The Peoples Poll Na#onal Survey of Republican Voters

Report on Immigra.on and Healthcare

Supervised by: Caddell Associates, Inc.

Conducted by: EMC Research January 5, 2015

The Peoples Poll

Na#onal Telephone Survey Of Republican Voters | 2

! Na.onal Survey of 602 voters who are Republican or voted for a Republican in the 2014 midterm elec.on

! Interviews conducted using both landline and cell phones December 26-30, 2014

! Margin of Error 4.0 percentage points

! Please note that due to rounding, percentages may not add up to exactly 100%

Methodology

Na#onal Telephone Survey Of Republican Voters | 3

! Over 80% of Republican voters broadly and intensely oppose Obamas recent execu?ve order on immigra?on. More than 70% of Republican voters want Congress to pass a law preven.ng any use of taxpayer

money to implement President Obamas execu.ve order. Republican voters by an astonishing 10 to one margin say they are less likely to vote for a member

of Congress who voted to allow to use taxpayer money to be used to implement the Presidents Execu?ve Order. Indeed, almost unprecedented two-thirds of Republican voters are much less likely to vote.

Nearly 90% of Republican voters agree that the President has exceeded his Cons.tu.onal authority by ac.ng without Congressional approval. Indeed three-quarters of Republicans say the President Obama is consistently ac.ng in a lawless way.

! Obamacare remains exceedingly unpopular with Republican voters Almost 90% of Republican voters oppose the Aordable Care Act and almost three-quarters strongly

oppose it. Seventy percent believe that Obamacare should be repealed outright or repealed and replaced.

! On the issues of immigra?on and Obamacare, self-iden?ed Independents who lean Republican and voted Republican in November are even more intense in their opposi?on to both than are self-iden?ed Republicans who classify themselves as not strong Republicans. Thus, those voters most responsible for the Republican landslide in November and who cons?tute one-third of Republican voters seem to be more animated on these issues than are many self-iden?ed Republicans. On these issues they seem to be forming a coali?on with outright Republican Tea Party supporters.

Key Findings

Immigra.on

Na#onal Telephone Survey Of Republican Voters | 5

Immigra.on Reform Support Republican voters overwhelmingly and strongly oppose President Obamas recent

execu#ve ac#on on immigra#on. Tea Party voters (57%) are in 90% opposi#on, while opponents to the Tea Party and Others (43%) are 70% opposed

Would you say you support or oppose President Obamas recent execu#ve ac#on on immigra#on, which would stop certain deporta#ons and allow some illegal immigrants to

remain in the US?

4%

3%

5%

4%

10%

6%

13%

15%

4%

4%

7%

3%

15%

14%

21%

13%

66%

73%

55%

65%

Overall

Strong Rep. (46%)

Weak Rep. (22%)

Lean Rep. (32%)

Strongly support

Somewhat support

(Don't know)

Somewhat oppose

Strongly oppose

Total Sup.

Total Opp.

14% 82%

10% 87%

17% 76%

19% 78%

Na#onal Telephone Survey Of Republican Voters | 6

Preven.ng Amnesty Support More than seven in ten Republican voters agree Congress should stop President Obamas

gran#ng of amnesty to illegal immigrants. Opponents of President Obamas immigra#on plan argue that he has unilaterally granted amnesty to ve million illegal immigrants in the United States, without congressional approval. Under his program, illegal

immigrants would be granted driver's licenses, work permits, and other government benets.

Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with this statement: Congress should stop Obamas gran#ng of amnesty to illegal immigrants by passing a law that prevents

the administra#on from using taxpayer money to implement the execu#ve order.

59%

65%

55%

55%

11%

7%

20%

12%

2%

2%

3%

3%

7%

6%

9%

7%

20%

20%

14%

23%

Overall

Strong Rep. (46%)

Weak Rep. (22%)

Lean Rep. (32%)

Strongly agree

Somewhat agree

(Don't know)

Somewhat disagree

Strongly disagree

Total Agr.

Total Dis.

71% 27%

72% 26%

74% 23%

67% 30%

Na#onal Telephone Survey Of Republican Voters | 7

Immigra.on and Special Interests Nearly half of Republican voters believe Republican leaders actually support immigra#on amnesty. Weak Republicans and Leaners are two to one in agreement with this ques#on

(54% at yes, 27% no)

Some people believe that despite what they say, Republican leaders in Congress really support immigra#on amnesty because they are beholden to corporate special interests and

big campaign donors. Do you think this is true?

