahabad Bank 0.0121926 0.0
State Bank of India 0.008930133 0.067957
Average 0.010486681
Standard Deviation 0.001664097 0.010245631
Z- Statistic 40.75013312
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 25/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM
S.P.B.PATEL ENGINEERING COLLEGE
Table A3: Table shows consolidated results for Private Sector Banks in India.
Private Sector Banks ROA CAP
Federal Bank 0.009654636 0.120767
IndusInd Bank 0.014403209 0.077135HDFC Bank 0.0122564 0.086331
Bank of Rajasthan 0.005993734 0.059398
Centurion Bank of Punjab -0.004574603 0.075535
ING Vysya Bank 0.002496176 0.060128
ICICI Bank 0.013072864 0.117111
Axis Bank 0.009782596 0.080041
Kotak Mahindra Bank 0.011134 0.126931
Average 0.008246557 0.0892641
Standard Deviation 0.006046488 0.025876742
Z- Statistic 16.12682808
8/9/2019 Performance ion of Banks in India
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/performance-ion-of-banks-in-india 26/26
INDIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM