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2012 ADC WINTER FORUM | PAGE 1
Overseas Base
Closures: Prospects
and Impacts
Dr. Craig College, February 28, 2012
• Budget
• Europe Reductions
• Overseas Base Closure
• Impact on Domestic Installations
• European Perspective on Base Closures
Overseas Base Closures: Prospects &
Impacts
2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 2
The Fiscal Driver
Federal Deficit/Surplus
3
Federal Surplus / Deficit
-1,600
-1,400
-1,200
-1,000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
1940
1942
1944
1946
1948
1950
1952
1954
1956
1958
1960
1962
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
TY
$ in
B
-12%
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
Su
rplu
s / D
efi
cit
as %
of
GD
P
CBO 5 Mar 10 ProjectionCBO 5 Mar 10 Projection
40-year average(1969-2009):
-2.6%
FY08 – $459BFY09 – $1413BFY10 – $1500BFY11 – $1341BFY12 – $915B
FYDP average(2011-2015):
-5.4%
Federal Surplus / Deficit
-1,600
-1,400
-1,200
-1,000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
1940
1942
1944
1946
1948
1950
1952
1954
1956
1958
1960
1962
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
TY
$ in
B
-12%
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
Su
rplu
s / D
efi
cit
as %
of
GD
P
CBO 5 Mar 10 ProjectionCBO 5 Mar 10 Projection
40-year average(1969-2009):
-2.6%
FY08 – $459BFY09 – $1413BFY10 – $1500BFY11 – $1341BFY12 – $915B
FYDP average(2011-2015):
-5.4%
FYDP average(2011-2015):
-5.4%
2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 3
.0 M
1.0 M
2.0 M
3.0 M
4.0 M
5.0 M
6.0 M
7.0 M
8.0 M
$ B
$100 B
$200 B
$300 B
$400 B
$500 B
$600 B
$700 B
$800 BDoD Military Manpower DoD Total Manpower DoD $ (FY12 Constant $) FY01-11 Base (FY12 Constant $)
Korean War
Armistice (1953)
Vietnam War
Ends (1973)
Height of
Vietnam
War (1968)
Gulf War
Ends (1991)
Height of
Cold War
(1985)
9/11
(2001)
The Defense Budget Over Time • Discretionary spending is ~35% of total federal budget – Defense budget is ~50% of discretionary spending
• Increasing emphasis on reducing spending/deficit – Congress and the Administration
• Historically, funding levels have decreased as military demand decreases
BCA
BCA
impact
?
OCO?
2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 4
The Army Budget
$78 $84$97 $103 $103 $105 $112
$131$143 $144 $140 $135 $135
$26
$40 $64
$72
$109
$121 $92 $99 $100
$68 $50
$78$86
$123
$143
$167$177
$221
$252
$235$243 $240
$203
$185
$ B
$50 B
$100 B
$150 B
$200 B
$250 B
$300 B
FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
Execution Approp Request
Base OCO OCO Request
2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 5
Supporting Infrastructure
Reductions
Franconia *
FY06
Hessen **
FY08
Giessen
FY07
Darmstadt
FY08
Inactivated
6 Garrisons
DoD Agency Closure: (FY06-11)
22 DoDD Schools (- 578 staff positions)
14 DeCA Commissaries (-198 staff positions)
7 AAFES Main Post Exchanges / 74 other AAFES facilities
* Using OSD BRAC 05 Rules,
Site w/$100M PRV = Major Closure
Heidelberg
FY10 Mannheim
FY11
Announced Site Closures / Pending Actions (FY12-16)
22 Sites to Return 6,550 Acres $4.931B PRV
1 Garrison (USAG-BW) To Inactivate
BRAC 05 (FY06-11)
ARMY’s 12 Major Closures *
@ $7.2B PRV
Consigned Site Reductions
* AKA Wurzburg
** AKA Hanau
Installations & sites returned to the Host Nation
– FY06 07 Sites Returned (211 Acres, PRV .36B)
– FY07 29 Sites Returned (2,986 Acres, PRV 2.48B)
– FY08 26 Sites Returned (11,305 Acres, PRV 2.53B)
– FY09 20 Sites Returned (7,816 Acres, PRV 2.71B)
– FY10 08 Sites Returned (68 Acres, PRV .50B)
– FY11 07 Sites Returned (298 Acres, PRV .51B)
Total 97 ( 27 Major Closures* @ 23,224 Acres $9.1B PRV)
2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 6
2012 ADC WINTER FORUM | PAGE 7
7
USAREUR Transformation Overview
Ansbach
Stuttgart
Garmisch
Mannheim /
Heidelberg
Wiesbaden
Baumholder
Grafenwoehr
Hohenfels
Kaiserslautern
IMCOM-Europe Related Actions: Garrison Restructuring: Close 2* and convert 2 Garrisons to sub-sites of their parent garrison
Site Reductions: Close 9 sites ( ~$39.7M Annual Savings)
Logistics Transfer: Region CPSSO, Consol Maint / Garrison DOLs to AMC FY13?