49%

42%

54%

54%

18%

18%

17%

20%

33%

40%

29%

26%

Overall

Strong Rep. (46%)

Weak Rep. (22%)

Leaners (32%)

Yes (Don't know) No

Na#onal Telephone Survey Of Republican Voters | 8

Obama Exceeding Authority Nearly nine in ten Republican voters agree that President Obama has exceeded his

authority under the Cons#tu#on. Even some people who say they agree with the substance of President Obamas Execu#ve Order on immigra#on, believe that he has exceeded his Cons#tu#onal authority by ac#ng alone without Congressional approval. Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly

disagree that President Obama exceeded his authority under the Cons#tu#on?

75%

81%

63%

74%

14%

11%

24%

11%

2%

1%

2%

2%

5%

2%

6%

8%

5%

5%

5%

5%

Overall

Strong Rep. (46%)

Weak Rep. (22%)

Lean Rep. (32%)

Strongly agree

Somewhat agree

(Don't know)

Somewhat disagree

Strongly disagree

Total Agr.

Total Dis.

89% 10%

92% 7%

87% 11%

85% 13%

Na#onal Telephone Survey Of Republican Voters | 9

Obama Exceeding Authority Nearly three-fourths of Republican voters feel President Obama is consistently ac#ng in a

lawless way as do over 84% of Tea Party supporters.

Q47. Which of the following statements comes closer to your opinion. Please choose one even if its hard to decide. (RANDOMIZE 1-2 with OR)

18%

74%

8%

President Obama may have stretched the literal authority of his oce but so do most Presidents and his ac.ons on

immigra.on and other issues do not violate the Cons.tu.onal separa.on of powers

President Obama is consistently ac.ng in a lawless way on many issues and is in eect seriously undermining the

Cons.tu.onal separa.on of powers.

(Dont know)

Na#onal Telephone Survey Of Republican Voters | 10

Immigra.on and Congressional Reelec.on More than eight in ten would be less likely to support their Representa#ves re-elec#on if they allowed taxpayer money to be spent implemen#ng the Presidents amnesty plan; almost two-thirds would be much less likely. Interes#ngly, Independents who lean Republican well exceed weak Republicans in saying they would be much less likely. If your Member of Congress voted to allow taxpayer money to be used to implement the presidents amnesty, would you be more or less likely to support his or her re-elec#on? (If

MORE/LESS LIKELY: Is that much more /less likely or somewhat more/less likely?)

4%

3%

4%

4%

5%

2%

11%

4%

8%

5%

11%

10%

20%

19%

25%

19%

63%

70%

49%

63%

Overall

Strong Rep. (46%)

Weak Rep. (22%)

Lean Rep. (32%)

Much more likely

Somewhat more likely

(Don't know)

Somewhat less likely

Much less likely

Total More

Total Less

8% 84%

5% 89%

15% 74%

8% 82%

Aordable Care Act/Obamacare

Na#onal Telephone Survey Of Republican Voters | 12

Aordable Care Act The Aordable Care Act is overwhelmingly opposed by Republican voters.

Q41. Would you say you support or oppose the Aordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare? (If support/oppose: do you strongly or somewhat support/oppose it?)

3%

2%

2%

6%

7%

3%

14%

7%

4%

3%

4%

5%

15%

12%

23%

13%

72%

79%

58%

70%

Overall

Strong Rep. (46%)

Weak Rep. (22%)

Lean Rep (32%)

Strongly support

Somewhat support

(Don't know)

Somewhat oppose

Strongly oppose

Total Sup.

Total Opp.

10% 87%

5% 92%

15% 81%

12% 83%

Na#onal Telephone Survey Of Republican Voters | 13

Aordable Care Act Seven in ten Republican voters believe we should repeal the Aordable Care Act. Four in ve Tea Party supporters (57%) support repeal, while outright opponents of the Tea Party

(23%) actually slightly favor xing rather than repealing Obamacare.

Q42. Thinking of Obamacare, which of the following statements comes closer to your opinion? Please choose one even if its hard to decide. (RANDOMIZE)

36%

34%

23%

4%

3%

Obamacare should be repealed outright.

We should repeal Obamacare and replace it with market based healthcare reform

We should x the problems in the law instead of throwing out the whole thing.

Obamacare is working pregy well and we only need minor xes.

(Dont know)

70%