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ANDREW PARR, STATE BOARD OF EDUCATION JANUARY 7, 2015 TUMWATER, WASHINGTON Performance Gaps: How Washington Students Compare Nationally and to Peer States Washington State Board of Education

Performance Gaps: How Washington Students … PARR, STATE BOARD OF EDUCATION JANUARY 7, 2015 TUMWATER, WASHINGTON Performance Gaps: How Washington Students Compare Nationally and to

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AN D R E W PAR R , S TAT E B O AR D O F E D U C AT I O NJ AN U ARY 7 , 2 0 1 5

T U M WAT E R , WAS H I N G T O N

Performance Gaps:How Washington Students Compare

Nationally and to Peer States

Washington State Board of Education

Status of Statewide Indicators

Performance on some indicators appears to be lower than expected or desired.

Indicator On Track to Meet Gap Reduction Targets?

Ranked in the Top 10 Percent Nationally

Comparable to Peer States

Kindergarten Readiness NO NO NO

3rd Grade Literacy NO NO* NO*

8th Grade High School Readiness NO NO YES

High School Graduation NO NO NO

Quality of High School Diploma TBD YES YES

Post-Secondary Education and Workforce

TBD TBD TBD

Quality of Schools TBD TBD TBD

Washington State Board of Education

Peer States

Colorado (11)

Connecticut (5)

Maryland (8)

Massachusetts (1)

Minnesota (6)

New Jersey (2)

North Carolina (28)

Virginia (10)

Washington State Board of Education

Performance GapsBased on what?

Performance Gaps Differences in Percent At or Above Proficient Differences in Average Scaled Scores

Based on Poverty Status FRL - Not FRL

Based on Race/Ethnicity White - Black Performance Gap White - Hispanic Performance Gap

Snapshot and Trend Views NAEP

4th and 8th Grade Reading and Math

Washington State Board of Education

Words of Caution

See Bert Stoneberg (2005) article titled Please Don’t Use NAEP Scores to Rank Order the 50 States at http://pareonline.net/getvn.asp?v=10&n=9 for other ideas on how to compare NAEP data

In this work, the NAEP data are Added and subtracted Averaged Reading and math combined Rank ordered

Washington State Board of Education

Three Major Takeaways

Poverty-Based Performance Gap Similar to Peer States Similar to U.S. Average

White-Black Performance Gap Smaller than Peer States Smaller than U.S. Average

White-Hispanic Performance Gap Larger than Peer States Larger than U.S. Average

15

20

25

30

35

Scal

ed S

core

Poi

nts

Average Performance Gap (2013)Scaled Score Points

Washington

Peer States

United States

Washington State Board of Education

4th Grade NAEP by Poverty Status

0

10

20

30

40

50

WV

ND

WY

ME

MT ID OK IN NH UT DE KY FL AR NE

MO MI IA VT SD N

C NY

MD NV LA PA N

M AZ MN WI

GA TX HI WA KS US

OH AL OR NJ

SC CO MS

VA MA CA TN CT RI IL AK DC

Scal

ed S

core

Poi

nts

Average Scaled Score - 4th Grade NAEP ReadingPerformance Gap based on Poverty Status

0

10

20

30

40

50

WY

WV ID ND NV OK UT

MT

ME KS AR LA NH

NM KY HI VT SD MO IN NY DE FL AZ IA PA TX MS AL WA VA OR US

WI

CO NC AK NE RI NJ

OH GA SC CA TN MN IL

MA MI

MD CT DC

Scal

ed S

core

Poi

nts

Average Scaled Score - 4th Grade NAEP MathPerformance Gap based on Poverty Status

34th largest gap in the US

30th largest gap in the US

Washington State Board of Education

8th Grade NAEP by Poverty Status

0

10

20

30

40

50

WY SD ME ID UT

WV

MT

OK

NV HI IN ND FL TN N

M NH IA DE LA MO NE VT TX MI

AR AZ GA WI

KY MD

MS KS PA NJ

OR US

NY

MN SC CO WA VA AK NC

OH CA AL RI IL

MA CT DC

Scal

ed S

core

Poi

nts

Average Scaled Score - 8th Grade NAEP ReadingPerformance Gap based on Poverty Status

0

10

20

30

40

50

WY ID HI OK

WV

MT

ND NV TX LA NH FL ME

NM IN UT

MO NY KY MS

DE IA AR WI

NE

NC SD WA KS VT AK TN AZ US

OH MI

OR

MD PA VA NJ

MN GA CA SC CO AL IL RI

MA CT DC

Scal

ed S

core

Poi

nts

Average Scaled Score - 8th Grade NAEP MathPerformance Gap based on Poverty Status

28th largest gap in the US

40th largest gap in the US

Washington State Board of Education

Poverty Gap Findings

4th Grade Reading (28.4 points) 34th largest gap, similar to US

average Comparable to Peer States

4th Grade Math (23.2 points) 30th largest gap, similar to US

average Better than all the Peer States

8th Grade Reading (24.7 points) 40th largest gap, similar to US

average Comparable to Peer States

8th Grade Math (25.6 points) 28th largest gap, smaller than

the US average Better than 7 of 8 Peer States

Outcome Measure

Gap Reduction

Similar to Peer

States

Similar to U.S.

Average

4th Grade Reading 28.4 Yes Yes

4th GradeMath 23.2 Smallest

Gap Yes

8th Grade Reading 24.7 Yes Yes

8th Grade Math 25.6

Smaller than Most

Smaller Gap

Washington State Board of Education

0

10

20

30

40

50

HI WV

NM ND

NH

WA DE IN NY AZ NC KY OK SD GA FL TX PA MN OR AK AL VA AR LA MS

NV TN US NJ

SC NE IA RI

MO MI

KS CA MD CT MA IL

ME

CO OH WI

DC ID MT

UT VT WY

Scal

ed S

core

Poi

nts

Average Scaled Score-4th Grade NAEP ReadingWhite-Black Performance Gap

4th Grade White-Black Performance Gap

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

WV

ND

ME KY N

M WA AK HI AZ LA KS VA FL MS

DE AR NY

GA NC PA NV TX OR IN SC NJ

MO RI OK US SD TN AL MN CA IL CO MA

OH IA MI

MD CT NE

WI

DC ID MT

NH UT VT WY

Scal

ed S

core

Poi

nts

Average Scaled Score - 4th Grade NAEP MathWhite-Black Performance Gap

6th smallest in the US

6th smallest in the US

Washington State Board of Education

8th GradeWhite-Black Performance Gap

0

10

20

30

40

50

WV HI ND VT TN FL AK DE WA GA NC

OK LA MD IA NJ

NE SC AZ NY

NV IN MI

AR AL RI KY US

VA CT TX NM OH

MS

MO CA KS MN PA IL

MA CO WI

DC ID ME

MT

NH OR SD UT

WY

Scal

ed S

core

Poi

nts

Average Scaled Score - 8th Grade NAEP ReadingWhite-Black Performance Gap

9th smallest in the US

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

WV

ND KY AK OK LA NV TN FL KS WA

OH TX IN NC

ME

MO AZ DE NJ

VA GA AL MS

MA

MD AR RI SC US

NM NY CA IA PA IL MI

CT VT SD CO MN NE

WI

DC HI ID MT

NH OR UT

WY

Scal

ed S

core

Poi

nts

Average Scaled Score - 8th Grade NAEP MathWhite-Black Performance Gap

11th smallest in the US

Washington State Board of Education

White-Black Performance Gap

4th Grade Reading (23.6 points) 6th smallest in the US, smaller

than U.S. average Smaller than all of the Peer States

4th Grade Math (20.7 points) 6th smallest in the U.S., smaller

than US average Smaller than all of the Peer States

8th Grade Reading (21.3 points) 9th smallest in the US, smaller

than the U.S. average Smaller than all of the Peer States

8th Grade Math (27.2 points) 11th smallest in the US, smaller

than the US average Smaller than all the Peer States

Outcome Measure

Gap Reduction

Similar to Peer

States

Similar to U.S.

Average

4th Grade Reading 23.6 Smallest

GapSmaller

Gap

4th GradeMath 20.7 Smallest

GapSmaller

Gap

8th Grade Reading 21.3 Smallest

GapSmaller

Gap

8th Grade Math 27.2 Smallest

GapSmaller

Gap

Washington State Board of Education

4th GradeWhite-Hispanic Performance Gap

0

10

20

30

40

50

KY MO ND FL LA SC IN MT

WY AK AR MI

MS IA OH SD DE OK

GA MD HI AL NE KS NC NY

TN PA NV

NM NH US

VA MN AZ OR ID NJ

WA IL CO TX WI

CT CA RIM

A UT

DC ME VT WV

Scal

ed S

core

Poi

nts

Average Scaled Score - 4th Grade NAEP ReadingWhite-Hispanic Performance Gap

38th largest in the US

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

KY IN LA MT AR MO HI ND FL MS AL WY AK GA KS OH NC VA IA NV OK

NM TN SC DE NH MI IL ID AZ N

Y US NJ

TX PA OR SD WA CO NE RI WI

CA MD

MN

MA UT CT DC ME VT WV

Scal

ed S

core

Poi

nts

Average Scaled Score - 4th Grade NAEP MathWhite-Hispanic Performance Gap

37th largest in the US

Washington State Board of Education

8th GradeWhite-Hispanic Performance Gap

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

MS LA HI MT AR MO

WY

TN IN KY GA OK FL VA OH NC DE AK TX MD SD KS SC NJ

NV

NM US AL WA WI ID IA IL O

R AZ NE MI

NH CO MN CA NY

MA RI PA UT CT DC ME

ND VT WV

Scal

ed S

core

Poi

nts

Average Scaled Score - 8th Grade NAEP MathWhite-Hispanic Performance Gap

0

10

20

30

40

50

MO OH TN LA KY WY IN AK VA DE SD AR FL MT MI

SC GA MS

WI HI N

C IA OK

MD AL UT KS NJ

NM IL ID AZ NE US

NV

OR

CO CA TX NY

NH

WA

MN RI CT PA MA DC ME

ND VT WV

Scal

ed S

core

Poi

nts

Average Scaled Score - 8th Grade NAEP ReadingWhite-Hispanic Performance Gap

41st largest in the US

28th largest in the US

Washington State Board of Education

White-Hispanic Performance Gap

4th Grade Reading (26.4 points) 38th largest in the US, similar to

US average Comparable to Peer States

4th Grade Math (21.8 points) 37th largest in the US, a little

larger than the US average Comparable to Peer States

8th Grade Reading (25.6 points) 41st largest in the US, larger than

US average Among the lower performing of

the Peer States 8th Grade Math (22.7 points)

28th largest in the US, similar to US average

Comparable to Peer States

Xx

Outcome Measure

Gap Reduction

Similar to Peer

States

Similar to U.S.

Average

4th Grade Reading 26.4 Yes Yes

4th GradeMath 21.8 Yes Larger

Gap

8th Grade Reading 25.6

Larger thanMost

Larger Gap

8th Grade Math 22.7 Yes Yes

Washington State Board of Education

Summary of Performance Gaps

2013 Performance Gaps

Poverty Status Similar to U.S. average Smaller than Peer States

White-Black Difference Smaller than U.S. average Smaller than Peer States

White-Hispanic Difference Larger than U.S. average Larger than Peer States

15

20

25

30

35

Poverty Gap White-Black Gap White-HispanicGap

Scal

ed S

core

Poi

nts

Average GapScaled Score Points

Washington

Peer States

United States

Washington State Board of Education

Recent Statement in the Times

“Statistics from the state Office of Superintendent of Public Instruction show our state ranked in the very bottom five states in closing the racial and ethnic achievement gap for K-12 students…”

(The Seattle Times, December 23, 2014)

Pamela BakerPresident and CEP of the Urban League of Metropolitan Seattle

Washington State Board of Education

Combined Reading and Math Trend

-10

-5

0

5

10

CO WA

OH

MA AK IA KY NE

WI

NM VA DE MO

MD TX MS SC NV CA OK AZ AL RI IL GA US CT IN MN KS NC PA WV TN MI

NY LA AR NJ FL DC HI ID ME

MT

NH

ND OR SD UT VT WY

2003-2013 White-Black Performance Gap Reduction4th and 8th NAEP Reading and Math (Combined)

Washington State Board of Education

10-Year Reading TrendScaled Score Gap Reduction

-10

-5

0

5

10

OH CO WI

AK WA NE

OR

MA

MO KY KS NV VA SC RI

MD DE CA TX IL HI OK IA GA MS

US AZ N

M WV AL IN TN NC CT AR FL DC LA NJ

NY

MN PA MI ID M

EM

TN

HN

D SD UT VT WY

2003-2013 White-Black Performance Gap Reduction4th Grade NAEP Reading

-10

-5

0

5

10

CO NM OH

MA

WA PA MS

CA AK KY IL VA KS IN TX AZ MO AL MN RI IA SC NC US

WI

MD GA DE OK

NV CT LA MI

NJ

TN NY

NE AR WV FL DC HI ID ME

MT

NH

ND OR SD UT VT WY

2003-2013 White-Black Performance Gap Reduction8th Grade NAEP Reading

-10

-5

0

5

10

CO OH

WA AK MA WI

KY MO KS CA VA IL

NM TX MS RI SC NE

MD IA NV DE AZ IN US

OK AL GA PA NC

MN CT TN WV LA NJ

AR FL MI

NY

DC HI ID ME

MT

NH

ND OR SD UT VT WY

2003-2013 White-Black Performance Gap Reduction4th and 8th (Combined) NAEP Reading

