Patrick Kelly Presented to the State Higher Education Executive Officers Colorado Springs, CO July 20, 2005 National Center for Higher Education Management

Patrick Kelly

Presented to the

State Higher Education Executive Officers

Colorado Springs, COJuly 20, 2005

National Center for Higher Education Management SystemsP.O. Box 9752 Boulder, Colorado 80301-9752 (303) 497-0301

Piecing It All Together: Higher Education

and Economic Development

2

Implications for Higher Education

DIFFERS BY STATE

In Some States, the Greatest Need Is to Produce More Graduates to Fill Available Jobs

Georgia

Illinois

Minnesota

Washington

Colorado

Texas

Nevada

3

Implications for Higher Education (cont.)

In Other States, the Need Is to Create Jobs to Employ the Graduates Being Produced.

Indiana Wisconsin Iowa North Dakota Nebraska Kansas

4

Implications for Higher Education (cont.)

In Other States, the Need Is Both Production of Graduates and Job Creation.

West Virginia Montana Louisiana Oklahoma Arkansas New Mexico

5Production of College Graduates (Undergraduate Credentials and Degrees Awarded Per 1,000

Residents 18 to 44 with a High School Diploma or Some College – but No College Degree)

Migration Rate of 22- to 29-Year-

Olds with a College Degree

States’ Ability to Produce Graduates vs. Ability to Keep and Attract Graduates

AL

AK

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

GA

HI

IL

IN

IA

KS

LA

ME

MD

MA

MS

MT

NE

NV

NJ

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PARI

SC

SD

UT

VT

VA

WA

FL

ID

MI

MN

MO

NHNM

TN

TX

WV

WI

WY

-350

-280

-210

-140

-70

0

70

140

210

280

350

10 20 30 40 50 60

Low Production, Importer of Capital High Production, Importer of Capital

Low Production, Exporter of Capital High Production, Exporter of Capital

KY






AL

AK

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

GA

HI

IL

IN

IA

KS

LA

ME

MD

MA

MS

MT

NE

NV

NJ

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PARI

SC

SD

UT

VT

VA

WA

FL

ID

MI

MN

MO

NHNM

TN

TX

WV

WI

WY

-350

-280

-210

-140

-70

0

70

140

210

280

350

10 20 30 40 50 60

New Economy Index (2002)

Top Tier

Middle Tier

Low Tier



KY






AL

AK

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

GA

HI

IL

IN

IA

KS

LA

ME

MD

MA

MS

MT

NE

NV

NJ

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PARI

SC

SD

UT

VT

VA

WA

FL

ID

MI

MN

MO

NHNM

TN

TX

WV

WI

WY

-350

-280

-210

-140

-70

0

70

140

210

280

350

10 20 30 40 50 60

New Economy Index (2002)

Top Tier

Middle Tier

Low Tier



KY

8

How Iowa Ranks Among Other States on Selected Measures for

Education and Economic Development

Note: For more information, see www.higheredinfo.org

50 40 30 20 10 0

31st

48th

49th

46th

45th

2nd

4th

18th

7th

5th

39th

State Ranking

State New Economy Index

Personal Income Per Capita

Difference in Earnings bet. Bachelor's Degree and HS Diploma

Difference in Earnings bet. Associate Degree and HS Diploma

Migration Rate of Older College Graduates (Ages 30 to 64)

Migration Rate of Young College Graduates (Ages 22 to 29)

Overall Results on Student Pipeline(Transition Rates from 9th Grade to College Completion)

Six-Year Graduation Rates of Bachelor's Students

Three-Year Graduation Rates of Associate Students

College-Going Rates of Students Directly Out of High School

Public High School Graduation Rates

Education Measures Economic Development Measures

9

How Colorado Ranks Among Other States on Selected Measures

for Education and Economic Development

Note: For more information, see www.higheredinfo.org

Education Measures Economic Development Measures

State Ranking

State New Economy Index

Personal Income Per Capita

Difference in Earnings Between Bachelor's Degree and HS Diploma

Difference in Earnings Between Associate Degree and HS Diploma

Migration Rate of Older College Graduates (Ages 30 to 64)

Migration Rate of Young College Graduates (Ages 22 to 29)

Overall Results on Student Pipeline(Transition Rates from 9th Grade to College Completion)

Six-Year Graduation Rates of Bachelor's Students

Three-Year Graduation Rates of Associate Students

College-Going Rates of Students Directly Out of High School

Public High School Graduation Rates

50 40 30 20 10 0

5th

39th

17th

5th

2nd

20th

27th

23rd

37th

29th

4th

10

Progressive Policy Institute—“State New Economy

Index” (2002)

90.0

60.3

52.2

0

20

40

60

80

100

Massachusetts

Washington

California

Colorado

Maryland

New

JerseyC

onnecticutV

irginiaD

elaware

New

York

Oregon

Minnesota

Utah

New

Ham

pshireT

exasA

rizonaIllinoisF

loridaP

ennsylvaniaIdahoR

hode IslandU

nited States

Georgia

Michigan

Missouri

Maine

North C

arolinaN

ew M

exicoV

ermont

Kansas

Ohio

Alaska

Nevada

Nebraska

Oklahom

aH

awaii

IndianaM

ontanaIow

aT

ennesseeW

isconsinS

outh Carolina

Kentucky

South D

akotaN

orth Dakota

LouisianaW

yoming

Alabam

aA

rkansasM

ississippiW

est Virginia

40.7

84.3

Development Report Card for the States, 2003

Strengths (Top 10 Rank)

Rank Measure1 Highway Deficiency1 Air Quality1 Involuntary Part-Time Employment2 Cost of Urban Housing4 Income Distribution4 Unemployment Rate5 Employment Growth: Short Term5 University R&D7 Basic Educational Skills Proficiency—

Reading7 Employer Health Coverage7 Poverty Rate8 Voting Rate8 Basic Educational Skills Proficiency—

Math8 Business Closings9 High School Attainment9 Uninsured Low Income Children9 Teen Pregnancy

41 Private Lending to Small Businesses43 Venture Capital Investments44 Net Migration46 SBIR Grants47 Manufacturing Investment49 New Companies

Weaknesses (Bottom 10 Rank)

Rank Measure

Source: Corporation for Enterprise Development

Iowa

Employment BEarnings and Job Quality AEquity BQuality of Life BResource Efficiency C

Competitiveness of Existing Bus. CEntrepreneurial Energy D

Human Resources AFinancial Resources FInfrastructure Resources BAmenity Resources AInnovation Assets C

Performance

Business Vitality

DevelopmentCapacity

B

D

B

Employment AEarnings and Job Quality BEquity CQuality of Life CResource Efficiency B

Competitiveness of Existing Bus. AEntrepreneurial Energy A

Human Resources DFinancial Resources AInfrastructure Resources BAmenity Resources CInnovation Assets A

Performance

Business Vitality

DevelopmentCapacity

B

A

A

Strengths (Top 10 Rank)

Rank Measure1 Air Quality1 Business Closings2 Technology Industry Employment2 New Companies2 College Attainment3 Deaths from Heart Disease3 SBIR Grants4 SBIC Financing4 Venture Capital Investments4 Sewage Treatment Needs4 Employment Growth: Long Term5 Science and Engineering Grad Students5 Bridge Deficiency6 Households with Computers9 Average Annual Pay9 PhD Scientists and Engineers9 Mass Layoffs

Development Report Card for the States, 2003

41 Basic Educational Skills Proficiency—Math41 Change in Average Annual Pay42 Cost of Urban Housing43 Income Distribution Change44 Basic Educational Skills Proficiency—

Reading44 K-12 Educational Expenditures46 Recycling Rate46 High School Completion47 Electronic Public Services48 Uninsured Low Income Children

Weaknesses (Bottom 10 Rank)

Rank Measure

Source: Corporation for Enterprise Development

Colorado

13

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files

Net In-Migration by Degree Level and Age Group—Iowa

22- to 29-Year-Olds 30- to 64-Year-Olds

Less than High School

High School

Some College

Associate

Bachelor’s

Graduate/Professional

Total

5,020

1,539

-542

-2,041

-14,579

-2,323

-12,926

-20,000 0 10,000

5,354

1,718

733

-552

-4,156

-3,833

-736

-6,000 0 6,000

14

Import/Export Ratio of First-Time Freshmen, Fall 2002(>1=Importer, <1=Exporter)

Source: NCES-IPEDS Residency and Migration Survey

Iowa Imported 9,543 First-Time Freshmen and Exported 3,874

3.89

2.46

1.19

0.12

1

2

3

40 U

tahR

hode IslandA

rizonaM

ississippiN

orth Carolina

Iowa

IndianaF

loridaW

yoming

Alabam

aW

est Virginia

South C

arolinaD

elaware

North D

akotaP

ennsylvaniaO

klahoma

Massachusetts

Verm

ontK

entuckyC

oloradoT

ennesseeLouisianaK

ansasIdahoA

rkansasV

irginiaN

ew H

ampshire

Oregon

Missouri

United S

tatesN

ew Y

orkC

aliforniaH

awaii

South D

akotaG

eorgiaT

exasM

ichiganW

isconsinN

ebraskaO

hioM

innesotaN

ew M

exicoM

ontanaN

evadaM

arylandM

aineW

ashingtonC

onnecticutIllinoisN

ew Jersey

Alaska

15

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files

Net In-Migration by Degree Level and Age Group—Colorado

22- to 29-Year-Olds 30- to 64-Year-Olds

Less than High School

High School

Some College

Associate

Bachelor’s

Graduate/Professional

Total

18,620

12,808

16,744

4,000

28,904

6,403

87,479

0 100,000

22,985

12,375

16,438

8,093

34,590

19,074

113,555

0 120,000

16

Net Migration of Residents with College Degrees—Iowa,

1995-2000

Source: U.S. Census Bureau’s Public Use Microdata Samples (Based on 2000 Census)