Build up of the Receiving (Enduring) Garrisons
Maintain the Region’s Centralized SRM Account to support USAREUR Transformation
Establish the New USAG Vicenza Dal Molin site to support 173rd BCT consolidation
Schweinfurt *
Bamberg
To the
United States US Army EUR HQs
V Corps HQs
66th MI
5th Sig
170th HBCT
IMCOM-E HQs
21st TSC/7th CSC
Landstuhl Regional Med Center
ERMC
Patriot/Theater Mis. Def
18th MP BDE
Signal BDE
Engineer BDE
Sustainment BDE
172nd HBCT
2nd Stryker RGT Joint Multi National Training Command
Vicenza Livorno
173rd ABCT US Army Africa HQs
APS 2 Site
EUCOM HQs
AFRICOM HQs
SOF HQs
USAREUR Units Relocations 1. Returned 1st AD to Ft. Bliss (2011)
2. Relocate V Corps HQs to Wiesbaden (~2011)
3. Relocate USAREUR HQ to Wiesbaden (~2012-13) 4. Inactivation of the 170th (FY12) & 172nd HBCT (FY13) 5. Consolidate 173rd ABCT in Italy (2014)
12th Aviation BDE
Enduring
Closing
Non-Enduring
Garrisons
Conversions
Schinnen
Brussels
BENLUX
* Pending HQDA TAA14-18 Force Structure decisions
Proposed
Conversions
2012 ADC WINTER FORUM | PAGE 8
USAREUR HQs C2 Consolidation
CLOSE DARMSTADT
Consolidation at Wiesbaden Permits:
Consolidation of USAREUR HQ, V Corps HQ, 5th Signal Cmd and 66th MI Bde
Closure of 3 non-enduring communities; Mannheim, Heidelberg & Darmstadt
Provides improved force protection, expansion capability and enhanced communications
CLOSE MANNHEIM
27 mi
37 mi
59 mi
WIESBADEN
CLOSE HEIDELBERG
$112M Annual Savings w/ROI of 3.4 Yrs
AFH
Mission
Command
Center
FY09/11
Consolidated
Intel Center
FY11
Information
Processing
Center
FY11
Color Organization
USAREUR
V-Corps
5th SIG CMD
4th ASOG
66th MI BDE
1/214th AVN BN
529th MP CO / CLE
Medical + WTU
USAG Wiesbaden
ELIMINATES: • 48 installations (28/20)* • $8B Plant Value • 9 DoDEA schools • 45 controlled gates • 2 airfields • 5K+ AFH Quarters • 3 sets of community support infrastructure
* 28 Closed / 20 Pending Closure
USAG Schinnen Relocation
7.7 Miles
Brunssum NATO
Joint Forces HQs
Hendricks Mine Site
1.1 Miles
ESSO
ESSO
ESSO
ESSO
$3.7M Annual savings, ROI = 2.9 Years
Brunnsum
NIC Site
USAG Schinnen
Emma Mine
Leased Site
Leased Site Reduction
NL Gov’t
Is funding $14M to
Support the Move
2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 9
Germersheim Army Depot MILCON Projects
FY12 Central Distr. Facility for AAFES $21.0M
Allows for closure of AAFES Giessen Depot
• Status: 95% design in progress
• Construct 16,000 SF admin building (Renovate Brks Bldg)
• Construct 48,000 SY container hardstand (Build Smaller)
• Renovate 13 warehouses (Limit Scope)
FY09 Logistics Distr. Center, DLA $21.0M
Allows DDDE to relocate from “Big O” facilities
• 235,000 SF warehouse & operations center
•10,000 SF admin facility
• 6,000 SY concrete warehouse aprons
FY12 Infrastructure Upgrade (entire depot) $16.5M
• Status: Design started 22 Nov 2011
•135,000 SY road construction & repair (Deferred)
• Upgrade electrical service (Limit Scope)
• Install water & gas lines (Limit Scope)
Germersheim Army Depot IMCOM-E use of Host Nation Payment-In-Kind (PIK) /
SRM to fill in for recently cancelled /deferred MILCON)