Washington State Board of Education

10-Year Math TrendScaled Score Gap Reduction

-10

-5

0

5

10

OR NE

MD HI IA KY OH

MA TX CO NV OK

MO AL SC CT WI

WA DE AK N

M WV

MN GA VA MS

US

TN IN NC CA RI MI

NY

DC AZ NJ FL IL LA PA KS AR ID ME

MT

NH

ND SD UT VT WY

2003-2013 White-Black Performance Gap Reduction4th Grade NAEP Math

-10

-5

0

5

10

WA IA DE N

M CO NE

VA MS AZ SC CT MD

OH PA MA AK TX MN KY OK CA NV US

GA IL AL RI AR NY

WI

MI

LA NC

MO

WV IN TN NJ FL KS DC HI ID ME

MT

NH

ND OR SD UT VT WY

2003-2013 White-Black Performance Gap Reduction8th Grade NAEP Math

-10

-5

0

5

10

IA NE

WA CO DE N

M MD

OH

MA KY VA SC TX MS CT NV OK AK AL MN AZ WI

MO GA US

CA WV RI NC NY MI

IN TN PA IL LA AR NJ FL KS DC HI ID ME

MT

NH

ND OR SD UT VT WY

2003-2013 White-Black Performance Gap Reduction4th and 8th (Combined) NAEP Math

Washington State Board of Education

Combined Reading and Math Trend

-10

-5

0

5

10

WA PA OR TX HI VA OH CT WI

MD UT

OK

MA

WY MI

KS RI ID CO CA FL NY AZ N

M US

NV AR NJ

MN AK NE

NC IA IN IL GA DE AL DC KY LA ME

MO

MS

MT

ND

NH SC SD TN VT WV

2003-2013 White-Hispanic Performance Gap Reduction4th and 8th NAEP Reading and Math (Combined)

Washington State Board of Education

10-Year Reading TrendScaled Score Gap Reduction

-10

-5

0

5

10

WI

TN TX KS VA UT RI WY ID OR HI NC NJ

NH IN WA

MO

MA CO N

M NE

NV

MD OK

OH CA AZ AK US IA CT AR IL NY DE GA FL PA SC MN MI

DC AL KY LA ME

MS

MT

ND SD VT WV

2003-2013 White-Hispanic Performance Gap Reduction4th Grade NAEP Reading

-10

-5

0

5

10

PA HI OH AR OR

WA VA MA OK TX MI

WY

MD NY RI FL NV CO ID CT N

M CA IL US

MN KS AZ UT AK NE IA NJ IN GA NC WI

DE AL DC KY LA ME

MS

MO

MT

NH

ND SC SD TN VT WV

2003-2013 White-Hispanic Performance Gap Reduction8th Grade NAEP Reading

-10

-5

0

5

10

PA HI VA OR

WA TX OH

WY

MA AR RI WI

OK ID KS MD CO UT

NV

NM N

JN

Y CA IN CT NC US

NE AZ IL MI FL AK IA

MN GA DE AL DC KY LA ME

MO

MS

MT

ND

NH SC SD TN VT WV

2003-2013 White-Hispanic Performance Gap Reduction4th and 8th (Combined) NAEP Reading

Washington State Board of Education

10-Year Math TrendScaled Score Gap Reduction

-10

-5

0

5

10

MT

MD SC UT SD WA TX WI

CT FL OK TN AK WY

MA

NH VA MN DE OR KS NC ID US

CA MI

NJ IA CO O

H AZ NM AR NV NY

NE IN HI PA GA RI DC IL

MO AL KY LA ME

MS

ND VT WV

2003-2013 White-Hispanic Performance Gap Reduction4th Grade NAEP Math

-10

-5

0

5

10

MI

CT HI WA PA OH AZ OR NY

UT RI TX OK

MN VA WI

CA FL GA CO NM US IL

MA NE KS NV

WY IA

MD AK NJ ID IN DE NC AR AL DC KY LA ME

MS

MO

MT

NH

ND SC SD TN VT WV

2003-2013 White-Hispanic Performance Gap Reduction8th Grade NAEP Math

-10

-5

0

5

10

CT WA MI

UT

MD TX WI

OR

OH FL OK HI VA AZ MN PA CA MA

WY

NY US KS AK CO N

M ID IA RI DE NE NJ

GA NV NC IL IN AR AL DC KY LA ME

MO

MS

MT

ND

NH SC SD TN VT WV

2003-2013 White-Hispanic Performance Gap Reduction4th and 8th (Combined) NAEP Math

Washington State Board of Education

Performance Gaps Are Widening

“Statistics from the state Office of Superintendent of Public Instruction show our state ranked in the very bottom five states in closing the racial and ethnic achievement gap for K-12 students…”

(The Seattle Times, December 23, 2014)

Pamela BakerPresident and CEP of the Urban League of Metropolitan Seattle

Snapshot view – Washington’s performance is similar to national averages and Peer States regarding size of gaps.10-year view – Washington’s performance is among the lowest in the country in closing gaps.

Washington State Board of Education

Contact Information

Contact [email protected] for more information regarding this work.

Washington State Board of Education