32
Pacific Basin Shipping Limited Final Results For the year ended 31 st December 2004 www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

Pacific Basin Shipping Limited1mar05).pdf · 2343.HK 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 FY03 FY04 FY03 FY04 Daily Vessel Costs Vessel days 6,700 7,370* Finance Cost

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Page 1: Pacific Basin Shipping Limited1mar05).pdf · 2343.HK 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 FY03 FY04 FY03 FY04 Daily Vessel Costs Vessel days 6,700 7,370* Finance Cost

Pacific Basin Shipping LimitedFinal Results

For the year ended 31st December 2004

www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

Page 2: Pacific Basin Shipping Limited1mar05).pdf · 2343.HK 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 FY03 FY04 FY03 FY04 Daily Vessel Costs Vessel days 6,700 7,370* Finance Cost

1www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

Disclaimer

This presentation contains certain forward looking statements with respect to the financial condition, results of operations and business of Pacific Basin and certain plans and objectives of the management of Pacific Basin.

Such forward looking statements involve known and unknown risks,uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results or performance of Pacific Basin to be materially different from any future results or performance expressed or implied by such forward looking statements. Such forward looking statements are based onnumerous assumptions regarding Pacific Basin's present and future business strategies and the political and economic environment in which Pacific Basin will operate in the future.

Page 3: Pacific Basin Shipping Limited1mar05).pdf · 2343.HK 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 FY03 FY04 FY03 FY04 Daily Vessel Costs Vessel days 6,700 7,370* Finance Cost

2www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

2004 Highlights - Financial

§ Profits - US$103.5 million (2003:$22.7 million)

§ Revenues - US$234.3 million (2003:$54.2 million)

§ Earnings per share US cents 9.59 (HK cents 74.80)(2003:US cents 2.85, HK cents 22.23)

§ 41 owned and chartered vessels in operation at year end(2003:24)

§ Average TCE rate achieved of $17,900/day(2003: $9,800)

§ Proposed final dividend of US cents 2.05 (HK cents 16.00) per share giving total dividend of US cents 3.08 (HK cents 24.00) for seven months

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3www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

2005 Highlights – Growth Drivers

§ 2004 fleet expansion drives 2005 Handysize revenue days to 13,700, up 38%

§ 2005 agreed vessel purchases add another 5% or 500 days

§ 2005 Handysize revenue days and contract cover now stand at

Days 05vs04 Cover $/day14,200 +43% 59% 17,300

§ Plan to purchase up to eight additional vessels in 2005 (depending on market conditions)

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Financial ReviewAndrew Broomhead

www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

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5www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

Profit & Loss - Highlights

* Attributable to shareholders post IPO

(US$mil)FY2004 FY2003

Revenue 234.3 54.2

EBITDA 131.4 35.4

Operating Profit 111.7 27.5

Net Profit 103.5 22.7

Earnings (US cents per share) 9.59 2.85

Dividends* (HK cents per share) 24.0 -

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www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

FY2003 FY2004

Revenues

US$ 9,800/dayTCE

Revenue Days

US$ 17,900/day

5,500

10,000

+ 82%

10,000

+ 82%

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www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

FY03 FY04 FY03 FY04

Daily Vessel Costs

Vessel days

6,700

7,370*

Depreciation Opex Dry-dockFinance Cost

2,640

1,260

740

2,410

1,670

1,020

Owned Long-term Chartered-in

5,460

6,900

4,730 8,074 781 2,207

1,920

570

130

3906,700

7,760

Direct OverheadsUS$/day

* Excluding Sea Bell

Charter-hire

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8www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

Balance Sheet - Highlights

(US$mil)FY2004 FY2003

Net Book Value of Fixed Assets* 544.2 200.8

Total Debt 371.0 145.9

Net Debt 323.3 137.7

Shareholder's Equity 232.6 38.9

Net Debt / Fixed Assets 59% 69%

Net Debt / Shareholder's Equity 139% 354%

* Insured Value of Delivered Vessels (Feb 05) US$845mil

Interest Rate HedgingUS$121mil Cap@ 4.9% until Jul 2007US$61mil Knock out Swap @ 5.0%, Cap@ 7.0%

Cost: 3.5% pa until July 2009

US$182mil

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9www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

Owned Vessels Commitments

US$mil2005 2006 Total

Capital commitments (31/12/04) 67.0 38.7 105.7

Less: Post year end sales - (20.4) (20.4)