Ages 22-29

-2,459

-1,990

-1,682

-1,524

-1,227

-867

-805

-794

-729

45

54

58

66

67

72

109

116

128

1,315

-1,503

-3,000 -2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000

Health Diagnosing & Treating PractitionersComputer SpecialistsPrimary, Secondary, & Special Education TeachersFinancial SpecialistsBusiness Operations SpecialistsAdvertising, Mktg., Promotions, Public Rel., & Sales Mgrs.Other Management OccupationsRetail SalesSales Representatives, ServicesEngineers

Religious WorkersSupervisors, Personal Care & Service Workers

Material Moving WorkersMaterial Recording, Scheduling, Dispatching, & Distributing

Life ScientistsOther Education, Training, & Library Occupations

Agricultural WorkersNursing, Psychiatric, & Home Health Aides

Life, Physical, & Social Science TechniciansPostsecondary Teachers

17

Net Migration of Residents with College Degrees—Iowa,

1995-2000

Health Diagnosing & Treating PractitionersComputer SpecialistsOther Management OccupationsRetail SalesBusiness Operations SpecialistsTop ExecutivesFinancial SpecialistsAdvertising, Mktg., Promotions, Public Rel., & Sales Mgrs.Sales Representatives, ServicesEngineers

Supervisors of Installation, Maintenance, & RepairFood Processing Workers

Sales Representatives, Wholesale & ManufacturingReligious Workers

Life, Physical, & Social Science TechniciansOther Education, Training, & Library Occupations

Financial ClerksNursing, Psychiatric, & Home Health Aides

Physical ScientistsPostsecondary Teachers

-3,345

-1,118

-683

-560

-446

-337

-315

137

141

144

214

216

220

224

295

350

501

-431

-370

-502

-4,000 -3,000 -2,000 -1,000 0 1,000

Ages 30-64


18

Net Migration of Residents with College Degrees—

Colorado, 1995-2000

Air TransportationMilitary Officer Special & Tactical Operations Leaders/ManagersSupervisors of Installation, Maintenance, & RepairVehicle & Mobile Equipment Mechanics, Installers, & RepairersOccupational & Physical Therapist Assistants & AidesAssemblers & FabricatorsLife ScientistsRail TransportationMedia & Communication Equipment WorkersSupervisors, Transportation & Material Moving Workers

Supervisors, Sales WorkersRetail Sales

Business Operations SpecialistsFinancial Specialists

Health Diagnosing & Treating PractitionersInformation & Record Clerks

Other Management OccupationsPrimary, Secondary, & Special Education Teachers

EngineersComputer Specialists

Ages 22-29

-1,069

-172

-106

-103

-66

-50

-42

-39

-32

1,350

1,365

1,570

1,576

1,894

2,178

2,317

2,317

2,651

5,112

-88

-2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000


19

Net Migration of Residents with College Degrees—

Colorado, 1995-2000

Vehicle & Mobile Equipment Mechanics, Installers, & RepairersTransportation, Tourism, & Lodging AttendantsMedia & Communication Equipment WorkersOccupational & Physical Therapist Assistants & AidesSupervisors, Farming, Fishing, & Forestry WorkersFire Fighting & PreventionWater Transportation WorkersAgricultural WorkersAir TransportationCommunications Equipment Operators

Financial SpecialistsInformation & Record Clerks

Top ExecutivesBusiness Operations Specialists

Primary, Secondary, & Special Education TeachersOperations Specialties Managers

EngineersHealth Diagnosing & Treating Practitioners

Other Management OccupationsComputer Specialists

Ages 30-64

-321

-160

-78

-60

-43

-29

-18

-18

-14

1,637

2,002

2,018

2,057

2,064

3,103

3,262

3,570

4,275

8,250

-46

-2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000


20

Where Degree Production Is the Priority, the Primary Focus Must Be on:

College Entrance (Missouri, Texas)

College Completion (Illinois, Minnesota, Texas)

21

Where Job Creation Is the Priority, the Role of Higher Education Is More Complex.

Fast-Response Workforce Training

Entrepreneurship Education

Research/Technology Transfer

Contributing to Improvements in Quality of Life (Cultural Events, Quality of Public Schools, etc.)

Some Things Beyond the Control of Higher Education

Competitive Salaries

22

Workforce Issues – How Does Higher Education Connect to Other Parts of the Enterprise?

High School Completion

Adult Education and Literacy

Corrections

Social Services

23

These data are available at:

http://www.higheredinfo.org

Documents

Patrick Kelly Presented to the State Higher Education Executive Officers Colorado Springs, CO July 20, 2005 National Center for Higher Education Management