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Parsing Parcels: Using GIS to Analyze Options for Farmland Preservation
Anna Haines, Eric Olson, Dan McFarlaneUWSP – UWEX Center for Land Use Education
Growing WisconsinSpring 2007
Presentation Outline
I. Why Care About Parcelization?II. Details of UWSP Parcelization
Research ProjectIII. Hypothetical Application of
Research to Policy Analysis
I. Why Care About Parcelization?
Working Definition of Parcelization:The division of land parcels into
progressively smaller units– Ownership Units: Ownership Parcelization– Legal Units: Tax Parcel Parcelization
2
Just as the division of tax parcels precedes division of ownership parcels, the division of ownership parcels precedes changes in land use, or LANDSCAPE FRAGMENTATION.
I. Why Care About Parcelization?
1940
1968
2005
Parcelization…Is Followed By Development & Fragmentation
I. Why Care About Parcelization?
Nationwide, development pressures in rural areas continues to grow and the search for effective management techniques intensifies
3
I. Why Care About Parcelization?
-4.94%Wisconsin-5.04%California-5.41%Georgia-6.72%Vermont-7.35%Nevada-8.77%Massachusetts-9.72%Hawaii-10.34%DelawareFarmland Loss (2000-05)State
Farms and Land in Farms. U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service. Washington, D.C.: February 2001 and January 2006. Summarized at cfed.org
I. Why Care About Parcelization?
We know more about what follows parcelization (land sales, developments, loss of farms, etc.) than we do about the first step in this process. This suggests a few questions…
I. Why Care About Parcelization?
• Is parcelization faster today than earlier times?
• Do policies impact parcelization, and if so, how?
• Can new or modified policies that target parcel creation improve the situation?
4
Why Work On This Now?
• The development pressures seem intense• Comprehensive planning in Wisconsin
offers a chance to consider new growth management techniques
• Advances in GIS make the sort of historic spatial analysis needed to answer our questions feasible and practicable
II. Details of UWSP Parcelization Research Project
• Funding through the USDA Rural Development National Research Initiative
• Competitive federal grant for projects that bring together research, education, and extension (22% success rate)
• Funding covers cost of graduate and undergraduate students and GIS staff at UWSP ($380,000 over 4 years)
II. Details of UWSP Parcelization Research Project
• Goals– Understand the drivers of parcelization– Measure potential effects that policies
have on land division• Objectives
– Reconstruct parcel histories– Systematically analyze change over time– Communicate results
5
County SelectionA. Non-metro adjacent county
B. Community typology
C. Data accessibility
D. Favorable relationships
II. Details of UWSP Parcelization Research Project
Bayfield CountyBayfield County
Columbia CountyColumbia County
II. Details of UWSP Parcelization Research Project
Township SelectionA. Different rates of parcelization B. Addressing need for comprehensive planC. Favorable relationships
II. Details of UWSP Parcelization Research Project
6
Results
Lodi
Town of West Point Town of Lodi
Results
Town of West Point Town of Lodi
Results
Town of Springvale
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Results
Town of Springvale
Number of Ownership and Tax Parcels
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
1936 1947 1953 1961 1967 1972 1983 1991 2000 2005
Year
Num
ber o
f Par
cels
Ownership ParcelsTax Parcels
West Point Lodi
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
1936 1947 1953 1961 1967 1972 1983 1991 2000 2005
Year
Num
ber
of p
arce
ls
Ownership ParcelsTax Parcels
Parcelization Rates
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
1953-1961 1962-1967 1968-1972 1973-1983 1984-1991 1992-2000 2001-2005
% In
crea
se
Ownerhship ParcelsTax Parcels
West Point Lodi
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
1953-1961 1962-1967 1968-1972 1973-1983 1984-1991 1992-2000 2001-2005
% in
crea
se
Ownership ParcelsTax Parcels
8
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
1936 1947 1953 1961 1967 1972 1983 1991 2000 2005
Num
ber
of P
arce
ls
Ownership ParcelsTax Parcels
Town of Springvale
-5%
5%
15%
25%
35%
45%
1953-1961 1962-1967 1968-1972 1973-1983 1984-1991 1992-2000 2001-2005
Ownership ParcelsTax Parcels
Number of Parcels Parcelization Rate
Number of Ownership and Tax Parcels
Acres Per Parcel Size Class
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
1953 1961 1967 1972 1983 1991 2000 2005Year
Num
ber o
f Acr
es
0 - 22.1 - 55.1 - 1010.1 - 2020.1 - 3030.1 - 4040.1 - 8080.1 - 160160.1 - 240> 240
Lodi
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
1953 1961 1967 1972 1983 1992 2000 2005
Year
Num
ber o
f Acr
es
Springvale
These numbers have a SPATIAL COMPONENT that simple tables would not show
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Spatial Dimensions of Parcel Patterns
Springvale
III. Hypothetical Application of Research to Policy Analysis
– How might this data set be used when considering land protection policies?
– Consider a hypothetical scenario wherein towns are considering a range of different possible “new rules” to change development patterns
– Handout summarizes some possible options
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III. Hypothetical Application of Research to Policy Analysis
We are using Columbia County data for exploring these hypothetical options because this is where we have data; we plan to conduct similar analysis with Bayfield County towns for comparison. Given time and resources, we would extend this to a regional scale.
Hypothetical total number of future new parcels- Town of West Point
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Current Policy 1 Policy 2 Policy 3 Policy 4
Past Trends Extrapolated to the Future- Town of West Point
0
250
500
750
1000
1250
1500
1750
2000
2250
1991 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Year
Num
ber o
f Par
cels
Policy 4
Policy 3
Current Policy
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Town of West Point Existing Developed Parcels
Hypothetical Future Development Rights Under Present Zoning
Hypothetical Future Development Rights Under Policy #3
12
Hypothetical Future Development Rights Under Policy #4
TDR Scenario: Send Development to Hypothetical Receiving Area
Alternative TDR Scenario: Compare Hypothetical Policy 4 and TDR
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So What?• Measure potential impacts of different
policy alternatives• Identify areas of concern (ecological,
social, economical)• Envision future landscapes
Concluding Remarks
• Differences among policies can matter– Some matter more than others
• Technology exists– Let’s use it
• Think spatially
Questions? Contact Information:Dr. Anna Haines(715) [email protected]
Eric Olson(715) [email protected]
UWSP – UWEX Center for Land Use Education
FACTORS INFLUENCING LAND PARCELIZATION IN AMENITY RICH RURAL AREAS AND THE POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES OF PLANNING AND POLICY VARIABLESCONTRACT/GRANT/AGREEMENT NO: 2005-35401-15924 PROPOSAL NO: 2005-01393