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Climate Change Expert Group Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Andrew Prag (OECD) www.oecd.org/env/cc/ccxg CEPS Carbon Market Forum 3 rd meeting of the Task Force on New Market Mechanisms under the AWG-LCA 5 th July 2012

Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

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Page 1: Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

Climate Change Expert Group

Overlap of carbon market mechanisms

Andrew Prag (OECD)

www.oecd.org/env/cc/ccxg

CEPS Carbon Market Forum 3rd meeting of the Task Force on New Market Mechanisms

under the AWG-LCA 5th July 2012

Page 2: Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

2 Climate Change Expert Group

Overview

What do we mean by overlap of market mechanisms?

Analysis of distinct types of overlap

Questions for discussion

Page 3: Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

3 Climate Change Expert Group

How might mechanisms overlap?

Different types of double counting of credits:

Double monetisation

Double selling

Double claiming

Overlaying a project-based mechanism with an aggregate group-based one

Crediting mechanism overlap with other policy measures

Interaction between domestic Emissions Trading Systems if units are traded internationally

Sharing of resources between mechanisms: using the same standards, verification process, tracking systems

Page 4: Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

4 Climate Change Expert Group

Double counting of credits

Double monetisation

Credit is issued for reduction at a source that also receives a tradable emissions allowance

Can be avoided by forcing retirement or conversion of allowances (eg in JI)

Language from Verified Carbon Standard analysis v-c-s.org

Double selling

Credit from a single emission reduction is sold twice (eg through two independent mechanisms)

Avoided by strong transparency and unit tracking

Double claiming

Emission reduction is claimed towards two different targets or goals - impact depends on nature of targets

Page 5: Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

5 Climate Change Expert Group

Understanding “double claiming” outside of the Kyoto Protocol

Base year Target year

Emis

sio

ns

tCO

2eq

Agreed reduction

(X%)

His

torica

l em

issi

ons

Allo

wance

units

(AAU

s)

Invento

ry em

issi

ons

Oth

er

un

its

Invento

ry em

issi

ons

Various unit types used to adjust

target year emissions level to

demonstrate achievement of

pledge

Pledge-based system: various unit types purchased to readjust inventory

emissions in target year

Base year

Pledged reduction (?)

Target year

Emis

sio

ns

tCO

2eq

His

torica

l em

issi

ons

Allowance-based system (e.g. KP): compliance by submitting allowance

units plus purchased unit types

Overall MRV process for pledges and targets will be crucial for understanding risks of double claiming

Page 6: Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

6 Climate Change Expert Group

Different types of double counting of credits:

Double monetisation

Double selling

Double claiming

Overlaying a project-based mechanism with an aggregate group-based one

Crediting mechanism overlap with other policy measures

Interaction between domestic Emissions Trading Systems if units are traded internationally

Sharing of resources between mechanisms: using the same standards, verification process, tracking systems

How might mechanisms overlap?

Page 7: Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

7 Climate Change Expert Group

What if a group-based mechanism overlaps with CDM projects?

CDM

CDM CDM

Page 8: Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

8 Climate Change Expert Group

Dealing with overlap of CDM with group-based mechanism

Special case of “double selling”

Overlaps should be clear from CDM documentation. Future credits from existing projects could be:

Discontinued (note investor reaction)

Discounted from sector-wide total credits

New investments would be ineligible for CDM

In theory, a robust sector-wide baseline would factor in improvements due to existing CDM projects…

Page 9: Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

9 Climate Change Expert Group

Different types of double counting of credits:

Double monetisation

Double selling

Double claiming

Overlaying a project-based mechanism with an aggregate group-based one

Crediting mechanism overlap with other policy measures

Interaction between domestic Emissions Trading Systems if units are traded internationally

Sharing of resources between mechanisms: using the same standards, verification process, tracking systems

How might mechanisms overlap?

Page 10: Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

10 Climate Change Expert Group

Overlap of crediting mechanisms with other policy measures

An old issue for CDM (E+/E- jargon)

Policy measures affecting emissions exist in all sectors, in all countries!

Any new mechanism should recognise this from the outset, not as a work-around

A credits-to-government approach, with emitters exposed only to domestic policy incentives, is one solution

Page 11: Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

11 Climate Change Expert Group

Different types of double counting of credits:

Double monetisation

Double selling

Double claiming

Overlaying a project-based mechanism with an aggregate group-based one

Crediting mechanism overlap with other policy measures

Interaction between domestic Emissions Trading Systems if units are traded internationally

Sharing of resources between mechanisms: using the same standards, verification process, tracking systems

How might mechanisms overlap?

Page 12: Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

12 Climate Change Expert Group

Interaction of Emissions Trading Systems

Total emissions

Scope of pledge

Scope of ETS

Total emissions

Scope of pledge

Scope of ETS

Allowances

Crediting mechanism

Crediting mechanism

Credits (domestic)

ETS allowances may originate outside pledge (temporal or geographic)

Country A Country B

Page 13: Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

13 Climate Change Expert Group

Different types of double counting of credits:

Double monetisation

Double selling

Double claiming

Overlaying a project-based mechanism with an aggregate group-based one

Crediting mechanism overlap with other policy measures

Interaction between domestic Emissions Trading Systems if units are traded internationally

Sharing of resources between mechanisms: using the same standards, verification process, tracking systems

How might mechanisms overlap?

Page 14: Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

14 Climate Change Expert Group

Positive overlap: sharing of process and resources

Fungibility requires that units be recognised and valid for the same uses…

…requiring shared confidence in unit quality, even where differing governance structure means different decision-makers

Adoption of international standards, verification process and common systems could help this

Common unit registries and tracking systems

Common accreditation criteria for verifiers

Page 15: Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

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Mechanisms also overlap in their share of the overall global demand for units

A final thought!

Page 16: Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

16 Climate Change Expert Group

Three questions for discussion

Can the international MRV processes lead to better understanding of “double claiming” of credits towards country pledges?

When setting broad crediting thresholds, how to take into account existing CDM project and other policy measures?

What standards and systems might be mutually adopted to enhance compatibility of different mechanisms?

Page 17: Overlap of carbon market mechanisms Climate Change Expert Group How might mechanisms overlap? Different types of double counting of credits: Double monetisation Double selling Double

17 Climate Change Expert Group

More information and papers available at: www.oecd.org/env/cc/ccxg

Andrew Prag (OECD)

[email protected]