Net commitments 67.0 18.3 85.3

Add: Post year end acqusition 21.9 21.9

Funded by debt (65.8) (12.9) (78.7)

Equity required 23.1 5.4 28.4

Cash from post 31/12/04 sales (18.9) (18.9)

Funded from cashflows 4.2 5.4 9.6

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10www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

Chartered-in Vessels Commitments

Long term chartered-in costs - excluding option periodsUS$mil 2005 2006-2009 >2009at 31 Dec 2004 13.9 28.1 12.4New commitments 9.0 40.8 17.0At 25 February 2005 22.9 68.9 29.4

Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15

Kanda 479

Mount Fisher

Imabari 507

Xiamen Sea

Port Kenny

Priory Bay

Portland Bay

Shinyo challenge

Eastern Star

Ocean Star

Emerald Bulker

Sea Bell

Purchase Option Held

Firm PeriodOption Period

ü2005 Sale & Charter back

ü

ü

ü

ü

ü

ü

ü

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11www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

Dividends

§ Dividend Policy : not less than 50% of attributable profits

§ Post 31 May 2004 profits available for distribution to the post-IPO shareholders:

US$mil US Cents HK Cents

Profit for year 103.5

Less profit to 31 May 2004 (33.8)

Attributable Profit (7 months) 69.7

Interim (paid 6 Jan 05) 13.0 1.03 8.00

Final (proposed) 26.0 2.05 16.00

Total Dividend for 7 months 39.0 3.08 24.00

Payout Ratio 56%

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Market ReviewMark Harris

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13www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Jan-03 Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 Mar-04 Jun-04 Sep-04 Dec-04

Strong Freight Market All Year

Source : Bloomberg

2,622

5,681

6,208

4,878

2,337

Baltic Dry Index

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14www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

China’s Iron Ore Imports

Source : Bloomberg / Clarkson

7.9

9.110.7

9.5

12.8 12.7 12.5

16.915.7

17.819.0

11.4

0

5

10

15

20

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2005F

2002 Average: 9.3

mil/tons

2003 Average: 12.4

2004 Average: 17.3

2005F: 20.7

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2002 2003 2004

+33%

+40%

+20%Monthly Average

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15www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

Dry Bulk – Steady Demand Growth

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005F

Iron Ore Coal Grains Minor BulksMil tons

Source : Clarkson

1 2 3 4

1

2

4

3

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16www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

100

99

322

324

46

67

90

16

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

Container

Dry Bulk

Tanker

Supply: Still Moderate for Dry Bulk

28%

21%

46%

16%

Order Book% of fleet

dwt millions

Other ShipTypes

Source : Clarkson

ExistingOrderbook

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17www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

Handysize Supply: Well Protected

dwt millions Orderbook Average Fleet

81

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

Cap

esiz

ePa

nam

axH

andy

max

Han

dysi

ze

33%

22%

20%

18%

25%

18%

10%

10%

% of fleet Age >20+

11

11

11

17

13%

23%

17%

57%Handysize = 25,000-35,000 dwt only

Source : Clarkson

Mar04

Mar04

Mar04

Mar04

34

56

76

99

11

14

22

44

ExistingOrderbook

107

16

36Feb05

Feb05

36

60

4

15Feb05

Feb05

81

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18www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

<75 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 >07

No.

of s

hips

Supply: Age Profile of Global Handysize Fleet (within 25-35K segment)

>25 years old: 27%>15 years old: 64%

Our Fleet Age5 years

Order Book:10%

Sector Average Age:17 years

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19www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

Summary - Sector

§ Strong demand and limited supply drove rates to historical highs in 2004

§ Positive indicators for demand growth in 2005

§ Yard capacity full and spread across the three sectors

§ Rates expected to be driven off higher base until fundamental change in supply

§ Conditions that led to the spikes in Feb/Mar and Nov/Dec still exist

§ Handysize sector has by far the best profile within dry cargo as measured by low level of orderbook and average age of existing fleet

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Business Review

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21www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

19

3336

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

At IPO Sep-04 Dec-04 Mar-05

Fleet Expansion & Development

Owned

ManagedChartered

33 39

No. Ships

26

62%

36

Indicated during IPO

Dec-05

26

3034 36 36

87

76

44

4

3841

43

86%91%

91%

52

8 FurtherExpansion

Total = Owned & Chartered Vessels only

8

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22www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