AAFES Distribution Center
Ex-Giessen Army Depot
Germersheim Army Depot (GAD)
~$5.3M Annual
BASOPs Cost*
* Large Deferred Maintenance Bill
2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 10
Overseas Base Closure
1. IMCOM-Europe and USAREUR consult and determine which sites or entire
installations would be excess to need.
2. USAREUR, nominates the site/installation to EUCOM for return.
3. EUCOM Staff reviews the proposal and coordinates to see if any other
service could use. EUCOM coordinates with the affected Embassy to
conduct a host nation sensitivity study. If no major issues, forward to Joint
Staff. (Staffing & Embassy coordination until EUCOM approval ~30 days)
4. Joint Staff reviews, coordinates with the services and if no objections,
forwards to OSD.
5. OSD Staff reviews, determines policy or NATO impact, notifies/coordinates
w/ State Department, sends to Office of SECDEF for signature.
2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 11
2012 ADC WINTER FORUM | PAGE 12
6. OSD returns signed approval memorandum to EUCOM.
7. EUCOM coordinates with USAREUR to set an official Host Nation notification
date. EUCOM coordinates with Embassy to conduct classified Host Nation
notification to affected Ministry of Defense/Federal Government.
8. USAREUR & IMCOM Public Affairs Officers coordinate a "Public
Announcement" packet.
a. USAREUR Liaisons notify state government officials .
b. USAREUR Civilian Personnel Division notifies Local National Head
Works council.
c. Garrison Commanders notify affected Mayors, Local National Works
Councils, and employees/family members of the action.
d. Once notifications are complete, USAREUR & IMCOM-E Public Affairs
release an official news release to U.S. and Local National news
organizations.
Overseas Base Closure
2
ARMY
NAVY
AIR FORCE
SOCOM
ARMY
DOD Combine Services on Installations
2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 3 2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 13
2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 11
WE JUST DO NOT KNOW FOR SURE……
• WHICH UNITS?
• Recent announcement: (Army Times, 27 FEB 2012)
- 170th Brigade (Baumholder) by Oct 2012.
- 172nd Brigade (Schweinfurt/ Grafenwoehr) by end of 2013.
• CG USAREUR has offered other units that may be better used
in CONUS.
- Military police companies, Engineer Brigade HQS, truck
companies, logistic units
• WHEN & WHAT OTHER UNITS?
• Await decision from the National Command Authority
(President through Secretary of Defense)
Force Structure Changes
2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 14
Impact on Domestic Installations
• Primary:
• The Army is drawing down to 490K from 569K
• No authorities that permit Army to execute stationing
decisions without standard Congressional notification
• Potential BRAC
• Secondary:
• Potential Overseas Base Closure
• Not clear what will happen with other USAREUR units
• Don’t know what other units will deactivate or relocate to
CONUS
• Reductions may relieve Installation / IMCOM budget
constraints
2012 ADC WINTER FORUM PAGE 15