Industrial Shipping for Major Customers

Customers Main ChangeFY04 FY03 Commodity US$mil % US$mil % %

1 4 Weyerhaeuser Logs 24.1 7.1 7.0 4.7 2442 68 Hugo Neu Steel/Scrap 20.1 5.9 0.6 0.4 3,2503 1 Stratus Logs 17.2 5.0 9.5 6.4 814 5 BHP Billiton Minerals 13.8 4.1 5.5 3.7 1515 - Taiheiyo Cement 11.1 3.3 n.a n.a -6 7 Toepfer Grain 10.4 3.0 4.4 3.0 1367 35 Conagra Grain 8.1 2.4 1.1 0.8 6368 2 Carter Holt Harvey Logs 7.3 2.1 8.0 5.4 -99 20 Canpotex SS Fertiliser 7.2 2.1 1.9 1.3 27910 8 Agrium USA Fertiliser 6.8 2.0 4.0 2.7 70

36.9 28.213 Cargill 5.9 1.7 1.9 1.3 21520 Rio Tinto 4.1 1.2 0.1 0.1 4,00024 BP 3.8 1.1 - -

2004 2003Ranking

Grain

PetcokeSalt

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23www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

2003 2004

Major Cargoes Carried

* (includes Minerals, Concentrates, Agricultural Products and other bulk products)

‘000 mt

Volume Growth 03 vs. 04 (%)

Other bulk*

Coal/Coke

Steel

Grain

Fertilisers

Cement

Forestry Products

26%

164%

61%

18%

18%

95%

21%

Total 2003 : 7,600

Total 2004 : 10,700

+40%

20%

12%

11%

11%

16%

10%

20%

22%

23%

12%15%

13%10%5%

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24www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2,200

2,400

Australia WestCoast

S.E. Asia NewZealand

China Japan Korea SouthAmerica

Europe EastCoast

Africa Others

Major Load Areas Asia Pacific

2004 – 74% ( 7.9mil mt )2003 – 73% ( 5.6mil mt )

Atlantic/Others2004 – 26% ( 2.8mil mt )2003 – 27% ( 2.0mil mt )

‘000 mt

NA

2003

2004

NA

22%

19%

12%

9%8%

3%

1%

7%

5% 5%

3%

6%

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25www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

Major Discharge Areas Asia Pacific

2004 – 76% ( 8.1mil mt )2003 – 71% ( 5.4mil mt )

Atlantic/Others2004 – 24% ( 2.6mil mt )2003 – 29% ( 2.2mil mt )

‘000 mt

NABack-hauls

2003

2004

NA

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

Japan China Australia Korea S.E. Asia WestCoast

NewZealand

Africa EastCoast

Europe SouthAmerica

Others

20042003

16%

13%12%

10% 10%

8%

6% 6%5%

4%5% 4%

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www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

Total Number of Staff = 225

Shanghai

Tokyo

VancouverLondon

Melbourne

Hong Kong

Comprehensive Network of Offices

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Outlook & Prospects

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28www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

2004 2005 2006

Earnings Momentum - Handysize only

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

59%

9,900 days

19,200 days

30%

FixedUnfixed

Average Rate$14,000

+56%

15,400 days

Average Rate$17,300

Average Rate$17,900

70%41%

+25%

100%

14,200 days

05

06

14,500 days

Further Expansion

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29www.pacbasin.com 2343.HK

Strategic Direction

§ Continued expansion of business in core Handysize sector to meet growing cargo and customer demand

§ 3 newbuildings deliver in 2005 and 2 second-hand vessels already acquired this year

§ Seek to add up to eight more vessels in 2005 & look for newbuilding and secondhand opportunities for 2006

§ Build cargo cover to 50%+ for 2006 and 30% for 2007

§ Develop long-term contracts for cargo shipments into China§ Iron ore, coal, grain, soyabeans§ Evaluate use of other vessel sizes

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Summary

§ Strong year in 2004 with record profit of US$103.5mil (EPS:9.59 US cents)

§ Dividend payout of 24 HK cents (3.1 US cents) per share

§ Market expected to remain firm through 2005

§ 43% growth in fleet revenue days for 2005 already in place with scope for planned further expansion

§ 59% of those days already covered at US$17,300/day

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Thank You

www.pacbasin.comWe are moving :

March 7th7/F, Hutchison House

10 Harcourt RoadCentral

Hong Kong

General Line: +852 2233 7000